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Preview: Knicks (10-22) at Mavericks (19-14)

Date: January 05, 2014 7:30 PM EDT


Poor play at the end of games has been a regular obstacle for the New York Knicks, as was clearly the case in their last contest.

As they visit a Dallas Mavericks team which had the same problem, the Knicks will look to move past those issues Sunday night and continue what their coach believes has been improved play recently.

New York was in a tie game Friday at Houston with 19 seconds left when J.R. Smith attempted a 3-pointer despite the shot clock being off. He missed and Beno Udrih unnecessarily fouled Aaron Brooks on the rebound, allowing the Rockets guard to hit the go-ahead free throws and help hand the Knicks a 102-100 defeat.

Smith said he took the shot not because he was open, but because he didn't realize what the score was at the time.

"Honestly, I thought we were down two. I shot the ball and I started hearing Tyson (Chandler) saying 'no, no don't take it,' but by that time, it was already released," said Smith, who was 1 of 8 from 3-point range. "It was just a bad shot, or a good shot, but bad timing. I realized as soon as we got the foul that the score was 100 to 100 and it was just bad basketball IQ on me."

It was similar to a game in Milwaukee on Dec. 18, when Andrea Bargnani tried a 3-pointer with 11.9 seconds left and New York up two points in overtime. The Bucks would force a second overtime, but the Knicks won that game.

New York (10-22) shoots 36.6 percent in the final three minutes of the fourth quarter, which ranks among the worst in the league. The Knicks were 1 for 7 during that span versus Houston and outscored 29-19 in the fourth.

"We're playing a lot better now and that's promising and a good sign," coach Mike Woodson said. "I like the way we're competing and if we stay at this level, we'll be in a lot of games and we just have to figure out how to win them down the stretch, if they're close."

Dallas (19-14) also had end-of-game struggles Friday. The Mavericks led by as many as 13 against the Los Angeles Clippers and by seven with four minutes to play but lost 119-112. Dirk Nowitzki overcame an ankle injury to score 24 points and Shawn Marion added 20, but it was not enough, as the Clippers ended the game on a 16-2 run.

"Defensively, they went right through us. Offensively, without getting stops, the shots got harder," coach Rick Carlisle said of the team's late-game struggles. "It's on every one of us — the coaches and players — and it's very disappointing."

Dallas has lost three straight home games, allowing an average of 114.7 points, after winning 11 of their first 13.

However, the Mavericks have won 12 of their last 13 home games against New York, including three straight.

They'll be wary of Knicks guard Iman Shumpert, who has posted the highest-scoring games of his career through two stops on the team's Texas road trip. He had 27 points in Thursday's win at San Antonio, scored 26 on Friday and went a combined 12 for 14 from 3-point range. Shumpert was 6 of 31 from beyond the arc in his previous 12 games while averaging 3.5 points.
 

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Preview: Nuggets (15-17) at Lakers (14-19)

Date: January 05, 2014 9:30 PM EDT


Strong offensive performances helped both the Denver Nuggets and Los Angeles Lakers end their lengthy losing streaks.

Now only one of the struggling Western Conference teams can continue trending in the right direction Sunday night when the Nuggets visit Staples Center seeking their fifth straight win over the Lakers.

Denver (15-17) had its best shooting night in a month Friday to snap an eight-game skid, hitting 53.8 percent from the field in a 111-108 home win over Memphis. The Nuggets had shot 41.5 percent and averaged 93.4 points in their previous 14 - a 3-11 stretch.

"It's wonderful, a wonderful feeling," forward Kenneth Faried told the team's official website. "We got the monkey off our back, and we can't put it back on. I think we stopped playing so tight, nervous and hesitant. We just came out and hooped."

After shooting a combined 36.4 percent in their last two games, the Lakers (14-19) broke out in similar fashion Friday against Utah to end their losing streak at six. They shot 51.9 percent in a 110-99 home win over the Jazz.

Banged-up Los Angeles did it with its 18th starting five and sixth different starting point guard as coach Mike D'Antoni gave Kendall Marshall his first nod since he was signed from the D-League on Dec. 20. Marshall didn't disappoint with 20 points and 15 assists, both career highs after spending his rookie campaign with Phoenix last season.

"Everything happens for a reason, so I'm thankful for the position I'm in right now and I want to make the most of it with this team," Marshall said.

Pau Gasol had a similarly impressive double-double with 23 points and a season-high 17 rebounds.

Marshall got the start after the Lakers again lost Jordan Farmar for at least four weeks with a torn left hamstring. Farmar had started the last four games after missing 10 with another tear in the same hamstring.

The injury report also includes Kobe Bryant (knee), Steve Nash (back), Steve Blake (elbow) and Xavier Henry (knee). They'll all be out against Denver, while forward Wesley Johnson is questionable with an illness.

With players expected to return throughout the month and into early February, D'Antoni is hoping Marshall, Gasol and the rest of the healthy cast can keep the Lakers afloat.

"It seems like when Kobe comes back, we're going to have a lot of guys coming back. ..." D'Antoni said. "Hopefully we can stay within striking distance to at least give ourselves a chance going down the stretch and try to salvage the season."

The Nuggets' recent personnel issues have had more to do with internal strife than injuries. Backup point guard Andre Miller is on personal leave after a verbal confrontation with coach Brian Shaw and won't return to the team until Monday.

Snapping the losing streak seems to have calmed some of the tension.

"It was a feeling we needed to get, especially in light of everything that's been going on with us," Shaw said. "Now we have something we can build on. As easy as it was for us to string together eight losses in a row, if we play the right way, we come with that kind of energy and continue to improve, we can string together eight wins in a row."

