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January 30, 2014


Grizzlies at Wolves - 8:05 PM EST

Memphis: 24-20 SU, 21-22-1 ATS
Minnesota: 23-22 SU, 25-20 ATS

The Grizzlies conclude their three-game road trip at the Target Center, going for their fifth straight win and 10th victory in the last 11 games. Memphis took care of Sacramento as a five-point favorite on Wednesday, 99-89, while cashing its eighth consecutive 'under.' The Grizzlies are playing with revenge on Friday after falling at home to the Wolves in mid-December, 101-93, but Memphis has won four straight visits to Minneapolis.

The Wolves have quietly won five of their past six, including an 88-77 triumph over the beat-up Pelicans on Wednesday as 10 ½-point favorites. Rick Adelman's club hasn't won home games in succession since the beginning of the season, posting a 2-7 SU and 3-6 ATS record the last nine contests off a home victory. Minnesota hasn't been a great team to back facing a team it has beaten in the prior matchup, losing five of nine opportunities this season.

Thunder at Nets - 8:05 PM EST

Oklahoma City: 37-10 SU, 28-19 ATS
Brooklyn: 20-23 SU, 21-22 ATS

The Thunder trailed the Heat, 22-4 to start Wednesday's contest, but Oklahoma City stormed back to rout Miami, 112-95 to cash outright as four-point road underdogs. The victory was the ninth in a row for Scott Brooks' squad, while OKC has been a cash cow for bettors by covering eight times in this stretch. However, the Thunder will be ready after losing at the buzzer to the Nets earlier this month, 95-93 as hefty 12-point home favorites.

Brooklyn is sneaking back to the .500 mark following a dreadful start, but the Nets took a step back in Tuesday's 104-103 home setback to the Raptors, snapping a five-game winning streak. Jason Kidd's club has compiled a terrific 9-3 ATS record in January, including a 4-1 ATS mark in the underdog role. Since an embarrassing effort on Christmas Day against the Bulls, the Nets have won seven of their past eight games at the Barclays Center.

Kings at Mavericks - 8:35 PM EST

Sacramento: 15-30 SU, 19-24-2 ATS
Dallas: 26-21 SU, 26-21 ATS

The Kings have struggled of late with DeMarcus Cousins out of the lineup, losing five straight since the center suffered a sprained ankle at Houston on January 22. Rudy Gay returned to the Sacramento lineup on Wednesday after sitting out four games with an Achilles injury, as the Kings fell short as home underdogs against the streaking Grizzlies, 99-89. Now, the Kings head to their house of horrors, the American Airlines Center, where Sacramento has lost 18 consecutive times dating back to 2004. Sacramento has played alright on the highway recently, covering four of its past six road games, including outright victories at New Orleans and Minnesota.

The Mavericks have lost three of their last four games, including Wednesday's shootout defeat to the Rockets, 117-115 as five-point home favorites. Dallas has dropped consecutive home games just once this season, while allowing at least 100 points in four of the last five contests played at the American Airlines Center. Playing with revenge is a theme on Friday night's card, as Dallas tries to avenge a 112-97 setback at Sacramento back in December, snapping a five-game winning streak over the Kings dating back to 2012.

Raptors at Nuggets - 9:05 PM EST

Toronto: 24-21 SU, 27-18 ATS
Denver: 22-22 SU, 21-23 ATS

The Raptors embark on a five-game road trip against Western Conference opponents, starting in Denver on Friday. Toronto is coming off consecutive victories over Brooklyn and Orlando, while playing without leading scorer DeMar DeRozan, who suffered a sprained ankle in last Saturday's loss to the Clippers. DeRozan is expected to return to the lineup for a Toronto squad that owns a sterling 9-1 ATS record the last 10 games as a road underdog.

The Nuggets stubbed their toe in Wednesday's home setback to the Bobcats, 101-98, as Ty Lawson sat out the loss with a shoulder injury. The point guard is questionable for Friday's action, as Denver's defense has been burned of late by allowing at least 110 points in six of the last eight games (3-5 SU, 4-4 ATS). Denver ripped up Toronto in its last meeting in early December, a 112-98 triumph, as the Nuggets outscored the Raptors by 20 points in the final three quarters.
 

