Cnotes College Football Week # 8 Rated Plays, Trends, News Etc. !!

[CNOTES]

Big Ten Report - Week 8


October 22, 2015




Indiana (4-3) at Michigan State (7-0) - ABC, 3:30 p.m. ET
Current Line: Spartans -16.5
Opening Line: Spartans -16.5


The Indiana faithful were giddy a few weeks ago after starting the season 4-0. Only two more wins and they were heading to a bowl game for the first time since 2007. It would be just their 2nd bowl appearance since 199#! Oops. Now the Hoosiers sit at 4-3 after losing their first 3 conference games. And now they get to face MSU on the road before a much needed bye. After that the Hoosiers face Iowa & Michigan so they are staring at an 0-6 start in the Big Ten barring a big upset. It very well could come down to IU having to win their last 2 games of the season at Maryland & at Purdue in order to be bowl eligible. It could have been much different had they simply held onto their huge lead last week at home vs Rutgers. IU led 52-27 with just 2:30 remaining in the 3rd quarter and were getting ready to celebrate their 5th win of the season. The Knights scored the final 28 points of the game including a FG with no time left to pull out an incredible 55-52 win. IU became the first team in college football this year to blow a 25 point or more lead and lose (121-1 record).


MSU was obviously on the other end of the spectrum as they were almost assuredly going to take their first loss of the season when the “Miracle in Michigan” happened. A block punt and return TD with no time left gave MSU the win. Those two results make this a very interesting (and difficult) game to handicap. Sparty is bound to have a letdown after winning a rivalry game in that fashion. Not only that, MSU is 0-4 ATS at home losing to the number by nearly 50 points! However, how does Indiana get back off the deck after the way they lost last week? We thought this line might come out a bit higher than it did.


Remember just a few weeks ago Ohio State was a 22-point favorite at Indiana which means they would have been right around -30 at home. That’s 2 full TD’s higher than this number is currently. IU QB Sudfeld was back in the line up last week after missing the week before with an ankle injury. However, their top RB Howard has not been on the field since the Ohio State game (ankle) and they’re hoping he returns on Saturday. Offense may not matter if Indiana’s defense continues on their terrible run. They’ve given up more points (246) and more yardage (3,529) than any other team in the league. After last week’s results you might have to have a doctorate in psychology to figure this one out.


Northwestern (5-2) at Nebraska (3-4) - ESPN2, 12:00 p.m. ET
Current Line: Cornhuskers -7.5
Opening Line: Cornhuskers -6.5


Here we have possibly the best 3-4 team in the nation against a 5-2 team that is falling fast. That’s why the team with the losing record is favored by more than a TD. Nebraska’s 4 losses have been well documented. All came basically on the final play of the game and all were against solid teams (Wisconsin, Miami FL, BYU, and Illinois). The Huskers are literally only a few plays away from potentially being a perfect 7-0. We weren’t sure how Nebby would respond after losing ANOTHER back breaker a week earlier vs Wisconsin. They responded well dominating Minnesota on the road for much of the game. Once the Huskers took a 24-14 win with 3:00 minutes left in the first half, they led by double digits from that point on (48-25 final). Offensively they put up 7.1 YPP while allowing Minnesota just 5.5 YPP. That’s been the tale of the tape for this team – good offensively but not so much on defense.


They may not need much defense to contain this reeling Northwestern offense. The Cats have lost 2 straight games to Michigan & Iowa after starting the year 5-0. Their offense has really looked poor in those 2 outings scoring only 10 total points while getting outgained by over 500 yards! In those 2 games combined the Cats gained 366 total yards on 127 offensive plays – just 2.8 YPP. On the season, NW is averaging only 4.4 YPP, everyone else in the Big Ten except Purdue is averaging at least 5.0 YPP. We’re not sure it will be much better here as they are not equipped to take advantage of Nebraska’s defensive weakness as the Huskers are last in the league in pass defense. However, NW is also dead last in the Big Ten in passing yards per game.


Because of the lack of offensive production, the NW defense looks like they are starting to wear down. Entering their game vs Michigan, the Wildcats led the nation allowing just 7 PPG and they had allowed only 3 offensive TD’s in their first 5 games. It has all come crashing down as they allowed 78 points in their last 2 games (after giving up 35 total in their first 5) on almost 900 yards of offense. The Cats were throttled at home vs Nebraska last year 38-17 and have lost 3 of their 4 meetings with the Huskers. Their last visit to Lincoln in 2013, NW lost 27-24 on a Husker Hail Mary TD pass to end the game, a feeling Nebraska knows all too well.


Wisconsin (5-2) at Illinois (4-2) - Big Ten, 3:30 p.m. ET
Current Line: Badgers -6.5
Opening Line: Badgers -7


Illinois comes into this game off a bye week. Wisconsin enters off a 24-7 win at home vs Purdue. The Badgers rolled up 418 yards of total offense while holding the Boilers to just 191. The Badger offense continues to be “pass happy” as QB Joel Stave threw for 322 yards for the second consecutive game. Wisky hopes to be more run oriented moving forward as starter Corey Clement is getting closer & closer to returning. We’d expect him to get some carries this week although reports from down the street are he isn’t yet able to open up full speed after his hernia surgery. Wisconsin continues to be one of the top defenses in the nation holding opponents to 272 YPG (7th nationally) and just 11 PPG (3rd nationally). Since their season opener when they allowed 35 points to Alabama, Wisconsin’s defense has given up just 5 offensive TD’s in 6 games.


Purdue head coach Darrell Hazell called it “the best defense we’d faced” and Purdue has already played Michigan State & Virginia Tech. Speaking of defense, Illinois has improved as much as anyone in the nation on that side of the ball. The Illini are allowing 332 YPG which is good for 30th in the country. Last season this Illinois team gave up 463 YPG which was 112th in the country. The Illini are 4-2 but they are “this close” to being 2-4 on the season. After two easy wins to start the season over Kent & Western Illinois, U of I has lost at the hands of Iowa & UNC, while barely getting by Middle Tennessee State (by 2 points) & Nebraska (by 1 point). MTSU missed a game winning field goal as time expired while the Huskers actually led Illinois 13-7 late and botched the clock management giving up the lead with just 10 seconds remaining in the game. Wisconsin has dominated this series winning 9 of the last 10 games with 8 of those wins coming by at least 10 points.


Penn State (5-2) at Maryland (2-4) from Baltimore - ESPN, 3:30 p.m. ET
Current Line: Nittany Lions -6.5
Opening Line: Nittany Lions -8


Maryland takes the field for the first time minus former head coach Randy Edsall who was fired after their loss at Ohio State two weeks ago. The Terps had last week off to gather themselves and get ready for this game being played in Baltimore. The interim head coach is offensive coordinator Mike Locksley, who has some head coaching experience at New Mexico where he had a 2-26 record before being fired in 2011. Since their last win vs USF back on September 19th, the Terps have lost 3 straight to WVU, Michigan, & Ohio State and have been outscored 122-28 in those 3 games. The problem with Maryland continues to be turnovers. They are -11 turnovers on the season (last in college football) and -1.83 turnovers per game (last in college football).


Penn State is off a huge game at Ohio State last weekend and they stuck around for a while. The Nits were within striking distance down 21-10 entering the 4th quarter and OSU closed it out with 17 points in the final stanza for a 38-10 win. After attempting 39 passes a week earlier in a win over Indiana, PSU QB Hackenberg only put the ball in the air 13 times at Ohio State completing 7. They tried to shorten the game by running the ball a lot (40 times) and it kept them close until the 4th quarter. The two teams (PSU & OSU) ran the ball 90 times in the game while attempting only 32 passes. These two have met just one time since 1993 and that was last season. Maryland pulled the 20-19 upset in Happy Valley as 3.5 point underdogs. The game featured very little offense as the two teams combined for only 413 total yards (just 75 yards rushing).


Ohio State (7-0) at Rutgers (3-3) - ABC, 8:00 p.m. ET
Current Line: Buckeyes -21
Opening Line: Buckeyes -21


Well they did it. Ohio State, despite winning 22 straight games, has made a switch at QB. JT Barrett will take over for Cardale Jones at Rutgers on Saturday night. The Bucks simply look better and more efficient on offense with Barrett at the helm and the numbers bear that out. This year with Jones at QB the Buckeyes averaged 5.8 YPP and with Barrett that climbs to 7.1 YPP. Jones has led OSU to TD’s on just 23% of his offensive drives while Barrett has done so in 39% of his drives. We think Ohio State will start to look much better on offense after this switch. And while many consider the Buckeyes to be “struggling” this year, let’s keep that in perspective. Their average winning margin is 21 points per game and they have outgained every opponent by at least 100 yards.


Rutgers comes home with some momentum after rallying from 25 points down at Indiana for a 55-52 win last Saturday. Their most recent home game the Knights gave Michigan State all they could handle losing 31-24 with Sparty scoring the game winning TD with just 43 seconds remaining in the game. Rutgers top offensive weapon, WR Carroo, injured his ankle last week and was not practicing as of Tuesday. His status is very important in this one. He did not practice on Wednesday so his status is still up in the air. Since returning from his suspension, Carroo has 14 catches for 191 yards and 6 TD’s in just TWO games. These two have met just one time since 1980 and that was last season. OSU dominated in a 56-24 win in Columbus. The Buckeyes have been a road favorite of -21 or more 25 times since 1980. They are 25-0 SU in those games and 16-9 ATS. Rutgers has not been a home underdog of this magnitude (+21 or more) since the 2003 season.

 

[CNOTES]

Pac-12 Report - Week 8


October 22, 2015






2015 PAC-12 STANDINGS


Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under


Arizona 5-2 2-2 4-3 6-1


Arizona State 4-3 2-2 2-5 2-5


California 5-1 2-1 4-2 2-4


Colorado 3-4 0-3 1-5-1 3-4


Oregon 4-3 2-2 3-4 4-3


Oregon State 2-4 0-3 1-5 3-3


Southern California 3-3 1-2 3-3 3-3


Stanford 5-1 4-0 5-1 4-2


UCLA 4-2 1-2 2-3-1 2-4


Utah 6-0 3-0 4-2 3-3


Washington 3-3 1-2 4-2 1-5


Washington State 4-2 2-1 4-2 3-3




California at UCLA (Thurs. - ESPN, 9:00 p.m. ET)


UCLA will play host to the high-octane California offense, and the Bruins can ill-afford another loss if they hope to have any short of a conference championship. A third loss will more than likely eliminate them in the south, if they're not already done with a red-hot Utah team leading the way. Speaking of red hot, Cal is 7-1 ATS in their past eight road games and 5-2 ATS in their past seven against a team with a winning record. Their kryptonite has been grass, as they're just 4-12 ATS in their past 16 games on the natural surface. UCLA is a dismal 1-3-1 ATS in their past five at the Rose Bowl, and an ice-cold 5-22 ATS in their past 27 games played in the month of October. While the underdog is 13-5-1 ATS in the past 19 in this series, the home team is 5-0 ATS in the past five and Cal is 1-5-1 ATS in its past seven trips to UCLA. Total bettors might like the under which has cashed in four of the past five, and five of the past seven at the Rose Bowl. The under is also 7-1-1 in UCLA's past snine home games, and 15-7 in the past 22 for Cal on grass.


Washington State at Arizona (Pac-12 Network, 4:00 p.m. ET)


Washington State looked to be dead in the water after a convincing loss to FCS Portland State in their opener, but they have rebounded with key wins at Oregon and home to Oregon State in the past two weeks to move to within two games of bowl eligibility. More important, the Cougs have turned into cover kings, going 3-0 ATS in the past three games and 4-1 ATS in the past five. Arizona has picked itself off the mat after back-to-back loss to UCLA and at Stanford, thrashing Oregon State and taking care of business at Colorado last weekend. The most impressive thing for the Wildcats is their 6-1 'over' record this season. The Wildcats, favored by 7 1/2 at most shops, are just 3-8 ATS in their past 11 at home and 8-17 ATS in their past 25 against a team with a winning overall record. However, while the underdog is 10-3 ATS in the past 13 meetings, WaZu is just 3-7 ATS in the past 10 meetings and 1-4 ATS in their past five forays into Tucson.


Utah at Southern California (FOX, 7:30 p.m. ET)


There might be quite a few eyebrows raised at the fact USC is favored in this game by a field goal or more at most shops, especially since the Trojans are unranked and the Utes are a Top 10 team. Utah is also 5-2 ATS in the past seven overall, and an impressive 8-1 ATS in their past nine on the road. Conversely, USC is 2-5 ATS in their past seven against a team with a winning record, including last week's loss at Notre Dame, and the Trojans are 3-9 ATS in their past 12 at home against a team with a winning road record. Perhaps the lack of respect for Utah stems from the fact the home team has covered four straight in this series. Total bettors might want to look at the under, which is 6-1 in USC's past seven conference games and 12-4-1 in their past 17 against teams with a winning overall record. The under is 11-5-1 in Utah's past 17 overall, and 6-1 in their past seven on grass.


Colorado at Oregon State (Pac-12 Network, 10:30 p.m.)


Colorado has been coming oh-so-close to snapping an FBS-leading 14-game conference losing streak, but they keep ending up just short. They head to Corvallis to take on a shaky Beavers team which is reeling, dropping three in a row and going 1-5 ATS in their six games overall. Oregon State opened favored by three, mainly due to Colorado's ineptitude within the conference, but the line has dropped to two. The Buffs are 0-4-1 ATS in their past five games overall, and the Beavs aren't much better at 1-7 ATS in their past eight, including 0-5 ATS within conference. Colorado has a strong offense, posting 23 or more points in each of their past six games, but if they're going to snap their conference losing skid they need the defense to contribute.


Washington at Stanford (ESPN, 10:30 p.m.)


Stanford looked sluggish in their 16-6 opening game loss at Northwestern, but they have bounced back in a big way and now have title hopes and an outside chance at a spot in the four-team playoff if they can continue its winning ways. Washington is just looking to keep its head above water, recording a stunning road win at USC two weeks ago and then slipping at home to Oregon last weekend. The Huskies have some questions at quarterback, as Jake Browning is dealing with a right shoulder injury suffered against the Ducks. If he cannot go, Jeff Lindquist or K.J. Carta-Samuels would get the nod, and that changes the face of this game completely. Washington is 5-1 ATS in their past six on the road, and 7-3 ATS in their past 10 overall. Stanford has covered in six consecutive Pac-12 tilts, and they're a robust 36-16 ATS in their past 52 at home. If you're looking to the total, the under is 8-3 in the past 11 meetings and might be attractive if Washington has to rely on a backup QB.


Pac-12 teams on a bye


Arizona State, Oregon

 

[CNOTES]

Big 12 Report - Week 8


October 22, 2015


2015 BIG 12 STANDINGS


Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under


Baylor 6-0 3-0 4-1 5-1


Iowa State 2-4 1-2 2-3-1 1-4-1


Kansas 0-6 0-3 2-4 2-4


Kansas State 3-3 0-3 3-3 4-2


Oklahoma 5-1 2-1 4-2 3-3


Oklahoma State 6-0 3-0 3-3 2-4


Texas 2-4 1-2 2-4 2-4


Texas Christian 7-0 4-0 3-4 4-3


Texas Tech 5-2 2-2 4-2-1 5-2


West Virginia 3-3 0-3 2-4 2-4




Iowa State at Baylor (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)


The offensive juggernaut that is Baylor will be home to Iowa State looking to keep their playoff aspirations on track. As a 36-point favorite they're expected to do that, and then some, especially with Iowa State having dropped 13 in a row against ranked opponents and Baylor holding the longest home winning streak in FBS at 19 games. I-State has not had a lot of success against the number lately, going 6-17-3 ATS in their past 26 against ranked foes and 2-8-1 ATS in their past 11 games overall. They're also just 1-7 ATS in their past eight conference tilts and 0-3-1 ATS in their past four road outings. Baylor has crushed it despite some big numbers, going 26-6 ATS in their past 32 at home and 20-6-1 ATS in the past 27 against teams with a losing record. They're also 18-7-1 ATS in the past 26 conference tilts. The home squad is also 10-1-1 ATS in the past 12 meetings, with I-State going 2-5-1 ATS in the past eight. And the Cycs are 0-6 ATS in their past six trips to Waco.


