Cnotes March Madness Hoops March 1st / Trends,Stats,News All You Need To Know !!

Search

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
106,219
Tokens
Sunday, March 1


Game Score Status Pick Amount


Quinnipiac - 2:00 PM ET Manhattan -5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Manhattan -

Fairfield - 2:00 PM ET Niagara -4.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Niagara -

Southern Methodist - 2:00 PM ET Connecticut +1.5 500
Connecticut -

Iona - 2:00 PM ET Iona -4.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
St. Peter's -

Marist - 2:00 PM ET Rider -8 500
Rider -

Oregon St. - 3:00 PM ET Oregon St. +3 500 *****
California -

South Florida - 3:00 PM ET South Florida +5.5 500
Houston -

Marquette - 3:30 PM ET Marquette +9 500 *****
Providence -

Michigan St - 4:00 PM ET Michigan St +9 500
Wisconsin -

Siena - 4:30 PM ET Siena +7.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Monmouth-NJ -

Pittsburgh - 6:30 PM ET Pittsburgh -2.5 500
Wake Forest -

Oregon - 7:00 PM ET Stanford -6.5 500 PAC 12 GAME OF THE DAY
Stanford -

Purdue - 7:30 PM ET Purdue +9 500 *****
Ohio St. -

Arizona St. - 8:30 PM ET Colorado -3.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Colorado -

Washington St. - 9:30 PM ET Washington St. +14.5 500
UCLA -






CHECK BACK FOR UPGRADES......GOOD LUCK !!
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
106,219
Tokens
Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

-- Fifteen lined D-I games Sunday; Oregon was the only road team that won.

-- Paul Casey, Ian Poulter are tied for first at the rain-delayed Honda Classic, which resumes early Monday morning.

-- Resume-damaging losses Sunday for Pitt, Stanford; they'll both have to win their conference tournament to make the NCAAs.

-- Phillies lost an exhibition game to a D-II college team, which doesn't matter but is not going to help season ticket sales any.

-- Memphis lost its best player, Austin Nichols, to an ankle injury, which cripples their chance to make a run in the C-USA tournament next week.

-- Watched the movie Hurricane Season on VH1 last night; excellent true story about a high school team that won the state championship after Hurricane Katrina.



**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend.........

13) Everyone has bad days, even Lebron James, who went 3-11 from the foul line in an OT loss in Houston. Cavaliers are 37-24, right now the #4 seed in the east- that would pit them against #1 seed Atlanta in the second round.

12) NBA office once vetoed a Kevin Garnett/DeAndre Jordan trade, maybe the best move the Clippers never made. Jordan had 26 rebounds Sunday in Chicago.

11) Speaking of Garnett, he bought 1,000 tickets for tonight's game with the Clippers and gave them away-- thats a pretty expensive gift. .

10) Watched the Jerry Tarkanian memorial on the Internet yesterday; UNLV did a really nice job, with one segment video appearances by John Calipari, Dick Vitale, Tom Thibodeau, Bob Huggins and Mike Krzyzewski.

ESPN's Kenny Mayne was the emcee; he is a former backup QB for the Rebels.

9) Hard to believe the NFL hasn't had a team in LA or Anaheim since 1994, but it looks like they'll have at least one therre fairly soon. I've been a Ram fan since the mid-60's; they weren't supported that well in the Coliseum, which is why they moved to Anaheim. Part of the reason they moved out of the Big A is that then-owner Georgia Frontiere was from St Louis-- really wasn't a great move for the franchise.

8) Tired of people bashing current Rams owner Stan Kroenke as being difficult to deal with; its not that hard to meet him. I live in upstate NY and I've met the guy. Saw him at the NBA Summer League in Vegas few years ago, talked to him about the Rams for 10 minutes. Good guy, was very polite and answered some questions. He's a business guy; he'll do what is best for his wallet, which is how rich people get rich. Would any of us do any differently?

7) When James Hahn won the LA Open last week, he was 297th in World Golf Ranking; this week, Padraig Harrington was 297th and now he is contending at Doral, only four shots out of the lead, thats how competitve golf has become, guys barely in the top 300 are winning or contending to win.

6) If you shoot a basketball and it wedges between the backboard and the rim, that should not be ruled a held ball, the defense should get the ball. No way should the offense benefit from a shot like that- those are bad shots.

5) Want to feel old? Ron Howard (Richie Cummingham on Happy Days, Opie on the Andy Griffith Show) turned 61 Sunday.

4) Saturday night, UTEP blew a 15-point halftime lead and lost at lowly Southern Miss 63-60; thats what happens when your head coach is suspended for a game. Tim Floyd was ejected at Louisiana Tech in the Miners' previous game and got suspended for that, so in effect, he got thrown out of two games for the same act.

3) Did you know the voting age is Japan is 20? Me either.

2) Oregon 73, Stanford 70-- 11 ties, 17 lead changes as the Ducks stay hot; tough loss for Stanford, which now probably needs to win the Pac-12 tournament or else they'll be on ESPN losing an NIT home game in a couple weeks.

1) Let me get this straight; the 76ers have two young prospects they drafted who have never played for the team, then they traded for JaVale McGee and just cut him, possibly because he doesn't always try hard. My question is this: Is the 76er brass trying hard to win? How are they any different from McGee?
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
106,219
Tokens
NCAAB
Dunkel

Oklahoma at Iowa State
The Sooners head to Iowa State tonight where they are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games versus the Cyclones. Iowas State is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Cyclones favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (-4). Here are all of today's NCAA Basketball picks.

MONDAY, MARCH 2

Game 711-712: Virginia at Syracuse (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 72.921; Syracuse 70.090
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 3
Vegas Line: Virginia by 6
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (+6)

Game 713-714: Baylor at Texas (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 71,588; Texas 70.584
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 1
Vegas Line: Texas by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (+2 1/2)

Game 715-715: Boston College at Virginia Tech (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 56.595; Virginia Tech 60.677
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 4
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-1 1/2)

Game 717-718: Oklahoma at Iowa State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 70.221; Iowa State 76.758
Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Iowa State by 4
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (-4)




NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, March 2

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIRGINIA (27 - 1) at SYRACUSE (18 - 11) - 3/2/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 27-46 ATS (-23.6 Units) in March games since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games this season.
VIRGINIA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road lined games this season.
VIRGINIA is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) against conference opponents this season.
SYRACUSE is 45-66 ATS (-27.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA is 1-0 against the spread versus SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 1-0 straight up against SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BAYLOR (22 - 7) at TEXAS (17 - 12) - 3/2/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 38-58 ATS (-25.8 Units) in March games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 4-2 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 3-3 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BOSTON COLLEGE (10 - 18) at VIRGINIA TECH (10 - 19) - 3/2/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 108-70 ATS (+31.0 Units) in road games since 1997.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 108-70 ATS (+31.0 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 103-69 ATS (+27.1 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 99-68 ATS (+24.2 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 3-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON COLLEGE is 3-0 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


OKLAHOMA (20 - 8) at IOWA ST (20 - 8) - 3/2/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) in home games in March games since 1997.
IOWA ST is 84-58 ATS (+20.2 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
IOWA ST is 209-164 ATS (+28.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
IOWA ST is 64-39 ATS (+21.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA is 4-2 against the spread versus IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
IOWA ST is 3-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, March 2

Bittersweet Senior Night for Syracuse star Christmas, with Orange not in postseason this year. Syracuse is 5-7 in its last 12 games, losing three of last five at home, with all three losses by 8 or less points. Virginia is still without best player Anderson, but is otherwise healthy; they've won 8 games in row, but are 2-6 vs spread in those eight- they are 5-2 as road favorites. ACC home underdogs of 6 or less points are 11-6 vs spread.

Texas needs one more quality win to get off the bubble. Baylor (-3) hammered Texas 83-60 at home Jan 31, making 12-22 on arc in game where Bears never trailed and took 20 FTs, Texas three. Texas lost its last four games, with all four losses by 8 or less points; they are 2-5 as home favorites, 3-4 SU- all three home wins are by 15+ points. Baylor won four in row, seven of last nine games; they're 3-2-1 as road dogs. Favorites are 13-7 in Big X games where spread was 3 or less points.

Boston College snapped nine-game skid by whacking NC State at home Saturday; Eagles are 5-3 as road underdogs, losing ACC road games by 6-9-8-15-8-4-23 points, with win at Ga Tech. Virginia Tech lost its last five games; they're 0-1 as an ACC favorite, with only two conference wins by total of five points. Hokies split last four home games after losing first three. ACC teams are 10-9 in games where spread was less than 4 points.

Oklahoma (-6.5) beat Iowa State 94-83 Feb 9, after trailing by 10 late in first half; Sooners were 10-21 on arc, Cyclones 14-29. Oklahoma scored 1.29 ppp, very high. Sooners won three in row, eight of last nine games; they're 2-3 as road underdogs, with road losses by 21-7-11 points, but they've won last four SU on road. Cyclones lost last two games, are 4-4 as home favorites, with last three home wins by 17+ points. Big X home favorites of 4 or less points are 13-8 vs spread.




NCAAB

Monday, March 2

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
VIRGINIA vs. SYRACUSE
Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Virginia's last 6 games on the road
Syracuse is 3-9-1 ATS in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Syracuse's last 6 games

See more trends!
MARCH 2, 7:00 PM
BAYLOR vs. TEXAS
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baylor's last 7 games when playing on the road against Texas
Baylor is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 7 games

See more trends!
MARCH 2, 9:00 PM
BOSTON COLLEGE vs. VIRGINIA TECH
Boston College is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston College's last 6 games when playing on the road against Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston College
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Virginia Tech's last 6 games when playing at home against Boston College

See more trends!
MARCH 2, 9:00 PM
OKLAHOMA vs. IOWA STATE
Oklahoma is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma's last 5 games on the road
Iowa State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Iowa State's last 7 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB

Monday, March 2

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the Day: Oklahoma at Iowa State
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Oklahoma Sooners at Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)

With a one-game lead atop the standings, Kansas is on track for its 11th consecutive Big 12 Conference regular-season championship, but surging Oklahoma hopes to offer a roadblock when the teams close out the regular season Saturday in Norman. To have a chance, though, the 17th-ranked Sooners are likely going to have to find a way past No. 13 Iowa State on the road Monday night. “The Big 12 – if you are going to be in the race – it is going to be tough,” Oklahoma coach Lon Kruger told the media following Saturday’s 67-60 home win over TCU. “It has been tough all of the way through. Our guys are focused, and we have been talking since Jan. 1 that we just have to keep getting better – regardless if we win a game or lose, we have to improve.”

The Cyclones, meanwhile, have fallen two games off the Big 12 pace following losses to Baylor (79-70) and Kansas State (70-69) last week. Saturday’s setback in Manhattan was particularly painful as Iowa State let a 60-48 lead slip away in the final 10 minutes and handed the hosts the winning dunk on an errant in-bounds pass with 18 seconds remaining. “We've got to bounce back,” Cyclones coach Fred Hoiberg said at his post-game press conference. “That's two tough ones – two very tough ones in a row—and we'll find out a lot about ourselves in how we bounce back.”

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN

LINE HISTORY: Oddsmakers opened the Cyclones as 4.5-point home favorites.

INJURY REPORT: Sooners - F Dante Buford (Out for season, academics). Cyclones - G Hallice Cooke (Out for season, hip).

POWER RANKINGS: Sooners (-15.85) + Cyclones (-15.65) + home court (-3.0) = Cyclones -2.8

ABOUT OKLAHOMA (20-8 SU, 11-5, 14-12 ATS, 10-15 O/U): The Sooners have won three straight and eight of their last nine, including a 94-83 home victory over Iowa State on Feb. 9. Guard Buddy Hield had 21 points and a career-high 13 rebounds Saturday against the Horned Frogs and is pacing the team with 17 points per game. Fellow starters Isaiah Cousins (12 points), TaShawn Thomas (11.2) and Ryan Spangler (10.4) are also scoring in double figures, with the latter averaging a team-best 7.6 rebounds for Oklahoma, which ranks second in the Big 12 in scoring margin (plus-10.2), field-goal percentage (44.6), free-throw accuracy (72.7 percent) and field-goal percentage defense (38.1).

ABOUT IOWA STATE (20-8 SU, 10-6, 13-12 ATS, 13-10 O/U): The Cyclones are coming off consecutive losses for the first time this season, including the nine-point setback against Baylor – their only home defeat in 15 games this season. Led by Georges Niang (14.8 points), Bryce Dejean-Jones (11.7) and Jameel McKay (11.1), Iowa State is also the only team nationally with six players averaging double digits, but it’s been a struggle of late for Dejean-Jones who is coming off a scoreless outing against Kansas State and finishing with 10 points or fewer in four of his last five games. As a team, the Cyclones are pacing the Big 12 in scoring (79.1 points), field-goal percentage (48.2) and assist-to-turnover ratio (1.48).

TRENDS:

* Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Iowa St..
* Sooners are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Under is 7-3 in Sooners last 10 overall.
* Favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.

CONSENSUS: N/A


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB

Monday, March 2

Top 25 roundup: UConn topples SMU

HARTFORD, Conn. -- Rodney Purvis endured some difficult moments during his first season at Connecticut. On Sunday at the XL Center, he gave the defending national champion Huskies renewed hope for returning to the NCAA Tournament.

Purvis, a sophomore guard, scored 14 of his career-high 28 points in the second half and senior guard Ryan Boatright added 23 points and five assists as UConn upset 21st-ranked SMU 81-73, snapping the Mustangs' five-game winning streak.

UConn freshman forward Daniel Hamilton also scored 14 points in the second half and finished with 16 points, seven rebounds and three assists as the Huskies (17-11, 10-6 American) beat the Mustangs for the first time in five tries in the series history.

The loss knocked SMU (23-6, 14-3) into second place in the American Athletic Conference behind Tulsa (21-7, 14-2). Forward Markus Kennedy led the Mustangs with 18 points, and center Yanick Moreira had 14.

Wisconsin 68, Michigan State 61

MADISON, Wis. -- Frank Kaminsky scored a season-high 31 points in his final career home game, and he helped the fifth-ranked Badgers claim a share of the Big Ten Conference title with a win over the Spartans. The senior forward also had eight rebounds, three blocked shots and three assists.

Wisconsin (26-3, 14-2 Big Ten) shot 52 percent and outrebounded Michigan State 35-24 to clinch its first Big Ten title since 2008 and fourth under coach Bo Ryan. Badgers forward Nigel Hayes scored 14 points, and guard Josh Gasser added nine.

Guard Bryn Forbes led Michigan State (19-10, 10-6) with 21 points. Spartans guard Travis Trice contributed 16 points, and guard Denzel Valentine finished with 10 points, six assists and five rebounds.

Providence 77, Marquette 66

PROVIDENCE, R.I. -- LaDontae Henton grabbed his 1,000th career rebound and became the seventh player in program history to have 1,000 points and 1,000 boards as the 25th-ranked Friars toppled the Golden Eagles.

The senior forward had a double-double with 25 points and 15 rebounds to lead Providence (20-9, 10-6 Big East), which bounced back from an ugly 28-point loss at No. 6 ranked Villanova on Tuesday and now has 20 or more wins in back-to-back campaigns.

Redshirt freshman guard Duane Wilson totaled a team-high 22 points and guard Matt Carlino contributed 21 points for Marquette (11-17, 3-13). The Golden Eagles lost their fifth game in a row and fell to 3-10 since the start of 2015.
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
106,219
Tokens
Big 12 Analysis


March 2, 2015


Tournament play is on the horizon! It's the start of a wild few weeks with conference tournament play helping to whittle the field. In the Big 12, Kansas has been the dominant team again, but there is a logjam of teams vying for the spots below the Jayhawks. Here's a look at some of the top teams of the Big 12.


Kansas: The Jayhawks have been a powerhouse team, tops in scoring (81 ppg) in the conference and a +8.5 scoring margin, though they have not been invincible with losses at Oklahoma State (67-62) and at West Virginia (62-61). Sophomore guard Frank Mason III (12 ppg) has led the way on a team with great balance, second in the conference in field goal shooting, tops in field goal defense.


He’s not alone, of course, with 6-8 senior Perry Ellis (13 ppg, 7 rpg), 6-5 sophomore Wayne Selden (10 ppg) and 6-8 freshman Cliff Alexander blocking shots and grabbing rebounds. Kansas might not be as good as last year’s squad with Andrew Wiggins, but they beat Utah (63-60) and Michigan State (61-56) in tough non-conference games, while getting blasted by Kentucky, 72-40 (who hasn’t?).


Iowa State: The Cyclones are not big up front and not especially strong on defense. Yet, what a talented, deep team for Fred Hoiberg, deadly on offense, running opponents into the ground with a top 10 offense again. This is an experienced group led by 6-8 junior Georges Niang (14.7 ppg, 5.4 rpg), 6-4 junior Naz Long, 6-6 senior Bryce Dejean-Jones (12.5 ppg, 5.7 rpg) and 6-6 senior Dustin Hogue. This group is Top 5 in assists in the nation for the second straight year. Iowa State is on a 54-26-1 run over the total!


They are tops in the Big 12 in field goal shooting. One concern is road play, where they’ve struggled, especially on defense. They allowed 94 in a loss at Oklahoma and 89 at Kansas. Iowa State even allowed Texas Tech to hit 11 three-pointers in a 78-73 upset. Something to keep in mind come Big 12 tourney time: Iowa State is 47-32-1 ATS against the Big 12.


Oklahoma: Coach Lon Kruger has a run-and-gun Sooners squad that is tough, led by 6-4 junior Isaiah Cousins (11.7 ppg, 5 rpg) and 6-4 junior Buddy Hield (17 ppg). They can be relied on at the free throw line in close games, 74% at the charity strip (No. 1 in the Big 12). They are terrific on offense and the defense has improved, second in the Big 12 in field goal shooting allowing 38%, plus fourth at defending the three-pointer allowing .365% shooting.


A pair of 6-8 frontcourt forces in junior Ryan Spangler (11 ppg, 8 rpg) and TaShawn Thomas (11 ppg, 6 rpg) give the Sooners good balance all around. The frontcourt is not big, however, and they’ve lost to strong rebounding teams Baylor (69-58), Wisconsin (69-56), and Kansas (85-78). They also had 22 turnovers in an 86-65 loss at West Virginia.


Texas: The Longhorns are a young team for Rick Barnes with a monster frontcourt that few teams look forward to playing. Sophomore guard Isaiah Taylor (12.8 ppg) leads in scoring, but the rebounding muscle is fierce with 6-11 freshman Myles Turner (11.5 ppg, 6.6 rpg), 6-8 senior Jonathon Holmes (11 ppg, 6.5 rpg) and 6-9, 285-lb junior Cameron Ridley (8.6 ppg, 5 rpg). Texas is tops in the Big 12 in blocks and second in rebounding margin.