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Friday, January 31


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MILWAUKEE (8 - 37) at ORLANDO (12 - 35) - 1/31/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
MILWAUKEE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in January games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
MILWAUKEE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
ORLANDO is 19-28 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 23-40 ATS (-21.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in January games this season.
ORLANDO is 20-40 ATS (-24.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 7-1 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 6-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (23 - 21) at PHILADELPHIA (15 - 31) - 1/31/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-40 ATS (-22.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-26 ATS (-11.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-23 ATS (-19.3 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-4 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 5-3 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (24 - 20) at MINNESOTA (23 - 22) - 1/31/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 79-58 ATS (+15.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 52-36 ATS (+12.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 41-25 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in January games this season.
MEMPHIS is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 161-208 ATS (-67.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 7-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (37 - 10) at BROOKLYN (20 - 23) - 1/31/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 28-19 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 69-50 ATS (+14.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 139-104 ATS (+24.6 Units) in road games since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 57-36 ATS (+17.4 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 113-74 ATS (+31.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 44-25 ATS (+16.5 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 39-58 ATS (-24.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 15-32 ATS (-20.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 2-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 2-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (15 - 30) at DALLAS (26 - 21) - 1/31/2014, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 6-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (24 - 21) at DENVER (22 - 22) - 1/31/2014, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (28 - 19) at UTAH (16 - 29) - 1/31/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 57-86 ATS (-37.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 5-4 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-4 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (20 - 27) at LA LAKERS (16 - 30) - 1/31/2014, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 3-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 4-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, January 31


Hot teams
-- Grizzlies won nine of their last ten games. Minnesota won five of its last six games.
-- Thunder won their last nine games (8-1 vs spread). Brooklyn is 10-2 in its last dozen games.
-- Raptors won four of their last five games.
-- Bobcats are 5-4 in their last nine games.
-- Jazz won three of their last four home games.

Cold Teams
-- Orlando lost 15 of its last 17 games. Bucks lost 21 of their last 24 games (1-6 vs spread last 7 on road).
-- Hawks are 5-7 in their last dozen games. 76ers lost six of last eight, covered one of last four.
-- Kings lost their last five games (1-3-1 vs spread). Dallas lost three of its last four games.
-- Denver lost four of its last six games.
-- Lakers lost last five games (0-3 vs spread in last three).
-- Golden State is 3-5 in its last eight games.

Series records
-- Magic won nine of last eleven games with Milwaukee.
-- 76ers lost three of last four games with Atlanta.
-- Minnesota beat Grizzlies 101-93 Dec 15, ending 11-game series skid.
-- Nets won last two games with Thunder, after losing previous seven.
-- Mavericks won 16 of last 18 games with Sacramento.
-- You're reading www.***************.com.
-- Nuggets won nine of last eleven games with Toronto.
-- Lakers won their last five games against Charlotte.
-- Warriors are 2-0 vs Utah this season: 102-88/98-87.

Totals
-- Five of last seven Orlando games stayed under total.
-- Six of last seven Atlanta games went over the total; eight of Philly's last ten games stayed under.
-- Last eight Memphis games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Brooklyn home games went over.
-- Over is 12-1 in last thirteen Sacramento-Dallas games.
-- Seven of last nine Denver games went over the total.
-- Eight of last nine Laker games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Utah games. Under is 4-1-1 in last six Golden State games.
 

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Friday, January 31


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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. ORLANDO
Milwaukee is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games
Milwaukee is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

7:30 PM
ATLANTA vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games at home
Philadelphia is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home

8:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. MINNESOTA
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis

8:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. BROOKLYN
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Brooklyn is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

8:30 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. DALLAS
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Sacramento's last 15 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Dallas is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing Sacramento

9:00 PM
TORONTO vs. DENVER
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Toronto's last 15 games when playing Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Denver is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

10:30 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. UTAH
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Golden State's last 8 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games at home
Utah is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Golden State

10:30 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. LA LAKERS
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Charlotte's last 14 games on the road
Charlotte is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games when playing at home against Charlotte
LA Lakers are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games when playing Charlotte
 

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Friday, January 31


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Game of the Day: Thunder at Nets
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Oklahoma City Thunder at Brooklyn Nets (+3.5, 198)

It wasn't long ago that the Brooklyn Nets were considered the hottest team in the NBA; now, they have to contend with the new mantle-holder as they prepare to host the powerhouse Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday night. Brooklyn opened the month of January with 10 wins in their first 11 games, but hit a roadblock last time out as they dropped a stunning 104-103 decision to Toronto. The Thunder have won nine in a row, with Kevin Durant starring in each one.

The Nets will try to become the first team to hold Durant under 30 points in 3 1/2 weeks. The NBA scoring leader reeled off 33 points in a 112-95 drubbing of the Miami Heat, becoming the first NBA player with 30+ points in 12 straight games since Tracy McGrady more than 10 years earlier. Durant is averaging 38 points over the course of the streak, and has fallen short of the 30-point mark just twice in his previous 18 games overall.

