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Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

-- Jered Weaver left his start after two innings Monday; he has a bad back. Teams should bunt on him more often; he has trouble getting off the mound to field, but otherwise he's a damn good pitcher.

-- Mike Trout/Miguel Cabrera declined invitations to Home Run Derby; Stanton and Cespedes are both in huge slumps-- are they thinking home runs too much?

-- Tough night for backup catchers, as John Buck/George Kottaras both got sent down to the minors, and will either be traded or released; both will get new jobs.

-- Dallas Beeler, Kyle Hendricks are getting called up to join the Cubs' rotation; poor Dan Straily, who is now stuck in AAA at Iowa instead of Sacramento.

-- Bronson Arroyo, who had never been hurt before this year, is having Tommy John surgery; its been that kind of a year for the Diamondbacks.

-- Houston Rockets offered Chris Bosh four years, $88M; if he leaves Miami, it opens the door for Carmelo Anthony to sign with the Heat, which might blow up the Interweb, if it happens.

**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud.....

13) We mentioned last week about young umpire Vic Carapazza getting in a lot of arguments this season, well this may be related: the last three games he did behind the plate (and four of his last six) ended up 1-0. Hitters aren’t fond of him.

Carapazza has the plate for Houston-Texas tonight; two lousy bullpens, curious to see if that game stays under the total.

12) Jay Bruce started at first base for the Reds last night, his first game as a pro at first base-- he hit a homer as the Reds beat the Cubs 9-3.

11) Mets’ TV announcers spent an entire half-inning Sunday bashing Cubs’ SS Starlin Castro for being lackadaisical in the field and various other things (they weren’t broadcasting a Cub game), so of course Castro showed up on the Interweb that night as a possible trade target of the Mets. Fans should love that if it happens.

10) Tampa Bay Rays have been hot recently; they get Jeremy Hellickson back on the mound Tuesday, as they start to gain some momentum for what would be a very unlikely playoff run—they looked dead two weeks ago.

9) Toronto’s Edwin Encanarcion is out 2-4 weeks with a quad injury he suffered while beating out the back end of a double play, getting an RBI. Costly RBI though; he had been pounding the ball this season.

8) DirecTV announced that it has created a live fantasy football channel that will be available every Sunday afternoon during the 2014 NFL season on its Sunday Ticket package. It will be channel 704, if you’re planning ahead.

7) Four of last six Felix Hernandez starts were 0-0 after the fifth inning.

6) 6-5 guard Will Jackson de-committed from UConn, will go to college at Georgiasomething you don’t see every day, a hoop recruit picking Georgia over UConn. Kid is from Athens, so if they couldn’t get him, they were in trouble as far as keeping up with Florida-Kentucky in the SEC. Actually, they still can’t keep up with those schools, but at least they got this kid, who will help them.

5) I don’t like listening to Shaquille O’Neal on TNT's studio show, I can’t always understand what he’s saying, but heard him on the NBA Summer League game Sunday and he was terrific. Bright, funny, smart, t lot more outgoing than he was on TNT most nights. Not sure why that is.

4) Former Utah Jazz coach Ty Corbin is the new lead assistant in Sacramento; I'd almost forgotten that Shaq is a minority owner of the Kings.

3) Target Field in Minnesota now has self-serve beer machines that let fans decide for themselves exactly the size beer they want. The first station, with two dispensing machines on the third-base side along the main concourse, made its debut Sunday. A second station will be added on the same concourse along the first-base side in time for the July 15 All-Star Game.

2) Baseball is a game of quirks; the instant replay system seems to find a new one every week. Thought the Braves got hosed Monday night, when umps overturned an out call on a force play at second base.

I had heard multiple times that the "neighborhood play" on potential double plays wouldn't be reviewed, as long as the throw was accurate- Atlanta's 2B pulled his foot off the base early and then threw to first, but it was an accurate throw. Umpires in the Replay Review Room at MLB called the Mets' runner safe, when announcers and myself both thought the play couldn't even be reviewed.

1) 6,683 entrants into the Main Event at the World Series of Poker creates a prize pool of $62,820,200, with $10M to the winner, $5,145,968 to the runner-up. Top seven finishers will all make $1M+.
 

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MLB
Dunkel


Pittsburgh at St. Louis
The Pirates look to bounce back from last night's 2-0 loss in the series opener and come into tonight's contest with a 5-0 record in their last 5 games following a defeat. Pittsburgh is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Pirates favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+110). Here are all of today's MLB picks.

TUESDAY, JULY 8

Game 951-952: Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati (1:10 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wada) 14.252; Cincinnati (Holmberg) 13.294
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+125); Under

Game 953-954: Atlanta at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Teheran) 16.978; NY Mets (deGrom) 15.383
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-145); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-145); Over

Game 955-956: Philadelphia at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Kendrick) 13.557; Milwaukee (Peralta) 15.032
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-170); Over

Game 957-958: Pittsburgh at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Worley) 15.632; St. Louis (Martinez) 13.697
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 2; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+110); Under

Game 959-960: San Diego at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Ross) 15.152; Colorado (Morales) 14.335
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Colorado (-115); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-105); Under

Game 961-962: Miami at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Hand) 14.117; Arizona (Nuno) 16.007
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Arizona (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-115); Over

Game 963-964: NY Yankees at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Tanaka) 15.762; Cleveland (Bauer) 16.535
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 6
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-165); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+145); Under

Game 965-966: Chicago White Sox at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 14.294; Boston (Workman) 17.294
Dunkel Line: Boston by 3; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-150); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-150); Over

Game 967-968: Kansas City at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Vargas) 15.762; Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 17.353
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-105); Under

Game 969-970: Houston at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Peacock) 14.253; Texas (Irwin) 15.789
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Texas (-125); 10
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-125); Over

Game 971-972: Toronto at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Dickey) 15.782; LA Angels (Skaggs) 14.696
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-165); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+145); Under

Game 973-974: Minnesota at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Hughes) 12.718; Seattle (Young) 16.439
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 3 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Seattle (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-120); Over

Game 975-976: Baltimore at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Norris) 14.885; Washington (Fister) 16.214
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Washington (-155); 8
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-155); Over

Game 977-978: LA Dodgers at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Ryu) 16.824; Detroit (Verlander) 15.242
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Detroit (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+100); Under

Game 979-980: San Francisco at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 15.645; Oakland (Gray) 16.932
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Oakland (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-135); Under
 

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MLB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, July 8


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CHICAGO CUBS (38 - 49) at CINCINNATI (46 - 42) - 7:10 PM
TSUYOSHI WADA (L) vs. DAVID HOLMBERG (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 165-247 (-46.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 178-244 (-90.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 40-77 (-24.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 165-247 (-46.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 24-15 (+7.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 32-26 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 19-12 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 16-23 (-13.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 351-316 (-77.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 6-3 (+1.7 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

TSUYOSHI WADA vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

DAVID HOLMBERG vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

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ATLANTA (49 - 40) at NY METS (40 - 49) - 7:10 PM
JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. JACOB DEGROM (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 39-22 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 40-60 (-21.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 53-70 (-21.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 288-307 (-91.0 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
NY METS are 53-70 (-21.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 48-72 (-30.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 17-34 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 36-59 (-22.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 26-59 (-23.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-4 (+1.3 Units) against NY METS this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.2 Units)