Starting point guard Ty Lawson had 18 points and 12 assists in the win over Memphis. He's averaged 19.8 points and 9.8 assists during the team's win streak against the Lakers.

Gasol led all scorers with 25 points in the Lakers' 111-99 loss in Denver on Nov. 13.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, January 5


Hot teams
-- Memphis covered five of its last seven games.
-- Pacers won six of their last seven games (7-2 AF).
-- Raptors won six of their last seven games (6-1 last 7 AU). Miami is 9-2 in its last 11 games (2-6 last eight HF).
-- Warriors won their last eight games (3-6-1 last 10 AF).
-- Mavericks won three of last four games, but lost last three at home (2-5 last seven HF).

Cold Teams
-- Pistons lost five of their last six games.
-- Cavaliers lost seven of their last eight games (7-1 HU).
-- Wizards lost three of last four home games (3-1 HU).
-- Celtics lost six of their last seven games (1-5-1 vs spread). Thunder lost three of last four at home (1-5 last six HF).
-- Knicks lost four of last five games (3-7 last 10 AU, 2-0 last two).
-- Nuggets lost eight of their last nine games (5-4 AU). Lakers lost six of their last seven games (3-3 HF).

Series records
-- Grizzlies won their last seven games with Detroit.
-- Pacers won 13 of their last 14 games with Cleveland.
-- Heat won its last thirteen games with Toronto (6-1 L7 vs spread).
-- Warriors won their last five games with Washington.
-- Thunder won four of its last five games with Boston.
-- Knicks lost last three visits to Dallas by 18-10-3 points.
-- Lakers lost their last four games with Denver.

Totals
-- Last nine Detroit home games went over total.
-- Six of last seven Cleveland home games went over; six of Indiana's last seven games stayed under.
-- Six of last eight Toronto road games stayed under; last eight Miami home games went over total.
-- Four of last five Washington home games stayed under.
-- You're reading www.***************.com.
-- Last five Thunder home games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Dallas home games went over total.
-- Seven of last nine Laker road games stayed under total.
 

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Sunday, January 5


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Trend Report
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1:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. DETROIT
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing at home against Memphis
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis

6:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. WASHINGTON
Golden State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Golden State's last 19 games on the road
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
Washington is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

6:00 PM
INDIANA vs. CLEVELAND
Indiana is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
Cleveland is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Indiana

6:00 PM
TORONTO vs. MIAMI
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Miami is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games

7:00 PM
BOSTON vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Boston is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing Boston
Oklahoma City is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home

7:30 PM
NEW YORK vs. DALLAS
New York is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Dallas
New York is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas is 2-9-1 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Dallas is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games at home

9:30 PM
DENVER vs. LA LAKERS
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Denver's last 13 games
Denver is 6-19 SU in their last 25 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games
LA Lakers are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games at home
 

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Long Sheet

Sunday, January 5


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MEMPHIS (14 - 18) at DETROIT (14 - 19) - 1/5/2014, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 70-55 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 101-72 ATS (+21.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
DETROIT is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 4-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 5-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (22 - 13) at WASHINGTON (14 - 16) - 1/5/2014, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 62-48 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 311-370 ATS (-96.0 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 77-111 ATS (-45.1 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 2-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 3-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (26 - 6) at CLEVELAND (11 - 22) - 1/5/2014, 6:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-4 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 9-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (16 - 15) at MIAMI (25 - 8) - 1/5/2014, 6:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 8-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (13 - 20) at OKLAHOMA CITY (26 - 7) - 1/5/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 69-55 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 63-47 ATS (+11.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (10 - 22) at DALLAS (19 - 14) - 1/5/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 65-49 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 46-69 ATS (-29.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 2-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (15 - 17) at LA LAKERS (14 - 19) - 1/5/2014, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 83-110 ATS (-38.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 126-163 ATS (-53.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 10-6 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 8-8 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Dunkel


Denver at LA Lakers
The Nuggets visit the Lakers tonight with LA coming off a 110-99 win over Utah and carrying a 1-5 ATS record in its last 6 games after scoring more than 100 points in the previous game. Denver is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Nuggets favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Denver (-2 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, JANUARY 5

Game 801-802: Memphis at Detroit (1:00 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 116.581; Detroit 115.574
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 1; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 2 1/2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+2 1/2); Under

Game 803-804: Golden State at Washington (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 123.382; Washington 121.770
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 1 1/2; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 3 1/2; 203
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+3 1/2); Over

Game 805-806: Indiana at Cleveland (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 126.620; Cleveland 115.997
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 10 1/2; 181
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 8 1/2; 186
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-8 1/2); Under

Game 807-808: Toronto at Miami (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 123.866; Miami 126.175
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 2 1/2; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 6 1/2; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+6 1/2); Over

Game 809-810: Boston at Oklahoma City (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 113.402; Oklahoma City 128.540
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 15; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 9; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-9); Under

Game 811-812: New York at Dallas (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 113.149; Dallas 117.386
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 4; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 6 1/2; 202
Dunkel Pick: New York (+6 1/2); Over

Game 813-814: Denver at LA Lakers (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 113.888; LA Lakers 107.649
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 6; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 2 1/2; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-2 1/2); Over
 

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Short Sheet

Sunday, January 5


Memphis at Detroit, 1:05 ET
Memphis: 3-11 ATS after one or more consecutive overs
Detroit: 20-9 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games

Golden State at Washington, 6:05 ET
Golden State: 13-4 UNDER after a game where they failed to cover the spread
Washington: 20-8 ATS as a home underdog

Indiana at Cleveland, 6:05 ET
Indiana: n/a
Cleveland: n/a

Toronto at Miami, 6:05 ET
Toronto: n/a
Miami: n/a

Boston at Oklahoma City, 7:05 ET
Boston: 8-19 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses
Oklahoma City: 21-10 ATS after allowing 105 points or more