Even during their four-game mid-season skid they lost by 3 at No. 15 Iowa State and in overtime by a basket to Oklahoma State. They have wins over UConn and Iowa and lost in OT to Stanford. And in a loss at Kentucky (26-26 at the half) the Longhorns ended up with a 42-31 rebound edge, including 16-12 on the offensive glass. How many teams can say that after facing the mighty Wildcats?


Baylor: Few teams can pound the glass like Baylor, Top 5 most of the year in rebounds led by 6-7 junior Taurean Prince (13 ppg), 6-8, 280-lb junior Rico Gathers (11 ppg, 12 rpg) and 6-6 senior Royce O'Neale (6 rpg). Baylor lost both meetings with Kansas, but dropped a 56-55 thriller in one of them. The Bears were 8 of 15 on 3-pointers, but 10 of 38 inside the arc. They’d love a third shot at the Jayhawks in tourney play.
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
106,219
Tokens
Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

-- Texas 61, Baylor 59 OT-- Seven players were ejected for leaving bench area after a non-scuffle after players dove on a loose ball near halfcourt.. There was jawing after the game; could be interesting if teams meet in Big X tournament.

-- James Harden is suspended for tonight's game with Atlanta after his flagrant foul in Sunday's game with Cleveland.

-- Bronx Bombers played an intrasquad game Monday with a pitching machine; not sure why. They've got a boatload of pitchers in the locker room, no?

-- Padraig Harrington won at Doral, second week in a row the #297 ranked golfer in the world won on the PGA Tour. Steve Webster is now #297 in the world.

-- Iowa State 77, Oklahoma 70-- Sooners led 37-18 at half; Iowa State had 31-4 run in second half as Hilton Coliseum went nuts.

-- Spring training games start today; its going to snow again in Albany tonite. Oy.



**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Looking at college tournament histories......

A look at some of the conference tournament histories that start this week

13) MAAC-- Siena won both the regular season and conference tournament in 2008-10, but since then, the top seed hasn't won the tournament. #1 seed lost in the semis three of last four years, in the final last year.

12) OVC-- Murray State went 16-0 in the OVC this year; they've been top seed in this tournament four times in last ten years and won it three of the four times. In last four years, four different teams won this tournament.

11) CAA-- Eight of last 11 tournament winners aren't in this league anymore; #1 seed has won it once in last four years. This year, four teams tied for top spot so Sunday's semi doubleheader should be exceptional, if top seeds all win Saturday. In last four years, four different teams have won this tournament.

10) WCC-- Gonzaga and everyone else, though Bulldogs lost their last game at home to BYU. Zags won this tournament eight of last 11 years; St Mary's won twice and San Diego once. Gonzaga is looking like a #2 seed in NCAAs; every other team is trying to play their way in, with BYU having the best shot. Cougars lost in finals last year, split six games in WCC tourney since joining the league.

9) MVC-- Wichita State/Northern Iowa are far and away the two best teams this year; top seed won this tournament last two years, after winning only twice in decade before that. Shockers/Panthers' only two losses this year came against each other. Four of last six WCC finals were decided by 4 or less points.

8) Summit-- Even though tourney is played at a neutral site, top seed has won six of last seven tournaments. South Dakota State/North Dakota State tied for top spot this year. Bison won a game in NCAA tournament last March.

7) Horizon-- Top seed won this tournament six of last ten years, but 7-9 Milwaukee won LY. Wright State lost in final last two years, but they're 3-13 this year. Valpo is top seed this year at 13-3; Green Bay 12-4, Cleveland State/Oakland 11-5. League isn't as good as it was when Butler was here.

6) Big X-- One of few leagues where teams play everyone else twice, so every game in this tournament will be a third meeting this season. Top seed won this tournament five of last eight years, Kansas wins the regular season every year, but they've "only" won the conference tournament three of the last six years.

5) Big East-- St John's plays tournament on its home floor; they're #8 in country in experience, 6th-to-last in bench minutes. Winning three days in row could be an issue. Last 11 years, lower-seeded team is 6-5 SU in tournament final. Of last seven Big East champions, only one is still in the league.

4) Big 14-- Either Michigan State or Ohio State won this tournament the last five years (OSU three, MSU two); Top-seeded Wisconsin last won this event in 2008; #1 seed won this tournament five of last eight years. Maryland went 12-4 in its first year in the league; will be weird seeing them play in this tournament, instead of the ACC.

3) Pac-12-- Arizona is obviously best program here, but they haven't won this event in last 12 years; lower-seeded team won finals in this tournament last six years, with last four tournaments won by all different teams. Last time top seed won this event was UCLA is 2008. Having tourney in Las Vegas has upgraded it.

2) SEC-- If Kentucky doesn't win this it'll be national news, but top seed won the SEC tourney only twice in last seven years. Kentucky played in four of last five finals, but lost last two as different team won this event the last four years. Five of last six finals were decided by seven or less points.

1) Mountain West-- New Mexico won this turnament last three years, but the wheels have fallen off for Lobos this season, in a down year for the league. San Diego State is the only lock for NCAAs, but Bosie State is hot and could get in with strong showing here. UNLV is host team but they haven't won this event since 2008.
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
106,219
Tokens
NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 3

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MARYLAND (24 - 5) at RUTGERS (10 - 19) - 3/3/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARYLAND is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
MARYLAND is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
RUTGERS is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
RUTGERS is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
RUTGERS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
RUTGERS is 22-40 ATS (-22.0 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
RUTGERS is 1-0 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
MARYLAND is 1-0 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


N CAROLINA (20 - 9) at GEORGIA TECH (12 - 17) - 3/3/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
N CAROLINA is 251-205 ATS (+25.5 Units) as a favorite since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 4-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 4-0 straight up against GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


RHODE ISLAND (20 - 7) at DAYTON (22 - 6) - 3/3/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DAYTON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
RHODE ISLAND is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
RHODE ISLAND is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
RHODE ISLAND is 3-0 against the spread versus DAYTON over the last 3 seasons
RHODE ISLAND is 2-1 straight up against DAYTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


GEORGETOWN (18 - 9) at BUTLER (21 - 8) - 3/3/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGETOWN is 151-190 ATS (-58.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
BUTLER is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) in March games since 1997.
BUTLER is 153-116 ATS (+25.4 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
BUTLER is 184-145 ATS (+24.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
BUTLER is 2-2 against the spread versus GEORGETOWN over the last 3 seasons
GEORGETOWN is 3-1 straight up against BUTLER over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


IOWA (19 - 10) at INDIANA (19 - 10) - 3/3/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 2-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-0 straight up against IOWA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


E MICHIGAN (17 - 12) at BALL ST (7 - 20) - 3/3/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.
E MICHIGAN is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.
BALL ST is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
BALL ST is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
E MICHIGAN is 3-2 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
E MICHIGAN is 3-2 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


OHIO U (9 - 18) at BUFFALO (19 - 9) - 3/3/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 8-15 ATS (-8.5 Units) in all games this season.
OHIO U is 8-15 ATS (-8.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
OHIO U is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
OHIO U is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OHIO U is 85-58 ATS (+21.2 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO U is 3-2 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U is 4-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


AKRON (18 - 11) at MIAMI OHIO (12 - 17) - 3/3/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI OHIO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
AKRON is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI OHIO is 5-0 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
AKRON is 3-2 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TOLEDO (19 - 10) at C MICHIGAN (21 - 6) - 3/3/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
C MICHIGAN is 3-1 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 4-1 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


KENT ST (19 - 10) at BOWLING GREEN (19 - 8) - 3/3/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all games this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
KENT ST is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
KENT ST is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
KENT ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
KENT ST is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
KENT ST is 66-44 ATS (+17.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
BOWLING GREEN is 18-38 ATS (-23.8 Units) in March games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOWLING GREEN is 4-0 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
BOWLING GREEN is 3-2 straight up against KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


OLE MISS (19 - 10) at ALABAMA (17 - 12) - 3/3/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games in March games since 1997.
ALABAMA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) on Tuesday nights this season.
ALABAMA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
OLE MISS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
OLE MISS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games this season.
OLE MISS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road lined games this season.
OLE MISS is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.
OLE MISS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OLE MISS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA is 1-1 against the spread versus OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
OLE MISS is 2-1 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


W MICHIGAN (17 - 11) at N ILLINOIS (12 - 15) - 3/3/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 43-66 ATS (-29.6 Units) in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
N ILLINOIS is 14-31 ATS (-20.1 Units) in home games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 3-1 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 5-0 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MICHIGAN (14 - 14) at NORTHWESTERN (14 - 15) - 3/3/2015, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 3-1 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 4-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


AUBURN (12 - 17) at MISSOURI (8 - 21) - 3/3/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AUBURN is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
AUBURN is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
AUBURN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
AUBURN is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
MISSOURI is 23-37 ATS (-17.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MISSOURI is 23-37 ATS (-17.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MISSOURI is 1-1 against the spread versus AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI is 2-1 straight up against AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


KENTUCKY (29 - 0) at GEORGIA (19 - 9) - 3/3/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
GEORGIA is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
KENTUCKY is 73-50 ATS (+18.0 Units) in March games since 1997.
GEORGIA is 46-68 ATS (-28.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 2-2 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 3-1 straight up against GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


W VIRGINIA (22 - 7) at KANSAS (23 - 6) - 3/3/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W VIRGINIA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 3-2 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS is 3-2 straight up against W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NC STATE (17 - 12) at CLEMSON (16 - 12) - 3/3/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NC STATE is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) in March games since 1997.
NC STATE is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 4-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 2-2 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TEXAS A&M (20 - 8) at FLORIDA (14 - 15) - 3/3/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
FLORIDA is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
TEXAS A&M is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
TEXAS A&M is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
FLORIDA is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
FLORIDA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 3-0 against the spread versus TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 2-1 straight up against TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


VILLANOVA (27 - 2) at CREIGHTON (13 - 16) - 3/3/2015, 9:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CREIGHTON is 54-31 ATS (+19.9 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
VILLANOVA is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all games this season.
VILLANOVA is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
VILLANOVA is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
VILLANOVA is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
VILLANOVA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
VILLANOVA is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
VILLANOVA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
CREIGHTON is 2-1 against the spread versus VILLANOVA over the last 3 seasons
CREIGHTON is 2-1 straight up against VILLANOVA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


YOUNGSTOWN ST (11 - 20) at DETROIT (14 - 17) - 3/3/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
YOUNGSTOWN ST is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
YOUNGSTOWN ST is 23-44 ATS (-25.4 Units) after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-2 against the spread versus YOUNGSTOWN ST over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 5-1 straight up against YOUNGSTOWN ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WRIGHT ST (11 - 19) at IL-CHICAGO (8 - 23) - 3/3/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WRIGHT ST is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games this season.
WRIGHT ST is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
WRIGHT ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) against conference opponents this season.
WRIGHT ST is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after a conference game this season.
WRIGHT ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games this season.
IL-CHICAGO is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) in March games since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 42-21 ATS (+18.9 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in conference tournament games since 1997.
WRIGHT ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
IL-CHICAGO is 5-1 against the spread versus WRIGHT ST over the last 3 seasons
IL-CHICAGO is 4-2 straight up against WRIGHT ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NEBRASKA-OMAHA (11 - 17) at N DAKOTA (8 - 20) - 3/3/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N DAKOTA is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
N DAKOTA is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 2-0 against the spread versus N DAKOTA over the last 3 seasons
NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 2-0 straight up against N DAKOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LIPSCOMB (13 - 16) at N KENTUCKY (13 - 16) - 3/3/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
LIPSCOMB is 4-2 straight up against N KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


KENNESAW ST (10 - 21) at USC UPSTATE (21 - 10) - 3/3/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
USC UPSTATE is 5-1 straight up against KENNESAW ST over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


JACKSONVILLE (10 - 21) at FLA GULF COAST (21 - 9) - 3/3/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA GULF COAST is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in March games since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
FLA GULF COAST is 4-2 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


STETSON (9 - 21) at N FLORIDA (21 - 10) - 3/3/2015, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N FLORIDA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
N FLORIDA is 6-0 straight up against STETSON over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LOYOLA-MD (11 - 18) at HOLY CROSS (13 - 15) - 3/3/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOYOLA-MD is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in first round tournament games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 24-5 ATS (+18.5 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 104-57 ATS (+41.3 Units) in road games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 104-57 ATS (+41.3 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 88-45 ATS (+38.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 84-51 ATS (+27.9 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 53-25 ATS (+25.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 37-13 ATS (+22.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
HOLY CROSS is 3-1 straight up against LOYOLA-MD over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ARMY (15 - 14) at NAVY (13 - 17) - 3/3/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
NAVY is 4-2 straight up against ARMY over the last 3 seasons
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
106,219
Tokens
NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 3

North Carolina is 3-5 in last eight games, lost three of last five on road; Tar Heels are 3-2 as road favorites; they've won last four games against Georgia Tech, all by 12+ points. Tech was down 20-2 at Clemson Saturday, rallied to force OT but lost by 7; they've lost last three games, by 29-1-7 points and five of last six; they're 3-0 as home underdogs, with all six home losses by by 4 or less points. ACC home underdogs of 6 or less points are 11-6 vs spread.

Rhode Island won nine of last eleven games, with both losses by a point (St Joe's/Davidson); Rams are 6-2 on A-14 road, losing by 4 at UMass, 1 on Hawk Hill- they won four of last five on road. Dayton won five of last six games; they're 5-3 as home favorites, with three of last four home wins by 13+ points. A-14 home favorites of 4 or less points are 8-9 vs spread. URI won three of last four games with Dayton, losing here LY.

Georgetown (-4) beat Butler 61-59 at home Jan 17, after losing 64-58 to Butler in Bahamas tournament Thanksgiving weekend. Butler had 29-17 lead in rematch, led just 31-27 at half. Bulldogs won eight of their last 10 games, covered three of last four as home favorite- their last four wins at home were by 10+. Hoyas won three of last four games, are 2-3 as road underdogs; they're 4-4 on big East road, losing by 17-3-16-11. Big East home favorites of 4 or less points are 7-11 vs spread.

Iowa won its last four games but against dregs of Big 14; they've been a favorite in last seven games. Hawkeyes are 3-2 as road underdogs, 5-3 SU on Big 14 road, with losses by 32-4-5 points. Wisconsin is only team to spank them on road. Indiana is 1-4 as favorite at home, losing to Purdue after winning first six at home; they're 2-3 in their last five games overall. Underdogs covered six of their seven home games. Big 14 home teams are 23-13 vs spread in games with spread of 3 or less.

Central Michigan (+8.5) outscored Toledo 10-2 over final 4:38, won at Rockets 65-62 in MAC opener Jan 6, using +9 turnover ratio (13-4) to offset being outscored 15-6 on foul line. Chippewas won six of last seven games, are 4-3-1 as home favorites- four of their last five home tilts were decided by 5 or less points. MAC home favorites of 3 or less points are 8-10-1 vs spread. Toledo is 9-2 in its last 11 games, winning last five in a row- they were underdog in two of those five games.

Home side won last seven Ole Miss-Alabama games; Rebels lost three in row at Coleman Coliseum. Ole Miss lost last two games, allowing 74.5 ppg after winning eight of previous nine; its loss at LSU Saturday ended 4-game win streak on road- they're 3-2 as road underdogs. Alabama is 4-6 in last ten games, 2-3 in last five home games; Tide is 3-3 as favorite at home, SEC home favorites of 3 or less points are 4-14-1 against spread.

Michigan lost six of last seven games, including last four on road, with three of four by 3 or less points or in OT; Wolverines (-9) won 56-54 vs Northwestern 56-54 Jan 17 at home, using +9 turnover ratio (12-3) in a game they trailed by 5 in second half. Wildcats won four of last five but lost last game by 26 at Illinois. Northwestern won last three home games after starting conference play 1-10. Big 14 home favorites of 5 or less points are 19-14 vs spread.

West Virginia (+1.5) scored in last 0:05 to upset Kansas 62-61 Feb 16 in Morgantown; Jayhawks missed driving layup at buzzer for win- they're 0-4 vs spread in last four games (2-2 SU), 5-3 as home favorites, with six of eight home wins by 9+ points. Mountaineers lost three of last four on road with all three losses by 12+ points; they're 2-3 as road underdogs. WVU guards Staten/Browne are banged up, missed Baylor game. Big X single digit home favorites are 28-21 vs spread.

Clemson (+8.5) won 68-57 at NC State Jan 28; Wolfpack shot 24.5% on 2-point shots in game Tigers led by 20 at half. Clemson lost four of last six games, beating Ga Tech in OT Saturday after blowing early 20-2 lead; they won last five home games, covered last four. State had won three in row before getting whacked at Boston College Saturday; Pack is 4-4 on ACC road, winning at UNC/Louisville, losing at Wake/BC. ACC home favorites of less than 5 points are 6-8 vs spread.

Donovan got win #500 last game; his Gators lost six of last eight games, are 3-4 as home favorites, splitting last six home games SU. Texas A&M (-3) nipped Florida 63-62 at home Feb 14, in brickfest that saw teams go 8-38 behind arc. Aggies won four of last five games, are 4-2 as road dogs, covering six of last seven overall on foreign soil. Florida PG Hill is 13 of his last 55 from floor, 3 of last 17 on foul line. SEC road teams are 24-14-1 vs spread in games with spread of 5 or less points.

Creighton (+15) lost 71-50 ar Villanova on Feb 4, trailing 29-14 at half in game where Wildcats made 12-26 on arc. Bluejays split last eight games, going 2-2 in last four home games, losing by 27-2 to Georgetown/Butler. Villanova has regular season title clinched but is playing for a #1 seed in NCAAs; they covered seven of eight as a home favorite. Big East double digit favorites are 10-8 vs spread. Bluejays clocked Villanova twice LY by 28-21 points. Wildcats have chance to return favor here.

Horizon tournament
Detroit beat Youngstown State twice this year, 93-87 (-9) in OT at home Jan 29, then 83-70 (even) in Youngstown Feb 21; Titans shot 68% in the game ten days ago- they're 0-2 in this event last two years, after winning it in '12. Detroit won last two games, but failed to cover its last five tries as a favorite. Youngstown lost its last three games by 13-11-8 points; Penguins won their first tourney game two of last three years, lost by 4 in OT LY.