JULIO TEHERAN vs. NY METS since 1997
TEHERAN is 2-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.44 and a WHIP of 1.120.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.5 units)

JACOB DEGROM vs. ATLANTA since 1997
DEGROM is 0-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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PHILADELPHIA (38 - 51) at MILWAUKEE (52 - 38) - 8:10 PM
KYLE KENDRICK (R) vs. WILY PERALTA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 111-140 (-30.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 111-138 (-28.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 80-108 (-31.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 52-38 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 52-36 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 88-76 (+18.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 94-89 (+10.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 341-357 (+50.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 375-351 (+39.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
KENDRICK is 72-54 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-1 (+1.8 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)

KYLE KENDRICK vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
KENDRICK is 1-4 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.24 and a WHIP of 1.441.
His team's record is 1-5 (-4.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.3 units)

WILY PERALTA vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
PERALTA is 1-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 5.25 and a WHIP of 1.667.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

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PITTSBURGH (47 - 42) at ST LOUIS (48 - 42) - 8:15 PM
VANCE WORLEY (R) vs. CARLOS MARTINEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 103-230 (-67.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 120-75 (+24.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 219-137 (+60.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 144-113 (+25.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 14-6 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 142-112 (+24.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 33-22 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 120-94 (+24.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 65-47 (+18.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 21-26 (-10.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 5-5 (+0.4 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.5 Units)

VANCE WORLEY vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
WORLEY is 0-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.97 and a WHIP of 1.765.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

CARLOS MARTINEZ vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

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SAN DIEGO (40 - 49) at COLORADO (37 - 53) - 8:40 PM
TYSON ROSS (R) vs. FRANKLIN MORALES (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 13-21 (-10.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
COLORADO is 37-53 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 18-39 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 37-53 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 71-99 (-27.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 45-60 (-25.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 4-4 (-0.2 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.6 Units)

TYSON ROSS vs. COLORADO since 1997
ROSS is 0-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 2.76 and a WHIP of 1.225.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

FRANKLIN MORALES vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
MORALES is 1-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 0.75 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 2-0 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.4 units)

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MIAMI (43 - 46) at ARIZONA (38 - 53) - 9:40 PM
BRAD HAND (L) vs. VIDAL NUNO (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 388-380 (+37.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters since 1997.
ARIZONA is 38-53 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 16-28 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ARIZONA is 38-53 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 73-78 (-25.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 5-13 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
ARIZONA is 58-55 (-21.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against MIAMI this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

BRAD HAND vs. ARIZONA since 1997
HAND is 0-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

VIDAL NUNO vs. MIAMI since 1997
No recent starts.

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NY YANKEES (45 - 43) at CLEVELAND (43 - 45) - 7:05 PM
MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) vs. TREVOR BAUER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 23-28 (-9.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CLEVELAND is 135-116 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 76-48 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 129-110 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 27-20 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
NY YANKEES are 53-47 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 1-0 (+1.4 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

MASAHIRO TANAKA vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.

TREVOR BAUER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
BAUER is 0-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 1.264.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (43 - 47) at BOSTON (39 - 50) - 7:10 PM
JOHN DANKS (L) vs. BRANDON WORKMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 106-146 (-25.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 101-140 (-25.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 42-60 (-19.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
DANKS is 2-14 (-13.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 70-48 (+13.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 30-28 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 511-534 (+39.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHI WHITE SOX are 357-352 (+36.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.
DANKS is 7-0 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 39-51 (-22.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 74-79 (-24.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 21-26 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BOSTON is 46-53 (-26.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 37-47 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 29-35 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BOSTON is 12-22 (-16.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 2-2 (+1.2 Units) against BOSTON this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

JOHN DANKS vs. BOSTON since 1997
DANKS is 3-6 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.97 and a WHIP of 1.414.
His team's record is 3-7 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-6. (-3.7 units)

BRANDON WORKMAN vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
No recent starts.

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KANSAS CITY (46 - 42) at TAMPA BAY (41 - 51) - 7:10 PM
JASON VARGAS (L) vs. JEREMY HELLICKSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 26-7 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 67-59 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 17-9 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
VARGAS is 31-19 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 41-51 (-23.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 19-26 (-18.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 15-25 (-15.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 19-26 (-18.3 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome this season.
TAMPA BAY is 24-34 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 19-29 (-21.4 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season.
TAMPA BAY is 4-15 (-15.4 Units) against the money line after getting shut out over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 20-30 (-17.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TAMPA BAY is 9-16 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-1 (+2.3 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

JASON VARGAS vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
VARGAS is 4-4 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.14 and a WHIP of 1.221.
His team's record is 4-5 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-7. (-5.2 units)

JEREMY HELLICKSON vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
HELLICKSON is 1-2 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 6.18 and a WHIP of 1.626.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.4 units)

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HOUSTON (37 - 54) at TEXAS (38 - 51) - 8:05 PM
BRAD PEACOCK (R) vs. PHIL IRWIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 10-47 (-29.2 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 38-51 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 18-24 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TEXAS is 12-21 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 7-12 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 37-49 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 24-39 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 27-36 (-10.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-3 (+2.1 Units) against TEXAS this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.7 Units)

BRAD PEACOCK vs. TEXAS since 1997
PEACOCK is 0-2 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 4.00 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

PHIL IRWIN vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

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TORONTO (47 - 44) at LA ANGELS (52 - 36) - 10:05 PM
R.A. DICKEY (R) vs. TYLER SKAGGS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 31-10 (+19.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 22-5 (+16.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
TORONTO is 11-3 (+8.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday this season.
LA ANGELS are 146-128 (-60.1 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 122-118 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 52-71 (-20.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 4-1 (+3.2 Units) against TORONTO this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

R.A. DICKEY vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
DICKEY is 3-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.98 and a WHIP of 1.279.
His team's record is 3-4 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.4 units)

TYLER SKAGGS vs. TORONTO since 1997
SKAGGS is 1-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 0.500.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (39 - 49) at SEATTLE (49 - 40) - 10:10 PM
PHIL HUGHES (R) vs. CHRIS YOUNG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 49-40 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 32-15 (+15.2 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
YOUNG is 10-5 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 57-63 (+26.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
HUGHES is 11-6 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
HUGHES is 8-2 (+8.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 58-67 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 58-67 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 39-50 (-21.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 35-45 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 42-53 (-26.0 Units) against the money line in home games after shutting out their opponent since 1997.
SEATTLE is 22-34 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 54-63 (-20.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 322-298 (-73.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-2 (+0.0 Units) against SEATTLE this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

PHIL HUGHES vs. SEATTLE since 1997
HUGHES is 4-3 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.91 and a WHIP of 1.369.
His team's record is 5-3 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-3. (+1.9 units)

CHRIS YOUNG vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
YOUNG is 0-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.51 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 2-3 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (49 - 40) at WASHINGTON (48 - 40) - 7:05 PM
BUD NORRIS (R) vs. DOUG FISTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 93-63 (+29.3 Units) against the money line in home games in an inter-league game since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 50-40 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 20-14 (+13.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 27-19 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BALTIMORE is 20-11 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Tuesday over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 43-38 (+6.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 34-22 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 38-27 (+14.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 16-10 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
BALTIMORE is 118-99 (+38.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 94-87 (-15.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 45-58 (-19.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 7-17 (-12.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-0 (+1.8 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