Kansas State at Texas (FOX Sports 1, 12:00 p.m. ET)


A couple of weeks ago it might have been surprising to see the Longhorns favored by nearly a touchdown in this game. However, after K-State was undressed at home by Oklahoma 55-0 last week, the same Sooners squad the Longhorns upended two weeks ago in the Red River Rivalry game, it isn't actually that shocking to see Texas favored. The Wildcats have a ton of injuries on the defensive side of the ball, and could be without four key defensive players in this one, as S Dante Barnett, LB Elijah Lee, CB Danzel McDaniel and S Kaleb Prewett are each question marks. Texas is expected to welcome back special teams standout Daje Johnson (concussion), a player who leads the Big 12 in punt return yardage at 17.6 yards per return. He also leads the team with 14 grabs for 201 yards, and could punish a beleaguered Wildcats secondary. The underdog is 7-3 ATS in the past 10 meetings in this series, and the Wildcats are 7-1 ATS in the past eight, including 4-1 ATS in their past five trips to Austin. However, the home team has also chased in four of the past five.


Texas Tech at Oklahoma (ABC/ESPN2, 3:30 p.m. ET)


The Red Raiders stroll into Norman looking to pull the upset, and the Sooners have a quarterback in Baker Mayfield who will face a Texas Tech he once led. In 2013 Mayfield was a walk-on and the Freshman of the Year in the Big 12 with the Red Raiders, but he left the team to join Oklahoma. Red Raiders head coach Kliff Kingsbury refused to grant Mayfield a release and he was forced to sit out the 2014 season despite a court case trying to get the NCAA to overturn the ruling. It certainly puts the focus on the OU quarterback for this one, but he isn't the only story. Red Raiders QB Patrick Mahomes II has been tearing it up in Lubbock, and Texas Tech leads the Big 12 in passing offense, while Oklahoma leads the conference in passing defense. Texas Tech has covered five of the past seven inside the conference, and they're 7-2-1 ATS in the past 10 overall. However, they're just 1-5 ATS in their past six road games against a team with a winning home record and 3-7 ATS in their past 10 overall on the road. Oklahoma hasn't had much success following up covers, going 1-5 ATS in their next six following an ATS win. They're also 0-4 ATS in their past four at home against a team with a winning road mark. The over might be the play, as it has cashed in four straight meetings in the series, and four of the past five in Norman.


Kansas at Oklahoma State (FOX Sports 1, 3:30 p.m.)


Kansas is a horrible team, but they actually stepped up and played Texas Tech tough in a 30-20 loss, easily covering a giant spread. But that was at home, and playing on the road is an entirely different story for KU. The Jayhawks are 8-24-1 ATS in their past 33 games on the road, and 1-4 ATS in their past five Big 12 tilts. OK State is 4-1 ATS in their past five conference battles, and they're 9-3 ATS in their past 12 against Kansas while going 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings in Stillwater. The home team has covered four straight in the series while the favorite is 8-3 ATS in the past 11 battles. The under could be the play here, going 4-1 in the past five meetings. The under has also trended favorably for both squads, going 4-0 in the past four for Kansas, and 13-3 in their past 16 road games. The under is 5-2 in the past seven for OK State, and 5-2 in their past seven at Boone Pickens Field. The public has bought into those trends, driving the opening number of 62 1/2 down to 58 1/2 as of Thursday afternoon.


Big 12 teams on a bye


Texas Christian, West Virginia

 

[CNOTES]

ACC Report - Week 8


October 21, 2015


2015 ACC STANDINGS


Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under


Boston College 3-4 0-4 3-3-1 2-5


Clemson 6-0 3-0 3-3 3-3


Duke 5-1 2-0 4-2 0-6


Florida State 6-0 4-0 3-3 2-4


Georgia Tech 2-5 0-4 2-5 5-2


Louisville 2-4 1-2 4-2 2-3-1


Miami (Fla.) 4-2 1-1 4-2 2-4


North Carolina 5-1 2-0 4-2 3-3


North Carolina State 4-2 0-2 4-2 2-4


Pittsburgh 5-1 3-0 4-2 3-2-1


Syracuse 3-3 1-1 4-2 6-0


Virginia 2-4 1-1 2-3-1 4-1-1


Virginia Tech 3-4 1-2 3-4 4-3


Wake Forest 3-4 1-3 3-4 3-3-1






Clemson at Miami-Florida (ABC, 12:00 p.m. ET)


The Tigers opened as a 5 1/2-point favorite, and the line has move up to 6 1/2 as of Wednesday morning. The total has also moved from an opening line of 54 1/2 to as much as 56 or 56 1/2 depending on the shop. It's a curious move considering the 'under' has been the overwhelming trend for each side. The under is 8-0 in Clemson's past eight against a team with a winning record, and 4-1 in their past five road games. The under is also 9-3 in their past 12 games on grass, and 11-4 in their past 15 overall. In addition, the under is 12-4 in their past 16 road games against a team with a winning home mark. For Miami, the under is 9-1 in their past 10 games in the ACC, 9-3 in their past 12 games overall and a perfect 5-0 in their past five against a team with a winning overall mark. Clemson has failed to cover in seven of their past eight conference games while Miami has covered each of their two ACC games to date. These teams are meeting for the first time since Oct. 2, 2010, when the Hurricanes knocked off the Tigers 30-21 in Death Valley.


North Carolina State at Wake Forest (ESPN3, 12:00 p.m. ET)


N.C. State hits the road for Wake, a short jaunt from the Triangle to the Triad of North Carolina. The Wolfpack, favored by 10 points, have had a terrible time with the Demon Deacons over the years, going 0-9 ATS in their past nine trips to Winston-Salem. The home team has cashed in 14 of the past 16 meetings in this series, too. However, N.C. State is 6-1 ATS in their past seven road games, and 7-2 ATS in the past nine games overall. They are just 2-5 ATS in their past seven against teams with a losing record, however. The Deacs are 5-1 ATS in their past six at home, and 5-2 ATS in their past seven following a straight-up loss. The under has been the trend for both sides, going 4-1 in N.C. State's past five, and 6-2-1 in their past nine ACC contests. For Wake, the under is 11-3-1 in their past 15 home games, and 3-1-1 in their past five overall. The under is also 5-0 in Wake's past five at home against a team with a winning road mark.


Pittsburgh at Syracuse (ESPNU, 12:00p.m. ET)


The surprising Panthers roll into Syracuse for a battle against the Orange, harkening back to the days of the Big East. Pitt has rolled in this series in recent years, at least against the number, going 5-0-1 ATS in the past six meetings, and 3-1-1 ATS in the past five trips to Syracuse. The favorite is also 4-1-1 ATS in the past six overall. The Panthers have been equally good against the spread lately, going 5-0 ATS in their past five road trips and 4-1 ATS in the past five inside the ACC. They're also 4-1 ATS in the past five overall. Syracuse is coming off a disappointing multi-OT loss at Virginia last weekend, and they're just 1-5 ATS in their past six following a straight-up loss. One trend to watch closely is the over, which is 8-3-1 in Pittsburgh's past 12 overall, and 5-2-1 in their past eight in the ACC. The over is also a perfect 6-0 in Syracuse's six games this season, although it needed help last week with overtimes. And the over is 4-0 in the past four at the Carrier Dome.


Boston College at Louisville (ESPN3, 12:30 p.m.)


Boston College limps into this one, coming off a sound beating in Clemson last weekend. The Eagles defense was trampled for 34 points after allowing a total of 33 points in their first six games. However, the competition was obviously much better, too. The Eagles still earned a backdoor cover with a late touchdown, and they're now 2-1-1 ATS over the past four. Louisville had a modest two-game win streak halted at Florida State, but they're still a respectable 3-1 ATS over the past four games. This line opened at nine and quickly moved down to 7 1/2, and the total hovers around 37. The under had been the play for BC and their staunch defense until last weekend, and the under is 3-1 in Louisville's past four until an over last week, too.


Virginia at North Carolina (ESPN3, 3:30 p.m.)


UVA hits the road for Chapel Hill to face UNC in a key battle for the Heels. The Cavs picked up a triple-overtime win against Syracuse, but they haven't had a ton of success following success with more success. The Cavs are 0-3-1 ATS in their past four games following a straight-up win. The Heels have covered four of their past five ACC games, four of the past five overall and they're 10-4 ATS in their past 14 after a cover. The favorite has also cashed in four of the past five meetings in this series, with the Cavaliers going 0-5 ATS in the past five clashes. The over might be worth a look, as it is 4-0-1 in UVA's past five overall, although the under is 4-1-1 in the past six road games and 8-2-1 in their past 11 ACC games. The over is 8-3 in UNC's past 11 against a losing team, although the under is 4-1-1 in the past six meetings at Kenan and 7-2-1 in the past 10 meetings overall in this series.


Duke at Virginia Tech (ESPNU, 3:30 p.m.)


In previous years a Virginia Tech win would have been expected, but these are different Blue Devils over the past couple of seasons. They play hard, have had losses to personnel and actually have reloaded. This line opened with Va. Tech favored by 3 1/2, but has moved down to 2 1/2. The Blue Devils have had two weeks to prepare for the game, and they are 5-0 ATS in their past five road games. The Blue Devils are also 9-2 ATS in their past 11 against a team with a losing record, and 9-1-1 ATS in their past 11 road games against a team with a losing home mark. Duke is 13-5 ATS in the past 18 ACC games, too. For the Hokies, they have a 4-9 ATS mark in their past 13 ACC games. The underdog is also 5-2 ATS in the past seven meetings. The under is the dominant trend for both sides, going 11-2 in Duke's past 13 ACC games, and 17-5 in their past 22 games overall. The under is 10-2 in Virginia Tech's past 12 ACC games, although the over is 5-2 in their past seven at Lane Stadium. The head-to-head trend has the under 4-1 in the past five in Blacksburg, and 4-1 in the past five meetings overall.


Florida State at Georgia Tech (ESPN2, 7:00 p.m.)


Florida State takes its show on the road to face a very disappointing Georgia Tech side. The Yellow Jackets opened the season with two convincing wins against lesser opponents, and followed it up with a five-game losing skid that doesn't look to stop when the Seminoles pay a visit. FSU opened as a 5 1/2-point favorite, and that number quickly jumped to 6 1/2. The number seems rather low despite the fact FSU is 0-4-2 ATS in the past six meetings against the Ramblin' Wreck, and 0-3-2 ATS in their past five trips to Atlanta. And while the underdog is 4-0-2 ATS in the past six meetings, sometimes trends are made to be broken. These two teams are going in opposite directions, and Georgia Tech has not really shown they're making strides to stem the tide of losing.

 

[CNOTES]

Utah facing huge challenge against USC


October 22, 2015


The races in the Pac-12's two divisions are starting to fall into place, with two clear-cut favorites. But Utah and Stanford can't book their trips to Santa Clara for the Pac-12 championship game just yet.


There's still six weeks left until the conference title game and plenty of hurdles to overcome, including a big one for the Utes this week.


Here's a few things to look for in the Pac-12 this week:


GAME OF THE WEEK:


No. 3 Utah at Southern California. The Utes moved up a spot in the latest AP Top 25, their highest regular-season ranking as a program. Oddsmakers were not impressed. Despite Utah's rise and USC playing under an interim coach, the Trojans are 3 1/2-point favorites at home. USC (3-3, 1-2) arguably has the most talent on offense - maybe overall talent, too - in the Pac-12 and will be playing at home. The Utes (6-0, 3-0) blew out Oregon on the road, so playing in a hostile environment is no big deal to them.


BEST MATCHUP:


Washington's defense vs. Stanford's Christian McCaffrey. Washington has the Pac-12's best defense, allowing 345.3 yards and 16.8 points per game. The Huskies will have their hands full trying to slow McCaffrey. The Cardinal sophomore running back leads the nation with 253 all-purpose yards per game and had an FBS-high 369 total yards against UCLA last week.


INSIDE THE NUMBERS:


Oregon and Arizona State have the week off before playing each other next Thursday. ... The Pac-12 has had nine different teams ranked in the AP Top 25 over the past two seasons. ... McCaffrey isn't the only Pac-12 player among the top 10 in FBS all-purpose yards. ... Oregon's Royce Freeman is eighth with 168 yards per game and Utah's Devontae Booker is ninth at 165.17.


IMPACT PLAYER:


Arizona RB Jared Baker. The senior rushed for 207 yards and two touchdowns against Colorado last week to become the fifth Pac-12 running back to eclipse 200 yards this season. Baker is averaging 10 yards per carry the past two games heading into Saturday's game against Washington State.


----------------------------------


Memphis hopes to avoid distractions


October 22, 2015


Even Memphis coach Justin Fuente has sought out advice from fellow coaches such as Mack Brown and Gary Patterson on how to deal with distractions this week - a welcome problem to have.


No. 18 Memphis (6-0, 2-0 American Athletic Conference) jumped into the Top 25 after its stunning win over No. 24 Mississippi a week ago.


While Memphis has enjoyed its time in the national spotlight following the win over its Southeastern Conference neighbor to the south, Fuente has made a point this week to remind his team that it's only halfway through the season.


And the second half begins on Friday night when Memphis visits Tulsa (3-3, 0-2) to open a stretch of six straight AAC games to close out the regular season.


---------------------------------


Washington-Stanford Preview Capsule


October 22, 2015


Washington (3-3, 1-2 Pac-12) at No. 10 Stanford (5-1, 4-0), 10:30 p.m. (ESPN)


Line: Off.


Series Record: Washington leads 41-40-4.


WHAT'S AT STAKE


The Huskies look to bounce back from a home loss to Oregon by winning their second straight game against a ranked team. The Cardinal go for their sixth straight win, looking to remain in control of the Pac-12 North race and in contention for the College Football Playoff.


KEY MATCHUP


Washington D vs. Stanford RB Christian McCaffrey. The Huskies top-ranked Pac-12 defense will have its hands full with one of the nation's most versatile players. McCaffrey leads the nation with 253 all-purpose yards per game and is a game-breaking running back. He is averaging 180 yards rushing per game the past four contests, including a school-record 243 last week against UCLA. He also had a 96-yard kickoff return that game.


PLAYERS TO WATCH


Washington:


RB Myles Gaskin. The freshman has topped 100 yards rushing in back-to-back weeks, gaining 289 yards and running for two scores against USC and Oregon. Gaskin is averaging 6.3 yards per carry and has three 100-yard performances in his first six college games.


Stanford:


QB Kevin Hogan. Since a rough season-opener at Northwestern, Hogan has been remarkably efficient. He is completing 69 percent of his passes the past five games, averaging 11.3 yards per attempt with 12 TDs and two INTs.


FACTS & FIGURES


Stanford has won six of the last seven meetings. ...


Washington leads the Pac-12 in scoring defense (16.8 ppg) and total defense (345.3 ypg). ... The Huskies have allowed eight TDs on 22 red zone trips (36.4 percent), best in the Pac-12. ... Washington RB Dwayne Washington has six career plays from scrimmage of at least 50 yards, tied with Napoleon Kaufman and Chris Polk for most in school history. ... Stanford has rushed for at least 300 yards in three straight games for the first time in school history. ... The Cardinal are averaging 45 ppg during their win streak. ... The Cardinal had one INT the first five games before getting two last week against UCLA.