Ill-Chicago beat Wright State twice this season. 79-75 (+8) on road Feb 12, then 61-46 (-1) at home three days ago. UIC had 53-20 edge in free throws in two games. Flames lost four of last five games, lost six of last seven at home. Raiders lost last nine games (1-8 vs spread); they're 2-4 as road underdogs- their last win was Jan 26 at Detroit. Flames have only one win in this event last six years; Wright lost in finals last two years, but at 3-13 this year, doubtful they'll get there this year.
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
106,219
Tokens
NCAAB

Tuesday, March 3

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
MISSISSIPPI vs. ALABAMA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi's last 6 games on the road
Mississippi is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Alabama is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games at home
Alabama is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 3, 7:00 PM
RHODE ISLAND vs. DAYTON
Rhode Island is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dayton
Rhode Island is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Dayton
Dayton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Rhode Island
Dayton is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Rhode Island

See more trends!
MARCH 3, 7:00 PM
GEORGETOWN vs. BUTLER
Georgetown is 8-14-1 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
Georgetown is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Butler is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Georgetown
Butler is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

See more trends!
MARCH 3, 7:00 PM
KENT STATE vs. BOWLING GREEN
Kent State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Bowling Green
Kent State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Bowling Green
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Bowling Green's last 12 games when playing Kent State
Bowling Green is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Kent State

See more trends!
MARCH 3, 7:00 PM
IOWA vs. INDIANA
Iowa is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Iowa is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games at home
Indiana is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 3, 7:00 PM
NORTH CAROLINA vs. GEORGIA TECH
The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Carolina's last 7 games on the road
North Carolina is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Georgia Tech is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia Tech's last 7 games

See more trends!
MARCH 3, 7:00 PM
TOLEDO vs. CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Toledo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Toledo is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Central Michigan
Central Michigan is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Central Michigan's last 11 games

See more trends!
MARCH 3, 7:00 PM
OHIO vs. BUFFALO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ohio's last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Ohio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Buffalo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ohio
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing at home against Ohio

See more trends!
MARCH 3, 7:00 PM
EASTERN MICHIGAN vs. BALL STATE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Eastern Michigan's last 6 games on the road
Eastern Michigan is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Ball State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Eastern Michigan
Ball State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Eastern Michigan

See more trends!
MARCH 3, 7:00 PM
YOUNGSTOWN STATE vs. DETROIT
Youngstown State is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Youngstown State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 9 games

See more trends!
MARCH 3, 7:00 PM
AKRON vs. MIAMI (OHIO)
Akron is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Akron's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami (Ohio)'s last 5 games when playing Akron
Miami (Ohio) is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing Akron

See more trends!
MARCH 3, 7:00 PM
MARYLAND vs. RUTGERS
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Maryland's last 15 games on the road
Maryland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Rutgers is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Rutgers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

See more trends!
MARCH 3, 8:00 PM
WESTERN MICHIGAN vs. NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Western Michigan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Michigan's last 6 games on the road
Northern Illinois is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games at home
Northern Illinois is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games

See more trends!
MARCH 3, 8:00 PM
WRIGHT STATE vs. ILLINOIS-CHICAGO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wright State's last 7 games on the road
Wright State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Illinois-Chicago is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Illinois-Chicago's last 5 games

See more trends!
MARCH 3, 8:00 PM
NEBRASKA OMAHA vs. NORTH DAKOTA
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Dakota's last 5 games
North Dakota is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games

See more trends!
MARCH 3, 9:00 PM
MICHIGAN vs. NORTHWESTERN
Michigan is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan's last 6 games on the road
Northwestern is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Michigan
Northwestern is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games when playing at home against Michigan

See more trends!
MARCH 3, 9:00 PM
WEST VIRGINIA vs. KANSAS
West Virginia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of West Virginia's last 6 games on the road
Kansas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Kansas is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games

See more trends!
MARCH 3, 9:00 PM
KENTUCKY vs. GEORGIA
Kentucky is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Georgia
Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Georgia is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Kentucky
Georgia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Kentucky

See more trends!
MARCH 3, 9:00 PM
NORTH CAROLINA STATE vs. CLEMSON
North Carolina State is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Carolina State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Clemson's last 8 games at home
Clemson is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 3, 9:00 PM
AUBURN vs. MISSOURI
Auburn is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Missouri is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games
Missouri is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games

See more trends!
MARCH 3, 9:00 PM
NORTH DAKOTA vs. NORTHERN COLORADO
North Dakota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Dakota's last 5 games on the road
Northern Colorado is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing North Dakota
Northern Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

See more trends!
MARCH 3, 9:00 PM
TEXAS A&M vs. FLORIDA
Texas A&M is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games on the road
Texas A&M is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Florida is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida's last 9 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 3, 9:15 PM
VILLANOVA vs. CREIGHTON
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Villanova's last 24 games on the road
Villanova is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Creighton is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Creighton is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
106,219
Tokens
NCAAB

Tuesday, March 3


Top 25 roundup: Texas upsets Baylor in OT

AUSTIN, Texas -- Coming down the stretch of the regular season, Baylor and Texas were headed in opposite directions in the Big 12 standings.

For a night at least, Texas reversed the trend as the Longhorns overcame the 14th-ranked Bears 61-59 in overtime Monday at the Frank Erwin Center.

Texas guard Isaiah Taylor hit a floater in the lane with four seconds left in overtime, and forward Myles Turner blocked Baylor guard Kenny Chery's attempt to answer at the other end as time expired.

Texas (18-12, 7-10 Big 12) snapped a four-game losing streak. Baylor (22-8, 10-7) saw its four-game winning streak end.

Guard Demarcus Holland led Texas with 12 points. Guard Kendal Yancy added 11, and guard Javan Felix scored 10. Baylor forward Taurean Prince scored a game-high 17 points. Bears forward Rico Gathers contributed 12 points and a game-high 11 rebounds.

Virginia 59, Syracuse 47

SYRACUSE, N.Y. -- The second-ranked Cavaliers overcame a sluggish start to clinch their second consecutive Atlantic Coast Conference regular-season championship.

In winning their ninth consecutive game, the Cavaliers improved to 16-1 in the ACC and 28-1 overall, the best start in school history. It is likely Virginia will get a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament and could return to the Carrier Dome for the East Regional on March 27 and 29 in Syracuse.

Junior forward Anthony Gill led the Cavaliers with 17 points on 8-for-11 shooting and also grabbed a team-high nine rebounds. Virginia sophomore guard London Perrantes scored 10 points and had 10 assists with just one turnover. Guard Trevor Cooney led the Orange (18-12, 9-8) with 14 points.

Iowa State 77, Oklahoma 70

AMES, Iowa -- The 17th-ranked Cyclones were down by 20 points to the 15th-ranked Sooner before a technical foul fueled a huge run and helped boost Iowa State to a win.

About five minutes into the second half, Oklahoma forward Ryan Spangler blocked a shot of Iowa State forward Georges Niang out of bounds. However, Oklahoma guard Isaiah Cousins was called for a technical foul for abusive language on the play, and the Cyclones got back into the game.

Niang hit both free throws, then scored with a quick three-point play, and the Iowa State run was on. By the time the Sooners scored again, they trailed. Iowa State ripped off 22 consecutive points.

Niang led the Cyclones (21-8, 11-6 Big 12) with 23 points. Guard Buddy Hield led the Sooners (20-9, 11-6) with 26 points.




March Madness is NOW! Betting this week's NCAAB conference tournaments

For those that think March Madness doesn’t begin until the selection committee has their say on that tense Sunday in mid-March, we say “WRONG”.

The official and oft-forgotten kickoff to the NCAA postseason begins this week when 13 mid-major conferences open their respective conference tournaments. Starting Tuesday, these leagues will fill out the first outright selections of the national tournament and, along the way, likely burst the bubble of a few major conference programs on the NCAA fringe.

Chances are you haven’t paid attention to these little leagues during the course of the season, since many of their games go without odds. Hell, you may not know some of them even existed. So we’re giving you a head start when it comes to capping these conference tournaments, pointing out the favorites, value underdog bets and live long shots to win.

America East (March 4, 8, 14)

Favorite: Albany Great Danes (21-8, 15-1) – With the America East a campus-sites tournament – no host school – Albany has home court to the finals. The Great Danes give up just 59 points per game at home – ninth lowest in the country.

Underdog: Stony Brook Seawolves (21-10, 12-4) – The lone conference blemish on Albany’s resume comes courtesy of the Seawolves, who ride a six-game winning streak into the postseason. Momentum is worth its weight in gold come March.

Long Shot: New Hampshire Wildcats (18-11, 11-5) – The Wildcats lost twice to Albany by a combined three points and have a win over Stony Brook. New Hampshire can knock down the 3-pointer and defend against it – two very key stats for playoff basketball.

Atlantic Sun (March 3-8)

Favorite: North Florida Ospreys -130 (20-11, 12-2) – North Florida gets home-court throughout this tournament, and can pile on the points in a hurry – averaging 83 points per home game (fifth in the country). It won both meetings with Florida Gulf Coast, who many pick to win this tournament.

Underdog: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles +270 (21-9, 11-3) – The Eagles stumbled at the end of the year with two straight losses. Florida Gulf Coast is known more for its defense (39.1 FG% def) then the high-flying offense it wowed the nation with two years ago.

Long shot: South Carolina Upstate Spartans +370 (21-10, 8-6) – North Florida’s two conference losses came to the Spartans, who also played FGCU tough. South Carolina Upstate has a plus-5.4 scoring margin and the conference’s top scorer Ty Greene, who dropped 39 on North Florida and 31 on FGCU.

Big South (March 3-8)

Favorite: Charleston Southern Buccaneers (19-10, 13-5) – The Buccaneers locked up the No. 1 seed with a thrilling triple-overtime win against High Point Saturday. Charleston Southern can fill it up at home (averaging 80 points) and lives by the 3-pointer, and dies by the 3-pointer (27.4 3-pt attempts – second most).

Underdog: Radford Highlanders (21-10, 12-6) – Radford grabbed the No. 4 seed with a win in its season finale. The Highlanders have two wins over High Point and a road win at Charleston and boast a deep rotation with seven players averaging 5.9 points or more.

Long shot: Gardner-Webb Runnin’ Bulldogs (18-13, 10-8) – The Bulldogs managed to win 18 games despite being ranked among the worst defensive programs in the country (74.2 points against). Gardner-Webb has been able to overwhelm the top teams in the conference with its explosive offense (75.1 points per game).

Colonial Athletic Association (March 6-9)

Favorite: James Madison Dukes +1,000 (19-12, 12-6) – Even though the Dukes are ranked No. 4 in the conference tournament, they take six wins in their last seven games (5-2 ATS) into the postseason. That momentum separates them from a deadlocked pack at the top of the conference. William & Mary are +200 faves to win the Colonial at the Superbook in Las Vegas but dropped three of its last five games of the season. The CAA is much more wide open than the odds would indicate.

Underdog: NC Wilmington Seahawks +600 (17-12, 12-6) – The Seahawks crapped the bed in the season finale, losing to Elon but has knocked off Northeastern and James Madison in recent weeks and sits No. 2 in the tournament seeding, and will play a banged-up Drexel team (missing CAA leading scorer Damion Lee) or a 8-23 College of Charleston squad.

Long shot: Elon Phoenix +1,200 (14-17, 6-12) – Elon came on late in the season with three straight wins to finish up, beating Northeastern and UNCW in that span. The Phoenix also beat No. 1-seed William & Mary earlier this year, who they will likely face in Round 2 of the CAA tournament.

Horizon League (March 3-10)

Favorite: Valparaiso Crusaders EVEN (26-5, 13-3) – Since Valpo won the league, it gets to host the tournament - a sweet deal for a team that went 13-1 at home. The Crusaders don’t budge much on defense and don’t give away second looks at the basket either, allowing just 7.5 offensive rebounds per game.

Underdog: Green Bay Phoenix +150 (23-7, 12-4) – Seeded No. 2, Green Bay avoided a potential meeting with Cleveland State in the semifinals (lost both games to the Vikings). The Phoenix won the regular season title last year but were upset in the opener. They’ll be cautious of a letdown this time around.

Long shot: Detroit Titans +350 (14-17, 7-9) – Detroit is sitting No. 5 in the tournament and no one ahead of them wants them to advance. The Titans have victories over Valparaiso, Cleveland State, and Oakland and was competitive in February with a 5-2 ATS record. Detroit is a dangerous 3-point threat at 39.1 percent in league games.

Metro Atlantic Athletic (March 5-9)

Favorite: Iona Gaels +120 (24-7, 17-3) – The Gaels can light up the scoreboard with an offense that posts 79.6 points per game – seventh in the country. Iona did, however, lay an egg in the season finale to St. Peter’s, marking the fourth straight game the Gaels have failed to cover.

Underdog: Rider Broncs +500 (21-10, 15-5) – Rider was one of the best bets during the regular season, going 17-9 ATS in its 16 lined games. The Broncs had a strong true road record at 11-4 and played some heavyweights in Kansas and Michigan State early in the year.

Long shot: Niagara Purple Eagles +300 (8-21, 7-13) – The Purple Eagles picked up half their wins in the final four games of the season, including a win over Rider, holding opponents to about 40 percent shooting. Niagara also played Iona to a one-point game, losing 80-79 at home. Momentum breeds upsets.

Missouri Valley Conference (March 5-8)

Favorite: Wichita State Shockers -300 (27-3, 17-1) – Wichita State is going dancing regardless of their tournament turnout. Wichita State proved it was top dog in the MVC with a convincing win over Northern Iowa and has covered in five straight heading into the postseason.

Underdog: Northern Iowa Panthers +250 (27-3, 16-2) – While UNI’s record is very close to WSU, Saturday’s 14-point defeat to the Shockers showed how much space is really between these programs. The Panthers give up just 54.6 points per game – fourth lowest in the country – and seemingly have an easier side of the bracket.

Long shot: Illinois State Redbirds +800 (15-15, 11-7) – With ranked rivals above them in the standings, Illinois State is giving great value in the MVC tournament. The Redbirds bring a four-game winning streak into the postseason and covered in both losses to Wichita State.

Northeast Conference (March 5,8,11)

Favorite: St. Francis (NY) Terriers (21-10, 15-3) – The Terriers limp into the postseason off a loss and a slim overtime victory in their final two games of the schedule. St. Francis has home court throughout the tournament, losing just one conference game in front of its fans.

Underdog: Robert Morris Colonials (16-14, 12-6) – Robert Morris takes a three-game roll into the tournament and was the lone Northeast team to come out of Peter Aquilone Court in Brooklyn with a victory. Rodney Pryor is playing the best basketball in the conference averaging 25.5 points in the last four games.

Long shot: Sacred Heart Pioneers (15-16, 9-9) – Sacred Heart closed the campaign with back-to-back wins and went 6-2 in its last eight games of the schedule. The Pioneers love to push the tempo, averaging 73.4 points on 72.3 possessions per game – running the 20th fastest tempo in college hoops.

Ohio Valley Conference (March 4-7)

Favorite: Murray State Racers -125 (26-4, 16-0) – The Racers were perfect in conference play but all that could be for nothing if Murray State can’t get the job done in the postseason. The Racers can put up the points - 78.8 per game – but do have flaws on defense and at the charity stripe.

Underdog: Belmont Bruins +260 (19-10, 11-5) – The Bruins earned the No. 3 seed in the tournament thanks to a late-season push that won four straight, including a victory over Eastern Kentucky. Belmont can also fill the stats sheet but hasn’t been its best away from home.

Long shot: Morehead State Eagles +260 (15-16, 10-6) – Morehead State also brings momentum into the postseason with three wins in a row. Those victories did come against the bottom half of the OVC East, but the Eagles have a swarming defense that turns mistakes into easy offense – forcing a league-high 14.9 turnovers per game.

Patriot League (March 3,5,8,11)

Favorite: Colgate Raiders +270 (15-16, 12-6) – Colgate finished as the No. 2 seed but has five wins in its last seven games, and those two losses have come by a combined three points. The Raiders also won both meetings with No. 1 Bucknell (+165) this season. This team can bring the rain from downtown, averaging 7.8 3-pointers per game on 40.2 percent shooting – ninth best in the country.

Underdog: Lehigh Mountain Hawks +425 (16-13, 10-8) – Lehigh takes on American U in Round 2, a team it beat in its last meeting, then would likely face Colgate in the semifinal. The Mountain Hawks have given the Raiders a tough go in their two clashes, and have a convincing win over No. 1 Bucknell. It could happen for the No. 3 seed.

Long shot: Lafayette Leopards +500 (17-12, 9-9) – The Leopards are dead eyes from downtown, shooting 40.3 percent from distance and knocking down almost eight 3-pointers per game. Lafayette ranks 26th in scoring at 75 points per game and took down Bucknell, Colgate and Lehigh this season.

Southern Conference (March 6-9)

Favorite: Wofford Terriers -125 (25-6, 16-2) – Wofford runs a very methodical offense, sucking almost every second off the shot clock. That’s helped the Terriers limit opponents to just 59.9 points per game. They bring a five-game winning streak into the postseason, going 4-1 ATS in that span.

Underdog: Chattanooga Mocs +300 (22-9, 15-3) – The Mocs run at a much quicker tempo than their Southern rivals, scoring 72.8 points per game. They won their last meeting at home versus Wofford and boast four players averaging double figures.

Long shot: Samford Bulldogs +1,500 (13-18, 6-12) – Samford has a tough slate of schedule to finish the season, playing five of its final seven games on the road. The Bulldogs went 3-4 in that span with a 5-2 ATS mark. Samford has a freshman star in Christen Cunningham, who is playing his best ball of the season.

Summit League (March 7-10)

Favorite: South Dakota State -110 /North Dakota State +500 (21-9, 12-4/20-9, 12-4) – Nearly identical records from these rivals. Since they’re seeding No. 1 and No. 2, there’s a very good chance we see them in the final. Both closed the regular season with a loss. They split the season series but No. 1 SDSU has the softer side of the bracket this March.

Underdog: Oral Roberts Golden Eagles +500 (17-13, 10-6) – Oral Roberts took a win over NDSU last week and closed with a victory over Denver. The Golden Eagles are without standout guard Korey Billbury, who was suspended at the end of the year. And while they’ve done OK without him in those two games, they will miss him in the backcourt when the postseason pressure builds.

Long shot: IUPU - Ft. Wayne Mastodons +500 (16-13, 9-7) – The Mastodons have resume wins over North and South Dakota State and come into the postseason on an 8-2 run, going 9-1 ATs in that stretch. IPFW can win with offense or lock teams down on defense.