BUD NORRIS vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
NORRIS is 2-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.66 and a WHIP of 1.474.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

DOUG FISTER vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
FISTER is 3-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 5.30 and a WHIP of 1.374.
His team's record is 3-3 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-0. (+4.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA DODGERS (51 - 40) at DETROIT (48 - 37) - 7:05 PM
HYUN-JIN RYU (L) vs. JUSTIN VERLANDER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 23-27 (-12.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
LA DODGERS are 73-57 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 22-9 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 29-17 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 55-39 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
RYU is 23-11 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 146-112 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 142-109 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
VERLANDER is 25-30 (-25.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 19-20 (-16.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 11-16 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 6-10 (-14.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 24-29 (-25.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 12-17 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 1-1 (+0.1 Units) against DETROIT this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)

HYUN-JIN RYU vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (49 - 40) at OAKLAND (56 - 33) - 10:05 PM
MADISON BUMGARNER (L) vs. SONNY GRAY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 61-67 (-19.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 11-21 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 15-25 (-13.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 72-85 (-22.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 56-33 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 133-77 (+36.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 39-17 (+22.0 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 21-8 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 54-29 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 93-59 (+20.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 53-30 (+17.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 116-68 (+40.7 Units) against the money line after shutting out their opponent since 1997.
OAKLAND is 36-18 (+13.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
OAKLAND is 72-49 (+21.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 26-14 (+13.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 24-17 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 24-17 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 525-514 (+52.8 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 88-57 (+25.6 Units) against the money line after getting shut out since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 56-44 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 13-6 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

MADISON BUMGARNER vs. OAKLAND since 1997
BUMGARNER is 1-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 5.68 and a WHIP of 1.657.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

SONNY GRAY vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO CUBS (38 - 49) at CINCINNATI (46 - 42) - 1:10 PM
TRAVIS WOOD (L) vs. JOHNNY CUETO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 165-247 (-46.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 12-27 (-14.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 178-244 (-90.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 40-77 (-24.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 47-74 (-21.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 165-247 (-46.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 74-117 (-32.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 24-15 (+7.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CINCINNATI is 21-12 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 32-26 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 16-23 (-13.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 343-370 (-96.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 351-316 (-77.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 6-3 (+1.7 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

TRAVIS WOOD vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
WOOD is 1-4 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.52 and a WHIP of 1.043.
His team's record is 1-6 (-4.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-2. (+2.7 units)

JOHNNY CUETO vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
CUETO is 8-6 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.91 and a WHIP of 1.190.
His team's record is 10-9 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-8. (+1.3 units)
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, July 8


Cubs-Reds
33-year old rookie Wada is making first MLB start; he was 9-5, 2.66 in his 16 AAA starts this year.
Wood is 1-1, 5.40 in his last three starts,
Holmberg allowed three runs in 3.2 IP in his only MLB start LY; he was 0-4, 5.28 in 10 AAA starts this year.
Cueto is 3-1, 2.55 in his last five starts.

Cubs are 0-3 since Samardzija trade, scoring four runs.
Cincinnati won five of its last six home games.
Six of last eight Cincinnati games stayed under total.

Braves-Mets
Teheran is 2-1, 2.17 in his last four starts.
de Grom is 1-1, 2.41 in his last three starts.

Braves won nine of their last eleven games.
Mets lost eight of their last twelve games.

Four of last five de Grom starts stayed under.

Phillies-Brewers
Kendrick is 0-2, 4.71 in his last three starts.
Peralta is 5-0, 4.74 in his last six starts.

Philly lost ten of its last thirteen games.
Milwaukee lost six of its last seven games.
Six of last seven Peralta starts went over total.

Pirates-Cardinals
Worley is 2-1, 2.28 in four starts for Pittsburgh.
Martinez is 2-0, 2.95 in four starts (only 18.1 IP).

Pirates won 12 of their last 16 games.
St Louis is 6-7 in its last thirteen games.
Under is 7-2-1 in Cardinals' last ten home games.

Padres-Rockies
Ross is 1-2, 1.96 in his last three starts.
Morales is 0-3, 7.54 in his last seven starts.

Padres won six of their last eight games.
Colorado lost 18 of its last 21 games.

Last seven Ross starts stayed under the total.

Marlins-Diamondbacks
Hand is 0-1, 8.74 in three starts this season.
Nuno was 1-3, 7.65 in his last four starts with Bronx.

Miami is 12-8 in its last twenty road games.
Diamondbacks lost five of their last eight games.

Eight of last eleven Arizona games stayed under total.

Bronx-Indians
Tanaka is 6-2, 2.30 in his last eight starts.
Bauer is 0-1, 4.91 in his last three starts.

Bronx Bombers won five of their last six road games.
Indians won four of their last six games.
Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Cleveland games.

Royals-Rays
Vargas is 4-1, 2.80 in his last eight starts.
Hellickson is making first '14 start; he is 39-31, 3.70 in 95 career starts.

Royals won 13 of their last 16 road games.
Tampa Bay won 10 of its last 13 games.
Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Tampa Bay games.

White Sox--Red Sox
Danks is 4-1, 3.40 in his last six starts.
Workman is 0-2, 6.35 in his last three starts.

White Sox won four of their last five games.
Red Sox lost 12 of their last 17 games.

15 of last 19 games at Fenway Park stayed under.

Astros-Rangers
Peacock is 0-1, 3.68 in his last four starts.
Irwin is making first MLB start; he was 4-1, 2.01 in his last six AAA starts.

Houston lost 15 of its last 20 games.
Rangers lost eight of their last nine games.
Seven of last nine Peacock starts stayed under.

Blue Jays-Angels
Dickey is 0-4, 5.08 in his last four starts.
Skaggs is 0-3, 5.26 in his last four starts.

Blue Jays lost ten of their last eleven road games.
Angels won 13 of their last 16 games; they've won 11 in row at home.

Eleven of last twelve Toronto games stayed under.

Twins-Mariners
Hughes is 1-3, 6.33 in his last four starts.
Young is 3-0, 1.44 in his last four starts.

Minnesota lost six of its last seven games.
Mariners won eight of their last ten games.

Eight of last nine Young starts stayed under.

Orioles-Nationals
Norris is 4-0, 2.55 in his last four starts.
Fister is 7-2, 2.88 in his last ten starts.

Orioles won seven of their last eight games.
Washington won seven of its last nine games.

Nine of last twelve Washington games went over.

Dodgers-Tigers
Ryu is 2-1, 2.42 in his last four starts.
Verlander is 1-0, 3.32 in his last three starts.

Dodgers won seven of their last nine road games.
Tigers lost their last three games, scoring eight runs.

Under is 4-1-1 in last six Ryu starts; nine of last ten Verlander starts went over the total.

Giants-A's
Bumgarner is 1-3, 4.64 in his last five starts.
Gray is 2-0, 3.79 in his last three starts.

Giants won four of their last six road games.
Oakland won ten of its last eleven home games.

Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Bumgarner starts.

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Wada 0-0, Wood 3-17; Cueto 2-18, Holmberg 0-0
-- Teheran 5-18; deGrom 2-10
-- Kendrick 9-17; Peralta 3-17
-- Worley 0-4; Martinez 0-4
-- Ross 5-18; Morales 2-12
-- Hand 1-3; Nuno 6-14

-- Tanaka 6-18; Bauer 3-10
-- Danks 5-17; Workman 5-7
-- Vargas 2-18; Hellickson 0-0
-- Peacock 4-12; Irwin 0-0
-- Dickey 4-18; Skaggs 6-12
-- Hughes 3-17; Young 2-16

-- Norris 4-14; Fister 3-11
-- Ryu 1-16; Verlander 6-18
-- Bumgarner 4-18; Gray 6-17

Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- Wada 0-0, Wood 10-7; Cueto 10-8, Holmberg 0-0
-- Teheran 12-6; deGrom 2-8
-- Kendrick 7-10; Peralta 10-7
-- Worley 2-2; Martinez 4-0
-- Ross 8-10; Morales 5-7
-- Hand 0-3; Nuno 6-8

-- Tanaka 13-4; Bauer 4-6
-- Danks 8-9; Workman 2-5
-- Vargas 10-8; Hellickson 0-0
-- Peacock 5-7; Irwin 0-0
-- Dickey 8-10; Skaggs 7-5
-- Hughes 11-6; Young 10-6

-- Norris 9-5; Fister 8-3
-- Ryu 9-7; Verlander 10-8
-- Bumgarner 10-8; Gray 11-6

Umpires
-- Chi-Cin-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Winters games; underdogs won five of last seven Fletcher games.
-- Atl-NY-- Six of nine Everitt games went over the total.
-- Phil-Mil-- Underdogs won five of last seven Hoberg games.
-- Pitt-StL-- Eight of last ten West games went over total.
-- SD-Col-- Underdogs won five of last nine Reynolds games.
-- Mia-Az-- 12 of last 17 Davidson games stayed under.

-- NY-Clev-- Four of last five Gonzalez games stayed under.
-- Chi-Bos-- Four of six Joyce games went over the total.
-- KC-TB-- Under is 11-3-1 in last fifteen Nelson games.
-- Hst-Tex-- Five of last six Carapazza games stayed under; four of the six had a 1-0 final score.
-- Tor-LA-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Rackley games.
-- Min-Sea-- Last seven Danley games stayed under.

-- Blt-Wsh-- Eight of last eleven Iassogna games stayed under.
-- SF-A's-- Favorites won eight of last ten Hernandez games.
 

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Tuesday, July 8


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1:10 PM
CHI CUBS vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games on the road
Chi Cubs are 7-18 SU in their last 25 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Cincinnati is 18-7 SU in their last 25 games when playing Chi Cubs

7:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games
Baltimore is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Baltimore

7:05 PM
NY YANKEES vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 9 games on the road
NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games at home

7:08 PM
LA DODGERS vs. DETROIT
LA Dodgers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of LA Dodgers's last 20 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games
Detroit is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games

7:10 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. BOSTON
Chi White Sox are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Boston's last 19 games at home
Boston is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home

7:10 PM
ATLANTA vs. NY METS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Atlanta's last 16 games
NY Mets are 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 7 games

7:10 PM
CHI CUBS vs. CINCINNATI
Chi Cubs are 1-3-1 SU in their last 5 games ,on the road
Chi Cubs are 1-3-1 SU in their last 5 games ,when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati5-1-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Cincinnati17-7-1 SU in their last 25 games when playing Chi Cubs

7:10 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Kansas City's last 12 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City

8:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. TEXAS
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Texas
Houston is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games when playing Texas
Texas is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
Texas is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing Houston

8:10 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. MILWAUKEE
Philadelphia is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Philadelphia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

8:15 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of St. Louis's last 24 games
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

8:40 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. COLORADO
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego's last 8 games on the road
San Diego is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Colorado's last 12 games when playing San Diego
Colorado is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against San Diego

9:40 PM
MIAMI vs. ARIZONA
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Miami

10:05 PM
TORONTO vs. LA ANGELS
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 12 of LA Angels's last 16 games when playing Toronto

10:05 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of San Francisco's last 24 games when playing on the road against Oakland
San Francisco is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Oakland's last 24 games when playing at home against San Francisco

10:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. SEATTLE
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games at home
Seattle is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
 

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Tuesday, July 8



Unders cash for bettors in Monday's games

The Under had a huge day for bettors Monday, posting a record of 10-4 on the day. Obviously pitching had a big hand in that performance as there were five shutouts posted in those 14 ball games.

Tuesday has a full slate of 15 games on the board with totals ranging from 7 to 10.5.


Rough weather in forecast at Great American Ball Park

There is some rough weather in the forecast for Tuesday's only afternoon Major League Baseball action at the Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati.

The Reds (-213, 7.0) host the Chicago Cubs where there are expected thunderstorms and a strong 14 mph wind blowing across the field from first to third base. There is also a 71 percent chance of rain.


The crazy umpire total stat you need to know

When umpire Kerwin Danley is calling balls and strikes, teams are combining to score an average of just 5.33 runs per game, the lowest average runs for any umpire with at least 10 games at home plate. Not surprisingly teams are 3-11 over/under for the season, including going under the last eight games in a row.

This isn't just a trend for this season. In Danley's last 53 games as the home plate umpire, the under is an incredible 41-10-2.

Danley will be behind the plate Tuesday night when the Minnesota Twins visit the Seattle Mariners, with a total currently at 7.0


Over trending when wind blows to left at this park

The Over has been a hot play when wind blows out to left field at Detroit's Comerica Park this season. All told, the Over/Under record is 5-1 with an average of 1.57 home runs per game with hitter-friendly wind out to left.

That just happens to be the case with the Los Angeles Dodgers visit the Tigers for an interleague clash as forecasts predict winds of 15 mph out to left field Tuesday evening. The total is currently at 8.5 for this matchup.
 

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MLB

Tuesday, July 8



MLB Baseball Trends - Season to Date

Straight Up Trends (Won Loss)

Category Record Percent

Away Teams 651-685 48.73%
Home Teams 685-651 51.27%
Favorites 730-587 55.43%
Dogs 587-730 44.57%
Away Favorites 227-172 56.89%
Away Dogs 415-503 45.21%
Home Favorites 503-415 54.79%
Home Dogs 172-227 43.11%

Against The Spread Trends (ATS)

Category Record Percent

Away Teams 757-579 56.66%
Home Teams 579-757 43.34%
Favorites 528-808 39.52%
Dogs 808-528 60.48%
Away Favorites 175-226 43.64%
Away Dogs 582-353 62.25%
Home Favorites 353-582 37.75%
Home Dogs 226-175 56.36%

Over vs. Under Trends

Category Overs Percent Unders Percent

Extra Inning Games 68 56.20% 53 43.80%
Non-Extra Inning Games 561 48.91% 586 51.09%
All Games 629 49.61% 639 50.39%
 

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Tuesday, July 8



Under trending with Peacock on the road

The Houston Astros send Brad Peacock to the mound when they battle the Texas Rangers in Arlington Tuesday, which means bettors need to take note of one particular trend. In Peacock's previous six road starts, the Under is 6-0.