------------------------------


Newly ranked Memphis hopes to avoid distractions at Tulsa


October 22, 2015


Justin Fuente has a pretty good handle on how to approach most situations with his players amid the dramatic turnaround he is engineering as the coach at Memphis.


This week, even Fuente has sought out advice from fellow coaches such as Mack Brown and Gary Patterson on how to deal with distractions. It's a welcome problem to have after the No. 18 Tigers (6-0, 2-0 American Athletic Conference) jumped into the rankings on the strength of their win over No. 24 Mississippi a week ago.


While Memphis has enjoyed its time in the national spotlight, Fuente has made a point this week to remind his team that it's only halfway through the season.


And the second half begins on Friday night when Memphis begins a stretch of six straight AAC games to close out the regular season at Tulsa (3-3, 0-2).


''After several wins, I walked in the locker room and the kids (were) singing, dancing and having a good time,'' Fuente said. ''Never have I walked into the locker room during halftime and seen them singing and dancing. So, that's where we are right now - we are at halftime of this season and have a lot of work to do.''


Memphis' win against Ole Miss was its school-record 13th straight, with its last loss coming against Houston more than a year ago.


This week, the Tigers face a Golden Hurricane team that's sixth in the country in total offense with an average of 550.5 yards per game. Tulsa's offensive-minded roots are easy to see, with first-year coach Philip Montgomery having previously served as the offensive coordinator at Baylor.


The Golden Hurricane played well in its only other game against a ranked opponent this season, gaining 603 yards of offense in a 52-38 loss at No. 17 Oklahoma on Sept. 19. However, it has lost two of three games since - including last week's 30-17 setback at East Carolina - and the schedule doesn't get any easier this week.


''We've got our hands full,'' Montgomery said.


Some things to watch as Memphis deals with distractions following its biggest win of the season:


NEAR-PERFECT PAXTON:


Memphis quarterback Paxton Lynch threw for 384 yards and three touchdowns in the win over Ole Miss, and he's sixth nationally in passing efficiency this season - having thrown 13 touchdowns and only one interception. The junior has helped the Tigers score an average of 46 points per game, and he's caught the eye of Montgomery, who called Lynch ''one of the most dynamic quarterbacks in college football right now.''


TIGERS' TAKEAWAYS:


The Tigers have struggled defensively at times this season, particularly in a 53-46 win over Cincinnati on Sept. 24. However, led by interceptions by Don Witty and Arthur Maulet, the Tigers were able to limit Ole Miss' scoring chances a week ago - a theme they'll need to continue this week.


EXPERIENCED EVANS:


Tulsa is second in the AAC with an average of 354.4 yards passing per game, with junior quarterback Dane Evans leading the way. Evans is fourth in school history with 6,127 passing yards and has thrown for 11 touchdowns and four interceptions this season. He hopes to exploit a Memphis defense that allows 329 yards passing per game.


TOP TARGET:


Evans' most experienced and best big-play target is 6-foot-4, 221-pound senior wide receiver Keyarris Garrett. The senior is ninth in the country with an average of 116.3 yards receiving per game, including a 14-catch, 189-yard effort in the loss to the Sooners.


RUNNING WILD:


Memphis was led by 199 yards rushing and three touchdowns from Brandon Hayes in a 40-20 win over the Golden Hurricane last season. The Tigers use several running backs this year, with Jarvis Cooper leading the way with an average of 53.3 yards per game on the ground, and they're likely to try and control Tulsa's offense by utilizing the run game once again.

 

[CNOTES]

RECORD GOING INTO FRIDAY GAMES : ( 10/23/15)




CFB: 2 - 4 THURSDAY NIGHT




*****............................... 0 - 1
double play.........................2 - 1
triple play...........................0 - 1
blow out.............................0 - 1
gom....................................0 - 0
god.....................................0 - 0
gow....................................0 - 0
goy.....................................0 - 0
upset..................................0 - 0




COLLEGE FOOTBALL RECORD:




single play:.......................................29 - 27 - 1
double play:......................................44 - 49
triple play:........................................34 - 27
blow out:..........................................16 - 16
gow:.............................................. . ..2 - 1
gom:.............................................. . .0 - 1
goy............................................... .. ..0 - 1
upsets............................................ ....0 - 3
game of the day..................................1 - 2

 

[CNOTES]

Memphis at Tulsa


October 21, 2015




**Memphis at Tulsa**


-- Memphis (6-0 straight up, 3-2-1 against the spread) is coming off one of the biggest wins in school history after knocking off Ole Miss on Saturday at the Liberty Bowl. The Tigers remained unbeaten with a 37-24 win over the Rebels as 10.5-point home underdogs. Paxton Lynch completed 39-of-53 passes for 384 yards and three touchdowns. Anthony Miller had 10 receptions for 132 yards and one TD, while Mose Frazier hauled in eight catches for 83 yards and one TD. Dion Witty and Arthur Maulet collected interceptions off of Chad Kelly.


-- Lynch is enjoying a sensational season, throwing for 305 yards or more in five consecutive games. The 6-7, 245-pound senior has connected on 71.4 percent of his passes for 1,919 yards with a 13/1 touchdown-to-interception ratio.


--Memphis is fifth in the nation in total offense and ninth in passing. The Tigers aren’t one-dimensional, however, rushing for nearly 200 yards per game (196.0 to be exact). Five different players have rushed for more than 100 yards this year led by Jarvis Cooper, a sophomore RB who has run for a team-high 320 yards and four TD while averaging 4.8 yards per carry. Junior RB Sam Craft has rushed for 219 yards and five TDs.


-- Coming off the huge win over an SEC team and a regional rival (Ole Miss is 45 minutes from Memphis) that has thrust it into the national spotlight, Memphis enters a classic letdown spot for Friday’s AAC showdown. The short week of preparation and road assignment make this an especially tough spot for the Tigers, who now have to be considered a potential darkhorse to get to the College Football Playoff. Now obviously, Justin Fuente’s team will have to handle its business and get some help for that notion to become a reality. But make no mistake, it’s a possibility. For starters, Memphis will need Ole Miss to play outstanding football down the stretch. In fact, it probably needs the Rebels to win the SEC West, but that’s exactly what will happen if they run the table. Also, the Tigers want Bowling Green to keep playing good football and a win or two from Kansas would help the cause, too. Remember, Memphis won 55-23 and 44-41 at KU and Bowling Green in Weeks 2 and 3, respectively. There are still two games against ranked and unbeaten foes remaining with road games at Houston and Temple next month. Also, the Tigers face a 4-1 Navy squad in two weeks, so there are quality wins remaining on the schedule.


-- Tulsa (3-3 SU, 3-2-1 ATS) has lost three of its last four games, including Saturday’s 30-17 loss at East Carolina as a 14-point underdog. This was a wild affair for our purposes. ECU went ahead of the number for the first time when it took a 17-0 lead with 5:50 left in the second quarter. With 1:13 left until halftime, the Pirates tacked on a field goal for a 20-0 advantage at intermission. Tulsa finally got on the board thanks to a Zack Langer one-yard TD run early in the fourth quarter. With 7:12 remaining, Redford Jones’s 21-yard field goal put Golden Hurricanes supporters back in front (23-10). When ECU’s James Summers scored on a six-yard TD run with 1:24 left, gamblers on the Pirates appeared to be in business. However, Dane Evans hit Keyarris Garrett with a 47-yard scoring strike with 30 ticks remaining, and Jones’s successful PAT gave Tulsa backers the backdoor cover.


-- Tulsa produced more yardage than ECU by a wide margin (463-382), but a pair of turnovers and three failed fourth-down attempts were a killer. Evans threw for 288 yards and one TD, while Langer rushed for 76 yards and one TD on 18 carries. Josh Atkinson had eight receptions for 136 yards.


-- Evans has completed 59.5 percent of his passes for 2,127 yards with an 11/4 TD-INT ratio. His favorite target is Garrett, who has 45 receptions for 698 yards and two TDs. Atkinson has 36 catches for 576 yards and two TDs, while Langer has rushed for a team-best 596 yards and 11 TDs.


-- Tulsa junior WR Keevan Lucas was lost to a season-ending knee injury in a 38-24 home loss to Houston on Oct. 3. Lucas, who had 26 receptions for 409 yards and a team-high five TDs in the first four games, was a first-team All-AAC selection last year when he had 101 catches for 1,219 yards and 11 TDs. Blake Belcher, a starting offensive tackle, was also lost for the season to a knee injury two weeks ago. RB D’Angelo Brewer, who has run for 362 yards and one TD while averaging 5.7 yards per carry, missed the loss at ECU with an undisclosed injury and was listed as ‘questionable’ for Memphis as of early Wednesday afternoon.


-- Memphis has been a road ‘chalk’ seven times on Fuente’s watch, compiling a 4-3-1 spread record.


-- Tulsa owns a 3-1 ATS record in four games as an underdog this year. However, the Golden Hurricane failed to cover in its lone home ‘dog spot this year. Going back to 2010, it is an abysmal 2-6 ATS in the last eight situations as a home puppy.


-- Dating back to last season, Memphis has won 13 consecutive games.


-- As of early Wednesday afternoon, most books had Memphis listed as a 10.5-point favorite with a total of 77. Tulsa was +330 on the money line (risk $100 to win $330).


-- The ‘over’ is 4-2 overall for Memphis, 2-1 in its three previous road assignments. After the ‘over’ cashed in the Tigers’ first four games, but the ‘under’ has been a winner in back-to-back contests. They have seen their games average a combined score of 72.3 points per game.


-- After cashing in three straight games, the ‘under’ is 4-2 overall for Tulsa, 2-1 in its home outings. The Golden Hurricane has seen its games produce average combined scores of 68.2 PPG.


-- ESPN will have the broadcast Friday night at 8:00 p.m. Eastern.


**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**


-- There’s also a late-night game Friday to get gamblers warmed up for the weekend. Like Memphis, Utah St. is off a huge win and in a letdown scenario at San Diego State. These Mountain West Conference rivals will collide at 10:30 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2. As of early Wednesday, most spots had the Aggies listed as five-point road favorites with a total of 44. Matt Wells’s team crushed Boise St. by a 52-26 count as a 7.5-point home underdog. Utah State created eight turnovers and a 90-yard pick-six by Marwin Evans gave it a 45-10 halftime lead over BSU. Kent Myers threw three TD passes without an interception and also scored on a 39-yard TD scamper.


-- The ‘over’ has hit in four straight games for Utah State.


-- The Westgate SuperBook updates its lines for Games of the Year earlier this week. Ohio State is now a 2.5-point favorite at Michigan in the regular-season finale for both teams.


-- Bovada sent out a tweet earlier this week showing a 12-game parlay from one of its players that netted more than $12,000 with just $10 at risk. Guess who the player had in the parlay? Michigan St. on the money line.


-- Best ATS records: Central Michigan 7-0, Toledo 5-0-1, Notre Dame 6-1, So. Miss 6-1, Stanford 5-1.


-- Worst ATS records: Old Dominion 0-6, UCF 1-6, Michigan State 1-6. UCF and Sparty collected their first spread covers in Week 7.

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack


-- Las Vegas native Bryce Harper was a judge for UNLV's dunk contest at their outdoor practice in downtown Vegas last night.


-- Seahawks 20, 49ers 3-- Monday night doubleheaders would be better than these Thursday night games. Football wasn't meant to be played on three days' rest.


-- Temple 24, East Carolina 14-- Owls are 7-0, play Notre Dame next week.


-- UCLA 40, Cal 24-- Bruins' kicker made 60-yard FG. Pac-12 teams are proving to be wildly erratic from week-to-week.


-- Appalachian State 31, Georgia Southern 13-- ASU is bowl eligible for first time.


-- Pelicans' G Tyreke Evans (knee) is out 6-8 weeks


**********


Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: For amusement only........


13) July 23, 2015-- the Mets rolled out a lineup with John Mayberry Jr batting 4th and Eric Campbell 5th. Not good. Mets were 52-50 on July 30, after blowing a 7-1 lead in a rainy home loss to San Diego. Things have gotten better since.


12) October 22, 1972-- Oakland A's won their first of three straight World Series, nipping the Reds 3-2. Pete Rose flied out to left to end the series, where six of seven games were decided by one run.


Same day, the Rams beat Cincinnati 15-14-- David Ray, who wasn't that great a kicker, won it with a 54-yard FG. Back then, straight-on kickers weren't that good- a 54-yard FG was a big deal, especially to win the game. Pretty good day for a 12-year old me.


By the way, Game 7 of the World Series back then was a 1:00 start. Not anymore.


11) Temple and Memphis are having magical football seasons, both unbeaten, but the sad reality of modern coaching is that there is a pretty good chance neither team will have its coach by the time their bowl games roll around, since the big $$$ teams generally like their new coaches in place as early as possible, to fight the upcoming recruiting battles. Signing Day for reruits is in very early February.


Hard to imagine coaches Fuente, Ruhle not moving up the coaching ladder.


10) Yoenis Cespedes plays golf almost every day? Wow. Long time ago, playing golf was taboo for baseball players. Even now, playing during the playoffs is a little odd.


9) Was thinking about it today; wouldn't basketball be a better game without any kind of timeouts, except TV timeouts? Let the players play. TV timeouts have to be, to pay for everything, but other ones could be done away with.


8) Dodgers finally put Don Mattingly and his 8-11 playoff record out of their misery Thursday, firing the skipper, who is rumored headed to Miami, where nitwit owner Jeffrey Loria can drive him nuts. You can't win with a $300M payroll, why would he be able to win managing one of baseball's most dysfunctional franchises?


7) Three basketball teams from the CAA have lost their leading returning scorer to higher-level Division I programs, as poaching continues to be a problem for mid-major basketball teams. Lousville poached Drexel's leading scorer; its a free country, but that just doesn't seem fair.


6) If I'm Johnny Cueto, a decent-but not-great free agent pitcher, I'm running back to the NL, where they don't have a DH and to a bigger ballpark than Cincinnati.


5) NFL teams who get the highest %age of their first downs on third down:
Browns 36.8%......Bears/Redskins, both 32.2%........Saints 32.1%


Teams that get the lowest %age of first downs on third down:
Cowboys 16.4%........Chiefs 16.9%........Cardinals 17.6%.


4) Florida Gators have a kicking problem; their starter has a hamstring pull, their backup is out for the year, so they held an open tryout Wednesday, for any student enrolled with 12+ credit hours this semester. Two women were among 216 students who were interested and signed up.


3) Cal Ripken is interested in the Nationals' managing opening, but apparently the team isn't interested in him, after just having had Matt Williams as manager, a former player with no managing experience. Curious to see who they hire.


2) Clippers 115, Portland 109-- NBA exhibition games don't mean much, but LA was down 35 points in this game before rallying to win. That doesn't happen a lot.