West Coast Conference (March 5-10)

Favorite: Gonzaga Bulldogs -300 (29-2, 17-1) – The Bulldogs are coming off a loss to BYU in the season finale, which probably cost them a shot at a No. 1 seed in the NCAA tournament. Gonzaga gets it done on both ends of the floor and that loss to the Cougars is likely a wake-up call for Mark Few’s squad.

Underdog: BYU Cougars +300 (23-8, 13-5) – The Cougars may have just punched their ticket to the Big Dance with that win over Gonzaga, and run the risk of a letdown in their opener. Brigham Young is the top scoring team in the country but doesn’t play much in the way of defense.

Long shot: Pepperdine Waves +1,000 (17-12, 10-8) – Behind the Zags, St, Mary’s and BYU, Pepperdine is playing in the shadows of those WCC heavyweights. The Waves won both games with the Cougars, knocked off the Gaels and gave the Bulldogs fits. They’ve held their last four opponents to an average of just 54 points.
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
106,219
Tokens
NCAAB
Dunkel

Georgetown at Butler
The Hoyas head to Butler tonight following an 81-70 loss at St. John's on Saturday and come into the contest with a 5-2 ATS record in their last 7 games following a SU defeat. Georgetown is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Hoyas favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (+3). Here are all of today's NCAA Basketball picks.

TUESDAY, MARCH 3

Game 513-514: Maryland at Rutgers (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 67.080; Rutgers 55.234
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 12
Vegas Line: Maryland by 9
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (-9)

Game 515-516: North Carolina at Georgia Tech (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 70.080; Georgia Tech 61.177
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 9
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-5 1/2)

Game 517-518: Rhode Island at Dayton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rhode Island 64.066; Dayton 63.157
Dunkel Line: Rhode Island by 1
Vegas Line: Dayton by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rhode Island (+3 1/2)

Game 519-520: Georgetown at Butler (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgetown 69.836; Butler 69.076
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 1
Vegas Line: Butler by 3
Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (+3)

Game 521-522: Iowa at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 69.959; Indiana 68.481
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Indiana by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (+2 1/2)

Game 523-524: Eastern Michigan at Ball State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 51.534; Ball State 52.346
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 1
Vegas Line: Eastern Michigan by 2
Dunkel Pick:Ball State (+2)

Game 525-526: Ohio at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 46.997; Buffalo 65.184
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-14 1/2)

Game 527-528: Akron at Miami (OH) (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 56,544; Miami (OH) 52.122
Dunkel Line: Akron by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Akron by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Akron (-2 1/2)

Game 529-530: Toledo at Central Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 60.620; Central Michigan 59.215
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 3
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (+3)

Game 531-532: Kent State at Bowling Green (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 56.428; Bowling Green 58.335
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 2
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 4
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (+2)

Game 533-534; Mississippi at Alabama (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 63.927; Alabama 68.586
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Alabama by 2
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-2)

Game 535-536: Western Michigan at Northern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 54.735; Northern Illinois 61.501
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 7
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (-2 1/2)

Game 537-538: Michigan at Northwestern (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 62.238; Northwestern 60.767
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 3
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (+3)

Game 539-540: Auburn at Missouri (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 59.015 Missouri 57.220
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 2
Vegas Line: Missouri by 5
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+5)

Game 541-542: Kentucky at Georgia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 81.305; Georgia 66.767
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 10
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-10)

Game 543-544: West Virginia at Kansas (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 66.089; Kansas 77.523
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-9 1/2)

Game 545-546: NC State at Clemson (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 66.123; Clemson 69.107
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 3
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Clemson

Game 547-548: Texas A&M at Florida (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 67.780; Florida 64.832
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 3
Vegas Line: Florida by 4
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+4)

Game 549-550: Villanova at Creighton (9:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 76.043; Creighton 63.387
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Villanova by 10
Dunkel Pick: Villanova (-10)

Game 551-552: Youngstown State at Detroit (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 45.377; Detroit 56.199
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 11
Vegas Line: Detroit by 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-9)

Game 553-554: Wright State at Illinois-Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wright State 45.717; Illinois-Chicago 52.958
Dunkel Line: Illinois Chicago by 7
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago

Game 555-556: NE-Omaha at North Dakota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NE-Omaha 50.423; North Dakota 45.425
Dunkel Line: NE-Omaha by 5
Vegas Line: NE-Omaha by 1
Dunkel Pick: NE-Omaha (-1)

Game 571-572: Lipscomb at Northern Kentucky (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Lipscomb 45.116; Northern Kentucky 50.809
Dunkel Line: Northern Kentucky by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Northern Kentucky by 7
Dunkel Pick: Lipscomb (+7)

Game 573-574: Kennesaw State at USC Upstate (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kennesaw State 341.655; USC Upstate 51.948
Dunkel Line: USC Upstate by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: USC Upstate by 15
Dunkel Pick: Kennesaw State (+15)

Game 575-576: Jacksonville at Florida Gulf Coast (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 45.781; Florida Gulf Coast 53.702
Dunkel Line: Florida Gulf Coast by 8
Vegas Line: Florida Gulf Coast by 14
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+14)

Game 577-578: Stetson at North Florida (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stetson 40.457; North Florida 56.699
Dunkel Line: North Florida by 16
Vegas Line: North Florida by 18
Dunkel Pick: Stetson (+18)

Game 579-580: Loyola-MD at Holy Cross (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-MD 45.355; Holy Cross 52.760
Dunkel Line: Holy Cross by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Holy Cross by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Holy Cross (-5 1/2)

Game 581-582: Army at Navy (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Army 44.078; Navy 52.601
Dunkel Line: Navy by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Navy by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Navy (-2 1/2)
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
106,219
Tokens
Mid-Major Tournaments


March 3, 2015




After recently providing a look-ahead to the postseason extravaganzas conducted by the major conferences two weeks ago, we provide a quick preview for the conference tournaments of the lower-echelon Division I leagues in this edition.


The rather recent introduction of two events (the CollegeInsider.com Tourney, or CIT, and the College Basketball Invitational, or CBI) has provided more postseason slots and thus more opportunities for entries from the low-major leagues to have teams participate in tourneys other than the NCAA and NIT. Several of these loops are now sending multiple entries to the postseason, so it behooves handicappers to begin paying attention to these sides before they enter either the Big Dance, NIT, CBI, or CIT.


Many Las Vegas sports books, which routinely post numbers on several "added" conferences (Big Sky, Metro-Atlantic, Ohio Valley, Summit, SoCon), will be including prices on almost all of these minor conference tournaments as well. Note that many of the upcoming conference tournaments will also be televised (the introduction of ESPN-3, which streams on computers, has added countless more college hoops viewing opportunities and will be providing added coverage for many of the lower-rung D-I conference tourneys).


We've listed below, by conference alphabetical order, upcoming tournament specifics for those lower-profile Division I leagues. Also included are any teams that enjoy home-court tourney edges; the top contenders in each loop, noted by italics, with any clear-cut favorite or co-favorite accompanied by an *; and last season's conference results in the NCAA, NIT, CBI, and CIT. Before Selection Sunday, we'll also review how these leagues have fared in recent Big Dance action.


March Madness...it's here!


AMERICA EAST...Top 8 teams qualify. Quarterfinals, semis, and final March 6, 8, 14 at home of highest seed for each matchup. Albany enters as the top seed. UMass-Lowell remains in its transition period from Div. II and is ineligible for the conference tournament.


Top contenders - Albany*, Stony Brook, Vermont, New Hampshire.


Notes...Defending tourney champ Albany turned on the jets once conference play commenced and proceeded to run away with the regular-season crown, earning home-court edge for as long as it stays alive in this event. Coach Will Brown's Great Danes have the ability to balance the floor because of the interior scoring threat provided by 6-6 PF Sam Rowley (14.3 ppg & 53% from floor; one of two returning starters from last season), which prevents foes from ganging up on Gs Peter Hooley (13.7 ppg) and 6-2 juco sparkplug Evan Singletary (12.7 ppg). Albany also didn't allow an A-E foe to crack the 70-point barrier until Vermont did it in the final regular-season game.


Stony Brook was the only league rep to beat the Great Danes (and did so on the road) and was good enough to win at Washington in pre-league play when the Huskies were still undefeated and ranked just outside of the national top ten. Beastly 6-8, 260-lb. jr. C Jameel Warney ranks among the nation's rebound leaders (5th at 11.5 pg) and recently exploded for a 32-point, 18-rebound stat line against Hartford. Warney's presence has helped the Seawolves to the nation's No. 4 ranking in rebound margin (+8.8 rpg). Puncher's chances go to Vermont, whose airtight defense allows only 57.6 ppg (ranking 13th nationally), and New Hampshire, which played Albany to the wire in both regular-season meetings, losing by 1 and 2 points, respectively.


Last year...NCAA - Albany lost vs. Florida, 67-55. NIT - Vermont lost at Georgia, 63-56. CBI - Stony Brook lost to Siena, 66-55.


ATLANTIC SUN...Tourney March 3-8 at homecourts of higher seeds. Florida Gulf Coast is the top seed.


Top contenders - North Florida, Florida Gulf Coast, South Carolina-Upstate.


Notes...By virtue of last week's 76-62 win over FGCU in Jacksonville, North Florida has earned home-court edge in the A-Sun Tourney. The Ospreys were flying down the stretch, winning five straight to close the regular-season and catch Gulf Coast, relying on a balanced lineup featuring four DD scorers, led by soph G Dallas Moore (15.4 ppg). UNF can be very hard to beat when its triples are falling, as the Ospreys hovered near 40% beyond the arc all season and rank 20th nationally in three-point accuracy (39.6%). Everyone in the lineup can step back and hit 3s. FGCU still has some of the remnants of Andy Enfield's "Dunk City" team that made a longshot run to the Sweet 16 two years ago and made it to the NIT last season for HC Joey Dooley. Senior Gs Bernard Thompson (13.6 ppg) and Brett Comer (12.4 ppg) both played key roles in the unexpected run for Enfield two years ago.


USC-Upstate should at least return to another minor postseason event after winning 21 games this season following advancement to the CIT last March. Note that the Spartans beat North Florida in both regular-season meetings, won at Georgia Tech in pre-league play, and possess the Sun's top scorer in sr. G Ty Greene (20.1 ppg).


Last year...NCAA - Mercer won vs. Duke, 78-71; lost vs. Tennessee, 83-63. NIT - FGCU lost at Florida State, 58-53. CIT - East Tennessee State won vs. Chattanooga, 79-66; lost vs. Towson, 63-60; USC-Upsate lost vs. Towson, 63-60.


BIG SKY...Tourney March 12-14 at home of regular-season champion, unless that happens to be Sacramento State, which will not be able to host at its home Hornet's Nest Gym (capacity 1200) because of size limitations. If Sac State wins the Sky, the tourney could be held at any of three other locations, including the Reno Events Center, San Joaquin Delta College, or McClellan Park Gym. Top eight teams qualify.


Top contenders - Sac State, Eastern Washington, Montana, Northern Arizona.


Notes...The Sky's regular-season race remains up for grabs into the final games this weekend. Note that Sky notched a couple of eye-opening non-league wins before New Year's when Eastern Washington won at Indiana and Northern Arizona won at Saint Mary's. For most of the season, regional observers have regarded EWU as the team to beat, with G Tyler Harvey (22.8 ppg) leading the nation in scoring and PF Venky Jois (16.8 ppg) providing the interior scoring threat for the Eagles, who shoot almost 48% from the floor. But seasoned Sac State, with four seniors and a junior in a starting lineup that returned all five starters from a year ago for HC Brian Katz, has stayed near the top of the table all season. The Hornets have a crackling backcourt led by Gs Mikh McKinney (19 ppg), Dylan Garrity (13.6 ppg), and defensive stopper Cody Demps, shoots even better from the floor (48.4%; ranks 13th) than EWU, and also hits 40.5% beyond the arc (ranks 6th).


Montana has been a pleasant surprise for first-year HC and alum Travis DeCuire, who returned only one regular starter, G Jordan Gregory, now scoring a Grizzlies-best 17.2 ppg, but has also been able to benefit from former Washington and juco transfer PF Martin Breuning, a German import who has emerged as an interior force (16.9 ppg). The darkhorse to watch is Jack Murphy's NAU, which has been able to win on the road this season and can play a variety of different styles, but would prefer to run with a pair of former jucos, slashing wing Quinton Upshur (14.6 ppg) and go-go G Aaseem Dixon (12.6 ppg), while 6-4 soph G Kris Yanku has emerged as a difficult matchup and has been on a scoring tear (20.8 ppg last five) in recent weeks. Perennial contender Weber State still has to qualify for the event, and appears unlikely to make a late run with top scorer G Jeremy Senglin (15.4 ppg) currently out with a jaw injury.


Last year...NCAA - Weber State lost vs. Arizona, 68-59. CIT - North Dakota lost at UN-Omaha, 91-75; Northern Colorado lost vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi, 82-71; Portland State lost at San Diego, 87-65.


BIG SOUTH...Tourney March 4-8 at HTC Center, Conway, SC (home court of Coastal Carolina Chanticleers). The top five finishers receive byes into the quarterfinals; seeds 6 thru 11 compete in a play-in round.


Top contenders - High Point, Coastal Carolina, Charleston Southern, Radford, Winthrop, Gardner-Webb, UNC-Asheville.


Notes...Absolutely wide-open event with the top seven teams separated by just three games in the league standings, which is similar to the logjam a season ago when Cliff Ellis' Chants of Coastal Carolina took advantage of the Myrtle Beach locale to win this event before giving No. 1 regional seed Virginia a mighty scare in the Big Dance sub-regionals. Ellis is back with a similar-looking team with four starters from a year ago, featuring a well-balanced, guard-heavy offense with four DD scorers led by sr. G Josh Cameron (13.2 ppg). The "wow" factor in the loop belongs to Scott Cherry's High Point and its highlight-reel 6-8 F John Brown (18.6 ppg), an ACC-caliber recruit whose windmill dunks have been featured on ESPN Sports Center and who has NBA scouts flocking to the Point. Cherry is also on the coaching radar of several higher-profile suitors likely to come calling after the season (many believe he ends up at George Mason, where he once coached under Jim Larranaga). But the Panthers have lost twice to Coastal Carolina, blowing a big lead at this venue on Feb. 6.


Charleston Southern also just dumped the Point in 3 OTs last Saturday to tie for the reg.-season title, and is regarded as a co-favorite with electrifying league high scorer Saah Nimley (21.5 ppg), a 5'8 bundle of energy who has scored 30 ppg over his last four outings. Gardner-Webb, with high-scoring F Jerome Hill (19.1 ppg), and UNC-Asheville, with explosive G Andrew Rowsey (18.9 ppg; lit up High Point for 39 last week), cannot be dismissed, while Winthrop boasts of one of the nation's top three-point threats in G Keon Moore (3.24 triples pg ranks 6th nationally).


Last year...NCAA - Coastal Carolina lost vs. Virginia, 70-59. NIT-High Point lost at Minnesota, 88-81. CBI - Radford won at Oregon State, 96-92; lost at Old Dominion, 82-59. CIT - VMI won at Canisius, 111-100; won vs. IPFW, 106-95; won at Ohio, 92-90; lost vs. Yale, 92-75.


METRO ATLANTIC...Tourney March 5-9 at Trans Union Center, Albany, NY. The top five seeds get byes in the first round; games will pit 6 vs. 11, 7 vs. 10, and 8 vs. 9, with winners advancing to quarterfinal round.


Top contenders - Iona, Rider, Manhattan, Monmouth.


Notes...Iona enters Albany as the top seed, but the Gaels have not been stretching many margins against MAAC foes, with most league wins by single-digit margins and with no spread covers in their last four. They're also off a loss at St. Peter's in Sunday's regular-season finale. But HC Tim Cluess has navigated through this event several times before, and Iona is once again among the nation's highest scoring teams (79.6 ppg ranks 7th). Four DD scorers include F David Laury (20.1 ppg), G A.J. English (19.5 ppg), and frosh firecracker G Schadrac Casimir (15.2 ppg and 43.8% beyond the arc), who pace the league's most-explosive outfit. Rider might be the hottest Metro-Atlantic entry, with wins in 7 of its last 8 games, and the Broncs have kept winning in recent weeks despite the absence of 6-11 C Matt Lopez, a Utah State transfer and leading scorer at 12.3 ppg...but apparently not yet missed.


Most regional observers believe the Manhattan Jaspers and entertaining HC Steve "Mini Vince Vaughn" Masiello have a shot at replicating last year's tourney upset if top scorer F Emmy Andujar (16.5 ppg) continues to get scoring help from G Ashton Pankey, hitting 56% from the floor over the past five games. King Rice's Monmouth played Iona very tough, winning once and losing by a point on the other occasion, and presents an interesting backcourt contrast with mini 5'8 G Justin Washington (13.4 ppg) and big 6-6 G Deon Jones (17.5 ppg last six). If a longshot is to emerge in Albany, most regional sources are warning about HC John Dunne's defense-tough St. Peter's, off of that Sunday upset over the Gaels.


Last year...NCAA - Manhattan lost vs. Louisville, 71-64. NIT - Iona lost at La Tech, 89-88. CIT - Canisius lost vs. VMI, 111-100; Quinnipiac lost at Yale, 69-68. CBI - Siena (champs) won vs. Stony Brook, 66-55; won vs. Penn State, 54-52; won vs. Illinois State, 61-49; won at Fresno State, 61-57; lost vs. Fresno State, 89-75; won vs. Fresno State, 81-68.


MEAC...Tourney March 9-14 at The Scope, Norfolk, VA (not the home court of Norfolk State, which plays its games at Echols Hall); First round pits seeds 5 vs. 12, 6 vs. 11, 7 vs. 10, and 8 vs. 9; winners advance to quarterfinals, and so forth. Florida A&M is ineligible due to APR penalties.


Top contenders - NC Central*, Norfolk State, Maryland-Eastern Shore.


Notes... Like last year when winning this event and advancing to the Big Dance, Levelle Moton's NC Central is the clear favorite entering Norfolk next week, as the Eagles have lost just one league game over the past two seasons (and none yet in the 2014-15 campaign). Only two starters are back from last year's NCAA team, but NCC has been able to benefit from former reserve 6-7 F Jordan Parks, scoring 14.3 ppg and shooting 63.4% from the floor, plus transfer Gs Anthony McDonald (via Mississippi Valley State; 12.9 ppg) and well-traveled all-name Nimrod Hilliard (via South Dakota and Lamar; 11.0 ppg), plus Florida Gulf Coast transfer Dante Holmes (10.6 pgp). The Eagles shoot better than 49% from the floor and are clear favorites in Norfolk. If any team is to challenge, perhaps it will be hometown Norfolk State, with a potent scoring combo of 6-4 G Jeffrey Short (19.3 ppg) & rugged 6-9 PF RaShid Gaston (15.3 ppg & 9.65 rpg), and within four of NCC on Jan. 17. UMES also might be worth watching with its dynamic duo of 6-8 juco F Mike "SNL" Myers (16.2 ppg) and 6-4 combo G Devin Martin (14.2 ppg).