New York at Dallas, 7:35 ET
New York: 35-20 OVER in home games
Dallas: 22-10 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points

Denver at LA Lakers, 9:35 ET
Denver: 13-4 OVER in road games after a game where both teams scored 105 points or more
LA Lakers: 25-40 ATS off a home win
 

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NBA DECEMBER RECORD:

50 - 34..........................*****

16 - 13..........................DOUBLE PLAYS

17 - 8 - 1.......................TRIPLE PLAYS

--------------------------------------

January's Record

*****............. 4 - 3

DOUBLE PLAYS....3 - 3

TRIPLE PLAYS.....2 - 2



Sunday, January 5

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Memphis - 1:00 PM ET Memphis +2.5 500 *****
Detroit - Over 193.5 500

Indiana - 6:00 PM ET Indiana -8.5 500
Cleveland - Over 185.5 500

Toronto - 6:00 PM ET Toronto +6.5 500
Miami - Over 198.5 500 *****

Golden State - 6:00 PM ET Washington +3.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Washington - Under 202 500

Boston - 7:00 PM ET Oklahoma City -9 500
Oklahoma City - Under 194.5 500

New York - 7:30 PM ET New York +6.5 500 *****
Dallas - Under 201 500

Denver - 9:30 PM ET Denver -2.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
L.A. Lakers - Over 203.5 500 *****
 

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Monday Tips

January 5, 2014


Wolves at 76ers - 7:05 PM EST

Minnesota: 16-17 SU, 18-15 ATS
Philadelphia: 12-21 SU, 15-18 ATS

The 76ers started the season with the lowest win total in the league at 17. Philadelphia won its first three contests, before going on a 5-21 over a 26-game stretch. Now, the Sixers are riding a four-game winning streak heading back to Wells Fargo Center after knocking off the Blazers on Saturday night, 101-99 as 12 ½-point road underdogs.

Philadelphia lost its first two games on a six-game road swing at Milwaukee and Phoenix, but grabbed four consecutive victories (all as a heavy 'dog) against the Nuggets, Lakers, Kings, and Blazers. Even though the Sixers own of the worst defenses in the league, Brett Brown's team actually improved recently by allowing 104 points or less in each of the past four victories ('Under' went 3-1).

The Wolves wrapped up a three-game homestand after losing a pair of close games to the Mavericks and Thunder. Oklahoma City rallied from a 13-point deficit in the second half to stun Minnesota, 115-111, the second loss to the Thunder this season. Minnesota hit the 'over' for the fifth time in six games, as the Wolves have scored at least 111 points five times during this stretch.

The last time the Wolves and Sixers met up in December, Philadelphia jumped out to a 39-20 lead after just one quarter. The Sixers were limited to 38 points in the second half as the Wolves came back to beat Philadelphia, 106-99. Rick Adelman's club failed to cash as 12 ½-point favorites, as the Sixers shot 52% from the floor in the defeat.

Hawks at Nets - 7:35 PM EST

Atlanta: 18-16 SU, 19-15 ATS
Brooklyn: 12-21 SU, 14-19 ATS

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The Hawks and Nets are going in different directions at the moment as Atlanta has lost two straight while Brooklyn has won two in a row. Atlanta fell short in Saturday's 91-84 defeat at Chicago as five-point underdogs, shooting just 37% from the field and missing 20 three-point attempts. The Hawks have lost seven of their past nine games away from Philips Arena, while only covering three times in this stretch.

Brooklyn is still behind the eight-ball in the Atlantic Division, but the Nets are coming off consecutive wins over Oklahoma City and Cleveland. Joe Johnson's game-winning jumper to knock off the Thunder last week helped Brooklyn cash outright as 12-point road underdogs, but the Nets have been limited to 95 points or less in six of the last seven games. The Nets have struggled off a home victory this season, going 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS in this situation, coming off Saturday's triumph over Cleveland.

Last season, these teams split four meetings, as both clubs won once at home and once on the opposition's court. Three of the four wins came by double-digits, including both victories by the Hawks, while Atlanta is 7-2 the last nine meetings in the series.

Magic at Clippers - 10:30 PM EST

Orlando: 10-23 SU, 15-18 ATS
Los Angeles: 23-13 SU, 21-15 ATS

Orlando begins a five-game Western Conference road swing that starts at Staples Center against the Clippers. Los Angeles will be without All-Star point guard Chris Paul, who suffered a shoulder injury in Friday's win at Dallas and is out for at least three weeks. Now, the Clippers try to get on track after getting pummeled at San Antonio on Saturday, 116-92, as Los Angeles trailed by 35 points at the half.

The Magic has won just three of 15 road contests this season, while dropping six of their past eight overall. Orlando is riding a three-game skid after falling at home to Miami on Saturday, 110-94 as 10-point underdogs, the third loss to the Heat this season. Jacque Vaughn's club is winless in four road games against Western Conference foes this season, but has covered as a double-digit 'dog at Oklahoma City, Houston, and Minnesota.

The last time these teams hooked up in Orlando back in November, the Magic stunned the Clippers, 98-90 to cash outright as 6 ½-point underdogs. Los Angeles overcame a 15-point halftime deficit to take a two-point lead heading into the fourth quarter, but Orlando outscored L.A. 26-16 in the final quarter for the victory. The Magic has won four straight visits to Staples Center, including a 104-101 upset last January as 12 ½-point underdogs.
 

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Bank Shots: NBA's weekly betting news and notes


Each week, we look back on the NBA betting scene and give you the best - and worst - basketball bets, as well as some spots to keep an eye on with the upcoming schedule.