TV:
8 p.m. ET, ESPN, FS Oklahoma (Oklahoma City), YES (Brooklyn)

LINE HISTORY:
Brooklyn opened as a 3-point home underdog and has jumped to +3.5 with early money on Oklahoma City. The total has come down from 199 to 198.

POWER RANKINGS:
Thunder (-14.0) - Nets (-7.0) + Home Court (-3.0) = Thunder -4.0

KEY INJURIES:
Thunder: Russell Westbrook (Out - knee). Nets: Andrei Kirilenko (Questionable - calf), Marquis Teague (Questionable - personal)

WHAT BOOKS SAY:
"We knew the public would back them here, but not to this extent. We opened 3, now dealing Thunder -4 but I don’t see us going much higher than 4. We did hang what now looks to be a short number on the Thunder at -3, but the Nets are in a great spot in this game. Nets played an emotional game at Boston w/ Garnett and Pierce’s return home, only to lose their next game against the Raptors the very next night. Now they come off that loss, with 3 days of rest completely focused for this game tonight. - Peter Childs, Sportsbook.ag.

WHY BET THE THUNDER (37-10 SU, 28-19 ATS, 23-24 O/U):
Durant has been typically humble despite finding himself in the hottest stretch of his career - first downplaying his marquee matchup with Miami's LeBron James, then going toe-to-toe with the multi-time MVP, who finished with 34 points in the loss. Durant averages 24.8 points in 11 career games versus the Nets.

WHY BET THE NETS (20-23 SU, 21-22 ATS, 22-19 O/U):
Brooklyn opened the month with a 95-93 victory over the Thunder in Oklahoma City. Brooklyn was well on its way to a critical win over Toronto - a victory that would have moved the Nets to within a half-game of the Atlantic Division-leading Raptors. It was the most heartbreaking loss of what has already been a difficult season for the injury plagued Nets - and as point guard Deron Williams said afterward: "And we (had) three days to sit and think about it. And that makes it even worse."

TRENDS:


* Thunder are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Brooklyn.
* Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.
* Favorite is 13-6 ATS in the last 19 meetings.
* Road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.

CONSENSUS PICKS:
80% of bets on Oklahoma City -3.5. 71% of bets on Over 198.
 

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Dunkel


Oklahoma City at Brooklyn
The Thunder come into Brooklyn tonight riding a 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 road games. Oklahoma City is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Thunder favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-3 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, JANUARY 31

Game 801-802: Milwaukee at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 108.585; Orlando 111.117
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 2 1/2; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 5; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+5); Under

Game 803-804: Atlanta at Philadelphia (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 117.667; Philadelphia 111.705
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 6; 217
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 4; 211 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-4); Over

Game 805-806: Memphis at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 124.176; Minnesota 127.032
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 3; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 1 1/2; 191
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+1 1/2); Under

Game 807-808: Oklahoma City at Brooklyn (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 126.938; Brooklyn 120.810
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 6; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 3 1/2; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-3 1/2); Over

Game 809-810: Sacramento at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 117.518; Dallas 120.849
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 3 1/2; 206
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 7 1/2; 214
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+7 1/2); Under

Game 811-812: Toronto at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 119.746; Denver 118.892
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 2; 204
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+1); Over

Game 813-814: Golden State at Utah (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 124.751; Utah 115.868
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 9; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 5; 202
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-5); Under

Game 815-816: Charlotte at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 114.391; LA Lakers 113.874
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 1; 209
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 2; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+2); Over
 

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January's Record

*****............. 37 -28

DOUBLE PLAYS....21 - 23

TRIPLE PLAYS.....16 - 17 - 1


Friday, January 31

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Milwaukee - 7:00 PM ET Orlando -5.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Orlando - Under 195 500

Atlanta - 7:30 PM ET Atlanta -4.5 500
Philadelphia - Over 212 500

Memphis - 8:00 PM ET Memphis -1 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Minnesota - Over 188.5 500

Oklahoma City - 8:00 PM ET Brooklyn +5 500
Brooklyn - Under 197.5 500

Sacramento - 8:30 PM ET Sacramento +8.5 500
Dallas - Over 215.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY

Toronto - 9:00 PM ET Denver -1.5 500
Denver - Over 203 500

Charlotte - 10:30 PM ET Charlotte +3 500 *****
L.A. Lakers - Over 205.5 500

Golden State - 10:30 PM ET Golden State -5.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Utah - Under 200.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
 

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