Last year...NCAA - North Carolina Central lost vs. Iowa State, 93-75. CBI - Hampton lost at Penn State, 69-65. CIT - Norfolk State lost at Eastern Michigan, 58-54.


NORTHEAST...Quarterfinals March 4, semis March 7, final March 10, all at home of highest seed.


Top contenders - St. Francis (NY), Robert Morris, Bryant, Mount Saint Mary's.


Notes...The Big Apple might have another NCAA Tourney entrant in Brooklyn-based St. Francis, which emerged as the team to beat in the NE Tourney when running away with the regular-season title. All after beginning the season with five straight losses. The Terriers start no one taller than 6'6 but get a lot of mileage from workhorse PF Jalen Cannon (16.5 ppg & 10.2 rpg), though Cannon played only ten minutes in the regular-season finale vs. Bryant, a game SFC lost by 10, ending its 9-game win streak. Barring Cannon's absence, the Terriers still rate as the favorite in this event. But that result gives Bryant and explosive sr. G Dyami Starks (18.5 ppg) some confidence heading into the conference tourney. Of course, we never want to dismiss the home team of the Pittsburgh Airport, Robert Morris, which has been to the postseason numerous times under HC Andy Toole and won at SFC on Jan. 24. The recent return to active duty of all-name sr. F Lucky Jones (14 ppg) is a boost for the Colonials.


Last year...NCAA - Mount Saint Mary's lost play-in game vs. Albany, 71-64. NIT - Robert Morris won at St. John's, 89-78; lost at Belmont, 82-71.


OHIO VALLEY...Tourney March 4-7 at Municipal Auditorium, Nashville, TN (not the home court of Nashville-based Tennessee State, which plays its games at the Gentry Complex, or Nashville-based Belmont, which plays its games at the Mike Curb Events Center).


Top contenders - Murray State*, UT-Martin, Eastern Kentucky, Belmont, Morehead State.


Notes...Steve Prohm's Murray State enters this week's tourney with the longest non-Kentucky win streak in the country (24 games), the last 16 of those vs. OVC foes. Postseason-savvy after last year's run to the CIT title, and with four starters back from that team, the Racers have the most efficient and effective attack in the Valley, led by soph G Cameron Payne (20.2 ppg) and an offense that scores 78.8 ppg (ranks 13th), hits 48.3% from the floor (ranks 16th), and 39% beyond the arc. But keep in mind that the Racers enter the postseason having covered just 3 of their last 10 vs. the line. On their best night, the UT-Martin Skyhawks, coached by former Wyoming HC Heath Schroyer, have proven they can be a handful. (Note the UNLV connection at Martin, where Skyhawk AD Julio Friere was asst. AD, and from where he brought Schroyer from the Dave Rice staff, and from where Schroyer brought transfer G "Coupe" Deville Smith. scoring a UTM-best 14 ppg).


EKU was an upset winner in this event last season and recently got top scorer G Corey Walden (18.6 ppg; scored 35 last Saturday vs. Tennessee Tech) back from injury, while hometown Belmont and HC Rick Byrd, with several previous Big Dance visits, cannot be dismissed, especially with jr. G Craig Bradshaw (17.8 ppg) still in the fold. If looking for a longshot, perhaps take a peek at SE Missouri State, close in most of its losses and with one of the OVC's most-dangerous threats in versatile 6-5 swingman Jarekious Bradley (15.9 ppg; scored 28 in last Saturday's romp past Austin Peay).


Last Year...NCAA - Eastern Kentucky lost vs. Kansas, 80-69. NIT - Belmont won at Green Bay, 80-65; won vs. Robert Morris, 82-71; lost at Clemson, 73-68. CBI - Morehead State lost at Illinois State, 77-67. CIT - Murray State (champs) won at Missouri State, 66-63; won vs. UN-Omaha, 86-62; won vs. Towson, 85-73; won vs. Pacific, 98-75; won vs. Yale, 65-57.


PATRIOT...Tourney March 3, 5, 8, 11 all at home of higher seeds. Top four seeds receive byes in first round.


Top contenders - Bucknell, Colgate, Lehigh.


Notes...Most in the region figured Lafayette or Holy Cross would be the teams to beat in the Patriot this season, but instead it was the alma mater of CBS head honcho Les Moonves, Bucknell, emerging from nowhere to steal the regular-season crown and earn top seed in the conference tourney. Though, upon inspection, competitive losses to Villanova, Penn State, and Wake Forest in pre-league play hinted that the Bison were better than their 5-8 SU non-Patriot record. Bucknell (38.9% triples) can shoot it from deep, though top scorer G Chris Hass (15.4 ppg) has gone stone cold in a handful of recent games. The Bison are not untouchable. Colgate also took its lumps in a bumpy 3-10 non-conference SU ride, but its collection of sharpshooters hits 48.4% from the floor (15th nationally) and almost 40% beyond the arc. Looming ominously is preseason favorite Lafayette, sitting at mid-table at the conclusion of the season but with the most-explosive offense in the league (73.8 ppg and 40.2% beyond the arc), though it's 6-9 Aussie Dan Trist (17.7 ppg and 58% from floor while working solely near the bucket) that differentiates the Leopards from other contenders.


Last Year...NCAA - American lost vs. Wisconsin, 75-35. NIT - Boston U lost vs. Illinois, 66-62. CIT - Holy Cross won at Brown, 68-65; lost vs. Yale, 71-66.


SOUTHERN...Tourney March 6-9 at U.S. Cellular Center, Asheville, NC.


Top contenders - Wofford, Chattanooga, Mercer, ETSU.


Notes...Defending conference tourney champ Wofford no longer had Davidson (off to the A-10) to worry about this season and quickly took charge of the league race. Vet HC Mike Young has taken several Terrier teams to the Dance, and the current version once again spins around savvy sr. G Karl Cochran (15 ppg), with jr. backcourt mate Spencer Collins often providing needed relief (such as Collins' 26-point effort in last week's crucial win at Mercer). Wofford, however, needs to be wary of stretch-running Chattanooga, coached by former Shaka Smart VCU aide Will Wade, who is going to be on many short lists of higher-profile schools looking for a coach in the offseason. The well-balanced Mighty Mocs won at Wofford on Feb. 12 and enter Greenville on a 6-game SU win streak. At 6'5, jr. G Casey Jones is a matchup headache and leads UTC at 14.2 ppg, with three others also averaging double-digit scoring. Mercer is over this season from the A-Sun, from where it qualified for the Dance and beat Duke a year ago, and vet HC Bob Hoffman also took the Bears to the CIT title a few years ago. All new starters this season, but Mercer remains a tough out with its deliberate style and solid defense.


Last year...NCAA - Wofford lost vs. Michigan, 57-40. NIT - Davidson lost at Missouri, 85-77. CIT - Chattanooga lost at East Tennessee (then a member of the Atlantic Sun), 79-66.


SOUTHLAND...Tourney March 11-14 at Merrell Center, Katy, TX. Central Arkansas, Houston Baptist, and Lamar are all ineligible for the postseason due to APR penalties.


Top contenders - Stephen F. Austin*, Sam Houston State, Northwestern State, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi.


Notes...SFA and Sam Houston are once again the top seeds in this event, and the Lumberjacks need no introduction after making some noise in the Big Dance last March when upsetting VCU in the sub-regionals at San Diego. Coach Brad Underwood, a onetime Frank Martin aide, has a deadly-shooting team that hits 49.1% from the floor (7th best nationally) and three starters, including LY's Southland MVP Jacob Parker, still in the fold from the noisemakers of last March. Note that SFA took highly-ranked Northern Iowa into OT at Cedar Falls in November. Sam Houston gets another crack at the Lumberjacks in the regular-season finale on Saturday, and the Bearkats like to do it with defense, allowing only 58.4 ppg (ranks 16th). The team Southland onlookers are keeping an eye on is dangerous Corpus Christi, the only league rep to beat SFA over the past two seasons (the Islanders turned the trick on Feb. 14) and for good measure having dumped Sam Houston last week. AMCC, coached by former Rice HC Willis Wilson, is led by do-everything sr. G John Jordan (15.2 ppg & 5.2 apg).


Last Year...NCAA - Stephen F. Austin won vs. VCU in OT, 77-75; lost vs. UCLA, 77-60. CIT - Sam Houston State won vs. Alabama State, 71-49; lost vs. San Diego. 77-72; Texas A&M-Corpus Christi won at Northern Colorado, 82-71; lost at Pacific, 89-60.


SWAC...Tourney March 10-14 at Toyota Center, Houston, TX. Alabama State is ineligible for the postseason due to APR penalties; Southern U is ineligible for the NCAA Tournament due to failure to supply usable academic data to the NCAA, but will participate in the SWAC Tournament.


Top contenders - Texas Southern, Southern Prairie View, Jackson State.


Notes...The ineligibility of Alabama State has taken a top contender out of the league tourney. Thus, the path is paved for Texas Southern, which will have a hometown edge in the conference tourney that is being played a few miles from campus at the Houston Rockets' fancy Toyota Center. The Tigers opened some eyes in December with upset wins on the road at Michigan State and Kansas State, although this is one team that does not rely on the 3-ball, converting only 29.8% beyond the arc. The recent return of Nebraska transfer G Deverell Biggs (10.1 ppg) has given familiar HC Mike Davis his full complement of players, however, and the deepest roster in the SWAC deserves to be favored in Houston. With a 16-12 overall SU record, and with Alabama State ineligible, the Tigers are going to be the only team with a winning SU record next week at the Toyota Center.


Last year...NCAA - Texas Southern lost play-in game vs. Cal Poly, 81-69. CIT - Alabama State lost at Sam Houston State, 71-49.


SUMMIT...Tourney March 7-10 at the brand new Denny Sanford PREMIER Center, Sioux Falls, SD (not the home court of nearby, Brookings-based South Dakota State, which plays its home games at Frost Arena, or nearby, Vermillion-based South Dakota, which plays its home games at the Dakota Dome). Nebraska-Omaha remains in its transition period from Division II and is ineligible for the conference tourney, but can participate in the NIT, CBI, or CIT. The Summit League was formerly known as Mid-Continent Conference.


Top contenders - North Dakota State, South Dakota State, Oral Roberts, IPFW.


Notes...This wildly-supported event in Sioux Falls moves into the new 13,000-seat Denny Sanford PREMIER Center and promises one of the most crackling atmospheres of all postseason events. Regional observers believe there is no clear-cut favorite, though they expect the final might come down to a border war between the "States" of North Dakota and South Dakota. Both have recent NCAA Tourney pedigrees, with the Bison of NDSU having qualified a year ago (and upsetting Oklahoma in the sub-regionals), though HC Saul Phillips moved to Ohio after last season. Star Bison sr. G Lawrence Alexander (19.3 ppg) might be the top player in the loop. The teams split their regular-season meetings, though Scott Nagy's SDSU Jackrabbits enter Sioux Falls off a stunning 80-64 upset at the hands of state rival South Dakota. Oral Roberts, back in the Summit after a recent stint in the Southland, and stretch-running IPFW, which lost to NDSU in the Summit final a year ago and owns one of the most intriguing weapons in the league in 6'9, 295-lb., C Steve "Not That Steve Forbes" Forbes (13.9 ppg), should be watched closely.


Last year...NCAA - North Dakota State beat Oklahoma in OT, 80-75; lost to San Diego State, 63-44. CBI - South Dakota State lost at Old Dominion, 72-65. CIT - IPFW won vs. Akron, 97-91; lost at VMI, 106-95; UN-Omaha won vs. North Dakota, 91-75; lost at Murray State, 86-62.


WAC...Tourney March 12-14 at Orleans Arena, Las Vegas, NV. Grand Canyon remains in its transition period from Division II and will be ineligible for the conference tournament, but can participate in the NIT, CBI, or CIT.


Top contenders - New Mexico State*, UMKC, Seattle, CS Bakersfield.


Notes...The exception to the rule of conference tourneys, as no one shows up for this event at the Orleans Arena in Las Vegas unless NMSU happens to be playing. And it should be an Aggie show once more, even with the Las Cruces bunch not as big or as formidable as recent seasons. But the rest of the league is suspect, and thus NMSU is an overwhelming favorite once more (and the WAC's only chance to have its champ avoid a 16 vs. 16 play-in game). The latest international discovery of HC Marvin Menzies, 6-9 Cameroonian frosh F Pascal Siakam (13.5 ppg; brother James plays at Vanderbilt), has emerged as a new Aggie star alongside 6-8 Parisian F Remi Barry (13.4 ppg) and 6-4 Canadian skywalker Daniel Mullings (13.2 ppg), back after missing more than a month due to injury. Cameron Dollar's Seattle U is the only WAC team to beat NMSU this season, and it would be a shocker if Menzies and the Aggies don't qualify for their fourth straight Big Dance.


Last year...NCAA - New Mexico State lost in OT vs. San Diego State, 73-69. NIT - Utah Valley lost at Cal, 77-64. CIT - Grand Canyon lost vs. Pacific, 69-67.
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
106,219
Tokens
Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

-- Kentucky 72, Georgia 64-- Dawgs gave Kentucky everything they had, but in the end, poor foul shooting doomed them. Wildcats are now 30-0.

-- Navy 56, Army 52-- Middies end a 14-game losing streak in conference tourney games.

-- Ill-Chicago 60, Wright State 57-- Flames were down 39-20 at the half.

-- Villanova 76, Creighton 72-- Wildcats didn't look like a #1 seed in this game.

-- Northwestern 82, Michigan 78, 2OT-- Chris Collins' team is finishing strong.

-- Kansas 76, West Virginia 69, OT-- Jayhawks were 0-15 on arc, 34-43 on line; they were down 18 at one point. WVU played without both its starting guards.


**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.......

13) Great night of basketball on TV, but when midnight struck, all the favorites got out with a win; Kentucky, Kansas, Villanova. Its late in the year; everyone is tired-- players, coaches, refs. Conference tournaments will re-energize people.

12) Kentucky is good for other SEC teams; how many basketball sellouts do they get in Athens, Georgia? Wildcats most always win, but they put some big money in their rivals' pockets. Mark Fox signed a contract extension Tuesday; he is making progress, but its a big hill he is climbing.

11) It just dawned on me that I feel sorry for the poor bastard who takes Calipari's place at Kentucky; talk about impossible shoes to fill. he does a tremendous job, but has created a monster that is almost impossible to satisfy.

10) Iowa 77, Indiana 63-- Spoiled fanbase in Indy isn't thrilled with Tom Crean; on July 1, his buyout goes down from $12M to $7.5M. If Brad Stevens ever decides the NBA isn't for him, the coffers will open to lure Stevens to Bloomington.

9) Maryland 70, Rutgers 60-- Thirteen losses in a row for Rutgers, whose move to the Big 14 hasn't gone well. Lot of good ballplayers in New Jersey; how about recruiting some of them? Maryland on the other hand; they're a pleasant surprise.

8) Middle Tennessee is 15-14, 8-8 in C-USA, but they could be a lot better. Here are the Blue Raiders' last three losses:
-- Lost 71-68 at Rice, in double overtime.
-- Lost 57-56 at North Texas; led by 19 at the half.
-- Lost 100-95 at UAB, in triple overtime.

7) Chip Kelly already has nine ex-Oregon players on the Eagles, after he traded his star running back LeSean McCoy to Buffalo for Kiko Alonso. Kelly dumped DeSean Jackson last year, now McCoy is gone. Will he try to trade up to take former Oregon QB Mariota in the draft? If he does, hope he trades Nick Foles to St Louis.

6) Knicks and Celtics lost Tuesday.....by a combined 69 points. Oy.

Seriously, if you charge $3,600 a seat for courtside seats, how the hell do you lose at home to Sacramento by 38 points?

5) George Karl coaches Sacramento now; he is the Kings' third coach this year. Bet he had a little chuckle when Denver fired Brian Shaw yesterday, because the Nuggets were a pretty good team when Karl coached them, but ownership got impatient with early playoff exits and cleaned house. Not all change is positive.

4) NFL went to a 16-game regular season in 1976; since then, Chicago has had the most different starting QBs, 38. Buccaneers have had 36 and #37 will be in September. ESPN had the Browns with 37, but from '76-'95, those Browns are really the Ravens' franchise, so thats not accurate.

3) Ray Rice banks $1.59M from the Ravens in a settlement; must be nice. Doubt he gets signed by another NFL team and no way would he ever have a TV career; lot of negative publicity for anyone who signs him. Invest that money wisely, sir.

2) Smart move by New York City baseball teams, delaying spring debuts of ARod and Matt Harvey until they can play in games televised by TV stations owned by the team. Harvey pitches for the Mets Friday, SNY's first broadcast of the spring. Alex Rodriguez will be in the lineup today on the YES Network. Smart move.

1) College basketball season has become so long; it starts around Veterans' Day and is still going. Most you can have is 13 scholarship players; most teams have less. You get couple injuries, a suspension and you're down to 7 or 8 players. Teams like UNLV, Southern Miss, Michigan, Marquette, even Duke have dangerously thin rosters. Indiana added a football player on January. Thats why teams are wearing down now, just before the fun starts with conference tournaments and the NCAAs.
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
106,219
Tokens
NCAAB
Dunkel

TCU at Oklahoma State
The Horned Frogs head to Oklahoma State tonight and come into the contest with a 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 Big 12 Conference games. TCU is the pick (+7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Cowboys favored by only 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: TCU (+7 1/2). Here are all of today's NCAA Basketball picks.