For the week of Dec. 29-Jan. 4

Hottest ATS - Toronto Raptors (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS)

What a difference a month makes. The Raptors were struggling mightily before trading shot-happy small forward Rudy Gay to the Sacramento Kings; since then, Toronto has been on fire, climbing to the top of the Atlantic Division while pushing its record above the .500 mark. Toronto hasn't just covered the spread - it has left it in the dust, earning five consecutive double-digit victories highlighted by back-to-back triumphs over the Chicago Bulls and Indiana Pacers. Toronto has a difficult start to its week with road games in Miami and Indiana but closes with home dates against Detroit and Brooklyn.

Coldest ATS - Houston Rockets (1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS)

Things went a bit sour last week in Houston, where the Rockets struggled with their normally potent offense. The Rockets were thumped 117-86 against an Oklahoma City Thunder team playing without starting point guard Russell Westbrook, then returned home and were promptly stunned 110-106 by the lowly Sacramento Kings. Only a two-point win over visiting New York - a game in which Houston came in as an 11 1/2-point fave - prevented a winless week. Houston hosts the Lakers before embarking on a pivotal four-game road trek through the East.

Best Over play - San Antonio Spurs (2-2 SU, 3-0-1 O/U)

Oddsmakers have already adjusted for the Spurs' surprisingly high-powered offense - but they may have to move the total even higher with San Antonio scoring at a ridiculous clip. The Spurs are 4-0-1 O/U over their past five games, having reached the 110-point plateau in four of them. San Antonio has been doing it with typically efficient shooting, ranked second in the league in both field-goal percentage (48.7) and 3-point percentage (39.4). The Spurs have a short week coming up, visiting the Memphis Grizzlies and hosting the rival Mavericks on back-to-back nights.

Best Under play - Indiana Pacers (2-1 SU, 0-3 O/U)

The Pacers know that, with a league-average offense at best, they'll need an airtight defense to challenge the Miami Heat for the Eastern Conference title. Indiana put their defensive chops on display last week, limiting the Cleveland Cavaliers to 76 points in a one-sided win and defeating New Orleans 99-82 four days later. Slide in a 95-82 loss to the Toronto Raptors in between, and the Pacers have gone Under in six of their last seven games entering Sunday's action. Indiana has four games this week, visiting Cleveland and Atlanta and hosting Toronto and Washington.

Surveying the schedule:

The Golden State Warriors are the hottest thing going in the NBA, coming into Sunday with an eight-game winning streak. That includes four straight victories to open their season-long seven-game road trip which wraps up this week with games in Washington, Milwaukee and Brooklyn. With the Golden State offensive attack in mid-season form and the defense putting together some impressive stretches, Golden State could run the table on its road trip - and is rewarded with seven of its next nine games at home.
 

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NBA Top 5: Best bets heading into 2014


With the calendar officially flipped to 2014, several NBA teams will try to carry over the good value they provided bettors in the final two months of 2013.

Each of these clubs has a reason for consistently covering the spread, and those reasons vary greatly from one team to another. Expect to see the ATS totals adjusted to compensate for their respective early-season success - but that will come too late for many satisfied bettors who were rewarded for their faith.

Here are the five best bets through the first two months of the NBA season (with records ATS):

Phoenix Suns (23-8-1)

The Suns have been the best ATS play through the opening 32 games, thanks to a surprisingly potent offense ranked eighth in the NBA at 103.7 points per game. The backcourt duo of Eric Bledsoe and Goran Dragic has been a revelation for the Suns, combining to average 36.8 points and 11.7 assists per game while shooting 48.7 percent from the field. That has allowed Phoenix to boast one of the best point differentials in the league (plus-3.2).

Indiana Pacers (23-9-0)

Even with oddsmakers keenly aware of the Pacers' ability to play lockdown defense, Indiana has covered the spread more frequently than any other team in the Eastern Conference. Indiana owns the best point differential in the league (plus-9.2) on the strength of a better-than-expected defensive showing and an offense that has been buoyed by the emergence of star-in-the-making Paul George and versatile guard Lance Stephenson.

Charlotte Bobcats (20-13-2)

Charlotte has been one of the more surprising teams in the NBA so far, becoming a strong ATS play as head coach Steve Clifford extracts maximum defensive value out of his roster. The Bobcats can't score any points but they're allowing the third-fewest in the league and have been one of the most responsible teams in the league on offense, turning the ball over just 12.4 points per game. Things have leveled off of late, with Charlotte 3-4-1 ATS in its last eight.

Portland Trail Blazers (20-14-0)

The Trail Blazers have provided a double dose of betting value, routinely covering the spread while emerging as a reliable "over" option (25-9-0 O/U). Offense has been the catalyst for the Blazers' rise to ATS prominence; they average a whopping 108.7 points per game, nearly two points more than the next best team (Minnesota). Portland is averaging a hair under 40 percent from 3-point range, which is likely unsustainable but impressive nonetheless.

Los Angeles Clippers (21-15-0)

Lob City is populated by plenty of happy bettors in the early going, with the Clippers coming into the weekend second in the Western Conference in covers. Everyone expected Los Angeles to be sound offensively - and it has, averaging 104.8 points - but it has also been passable on the defensive end, limiting the opposition to 100.1 points - the fifth-best rate in the conference. Covering will be a lot tougher with point guard Chris Paul out a month.
 

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Hoop Trends - Monday

January 6, 2014


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Clippers are 0-13 ATS (-14.08 ppg) since Dec 11, 2006 at home on Monday after playing on Friday and Saturday, if they lost last game by more than a points.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The 76ers are 0-13 OU (-11.35 ppg) since Jan 10, 2001 with at most one day of rest when they have won and covered their last four games and their opponent did not lose by more than five last game.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Magic are 8-0 OU (24.31 ppg) since Feb 04, 2011 on the road after Jameer Nelson was the Magic’s high scorer at home.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Timberwolves are 7-0 OU (17.71 ppg) since Jan 25, 2012 after Kevin Love scored at least 30 points in a home loss.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Clippers are 7-0 OU (15.36 ppg) since Mar 25, 2004 at home after Matt Barnes scored fewer than 10 points in a road loss.

