Cnotes February's College Basketball PODS-Stats-News & Game of the Year !

[CNOTES]

GAMES TO 3PM PACIFIC:



California - 3:00 PM ET California -1.5 500 *****
Washington -

Montana - 3:00 PM ET North Dakota -3 500
North Dakota -

Arkansas-Little Rock - 3:00 PM ET Louisiana-Monroe -2.5 500
Louisiana-Monroe -

Houston - 3:00 PM ET Cincinnati -15 500
Cincinnati -

N.C. State - 3:00 PM ET Syracuse -13 500
Syracuse -

Towson - 4:00 PM ET Towson +5 500 *****
William & Mary -

Rider - 4:00 PM ET Rider +0 500 *****
Fairfield -

Green Bay - 4:00 PM ET Cleveland St. -2 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Cleveland St. -

Alabama - 4:00 PM ET South Carolina +0 500
South Carolina -

Florida Atlantic - 4:00 PM ET Florida Atlantic -4 500
Texas-San Antonio -

Citadel - 4:00 PM ET Furman -6.5 500 *****
Furman -

Mississippi - 4:00 PM ET Georgia -3.5 500
Georgia -

Texas Christian - 4:00 PM ET Kansas -23 500
Kansas -

Pepperdine - 4:00 PM ET Pepperdine +4 500 *****
Portland -

Indiana - 4:00 PM ET Indiana +1.5 500
Purdue -

Bowling Green - 4:00 PM ET Bowling Green -2 500
Ball St. -

Tennessee - 4:00 PM ET Missouri -2 500
Missouri -

Xavier - 4:00 PM ET Marquette -4.5 500
Marquette -

UNLV - 4:05 PM ET Utah St. -4 500 *****
Utah St. -

Old Dominion - 4:05 PM ET Tulsa -8.5 500
Tulsa -

Wofford - 4:30 PM ET Appalachian St. +3.5 500
Appalachian St. -

Miami (OH) - 4:30 PM ET Miami (OH) +6.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Western Michigan -

Utah - 5:00 PM ET Utah +9 500 TRIPLE PLAY
UCLA -

Louisiana State - 5:00 PM ET Arkansas -5 500
Arkansas -

Wyoming - 5:00 PM ET Wyoming -8.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
San Jose St. -

Northern Arizona - 5:05 PM ET Eastern Washington -4.5 500 *****
Eastern Washington -

North Dakota State - 5:07 PM ET North Dakota State -5 500 *****
Nebraska Omaha -

Eastern Kentucky - 5:30 PM ET Eastern Kentucky -4.5 500
Jacksonville St. -

 

[CNOTES]

GAMES UP TO 4PM PACIFIC TIME:


Central Michigan - 6:00 PM ET Kent St. -8.5 500
Kent St. -

Miami-Florida - 6:00 PM ET Miami-Florida -3.5 500 *****
Virginia Tech -

St. Bonaventure - 6:00 PM ET St. Bonaventure -1.5 500 *****
George Mason -

Maryland - 6:00 PM ET Duke -14 500
Duke -

Fordham - 6:00 PM ET Richmond -11.5 500
Richmond -

Pennsylvania - 6:00 PM ET Brown -5.5 500
Brown -

Princeton - 6:00 PM ET Yale +1 500 *****
Yale -

Georgia St - 6:00 PM ET Georgia St -10 500
Troy -

Nevada - 6:05 PM ET New Mexico -12 500
New Mexico -

 

[CNOTES]

Early Evening Games:


Northern Illinois - 7:00 PM ET Northern Illinois +11.5 500
Akron -

N.C. State - 7:00 PM ET Syracuse -13 500
Syracuse -

Marshall - 7:00 PM ET Marshall +7.5 500 *****
Charlotte -

Kansas St. - 7:00 PM ET Kansas St. +5 500 *****
Baylor -

Stanford - 7:00 PM ET Stanford -6 500
Washington St. -

Northeastern - 7:00 PM ET Northeastern +5.5 500
Charleston -

Idaho State - 7:00 PM ET Southern Utah +5.5 500
Southern Utah -

Denver - 7:00 PM ET IUPU - Ft. Wayne -1.5 500 *****
IUPU - Ft. Wayne -

Harvard - 7:00 PM ET Harvard -16 500
Cornell -

CSU Northridge - 7:00 PM ET UC Santa Barbara -12 500 DOUBLE PLAY
UC Santa Barbara -

Samford - 7:00 PM ET Elon University -10 500
Elon University -

Dartmouth - 7:00 PM ET Columbia -8.5 500
Columbia -

Illinois-Chicago - 7:05 PM ET Illinois-Chicago +9 500
Youngstown St. -

Bradley - 7:05 PM ET Bradley +6.5 500
Illinois St. -

Valparaiso - 8:00 PM ET Wis.-Milwaukee -1.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Wis.-Milwaukee -

Loyola Marymount - 8:00 PM ET Gonzaga -16.5 500
Gonzaga -

West Virginia - 8:00 PM ET Texas -6 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Texas -

Tulane - 8:00 PM ET UAB -12.5 500 *****
UAB -

Ohio St. - 8:00 PM ET Ohio St. -4 500 *****
Illinois -

Rice - 8:00 PM ET Rice +19.5 500
Louisiana Tech -

Brigham Young - 8:00 PM ET Brigham Young +4.5 500
St. Mary's -

Florida St. - 8:00 PM ET Florida St. -1.5 500 *****
Wake Forest -

East Carolina - 8:00 PM ET East Carolina +3.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
North Texas -

South Alabama - 8:00 PM ET Western Kentucky -8.5 500
Western Kentucky -

Loyola-Chicago - 8:05 PM ET Drake -5.5 500
Drake -

Air Force - 8:05 PM ET Air Force +17 500
San Diego St. -

Arkansas St. - 8:15 PM ET Louisiana-Lafayette -3 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Louisiana-Lafayette -

SIU - Edwardsville - 8:30 PM ET SIU - Edwardsville +5.5 500
Austin Peay -

Morehead St. - 8:30 PM ET Morehead St. -1.5 500
Tennessee Tech -

Eastern Illinois - 8:30 PM ET Murray St. -12 500 *****
Murray St. -

Texas State - 8:30 PM ET Texas State +4.5 500
Texas-Arlington -

 

[CNOTES]

LATE EVENING GAMES:


Florida - 9:00 PM ET Kentucky -2.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Kentucky -

Northern Iowa - 9:00 PM ET Missouri St. -1.5 500
Missouri St. -

Hawaii - 9:00 PM ET Hawaii -4.5 500 BIG WEST GAME OF THE MONTH
Cal St. Fullerton -

Florida International - 9:05 PM ET Florida International +11.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Texas-El Paso -

Montana St. - 9:05 PM ET Northern Colorado -9.5 500
Northern Colorado -

Colorado St. - 10:00 PM ET Fresno St. -2.5 500 *****
Fresno St. -

UC Riverside - 10:00 PM ET UC Irvine -12.5 500
UC Irvine -

San Diego - 10:00 PM ET Pacific -6.5 500 *****
Pacific -

Sacramento State - 10:05 PM ET Portland St. -5.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Portland St. -

Cal Poly SLO - 10:30 PM ET Long Beach St. -5 500
Long Beach St. -

San Francisco - 11:00 PM ET San Francisco -2 500 *****
Santa Clara -

 

[CNOTES]

Sunday's Tip Sheet

February 15, 2014


The Big East underwent some major changes this past offseason and many college basketball experts questioned just how competitive this former power conference would be after suffering some major defections. This Sunday, we will get a good look at just how strong its top two teams really are when the No. 6 Villanova Wildcats and the No. 18 Creighton Bluejays clash at CenturyLink Center Omaha.

No. 6 Villanova Wildcats vs. No. 18 Creighton Bluejays (FOX Sports 1, 5 p.m.)

The Wildcats come into this matchup with a straight-up record of 22-2. Other than a 78-62 loss to No. 1 Syracuse on Dec. 28 as four-point road underdogs, their only other setback was a 96-68 beatdown at the hands of Creighton as 6 ½-point home favorites on Jan. 20. The total went OVER the 147 ½-point closing line in that game. Revenge may be a motivational factor in this game, but Villanova's current form could be its biggest strength with double-digit victories in its last four outings as part of a six-game winning streak since that ugly loss.