Texas is currently -127 favorites on the moneyline with a total of 10.


BoSox struggling mightily against LHP

The Boston Red Sox have been posting some ugly numbers against left-handed pitching as of late, going just 1-8 in their last nine games versus southpaws. Lefty John Danks will be on the bump for the Chicago White Sox when they face off against Boston at Fenway Park Tuesday.

Boston is currently -151 faves with a total of 9.5.


Rays dogs in Hellickson's return to rotation

Tampa Bay will be slight underdogs (+102) when Jeremy Hellickson returns to the mound Tuesday night when the Rays host the Kansas City Royals.

Hellickson underwent arthroscopic surgery on his pitching (right) elbow in late January and will be making his first start of the season Tuesday. Hellickson has a 3.70 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP in 95 career starts.
 

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Short Sheet

Tuesday, July 8


First Post

Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati, 1:10 ET - Doubleheader Game #1
Wood: CHICAGO CUBS 18-9 after allowing 8 runs or more
Cueto: 22-6 UNDER day games
 

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Rated Plays As Of 07/07

*****.......................... 9 - 9 ...........................-0.96

DOUBLE PLAY...................6 - 10 ...........................- 5.12

TRIPLE PLAY....................9 - 13 ...........................-10.49


Tuesday, July 8

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Baltimore - 7:05 PM ET Washington -143 500
Washington - Over 8 500

NY Yankees - 7:05 PM ET Cleveland +143 500
Cleveland - Under 7.5 500

LA Dodgers - 7:08 PM ET Detroit -110 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Detroit - Over 8.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY

Chi. White Sox - 7:10 PM ET Chi. White Sox +146 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Boston - Under 9.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY

Atlanta - 7:10 PM ET Atlanta -149 500
NY Mets - Under 7 500

Chi. Cubs - 7:10 PM ET Cincinnati -108 500 *****
Cincinnati - Under 8 500

Kansas City - 7:10 PM ET Tampa Bay +103 500
Tampa Bay - Over 7 500

Houston - 8:05 PM ET Houston +130 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Texas - Over 10 500 DOUBLE PLAY

Philadelphia - 8:10 PM ET Philadelphia +156 500 *****
Milwaukee - Under 8.5 500

Pittsburgh - 8:15 PM ET Pittsburgh +107 500 *****
St. Louis - Under 7.5 500

San Diego - 8:40 PM ET San Diego -113 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Colorado - Under 10.5 500

Miami - 9:40 PM ET Miami +112 500
Arizona - Under 9 500

Toronto - 10:05 PM ET LA Angels -155 500 *****
LA Angels - Over 8.5 500

San Francisco - 10:05 PM ET San Francisco +132 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Oakland - Under 7 500

Minnesota - 10:10 PM ET Seattle -114 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Seattle - Under 7 500
 

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give um hell my brudda..........gl tonight, keep um coming..........don't know why you still hang in at the other place.......

they don't deserve you, and don't show their appreciation to you like JT and I used to........

know what I mean Verne................your podna always
 

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LOL..................yes you have that right ........doesn't seem like people care........who's JT....lol
 

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Wednesday's Tip Sheet

July 9, 2014

Yankees at Indians – 7:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
NYY: McCarthy (3-10, 5.01 ERA w/ARZ)
CLE: Tomlin (5-6, 4.11 ERA)

Series recap: These two teams have split the first two games as the Indians knocked off the Yankees as +135 home underdogs on Tuesday, 5-3. New York won by that exact score on Monday as a ‘dog, as the Yankees are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings with Cleveland since 2012.

What to watch for: McCarthy makes his Yankees’ debut after getting traded from the Diamondbacks, as the righty is coming off consecutive road victories at Pittsburgh and San Diego. In spite of last night’s loss, the Yankees are 5-2 in their last seven road contests, while posting the ‘over’ in seven of the past 10 away games. The Indians own a 5-1 record in their last six Game 3’s of a home series, while winning five of their past six home contests against AL East opponents.

Nationals at Orioles – 7:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
WSH: Fister (7-2, 2.93 ERA)
BAL: Norris (7-5, 3.62 ERA)

Series recap: Following Monday’s 8-2 victory in extra-innings by the Orioles at Nationals Park, bad weather postponed Tuesday’s contest until August. The Orioles have won six of the last seven meetings with their Beltway rival, as Baltimore cashed tickets of +175 with six runs in the 11th inning on Monday.

What to watch for: Norris makes his first start since June 21, as Baltimore has won each of the last four starts made by the righty prior to a stint on the disabled list. The Nationals have stumbled to a 4-7 record the last 11 road games since winning three straight at San Francisco in early June. Washington has compiled an 8-2 record in Fister’s past 10 starts, but both defeats came on the highway.

Royals at Rays – 7:10 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
KC: Ventura (6-7, 3.07 ERA)
TB: Cobb (4-6, 4.28 ERA)

Series recap: Kansas City cruised past Tampa Bay on Monday, 6-0, but the Rays rebounded with a 4-3 home triumph on Tuesday. Tampa Bay is riding an 11-3 stretch the past 14 games, as the Rays look to improve on a 3-8 record in the last 11 matchups with the Royals.

What to watch for: The Royals have won three of Ventura’s four starts as an underdog this season, but the lone defeat came at home to Tampa Bay back in April in a 1-0 setback. Cobb has struggled at Tropicana Field, as the Rays have posted a 1-5 record in his six home starts, while the righty is facing the Royals for the first time since suffering a head injury on a line-drive last June that sidelined him for two months.

Pirates at Cardinals – 8:15 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
PIT: Cumpton (3-2, 4.61 ERA)
STL: Lynn (9-6, 3.17 ERA)

Series recap: The Cardinals finished off a pair of victories over their division rivals with walk-off homers on consecutive nights. St. Louis topped Pittsburgh on Monday, 2-0 with a two-run homer, while receiving a solo shot from Kolten Wong in last night’s 5-4 triumph as -110 favorites. Pittsburgh suffered back-to-back road losses for the first time since late May against the Mets, while falling to 12-5 in the last 17 games overall.

What to watch for: St. Louis has cashed the ‘under’ in seven of Lynn’s previous nine starts, including five of the last six outings at Busch Stadium. The Pirates have dropped four of five visits to St. Louis this season, but Pittsburgh owns a 4-1 record in Cumpton’s five starts since the beginning of June.

Athletics at Giants – 10:10 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
OAK: Hammel (8-5, 2.98 ERA w/CHC)
SF: Cain (1-7, 4.27 ERA)

Series recap: The A’s have cruised past the Giants in each of the first two contests of this four-game set. Oakland limited San Francisco to just one run in the two victories, while winning last night, 5-1 as -155 home favorites. The Bay Bridge Series has been owned by the A’s of late, as Oakland is 6-1 in the last seven meetings with San Francisco.

What to watch for: Hammel makes his Oakland debut after getting acquired from the Cubs this past weekend, as the righty was 5-5 in 10 away starts with Chicago. It’s been a tough season for Cain, as San Francisco is 0-5 in his past five outings in spite of allowing just two earned runs in his last two trips to the mound. The home-cooking has dried up for the Giants, who have put together a dreadful 3-14 record in the past 17 games at AT&T Park, while scoring two runs or less in seven of the last 10 home contests.
 