-- The 76ers are 9-0 OU (19.89 ppg) since May 16, 2012 at home after Spencer Hawes scored fewer than 10 points on the road.
 

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Monday Tips

January 5, 2014


Wolves at 76ers - 7:05 PM EST

Minnesota: 16-17 SU, 18-15 ATS
Philadelphia: 12-21 SU, 15-18 ATS

The 76ers started the season with the lowest win total in the league at 17. Philadelphia won its first three contests, before going on a 5-21 over a 26-game stretch. Now, the Sixers are riding a four-game winning streak heading back to Wells Fargo Center after knocking off the Blazers on Saturday night, 101-99 as 12 ½-point road underdogs.

Philadelphia lost its first two games on a six-game road swing at Milwaukee and Phoenix, but grabbed four consecutive victories (all as a heavy 'dog) against the Nuggets, Lakers, Kings, and Blazers. Even though the Sixers own of the worst defenses in the league, Brett Brown's team actually improved recently by allowing 104 points or less in each of the past four victories ('Under' went 3-1).

The Wolves wrapped up a three-game homestand after losing a pair of close games to the Mavericks and Thunder. Oklahoma City rallied from a 13-point deficit in the second half to stun Minnesota, 115-111, the second loss to the Thunder this season. Minnesota hit the 'over' for the fifth time in six games, as the Wolves have scored at least 111 points five times during this stretch.

The last time the Wolves and Sixers met up in December, Philadelphia jumped out to a 39-20 lead after just one quarter. The Sixers were limited to 38 points in the second half as the Wolves came back to beat Philadelphia, 106-99. Rick Adelman's club failed to cash as 12 ½-point favorites, as the Sixers shot 52% from the floor in the defeat.

Hawks at Nets - 7:35 PM EST

Atlanta: 18-16 SU, 19-15 ATS
Brooklyn: 12-21 SU, 14-19 ATS

The Hawks and Nets are going in different directions at the moment as Atlanta has lost two straight while Brooklyn has won two in a row. Atlanta fell short in Saturday's 91-84 defeat at Chicago as five-point underdogs, shooting just 37% from the field and missing 20 three-point attempts. The Hawks have lost seven of their past nine games away from Philips Arena, while only covering three times in this stretch.

Brooklyn is still behind the eight-ball in the Atlantic Division, but the Nets are coming off consecutive wins over Oklahoma City and Cleveland. Joe Johnson's game-winning jumper to knock off the Thunder last week helped Brooklyn cash outright as 12-point road underdogs, but the Nets have been limited to 95 points or less in six of the last seven games. The Nets have struggled off a home victory this season, going 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS in this situation, coming off Saturday's triumph over Cleveland.

Last season, these teams split four meetings, as both clubs won once at home and once on the opposition's court. Three of the four wins came by double-digits, including both victories by the Hawks, while Atlanta is 7-2 the last nine meetings in the series.

Magic at Clippers - 10:30 PM EST

Orlando: 10-23 SU, 15-18 ATS
Los Angeles: 23-13 SU, 21-15 ATS

Orlando begins a five-game Western Conference road swing that starts at Staples Center against the Clippers. Los Angeles will be without All-Star point guard Chris Paul, who suffered a shoulder injury in Friday's win at Dallas and is out for at least three weeks. Now, the Clippers try to get on track after getting pummeled at San Antonio on Saturday, 116-92, as Los Angeles trailed by 35 points at the half.

The Magic has won just three of 15 road contests this season, while dropping six of their past eight overall. Orlando is riding a three-game skid after falling at home to Miami on Saturday, 110-94 as 10-point underdogs, the third loss to the Heat this season. Jacque Vaughn's club is winless in four road games against Western Conference foes this season, but has covered as a double-digit 'dog at Oklahoma City, Houston, and Minnesota.

The last time these teams hooked up in Orlando back in November, the Magic stunned the Clippers, 98-90 to cash outright as 6 ½-point underdogs. Los Angeles overcame a 15-point halftime deficit to take a two-point lead heading into the fourth quarter, but Orlando outscored L.A. 26-16 in the final quarter for the victory. The Magic has won four straight visits to Staples Center, including a 104-101 upset last January as 12 ½-point underdogs.
 

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Dunkel


Atlanta at Brooklyn
The Hawks head to Brooklyn tonight with a 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 games versus the Nets. Atlanta is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Hawks favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+3 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, JANUARY 6

Game 701-702: Minnesota at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 122.029; Philadelphia 108.903
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 13; 224
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 6 1/2; 218 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-6 1/2); Over

Game 703-704: Atlanta at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 120.732; Brooklyn 115.217
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 5 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 3 1/2; 197
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+3 1/2); Under

Game 705-706: Orlando at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 113.568; LA Clippers 127.310
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 13 1/2; 218
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, January 6


Hot teams
-- 76ers won last four games, all as 7+-point underdogs. Minnesota covered five of its last seven road games.
-- Nets won last two games, but are 4-6 vs spread in last ten games as a home favorite.

Cold Teams
-- Hawks lost three of their last four games (4-6 last 10 AU).
-- Clippers are 3-4 in their last seven games; Chris Paul is out for six weeks. Magic lost six of their last eight road games (9-6 AU).

Series records
-- 76ers lost their last four games with Minnesota.
-- Brooklyn lost six of last eight games with the Hawks.
-- Clippers lost eight of last ten games with Orlando.