Against the spread, the Wildcats have now covered in nine of their last 11 games and they are a profitable 17-5 ATS on the year. They are 6-3 ATS on the road this season and the total has gone OVER in eight of the nine games. Villanova has covered in eight of 11 conference games with the total going OVER in eight of those contests.

The Wildcats are one of the higher scoring teams in the nation with an average of 80.7 points and they are shooting 46.7 percent from the field. Much of its success can be attributed to the play of James Bell (16 points and 5.9 rebounds) and JayVaughn Pinkston (14.9 points and 5.9 rebounds); however, Darrun Hilliard II remains the team's best pure shooter especially from outside the perimeter with a shooting percentage of 39.8 from two-point range. Villanova is pulling down 37.8 rebounds a game and holding teams to 66.7 points on defense.

Creighton is 10-2 SU in conference play after suffering a few bad setbacks of its own. The first was a 13-point loss to Providence on January 18 as a four-point road favorite followed by last Sunday's 70-65 loss to St. John's as once again a four-point favorite on the road. This past Thursday, the Bluejays squeezed past Butler, 68-63 as eight-point road favorites and they have now failed to cover in their last four games.

Overall, Creighton is 13-9 ATS this season with a 7-4 mark ATS at home. The total has stayed UNDER in its last five games overall, including its last three home games. Against their new conference (after leaving the Missouri Valley Conference), the Bluejays are 6-6 ATS and the total has stayed UNDER in seven of those 12 games.

Wooden Award contender Doug McDermott put up 26 points in Thursday's win over Butler to become the 15th-highest scorer in NCAA history with a total of 2,824 points. He is far from done and obviously expecting another big game this Sunday after scoring 23 points against the Wildcats the first time they met. The big star of that first meeting was Ethan Wragge, who led the Bluejays with nine 3-pointers to account for a game-high 27 points. Creighton matches up well in this showdown with an average of 80 points a game while shooting 48.9 percent from the field. It is shooting 41.8 percent from 3-point range, which is the third-best percentage in the nation. The Bluejays are pulling down 36.4 rebounds a game and holding teams to an average of 65.7 points.

Creighton is favored by 3 ½-points at home to pull off the season sweep against the Wildcats and move into first place in the Big East standings.

The first game between these two was the only meeting in recent history, as the Wildcats are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games against a team with a SU winning record and the Bluejays are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS loss.

Bonus Games

Georgetown Hoyas vs. St. John's Red Storm (FOX Sports 1, 7 p.m.)

Something has to give in this matchup with both Georgetown and St. John's knotted at 6-6 SU in Big East play. The Hoyas have extended their current winning streak to four games after losing their previous five contests. They have covered in their last five outings to improve to 12-11 ATS on the year.

The Red Storm started conference play with five straight losses, but since that dismal run they have gone 7-1 SU with a 6-2 mark ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their last six games. St. John's is 10-13 ATS overall that includes a 6-6 ATS record at home.

Head-to-head in this matchup, Georgetown has won seven of the last eight meetings SU including a 77-60 romp as a 7 ½-point home favorite in the first meeting this season on Jan. 4. The Hoyas are 5-1 ATS in the last six contests against the Red Storm and the total has gone OVER in three of the last four. St. John's has been opened as a 4 ½-point favorite for Sunday's game.

Colorado Buffaloes vs. USC Trojans (ESPNU, 8 p.m.)

Colorado is coming off a 92-74 thrashing at the hands of UCLA this past Thursday as a 9 ½-point road underdog. It is now 7-5 SU in the Pac-12 with a 5-7 record ATS. The Buffaloes are 18-7 SU overall with a 13-11 record ATS. They have gone 4-5 ATS on the road this season with the total staying UNDER in five of seven road games with a posted line.

The Trojans find themselves bringing up the rear in the Pac-12 with just one SU victory against 10 losses. Their current losing streak reached five games with a 79-71 loss to Utah as 4 ½-point home underdogs this past Thursday. USC is 9-12-1 ATS this season with a 6-5 ATS record at home. The total has gone OVER in six of its last eight games overall.

The Buffaloes could be without their second-leading rebounder, Wesley Gordon, who is listed as questionable for Sunday with an ankle injury. They have won all three previous meetings since joining the conference in 2011 including an 83-62 romp on Jan. 18 as 11-point home favorites. Colorado is 2-1 ATS in this series and the total has gone OVER in two of the three games. This time around the Buffaloes will go in as three-point road favorites over the Trojans.

 

[CNOTES]

Wisconsin at Michigan


Wisconsin Badgers (20-5 SU, 12-12-1 ATS) at Michigan Wolverines (18-6 SU, 12-9 ATS)

Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: Michigan -4 ½, 137 ½

Two of the best teams in the Big Ten due battle on Sunday as No. 21 Wisconsin visits No. 15 Michigan.

The Badgers and Wolverines played in Madison on January 18, and it was Michigan stealing a rare road victory against Wisconsin, winning 77-70. In that game, SG Nik Stauskas scored 23 points as Michigan was able to win in this series for just the second time in 14 tries (6-8 ATS). The Wolverines connected on 55 percent of their shots that night, while also making 7-of-13 from the three-point line. Michigan (12-9-1 ATS overall, 4-5 ATS on road, 8-4 ATS in Big Ten) has been on a tear as of late, winning 12 of its past 14 games (9-4-1 ATS).

The Badgers appear to have gotten things rolling again with three straight wins following a stretch of five losses in six games. Wisconsin (11-12-2 ATS, 5-8-1 ATS at home, 4-7 ATS in Big Ten) has done a very good job against ranked teams this season, going 4-1 with the lone loss being a one-point defeat to Ohio State on Feb. 1. In Wisconsin’s most recent victory over Minnesota on Thursday, the Badgers went 30-of-36 from the free throw line. Bo Ryan has as much offensive talent as he has had in recent memory, but his club must become better at sharing the ball with each other. The Badgers had only eight assists on 21 field goals on Thursday, as they try and go one-on-one too much. While it worked against Minnesota, the Michigan defense will not be that easy to score on.

The Badgers enter Sunday's game ranked 124th in the nation in scoring (73.0 PPG), 248th in assists (11.9 APG) and 268th in rebounding (33.2 RPG). But they still rank second in the nation in turnovers (8.6 per game) and limit opponents to a mere 53.0 PPG on 42.3% FG and 32.8% threes. Wisconsin has a balanced offensive attack, as four players average double-figures in scoring.

SF Sam Dekker (13.4 PPG, 47% FG, 6.0 RPG), SG Ben Brust (13.2 PPG, 40% threes, 4.7 RPG), C Frank Kaminsky (12.5 PPG, 41% threes, 6.0 RPG) and PG Traevon Jackson (10.7 PPG, 3.9 RPG, 3.9 APG) all are capable players that can contribute in many different ways. Dekker is one of the most difficult matchups in the Big Ten. At 6-foot-7, the small forward can score off the bounce, but will take a smaller defender in the post.

As a team, the Badgers shoot 37.1% from the three-point line. SG Josh Gasser (8.7 PPG, 4.0 RPG) is the best long-range shooter on the team (42% threes), and is just another shooter that the Wolverines will have to worry about. This starting five scored 63 of the 70 points when these teams met on Jan. 18 with Gasser scoring 16 points (4-of-5 threes), Brust and Kaminsky netting 14, Dekker posting a double-double of 10 points and 10 boards and Jackson shooting poorly (3-of-11 FG), but still contributing seven points, five assists and three rebounds.

Michigan has 75.5 PPG (78th in Div. I) this season, shooting the ball at a 48.2% FG clip (20th in nation). This club is one of the best three-point shooting teams in the country, hitting at a rate of 39.3% (26th in Div. I). However, like Wisconsin, it has really struggled on the glass (33.0 RPG, 274th in nation).