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Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

-- Umpire Angel Hernandez always has someone mad at him; this time it wasn't the A's but the Giants. Seems like someone is always barking at him.

-- Cardinals got a walk-off homer vs Pittsburgh for the second night in row, with Kolten Wong homering in the 9th- Monday it was Matt Adams.

-- Yasiel Puig signed up for Home Run Derby; that should be interesting.

-- Todd Frazier will also be there; does that make him the first player to be in both the Little League World Series and Home Run Derby?

-- Orioles-Nationals were rained out, won't make it up until August 4th- teams are playing today/tomorrow at Camden Yards.

-- Bud Norris came off the DL, will start today for first place Baltimore.

**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Random mid-week thoughts........

13) Interesting college basketball articles on CBSSports.com this week, as summer recruiting starts; Gary Parrish wrote an article saying how five of the top 10 rated seniors in last year’s high school class are already in the NBA, eight of ten from two years ago. The cream of the crop doesn’t stay in college long at all; I still think college ball would be better off if kids could go straight from high school to the NBA and remove the farce of the top players pretending to be college students while they wait to be eligible for the NBA Draft.

12) Lipton Iced Tea has come up with a combo iced tea/lemonade to rival Arnold Palmer Iced Tea (made by Arizona Iced Tea); I’m here to tell you they’ve fallen short. Arnold Palmer is tremendous, and it is inexpensive ($1 for a 33-ounce can). Lipton’s version is little tangier. No contest, as far as I’m concerned.

11) 20 years ago, the CFL had a team in Baltimore, the Stallions; they played for two years and won the 1995 Grey Cup. CFL tried to expand into this country, which turned out to be an ill-fated idea; once the Browns moved to Baltimore and became the Ravens, the CFL moved back north of the border, where it is a terrificly unique sport.

10) If you like to read into a team's body language, the Toronto Blue Jays are in deep trouble; they look like a beaten team, a team having no fun, even though they are a contender. It’s a long season, which is part of why Joe Maddon does so well managing the Rays—he is expert at lightening the mood when it needs to be.

9) Odd fact: Washington Nationals lost their last nine extra inning games that were at home, the longest such streak since the 1990 Braves.

8) You look at the three veterans who signed with teams after June 1: Stephen Drew, Kendrys Morales and Carlos Pena, they’re all struggling badly. Hard to get up to speed from a standing start against guys who have been into the season for two months, after a five week spring training- their agents did them wrong by holding out so long, except for Pena, who just wasn’t wanted by anyone until Texas got really desperate for a 1B.

7) Damn, the Florida Gators were 4-8 in football last year, are just 30-21 the last four years. Good thing their coach doesn’t get paid millions of dol--- oh wait, forget I said anything. Heads could roll in the Gators aren’t chomping more this fall.

6) In case you care about such things, Daisuke Matsuzaka has made eight starts for the Mets this year; the home team won all eight games.

5) Delonte West hasn’t played in the NBA the last two years, after scoring 11.5 or more ppg in three of four seasons from 2006-09; now he’s trying to make a comeback and will be on the Clippers’ summer league team in Las Vegas.

4) Adam Dunn hit his 435th home run Monday, a long bomb over the bullpen at Fenway; ironic that it put him past Red Sox icon Carl Yastrzemski on the all-time home run list, especially since it was his first-ever homer in Boston.

3) Cardinals won four of Adam Wainwright’s last five starts; a total of 11 runs were scored by both teams in the five games.

2) Last year I played fantasy football for the first time in over 20 years and, um, it didn’t go well. I used eight different QBs due to injury, and even lost the day Nick Foles threw seven TD passes for me in Oakland. Oy.

If we ever meet, never mention Matt Schaub to me…….lol I’m out for redemption this year, so we’ll keep you up-to-date how that goes.

1) Only 25 days until the NFL Hall of Fame game, Giants-Bills, which kicks off the NFL’s preseason. Summer goes by pretty fast, doesn't it?
 

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Dunkel


Houston at Texas
The Astros look to follow up last night's 8-3 in over the Rangers as they face a Texas team that is 2-12 in its last 14 games after allowing 5 runs or more in the previous game. Houston is the pick (+170) according to Dunkel, which has the Astros favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Houston (+170). Here are all of today's MLB picks.

WEDNESDAY, JULY 9

Game 901-902: San Diego at Colorado (3:10 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Stults) 12.138; Colorado (Jurrjens) 14.589
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 2 1/2; 12
Vegas Line: Colorado (-110); 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-110); Over

Game 903-904: Miami at Arizona (3:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Eovaldi) 14.677; Arizona (Collmenter) 13.182
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+110); Under

Game 905-906: Atlanta at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Santana) 14.715; NY Mets (Gee) 15.882
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+110); Under

Game 907-908: Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Beeler) 15.527; Cincinnati (Simon) 17.190
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-180); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-180); Over

Game 909-910: Philadelphia at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hernandez) 15.167; Milwaukee (Lohse) 14.077
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+170); Under

Game 911-912: Pittsburgh at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Cumpton) 13.677; St. Louis (Lynn) 16.140
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-140); Over

Game 913-914: Toronto at LA Angels (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Stroman) 16.303; LA Angels (Wilson) 15.484
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 7
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+140); Under

Game 915-916: NY Yankees at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (McCarthy) 15.855; Cleveland (Tomlin) 17.485
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-115); Over

Game 917-918: Chicago White Sox at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Sale) 16.942; Boston (De La Rosa) 15.473
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-135); Over

Game 919-920: Kansas City at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Ventura) 14.855; Tampa Bay (Cobb) 13.885
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+120); Under

Game 921-922: Houston at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Keuchel) 16.388; Texas (Darvish) 15.366
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Texas (-200); 8
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+170); Under

Game 923-924: Minnesota at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Gibson) 15.778; Seattle (Elias) 17.178
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Seattle (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-150); Over

Game 925-926: LA Dodgers at Detroit (1:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Greinke) 15.549; Detroit (Scherzer) 14.448
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Detroit (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+115); Under

Game 927-928: Washington at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Roark) 13.286; Baltimore (Chen) 14.650
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-115); Over

Game 929-930: Oakland at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Hammel) 15.138; San Francisco (Cain) 13.772
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-120); Over
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, July 9


Padres-Rockies
Stults is 1-1, 2.19 in his last two starts.
Jurrjens gave up eight runs in 4.2 IP in his first '14 start.

Padres won six of their last nine games.
Colorado lost 18 of its last 22 games.

Nine of last ten Stults starts stayed under the total.

Marlins-Diamondbacks
Eovaldi is 1-3, 5.70 in his last five starts.
Collmenter is 3-1, 2.73 in his last four home starts.

Miami is 13-8 in its last twenty-one road games.
Diamondbacks lost six of their last nine games.

Nine of last twelve Arizona games stayed under total.

Braves-Mets
Santana is 2-0, 2.57 in his last couple starts.
Gee was 2-0, 1.35 in his last three starts before going on DL.