Totals
-- Five of last six Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Atlanta road games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Clipper games went over; last six Orlando road games stayed under the total.




NBA

Monday, January 6


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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 9 games at home
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:30 PM
ATLANTA vs. BROOKLYN
Atlanta is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Brooklyn
Atlanta is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 7 games

10:30 PM
ORLANDO vs. LA CLIPPERS
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Orlando's last 15 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Orlando is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
LA Clippers are 2-11 SU in their last 13 games when playing Orlando
LA Clippers are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games


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NBA

Monday, January 6


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Bank Shots: NBA's weekly betting news and notes
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For the week of Dec. 29-Jan. 4

Hottest ATS - Toronto Raptors (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS)

What a difference a month makes. The Raptors were struggling mightily before trading shot-happy small forward Rudy Gay to the Sacramento Kings; since then, Toronto has been on fire, climbing to the top of the Atlantic Division while pushing its record above the .500 mark. Toronto hasn't just covered the spread - it has left it in the dust, earning five consecutive double-digit victories highlighted by back-to-back triumphs over the Chicago Bulls and Indiana Pacers. Toronto has a difficult start to its week with road games in Miami and Indiana but closes with home dates against Detroit and Brooklyn.


Coldest ATS - Houston Rockets (1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS)

Things went a bit sour last week in Houston, where the Rockets struggled with their normally potent offense. The Rockets were thumped 117-86 against an Oklahoma City Thunder team playing without starting point guard Russell Westbrook, then returned home and were promptly stunned 110-106 by the lowly Sacramento Kings. Only a two-point win over visiting New York - a game in which Houston came in as an 11 1/2-point fave - prevented a winless week. Houston hosts the Lakers before embarking on a pivotal four-game road trek through the East.


Best Over play - San Antonio Spurs (2-2 SU, 3-0-1 O/U)

Oddsmakers have already adjusted for the Spurs' surprisingly high-powered offense - but they may have to move the total even higher with San Antonio scoring at a ridiculous clip. The Spurs are 4-0-1 O/U over their past five games, having reached the 110-point plateau in four of them. San Antonio has been doing it with typically efficient shooting, ranked second in the league in both field-goal percentage (48.7) and 3-point percentage (39.4). The Spurs have a short week coming up, visiting the Memphis Grizzlies and hosting the rival Mavericks on back-to-back nights.


Best Under play - Indiana Pacers (2-1 SU, 0-3 O/U)

The Pacers know that, with a league-average offense at best, they'll need an airtight defense to challenge the Miami Heat for the Eastern Conference title. Indiana put their defensive chops on display last week, limiting the Cleveland Cavaliers to 76 points in a one-sided win and defeating New Orleans 99-82 four days later. Slide in a 95-82 loss to the Toronto Raptors in between, and the Pacers have gone Under in six of their last seven games entering Sunday's action. Indiana has four games this week, visiting Cleveland and Atlanta and hosting Toronto and Washington.


Surveying the schedule:

The Golden State Warriors are the hottest thing going in the NBA, coming into Sunday with an eight-game winning streak. That includes four straight victories to open their season-long seven-game road trip which wraps up this week with games in Washington, Milwaukee and Brooklyn. With the Golden State offensive attack in mid-season form and the defense putting together some impressive stretches, Golden State could run the table on its road trip - and is rewarded with seven of its next nine games at home.


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NBA

Monday, January 6


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NBA Top 5: Best bets heading into 2014
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With the calendar officially flipped to 2014, several NBA teams will try to carry over the good value they provided bettors in the final two months of 2013.

Each of these clubs has a reason for consistently covering the spread, and those reasons vary greatly from one team to another. Expect to see the ATS totals adjusted to compensate for their respective early-season success - but that will come too late for many satisfied bettors who were rewarded for their faith.

Here are the five best bets through the first two months of the NBA season (with records ATS):

Phoenix Suns (23-8-1)

The Suns have been the best ATS play through the opening 32 games, thanks to a surprisingly potent offense ranked eighth in the NBA at 103.7 points per game. The backcourt duo of Eric Bledsoe and Goran Dragic has been a revelation for the Suns, combining to average 36.8 points and 11.7 assists per game while shooting 48.7 percent from the field. That has allowed Phoenix to boast one of the best point differentials in the league (plus-3.2).

Indiana Pacers (23-9-0)

Even with oddsmakers keenly aware of the Pacers' ability to play lockdown defense, Indiana has covered the spread more frequently than any other team in the Eastern Conference. Indiana owns the best point differential in the league (plus-9.2) on the strength of a better-than-expected defensive showing and an offense that has been buoyed by the emergence of star-in-the-making Paul George and versatile guard Lance Stephenson.

Charlotte Bobcats (20-13-2)

Charlotte has been one of the more surprising teams in the NBA so far, becoming a strong ATS play as head coach Steve Clifford extracts maximum defensive value out of his roster. The Bobcats can't score any points but they're allowing the third-fewest in the league and have been one of the most responsible teams in the league on offense, turning the ball over just 12.4 points per game. Things have leveled off of late, with Charlotte 3-4-1 ATS in its last eight.

Portland Trail Blazers (20-14-0)

The Trail Blazers have provided a double dose of betting value, routinely covering the spread while emerging as a reliable "over" option (25-9-0 O/U). Offense has been the catalyst for the Blazers' rise to ATS prominence; they average a whopping 108.7 points per game, nearly two points more than the next best team (Minnesota). Portland is averaging a hair under 40 percent from 3-point range, which is likely unsustainable but impressive nonetheless.