A big portion of that is because of the injury to PF Mitch McGary (8.3 RPG), who was lost for the season with a back injury. Although the Wolverines don’t generate many blocks (2.8 BPG, 270th in Div. I) or steals (5.4 SPG, 265th in nation), they allow just 64.4 PPG (46th in Div. I) on 43.5% FG and 33.0% threes. SG Nik Stauskas (16.9 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 3.5 APG) has gone from talented role player to a guy that is capable of leading a team. He is still a devastating three-point shooter (45% threes), but he is also able to get to the rim and finish. That versatility in his offensive arsenal has made him extremely difficult to stop.

With PF Glenn Robinson III (12.9 PPG, 4.3 RPG) and SG Caris LeVert (12.5 PPG, 4.4 RPG, 2.8 APG), Michigan has a trio of scorers extremely tough to contend with. Robinson scored 14 points (6-of-8 FG), but had zero rebounds in 31 minutes in last month's win in Madison, while LeVert piled up 20 points, seven boards, four assists and four steals in that victory.

PG Derrick Walton Jr. (8.8 PPG, 3.0 APG, 2.7 RPG) is continuing to improve as a freshman point guard. He is shooting 41% from the three-point line, making defenses have to respect him from the outside. He is tremendous off the bounce, where he is able to finish at the rim, or hit the open guy for the perimeter shot. Both of these teams are able to knock it down from deep, but this game will come down to which one of these poor rebounding teams can take control on the glass.

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday......

13) Olympic hockey does shootouts differently than NHL, letting same shooter go multiple times, once three players have gone, where in the NHL, each player is only allowed to shoot once.

Like the NHL system better, makes it more of a team game and puts strategy into the coach's decisions as to who shoots when.

12) Florida 69, Kentucky 59-- Kentucky led 48-47 with 8:14 left, when the ref gave John Calipari a technical foul-- Wildcats never led again, as Florida wins at Tennessee/Kentucky in same week. That doesn't happen much.

11) Syracuse 56, NC State 55-- Wolfpack gagged this game away, getting trapped in corner twice in last minute when they had ball and the lead. This was 7th time this season Syracuse has been tied/trailed in last 5:00, but they are still unbeaten, with a trip to Duke coming up Saturday.

10) Wyoming 46, San Jose State 38-- Spartans were outscored 20-9 in the second half, which may help explain why they're 0-13 in Mountain West. Not sure why Wyoming has turned into a slowball team, but they have-- it takes a little more effort to go to their home games in Laramie, not sure fans are going to want to drive thru winter weather to watch 46-38 games.

9) Yale 66, Princeton 65 ot-- Bulldogs were down 11 at half, rallied to win and stay tied for Ivy lead with Harvard at 7-1. No conference tournament in Ivy League and Yale already beat Crimson once-- rematch is at Yale.

8) Purdue 82, Indiana 64-- Wheels have fallen off for Hoosiers, who had a sub arrested for DUI late in week; they've lost six of last eight games, are 0-4 in last four games on the road- they host Iowa next.

7) ESPN's Joe Lunardi does good work with projecting who will be in the NCAA tournament, but ESPN uses his stuff way too much, like his word is official or something. "Oh, if BYU wins here, they'll be in the field of 68".

Please stop. Don't need this during every TV game for the next month.

6) Recruiting rankings aren't worth the paper they're written on; during the K-State-Baylor game, kid on Kansas State stole the ball and dunked in traffic, and the TV analyst yells about how coaches need to go out and see kids play, since this player was only a three-star recruit.

Recruiting analysts can't possibly see every player enough to make sound judgments on those kids. Players slip through the cracks, and sharp coaches find those kids, develop their skills and win a lot of games.

5) Matt Garza took $2M less to sign with Milwaukee than the Angels, and that seems odd, unless he doesn't want to face the DH. You'd think Angels have a better chance to be contenders than the Brewers do.

4) Arizona State's students need some lessons on how to act at games; couple of them spit on Oregon's coaches last week, one threw a cardboard cutout on the court Friday night after a shaky call by the refs, then 1,000 of them rushed the court when they upset Arizona, only there was still 0:00.5 left to play and they could've (but didn't) get a technical foul. Oy.

3) Certain things are amusing, others are funny, some are really funny, then there is the thing on my tax return that asks if I'd like to contribute $3 to the Presidential election campaign funds. Um, no thanks.

2) Upset of Day: Reggie Theus' Cal-Northridge Matadors (+13) won 80-78 in OT at Santa Barbara, Matadors' 4th OT game in their last six.

1) Bad Beat of the Day-- Kansas State (+4.5) had Baylor beat in regulation, but Bears hit a desperation trey at buzzer to send game to OT, then won by 14 in second overtime. If you had K-State in this game, it was a bitter loss.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, February 16

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WRIGHT ST (14 - 13) at OAKLAND (10 - 17) - 2/16/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WRIGHT ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 8-16 ATS (-9.6 Units) in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 8-16 ATS (-9.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
OAKLAND is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
WRIGHT ST is 1-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
WRIGHT ST is 1-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WISCONSIN (20 - 5) at MICHIGAN (18 - 6) - 2/16/2014, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 2-2 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 2-2 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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SMU (20 - 5) at TEMPLE (6 - 17) - 2/16/2014, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 168-132 ATS (+22.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
TEMPLE is 77-53 ATS (+18.7 Units) in February games since 1997.
TEMPLE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 44-25 ATS (+16.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
SMU is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games this season.
SMU is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
SMU is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
SMU is 105-78 ATS (+19.2 Units) in road games since 1997.
SMU is 105-78 ATS (+19.2 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
SMU is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
SMU is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after a conference game this season.
SMU is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
SMU is 38-17 ATS (+19.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
TEMPLE is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEMPLE is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 1-0 against the spread versus TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
SMU is 1-0 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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OREGON ST (13 - 10) at OREGON (15 - 8) - 2/16/2014, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON ST is 3-2 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 3-2 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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NEBRASKA (13 - 10) at MICHIGAN ST (21 - 4) - 2/16/2014, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA is 74-107 ATS (-43.7 Units) in road games since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 74-107 ATS (-43.7 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 43-67 ATS (-30.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 78-108 ATS (-40.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 45-66 ATS (-27.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games in February games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
NEBRASKA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after a conference game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 2-1 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 4-0 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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WICHITA ST (26 - 0) at EVANSVILLE (11 - 15) - 2/16/2014, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EVANSVILLE is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
EVANSVILLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
EVANSVILLE is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
EVANSVILLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
EVANSVILLE is 22-5 ATS (+16.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
WICHITA ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games this season.
WICHITA ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
WICHITA ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
WICHITA ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games this season.
WICHITA ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road lined games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
EVANSVILLE is 5-0 against the spread versus WICHITA ST over the last 3 seasons
WICHITA ST is 3-2 straight up against EVANSVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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VILLANOVA (22 - 2) at CREIGHTON (20 - 4) - 2/16/2014, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VILLANOVA is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all games this season.
VILLANOVA is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
VILLANOVA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after a conference game this season.
VILLANOVA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CREIGHTON is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
CREIGHTON is 1-0 against the spread versus VILLANOVA over the last 3 seasons
CREIGHTON is 1-0 straight up against VILLANOVA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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RUTGERS (10 - 15) at LOUISVILLE (20 - 4) - 2/16/2014, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 57-39 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 57-39 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISVILLE is 2-1 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 3-0 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NOTRE DAME (13 - 12) at BOSTON COLLEGE (6 - 18) - 2/16/2014, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all home games this season.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in home lined games this season.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-0 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 1-0 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MINNESOTA (16 - 9) at NORTHWESTERN (12 - 13) - 2/16/2014, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 70-98 ATS (-37.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 3-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 3-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


GEORGETOWN (15 - 9) at ST JOHNS (16 - 9) - 2/16/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGETOWN is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGETOWN is 4-1 against the spread versus ST JOHNS over the last 3 seasons
GEORGETOWN is 5-0 straight up against ST JOHNS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


COLORADO (18 - 7) at USC (10 - 14) - 2/16/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
USC is 29-52 ATS (-28.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 29-52 ATS (-28.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 15-32 ATS (-20.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 13-32 ATS (-22.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 2-1 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 3-0 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