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 4

Game 727-728: Ohio State at Penn State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 71.568; Penn State 63.678
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 8
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 5
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-5)

Game 729-730: Notre Dame at Louisville (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 66.563; Louisville 72.913
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Louisville by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-4 1/2)

Game 731-732: Providence at Seton Hall (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Providence 64.100; Seton Hall 65.349
Dunkel Line: Seton Hall by 1
Vegas Line: Providence by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seton Hall (+2 1/2)

Game 733-734: Central Florida at South Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 52.242; South Florida 53.777
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (+1 1/2)

Game 735-736: LaSalle at St. Joseph's (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LaSalle 57.082; St. Joseph's 60.815
Dunkel Line: St. Joseph's by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Joseph's by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Joseph's (-1 1/2)

Game 737-738: Duquesne at Fordham (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duquesne 53.517 Fordham 61.151
Dunkel Line: Fordham by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Fordham by 4
Dunkel Pick: Fordham (-4)

Game 739-740: George Washington at George Mason (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Washington 59.163; George Mason 60.911
Dunkel Line: George Mason by 2
Vegas Line: George Washington by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: George Mason (+3 1/2)

Game 741-742: Tennessee at LSU (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 64.311; LSU 70.474
Dunkel Line: LSU by 6
Vegas Line: LSU by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+8 1/2)

Game 743-744: Richmond at Massachusetts (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 62.903; Massachusetts 59.277
Dunkel Line: Richmond by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Richmond

Game 745-746: St. Bonaventure at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 53.928; St. Louis 56.412
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Bonaventure by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+3 1/2)

Game 747-748: Wake Forest at Duke (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wake forest 58.216; Duke 78.603
Dunkel Line: Duke by 20 1/2
Vegas Line: Duke by 18 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-18 1/2)

Game 749-750: Miami (FL) at Pittsburgh (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 63.734; Pittsburgh 68.967
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 5
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 3
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-3)

Game 751-752: Purdue at Michigan State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 67.729; Michigan State 70.962
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 3
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 7
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (+7)

Game 753-754: Houston at Tulane (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 53.320; Tulane 55.813
Dunkel Line: Tulane by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Tulane by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+5 1/2)

Game 755-756: Cincinnati at Tulsa (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 63.839; Tulsa 68.839
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 5
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 2
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (-2)

Game 757-758: Utah State at Wyoming (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 56.332; Wyoming 63.899
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 5
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (-5)

Game 759-760: USC at UCLA (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 56.430; UCLA 71/473
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 15
Vegas Line: UCLA by 13
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-13)

Game 761-762: St. John's at Marquette (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. John's 67.959; Marquette 60.932
Dunkel Line: St. John's by 7
Vegas Line: St. John's by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. John's (-1 1/2)

Game 763-764: Mississippi State at Vanderbilt (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 61.122; Vanderbilt 67.994
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 7
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 11
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (+11)

Game 765-766: TCU at Oklahoma State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 66,205; Oklahoma State 67.939
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TCU (+7 1/2)

Game 767-768: Nebraska at Illinois (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 56.310; Illinois 72.452
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 16
Vegas Line: Illinois by 8
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-8)

Game 769-770: Colorado State at Nevada (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 63.327; Nevada 53.172
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 10
Vegas Line: Colorado State by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (-7 1/2)

Game 771-772: Air Force at Fresno State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 53.841; Fresno State 60.776
Dunkel Line: Fresno State b 7
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (-5 1/2)

Game 773-774: Boise State at San Jose State (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 67.621; San Jose State 42.649
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 25
Vegas Line: Boise State by 19
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-19)

Game 775-776: San Diego State at UNLV (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 64.322; UNLV 63.247
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 1
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (+4 1/2)

Game 777-778: Oregon at Oregon State (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 64.248; Oregon State 64.090
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Oregon by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+2 1/2)

Game 779-780: UC-Santa Barbara at Hawaii (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 54.873; Hawaii 62.290
Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 2
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (-2)

Game 781-782: SE Missouri State vs. Morehead State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SE Missouri State 49.320; Morehead State 55.363
Dunkel Line: Morehead State by 6
Vegas Line: Morehead State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Morehead State (-3)

Game 783-784: SIU-Edwardsville vs. Eastern Illinois (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SIU-Edwardsville 49.372; Eastern Illinois 45.176
Dunkel Line: SIU-Edwardsville by 4
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: SIU-Edwardsville

Game 785-786: Longwood vs. Presbyterian (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Longwood 43.000; Presbyterian 38.523
Dunkel Line: Longwood by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Longwood by 2
Dunkel Pick: Longwood (-2)

Game 787-788: Campbell vs. Gardner-Webb (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Campbell 42.750; Gardner-Webb 45.153
Dunkel Line: Gardner-Webb by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Gardner-Webb by 6
Dunkel Pick: Campbell (+6)

Game 789-790: Liberty vs. NC-Asheville (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Liberty 39.546; NC-Asheville 43.471
Dunkel Line: NC-Asheville by 4
Vegas Line: NC-Asheville by 9
Dunkel Pick: Liberty (+9)

Game 791-792: Long Island at St. Francis (NY) (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Long Island 44.204; St. Francis (NY) 59.763
Dunkel Line: St. Francis (NY) by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Francis (NY) by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Francis (NY) (-10 1/2)

Game 793-794: Wagner at Robert Morris (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wagner 43.739; Robert Morris 57.196
Dunkel Line: Robert Morris by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Robert Morris by 9
Dunkel Pick:Robert Morris (-9)

Game 795-796: Sacred Heart at Bryant (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacred Heart 51.525; Bryant 50.729
Dunkel Line: Sacred Heart by 1
Vegas Line: Bryant by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacred Heart (+5 1/2)

Game 797-798: St. Francis (PA) at Mt. St. Mary's (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Francis (PA) 46.703; Mt. St. Mary's 50.653
Dunkel Line: Mt. St. Mary's by 4
Vegas Line: Mt. St. Mary's by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Francis (PA) (+5 1/2)

Game 799-800: Maine at Albany (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Maine 37.601; Albany 59.566
Dunkel Line: Albany by 22
Vegas Line: Albany by 20
Dunkel Pick:

Game 801-802: MD-Baltimore County at Vermont (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: MD-Baltimore County 37.691; Vermont 60.531
Dunkel Line: Vermont by 23
Vegas Line: Vermont by 18
Dunkel Pick:

Game 803-804: Binghamton at Stony Brook (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Binghamton 44.068; Stony Brook 57.030
Dunkel Line: Stony Brook by 13
Vegas Line: Stony Brook by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Binghamton (+15 1/2)

Game 805-806: Hartford at New Hampshire (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hartford 44.309; New Hampshire 48.224
Dunkel Line: New Hampshire by 4
Vegas Line: New Hampshire by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hartford (+7 1/2)
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
106,219
Tokens
NCAAB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 4

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OHIO ST (21 - 8) at PENN ST (15 - 14) - 3/4/2015, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 224-180 ATS (+26.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
PENN ST is 2-2 against the spread versus OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 2-2 straight up against OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NOTRE DAME (24 - 5) at LOUISVILLE (23 - 6) - 3/4/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 2 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in all home games this season.
LOUISVILLE is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in home lined games this season.
LOUISVILLE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISVILLE is 2-1 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 2-1 straight up against NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


PROVIDENCE (20 - 9) at SETON HALL (16 - 12) - 3/4/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
PROVIDENCE is 4-2 against the spread versus SETON HALL over the last 3 seasons
PROVIDENCE is 5-1 straight up against SETON HALL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


UCF (12 - 16) at S FLORIDA (8 - 21) - 3/4/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCF is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
UCF is 3-2 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 3-2 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LASALLE (15 - 14) at ST JOSEPHS (12 - 16) - 3/4/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LASALLE is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LASALLE is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
LASALLE is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LASALLE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 3 seasons.
LASALLE is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ST JOSEPHS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
LASALLE is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
LASALLE is 2-1 against the spread versus ST JOSEPHS over the last 3 seasons
LASALLE is 3-1 straight up against ST JOSEPHS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


DUQUESNE (10 - 17) at FORDHAM (9 - 18) - 3/4/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUQUESNE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.
DUQUESNE is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in March games since 1997.
FORDHAM is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) on Wednesday games this season.
FORDHAM is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
FORDHAM is 1-0 against the spread versus DUQUESNE over the last 3 seasons
FORDHAM is 1-1 straight up against DUQUESNE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


GEORGE WASHINGTON (18 - 11) at GEORGE MASON (9 - 19) - 3/4/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games this season.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road lined games this season.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) against conference opponents this season.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after a conference game this season.
GEORGE MASON is 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
GEORGE MASON is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
GEORGE MASON is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGE MASON is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGE MASON is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGE MASON is 2-1 against the spread versus GEORGE WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 3-0 straight up against GEORGE MASON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TENNESSEE (14 - 14) at LSU (21 - 8) - 3/4/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all games this season.
TENNESSEE is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
LSU is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
TENNESSEE is 109-74 ATS (+27.6 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
TENNESSEE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 2-1 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 2-1 straight up against LSU over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


RICHMOND (17 - 12) at MASSACHUSETTS (17 - 12) - 3/4/2015, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICHMOND is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
RICHMOND is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) after a conference game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-0 against the spread versus RICHMOND over the last 3 seasons
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-1 straight up against RICHMOND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ST BONAVENTURE (15 - 12) at SAINT LOUIS (11 - 18) - 3/4/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAINT LOUIS is 30-13 ATS (+15.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
SAINT LOUIS is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAINT LOUIS is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
ST BONAVENTURE is 2-1 against the spread versus SAINT LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
SAINT LOUIS is 2-1 straight up against ST BONAVENTURE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WAKE FOREST (13 - 16) at DUKE (26 - 3) - 3/4/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WAKE FOREST is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 17-38 ATS (-24.8 Units) in road games in March games since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 32-55 ATS (-28.5 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 90-130 ATS (-53.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
DUKE is 117-81 ATS (+27.9 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points since 1997.
DUKE is 47-76 ATS (-36.6 Units) in March games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
WAKE FOREST is 4-1 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 4-1 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MIAMI (18 - 11) at PITTSBURGH (19 - 11) - 3/4/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 124-84 ATS (+31.6 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
MIAMI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 109-74 ATS (+27.6 Units) in road games since 1997.
MIAMI is 109-74 ATS (+27.6 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
MIAMI is 101-65 ATS (+29.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
MIAMI is 100-64 ATS (+29.6 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
MIAMI is 122-84 ATS (+29.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MIAMI is 73-50 ATS (+18.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
PITTSBURGH is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


PURDUE (19 - 10) at MICHIGAN ST (19 - 10) - 3/4/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PURDUE is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 35-10 ATS (+24.0 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 56-30 ATS (+23.0 Units) on Wednesday games since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
PURDUE is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games this season.
PURDUE is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
PURDUE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
PURDUE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
PURDUE is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 2 seasons.
PURDUE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
PURDUE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PURDUE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 3-0 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 3-0 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


HOUSTON (10 - 18) at TULANE (14 - 14) - 3/4/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all home games this season.
TULANE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home lined games this season.
TULANE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents this season.
TULANE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in home games after a conference game this season.
TULANE is 78-108 ATS (-40.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
TULANE is 2-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
TULANE is 2-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CINCINNATI (20 - 9) at TULSA (21 - 7) - 3/4/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 39-69 ATS (-36.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
TULSA is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 26-9 ATS (+16.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
TULSA is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


UTAH ST (18 - 10) at WYOMING (21 - 8) - 3/4/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH ST is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH ST is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
UTAH ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
UTAH ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
UTAH ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
WYOMING is 8-15 ATS (-8.5 Units) in all games this season.
WYOMING is 8-15 ATS (-8.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
WYOMING is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 3 seasons.
WYOMING is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WYOMING is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) in March games since 1997.
WYOMING is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH ST is 2-1 against the spread versus WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
UTAH ST is 2-1 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


USC (11 - 18) at UCLA (18 - 12) - 3/4/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents this season.
UCLA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in home games after a conference game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
UCLA is 4-1 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
UCLA is 4-1 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ST JOHNS (20 - 9) at MARQUETTE (11 - 17) - 3/4/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARQUETTE is 124-81 ATS (+34.9 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in home games after a conference game this season.
MARQUETTE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
ST JOHNS is 3-1 against the spread versus MARQUETTE over the last 3 seasons
ST JOHNS is 3-1 straight up against MARQUETTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MISSISSIPPI ST (12 - 17) at VANDERBILT (17 - 12) - 3/4/2015, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-1 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
VANDERBILT is 2-2 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TCU (17 - 12) at OKLAHOMA ST (17 - 11) - 3/4/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 131-167 ATS (-52.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
TCU is 47-74 ATS (-34.4 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
TCU is 142-189 ATS (-65.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
OKLAHOMA ST is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA ST is 3-2 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA ST is 4-1 straight up against TCU over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NEBRASKA (13 - 15) at ILLINOIS (18 - 11) - 3/4/2015, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA is 8-16 ATS (-9.6 Units) in all games this season.
NEBRASKA is 8-16 ATS (-9.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEBRASKA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
NEBRASKA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games this season.
NEBRASKA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road lined games this season.
NEBRASKA is 69-99 ATS (-39.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 67-96 ATS (-38.6 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEBRASKA is 49-73 ATS (-31.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
ILLINOIS is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) in home games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEBRASKA is 3-2 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS is 3-2 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


COLORADO ST (24 - 5) at NEVADA (9 - 19) - 3/4/2015, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO ST is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
NEVADA is 49-31 ATS (+14.9 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEVADA is 3-1 against the spread versus COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO ST is 3-1 straight up against NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


AIR FORCE (13 - 15) at FRESNO ST (14 - 15) - 3/4/2015, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 8-16 ATS (-9.6 Units) in all games this season.
AIR FORCE is 8-16 ATS (-9.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
AIR FORCE is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
AIR FORCE is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) against conference opponents this season.
AIR FORCE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after a conference game this season.
FRESNO ST is 114-149 ATS (-49.9 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
FRESNO ST is 60-89 ATS (-37.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
AIR FORCE is 3-2 against the spread versus FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
FRESNO ST is 4-1 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BOISE ST (22 - 7) at SAN JOSE ST (2 - 26) - 3/4/2015, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
BOISE ST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
BOISE ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
BOISE ST is 88-60 ATS (+22.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
BOISE ST is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
BOISE ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
BOISE ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game this season.
SAN JOSE ST is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 21-32 ATS (-14.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) in March games since 1997.
SAN JOSE ST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 3-0 against the spread versus SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 3-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SAN DIEGO ST (22 - 7) at UNLV (16 - 13) - 3/4/2015, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO ST is 101-74 ATS (+19.6 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO ST is 4-2 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO ST is 4-2 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


OREGON (22 - 8) at OREGON ST (17 - 12) - 3/4/2015, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all home games this season.
OREGON ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home lined games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON is 4-2 against the spread versus OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 5-1 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


UC-SANTA BARBARA (16 - 12) at HAWAII (19 - 11) - 3/4/2015, 12:00 AM
Top Trends for this game.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) in March games since 1997.
HAWAII is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 3-2 against the spread versus HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 3-2 straight up against HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SE MISSOURI ST (13 - 16) vs. MOREHEAD ST (15 - 16) - 3/4/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MOREHEAD ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games this season.
SE MISSOURI ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) on Wednesday games since 1997.
SE MISSOURI ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MOREHEAD ST is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
MOREHEAD ST is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MOREHEAD ST is 3-0 against the spread versus SE MISSOURI ST over the last 3 seasons
MOREHEAD ST is 3-0 straight up against SE MISSOURI ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SIU EDWARDSVL (12 - 15) vs. E ILLINOIS (16 - 13) - 3/4/2015, 9:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
E ILLINOIS is 3-3 against the spread versus SIU EDWARDSVL over the last 3 seasons
E ILLINOIS is 4-2 straight up against SIU EDWARDSVL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LONGWOOD (9 - 22) vs. PRESBYTERIAN (10 - 21) - 3/4/2015, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
PRESBYTERIAN is 3-1 straight up against LONGWOOD over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CAMPBELL (10 - 21) vs. GARDNER WEBB (18 - 13) - 3/4/2015, 2:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
GARDNER WEBB is 1-0 against the spread versus CAMPBELL over the last 3 seasons
GARDNER WEBB is 3-2 straight up against CAMPBELL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LIBERTY (8 - 23) vs. UNC-ASHEVILLE (14 - 15) - 3/4/2015, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
UNC-ASHEVILLE is 4-0 straight up against LIBERTY over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LONG ISLAND (12 - 17) at ST FRANCIS-NY (21 - 10) - 3/4/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
ST FRANCIS-NY is 3-3 straight up against LONG ISLAND over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WAGNER (10 - 19) at ROBERT MORRIS (16 - 14) - 3/4/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
ROBERT MORRIS is 1-0 against the spread versus WAGNER over the last 3 seasons
ROBERT MORRIS is 4-1 straight up against WAGNER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SACRED HEART (15 - 16) at BRYANT (15 - 14) - 3/4/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
BRYANT is 3-3 straight up against SACRED HEART over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ST FRANCIS-PA (15 - 14) at MOUNT ST MARYS (15 - 14) - 3/4/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
MOUNT ST MARYS is 4-1 straight up against ST FRANCIS-PA over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MAINE (3 - 26) at ALBANY (21 - 8) - 3/4/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MAINE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
ALBANY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MAINE is 1-0 against the spread versus ALBANY over the last 3 seasons
ALBANY is 6-1 straight up against MAINE over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MD-BALT COUNTY (4 - 25) at VERMONT (17 - 12) - 3/4/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
VERMONT is 1-0 against the spread versus MD-BALT COUNTY over the last 3 seasons
VERMONT is 7-0 straight up against MD-BALT COUNTY over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BINGHAMTON (6 - 25) at STONY BROOK (21 - 10) - 3/4/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
STONY BROOK is 1-0 against the spread versus BINGHAMTON over the last 3 seasons
STONY BROOK is 7-0 straight up against BINGHAMTON over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


HARTFORD (14 - 15) at NEW HAMPSHIRE (18 - 11) - 3/4/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
HARTFORD is 5-1 straight up against NEW HAMPSHIRE over the last 3 seasons
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
106,219
Tokens
NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, March 4

Louisville won its last three games, by 1-2-22 points, as they move on in wake of PG Jones getting tossed; Cardinals are 5-9 as ACC faves, 2-5 at home, with home wins by 6-15-10-13-2 points, with losses to Duke and NC State. Notre Dame won three of last four games, is 6-2 on ACC road, losing by 4 at Pitt, 30 at Duke. Irish have been off for eight days- they're 1-1 as road underdogs. ACC home favorites of 6 or less points are 9-11.

Providence (-7.5) beat Seton Hall 69-62 at home Feb 14, outscoring Hall 22-14 over last 5:40 of game they led by 7 at half. Friars won three of last four games, are 4-4 on Big East road- they're 1-0 as road favorite. Seton Hall lost six of last seven games, with only win by 1 vs Creighton, cellar dwellar in league. Big East home underdogs of 4 or less points are 7-7 vs spread. Underdogs are 8-0 vs spread in Seton Hall's Big East home tilts.