Los Angeles Clippers (21-15-0)

Lob City is populated by plenty of happy bettors in the early going, with the Clippers coming into the weekend second in the Western Conference in covers. Everyone expected Los Angeles to be sound offensively - and it has, averaging 104.8 points - but it has also been passable on the defensive end, limiting the opposition to 100.1 points - the fifth-best rate in the conference. Covering will be a lot tougher with point guard Chris Paul out a month.
 

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Long Sheet

Monday, January 6

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MINNESOTA (16 - 17) at PHILADELPHIA (12 - 21) - 1/6/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (18 - 16) at BROOKLYN (12 - 21) - 1/6/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 35-56 ATS (-26.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 5-3 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 6-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (10 - 23) at LA CLIPPERS (23 - 13) - 1/6/2014, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 2-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 2-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons



NBA
Short Sheet

Monday, January 6

Minnesota at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Minnesota: 98-131 ATS after 2 straight games with 10 or less offensive rebounds
Philadelphia: 14-6 OVER after playing 4 consecutive games as an underdog

Atlanta at Brooklyn, 7:35 ET
Atlanta: 9-1 ATS off a road loss
Brooklyn: 14-28 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins

Orlando at LA Clippers, 10:35 ET
Orlando: 8-2 ATS after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 ATS
LA Clippers: 10-3 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent
 

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NBA DECEMBER RECORD:

50 - 34..........................*****

16 - 13..........................DOUBLE PLAYS

17 - 8 - 1.......................TRIPLE PLAYS

--------------------------------------

January's Record

*****............. 7 - 3

DOUBLE PLAYS....4 - 3

TRIPLE PLAYS.....2 - 2 - 1


Monday, January 6

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Minnesota - 7:00 PM ET Philadelphia +7.5 500
Philadelphia - Over 221 500 *****

Atlanta - 7:30 PM ET Atlanta +1.5 500 *****
Brooklyn - Over 197 500

Orlando - 10:30 PM ET L.A. Clippers -7.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
L.A. Clippers - Under 197 500
 

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Hoop Trends - Tuesday

January 7, 2014


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Nuggets are 12-0-1 ATS (11.12 ppg) since Jan 13, 2011 with at most one day of rest after a double digit win when their DPS was at least plus 15 points in their previous game.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Thunder are 0-11 OU (-14.41 ppg) since Feb 10, 2013 after a game at home in which they had an assist to turnover ratio of at least two.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Grizzlies are 0-14 OU (-12.89 ppg) since Nov 19, 2012 if not double digit dogs after Zach Randolph was not the Grizzlies’ high scorer in a road win.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Grizzlies are 10-0 ATS (7.80 ppg) since Apr 07, 2009 as a dog after a win in which more than 70% of their baskets were assisted.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Cavaliers are 0-12 ATS (-10.04 ppg) since Jan 06, 2003 at home with at most one day of rest after a loss in which they shot less than 35% from the field.

-- The Jazz are 0-9 OU (-14.39 ppg) since Mar 30, 2012 at home after Alec Burks shot worse than 33% from the field in a road loss.
 

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Inside the Paint

January 7, 2014


After making a deep playoff run last season, Golden State put itself back on the national map but the club still wasn’t garnering the respect at the betting counter.

Oddsmakers at Sportsbook.ag listed Golden State as a 20/1 choice to win the NBA Finals in the preseason and that seemed to be a fair price considering the wealth of talent in the Western Conference.

The Warriors started 14-13 and were looking to be a middle of a road team in the conference but that was before their recent hot streak. The club has won nine straight and All-Star David Lee isn’t surprised by the run.

He said, “We're concerned if we are playing the right kind of ball right now. We're finding ways to get wins. And we've been looking for that consistency now since the start of the season. It seems like we've found it now and we've got to keep it going.”

What’s even more impressive about Golden State’s run is that six of the nine victories have come on the road. The Warriors have gone 6-3 against the spread during this run and the oddsmakers have certainly taken notice in their future prices.

Golden State now has 10/1 odds to win the NBA Finals and it’s an 11/2 (Bet $100 to win $550) choice to win the Western Conference.
On Tuesday, the Warriors will look to win their 10th straight victory when they continue their road trip at Milwaukee, who owns the worst record (7-26 SU, 12-21 ATS) in the league.

To no surprise, Golden State opened as an eight-point road favorite and the line has already jumped up to nine and could close even higher. The Bucks didn’t have a lot of talent to begin with and the club has been depleted with key injuries.

Milwaukee has gone 3-12 SU and 4-11 ATS at home, which tells you how bad the team has been because the Bradley Center is known as a tough venue to play at.

Golden State has gone 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS versus the Eastern Conference this season while the Bucks have gone 1-7 both SU and ATS against the Western Conference. Even though we have different faces on the court for both squads, the Bucks have gone 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings against the Warriors.

Road Chalk

Along with the Warriors, two other teams are laying points on the road and they’re both from the Western Conference.

San Antonio at Memphis: The Spurs defeated the Grizzlies 102-96 on Nov. 22 as one-point road favorites. Including this win, San Antonio has won its last six meeting against Memphis, three away from home. The Spurs have gone 13-3 SU and 11-5 ATS on the road while Memphis has struggled at home with a 7-11 SU and 4-13-1 ATS mark. San Antonio is listed as a 5 ½-point road favorite for tonight’s matchup. Make a note that the Grizzlies are 1-5 both SU and ATS as home ‘dogs this season and that includes five straight setbacks.

Oklahoma City at Utah: The Thunder have won four straight against the Jazz, which includes a pair of wins this season. Oklahoma City captured a 22-point home win on Nov. 24 and a 101-98 road victory on Oct. 30. The ‘under’ has gone 3-1 during this span. Utah has gone 3-9 SU and 5-7 ATS as a home underdog this season.