HOFSTRA (8 - 18) at DREXEL (13 - 11) - 2/16/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DREXEL is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DREXEL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons.
DREXEL is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all home games this season.
DREXEL is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in home lined games this season.
DREXEL is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
HOFSTRA is 4-1 against the spread versus DREXEL over the last 3 seasons
DREXEL is 5-0 straight up against HOFSTRA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MARIST (10 - 15) at MONMOUTH (10 - 16) - 2/16/2014, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARIST is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
MARIST is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MONMOUTH is 1-0 against the spread versus MARIST over the last 3 seasons
MARIST is 1-0 straight up against MONMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NIAGARA (6 - 20) at MANHATTAN (18 - 6) - 2/16/2014, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MANHATTAN is 50-34 ATS (+12.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 50-34 ATS (+12.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
NIAGARA is 3-2 against the spread versus MANHATTAN over the last 3 seasons
MANHATTAN is 3-2 straight up against NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CANISIUS (17 - 9) at SIENA (11 - 15) - 2/16/2014, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SIENA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
CANISIUS is 3-2 against the spread versus SIENA over the last 3 seasons
SIENA is 3-2 straight up against CANISIUS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


W CAROLINA (14 - 12) at UNC-GREENSBORO (12 - 14) - 2/16/2014, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W CAROLINA is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) in all games this season.
W CAROLINA is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
W CAROLINA is 107-140 ATS (-47.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
W CAROLINA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
W CAROLINA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) after a conference game this season.
W CAROLINA is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
UNC-GREENSBORO is 3-3 against the spread versus W CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
W CAROLINA is 5-1 straight up against UNC-GREENSBORO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ST PETERS (9 - 15) at QUINNIPIAC (16 - 8) - 2/16/2014, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST PETERS is 25-40 ATS (-19.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ST PETERS is 25-40 ATS (-19.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ST PETERS is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ST PETERS is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
ST PETERS is 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
ST PETERS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
ST PETERS is 37-18 ATS (+17.2 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
ST PETERS is 1-0 against the spread versus QUINNIPIAC over the last 3 seasons
ST PETERS is 1-0 straight up against QUINNIPIAC over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BRYANT (16 - 9) at WAGNER (12 - 11) - 2/16/2014, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
WAGNER is 3-1 straight up against BRYANT over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, February 16

Wright State (-7) shot 65% inside arc in 76-64 home win vs Oakland Jan 2, teams' first Horizon meeting; this is first game in 8 days for Raiders squad that lost four of last five games, losing last three on road by 1-4-7 points. Horizon home teams are 6-21 vs spread in games where spread was 5 or less point. Oakland won rivalry game in OT Friday vs Detroit, snapping 3-game losing kid- their last three wins are all by one point.

Michigan (+7.5) won 77-70 at Wisconsin Jan 18, making 7-13 from arc; just second series win in last 14 games for Wolverines. Michigan is 4-1 as home favorite, winning home games by 23-13-8-9-29 points- they're 2-2 in last four games overall, after winning 10 straight. Big Dozen home favorites of 4 or less points are 7-5 vs spread. Wisconsin won three in a row after losing five of its previous six games.

SMU (-13) held Temple to 30.3% from floor in 75-52 home win 10 days ago; Mustangs won last four games, nine of last 10- they won three of last four road games, winning by 12-7-12 points. AAC single digit home underdogs are 5-9 vs spread. Owls lost four in row (all by 14+), 12 of last 13 games, with only win at home vs Rutgers; they've lost conference home games by 7-10-4-16-24 points.

Oregon State (+3) survived 20 turnovers (-9) in 80-72 home win over its rival Oregon Jan 19, game they led by 16 in first half, its first win in last four games vs Ducks. State is 1-5 on Pac-12 road, with three losses by 6 or less points (only win at Wash State). Oregon lost eight of its last ten games- they're 1-3 at home in Pac-12, with only win vs USC. Pac-12 home favorites of 9+ points are 14-9 vs spread.

Creighton (+6.5) was ridiculous 21-35 from arc, scoring 1.45 ppp in its 96-68 win at Villanova Jan 20; Bluejays won 15 of last 17 games, are 6-0 at home in Big East, with four wins by 12+ points. Underdogs are 11-7 vs spread in Big East games where spread was 4 or less points. Villanova won last six games, last four by 16+ points; they're 6-0 on road in Big East- their only road loss all season was by 16 at Syracuse.

Notre Dame (-6.5) beat Boston College 76-73 in OT Feb 1, despite being outscored 20-9 on foul line; Irish lost eight of its last 11 games, with last two wins in OT- they're 0-5 on ACC road, with all five losses by 8 or less points. ACC home teams are 11-26 vs spread in games with spread of 5 or less points. BC lost four in row, 14 of last 17 games; they're 1-4 at home in ACC, with only win against Virginia Tech.

Northwestern (+10.5) won 55-54 at Minnesota Feb 1; Andre Hollins did not play that day. Wildcats are 6-4 in last ten series games, winning last five played here by 9-3-11-11-7 points. Big Dozen home underdogs of 5 or less points are 6-7 vs spread. Gophers lost last five road games, four of last five overall, with three road losses by 4 or less points or in OT. Hollins is back in lineup, scoring 22 points vs Wisconsin in last game.

Georgetown (-7.5) was up 42-16 at half in 77-60 win over St John's Jan 4; Hoyas made 9-13 from arc, outscored Red Storm 22-10 on line in its 6th straight series win- they won last two visits here by 20-16 points. Big East home favorites of 4 or less points are 3-5 vs spread. St John's won seven of last eight games, winning last two by total of six points- they're leading Big East in both blocked shots and steals.

Colorado (-11.5) waxed USC 83-62 at home Jan 18, big man Scott had 20 points in 24 minutes for Buffs, who are 3-0 vs USC in Pac-12 play, winning by 24-6-21 points. Pac-12 home underdogs of 5 or less points are 12-7 vs spread. Shorthanded Colorado (down three guys) lost its last four road games, all by 12+ points. Trojans lost last five games, four by 8+ points- their only conference win was a home upset of California.

Drexel (-4) won 77-74 at Hofstra Jan 29, making 10-21 from arc in game it trailed by 5 with 9:01 left; Dragons won last six series games, winning last two played here, by 9-11 points. CAA home favorites of 9+ points are 2-5 vs spread. Hofstra lost six of last seven games, losing last four on CAA road, by 18-18-8-6 points. Drexel is just 5-6 in CAA, but won its last two home games, by 11-18 points.

Monmouth (+6) lost 75-73 at Marist Jan 30; Red Foxes made 11-26 on arc in game they trailed by 11 in first 10:00. Marist is 10-6 in its last 16 games after an 0-9 start; they won four of last five, but is just 1-6 on the road in MAAC, with only win at Rider. MAAC home teams are 13-17 vs spread in games where spread was 4 or less points. Monmouth lost its last six games, but five of those were on road- they're 3-3 at home.

Canisius has long road trip after winning rivalry game at Niagara Friday; they beat Siena 93-78 (-6.5) in first meeting Dec 8, making 15-26 on arc in game they led 57-36 at half. Griffins lost last seven visits to Albany, with five losses by 11+ points. Siena lost in last minute at Marist in its last game Friday, but they've won three of their last four home games. MAAC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 4-9 vs spread.