LaSalle (-6) beat St Joe's 53-48 at home Jan 27, after trailing by 15 in first half; Explorers outscored St Joe's 11-2 on foul line. LaSalle lost last three games by 4-15-3 points; they're 2-3 as road underdogs. Five of LaSalle's six road losses are by 7+ points. Hawks also lost four of last five games, with last three losses by 6 or less points or in OT; underdogs are 5-2 vs spread in St Joe's home games. A-14 home favorites of 3 or less points are 6-8 vs spread.

LSU stormed out to 47-20 halftime lead, won 73-55 at Tennessee Feb 14, shooting 57% inside arc, holding Vols to 2-14 from arc. Loss started Vols on current 5-game losing skid; they're 1-7 vs spread at home, losing last four at home by 5-18-18-8 points. SEC home favorites of 8+ points are 14-18 against the spread. LSU won five of last seven games, is 4-2-1 as a home favorite; six of their eight home games were decided by seven or less points.

Richmond won four of last six games with UMass; Spiders won/covered their last four games overall- they're 4-1 as underdogs on A-14 road. Six of Spiders' last eight losses were by 6 or less points. UMass lost three of last four games; they've allowed 74+ points in last five games. UMass is 2-4 as A-14 home favorites, but they've won five of last six at home SU. A-14 home teams are 19-16 vs spread in games where spread was 3 or less points.

Senior Night for Duke team with one senior (Cook) in its rotation; it has North Carolina rematch on deck Saturday. Blue Devils (-16) won 73-65 at Wake Forest Jan 7; their biggest lead was 10. Thomas was 12-20 from floor for Wake with no FTs taken. Duke is soft inside. Blue Devils won last nine games, are 4-4 as home favorites, 3-1 in last four; four of their last six wins were by 8 or less points. ACC home favorites of 15+ points are 3-6 vs spread.

Purdue is 13-3 vs spread in Big 14 games, 6-1 as road underdogs- they're 4-4 SU on road, with no losses by more than 7 points. Boilers won eight of last ten games (9-1 vs spread). Michigan State lost its last two games, is 2-6 as home favorite; they are 5-3 SU at home, with four of five wins by 6 or less points or in OT. Spartans won last six games with Purdue, all by 13+ points. Big 14 home favorites of less than 8 points are 28-21.

Tulsa has half-game lead in AAC; they've won/covered last four games after dramatic OT win at Memphis Saturday. Hurricane is 5-2 as a home favorite; four of its last five wins are by 11+ points. Cincinnati won its last three games, all by 10+ points; they won three of last four games on road, are 2-2 as underdogs this season. AAC home favorites of 5 or less points are 11-3-1 vs spread. This is teams' first meeting as AAC rivals.

Utah State won its last six games with four of last five wins by 14+; they beat Wyoming 56-44 (+1.5) at home Jan 27, in game with total of only 11 free throws. Aggies are 5-3 on MW road, 4-2 as road underdogs, losing on road by 9-2-20 points. Cowboys lost last two games, are 2-6 as favorites at home; they've got Nance back, but he had mono and isn't 100% yet. Mountain West home favorites of 5+ points are 23-19 against spread.

San Diego State is tied with Boise atop Mountain West; Aztecs (-10/5) beat UNLV 53-47 at home Jan 17, in brickfest where teams were 8-28 on arc- UNLV had 11-point lead in second half. Aztecs won five of last six games, are 5-# SU on road, 2-3 as road favorites. Rebels are down to 7 scholarship players, are 2-3 in last five games, 4-1 in last five home tilts. UNLV's home losses this season are by 2-2-5 points. Mountain West home underdogs of 5 or less points are 5-9 vs spread.

Oregon (-8.5) won Pac-12 opener 71-59 at home over Oregon State Jan 3, never trailing in game that was only 29-27 at half. Ducks won eight of last nine games as they push for NCAAs; they've won four of last five away games, are 1-1 as road favorites. Beavers lost four of last five games, but three of four losses were on road- they're 7-1 SU at home, losing only to Utah by 10- State is 2-1 as home underdogs. Pac-12 home underdogs of 3 or less points are 5-3 vs spread.

Ohio Valley tournament, Nashville
Morehead State won its last three games by 16-13-31 points; they won first game in OVC tourney last six years. Eagles (+3) won 70-57 at SE Missouri Jan 8, grabbing 20 offensive boards, forcing 21 turnovers (+4) in game they led 30-28 at half. SE Missouri lost three of its last four games; they've won first OVC tourney game the last four years. Morehead is 5-3 in OVC road games, SEMo is 3-5. Morehead covered its last six games as a favorite. Redhawks are 5-4 as an underdog.

Home side won both Eastern Illinois-SIUEdwardsville games this season; Panthers (-3.5) won first meeting 57-54 Jan 31, scoring last five points of game. SIUE (-3) won rematch 80-63 two weeks later, never trailing in a game where they shot 65% inside arc, 8-20 on arc. EIU is 3-7 in its last ten games after starting OVC play 6-0; over last decade, they're 1-6 in this event, with win in '10. Cougars won three of last four games; they're 1-7 away from home in OVC this season.
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
106,219
Tokens
NCAABB

Wednesday, March 4

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

6:00 PM
OHIO STATE vs. PENN STATE
Ohio State is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Ohio State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Penn State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ohio State
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Penn State's last 11 games when playing Ohio State

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 7:00 PM
CENTRAL FLORIDA vs. SOUTH FLORIDA
Central Florida is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Central Florida is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
South Florida is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing Central Florida
South Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Central Florida

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 7:00 PM
LA SALLE vs. SAINT JOSEPH'S
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of La Salle's last 7 games on the road
La Salle is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Saint Joseph's is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing La Salle
Saint Joseph's is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against La Salle

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 7:00 PM
NOTRE DAME vs. LOUISVILLE
Notre Dame is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Louisville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Notre Dame's last 5 games when playing on the road against Louisville
Louisville is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Louisville's last 11 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 7:00 PM
DUQUESNE vs. FORDHAM
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Duquesne's last 5 games when playing on the road against Fordham
Duquesne is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Fordham
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Fordham's last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Fordham's last 7 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 7:00 PM
SE MISSOURI STATE vs. MOREHEAD STATE
No trends available
Morehead State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing SE Missouri State
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Morehead State's last 14 games

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 7:00 PM
GEORGE WASHINGTON vs. GEORGE MASON
George Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
George Washington is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
George Mason is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
George Mason is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 7:00 PM
TENNESSEE vs. LSU
Tennessee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LSU
LSU is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tennessee
LSU is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 7:00 PM
PROVIDENCE vs. SETON HALL
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Providence's last 6 games on the road
Seton Hall is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Seton Hall is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 7:30 PM
RICHMOND vs. MASSACHUSETTS
Richmond is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
Richmond is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Massachusetts is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Massachusetts is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 8:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. TULANE
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games when playing on the road against Tulane
Houston is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Tulane
Tulane is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Tulane's last 11 games

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 8:00 PM
WAKE FOREST vs. DUKE
Wake Forest is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Duke
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wake Forest's last 5 games when playing on the road against Duke
Duke is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Wake Forest
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Duke's last 5 games when playing at home against Wake Forest

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 8:00 PM
ST. BONAVENTURE vs. SAINT LOUIS
St. Bonaventure is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Saint Louis
Saint Louis is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing St. Bonaventure
Saint Louis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against St. Bonaventure

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 8:00 PM
PURDUE vs. MICHIGAN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Purdue's last 6 games when playing on the road against Michigan State
Purdue is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Michigan State
Michigan State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Michigan State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 8:00 PM
NEW MEXICO STATE vs. TEXAS-PAN AMERICAN
New Mexico State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Texas-Pan American is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Texas-Pan American is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Mexico State

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 8:00 PM
MIAMI vs. PITTSBURGH
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Miami's last 12 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 9:00 PM
UTAH STATE vs. WYOMING
Utah State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah State's last 5 games on the road
Wyoming is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Utah State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Wyoming's last 8 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 9:00 PM
TCU vs. OKLAHOMA STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of TCU's last 6 games on the road
TCU is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma State's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma State's last 5 games

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 9:00 PM
MISSISSIPPI STATE vs. VANDERBILT
Mississippi State is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Vanderbilt
Mississippi State is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vanderbilt's last 6 games

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 9:00 PM
ST. JOHN'S vs. MARQUETTE
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. John's last 9 games on the road
St. John's is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Marquette is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against St. John's
Marquette is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against St. John's

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 9:00 PM
CINCINNATI vs. TULSA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games on the road
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Tulsa is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tulsa's last 7 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 9:00 PM
USC vs. UCLA
USC is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of USC's last 6 games on the road
UCLA is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UCLA's last 7 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 9:30 PM
SIU EDWARDSVILLE vs. EASTERN ILLINOIS
No trends available
Eastern Illinois is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing SIU Edwardsville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Eastern Illinois's last 6 games when playing SIU Edwardsville

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 10:00 PM
COLORADO STATE vs. NEVADA
Colorado State is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado State's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nevada's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Nevada's last 11 games

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 10:00 PM
AIR FORCE vs. FRESNO STATE
Air Force is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Fresno State
Air Force is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Fresno State's last 6 games at home
Fresno State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 10:00 PM
NEBRASKA vs. ILLINOIS
Nebraska is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Nebraska is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Illinois's last 5 games when playing Nebraska
Illinois is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Nebraska

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 10:15 PM
BOISE STATE vs. SAN JOSE STATE
Boise State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boise State's last 7 games on the road
San Jose State is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Boise State
San Jose State is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Boise State

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 11:00 PM
SAN DIEGO STATE vs. UNLV
San Diego State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego State's last 6 games when playing on the road against UNLV
UNLV is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego State
UNLV is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Diego State

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 11:00 PM
OREGON vs. OREGON STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oregon's last 6 games on the road
Oregon is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Oregon State is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oregon
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oregon State's last 5 games when playing at home against Oregon
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
106,219
Tokens
NCAAB

Wednesday, March 4


Kentucky fails to cover, but improves to 30-0

The No. 1 ranked Kentucky Wildcats faced a tough test against the Georgia Bulldogs and were unable to cover the 9.5-point chalk, but did pull out the 72-64 win to improve their record to 30-0.

Kentucky has been a streaky bet this season, resulting in a 15-14-1 record against the spread.

The Wildcats will try to close out their perfect regular season when they host the Florida Gators this Saturday. Kentucky won the last meeting 68-61 in Gainesville back on Feb. 7, but failed to cover as 8-point faves.



Top 25 roundup: Kentucky improves to 30-0

ATHENS, Ga. -- No. 1 Kentucky improved its record to 30-0 Tuesday night with a 72-64, come-from-behind victory over Georgia.

But it wasn't easy.

Trailing by as many as nine points midway through the second half, Kentucky (30-0, 17-0 SEC) found itself behind by six points, 62-56, with 5:36 remaining. But from that point forward, Kentucky outscored Georgia 16-2, including a 14-0 spurt to secure the victory.

Sophomore guard Aaron Harrison started the run with a breakaway layup after a steal by junior forward Willie Cauley-Stein. Harrison was fouled on the play and missed his free throw, but Cauley-Stein grabbed the offensive rebound and dunked.

Freshman center Karl-Anthony Towns, who led the Wildcats with 19 points, scored six of Kentucky's next 12 points.

Georgia (18-10, 9-7) was paced by senior forward Nemanja Djurisic with 18 points.

Kentucky has one more regular-season game left before the start of the SEC tournament.

Villanova 76, Creighton 72

OMAHA, Neb. -- Fourth-ranked Villanova survived two intense Creighton rallies to slip away with a Big East Conference victory.

With Villanova leading by two points, Villanova guard Ryan Arcidiacono was called for an offensive foul with six seconds to play. But Creighton center Will Artino missed a layup with two seconds to play.

Arcidiacono, who finished with a game-high 23 points, got the rebound and was fouled by Bluejays guard Austin Chatman with less than one second to go. He made both free throws, sealing the win for the Wildcats (28-2, 15-2 Big East).

The Bluejays (13-17, 4-13) were led by Chatman, who had 21 points.

Kansas 76, West Virginia 69

LAWRENCE, Kan. -- No. 9 Kansas rallied from an 18-point deficit to forge overtime, then outlasted No. 20 West Virginia in Allen Fieldhouse.

Junior forward Jamari Traylor scored six of his 14 points in the overtime, including a bucket with 3:02 remaining to give the Jayhawks the lead for good. Sophomore guard Frank Mason added a team-high 19 points.

Kansas (24-6, 13-4 Big 12) claimed the conference title outright, its 11th consecutive Big 12 crown. The Jayhawks were in jeopardy, however, of losing their home finale for the first time since 1983 before extending that streak to 32 straight wins.

West Virginia (22-8, 10-7) was led by freshman guard Dexter Miles, who scored 23 points.

The Mountaineers were playing without senior guard Juwan Staten, who missed his second straight game with a knee injury, and guard Gary Browne, who was out with an ankle injury.

But West Virginia was ahead 40-22 lead late in the first half, and held an 11-point advantage with 11:43 to go in the second half.

Georgetown 60, Butler 54

INDIANAPOLIS -- Indianapolis native D'Vauntes Smith-Rivera scored 16 points, including two key free throws with 6.2 seconds remaining, to lift Georgetown to victory against 21st-ranked Butler in Hinkle Fieldhouse.

With the Hoyas (19-9, 11-6 Big East) leading 56-54, Smith-Rivera rebounded a missed free throw by teammate Joshua Smith and was fouled. The guard then made the two free throws, and after a Butler turnover, guard Isaac Copeland iced it with two more free throws with 4.8 seconds left.

Butler (21-9, 11-6), which was only 10 of 22 from the line, got 15 points and 16 rebounds from forward Kameron Woods.

Maryland 60, Rutgers 50

PISCATAWAY, N.J. - No. 10 Maryland won its sixth consecutive game, turning back Rutgers in a matchup of the Big Ten conference's two newest teams at the Louis Brown Athletic Center.

Rutgers (10-20, 2-15) lost its 13th game in a row, the second-longest skid in school history. Its last win was the upset of then-No. 4 Wisconsin on Jan. 11. The Scarlet Knights lost 16 consecutive games in 1987-88.

Swingman Dez Wells led the Terrapins (25-5, 13-4 Big Ten) with 20 points and 10 rebounds. Center Greg Lewis led Rutgers with 14 points, and he also hauled in seven rebounds. Rutgers forward Kadeem Jack grabbed a game-high 16 rebounds.

North Carolina 81, Georgia Tech 49

ATLANTA -- Guards Justin Jackson and Joel Berry II combined for 28 points to spark the No. 19 North Carolina Tar Heels to an Atlantic Coast Conference victory.

Berry was 5-for-8 and scored 15 points and Jackson was 6-for-10 and scored 13 points for the Tar Heels. They were the only two players in double figures for North Carolina (21-9, 11-6 ACC). Forward Brice Johnson led the Tar Heels with nine rebounds.

Georgia Tech (12-18, 3-15 ACC) got 13 points and eight rebounds from forward Charles Mitchell and 14 points and eight rebounds from center Demarco Cox, one of the team's three seniors who were honored before the game.

Georgia Tech has lost four straight.
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
106,219
Tokens
Notre Dame at Louisville


March 4, 2015


If Louisville can win its last two ACC games, it will garner the No. 3 seed in the conference tournament. However, with just a one-half game advantage over North Carolina for the fourth slot, the Cardinals are in danger of falling into fifth place and a dreaded Wednesday game at the ACC Tournament.


Those circumstances raise the stakes for tonight's showdown vs. Notre Dame at the KFC Yum! Center. As of early this morning, most books had U of L installed as a 4.5-point home favorite against the Irish.


Playing its first game since the dismissal of starting point guard Chris Jones, Louisville (23-6 straight up, 10-16-2 against the spread) went into Tallahassee on Saturday and dealt out a woodshed beating to Florida State in the form of an 81-59 shellacking as a five-point road favorite. The 140 combined points soared 'over' the 123-point total.


Wayne Blackshear scored a game-high 18 points and also had four rebounds, three assists, two blocked shots and one steal. Montrezl Harrell finished with 16 points on 8-of-10 shooting from the field. Anton Gill came off the bench to make all five of his shot attempts, including four from 3-point range, in a 14-point effort in only 12 minutes of playing time. Finally, Terry Rozier added 10 points, six steals and nine assists compared to only one turnover.


Notre Dame (24-5 SU, 10-11 ATS) saw its three-game winning streak snapped last Tuesday when Syracuse came into South Bend and won a 65-60 decision as an eight-point road underdog. The 125 combined points stayed 'under' the 143.5-point tally.


In the losing effort, Bonzie Colson came off the bench to score a team-best 16 points in just 19 minutes of action. Pat Connaughton played all 40 minutes and produced a double-double with 13 points and 15 rebounds. Jerian Grant finished with 13 points and nine assists.


Mike Brey's team had a poor shooting night against the 'Cuse, which has been a rarity this year. Notre Dame is second in the nation in field-goal percentage (50.8%), but Jim Boeheim's zone stymied the Irish completely. They make just 34.7 percent of their shots from the field and only 3-of-22 (13.6%) from downtown. Grant and Steve Vasturia both went 0-for-6 from beyond the arc.


Grant averages team-highs in scoring (16.9 points per game), assists (6.6 APG) and steals (1.8 SPG). The senior point guard has a stellar 192/58 assists-to-turnovers ratio. Connaughton (13.1 PPG) averages a team-high 8.0 rebounds per game and has a team-best 25 blocked shots. Zach Auguste, the Irish's best post player who will draw most of the defensive assignments on Harrell, averages 12.6 points and 6.1 rebounds per contest.


The 'under' is 14-11 overall for U of L, 10-3 in its home games. The Cardinals have seen the 'under' go 7-2 in their last nine outings.


The 'over' is 11-8 overall for Notre Dame, 4-4 in its road assignments.


The 'over' has hit in 10 of the last 11 head-to-head meetings between these ACC rivals. Six of the last 10 encounters have gone to overtime. Louisville has won three of the last four meetings both SU and ATS.


ESPN2 will have the telecast at 7:00 p.m. Eastern.


**B.E.'s Bonus Nuggets**


-- Louisville closes its regular-season slate by taking on Virginia at home Saturday night. The Cavaliers clinched their second straight ACC regular-season title thanks to Monday's win at Syracuse. UVA scored just two points in the first 14 minutes of the game at the Carrier Dome, yet still won by double digits and comfortably covered the spread.