1) Doubtful that I'm getting my lazy butt out of bed at 9:30 Sunday morning to watch the Bills-Jaguars game from London on my laptop. Game is streaming on Yahoo!; I'm paying DirecTV to be able to see every game, but guess this one doesn't count.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 8


Tennessee @ Alabama

Game 349-350
October 24, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee
100.234
Alabama
113.133
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Alabama
by 13
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Alabama
by 15 1/2
54
Dunkel Pick:
Tennessee
(+15 1/2); Over

Tennessee St @ Eastern Illinois

Game 567-568
October 24, 2015 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee St
53.585
Eastern Illinois
72.553
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Eastern Illinois
by 29
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Eastern Illinois
by 26 1/2
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Eastern Illinois
(-26 1/2); Under

Penn State @ Maryland

Game 371-372
October 24, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Penn State
87.339
Maryland
84.418
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Penn State
by 3
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Penn State
by 6 1/2
47
Dunkel Pick:
Maryland
(+6 1/2); Over

Central Connecticut @ Sacred Heart

Game 527-528
October 24, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Central Connectic
44.211
Sacred Heart
54.784
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacred Heart
by 10 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Sacred Heart
by 16 1/2
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Central Connectic
(+16 1/2); Over

Jacksonville St @ Austin Peay

Game 589-590
October 24, 2015 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville St
76.381
Austin Peay
34.455
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Jacksonville St
by 42
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Jacksonville St
by 38 1/2
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Jacksonville St
(-38 1/2); Under

Clemson @ Miami-FL

Game 329-330
October 24, 2015 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Clemson
103.829
Miami-FL
93.366
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Clemson
by 10 1/2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Clemson
by 6 1/2
56
Dunkel Pick:
Clemson
(-6 1/2); Under

Texas Tech @ Oklahoma

Game 393-394
October 24, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas Tech
94.058
Oklahoma
111.130
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma
by 17
81
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma
by 14
74 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma
(-14); Over

Miss Valley St @ Grambling

Game 549-550
October 24, 2015 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miss Valley St
21.432
Grambling
57.332
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Grambling
by 36
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Grambling
by 38 1/2
69 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miss Valley St
(+38 1/2); Under

Idaho State @ Sacramento St

Game 611-612
October 24, 2015 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Idaho State
54.511
Sacramento St
52.337
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Idaho State
by 2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Idaho State
by 3 1/2
59 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento St
(+3 1/2); Under

Kansas State @ Texas

Game 351-352
October 24, 2015 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas State
95.340
Texas
96.306
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 1
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
by 4 1/2
52
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas State
(+4 1/2); Under

Princeton @ Harvard

Game 507-508
October 24, 2015 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Princeton
55.525
Harvard
79.492
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Harvard
by 24
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Harvard
by 22 1/2
56 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Harvard
(-22 1/2); Under

Western Illinois @ Illinois State

Game 569-570
October 24, 2015 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Western Illinois
72.629
Illinois State
85.726
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Illinois State
by 13
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Illinois State
by 11
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Illinois State
(-11); Over

Army @ Rice

Game 373-374
October 24, 2015 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Army
67.144
Rice
72.500
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Rice
by 5 1/2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Rice
by 9 1/2
57
Dunkel Pick:
Army
(+9 1/2); Under

Marist @ Davidson

Game 529-530
October 24, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Marist
36.182
Davidson
16.189
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Marist
by 20
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Marist
by 23
42 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Davidson
(+23); Under

Duquesne @ Robert Morris

Game 591-592
October 24, 2015 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Duquesne
49.842
Robert Morris
41.675
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Duquesne
by 8
35
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Duquesne
by 4 1/2
38 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Duquesne
(-4 1/2); Under

NC State @ Wake Forest

Game 331-332
October 24, 2015 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NC State
87.963
Wake Forest
83.354
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NC State
by 4 1/2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC State
by 10
47
Dunkel Pick:
Wake Forest
(+10); Over

Kansas @ Oklahoma State

Game 395-396
October 24, 2015 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas
66.374
Oklahoma State
102.838
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma State
by 36 1/2
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma State
by 33 1/2
62 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma State
(-33 1/2); Under

Southern U @ Texas Southern

Game 551-552
October 24, 2015 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Southern U
53.788
Texas Southern
34.351
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Southern U
by 19 1/2
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Southern U
by 15 1/2
64 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Southern U
(-15 1/2); Under

Portland St @ Cal Poly

Game 613-614
October 24, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland St
85.883
Cal Poly
86.867
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cal Poly
by 1
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland St
by 2
58 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cal Poly
(+2); Under

Texas A&M @ Mississippi

Game 353-354
October 24, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas A&M
101.544
Mississippi
108.987
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mississippi
by 7 1/2
71
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mississippi
by
65
Dunkel Pick:
Mississippi
(-5); Over

Brown @ Cornell

Game 509-510
October 24, 2015 @ 12:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brown
58.498
Cornell
41.292
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brown
by 17
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brown
by 12 1/2
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brown
(-12 1/2); Over

Hampton @ William & Mary

Game 571-572
October 24, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Hampton
51.534
William & Mary
80.098
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
William & Mary
by 29 1/2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
William & Mary
by 25 1/2
51
Dunkel Pick:
William & Mary
(-25 1/2); Over

Southern Miss @ Charlotte

Game 375-376
October 24, 2015 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Southern Miss
80.458
Charlotte
56.512
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Southern Miss
by 24
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Southern Miss
by 15 1/2
64
Dunkel Pick:
Southern Miss
(-15 1/2); Under

Chattanooga @ Wofford

Game 531-532
October 24, 2015 @ 1:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chattanooga
65.772
Wofford
58.955
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chattanooga
by 7
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chattanooga
by 11 1/2
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Wofford
(+11 1/2); Under

Butler @ Dayton

Game 593-594
October 24, 2015 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Butler
29.832
Dayton
47.344
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dayton
by 17 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dayton
by 11 1/2
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dayton
(-11 1/2); Over

Missouri @ Vanderbilt

Game 333-334
October 24, 2015 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Missouri
88.737
Vanderbilt
89.615
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vanderbilt
by 1
25
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Missouri
by 3
34 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vanderbilt
(+3); Under

Florida State @ Georgia Tech

Game 397-398
October 24, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida State
101.569
Georgia Tech
93.500
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida State
by 8
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida State
by 5 1/2
57
Dunkel Pick:
Florida State
(-5 1/2); Over

SE Louisiana @ Houston Baptist

Game 553-554
October 24, 2015 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
SE Louisiana
64.675
Houston Baptist
24.626
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
SE Louisiana
by 40
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
SE Louisiana
by 36 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
SE Louisiana
(-36 1/2); Over

Virginia @ North Carolina

Game 355-356
October 24, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Virginia
80.857
North Carolina
105.293
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Carolina
by 24 1/2
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Carolina
by 17
63 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
North Carolina
(-17); Over

Stony Brook @ Maine

Game 511-512
October 24, 2015 @ 12:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Stony Brook
57.478
Maine
56.568
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Stony Brook
by 1
30
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Stony Brook
by 4
32
Dunkel Pick:
Maine
(+4); Under

Richmond @ James Madison

Game 573-574
October 24, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Richmond
69.312
James Madison
84.336
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
James Madison
by 15
81
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
James Madison
by 13 1/2
72 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
James Madison
(-13 1/2); Over

Boston College @ Louisville

Game 377-378
October 24, 2015 @ 12:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston College
86.693
Louisville
96.593
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Louisville
by 10
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Louisville
by 7 1/2
37
Dunkel Pick:
Louisville
(-7 1/2); Over

The Citadel @ Furman

Game 533-534
October 24, 2015 @ 1:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
The Citadel
68.647
Furman
62.392
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
The Citadel
by 6 1/2
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
The Citadel
by 8
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Furman
(+8); Under

Norfolk St @ Sam Houston St

Game 505-506
October 24, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Norfolk St
36.941
Sam Houston St
76.932
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sam Houston St
by 40
70
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Sam Houston St
by 35 1/2
64 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Sam Houston St
(-35 1/2); Over

Miami of Ohio @ Western Michigan

Game 335-336
October 24, 2015 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami of Ohio
58.732
Western Michigan
88.849
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Michigan
by 30 1/2
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Michigan
by 25
58
Dunkel Pick:
Western Michigan
(-25); Over

Ohio State @ Rutgers

Game 399-400
October 24, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ohio State
102.404
Rutgers
84.904
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio State
by 17 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio State
by 21 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Rutgers
(+21 1/2); N/A

Abilene Christian @ Incarnate Word

Game 555-556
October 24, 2015 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Abilene Christian
47.140
Incarnate Word
45.526
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Abilene Christian
by 1 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Abilene Christian
by 3 1/2
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Incarnate Word
(+3 1/2); Under

Northwestern @ Nebraska

Game 357-358
October 24, 2015 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northwestern
90.736
Nebraska
93.886
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nebraska
by 3
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nebraska
by 7 1/2
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Northwestern
(+7 1/2); Under

Coastal Carolina @ Monmouth

Game 513-514
October 24, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Coastal Carolina
72.514
Monmouth
58.730
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Coastal Carolina
by 14
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Coastal Carolina
by 16 1/2
60 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Monmouth
(+16 1/2); Over

North Dakota @ Montana

Game 575-576
October 24, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Dakota
53.220
Montana
67.223
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montana
by 14
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montana
by 12 1/2
43
Dunkel Pick:
Montana
(-12 1/2); Over

Eastern Michigan @ Northern Illinois

Game 315-316
October 24, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Eastern Michigan
62.702
Northern Illinois
87.085
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northern Illinois
by 24 1/2
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northern Illinois
by 28
70
Dunkel Pick:
Eastern Michigan
(+28); Under

Middle Tennessee St @ Louisiana Tech

Game 379-380
October 24, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Middle Tennessee
82.180
Louisiana Tech
86.337
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Louisiana Tech
by 4
70
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Louisiana Tech
by 7 1/2
64
Dunkel Pick:
Middle Tennessee
(+7 1/2); Under

Charleston Southern @ Gardner-Webb

Game 535-536
October 24, 2015 @ 1:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charleston Southe
66.055
Gardner-Webb
52.144
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charleston Southe
by 14
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charleston Southe
by 12 1/2
34 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Charleston Southe
(-12 1/2); Over

Central Arkansas @ Lamar

Game 595-596
October 24, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Central Arkansas
67.514
Lamar
63.917
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Arkansas
by 3 1/2
71
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Arkansas
by 1
68 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Central Arkansas
(-1); Over

Tulane @ Navy

Game 337-338
October 24, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tulane
67.992
Navy
96.949
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Navy
by 29
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Navy
by 23
55
Dunkel Pick:
Navy
(-23); Under

Western Kentucky @ LSU

Game 401-402
October 24, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Western Kentucky
92.373
LSU
106.231
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LSU
by 14
73
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LSU
by 17
65 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Western Kentucky
(+17); Over

Murray State @ Tenn-Martin

Game 557-558
October 24, 2015 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Murray State
49.446
Tenn-Martin
63.349
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tenn-Martin
by 14
74
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tenn-Martin
by 16 1/2
70 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Murray State
(+16 1/2); Over

Wisconsin @ Illinois

Game 359-360
October 24, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wisconsin
98.742
Illinois
90.355
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wisconsin
by 8 1/2
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wisconsin
by 6 1/2
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Wisconsin
(-6 1/2); Under

Lehigh @ Fordham

Game 515-516
October 24, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Lehigh
50.867
Fordham
69.347
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Fordham
by 18 1/2
78
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Fordham
by 12 1/2
70 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Fordham
(-12 1/2); Over

Samford @ Western Carolina

Game 577-578
October 24, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Samford
65.382
Western Carolina
56.099
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Samford
by 6
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Samford
by 3 1/2
56 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Samford
(-3 1/2); Under

Central Michigan @ Ball State

Game 317-318
October 24, 2015 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Central Michigan
80.823
Ball State
77.239
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Michigan
by 3 1/2
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Michigan
by 7 1/2
58
Dunkel Pick:
Ball State
(+7 1/2); Over

Connecticut @ Cincinnati

Game 381-382
October 24, 2015 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
80.427
Cincinnati
90.329
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 10
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
by 13
58
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
(+13); Under

Tennessee Tech @ Eastern Illinois

Game 537-538
October 24, 2015 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee Tech
47.139
Eastern Illinois
65.182
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Eastern Illinois
by 18
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Eastern Illinois
by 15 1/2
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Eastern Illinois
(-15 1/2); Under

Northwestern St @ McNeese St

Game 597-598
October 24, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northwestern St
50.443
McNeese St
76.054
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
McNeese St
by 25 1/2
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
McNeese St
by 21 1/2
56 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
McNeese St
(-21 1/2); Over

Wyoming @ Boise State

Game 339-340
October 24, 2015 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wyoming
76.506
Boise State
107.696
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boise State
by 31
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boise State
by 35
56
Dunkel Pick:
Wyoming
(+35); Over

Florida Atlantic @ UTEP

Game 403-404
October 24, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida Atlantic
66.516
UTEP
57.964
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida Atlantic
by 8 1/2
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida Atlantic
by 6
57
Dunkel Pick:
Florida Atlantic
(-6); Under

Wagner @ Brigham Young

Game 421-422
October 24, 2015 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wagner
41.457
Brigham Young
87.516
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brigham Young
by 46
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brigham Young
by 49
60 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Wagner
(+49); Over

Duke @ Virginia Tech

Game 361-362
October 24, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Duke
90.553
Virginia Tech
95.409
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia Tech
by 5
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia Tech
by 2
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Virginia Tech
(-2); Over

Georgetown @ Bucknell

Game 517-518
October 24, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgetown
49.077
Bucknell
51.085
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Bucknell
by 2
27
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Bucknell
by 4
31 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Georgetown
(+4); Under

New Hampshire @ Delaware

Game 579-580
October 24, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Hampshire
65.935
Delaware
56.098
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Hampshire
by 10
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Hampshire
by 7 1/2
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Hampshire
(-7 1/2); Over

Toledo @ Massachusetts

Game 319-320
October 24, 2015 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toledo
92.454
Massachusetts
80.595
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toledo
by 12
73
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toledo
by 14 1/2
62 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Massachusetts
(+14 1/2); Over

SMU @ South Florida

Game 383-384
October 24, 2015 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
SMU
71.071
South Florida
86.539
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Florida
by 15 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Florida
by 11 1/2
64 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
South Florida
(-11 1/2); Under

Stetson @ Valparaiso

Game 539-540
October 24, 2015 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Stetson
22.400
Valparaiso
18.812
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Stetson
by 3 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Stetson
by 1 1/2
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Stetson
(-1 1/2); Over

Southern Utah @ UC-Davis

Game 599-600
October 24, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Southern Utah
73.730
UC-Davis
63.679
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Southern Utah
by 10
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Southern Utah
by 18 1/2
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
UC-Davis
(+18 1/2); Under

Fresno State @ Air Force

Game 341-342
October 24, 2015 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Fresno State
68.997
Air Force
82.825
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Air Force
by 14
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Air Force
by 17 1/2
56
Dunkel Pick:
Fresno State
(+17 1/2); Over

Troy @ New Mexico St

Game 405-406
October 24, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Troy
63.804
New Mexico St
58.924
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Troy
by 5
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Troy
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Troy
N/A

Columbia @ Dartmouth

Game 559-560
October 24, 2015 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Columbia
39.425
Dartmouth
77.562
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dartmouth
by 38
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dartmouth
by 32 1/2
42 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dartmouth
(-32 1/2); Under

LA-Monroe @ Idaho

Game 363-364
October 24, 2015 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA-Monroe
65.209
Idaho
66.964
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Idaho
by 1 1/2
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA-Monroe
by 2
62
Dunkel Pick:
Idaho
(+2); Over

Eastern Washington @ Northern Colorado

Game 581-582
October 24, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Eastern Washingto
73.922
Northern Colorado
59.905
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Eastern Washingto
by 14
77
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Eastern Washingto
by 17 1/2
72 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Northern Colorado
(+17 1/2); Over

Bowling Green @ Kent State

Game 321-322
October 24, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Bowling Green
95.126
Kent State
74.262
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Bowling Green
by 21
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Bowling Green
by 14
61
Dunkel Pick:
Bowling Green
(-14); Under