Quinnipiac is 11-4 in its first year in MAAC, but they lost 74-67 (-4.5) to Peacocks Jan 12 in Jersey City, shooting 33% from floor in game they trailed 32-20 at half. Bobcats won last four games, are 7-1 at home in its MAAC games, with only loss to Canisius. MAAC home favorites of 8 or less points are 16-21-1 vs spread. St Peter's lost six of its last eight games, losing last four on road by 7-17-15-3 points.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB

Sunday, February 16

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Trend Report
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1:00 PM
WISCONSIN vs. MICHIGAN
Wisconsin is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wisconsin's last 5 games on the road
Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Michigan is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 16, 1:00 PM
WRIGHT STATE vs. OAKLAND
Wright State is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wright State's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 16, 2:00 PM
MARIST vs. MONMOUTH
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Marist's last 5 games on the road
Marist is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Monmouth is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Monmouth's last 7 games

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 16, 2:00 PM
WESTERN CAROLINA vs. UNC GREENSBORO
Western Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against UNC Greensboro
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Western Carolina's last 7 games on the road
UNC Greensboro is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UNC Greensboro's last 7 games at home

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 16, 2:00 PM
NIAGARA vs. MANHATTAN
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Niagara's last 5 games when playing on the road against Manhattan
Niagara is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Manhattan
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Manhattan's last 6 games at home
Manhattan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 16, 2:00 PM
SOUTHERN METHODIST vs. TEMPLE
No trends available
Temple is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Temple is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 16, 2:00 PM
CANISIUS vs. SIENA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Canisius's last 5 games on the road
Canisius is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Siena is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Canisius
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Siena's last 6 games when playing at home against Canisius

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 16, 3:00 PM
NEBRASKA vs. MICHIGAN STATE
Nebraska is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Michigan State is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
Michigan State is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games at home

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 16, 3:00 PM
OREGON STATE vs. OREGON
Oregon State is 2-17 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Oregon
Oregon State is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Oregon is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Oregon is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games at home

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 16, 4:00 PM
SAINT PETER'S vs. QUINNIPIAC
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saint Peter's last 6 games on the road
Saint Peter's is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Quinnipiac is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Quinnipiac's last 7 games

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 16, 5:00 PM
WICHITA STATE vs. EVANSVILLE
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Wichita State's last 16 games on the road
Wichita State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Evansville's last 8 games when playing at home against Wichita State
Evansville is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games when playing Wichita State

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 16, 5:07 PM
VILLANOVA vs. CREIGHTON
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Villanova's last 10 games on the road
Villanova is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Creighton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Creighton's last 9 games at home

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 16, 6:00 PM
NOTRE DAME vs. BOSTON COLLEGE
Notre Dame is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston College
Notre Dame is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston College's last 6 games at home
Boston College is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 16, 6:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. NORTHWESTERN
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Northwestern's last 9 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northwestern's last 6 games when playing Minnesota

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 16, 6:00 PM
RUTGERS vs. LOUISVILLE
Rutgers is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Rutgers's last 9 games on the road
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Rutgers
Louisville is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 16, 7:00 PM
GEORGETOWN vs. ST. JOHN'S
Georgetown is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Georgetown is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
St. John's is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Georgetown
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of St. John's last 14 games when playing Georgetown

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 16, 8:00 PM
HOFSTRA vs. DREXEL
Hofstra is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Drexel
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hofstra's last 5 games when playing on the road against Drexel
Drexel is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Drexel's last 11 games

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 16, 8:00 PM
COLORADO vs. USC
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games on the road
Colorado is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of USC's last 8 games
USC is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB

Sunday, February 16

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the Day: Villanova at Creighton
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Villanova Wildcats at Creighton Bluejays (-3.5)

In its first meeting against Villanova on Jan. 20, Creighton drilled a Big East- and school-record 21 3-pointers while handing the Wildcats their worst home loss since 1980-81. No. 6 Villanova, which hits the road Sunday in a showdown between the top two teams in the conference, holds a half-game lead over the 17th-ranked Bluejays and has won six straight since their 28-point setback. "I think a lot of people watched that game and learned how not to play them," Wildcats coach Jay Wright said.

Wright suggested the Wildcats’ overall aggressiveness worked against them in the first meeting and perhaps no Creighton player benefited more than Ethan Wragge, who tied a school record with nine 3-pointers. Villanova began its three-game road trip with an 87-62 win over DePaul on Wednesday, but faces a difficult challenge against the Bluejays, who have won four of five since routing the Wildcats. Creighton, which posted a 20-win season for the 16th time in 17 years with Thursday’s five-point win at Butler, is looking for its 16th straight home victory.

TV: 5 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1

LINE HISTORY: The Bluejays opened as 3.5-point home faves.

POWER RANKINGS: Villanova (-16.4) - Creighton (-14.3) + Home Court (-3.0) = Creighton -0.9

INJURY WATCH: N/A

WHY BET VILLANOVA (22-2 SU, 17-5 ATS, 15-7 O/U): The Wildcats took a page out of the Bluejays’ book in the win over DePaul, knocking down a season-high 15 3-pointers while leaving Wright pleased with his team’s focus. “I know they're going to concentrate on (Sunday), but for a team to go in and concentrate like they did against DePaul is impressive to me," Wright told the school’s official website. Villanova has also picked it up at the defensive end, allowing 61.4 points over its last five games after surrendering 96 to Creighton and 85 five days later at Marquette.

WHY BET CREIGHTON (20-4 SU, 13-9 ATS, 8-13 O/U): In addition to passing Allan Houston and Kevin Bradshaw on the NCAA's career scoring list against Butler, Doug McDermott delivered his second game-winning basket in the Bluejays’ last three games and third of the season after never having done so previously. Incidentally, McDermott’s go-ahead 3-pointer sparked a game-ending 7-0 run and gave coach Greg McDermott (Doug’s father) his 100th career win at Creighton. Greg McDermott needed only 134 games to do so, allowing him to reach the benchmark quicker than all but one coach in school history.

TRENDS:

* Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.
* Bluejays are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Wildcats are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs. Big East.
* Bluejays are 30-10 ATS in their last 40 Sunday games.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB

Sunday, February 16

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Underdog hot in Wisconsin-Michigan meetings
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

If you're looking for an underdog play in college basketball action Sunday, consider the Wisconsin Badgers.

The Underdog is 5-0 ATS in the previous five meetings between the Badgers and the Michigan Wolverines.

The two will renew acquaintances at Michigan Sunday with the Badgers as 4.5-point road dogs.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Oregon State at Oregon
The Beavers head to Eugene today to face an Oregon team that is coming off a 74-72 loss at Arizona State and is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games following a SU defeat. Oregon State is the pick (+9) according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored by only 6. Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+9). Here are all of today's games.

SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 16

Game 853-854: Wright State at Oakland (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wright State 55.788; Oakland 53.087
Dunkel Line: Wright State by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland by 1
Dunkel Pick: Wright State (+1)

Game 855-856: Wisconsin at Michigan (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 68.712; Michigan 70.649
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 2
Vegas Line: Michigan by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (+4 1/2)

Game 857-858: SMU at Temple (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 66.237; Temple 61.584
Dunkel Line: SMU by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: SMU by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Temple (+8 1/2)

Game 859-860: Oregon State at Oregon (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 63.481; Oregon 69.378
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 6
Vegas Line: Oregon by 9
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+9)

Game 861-862: Nebraska at Michigan State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 61.589; Michigan State 77.756
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 16
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 13
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-13)

Game 863-864: Wichita State at Evansville (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wichita State 69.761; Evansville 53.662
Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 16
Vegas Line: Wichita State by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wichita State (-12 1/2)

Game 865-866: Villanova at Creighton (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 68.948; Creighton 79.359
Dunkel Line: Creighton by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Creighton by 3
Dunkel Pick: Creighton (-3)

Game 867-868: Rutgers at Louisville (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 54.895; Louisville 79.833
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 25
Vegas Line: Louisville by 21
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-21)

Game 869-870: Notre Dame at Boston College (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 61.235; Boston College 60.496
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 1
Vegas Line: Boston College by 1
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (+1)

Game 871-872: Minnesota at Northwestern (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 67.499; Northwestern 61.373
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 6
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 3
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-3)

Game 873-874: Georgetown at St. John's (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgetown 63.364; St. John's 73.319
Dunkel Line: St. John's by 10
Vegas Line: St. John's by 4
Dunkel Pick: St. John's (-4)

Game 875-876: Colorado at USC (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 65.822; USC 60.988
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 5
Vegas Line: Colorado by 3
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-3)

Game 877-878: Hofstra at Drexel (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hofstra 45.395; Drexel 57.691
Dunkel Line: Drexel by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Drexel by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Drexel (-10 1/2)

Game 879-880: Marist at Monmouth (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marist 52.076; Monmouth 49.049
Dunkel Line: Marist by 3
Vegas Line: Monmouth by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marist (+1 1/2)

Game 881-882: Niagara at Manhattan (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Niagara 48.450; Manhattan 59.908
Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Manhattan by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Niagara (+15 1/2)

Game 883-884: Canisius at Siena (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Canisius 58.751; Siena 52.748
Dunkel Line: Canisius by 6
Vegas Line: Canisius by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Canisius (-2 1/2)