Returning Home

Charlotte finished up a road trip 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS and will now face Washington at home tonight. The opening line is short (1 ½) and could have you leaning to the underdog. However, the Wizards have gone 0-3 both SU and ATS in their last three games. The Bobcats went 3-1 both SU and ATS in their four regular season meetings with the Wizards last season.

After losing getting embarrassed on the road at Toronto (100-115) on Dec. 28, the Knicks opened up 2014 with a three-game swing in the Lone Star State against the Spurs, Rockets and Mavericks. Despite being installed as healthy underdogs in every game, New York went 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS, the lone loss being a two-point decision to Houston, 102-100. Tonight, the Knicks host the Pistons and they’re listed as two-point favorites, which could be viewed as too low. I say that because Detroit is a mess lately, going 1-6 both SU and ATS in its last seven and five of those setbacks were by double digits.

Matchup to Watch

The Pacers and Raptors will meet for the third time this season tonight. Last Wednesday, Toronto knocked off Indiana 95-82 as a 5 ½-point home underdog. In early November, the Pacers defeated the Raptors 91-84 but failed to cover as 8 ½-point favorites. Indiana has gone 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in its last eight games and the lone loss during this run was the aforementioned setback to the Raptors. Toronto has been just as hot, going 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in its last six games. Indiana opened as an 8 ½-point home favorite for Tuesday’s tip.

Total Talk

Portland and Detroit have both seen the ‘over’ go 25-9 (73%) in their games this season.

Central Division clubs, Indiana (21-12) and Chicago (20-12) have been the best ‘under’ clubs.

The 76ers-Cavaliers matchup had an opening total of 201 and the number has been bumped up to 204. Philadelphia can’t play any defense but Cleveland could be without Kyrie Irving (knee) and newly acquired Luol Deng isn’t expected to be in the lineup after the trade.

Betcha Didn’t Know

Since Rudy Gay was traded from the Raptors to the Kings, Sacramento has gone 4-8. Meanwhile, Toronto is 9-4 SU and more importantly 10-3 ATS.
 

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Dunkel


New Orleans at Miami
The Pelicans head to Miami tonight to face a Heat team that is coming off a 102-97 win over Toronto and is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games following a SU victory. New Orleans is the pick (+9) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by only 6. Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+9). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, JANUARY 7

Game 501-502: Washington at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 117.770; Charlotte 115.842
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 2; 186
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 1 1/2; 190 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+1 1/2); Under

Game 503-504: Philadelphia at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 107.431; Cleveland 118.178
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 11; 218
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 4 1/2; 211
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-4 1/2); Over

Game 505-506: Toronto at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 123.866; Indiana 128.070
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 4; 181
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 7 1/2; 187
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+7 1/2); Under

Game 507-508: New Orleans at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 118.231; Miami 124.037
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 6; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 9; 204
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+9); Over

Game 509-510: Detroit at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 116.889; New York 114.277
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 2 1/2; 208
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 3; 199
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+3); Over

Game 511-512: San Antonio at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 122.311; Memphis 123.286
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 1; 192
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 6; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+6); Under

Game 513-514: Phoenix at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 123.171; Chicago 117.412
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 6; 186
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 2; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+2); Under

Game 515-516: Golden State at Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 123.382; Milwaukee 117.076
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 6 1/2; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 9; 199
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+9); Over

Game 517-518: LA Lakers at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 113.070; Dallas 121.235
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 8; 215
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 11; 209
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+11); Over

Game 519-520: Boston at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 114.945; Denver 113.761
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 7 1/2; 199 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+7 1/2); Under

Game 521-522: Oklahoma City at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 129.115; Utah 116.692
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 12 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 6 1/2; 196
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-6 1/2); Under

Game 523-524: Portland at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 121.355; Sacramento 120.115
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 1; 225
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 5; 216 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+5); Over
 

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Tuesday, January 7


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WASHINGTON (14 - 17) at CHARLOTTE (15 - 20) - 1/7/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 47-31 ATS (+12.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 50-65 ATS (-21.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 33-57 ATS (-29.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-3 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 5-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (12 - 22) at CLEVELAND (11 - 23) - 1/7/2014, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 7-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (16 - 16) at INDIANA (27 - 6) - 1/7/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games this season.
INDIANA is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
INDIANA is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games this season.
TORONTO is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 6-3 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (15 - 17) at MIAMI (26 - 8) - 1/7/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 21-36 ATS (-18.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 143-192 ATS (-68.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 52-31 ATS (+17.9 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after scoring 85 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-0 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (14 - 20) at NEW YORK (11 - 22) - 1/7/2014, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 7-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 7-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (26 - 8) at MEMPHIS (15 - 18) - 1/7/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 71-55 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 101-71 ATS (+22.9 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 120-89 ATS (+22.1 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 121-91 ATS (+20.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 98-73 ATS (+17.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 128-86 ATS (+33.4 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 330-267 ATS (+36.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home games this season.
MEMPHIS is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) vs. division opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 11-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 12-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (20 - 12) at CHICAGO (14 - 18) - 1/7/2014, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 2-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 2-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (23 - 13) at MILWAUKEE (7 - 26) - 1/7/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
MILWAUKEE is 19-38 ATS (-22.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-0 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 3-0 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (14 - 20) at DALLAS (19 - 15) - 1/7/2014, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 6-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 7-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (13 - 21) at DENVER (16 - 17) - 1/7/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 2-2 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (27 - 7) at UTAH (11 - 25) - 1/7/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 70-55 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 64-47 ATS (+12.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 134-101 ATS (+22.9 Units) in road games since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-3 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (26 - 8) at SACRAMENTO (10 - 22) - 1/7/2014, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games in January games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 7-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 6-4 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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