South Alabama @ Texas State

Game 385-386
October 24, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Alabama
60.830
Texas State
66.893
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas State
by 6
72
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas State
by 3 1/2
66 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas State
(-3 1/2); Over

South Carolina St @ Delaware St

Game 541-542
October 24, 2015 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Carolina St
58.849
Delaware St
33.039
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Carolina St
by 26
33
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Carolina St
by 22 1/2
37 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
South Carolina St
(-22 1/2); Under

Weber St @ Northern Arizona

Game 601-602
October 24, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Weber St
62.455
Northern Arizona
60.895
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Weber St
by 1 1/2
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northern Arizona
by 1 1/2
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Weber St
(+1 1/2); Over

North Texas @ Marshall

Game 343-344
October 24, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Texas
51.973
Marshall
88.157
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Marshall
by 36
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Marshall
by 29
60
Dunkel Pick:
Marshall
(-29); Under

New Mexico @ San Jose St

Game 407-408
October 24, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Mexico
67.471
San Jose St
79.925
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Jose St
by 12 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Jose St
by 7 1/2
58
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose St
(-7 1/2); Over

VMI @ Mercer

Game 561-562
October 24, 2015 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
VMI
44.785
Mercer
57.773
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mercer
by 13
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mercer
by 9 1/2
63 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Mercer
(-9 1/2); Over

Houston @ Central Florida

Game 365-366
October 24, 2015 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
92.891
Central Florida
73.721
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 19
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 21 1/2
49
Dunkel Pick:
Central Florida
(+21 1/2); Under

North Dakota St @ Indiana State

Game 521-522
October 24, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Dakota St
79.707
Indiana State
75.688
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Dakota St
by 4
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Dakota St
by 9
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana State
(+9); Under

Morehead St @ Campbell

Game 583-584
October 24, 2015 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Morehead St
36.343
Campbell
38.843
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Campbell
by 2 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Campbell
by 4 1/2
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Morehead St
(+4 1/2); Over

Pittsburgh @ Syracuse

Game 325-326
October 24, 2015 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
87.125
Syracuse
84.099
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 3
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 7
51
Dunkel Pick:
Syracuse
(+7); Over

Kentucky @ Mississippi St

Game 389-390
October 24, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kentucky
91.606
Mississippi St
98.450
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mississippi St
by 7
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mississippi St
by 11
55
Dunkel Pick:
Kentucky
(+11); Over

Morgan St @ NC Central

Game 543-544
October 24, 2015 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Morgan St
50.150
NC Central
51.612
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NC Central
by 1 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC Central
by 4 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Morgan St
(+4 1/2); Over

Youngstown St @ Southern Illinois

Game 603-604
October 24, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Youngstown St
75.308
Southern Illinois
74.414
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Youngstown St
by 1
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Southern Illinois
by 2 1/2
59 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Youngstown St
(+2 1/2); Under

Utah @ USC

Game 345-346
October 24, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
102.645
USC
108.557
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
USC
by 6
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
USC
by 3
59 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
USC
(-3); Over

Hawaii @ Nevada

Game 409-410
October 24, 2015 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Hawaii
72.551
Nevada
76.610
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nevada
by 4
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nevada
by 7 1/2
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Hawaii
(+7 1/2); Under

Missouri St @ South Dakota

Game 563-564
October 24, 2015 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Missouri St
54.923
South Dakota
64.869
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Dakota
by 10
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Dakota
by 14 1/2
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Missouri St
(+14 1/2); Over

Colorado @ Oregon State

Game 367-368
October 24, 2015 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
80.461
Oregon State
79.060
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1 1/2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oregon State
by 2 1/2
59
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(+2 1/2); Under

Howard @ North Carolina A&T

Game 523-524
October 24, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Howard
35.192
North Carolina A&
65.119
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Carolina A&
by 30
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Carolina A&
by 27 1/2
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
North Carolina A&
(-27 1/2); Under

Norfolk St @ Bethune Cookman

Game 585-586
October 24, 2015 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Norfolk St
49.150
Bethune Cookman
56.285
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Bethune Cookman
by 7
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Bethune Cookman
by 9 1/2
31 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Norfolk St
(+9 1/2); Over

Ohio @ Buffalo

Game 323-324
October 24, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ohio
79.100
Buffalo
74.226
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio
by 5
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio
by 3
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ohio
(-3); Under

Old Dominion @ FIU

Game 387-388
October 24, 2015 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Old Dominion
58.605
FIU
79.229
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
FIU
by 20 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
FIU
by 12 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
FIU
(-12 1/2); Under

Jacksonville @ Drake

Game 545-546
October 24, 2015 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville
44.611
Drake
41.791
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Jacksonville
by 3
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Jacksonville
by 6 1/2
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Drake
(+6 1/2); Under

Kennesaw St @ Liberty

Game 605-606
October 24, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kennesaw St
50.973
Liberty
61.501
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Liberty
by 10 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Liberty
by 13 1/2
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kennesaw St
(+13 1/2); Over

Washington @ Stanford

Game 347-348
October 24, 2015 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
94.428
Stanford
113.253
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Stanford
by 19
71
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Stanford
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Stanford
N/A

Washington St @ Arizona

Game 411-412
October 24, 2015 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington St
84.025
Arizona
96.157
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 12
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
by 7
72
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-7); Under

Northern Iowa @ South Dakota St

Game 565-566
October 24, 2015 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Iowa
77.429
South Dakota St
80.289
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Dakota St
by 3
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Dakota St
by 7 1/2
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Northern Iowa
(+7 1/2); Under

Iowa State @ Baylor

Game 369-370
October 24, 2015 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Iowa State
80.333
Baylor
120.798
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baylor
by 40 1/2
90
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baylor
by 37
80
Dunkel Pick:
Baylor
(-37); Over

St Francis-PA @ Bryant

Game 525-526
October 24, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St Francis-PA
54.446
Bryant
58.908
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Bryant
by 4 1/2
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Bryant
by 7
56 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St Francis-PA
(+7); Over

East Tenn St @ Montana St

Game 587-588
October 24, 2015 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
East Tenn St
8.946
Montana St
72.486
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montana St
by 63 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montana St
by 53 1/2
72 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Montana St
(-53 1/2); Under

Indiana @ Michigan State

Game 327-328
October 24, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
80.070
Michigan State
105.485
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan State
by 25 1/2
70
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan State
by 16 1/2
63 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-16 1/2); Over

Auburn @ Arkansas

Game 391-392
October 24, 2015 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Auburn
94.917
Arkansas
97.811
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arkansas
by 3
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arkansas
by 5 1/2
51
Dunkel Pick:
Auburn
(+5 1/2); Under

AR-Pine Bluff @ Jackson State

Game 547-548
October 24, 2015 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
AR-Pine Bluff
26.943
Jackson State
33.814
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Jackson State
by 7
70
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Jackson State
by 9 1/2
63 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
AR-Pine Bluff
(+9 1/2); Over

Villanova @ Towson

Game 607-608
October 24, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Villanova
65.949
Towson
58.534
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Villanova
by 7 1/2
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Villanova
by 5 1/2
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Villanova
(-5 1/2); Under

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up


Week 8




Saturday's games


Top 13 games


Pitt is 5-1 under rookie HC Narduzzi winning last three games by total of 14 points; Panthers won 17-13/31-28 in last two road games, are 9-6 in last 15 games as road favorite (1-0 in '15)- they won four of last five games vs Syracuse, splitting pair of one-point decisions in last two visits to dome. ACC underdogs are 12-8 vs spread in conference games, 3-1 at home. Syracuse lost last three games, allowing 41 ppg; they're down to #4 QB- they're 2-4 as home underdogs under Shafer.


Utah is 6-0 with a 62-20 win at Oregon; they're +11 in turnovers so far in '15, have wins at Fresno/Oregon. USC lost three of its last four games, losing both Pac-12 home games as double digit favorites; Trojans have a new coach, lot of chaos; they won three of last four games with Utah, winning 19-3/23-14 in last two played here- they're 16-10 in their last 26 games as home favorite. Three of last four Utah games went over total.


K-State lost last three games, allowing 47.7 ppg- they lost 55-0 at home to Oklahoma LW, coach Snyder apologized to student body. Wildcats completed 18-55 passes last two games; they're 13-3 in last 16 games as a road underdog. Texas had last week off after upset of Oklahoma, their first win in last four games; they are 12-18 in last 30 games as a home favorite (0-1 this season). Last four K-State games went over; last three Texas games stayed under.


Oct 24 is first true road game for 5-1 Texas A&M that lost to Alabama last week; they're 3-4 as road dogs under Sumlin, have neutral field wins this year over ASU/Arkansas. Ole Miss lost two of last three games, allowing 38-37 in losses; they're 10-6-1 as home faves under Freeze, but star DL Nkemdiche (concussion) hasn't been cleared to play yet- they need him. Last four Ole Miss games stayed under. SEC home favorites are 7-8 vs spread in conference play.


3-4 Nebraska scored 43 ppg in its wins, 23.8 in losses, with four losses by 5 or less points, all in last minute; Cornhuskers won last three games vs Northwestern by 21-1-3 points- dogs covered three of four in series, with both games played here decided by FG. Huskers are 7-10 in last 17 games as home favorite. Wildcats lost 38-0/40-10 in last two games after a 5-0 start; their five wins stayed under total, two losses went over total. Since '09, they're 17-9 as road underdogs.


Duke won last three games, allowing 10 ppg since loss to Northwestern; all six Duke games stayed under total. Blue Devils are 1-10 in last 11 vs Virginia Tech (2-3 vs spread last five)- they won last visit here 13-10 in '13. Hokies lost three of last four games; they get QB Brewer back here- their last three games stayed under. Tech is 7-16-1 in last 24 games as a home favorite (1-1 in '15). Duke is 5-1 as a road underdog last 2+ years.


Oregon State lost last three games, allowing 47 ppg; Colorado lost its last three games, allowing 42.3 ppg. Buffs are 6-20 as a road dog since 2010; they're 3-7 under MacIntyre. Favorite covered all five of OSU's lined games; they're 2-6 in last eight games as home favorite. Beavers won last two series games 36-31/44-17, but they allowed 550.7 ypg in last three games overall. Three of last four OSU games went over total. Colorado allowed 294.3 rushing ypg over last three weeks.


Louisiana Tech allowed 39+ points in its three losses, all on road; four of its six lined games went over total. Tech hasn't played Middle Tennessee since 2000- they're 5-5 as home favorite under Holtz. Blue Raiders lost three of last four games, losing close games at Illinois/Vandy; in last 27 games as road dog, they're 11-15-1 vs spread. Home favorites are 7-4 vs spread in C-USA games.


Arkansas lost four of last five games, losing to Toledo/Texas Tech on its home field; they're 5-4 as home favorites under Bielema. Hogs lost last two games vs Auburn 45-21/35-7. Tigers split pair of road games, giving up 497 TY in 30-27 win at Kentucky LW; they're 3-3 as road underdogs under Malzahn. Last five Arkansas games stayed under total. Auburn scored 27+ points in all four wins; 21/9 in two losses. SEC home faves are 7-8 against the spread.


Oklahoma's QB/OC came to Norman from Texas Tech, so little extra in this game; Sooners scored 45.7 ppg in three home wins- they're 13-14 in last 27 games as home favorite. Tech allowed 227+ rushing yards in six of their seven games; they were shaky in 30-20 win at awful Kansas LW. Over is 3-1 in last four games for both teams. Oklahoma won last three series games 41-20/38-30/42-30, after Tech won here 41-38 in '11 (+21).


6-0 Florida State allowed 712 PY last two games, but Georgia Tech can't pass, so that shouldn't matter here; FSU won nine of 11 games vs Tech, winning 21-15/37-35 last two years- this is Seminoles' first visit to Tech since '08. Yellow Jackets allowed 35.2 ppg in losing last five games; they completed less than half their passes in four of the five. Four of last five FSU games stayed under the total. Tech allowed 632 rushing yards in last three games.


LSU used fake FG to edge Florida LW, plays at Alabama next, so this is huge trap game, considering best QB in game plays for WKU. Tigers are 7-2 in last nine games as home favorite; this is by far best QB they faced since Prescott in season opener. Hilltoppers scored 54.5 ppg in winning last four games; they obviously take huge step up in competition- their only loss was 38-35 at Indiana, which ran for 284 yards and they don't have anyone like Fournette. Last five LSU games went over total.


Washington State is 12-5 as road underdog under Leach, 3-0 this season; they won four of five games since loss to I-AA team in opener. Wazzu lost six of last seven games with Arizona (last five losses by 17+ points) but won 24-17 (+11) in last visit here in '13. Wildcats ran for 659 yards in winning last two games 44-7/38-31; they're 9-11 as home favorite in RichRod era. Five of six Arizona games this year went over the total.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF

Friday, October 23

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the Day: Memphis at Tulsa
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Memphis has gone just 1-5 against the spread in the previous five meetings with Tulsa.

Memphis Tigers at Tulsa Golden Hurricane (+10.5, 76.5)

Fresh off its biggest win of the year, No. 17 Memphis ventures to Tulsa on Friday looking to remain unbeaten. The Tigers posted their 13th straight win last weekend, topping then-No. 12 Ole Miss 37-24 despite trailing 14-0 early in the contest.

Memphis owns the third-longest active winning streak in the nation behind Ohio State and TCU, but will be challenged Friday by some talented Tulsa skill players. "Offensively, they are as good as anybody in America," said Tigers coach Justin Fuente, whose team has plenty of offensive firepower of its own. Paxton Lynch has paced Memphis with 300-plus yards passing in each of the last five games and has a sparkling 13-to-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio this season. "Anytime you get a team that’s ranked in the Top 25, you get the chance to prove yourself on a national stage," Tulsa offensive lineman Garrett Stafford told reporters. "We're just looking forward to giving them our best shot and see where we stack up."

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened Tulsa as a 10.5-point home dog. Tohe total is up to 76.5 from the opening 75.

INJURY REPORT:

Memphis - OL Trevon Tate (Questionable, personal).

Tulsa - CB Darrell Williams (Probable, undisclosed), RB D'Angelo Brewer (Questionable, undisclosed), RB Ramadi Warren (Questionable, undisclosed), T Blake Belcher (Out for season, knee), WR Keevan Lucas (Out for season, knee).

WEATHER: Temperatures in the low-70s with a 68 percent chance of thunderstorms. Wind will blow toward the north end zone at around seven miles per hour.

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "The Tigers are undefeated at 6-0, and their offense is firing on all cylinders. Memphis ranks 8th nationally averaging 46 points per game."

ABOUT MEMPHIS (6-0 SU, 3-2-1 ATS, 4-2 O/U): The Tigers average the fourth-most points in the country (46) and are 10th in yards per contest (533), thanks in large part to Lynch and a three-headed receiving attack. Anthony Miller, Mose Frazier and Phil Mayhue all have at least 20 receptions and have combined for over 1,000 yards, while Memphis' running game also features balance with five backs having contributed multiple TDs this year. The Tigers hope to get off to a good start against the Golden Hurricane, although they have proven the ability to come from behind with four comebacks of at least 10 points this season - tops in FBS.

ABOUT TULSA (3-3 SU, 3-2-1 ATS, 2-4 O/U): Behind quarterback Dane Evans (2,127 yards, 11 touchdowns), the Golden Hurricane rank second in the league in both passing (354.5 yards per game) and total offense (550.5 yards). Zack Langer already has 11 rushing touchdowns on the season, although his 3.9 yards-per-carry average leaves much to be desired. Keyarris Garrett (45 catches, 698 yards) and Joshua Atkinson (36 catches, 576 yards) pace a dynamic receiving attack, while Keevan Lucas has caught a team-high five TDs.