Game 885-886: Western Carolina at NC-Greensboro (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 48.256; NC-Greensboro 44.258
Dunkel Line: Western Carolina by 4
Vegas Line: Western Carolina by 1
Dunkel Pick: Western Carolina (-1)

Game 887-888: St. Peter's at Quinnipiac (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 49.930; Quinnipiac 54.206
Dunkel Line: Quinnipiac by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Quinnipiac by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Peter's (+7 1/2)

Game 891-892: Bryant at Wagner (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bryant 53.077; Wagner 51.900
Dunkel Line: Bryant by 1
Vegas Line: Wagner by 3
Dunkel Pick: Bryant (+3)

 

[CNOTES]

February's Record:

*****............68 - 69 - 3

DOUBLE PLAYS.. 33 - 30 - 2

TRIPLE PLAYS.... 25 - 24 - 1

GOY..................1 - 0

GOM.................0 - 1


OVERALL PICKS FOR FEBRUARY:

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

02/15/14 56-*39-*4 58.95% +*6550 Detail
02/14/14 8-*5-*1 61.54% +*1250 Detail
02/13/14 17-*28-*1 37.78% -*6900 Detail
02/12/14 16-*18-*0 47.06% -*1900 Detail
02/11/14 11-*7-*2 61.11% +*1650 Detail
02/10/14 10-*7-*0 58.82% +*1150 Detail
02/09/14 15-*14-*2 51.72% -*200 Detail
02/08/14 53-*34-*2 60.92% +*7800 Detail
02/07/14 8-*9-*0 47.06% -*950 Detail
02/06/14 29-*28-*0 50.88% -*900 Detail
02/05/14 28-*19-*2 59.57% +*3550 Detail
02/04/14 12-*16-*1 42.86% -*2800 Detail
02/03/14 5-*6-*1 45.45% -*800 Detail
02/02/14 7-*7-*0 50.00% -*350 Detail
02/01/14 52-*51-*2 50.49% -*2050 Detail

Totals 327-*288-*18 53.17% +5100


Sunday, February 16

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Wisconsin - 1:00 PM ET Wisconsin +4 500 *****
Michigan -

Wright St. - 1:00 PM ET Oakland -1.5 500 *****
Oakland -

Canisius - 2:00 PM ET Canisius -3 500
Siena -

Niagara - 2:00 PM ET Niagara +14 500
Manhattan -

Western Carolina - 2:00 PM ET NC-Greensboro +2.5 500 *****
NC-Greensboro -

Marist - 2:00 PM ET Marist +2 500
Monmouth-NJ -

Southern Methodist - 2:00 PM ET Southern Methodist -7.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Temple -

Oregon St. - 3:00 PM ET Oregon St. +9.5 500 *****
Oregon -

Nebraska - 3:00 PM ET Nebraska +13.5 500 *****
Michigan St -

St. Peter's - 4:00 PM ET Quinnipiac -8 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Quinnipiac -

Wichita St. - 5:00 PM ET Evansville +12 500
Evansville -

Villanova - 5:07 PM ET Villanova +2.5 500 BIG EAST GOW
Creighton -

Rutgers - 6:00 PM ET Rutgers +21.5 500
Louisville -

Notre Dame - 6:00 PM ET Boston College -2 500 *****
Boston College -

Minnesota - 6:00 PM ET Northwestern +4 500 *****
Northwestern -

Georgetown - 7:00 PM ET Georgetown +4.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
St. John's -

Hofstra - 8:00 PM ET Drexel -10 500
Drexel -

Colorado - 8:00 PM ET Colorado -3.5 500
Southern California -

 

[CNOTES]

Big Monday Action

February 16, 2014


**North Carolina at Florida State**

-- Some offshore betting shops opened North Carolina (17-7 straight up, 13-11 against the spread) as a 1.5-point favorite for Monday's ACC showdown in Tallahassee. However, as of early Sunday night, most books had the Seminoles favored by one point.

-- Roy Williams' team is on fire with six straight wins both SU and ATS, including Saturday's 75-71 win over Pittsburgh as a 3.5-point home favorite. James Michael McAdoo was the catalyst for the Tar Heels, producing 24 points and 12 rebounds. Marcus Paige buried 5-of-6 attempts from 3-point land and finished with 18 points, four assists and four steals.

-- Paige and McAdoo form an outstanding 1-2 punch. McAdoo, the junior power forward, averages 15.3 points and 7.0 rebounds per game. Paige averages team-highs in scoring (17.1 PPG) and assists (4.5 APG).

-- FSU (15-10 SU, 13-10 ATS) is desperate for a quality win over UNC because it has lost five of its last seven games both SU and ATS. The Seminoles are No. 59 in the RPI Rankings. They are just 2-6 against the RPI Top 50 and 5-9 versus the Top 100.

-- FSU picked up a mandatory 67-60 win at Wake Forest as a two-point road favorite. Ian Miller knocked down 5-of-7 shots from deep and scored a game-high 25 points. Aaron Thomas added 18 points, 14 rebounds and four steals.

-- Leonard Hamilton's squad has won eight of its 11 home games while going 5-4 ATS. Depending on if and how the line moves, this could end up being the first home underdog situation of the season for the Seminoles.

-- UNC is No. 27 in the RPI Rankings. The Tar Heels are 5-3 against the RPI Top 50 and 8-5 versus the Top 100.

-- Although the 'over' has hit in six of its last eight games, UNC has still seen the 'under' go 12-11 overall.

-- The 'under' is 14-8-1 overall for FSU, 5-4 in its home games.

-- UNC has won three in a row over FSU both SU and ATS, including a 77-72 win as a three-point underdog in Tallahassee last year. The 'over' is 6-2 in the last eight head-to-head meetings between these ACC adversaries.

-- ESPN will have the telecast at 7:00 p.m. Eastern.

**Oklahoma State at Baylor**

-- Both of these teams have been fading fast and they're both in dire need of a victory Monday night in Waco. A few offshore shops opened Baylor (16-9 SU, 7-11-1 ATS) as a 5.5-point home favorite, but that number was reduced to four by early Sunday night.

-- After losing eight of its first 10 Big 12 games, Baylor has won back-to-back contests. The Bears cruised to an easy win at TCU last week and then pulled out a miracle win and cover Saturday. They trailed Kansas State nearly the entire game and were down 30-21 at intermission. But down three on the final possession, an offensive rebound led to a pass out to Brady Heslip, who hadn't made a shot all day but buried a rushed 3-ball at the buzzer to force overtime. The game would go to a second overtime and in that extra session it was all Baylor. The Bears got the scoring in double OT started with a 3-pointer off the backboard. That was ominous sign for Kansas State backers like me. Gamblers on the Wildcats as five-point underdogs suffered a painful loss as Baylor pulled away to win 87-73.

-- Kenny Cherry was the catalyst against Kansas State, producing a triple-double with 20 points, 12 assists, 10 rebounds and three steals. The winners also got a double-double from Cory Jefferson, who had 21 points and 11 rebounds. Isaiah Austin added 18 points, seven boards and nine blocked shots.

-- Oklahoma State (16-9 SU, 8-13 ATS) has lost six in a row and seven of its last eight to fall out of the Top 25 and into the heart of the bubble conversation. Even worse for our purposes, the Cowboys have failed to cover the spread in seven consecutive contests. They came out on the wrong side of a 77-74 decision in a gut-wrenching home loss to Oklahoma on Saturday.

-- In the Bedlam setback vs. OU, Markel Brown scored 26 points and grabbed nine rebounds. Le'Bryan Nash finished with 15 points and 10 boards.

-- Oklahoma State star Marcus Smart (17.5 PPG) is 'out' Monday as he serves the third and final game of a suspension stemming from shoving a fan in a loss at Texas Tech.

-- This is a revenge game for Oklahoma State When these Big 12 rivals met in Stillwater on February 1, Baylor captured a 76-70 win over the Cowboys as an 11.5-point road underdog. Heslip hit six 3's and scored a team-high 20 points. Rico Gathers added 14 points and six rebounds, while Jefferson finished with 11 points and 13 boards. In the losing effort, Brown had a game-high 24 points. Nash had 19 points and six boards, while Smart was held to 15 points on 3-of-14 shooting from the field.