Braves lost last three games, after winning nine in row.
Mets won four of their last five games.

Three of last four Santana starts stayed under.

Phillies-Brewers
Hernandez is 0-3, 5.50 in his last three starts.
Lohse is 2-1, 3.77 in his last five starts.

Philly lost ten of its last fourteen games, but won last two.
Milwaukee lost seven of its last eight games.
Six of last eight Hernandez starts went over total.

Pirates-Cardinals
Cumpton is 3-0, 3.09 in his last five starts.
Lynn is 2-1, 0.87 in his last three home starts.

Pirates lost their last three road games, last two on walkoffs.
St Louis won five of its last seven home games.
Under is 8-2-1 in Cardinals' last eleven home games.

Cubs-Reds
Beeler allowed one run in six IP in his first MLB start.
Cincinnati won last seven Simon starts (3-0, 2.00 last five).

Cubs are 0-5 since Samardzija trade, scoring eleven runs.
Cincinnati won seven of its last eight home games.
Seven of last ten Cincinnati games stayed under total.

Blue Jays-Angels
Stroman is 1-0, 1.25 in his last three starts.
Wilson is 1-1, 7.27 in his last five starts.

Blue Jays lost ten of their last twelve road games.
Angels won 13 of their last 17 games; they're 11-1 in last 12 at home.

Twelve of last thirteen Toronto games stayed under.

Bronx-Indians
McCarthy was 2-0, 2.13 in his last couple starts for Arizona.
Tomlin is 0-3, 11.40 in his last three home starts.

Bronx Bombers won five of their last seven road games.
Indians won five of their last seven games.
Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Cleveland home games.

Royals-Rays
Ventura is 4-2, 2.52 in his last six starts.
Cobb is 2-2, 5.73 in his last four starts.

Royals lost three of their last four games.
Tampa Bay won 11 of its last 14 games.
Under is 4-1-1 in last six Stroman starts.

White Sox--Red Sox
Sale is 3-0, 2.89 in his last four starts.
de la Rosa is 1-0, 0.64 in his last two starts.

White Sox won five of their last six games.
Red Sox lost 13 of their last 18 games.

15 of last 20 games at Fenway Park stayed under.

Astros-Rangers
Keuchel is 0-2, 7.00 in his last three starts.
Darvish is 1-0, 2.77 in his last two starts.

Houston lost 15 of its last 21 games, but won last two.
Rangers lost nine of their last ten games.
Last five Texas games went over the total.

Twins-Mariners
Gibson is 1-2, 11.25 in his last three starts.
Elias is 0-2, 8.18 in his last couple starts.

Minnesota lost six of its last eight games.
Mariners won eight of their last eleven games.

Five of last seven Gibson starts stayed under.

Orioles-Nationals
Norris is 4-0, 2.55 in his last four starts.
Fister is 7-2, 2.88 in his last ten starts.

Orioles won seven of their last eight games.
Washington won seven of its last nine games.

Nine of last twelve Washington games went over.

Dodgers-Tigers
Greinke is 3-1, 3.04 in his last four starts.
Scherzer is 2-0, 1.71 in his last three starts.

Dodgers won seven of their last ten road games.
Tigers lost three of their last four games.

Six of last nine Scherzer starts went over total.

Giants-A's
Hammel was 2-1, 2.79 in his last three starts for the Cubs.
Cain is 0-4, 5.87 in his last five starts, 0-1, 1.35 in his last two.

Oakland won its last six games, allowing five runs.
Giants lost nine of their last twelve games.

Last six Oakland games stayed under the total.

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Beeler 0-1; Simon 5-17 (1 of last 8)
-- Stults 6-18; Jurrjens 1-1
-- Eovaldi 7-18; Collmenter 8-15 (4 of last 5)
-- Santana 6-16 (3 of last 4); Gee 2-8
-- Hernandez 8-16; Lohse 7-17
-- Cumpton 2-9; Lynn 5-18

-- Stroman 2-7; Wilson 4-18 (1 of last 8)
-- McCarthy 4-18; Tomlin 3-11
-- Sale 1-13; de la Rosa 1-5
-- Ventura 4-16 (0 of last 6); Cobb 3-12
-- Keuchel 4-16; Darvish 3-16
-- Gibson 6-17 (3 of last 3); Elias 6-18

-- Fister 3-11; Norris 4-14
-- Greinke 3-18; Scherzer 6-18
-- Hammel 4-17 (3 of last 5); Cain 5-14 (1 of last 6)

Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- Beeler 0-1; Simon 14-3
-- Stults 7-11 (2-8 last 10); Jurrjens 0-1
-- Eovaldi 7-11 (1-6 last 7); Collmenter 9-6
-- Santana 8-8; Gee 4-4
-- Hernandez 6-10 (4 of last 6); Lohse 13-5
-- Cumpton 5-4 (4-1 last 5); Lynn 11-7

-- Stroman 3-4; Wilson 9-9
-- McCarthy (Az 4-14); Tomlin 5-6 (1-4 last 5)
-- Sale 9-4; de la Rosa 2-3
-- Ventura 7-9; Cobb 5-7
-- Keuchel 9-7; Darvish 11-5
-- Gibson 8-9 (1-3 last 4); Elias 9-9

-- Fister 3-11; Norris 4-14
-- Greinke 11-7; Scherzer 13-5 (5-1 last 6)
-- Hammel (Chi 10-7); Cain 4-10 (0-5 last 5)

Umpires
-- Chi-Cin-- Underdogs won 12 of last 15 Wegner games; over is 7-4 in his last eleven games.
-- Atl-NY-- Over is 10-3-1 in last fourteen Barber games.
-- Phil-Mil-- Favorites won eight of last nine Kellogg games.
-- Pitt-StL-- Underdogs won nine of last 13 Foster games.
-- SD-Col-- 11 of last 15 Fagan games stayed under total.
-- Mia-Az-- Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Tumpane games.

-- NY-Clev-- Over is 6-2-1 in Woodring games this season.
-- Chi-Bos-- Under is 12-4-1 in Eddings games this season.
-- KC-TB-- Eight of last eleven Diaz games went over total.
-- Hst-Tex-- Underdogs won eight of last ten Miller games.
-- Tor-LA-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Wolf games.
-- Min-Sea-- Four of last five Morales games went over.

-- LA-Det-- Over is 10-5 in last 15 TBarrett games; visitor won last six.
-- Wsh-Blt-- Eight of last eleven Iassogna games stayed under.
-- SF-A's-- Four of last five Ripperger games went over; dogs won last four.
 