TRENDS:

* Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Golden Hurricane are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight home games.
* Tigers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight Friday games.

CONSENSUS: Sixty-six percent of users are backing Memphis.

 

[CNOTES]

Team Open Line Movements Current Moneyline Halftime Scores


8:00 PM EDT


311 MEMPHIS -10 -10.5 -15 / -10.5 / -10 -10 -05 -430
312 TULSA 72 77 / 76.5 / 77 77.5 +345


TUS-WR-Keevan Lucas-OUT | TV: ESPN, DTV: 206 | MOSTLY CLOUDY, SOUTH WIND 7-12. GAME TEMP 71, RH 81% HEAT INDEX 74


10:30 PM EDT


313 UTAH STATE -4 -3.5 -15 / -4 -05 / -4 -4 -15 -185
314 SAN DIEGO STATE 47 45u11 / 44.5 / 44.5u13 42.5 +165


UST-QB-Chuckie Keeton-OUT | TV: ESPN2, DTV: 209 | FAIR, NORTHWEST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 69, RH 52% HEAT INDEX 71


------------------------------


NCAAF Consensus Picks


SIDES (ATS)


Time Away Line Picks Pct Home Line Picks Pct Detail Odds


8:00 PM Memphis -10 1121 63.91% Tulsa +10 633 36.09% View View


10:30 PM Utah State -4 1103 66.29% San Diego State +4 561 33.71% View View




TOTALS (OVER/UNDER)


Time Away Total Over Pct Home Total Under Pct Detail Odds


8:00 PM Memphis 76.5 538 47.86% Tulsa 76.5 586 52.14% View View


10:30 PM Utah State 43.5 635 58.58% San Diego State 43.5 449 41.42% View View




--------------------------------




FRIDAY, OCTOBER 23


Game Score Status Pick Amount


Memphis - 8:00 PM ET Tulsa +10 500 TRIPLE PLAY


Tulsa - Under 76.5 500 ******




Utah State - 10:30 PM ET San Diego State +4 500 DOUBLE PLAY


San Diego State - Under 43.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday's Top Action
October 23, 2015




TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS (3-3) at ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE (6-1)


Bryant-Denny Stadium - Tuscaloosa, AL
Kickoff: Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET
Sportsbook.ag Line: Alabama -15, Total: 53


No. 8 Alabama seeks a fifth straight victory on Saturday afternoon when it hosts a scrappy Tennessee team.


The Volunteers are just 3-3 SU (3-2-1 ATS) this season, but all three of their defeats have come by a touchdown or less, losing by seven points to Oklahoma, one point at Florida and by four points versus Arkansas. They are also riding high after their best win of the season, a 38-31 victory versus 2-point favorite Georgia.


Meanwhile, the Crimson Tide have crushed four straight opponents by an average of 23.3 PPG, including a 41-23 victory at previously unbeaten Texas A&M last week. They are now 6-1 SU (3-4 ATS), but are also a winless 0-4 ATS in Tuscaloosa.


These two SEC schools have met every season since 1944 and Alabama has ripped off eight straight wins in this series by an average margin of 23.5 PPG, with seven of those victories coming by at least two touchdowns.


But Tennessee did get the ATS win in last season's 34-20 result at home, and could do it again considering home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points with an excellent rushing defense (2.75 or less YPC allowed) are 24-53 ATS since 1992 after allowing 40 or less rushing yards.


The Vols are also 16-3 ATS on the road in this same timeframe after two straight games of forcing one turnover or less. But the Tide are 36-21 ATS after a win streak of 3+ games under Nick Saban, who is 65-40 ATS after a win by 17+ points in his collegiate coaching career.


While both teams are encouraged about running backs being upgraded to probable (Jalen Hurd flu, Kenyan Drake leg injury) Tennessee has a lot more injury concerns remaining, as the team lost DT Shy Tuttle (fibula) for the season last week and OL Jason Robertson (undisclosed), DE Kyle Phillips (shoulder), LB Quart'e Sapp (foot) and DB Darrell Miller (undisclosed) are all questionable for Saturday. For Alabama, backup QB Blake Barnett (undisclosed) is doubtful and OL Ryan Kelly (concussion) is questionable for this matchup.


Tennessee's offense has put up an impressive 37.2 PPG on 435 total YPG, and those numbers have jumped to 43.0 PPG and 512 total YPG in two road games. Balance has been a key, as the Vols have rushed for 222 YPG on 4.6 YPC and passed for 213 YPG on 7.0 YPA.


Junior dual-threat QB Joshua Dobbs has provided big numbers in both these areas with 368 rushing yards (5.0 YPC) and 5 TD with 1,101 passing yards (6.5 YPA), 8 TD and only 2 INT. He also has a team-long, 58-yard touchdown reception this year. Dobbs is coming off a monster performance against Georgia where he passed for a season-high 312 yards and 3 TD and ran for 118 yards (6.6 YPC) and two touchdowns. Dobbs also kept his team in the game versus Alabama last year with 192 yards and 2 TD through the air and another 75 yards (3.9 YPC) on the ground.


Dobbs does a nice job of pass distribution, as seven different players have 100+ receiving yards this year with the only player above 200 being sophomore TE Ethan Wolf (213 rec yds, 2 TD). But for the Vols to keep the score close, they will have to sustain drives with workhorse RB Jalen Hurd, who has 126 carries for 572 yards (4.5 YPC) and 7 TD this year. But it's not easy to run through the Tide front seven, and Hurd was held to 59 yards on 16 carries (3.7 YPC) against them last year.


The Tennessee defense has not been great in any facet this season, allowing 25.7 PPG on 419 total YPG, broken down between 170 rushing YPG (4.6 YPC) and 248 passing YPG (7.0 YPA). The Vols also need to create more mistakes with only two forced turnovers in the past three games combined.


Alabama committed five turnovers in its only loss of the season to Ole Miss, but has just eight giveaways in its other six games combined. This ball protection has helped the team control the football for an average of 33:02 per game and led to 35.6 PPG and 430 total YPG this year. The Crimson Tide have rushed for a solid 199 YPG on 4.8 YPC, and have thrown for 231 YPG on 6.9 YPA.


Senior QB Jake Coker has increased his completion percentage in each of his team's four straight wins, going from 47% in the loss to Ole Miss to 55%, 69%, 73% and 76% last week when he completed 19-of-25 passes at Texas A&M for 138 yards. But the best player on the field in College Station last Saturday was junior RB Derrick Henry who rushed for 236 yards on 32 carries (7.4 YPC) and 2 TD. Henry also had a solid game in Knoxville last year with 78 yards on 16 attempts (4.9 YPC) and a touchdown. The Crimson Tide defense has been outstanding all season with 16.7 PPG allowed on 272 total YPG (4.1 yards per play).


The run defense has been stellar with 79 YPG allowed on a mere 2.4 YPC. Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for 201 YPG, but have done so on 5.3 YPA and a 51% completion rate. Alabama has also forced 16 turnovers this season including four takeaways in three of the past six contests. But Tennessee isn’t turnover-prone at all, totaling five giveaways in six games this season.


TEXAS A&M AGGIES (5-1) at OLE MISS REBELS (5-2)


Vaught-Hemingway Stadium - Oxford, MS
Kickoff: Saturday, 7:00 p.m. ET
Sportsbook.ag Line: Ole Miss -5, Total: 64.5


A key SEC matchup will take place Saturday night in Oxford, MS when No. 15 Texas A&M visits No. 24 Ole Miss in the only game of the week pitting top-25 schools against each other.


The Aggies (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS) are looking to bounce back from their first loss of the season last week when QB Kyle Allen tossed three pick-sixes in a 41-23 loss to Alabama. The Rebels (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS) are also trying to get back on the winning track after allowing 491 yards in a 37-24 loss at Memphis.


These schools are meeting for the fourth straight year since Texas A&M joined the Southeastern Conference, and the road team has prevailed in the previous three contests. Last year it was Ole Miss jumping out to a 21-0 halftime lead in College Station and holding on for a 35-20 victory.


Most betting trends expect the Rebels to win again this season, as they are 8-0 ATS in October home games under head coach Hugh Freeze and their Saturday opponent is 3-16 ATS on the road where the total is 63+ points since 1992.


Bettors hoping the road team streak continues in this series have to expect the Aggies to score at least 28 points, because when that happens, they are 101-50 ATS since 1992, and their opponent is 26-70 ATS when allowing 28+ points in this same timeframe.


Injuries are a much bigger concern for Ole Miss in this matchup than Texas A&M, which lost LB Otaro Alaka (shoulder) for the season last week and has only RB James White (ankle) on the questionable list. The Rebels have seven questionable players in star DL Robert Nkemdiche (concussion), RB Jaylen Walton (ankle), WR Damore'ea Stringfellow (undisclosed), CB Kalio Moore (undisclosed), DE C.J. Johnson (knee), LB Tayler Polk (undisclosed) and P Will Gleeson (undisclosed), and C Robert Conyers suffered a season-ending knee injury last week.


Texas A&M has a potent offense that is averaging 36.5 PPG on 453 total YPG (6.2 yards per play) this season. But even though a respectable 162 YPG (4.3 YPC) have come on the ground, the team has averaged only 97 rushing YPG (3.2 YPC) in three SEC contests including a dreadful 32 yards on 25 carries last week versus Alabama.


Senior RB Tra Carson has been painfully inconsistent all season with rushing yard totals of 96, 59, 137, 28, 110, and 46 last week. He was also atrocious versus the Rebels last season with 11 carries for 29 yards (2.6 YPC). If Carson cannot find room to run, more pressure will be put on the arm of sophomore QB Kyle Allen who had all three of his interceptions returned for touchdowns last week. Despite that performance, Allen still has 1,537 passing yards (8.6 YPA) on 61% completions with 14 TD and 5 INT for the season.


He will continue to lean heavily on WRs Christian Kirk (609 rec yds, 4 TD) and Josh Reynolds (439 rec yds, 3 TD), who had a big game versus Ole Miss last year with six catches for 74 yards and a touchdown.


On defense, the Aggies have been decent in limiting their 2015 opponents to 24.3 PPG on 378 total YPG, especially considering the unit has been on the field for an average of 32:44. This has led to 195 rushing YPG allowed on 4.8 YPC, and 183 passing YPG allowed on 6.1 YPA and 62% completions. Texas A&M has forced at least one turnover in all six contests, including five takeaways over three SEC games. Considering the Rebels have 11 giveaways in their past four games, turnovers could make the difference on Saturday.


Ole Miss began the season with 192 points (64.0 PPG) and 567 total YPG in the first three games, but have dropped to 113 points (28.3 PPG) on 486 total YPG in the past four contests. The Rebels gained 480 yards last week at Memphis, but scored only 24 points.


Junior QB Chad Kelly threw for 372 of those yards and 2 TD, but he also tossed two picks. For the season, Kelly has 2,234 passing yards (319 YPC, 9.5 YPA), 16 TD and 7 INT, but six of those interceptions have come in the past four games.


The team doesn't rely on just one pair of hands, as three receivers have surpassed 400 yards this season in junior WR Laquon Treadwell (654 rec yds, 13.3 avg, 4 TD), senior WR Cody Core (426 rec yds, 18.5 avg, 3 TD) and junior WR Quincy Adeboyejo (403 rec yds, 20.2 avg, 6 TD). The trio combined for eight catches, 135 yards and 1 TD in last year's win in College Station. This season, Treadwell has at least 135 receiving yards in three of the past four games, including a season-high 144 last week.


The Rebels defense has not lived up to big expectations (22.1 PPG allowed, 359 total YPG allowed), especially in SEC play where they have surrendered 30.3 PPG and 393 total YPG over three games. Ole Miss has been much more effective in stopping the run (130 YPG, 3.2 YPC) than it has in defending the pass (229 YPG, 5.9 YPA, 63% completions) this season. The Rebels also need to create more miscues. Since forcing five Alabama turnovers on Sept. 19, the Rebels have only three takeaways in the past four games combined.


OHIO STATE BUCKEYES (7-0) at RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS (3-3)


High Point Solutions Stadium - Piscataway, NJ
Kickoff: Saturday, 8:00 p.m. ET
Sportsbook.ag Line:Ohio State -21, Total: 63.5


No. 1 Ohio State is picking up steam and hopes to produce another big win at Rutgers on Saturday night.


The 7-0 Buckeyes are just 2-5 ATS this season, but have won their past two games by a combined 49 points, topping Big Ten foes Maryland 49-28 and Penn State 38-10 last week. But both of those wins came in Columbus, and their most recent road game at Indiana on Oct. 3 was a tight 34-27 win versus a 21-point underdog.


The 3-3 Scarlet Knights (3-2-1 ATS) erased a 25-point deficit at Indiana last week and prevailed 55-52, but have played much better at home with a 2-1-1 ATS record including a narrow 31-24 loss versus No. 7 Michigan State two weeks ago.


In the first Big Ten meeting between these schools last year, Ohio State jumped out to a 35-7 halftime lead and coasted to a 56-17 home win to easily cover the 20.5-point spread. There are plenty of reasons for bettors to expect a similar outcome, as the Buckeyes are 48-21 ATS (70%) versus good rushing teams (4.75+ YPC) since 1992, and road teams after allowing 14 points or less facing an opponent that gave up 31+ points in two straight games are 67-29 ATS (70%) over the past five seasons.


Bettors siding with the Scarlet Knights to cover can point to OSU's winless 0-6 ATS record after a game goes Under the total in the past two seasons or the team's 1-8 ATS mark under head coach Urban Meyer when the total is set at 63+ points.


The injury list is quite long for both teams, as the Buckeyes have two players out -- WR Parris Campbell (knee) and DL Tommy Schutt (wrist) -- and two others questionable in WR Johnnie Dixon (knee) and S Erick Smith (knee).


But Rutgers has six players downgraded to doubtful in RB Charles Snorweah (upper body), RB Desmon Peoples (upper body), WR Dontae Owens (lower body), WR John Tsimis (lower body) and LB Austin Rosa. Also, seven others are questionable for Saturday in star WR Leonte Carroo (ankle), WR Janarion Grant (undisclosed) and five defensive backs -- Blessuan Austin (undisclosed), Davon Jacobs (undisclosed), Kiy Hester (lower body), Jarius Adams (upper body) and Anthony Cioffi (upper body).


Ohio State's offense has averaged a hefty 37.0 PPG and 456 total YPG this year, but the team is not happy with the play of junior QB Cardale Jones, who has thrown 7 TD and 5 INT this season to go along with 1,242 yards (8.3 YPA) on 62% completions. Last week he completed 9-of-15 throws for 84 yards (5.6 YPA), 0 TD and 0 INT before being replaced by sophomore QB J.T. Barrett, who will get the start on Saturday night. Barrett not only completed all four passes for 30 yards and two touchdowns against Penn State, but he also ran for 102 yards on just 11 carries (9.3 YPC) and two more scores, giving him five rushing TD in the past two weeks.


Barrett has not been a great passer this season in averaging only 5.7 YPA on his 44 throws, totaling 249 yards with 4 TD and 2 INT. But Barrett was unstoppable against Rutgers last year with 367 total yards (261 passing, 107 rushing) and five touchdowns (3 passing, 2 rushing).


Heisman hopeful RB Ezekiel Elliott (988 rush yds, 6.7 YPC, 11 TD) is riding a streak of 12 straight 100-yard games, but he gained only 69 yards on 12 carries (5.8 YPC) against the Scarlet Knights last season.