-- Travis Ford's team is No. 42 in the RPI Rankings. OSU is 3-8 vs. the RPI Top 50, 6-8 against the RPI Top 100. The Cowboys' best wins have come over Colorado, Texas and Memphis.

-- Baylor is No. 49 in the RPI, going 4-7 against the Top 50 and 5-8 versus the Top 100.

-- The 'over' is on a 6-2 run for the Cowboys to improve to 13-8 overall.

-- The 'over' has hit in three straight Baylor games. The Bears have seen the 'over' go 11-7 overall, but the 'under' is 5-4 in their home games.

--Tip-off is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

**B.E.'s Bonus Nuggets**

-- I wish Bill Raftery was the analyst for every college basketball game I watch. I also wish there was an auto-mute button for Seth Davis.

-- Wisconsin center Frank Kaminsky scored 17 of his game-high 25 points, including a dagger step-back trey off the dribble at crunch time, to lead the Badgers to a huge 75-62 win at Michigan as 4.5-point underdogs. The Wolverines trailed by 15 at halftime, but they cut the deficit down to three with more than five minutes left. However, Wisconsin promptly answered with back-to-back triples from Josh Gasser and Kaminsky and cruised into the winner's circle from there.

-- Nebraska beat a top-10 opponent on the road for the first time in 17 years Sunday when it went into East Lansing and emerged with a 60-51 win at Michigan State as a 13.5-point underdog. The Cornhuskers hooked up money-line supporters with an incredible +900 payout (paid $100 on $900 wagers). If you haven't seen Nebraska junior Terran Petteway play recently, you're missing out. This dude is a beast who took over at crunch time in a win at Northwestern last Saturday. He did the bulk of the work Sunday, too, finishing with 23 points and five rebounds. Let's all welcome Nebraska to the bubble-banter conversations we're going to be having in the upcoming weeks. The Cornhuskers had an RPI of 65 before beating the Spartans, so I would think they'll get a bump up into the 50s. They are 6-6 in Big Ten play and have a shot at winning all of their six remaining games: against Penn State, Purdue, at Illinois, Northwestern, at Indiana and Wisconsin. I think Nebraska will be favored in three of the four home games and will be very short 'dogs at Illinois and at Indiana.

-- Behind strong performances from seniors Scottie Wilbekin, Casey Prather and Patric Young, Florida captured its first win at Rupp Arena since 2007 on Saturday night in Lexington. The Gators beat Kentucky 69-59 as 2.5-point underdogs. The 128 combined points stayed 'under' the 130.5-point total. UF has now seen the 'under' cash at a 15-5-1 overall clip.

-- On Sunday, I asked Kenny White of DonBest what his line would be if Florida and Syracuse met this week in Omaha. White would make the Gators two-point favorites.

-- I asked Cecil Hurt, the long-time Alabama beat writer for the Tuscaloosa News, about the status of Anthony Grant last week. In his fifth season as the head man for the Crimson Tide, Grant has only one NCAA Tournament appearance and zero wins. Hurt indicated that it could go either way depending on how Alabama finishes the season. In other words, the school doesn't want to pay a class act like Grant nearly $10 million to get lost. He has five years at $1.9 million per left on his contract. However, Saturday's loss at South Carolina didn't help Grant's cause.

 

[CNOTES]

Hot & Not

February 17, 2014


Bubbles are going to be bursting all around in college basketball, but today, we're going to be looking at the teams which are bursting our bankrolls instead of our bubbles. Check out the list of teams who are on the nastiest slides in the land as we head into the middle of February.

Oklahoma State Cowboys (0-7 ATS L/7) – Things have gone from bad to worse for the Cowboys, as they aren't just in gambling trouble. They're in bubble trouble, too. They have lost six games in a row, and their only wins since beating Texas at the beginning of January are against West Virginia and TCU. Having G Marcus Smart suspended for three games hasn't helped any either. The Pokes are really dipping fast down the stretch and need to be resuscitated in a hurry.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (0-6 ATS L/6) – The Hilltoppers very well could be ones to remember this year, as they could end up winning the Sun Belt. However, the oddsmakers have definitely caught onto this team being one of the elites in the conference. In spite of the fact that WKU is 4-2 SU in its last six, it has failed to beat the number in all six. Granted, four of those six ATS losses have come by a combined 7.5 points, so things could change, but the Toppers are still going to have to put forth an exemplary effort to cover against most in this conference.

San Jose Spartans (0-6-1 ATS L/7) – Normally, we wouldn't include a team with a push in the mix on this list, but San Jose State has been dreadful. The team hasn't scored more than 56 in a game in a month, and it is averaging just 63.0 points per game on the season, ranking 330th in the land. The team is only shooting 37.7 percent for the season from the field and is under 35 percent in conference play. There aren't many worse cases in the country than this from a betting perspective.

James Madison Dukes (0-6 ATS L/6) – The CAA is down this year, and the Dukes aren't helping their own cause any. They only have their defense to rely upon, and when that unit fails, there is just no hope. F Charles Cooke is really the only solid offensive weapon that the team has at its disposal, and when he isn't playing well, forget about it. JMU has won two of its last six games along the way, but it has failed to cover all six.

Pittsburgh Panthers (0-6 ATS L/6) – Pitt has only won two of its last six games, and though it won't fall out of the dance, it certainly could make its own situation a lot less appealing if it can't get back on the horse here against Florida State next Sunday. Three of the last four are on the road, and this will be the first time that the team has played in the ACC Tournament. The Panthers haven't won a game in regulation since January 25th.

Loyola Marymount Lions (0-6 ATS L/6) – The Lions have been pathetically bad this year from an ATS standpoint at 8-18 ATS, and they have now failed in six in a row to beat the number. That said, they aren't the worst team in this conference; having G Anthony Ireland should be enough to keep this team competitive every night. The Lions could turn this around and surprise down the stretch with nothing but home games and the WCC Tournament left on the docket.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons (0-5 ATS L/5) – Offense has been the problem for the Deacs all season long, but of late, it has been the defense which has really let them down. They have allowed at least 79 points in three of their last four games, and for a team which only averages 65 points per game in conference play, that's awfully bad news. There have been some close calls in here that have gone the wrong way from a betting standpoint for Wake Forest though, so things could turn around yet.

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

ESPN.com's Jeff Goodman's top six freshmen in college hoop.......

6) Marcus Foster G, Kansas State-- Scoring 15.1 ppg, had 38 points in his last two games, both of which went to OT.

5) Joel Embiid, C Kansas-- Struggling with knee/back injuries right now.

4) Andrew Wiggins, F Kansas-- Scoring 16.1 ppg, is solid defender-- hype he had coming into season was hard to live up to.

3) Julius Randle, F Kentucky-- Averaging 15.7 ppg, 10 boards/game.

2) Tyler Ennis, G Syracuse-- Frosh engine driving the unbeaten Orange.

1) Jabari Parker, F Duke-- 2nd in ACC in scoring, tops in rebounding.

*****

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend......

13) Nebraska 60, Michigan State 51-- Tim Miles has his team primed to make a run in the NIT. Every team in the Big Dozen has at least three losses, and every team has at least three wins. No great teams, though.

12) Wisconsin 75, Michigan 62-- In a 60-possession road game, Badgers had two turnovers. Two. Wisconsin has now won four games in a row after they had lost five of six. Resilient team.

11) Pretty exciting Sunday in the MAAC.........
Canisius 92, Siena 88, triple OT....Marist 96, Monmouth 92 double OT

10) Golf is weird. Pat Perez eagled the 10th hole at Riviera Saturday, then had a triple bogey on the same hole Sunday. Go figure.

9) Disappointed to hear that Mark Mulder tore an achilles trying to make a comeback with the Angels. Mulder was 81-42 in five years with the A's-- I was in Fenway Park in August 2003 when he left with a stress fracture in his hip. Mulder completed 22 of his 150 starts for the A's. Thats a lot now; A's had six complete games all of last season.

8) Pat Knight was mercifully fired by Lamar after going 6-50 the last two years, after he went 23-12 in 2012 with the previous coach's players, whom he publicly blasted in a bizarre February 2012 news conference.