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Wednesday, July 9


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1:08 PM
LA DODGERS vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of LA Dodgers's last 21 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games

3:10 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. COLORADO
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of San Diego's last 12 games
San Diego is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Colorado is 4-18 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games

3:35 PM
TORONTO vs. LA ANGELS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games at home

3:40 PM
MIAMI vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
Miami is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing Miami

7:05 PM
NY YANKEES vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Yankees's last 10 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
NY Yankees are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 10 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

7:05 PM
WASHINGTON vs. BALTIMORE
Washington7-2-1 SU in its last 10 games
Washington is 1-5-1 SU in its last 7 games ,when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Baltimore's last 18 games at home

7:10 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. TAMPA BAY
Kansas City is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Kansas City is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City

7:10 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. BOSTON
Chi White Sox are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Boston's last 20 games at home

7:10 PM
CHI CUBS vs. CINCINNATI
Chi Cubs are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games

7:10 PM
ATLANTA vs. NY METS
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Atlanta's last 11 games on the road
NY Mets are 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games

8:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. TEXAS
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Texas is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Houston
Texas is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing Houston

8:10 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia

8:15 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of St. Louis's last 25 games

10:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
Seattle is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

10:15 PM
OAKLAND vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Oakland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games
San Francisco is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
San Francisco is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
 

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MLB

Tuesday, July 8


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Three streaking MLB bets to watch before the All-Star Break
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The baseball season doesn’t offer players many breathers during the 162-game gauntlet from April to October. That’s why the MLB All-Star Break is always a big deal – even if guys aren’t featured in the annual showcase of baseball’s top talents.

Some teams are closing in on their division leaders and look at the final stretch before the break as a perfect time to put their heads down and go all out before some time off. Others clubs, the ones sliding back in the standings, are counting the days until time away from the diamond, clubhouse and probing media and may not be 100 percent focused on the schedule ahead.

Here are three teams to watch in the final week of MLB betting action before the All-Star Break.

Seattle Mariners (49-40, +956 units)

The Mariners are playing great ball with seven wins in their last 10 outings, heading into Tuesday’s home game against Minnesota. The pitching has been superb with Seattle giving up two or fewer runs in six of its last eight games, including two shutouts. The bullpen is the best in the majors - 2.45 ERA - with 28 saves and nine blown saves.

The M’s are third in the American League West – 7.5 games behind Oakland – and have a great opportunity to close that gap during an upcoming three-game showdown with the A’s at Safeco Field before the break.

Washington Nationals (48-40, -80 units)

The Nationals were a little slow going in the spring, especially in May, but have been picking up steam in the National League East. Washington is just half a game behind Atlanta heading into Tuesday’s interleague contest with Baltimore, having won seven of their previous 10 games.

The Nats stumbled Monday, giving up eight runs to the Orioles, but have been very stingy with the runs in recent outings. Before that loss, Washington allowed more than three runs just once in the eight games previous. The Nationals can push themselves ahead of the Braves during a road set in Philadelphia before the break – already winning four of six games versus the Phillies this season.

San Diego Padres (40-49, -1062 units)

Could one of the worst bets in baseball suddenly be on the rise? The Padres have been plagued by poor hitting all season – ranked 30th in the bigs – but their bats have come to life in recent outings. San Diego scored eight runs on July 1 and put six on the board in Colorado Monday, giving backers their sixth win in the past 10 games – a haul of +348 units.

Of course, Coors Field could have something to do with that Monday result. But so could getting out of power-sucking Petco Park, which is among the most pitcher-friendly parks in America. The Padres could enjoy life on the road before the break. They head into the All-Star hiatus off a four-game road series against the Dodgers, who have four players looking past San Diego and to the ASG in Minnesota.
 

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MLB

Wednesday, July 9



What trend was hot on the diamond Tuesday night?

It was another good night to be backing underdogs against the runline in Major League Baseball action Tuesday night.

Underdogs put up an impressive 12-3 mark against the runline, good for a success rate of 80 percent. Dogs against the runline have been one of baseball's best bets, still hitting over 60 percent of the time for the season.


Yankees' Carlos Beltran, questionable Wednesday

Beltran is dealing with swelling in his right knee which caused him to miss the last two games. He is questionable to return on Wednesday against the Indians.


Rainout means Nationals will skip Roark's turn

The first player to pop into the office of Washington Nationals manager Matt Williams after Tuesday's game was rained out was Doug Fister, the scheduled pitcher for that night's game against the Baltimore Orioles.

"What is the plan?" said Fister, according to Williams.

The plan is for Fister to start Wednesday against the Orioles when the series moves to Baltimore.

Fellow right-hander Bud Norris, who was set to start for the Orioles at Nationals Park on Tuesday, will make the start Wednesday at Camden Yards. Baltimore lefty Wei-Yin Chen was originally slated to start Wednesday.

Tuesday's game was called after a delay of more than 2 1/2 hours. It will be made up at Nationals Park on Aug. 4, a mutual off day for both teams. The game time was not set.
 

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MLB

Wednesday, July 9


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MLB betting cheat sheet
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Tanaka Tumbles to Earth

New York Yankees hurler Masahiro Tanaka suffered his third loss in the past four games Tuesday, allowing five runs over 6 2/3 frames in a 5-3 defeat in Cleveland (+143, 7.5 O). Tanaka's value has taken a hit as a result; he was once ranked in the top-10 but now finds himself 27th ($465).

Great Scott

Lefty Scott Kazmir takes the hill Thursday as the Oakland Athletics wrap up a four-game interleague series in San Francisco. Kazmir has been lights-out at home (6-1, 1.57 ERA, 1-7 O/U) but less so away from Oakland, going 4-2 with a 3.57 ERA and a 6-3 O/U mark in nine road starts.

Pitching Notes

* Washington starter Tanner Roark would like to reverse his ugly road trend Wednesday as he leads the Nationals (+108, 9) into Baltimore. Roark is 3-2 with a 4.44 ERA and a 6-1-1 O/U record away from Nationals Park, compared to a 4-4 record, a 2.02 ERA and a 2-6-1 record at home.

* Boston Red Sox lefty Jon Lester has caught fire of late, surrendering just five earned runs over his last five starts - a span of 37 2/3 innings. Lester and the Red Sox, who are 5-0 SU and 1-4 O/U in those outings, take on the visiting Chicago White Sox on Thursday afternoon.

Hitting Notes

* Miami Marlins outfielder Marcell Ozuna continued his surprising season Tuesday, belting his 15th home run in the ninth inning of a 2-1 win over Arizona. Miami improved to 8-7 SU and 9-4-2 O/U when Ozuna goes deep entering Wednesday's game against the Diamondbacks (-125, 8.5).

* Lester may be streaking, but he'll need to be wary of veteran Paul Konerko on Thursday afternoon. The White Sox DH/first baseman is 10-for-28 lifetime versus the Red Sox ace, with three home runs and seven RBIs.

Totals Streak

Oakland Athletics (7-2-1 O/U): The only thing keeping this from being an 8-1-1 stretch for the best team in baseball is a pair of eighth-inning runs scored in Tuesday's 6-1 triumph that nudged the total just past 6.5. The Athletics are 43-43-4 O/U on the season.

Injury Notes

* Atlanta hopes to have injured catcher Evan Gattis (back) participating in bullpen sessions over the weekend. The Braves are 8-3 S/U, 5-6 O/U and a surprising +368 units in 11 games since Gattis went down with the injury.

Weather Watch

* Wind will be blowing out to left field at 9 mph Wednesday evening at Fenway Park, where the Red Sox host the White Sox. Teams combined to hit just seven home runs in six games under similar wind conditions in 2013.

Umpire Note of the Day

The home team is 10-1 in umpire Andy Fletcher's last 11 games involving Cincinnati. Fletcher will call the balls and strikes Wednesday when the Reds (-176, 7.5) host the Chicago Cubs.
 

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