The Buckeyes' defense has been rather stingy this season in limiting teams to 16.3 PPG and 302 total YPG. The passing defense has been outstanding in allowing only 144 YPG on 5.3 YPC and 47% completions, and the run-stop unit is solid with 159 YPG allowed on 3.7 YPC. Ohio State has also forced 12 turnovers in seven games, but only four of those have come over the past four weeks. That's good news for a Scarlet Knights team that has only one miscue in the past two games combined.


Last week's offensive explosion (55 points, 596 total yards) inflated Rutgers' season numbers to 34.3 PPG on 449 total YPG (6.3 yards per play). This is a well-balanced offense with 199 YPG (4.9 YPC) on the ground and 250 YPG (8.3 YPA) on 69% completions through the air. The Knights average 23.8 first downs per game, which is why the average time of possession is 32:37.


Sophomore QB Chris Laviano continues to improve throughout the season with 200+ passing yards in five straight contests and 2+ TD passes in each of the past three games. This includes 386 passing yards and 3 TD in the amazing comeback win in Bloomington last Saturday when his team trailed 52-27 with 18 minutes left in regulation. A huge chunk of those passing yards (157) and all three touchdowns went to star WR Leonte Carroo, who now has 472 receiving yards and 9 TD in only four games this season. Carroo also had a big day in Columbus last year with 100 yards on five receptions, which is why the team desperately needs him to play through his bad ankle this week.


Rutgers also needs to run the football to stay in this game, which means a heavy dose of sophomore RBs Robert Martin (437 rush yds, 6.3 YPC, 4 TD) and Josh Hicks (420 rush yds, 5.4 YPC, 4 TD). The 205-pound Martin rushed for 124 yards and 3 TD last week, while the 215-pound Hicks has rushed for 322 yards in the three games he has been given double-digit carries.


The Rutgers defense allows 29.2 PPG and 447 total YPG, and has been gashed by quality opponents all season, surrendering 37.0 PPG and 529 total YPG in Big Ten play. The major deficiency is the secondary that is allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 66% of their passes for 319 YPG (8.5 YPA). The run-stop unit allows a respectable 128 YPG on 4.2 YPC, but has allowed 295 rushing yards (4.1 YPC) in the past two weeks. Before the Knights forced three Indiana turnovers last Saturday, they had produced only four takeaways in their first five games of the season combined.

UTAH UTES (6-0) at USC TROJANS (3-3)
LA Coliseum - Los Angeles, CA
Kickoff: Saturday, 7:00 p.m. ET
Sportsbook.ag Line: USC -3, Total 59.5

No. 3 Utah tries to remain unbeaten when it travels to slumping USC on Saturday night.

The Utes improved to 6-0 SU (4-2 ATS) with a 34-18 victory over Arizona State last week where they held their opponent to 15 rushing yards on 28 carries. That same night, the Trojans fell 41-31 at Notre Dame, giving them three losses (SU and ATS) in their past four games and dropped the school to 3-3 (SU and ATS) for the season. That was the first game for interim head coach Clay Helton who was promoted from offensive coordinator to replace Steve Sarkisian.

These schools are meeting for the fifth time as Pac-12 foes with USC going 3-1 SU (2-2 ATS) in the previous four. But that one Utah win came last season when it scored a touchdown with eight seconds left to pull out a 24-21 victory.

Plenty of betting trends point towards another win for the Utes on Saturday, including their 6-0 ATS record versus good offenses (5.9+ yards per play) in the past two seasons and 6-0 ATS mark on the road coming off an SU win in this same span. But the Trojans don't usually lose twice in a row, going 9-1 ATS after an SU loss in the past three seasons with that one defeat coming last week.

Both schools are riddled with injuries for this contest, as Utah lost three players to season-ending injuries last week -- DB Jordan Fogal (knee) and TEs Evan Moeai (leg) and Siale Fakailoatonga (knee) -- while WR Tim Patrick (undisclosed) and LB Jared Norris (knee) are both questionable for Saturday.

Southern Cal lost WR Issac Whitney (collarbone) indefinitely last game and has five other injuries with OL Chad Wheeler (concussion) and DT Claude Pelon (knee) both doubtful and WRs Steven Mitchell (ankle), Jalen Greene (undisclosed) and Darreus Rogers (hamstring) all questionable for Saturday.

Utah's offense has been solid this season with 36.5 PPG on 396 total YPG, but those numbers spike to 53.5 PPG and 455 total YPG in two road games. The Utes do a great job of controlling the clock with a 33:59 average time of possession and are incredibly balanced with 204 passing YPG (7.0 YPA) and 192 rushing YPG (4.6 YPC).

Senior QB Travis Wilson doesn't have eye-popping numbers with 980 passing yards (7.2 YPA), 7 TD and 3 INT, and wasn't great versus USC last year either (194 pass yds, 27 rush yds). But he still threw the game-winning touchdown in the final seconds versus the Trojans, and this season has a 68% completion rate, 203 rushing yards (4.5 YPC) and 3 TD.
The leader in this category is senior RB Devontae Booker who has 783 yards (4.9 YPC) and eight touchdowns on the ground plus 23 catches for 208 yards through the air. Last week versus Arizona State Booker topped 115 yards with 2 TD for the third time in four games. He also ran for 102 yards (3.9 YPC) and a touchdown in the win over USC in the 2014 victory.

The Utah defense has held opponents to 19.5 PPG and 370 total YPG this season, and has been especially tough in stopping the run (113 YPG, 3.7 YPC). But opponents have thrown for 256 YPG (6.6 YPA) on the Utes, and the Trojans racked up 440 passing yards last week. But turnovers are always a key, and Utah has done a phenomenal job in creating mistakes with at least two takeaways in all six games, totaling 19 forced turnovers for the season.

USC did not turn the football over in any of its first three games of 2015, but has seven giveaways in the past three weeks. Despite the miscues, the school still averages 38.3 PPG on 511 total YPG (7.5 yards per play) of offense this season. Throwing the football is the Trojans' preferred method of moving the pigskin, but they are also a strong running team with 174 YPG on 5.3 YPC.

Senior QB Cody Kessler started the season with 15 TD and 1 INT in four games, but has thrown just 2 TD with 4 INT over the past two weeks. Despite the slump, he's still completing 69% of his passes for 9.2 YPA this season. Kessler also played well at Utah last year with 24-of-32 completions for 264 yards (8.3 YPA), 2 TD and 1 INT. One of those touchdowns went to WR JuJu Smith-Schuster, who caught six passes for 77 yards. The sophomore receiver continues to have a stellar season with 39 receptions for 758 yards and 7 TD, and has topped 80 receiving yards in all six games this season, including 139 at Notre Dame last week.

When the Trojans hand the ball off, they have three capable ball carriers in RBs Ronald Jones II (380 rush yds, 8.6 YPC, 3 TD), Tre Madden (356 rush yds, 5.7 YPC, 4 TD) and Justin Davis (227 rush yds, 6.5 YPC, 2 TD).

Defensively, the Trojans have allowed only 21.3 PPG despite being on the field for an average of 33:51 and surrendering 403 total YPG. Both the run-stop unit (167 YPG on 4.2 YPC) and passing defense (235 YPG, 6.8 YPC) have been respectable in 2015, but Southern Cal has forced zero or one turnover in four of six games this year.

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday's SEC Tip Sheet
October 23, 2015




**Tennessee at Alabama**


-- As of early Friday, most books had Alabama (6-1 straight up, 3-4 against the spread) listed as 15 or 15.5-point favorite with a total of 53.5 points. The Volunteers were +500 on the money line (risk $100 to win $500).


-- Since dropping a 43-37 decision to Ole Miss on Sept. 19, Alabama has won four in a row, including SEC wins at Georgia (38-10), vs. Arkansas (27-14) and at Texas A&M (41-23). Nick Saban’s team easily took the cash as a five-point road ‘chalk’ last Saturday in College Station. Derrick Henry rushed 32 times for 236 yards and two touchdowns, while true freshman Minkah Fitzpatrick had a pair of pick-sixes that included 88 return yards. Eddie Jackson also had two interceptions, returning one 93 yards for a TD.


-- Alabama QB Jake Coker completed 19-of-25 passes for 138 yards against the Aggies. For the season, Coker has connected on 61.9 percent of his throws for 1,376 yards with an 11/6 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Henry has run for 901 yards and 12 TDs while averaging 5.9 yards per carry. WR Calvin Ridley has 38 receptions for 437 yards and three TDs.


-- Alabama has won eight in a row over Tennessee, compiling a 6-2 spread record. The ‘over’ has cashed in each of the last three meetings.


-- Tennessee (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS) has had two weeks to prepare for Alabama after rallying from a 24-3 deficit to beat Georgia by a 38-31 count as a two-point home underdog two weeks ago. Josh Dobbs threw three TD passes and ran for a pair of scores in the comeback victory. The true junior signal caller produced 312 passing yards and a team-high 118 yards on the ground. Alvin Kamara had a pair of TD catches.


-- Dobbs has completed 58.0 percent of his passes for 1,101 yards with an 8/2 touchdown-to-interception ratio. He is a dynamic scrambler who has 368 rushing yards and five TDs to his credit.


-- Jalen Hurd has run for a team-best 569 yards and seven TDs while averaging 4.5 yards per carry. The true sophomore RB also has nine receptions for 85 yards and one TD. Kamara, Hurd’s back-up who began his career at Alabama before transferring to a junior college, has 255 rushing yards and three TDs and a 5.7 YPC average. Kamara has 15 catches for 108 yards and two TDs.


-- Evan Berry, the younger brother of Vols legend Eric Berry, is one of the nation’s best kickoff returners. He averages 39.3 yards per kick return and took the opening kick back for a TD against Arkansas earlier this month.


-- The ‘under’ is 4-3 overall for Alabama, 3-2 in its home games. The Tide has seen its games average a combined score of 52.3 points per game.


-- The ‘over’ is 4-2 overall for UT, 1-0 in its lone prior road assignment.


-- Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. Eastern on CBS.


**Western Kentucky at LSU**


-- As of early Friday afternoon, most spots had LSU (6-0 SU, 3-3 ATS) listed as a 16.5-point favorite with a total of 66.5. The Hilltoppers were +550 on the money line.


-- LSU had to break every trick out of ‘The Hat’ to dispose of Florida by a 35-28 count as a six-point favorite at Tiger Stadium this past Saturday night. Bettors who took Les Miles’s team in the hours leading up to the game cashed a winner. However, we should note that UF was a 7.5-point underdog (at least) for most of the week.


-- LSU led 28-14 at intermission, but Florida scored 14 unanswered points in the third quarter. With 10:40 remaining in the final stanza, LSU set up to kick a 33-yard field goal when Miles called for a fake. The holder caught the snap and threw to Trent Domingue, who twice bobbled the ball before securing it and rushing 16 yards to paydirt. Jim McElwain’s squad scored with 1:35 left in the second quarter to slice LSU’s lead to 21-14, but the Tigers answered with a 50-yard TD pass from Brandon Harris to Malachi Dupre with 15 seconds remaining to go back up by double digits at halftime. Another trick play from Miles was pivotal. A flea-flicker resulted in a 52-yard connection from Harris to Dupre to set up another TD in the first half.


-- As usual, Leonard Fournette was the catalyst against the Gators, rushing for 180 yards and two TDs on 31 carries. Harris connected on 13-of-19 throws for 202 yards and two TDs without an interception. Dupre had four receptions for 115 yards and two TDs.


-- Harris has completed 59.3 percent of his passes for 812 yards and six TDs without an interception. The true sophomore only threw for more than 80 yards once in the first four games, but he has more than 200 in back-to-back contests. Harris has thrown four of his six TD passes in the last two weeks.


-- Fournette is the Heisman Trophy front runner. The true sophomore RB leads in the nation with 1,202 rushing yards and 14 TDs. Fournette averages 8.0 yards per carry.


-- Western Kentucky (6-1 SU, 4-3 ATS) has already face an SEC squad, winning 14-12 at Vanderbilt in the season opener. The Hilltoppers’ only loss of the year came by a 38-35 score at Indiana. Since then, they have won four in a row while cashing tickets at a 3-1 ATS clip.


-- Western Kentucky has one of the nation’s top QBs in senior Brandon Doughty, the 2014 Conference USA Most Valuable Player. He is second in the country with 2,709 passing yards. Doughty has completed 74.1 percent of his passes with a 24/4 TD-INT ratio. His favorite target is Taywan Taylor, who has 45 catches for 825 yards and 10 TDs.


-- WKU is 2-4 ATS in six games as a road underdog on Jeff Brohm’s watch.


-- The ‘over’ has hit in five straight games for LSU.


-- The ‘over’ is 5-2 overall for Western Kentucky, cashing in five of its last six games.


-- ESPNU will have the broadcast at 7:00 p.m. Eastern.


**Texas A&M at Ole Miss**


-- As of Friday afternoon, most books had Ole Miss (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS) listed as a five or 5.5-point favorite with a total of 64. The Aggies were +180 on the money line.


-- Hugh Freeze’s team has won all four of its home games by double-digit margins, compiling a 3-1 spread record. Meanwhile, Kevin Sumlin’s team is leaving the state of Texas for the first time all season. The Aggies have played a pair of neutral-site games, beating Arizona State in Houston and Arkansas in Arlington, but they are playing their first true road game of the year in Oxford.


-- Texas A&M (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS) is off its first loss of the season, a 41-23 setback to Alabama as a five-point home underdog. Kyle Allen was intercepted three times with each pick returned for a TD. Allen threw for 263 yards and one TD.


-- Allen might be on a short leash this week. For the season, the true sophomore signal caller has competed 60.9 percent of his passes for 1,537 yards with a 14/5 TD-INT ratio. Allen has one of the nation’s top group of WRs led by true freshman Christian Kirk, who has 39 receptions for 609 yards and four TDs.


-- Ole Miss will be much healthier this week. For starters, Laremy Tunsil will make his season debut. Tunsil, a junior OT who most draft pundits have pegged to be drafted in the top five of next spring’s draft, has been dealing with an NCAA issue related to potential contact with an agent. Also, star DE Robert Nkemdiche, who left the Memphis game with a concussion in the first half, was cleared to play Thursday and will start. In addition, starting senior LB C.J. Johnson is set to return after missing back-to-back games. Junior DB Tony Conner, a second-team All-SEC selection last season, remains ‘out.’


-- Texas A&M has been a road underdog seven times during Sumlin’s four-year tenure, going 3-4 ATS.


-- As a home favorite on Freeze’s watch, Ole Miss owns an 11-6-1 spread record.


-- When these teams met in College Station last season, Ole Miss was in a classic letdown spot after beating Alabama at home the previous week. Nevertheless, the Rebels smashed the Aggies 35-20 in a game that was nowhere near as close as the final score indicated. They won outright as three-point underdogs.


-- The ‘under’ is 4-3 overall for the Rebels, 2-2 in their home outings. They have seen their games average a combined score of 65.7 PPG.


-- Totals have been an overall wash for Texas A&M (3-3).


-- Kickoff is slated for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.


**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**


-- Sportsbook.ag updated its odds to win the SEC on Monday. Alabama is the +160 ‘chalk,’ while LSU and Florida are at 3/1 and +350, respectively. The next-shortest odds are as follows: Ole Miss and Georgia (+425), Texas A&M (18/1), Tennessee (30/1) and Auburn and Kentucky (100/1).


-- Alabama and LSU have the third-and-fourth shortest odds to win the national title at 7/1 and 8/1, respectively. Ohio State is the 2/1 ‘chalk,’ while Baylor had 4/1 odds.