Odd that former Lamar/Oklahoma coach Billy Tubbs was the person most often quoted in the wire story; he used to be Lamar's AD. Tubbs' teams ran and ran and ran-- you'd think Lamar would go for someone more like that.

7) Watching Notre Dame-Boston College last night, it just didn't seem like an ACC game. Terrible level of play. BC has to go get alum Bruce Pearl, who is eligible to be hired this spring. Great coach; he would invigorate what is right now a program in a coma.

6) If Boston College doesn't hire Pearl, then Wake Forest, Washington State, Auburn, DePaul-- one of those schools should.

5) If you care about such things, road team is 11-1 vs spread in Syracuse's ACC games, 11-0-1 in Western Kentucky's Sun Belt games.

4) I turn on the TV and I see Charles Barkley interviewing the President of the United States, and I have no idea what to think. Still don't. Listening to the President, seems like he watches a lot of basketball. Interesting.

3) Why doesn't every golfer who wins a PGA Tour event get invited to play in The Masters? Seems like that would be a good reward for winning.

2) Creighton 101, Villanova 80-- Bluejays have lot of trouble with athletic defense of St John's, but not so much with Villanova-- they scored a total of 197 points in two wins over the Wildcats, a couple of easy wins-- they made 30 of 50 3-pointers vs Villanova.

1) Temple 71, SMU 64-- A bright day in a dismal season for the Owls, who are 2-12 in their last 14 games. SMU has had a good season, but they've also lost at Temple/South Florida, little bit of a red flag.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, February 17

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UNC-WILMINGTON (8 - 20) at WM & MARY (15 - 9) - 2/17/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WM & MARY is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
WM & MARY is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
WM & MARY is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
UNC-WILMINGTON is 131-100 ATS (+21.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
UNC-WILMINGTON is 82-51 ATS (+25.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
WM & MARY is 120-155 ATS (-50.5 Units) after a conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WM & MARY is 2-2 against the spread versus UNC-WILMINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WM & MARY is 3-2 straight up against UNC-WILMINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DELAWARE (19 - 7) at TOWSON ST (17 - 9) - 2/17/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DELAWARE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games this season.
DELAWARE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TOWSON ST is 4-2 against the spread versus DELAWARE over the last 3 seasons
DELAWARE is 4-2 straight up against TOWSON ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N CAROLINA (17 - 7) at FLORIDA ST (15 - 10) - 2/17/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 3-2 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 3-2 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA ST (16 - 9) at BAYLOR (16 - 9) - 2/17/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA ST is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 5-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 4-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WEBER ST (14 - 7) at IDAHO ST (9 - 13) - 2/17/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WEBER ST is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
WEBER ST is 134-98 ATS (+26.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
WEBER ST is 59-28 ATS (+28.2 Units) in February games since 1997.
WEBER ST is 131-96 ATS (+25.4 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 145-189 ATS (-62.9 Units) in all games since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 145-189 ATS (-62.9 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 53-79 ATS (-33.9 Units) in all home games since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 53-79 ATS (-33.9 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 94-126 ATS (-44.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 45-67 ATS (-28.7 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 90-122 ATS (-44.2 Units) after a conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
IDAHO ST is 3-1 against the spread versus WEBER ST over the last 3 seasons
WEBER ST is 4-1 straight up against IDAHO ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DAVIDSON (15 - 11) at THE CITADEL (4 - 23) - 2/17/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DAVIDSON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games this season.
DAVIDSON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road lined games this season.
DAVIDSON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
THE CITADEL is 3-2 against the spread versus DAVIDSON over the last 3 seasons
DAVIDSON is 5-0 straight up against THE CITADEL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS ST (7 - 17) at GEORGIA ST (17 - 7) - 2/17/2014, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS ST is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MISS VALLEY ST (8 - 17) at SOUTHERN U (14 - 11) - 2/17/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISS VALLEY ST is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISS VALLEY ST is 3-2 straight up against SOUTHERN U over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, February 17

Wm Mary (-3) beat NC-Wilmington 54-50 Feb 5, their third win in row vs Seahawks, who were 1-6 from line. Tribe won five of its last seven games, but both losses were at home. CAA home favorites of 9+ points are 3-5 vs spread. UNCW won two of last three games after starting out 0-10 in CAA; they're 4-2-1 as road underdogs; six of their seven losses on road came by 9 or less points, or in overtime.

Delaware won its last 13 games, is 11-0 in CAA; they were underdogs in three of four CAA road games. Blue Hens (-6.5) beat Towson 83-76 Jan 25, in foulfest with both sides taking 39+ FTs. CAA home favorites of 5 or less points are 4-15 vs spread. First road game in 19 days for Hens-- seven of their 10 CAA wins are by 7 or less points. Towson won four home games in a row- they're 3-3 as a CAA home favorite.

North Carolina won/covered its last six games; this is trap game, since they play Duke Thursday, but Tar Heels won at Ga Tech/Notre Dame in last two road games, after losing first three. UNC won five of last six vs Florida State, sweeping FSU by 5-21-21 points LY. Seminoles lost five of last seven games- they're 3-3 at home in ACC. ACC home teams are 8-19 vs spread in games with spread of 4 or less points.

Oklahoma State lost its last six games, losing by 12-4-19 points in last three road games; this is last game of Smart's 3-game suspension. OSU lost 76-70 (-11) at home to Baylor Feb 1- Bears made 11-23 from arc. Cowboys lost last three visits to Waco by 19-41-10 points. Baylor won in double OT Saturday, its second win in row after a 1-7 skid. Big X home favorites of less than 5 points are 7-3 vs spread.

Weber State won nine of last ten games, covered last three; they're 3-1 as road favorites, winning road games by 12-9-20 points, with losses at No Colorado/Sacramento. Wildcats won three in row, 10 of last 11 games vs Idaho State, winning 65-59 (-9) at home Jan 20; Wildcats made 12 of 25 from arc, were -7 (13-6) in turnovers. Big Sky home underdogs of 6 or less points are 11-5. Bengals are 5-2 at home (both losses are by 5).

Davidson (-22) beat Citadel 62-43 at home Feb 1, but they trailed by a point early in second half; Wildcats won their last eight games, are 6-0 as SoCon road favorites, with five road wins by 11+ points. Citadel is 2-7 vs spread in last nine games; they're 1-3 as home underdogs, losing by 4-5-13-18-21 points at home. SoCon home underdogs are 2-15 against the spread. Davidson is making 45.8% of its 3's in league play.

Georgia State lost at Troy Saturday, its first Sun Belt loss in 11 games; Panthers are 2-3 as home favorites, winning home games by 9-1-26-20-10 points- they covered five of last seven games overall. Texas State is 2-3 as road underdog, losing road games by 23-5-4-7 points- they're 4-1 vs spread in last five games overall. Sun Belt home favorites of 8 or less points are 5-10 vs spread. Georgia State has 3-game lead for #1 seed.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB

Monday, February 17

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
NORTH CAROLINA vs. FLORIDA STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Carolina's last 6 games when playing on the road against Florida State
North Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Florida State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida State's last 6 games when playing at home against North Carolina
Florida State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against North Carolina

7:00 PM
DELAWARE vs. TOWSON
Delaware is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Delaware is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Towson
Towson is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Delaware
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Towson's last 7 games when playing at home against Delaware

7:00 PM
UNC WILMINGTON vs. WILLIAM & MARY
UNC Wilmington is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against William & Mary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UNC Wilmington's last 5 games when playing on the road against William & Mary
William & Mary is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of William & Mary's last 6 games at home

7:05 PM
DAVIDSON vs. THE CITADEL
Davidson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Davidson is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against The Citadel
The Citadel is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Davidson
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of The Citadel's last 5 games when playing Davidson

7:30 PM
TEXAS STATE vs. GEORGIA STATE
Texas State is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas State's last 6 games on the road
Georgia State is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games
Georgia State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

9:00 PM
OKLAHOMA STATE vs. BAYLOR
Oklahoma State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma State's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baylor's last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma State
Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma State

9:05 PM
WEBER STATE vs. IDAHO STATE
Weber State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Idaho State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Weber State's last 9 games when playing on the road against Idaho State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Idaho State's last 9 games when playing at home against Weber State
Idaho State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Weber State