-- Georgia missed three one-and-one opportunities at crunch time to allow Kentucky to pull away for a 72-64 win in front of a raucous crowd at Stegeman Coliseum last night. The Bulldogs led 56-47 with nine minutes remaining and by six at the five-minute mark. But UK responded with a 14-0 run in which UGA went 0-for-5 at the charity stripe. And that was essentially going 0-for-10 since the three front ends would've provided an extra free throw. Nevertheless, Mark Fox's team covered the spread as a 9.5-point home underdog, improving to 9-2-2 ATS in 13 games as a 'dog this year. For those who took Kentucky minus six at halftime when the game was tied (UK -6 adjusted), a fortunate winner was the result. Karl-Anthony Towns led the Cats with 19 points and seven rebounds, as they improved to 30-0 going into Saturday's regular-season finale vs. Florida at Rupp Arena.


-- Florida's leading scorer Michael Frazier II missed his seventh straight game in Tuesday's 66-62 win vs. Texas A&M at The O-Dome. The Gators are hoping he can return for Saturday's regular-season finale at Kentucky. He has been out since suffering a high-ankle sprain against UK on Feb. 7.


-- Billy Donovan's team has won back-to-back games since Dorian Finney-Smith returned from suspension in this past Saturday's home win over Tennessee. However, the Gators immensely disappointed their backers by allowing a 16-point lead with 3:13 remaining to get away due to complete ineptitude at the free-throw line. UF missed 10 FTs in the last 1:58, with its point guards Kasey Hill and Chris Chiozza combining to make only 6-of-17 from the stripe. The Aggies covered the number as 4.5-point underdogs in the four-point defeat.


-- Miami might be without its starting point guard Angel Rodriguez for tonight's critical ACC showdown at Pittsburgh. Rodriguez left Saturday's home loss to North Carolina early with a wrist injury that has him 'questionable' against the Panthers. Rodriguez averages 12.3 points, 4.2 assists and 1.9 steals per game. The Hurricanes were three-point road underdogs early this morning.


-- Penn State has been a home underdog four times this season, going 3-1 both SU and ATS. The lone loss was this past Saturday when Iowa won an 81-77 decision in overtime as a 3.5-point road favorite. The Nittany Lions host Ohio State tonight at 6:00 p.m. Eastern on The Big Ten Network As of early this morning, the Buckeyes were favored by five points.


-- Seton Hall will get its leading scorer Sterling Gibbs back for tonight's home game vs. Providence. The Friars were favored by two early this morning.


-- Purdue owns an 8-2 spread record in 10 games as an underdog this year. The Boilermakers, who are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games, are seven-point 'dogs tonight at Breslin Center against Michigan St.


-- Boise State has won 12 of its last 13 games both SU and ATS going into tonight's road game at San Jose State. The Broncos were favored by 19 early this morning. The Spartans have lost 18 in a row and haven't beaten at Division-I opponent all season long. Nevertheless, they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven contests.


-- The 'under' is on a 12-4 run in Boise State's last 16 outings.


-- Dayton is now along atop of the Atlantic-10 standings after handling Rhode Island last night and covering the spread as a 3.5-point home 'chalk.' Archie Miller is about to be fielding job offers from a lot of schools.


-- After a couple of bad beats Monday night (Oklahoma +6 and Baylor +150 on the money line), I bounced back with a 5-0 record last night. My winners included Georgia, Auburn, Texas A&M (lucky!), Dayton and Ole Miss.
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
106,219
Tokens
Wednesday's Top Action


March 4, 2015




NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH (24-5) at LOUISVILLE CARDINALS (23-6)


KFC Yum! Center - Louisville, KY
Tip-off: Wednesday, 7:00 p.m. ET
Sportsbook.ag Line: Louisville -4


No. 12 Notre Dame visits No. 16 Louisville as longtime Big East foes meet for the first time as ACC members.


No. 16 Louisville and No. 12 Notre Dame go back at it after a year off in a series that’s had its fair share of memories as Big East heavyweights. Louisville seems to be at peace, now that troubled G Chris Jones (13.7 PPG, 3.6 RPG, 4.0 APG) is off the team. The mercurial guard, who was suspended previously on two different occasions by Head Coach Rick Pitino, had finally worn out his welcome. In his absence, the Cardinals reeled off road wins at Georgia Tech and Saturday at Florida State. The most recent win over the Seminoles, an 81-59 drubbing (the line was -5), included 21 forced turnovers and had Louisville holding Florida State to 1-for-9 shooting behind the arc.


Seven days will have passed since Notre Dame was stunned in a 65-60 home loss to Syracuse. Notre Dame is 4-0 SU following a loss this season (0-3 ATS) and 11-1 SU on 3+ days rest. The Fighting Irish really struggled against the Orange zone in the loss, as they went a horrid 3-for-22 (14%) from deep. Louisville is no picnic to play against, but the extreme contrast in defensive style and the time off could be just what Notre Dame needs to see to rebound offensively. Notre Dame is 5-3 SU (3-5 ATS) on the road in conference play so far, while Louisville is 5-2 SU (2-5 ATS) at home in conference play.


Louisville has struggled mightily to cover at home recently (3-10-1 ATS in their past 14 home games) and the Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their past five games overall. Notre Dame allows eight more points per game on the road and this contributes to four of their past six road game totals going Over. Historically, Louisville is 8-5 SU (5-8 ATS) since both squads joined the Big East and played each other regularly (2006). The past two meetings between these squads both were won by Louisville (one in Louisville, one in the semifinals of the Big East Tournament), as the Cardinals covered both times as well. Notre Dame’s last win in this series was the five overtime thriller in South Bend, 104-101 where current Fighting Irish senior G Pat Connaughton (13.1 PPG, 8.0 RPG, 2.7 threes/game) had 16 points, 14 rebounds and 7 assists as a sophomore.


Advertisement


Notre Dame boasts one of the nation’s best offenses (79.1 PPG, 9th in NCAA; 1.21 points/possession, 1st in NCAA; 1.63 A:TO ratio, 4th in NCAA; 39.4% 3PT, 22nd in NCAA), but you wouldn’t have known it from watching them struggle versus Syracuse last Tuesday. Facing Louisville’s swarming defense on the road isn’t how you draw up a bounce-back game, but Notre Dame has exceeded expectations all year. The last time the Fighting Irish faced the Louisville press, in March of 2013, star G Jerian Grant (16.9 PPG, 6.6 APG, 50% FG) struggled mightily (6 turnovers, 2-for-8 from three) and sidekick Connaughton couldn’t repeat his five overtime game magic, as he only went for nine points.


F Zach Auguste (12.6 PPG, 6.1 RPG, 61% FG) has been solid all season, but has struggled to find consistency and his regular allotment of playing time recently (less than 20 MPG in three of the past five games; 7.6 PPG, 4.4 RPG in that span) isn’t helping. Stepping in to replenish Auguste’s dip in production has been impressive freshman F Bonzie Colson (5.4 PPG). Colson barely played until February, but since Auguste’s one-game academic suspension has found himself part of Coach Mike Brey’s permanent rotation. In Colson’s last five games, he’s poured in 10.4 points per game in just 16 minutes per game and has given the Fighting Irish a defensive presence around the basket (1.2 BPG in that span). Notre Dame’s offense is rounded out by complementary perimeter players, G Demitrius Jackson (12.2 PPG, 3.7 RPG) who’s not looking for his shot much as of late (8.6 PPG in past five) and G Steve Vasturia (9.2 PPG, 3.1 RPG) who’s logged 36 minutes per game over his past four (2nd on team in that span).


As Louisville finds its updated identity without the departed Jones, it will have to rely on its stars, G Terry Rozier (17.4 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 2.7 APG, 2 SPG) and F Montrezl Harrell (15.4 PPG, 9.3 RPG, 57% FG) even more (or so you would think). Rozier has actually struggled mightily from the field since early February (14.3 PPG, 31% FG, 27% 3PT) and Harrell has only scored eight and 16 points respectively in the two games since Jones was dismissed. While Rozier has struggled scoring, he’s picked up in Jones’ absence in looking to distribute and on defense, as his nine assists and six steals against Florida State will show.


Make no mistake, though, Louisville isn’t missing a beat because of their oft-overlooked supporting cast. F Wayne Blackshear (10.7 PPG, 4.4 RPG, 1.6 threes/game) has rebounded from his embarrassing line of zeroes (no points, assists or rebounds) at Syracuse on Feb. 18 to post three straight double-digit scoring efforts, including 18 points at Florida State on Saturday. G Quentin Snider (2.8 PPG) has seamlessly stepped into Jones’ role in the starting lineup and done an admirable job (10 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 4.0 APG in three games as starter), while Coach Pitino also may have something in reserve G Anton Gill (2.8 PPG), who popped off for 14 points against Florida State. Up front, F Chinanu Onuaku (3.3 PPG, 1.5 BPG) continues to improve game-by-game, pulling down five or more rebounds in his past five contests. A big factor in Louisville’s success will be seeing if the three-point defense without Jones (Louisville has held Georgia Tech and Florida State to a combined 2-for-21) holds up as stingy against a sharp-shooting team like Notre Dame, or whether the level of opponent propped up the Cardinals’ dominant perimeter defensive play.


USC TROJANS (11-18) at UCLA BRUINS (18-12)


Pauley Pavilion – Los Angeles, CA
Tip-off: Wednesday, 9:00 p.m. ET
Sportsbook.ag Line: UCLA -13


The Bruins look to pad their NCAA tournament resume with a home win over a lousy USC team on Wednesday.


USC is coming off of a 70-55 home victory over Washington as a 5-point favorite. The Trojans are now 2-8 SU in their past 10 games, but they have covered in five of those contests. One thing that has been impressive for this team is that it has held its past three opponents to under 42% shooting from the field. If the Trojans can continue to play that type of defense then they will be in a lot more games when the final minutes come around. UCLA, meanwhile, has now won two straight games after beating Washington State 72-67 as a 15-point road favorite on Sunday. This ATS loss for the Bruins was their first in their past six games.


UCLA has dominated USC in this head-to-head series, winning-and-covering in four straight games against the Trojans and going 8-2 SU and 7-3 SU in their past 10 meetings overall. USC has, however, won-and-covered in three of their past seven trips to Pauley Pavilion. They are 4-3 ATS in those games altogether. As a road underdog this season, the Trojans are just 2-8 SU but an impressive 7-3 ATS. UCLA, meanwhile, is 15-2 SU and 10-7 ATS when playing as a favorite this season. The Bruins are also 13-0 SU and 9-4 ATS when playing as a home favorite. G Jordan McLaughlin (Shoulder) is out for the season for USC and F Darion Clark (Knee) is questionable for this game. UCLA is not currently dealing with any injuries.


USC has had issues on both ends of the floor this season, averaging just 66.6 PPG (191st in NCAA) on 41.6% shooting (276th in NCAA) and allowing a miserable 69.9 PPG (271st in NCAA). The Trojans did, however, play a solid game against Washington and will look to carry some momentum into Los Angeles. F Nikola Jovanovic (12.2 PPG, 7.1 RPG) is the most important player for this USC team. Jovanovic had 16 points (5-for-7 FG), seven rebounds, three assists and a block in the win over Washington on Saturday. The 6-foot-11 forward can score in a number of ways and is impressive with his ability to hit midrange jumpers. He put up 20 points and grabbed five rebounds the last time he faced the Bruins and will need to put up similar numbers this time around. Defensively, he’ll need to do a better job protecting the rim (0.8 BPG) on Wednesday.


G Katin Reinhardt (12.1 PPG, 1.0 SPG) will also need to come up big for the Trojans in this game. Reinhardt can really shoot well from the outside (36% 3PT), but has struggled recently (2-for-14 in past three games) for this team. Reinhardt had 10 points in 34 minutes the last time he faced UCLA and with G Jordan McLaughlin (12.1 PPG, 4.5 APG, 3.0 RPG, 1.5 SPG) out for the season, USC will be even more dependent on the sophomore’s shooting. G Julian Jacobs (8.5 PPG, 4.2 RPG, 3.3 APG, 1.1 SPG) has been remarkable as a passer recently. Over the past three games, Jacobs is averaging 8.7 APG and he’ll need to continue to find his teammates against a UCLA team that can really score. Jacobs has also rebounded very well for his position, grabbing 7.2 RPG over the past five contests. His toughness and ability to fill up the stat sheet has made things much easier on the Trojans since losing McLaughlin. G Elijah Stewart (5.3 PPG, 1.2 BPG, 1.0 SPG) had 14 points, nine boards, two blocks and two steals in 29 minutes against Washington Saturday. He is the toughest defender the Trojans have and will need to bring some tenacity on Wednesday.


UCLA has been a very good offensive team this season, averaging 71.0 PPG (86th in NCAA) on 43.3% shooting (189th in NCAA). The Bruins are tough on the glass (38.7 RPG, 18th in NCAA) and can also pass the ball pretty well (13.8 APG, 93rd in NCAA). Defense has been the issue for this team though, allowing 67.7 PPG (215th in NCAA). UCLA must improve on that end of the floor fast because it will need to win a few more games in order to secure a spot in the NCAA tournament. G Norman Powell (16.5 PPG, 4.8 RPG, 1.9 SPG) is the guy that USC will be planning to stop. Powell is averaging 26.0 PPG, 5.5 RPG and 2.0 SPG in his past two contests and put up 22 points the last time he faced USC. He’s an explosive guard that is extremely tough to stop once he attacks the basket. He’ll create plenty of opportunities for himself at the free-throw line and can also knock down outside shots if the defense plays too far off of him (32% 3PT).


G Bryce Alford (15.2 PPG, 5.1 APG) is another guy that will give the Trojans a ton of issues. Alford is a very good shooter (35% 3PT) and has improved his ability to create his own shot off the dribble. If the defense pays too much attention to Powell than Alford will make his opponent pay for it. G Isaac Hamilton (10.0 PPG, 3.6 RPG, 3.1 APG) is another solid guard in this rotation. Hamilton is averaging 8.0 APG in his past two contests and has a tremendous feel for the game. He is yet another guy who can shoot (36% 3PT) in this backcourt and he’ll look to make some plays offensively in this one.


Fs Kevon Looney (12.3 PPG, 9.4 RPG, 1.3 SPG and 1.0 BPG) and Tony Parker (10.5 PPG, 6.8 RPG) will need to man the paint in this game. Both of them will spend a lot of time covering Jovanovic and they can’t let the big man get it going offensively. Looney is extremely athletic and has the ability to score around the basket and from behind the arc (43% 3PT). He’ll need to use his length to put pressure on USC on both ends of the floor. Parker, meanwhile, has been on a tear for the Bruins. He’s averaging 17.5 PPG and 7.5 RPG over the past two contests and will look to keep it up on Wednesday.
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
106,219
Tokens
WCC Betting Notebook


March 4, 2015




WEST COAST CONFERENCE


Date: March 6-10
Venue: Orleans Arena
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada


SCHEDULE


Friday, March 6
Game 1 - San Francisco vs. Pacific
Game 2 - Santa Clara vs. Loyola Marymount


Saturday, March 7
Game 3 - Saint Mary's vs. Portland
Game 4 - Pepperdine vs. San Diego
Game 5 - Gonzaga vs. Game 1 Winner
Game 6 - BYU vs. Game 2 Winner


Monday, March 9
Game 7 - Game 4 Winner vs. Game 5 Winner
Game 8 - Game 3 Winner vs. Game 6 Winner


Tuesday, March 10
Championship - Winner Game 7 vs. Winner Game 8


TECH NOTES:


-- Favs 7-1 w/revenge… dogs > 8 pts off DD ATS win are 7-2 ATS…
-- Favs 9-3 off BB SU losses…
-- DD favorites 0-7 ATS off BB SUATS wins…
-- DD favs 0-6 off ATS loss… dogs < 4 pts are 1-6 ATS vs opp w/revenge…
-- #3 seeds are 9-1 SU & 8-2 ATS as favorites 5 > points…
-- #4 seed dogs are 2-10 ATS…
-- #5 seeds are 11-3 ATS as favorites < 14 pts… #7 seeds are 0-6 ATS off a SU win…
-- #8 seed dogs are 4-12 ATS.


PROJECTED FINAL FOUR: Gonzaga, Saint Mary’s, BYU, Pepperdine


THE WAY WE SEE IT: Mighty GONZAGA has cut down the nets 11 of the last 14 years in this tourney while arriving to the title game all fourteen times in the process. The Zags’ 30-4 SU record all-time in this tourney speaks volumes and they are once again the team to beat as they continue their surge to earn a top seed in the upcoming NCAA Tournament. Aside from being the most accurate shooting team in the nation, the Zags also rank in the Top 20 in 3-point shooting, defensive field percentage and rebounding. One note of caution, though: the Bulldogs are just 4-8 ATS as favorites of 12 or more points in this tourney, including 0-3 the last three...


Like Gonzaga, SAINT MARY’S has become a fixture in the finals of the WCC tournament, playing for the title five of the last six years while winning two championships in the process. And like the Zags, Mary is a glass cleaner with a +6.9 rebound margin. Good news for the Gaels: they are 13-1 SU and 10-3-1 ATS versus No. 3 or lower seeds in this tourney. The bad news: 1-8 SUATS versus No. 1 seeds...


BYU is playing its best ball of the season while dominating weaker opponents away from Provo this year, going 7-1 SU/ATS. The larger task at hand, though, will be overcoming a 1-12 ATS run of late in this tourney, including a 0-8 ATS record in games when not favored...


PEPPERDINE was the biggest spread-winner in the loop this season (17-8-1 ATS at press time, including 6-0 ATS as puppies of more than 5 points). The Wave is also riding a 22-9 ATS skein away from Malibu the past two seasons, including 14-3 ATS when playing off a win. We’ll continue to ride them here.


THE SLEEPER: SAN FRANCISCO
The Dons move back into their annual ‘sleeper’ slot thanks in large part to head coach Rex Walters and his dominating 92-62 ATS career mark in conference games, including 7-3 ATS in this tourney with Frisco. The Dons are also 12-6 ATS away from the city of Rice-a-Roni versus .666 or greater foes the last five seasons, including 3-0 ATS in this tourney. Now that’s a San Francisco treat.


KEY TOURNEY BEST BET: PLAY ON LOYOLA MARYMOUNT, PACIFIC, SAN FRANCISCO AND SANTA CLARA VERSUS BYU
The Lions, Tigers, Dons and Broncos each fell twice to the Cougars this season, setting up an inspired revenge scenario. That’s because BYU is 0-7 ATS in its last seven conference tourney contests against foes seeking same-season double revenge-exact (not to mention the Mormons’ overall struggles in this tourney). Once again, we’re betting the Tabernacle Choir is not capable of pulling the hat trick against any of these entries in this tournament.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,120,953
Messages
13,589,311
Members
101,022
Latest member
captainjohn2039r
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com