-- The Westgate SuperBook updated its lines for Games of the Year this week. Florida is a two-point underdog for its annual clash against Georgia in Jacksonville. The Gators are 1.5-point home favorites vs. FSU in their regular-season finale at The Swamp.


-- Alabama is a 7.5-point home ‘chalk’ vs. LSU in two weeks.


-- The current spread for the Iron Bowl at The Westgate is Alabama -10.5 at Auburn.


-- Mississippi State will take on Kentucky in Starkville one week after thumping La. Tech and former UF quarterback Jeff Driskel by a 44-20 count. The Bulldogs were favored by 11 or 11.5 as of Friday morning. They will be playing without senior CB Will Redmond, who reportedly (the school has yet to confirm) tore his ACL at practice earlier this week. Remond had 25 tackles and a team-best two interceptions in the first seven games.


-- Missouri is a three-point favorite at Vanderbilt. The total is 35, the lowest of the college football season to date. As a home underdog during Derek Mason’s tenure, the Commodores own a 3-2-1 spread record. Since 2007, the Tigers have posted a 13-4 spread record in 17 games as road favorites. The ‘under’ is 7-0 for Missouri, 5-0-1 for Vandy.


-- There have been six double-digit underdogs in SEC play this season. Those ‘dogs have covered the number at a 4-2 ATS clip. UT takes that role to Tuscaloosa this weekend.

 

[CNOTES]

Utah embraces "underdog" role at USC
October 23, 2015


LOS ANGELES (AP) Utah is the unbeaten No. 3 team in the nation, riding an eight-game winning streak and a world of confidence. The Utes are on the road this week against a .500 opponent with an interim head coach and three losses in its last four games.


And Utah is still an underdog to Southern California in the odds-makers' eyes.


Even during a season of utter upheaval for USC, the Trojans' storehouse of top talent still gets everyone's respect, including that of the cautious Utes (6-0, 3-0 Pac-12).


''I don't think that anyone would argue (against the fact) that year in, year out, they're the most talented team in the Pac-12,'' Utah coach Kyle Whittingham said. ''We've got to be at our absolute best this week to have a chance. ... The Coliseum is a great venue. It's one of the most storied stadiums in the country, but I think it boils down to the talent level they have.''


Yet the Utes clearly are doing more to turn their comparatively modest talent into winning football, while the Trojans (3-3, 1-2) are desperate for a confidence-boosting win.


While Utah epitomizes the ideal of a non-marquee program reaching great heights under firm coaching guidance and steady growth, USC is becoming the epitome of a resource-rich program undone by inconsistency and weak leadership - but there's still time to save the season.


Interim coach Clay Helton remained positive after USC gave up 41 points while losing his season debut at Notre Dame last week, and the Trojans have settled down after the tumultuous stretch that led to Steve Sarkisian's firing.


Even if the odds-makers inexplicably favor USC, the Trojans hold the Utes in the respect they deserve.


''Utah has been a tough team for the last couple of years, taking us to the fourth quarter every year,'' USC linebacker Su'a Cravens said. ''It's not surprising they're ranked where they are, but it's our job to knock them off. It's going to be a big win, but our season is still on track to win the Pac-12 South and go to the Pac-12 championship. That's still the goal. We're already motivated to play the No. 3 team, and we don't like losing at home, so that's the other motivation.''


The game could be historic for Utah, which has a large alumni base in the Los Angeles area: The Utes haven't won at the Coliseum since 1916, losing twice since joining the Pac-12 a half-decade ago.


Here are some more things to watch when the Utes try to end that 99-year drought:


STREAKING:


The Trojans have lost their last two games. They haven't lost three straight since the close of their disastrous 2012 season under coach Lane Kiffin, and they haven't lost three straight regular-season contests since 2001, coach Pete Carroll's debut year.


HEY COACH:


Whittingham is high on many USC fans' wish lists to become the Trojans' next coach after building on Urban Meyer's success and turning Utah into a perennial winner. Whittingham was born in California, and he played for the Los Angeles Rams during the NFL strike season in 1987, but the coach has been a fixture on the Utah staff since 1994. Whittingham has refused to comment on the speculation linking him with the Trojans.


BOOKER TRAIN:


Helton compared Utah running back Devontae Booker to NFL great Roger Craig. ''The leg drive on contact is incredible,'' Helton said. ''He is just a very, very hard man to bring down.'' Defensive coordinator Justin Wilcox agrees: ''Their running back runs angry,'' he said. ''I'm impressed with him. He's got great balance.''


COUSIN SU'A:


Cravens has a surprising connection to Whittingham: Cravens' uncle, Ryan, is married to Whittingham's sister. Cravens would love to have bragging rights at the next family reunion. ''My cousin is the head coach, so that should be fun,'' Cravens said. ''He's been there forever. His recruits trust him to not take another job, and he's just done a great job recruiting and running what he wants to run. He's doing a great job over there in Salt Lake.''


FILLING GAPS:


USC two-way threat Adoree Jackson is likely to play extensively on offense due to the Trojans' injury woes. Receivers Darreus Rogers and Steven Mitchell Jr. seem unlikely to play. Left tackle Chad Wheeler is also out with a concussion, dealing the second major injury blow to USC's offensive line.

 

[CNOTES]

Things to watch: Barrett starts; ACC powers on upset alert
October 23, 2015


It is weeks such as these that often produce the craziest results in college football.


Only one game matches ranked teams - No. 15 Texas A&M at No. 25 Mississippi - so pretty much all the contenders are on upset alert. For some, such as ACC powers Clemson and Florida State, the threat-level is much higher than others.


What to watch for in Week 8 of the college football season.


SHOWDOWN STUMBLING BLOCK


The countdown is on to what could be the Atlantic Coast Conference game of the year on Nov. 7: No. 9 Florida State at No. 6 Clemson, with both teams undefeated.


But first they both face road tests on Saturday.


No. 6 Clemson (6-0) travels to Miami to face the Hurricanes 4-2, the first of two straight road games for the Tigers. Florida State (6-0) faces disappointing Georgia Tech (2-5) at night in Atlanta.


BARRETT'S TURN


No. 1 Ohio State is giving J.T. Barrett back the starting quarterback job when it faces Rutgers Saturday, replacing Cardale Jones who started the first seven games for the Buckeyes (7-0).


Barrett was the Big Ten play of the year last season after setting a conference record by accounting for 45 touchdowns. He broke his ankle against Michigan and Jones took over and led the Buckeyes to the national title. Coach Urban Meyer decided to stick with Jones as his starter this season, but the junior has been spotty and the Buckeyes offense inconsistent.


Less-than-daunting opposition and a roster loaded with talent kept the Buckeyes unbeaten. Barrett has run for five touchdowns and thrown two TD passes the last two games in relief of Jones and could be set up for a big day against the Scarlet Knights, who have the second-worst defense in the Big Ten (6.58 yards per play).


RESTED RIVAL


Tennessee is the second straight opponent No. 8 Alabama will face that is coming off an open week. Texas A&M also took a week off before facing the Tide. Though it didn't do much good. Alabama won 41-23 at Kyle Field.


Alabama-Tennessee has been a rivalry in name only recently. The Crimson Tide has won eight straight as the Volunteers have gone through a rough stretch of national irrelevance.


Tennessee beat Georgia two weeks ago to snap a difficult stretch of losses in close games, but beating Alabama would be by far the biggest victory of coach Butch Jones' three-year tenure in Knoxville.


ZERO TO 60


No. 2 Baylor hosts Iowa State looking for its sixth straight 60-point game. The current streak of five in a row of Art Briles' team is tied with 2008 Oklahoma for the major college record.


The Bears are averaging 57.8 points in nine games played at their year-old home, McLane Stadium.


D-III POWERHOUSE


Mount Union is looking to extend its regular-season winning streak to 100 games when it visits Wilmington on Saturday.


The Purple Raiders last regular season loss was to Ohio Northern in October 2005. Before that loss, Mount Union had won 110 straight in the regular season from 1994-2005. The Purple Raiders are 209-1 in the regular season since 1994.


Wilmington is 1-5 this season and has lost 17 straight meetings against Mount Union.


Mount Union has won 11 Division III national title since 1993 and appeared in the last 10 championship games, though it has lost six of them to Wisconsin-Whitewater.

 

[CNOTES]

RECORD GOING INTO SATURDAY GAMES : ( 10/24/15)




CFB: 1 - 3 FRIDAY NIGHT




*****............................... 0 - 1
double play.........................1 - 1
triple play...........................0 - 1
blow out.............................0 - 0
gom....................................0 - 0
god.....................................0 - 0
gow....................................0 - 0
goy.....................................0 - 0
upset..................................0 - 0




COLLEGE FOOTBALL RECORD:




single play:.......................................29 - 28 - 1
double play:......................................45 - 60
triple play:........................................34 - 28
blow out:..........................................16 - 16
gow:.............................................. . ..2 - 1
gom:.............................................. . .0 - 1
goy............................................... .. ..0 - 1
upsets............................................ ....0 - 3
game of the day..................................1 - 2

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF


Saturday, October 24




Strong chance of thunderstorms in Austin Saturday


According to weather forecasts, there is a 100 percent possibility of thunderstorms and rain in Austin, Texas when the Texas Longhorns host the Kansas State Wildcats Saturday afternoon.


Temperatures in Austin will be in the low-70s and wind will blow across the field at around nine miles per hour.


The Longhorns are presently 6.5-point home favorites after opening -3.5.




Mississippi State loses CB Redmond to torn ACL


Mississippi State cornerback Will Redmond suffered an ACL tear and will miss the remainder of the season, according to reports Thursday.


The Jackson Clarion-Ledger reported that the injury occurred during practice this week. The university has yet to confirm Redmond's status.


Earlier this month, the Bulldogs lost safety Kendrick Market with a torn ACL sustained during a loss to Texas A&M.


Redmond had a team-leading two interceptions and 25 tackles while starting the first seven games. He also ranked second on the team in passes defensed with three.


NFLDraftScout.com projects Redmond as the ninth-best cornerback prospect in the 2016 NFL Draft class.


Redmond's spot is likely to be filled by Tolando Cleveland and Cedric Jiles. Cleveland has started four games this year and accumulated 24 tackles.




Central Michigan is the best ATS wager in the country


One of the biggest surprises of the college football season has to be the Central Michigan Chippewas, who improved their college football-best record against the spread to 7-0 with a 51-14 thumping of the Buffalo Bulls as 7-point home favorites Saturday.


The Chippewas are just 3-4 straight up but a slew of close games have them as the hottest bet in the land.


They've even taken on some of the biggest programs in the country, including Oklahoma State, Syracuse and Michigan State, but cashed in as dogs of 21, 8, and 25.5 points respectively.


The Chippewas will travel to Ball State in Week 8 of the schedule. Ball State has head the SU and ATS edge in recent meetings, going 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in the previous five meetings dating back to 2010.




Baylor enjoying longest home win streak in FBS


The Baylor Bears boast a 19-game home winning streak, the longest such streak in the FBS, and will look to make it 20 with the Iowa State Cyclones visiting Saturday afternoon.


The streak has been a profitable venture at the betting window as well as the Bears have gone 16-2 against the spread over the course of those 19 home games (Week 2 versus Lamar this season was off the board).


Both of Baylor's ATS losses came last season when they won 61-58 versus TCU but failed to cover as 7-point home faves in Week 7 and later on in the season when they defeated Oklahoma State 49-28 but missed out as lofty 33-point home chalk.


Books opened the Bears as 36-point home favorites versus the Cyclones, but that has since moved to -37.




Kansas abysmal SU and ATS away from home


The Kansas Jayhawks have their hands full as it is for their trip to face the Oklahoma State Cowboys Saturday afternoon, but when you factor in how poor the Jayhawks have been on their road recently, things get a whole lot tougher.


The Jayhawks have lost 35-straight road games heading into Saturday's matchup and have gone 10-24-1 against the spread in those games. Their last road win came on Sept. 12, 2009 versus UTEP.


Books opened the Jayhawks as 33.5-point road pups at the Cowboys, but that has moved to +34.5.




Tennessee on 10-game losing skid versus SEC West


The Tennessee Volunteers visit the Alabama Crimson Tide Saturday afternoon, and carry a dubious streak into the game: the Vols have lost 10 consecutive games to opponents from the SEC West.


It has been wise to fade the Vols in these spots in the past as they've posted a record of just 1-9 against the spread in those 10 games.


Furthermore, Alabama has beaten Tennessee in eight-straight meetings and have gone 6-2 ATS in those games.


Books opened the Vols as 14-point road underdogs for Saturday's meetings, but that has since moved to +15.




Toledo backers look for unbeaten run to continue


The Toledo Rockets have been one of the best spread teams so far this season, taking a 5-0-1 ATS mark into Saturday's meeting with the UMass Minutemen at Foxborough. That mark has them as the second best ATS team in college football, trailing only the 7-0 ATS Central Michigan Chippewas.


The lone push was in a 30-23 win versus Iowa State in Week 2 as 7-point favorites. Furthermore, Toledo is one of 14 unbeaten teams (straight up) remaining in the FBS.


Books opened the Rockets as 13.5-point road faves but that has since moved up a full point to -14.5.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up


Week 8


Rest of Saturday's card.........


-- Northern Illinois scored 104 points in winning last two games; they've run ball for 795 yards in last three. Huskies won last seven games against Eastern Michigan (5-2 vs spread).


-- Ball State won last five games vs Central Michigan, scoring 37.8 ppg; Cardinals lost last four games, allowing 517.8 ypg. CMU gained 945 TY in last two games. MAC home underdogs are 3-4.


-- Toledo is 6-0 with win at Arkansas; its last four wins are all by 14+; Rockets gave up 445 PY in 42-35 (-17) over UMass LY. Minutemen are 1-5, allowing 48+ points in three of five losses.


-- Bowling Green won last four games, scoring 49.7 ppg in three MAC wins; Falcons beat Kent State 30-20/41-22 last two years; underdogs are 6-3 vs spread in last nine series games.


-- Home side won last four Ohio-Buffalo games; Bobcats lost 30-3/38-37 in last two visits here. Bulls lost last three games by 6-3-37 points; they gave up average of 34.3 ppg in those losses, 499.5 ypg in last two.


-- Michigan State is on letdown alert after miracle win at Michigan LW; Spartans' last three wins are all by 7 or less points. State won last four vs Indiana, winning last two years 42-28 (-9). 56-17 (-16).


-- 6-0 Clemson won 20-17 at Louisville in only road game; road team is 4-0 in Clemson-Miami games; Tigers won 40-37/24-17 in last two visits here- teams haven't met since '10. Miami won only two I-A home tilts.


-- NC State lost last two games, scoring 13 in each after opening season 4-0 vs stiffs; home side won last five State-Wake games. Wolfpack lost 28-13/34-27 in last two visits here.


-- Be very careful betting Missouri, which has off-field issues. Tigers scored total of nine points in losing last two games. Vanderbilt lost to Mizzou last two years, 51-28/24-14.


-- Western Michigan won first two MAC games by 2-35 points, running ball for 645 yards, scoring 45 ppg. Broncos won last four games against Miami, with two of last three by 22+ points.


-- 4-1 Navy had week off after 41-24 loss at Notre Dame; Middies won two I-A home games by 24-22 points. Tulane was outscored 91-17 in losing last two games; they're 0-2 on road, losing 65-10/49-10.


-- Boise State won last five games with Wyoming by 48-10 average; they lost at Utah State LW- Boise's last three wins are all by 31+. Wyoming got first win LW; they're 0-3 on road, losing by 17-18-14 points.


-- Marshall won its last five games by average of 34-14; they ran ball for 326 yards LW. North Texas lost 55-28 LW in its first game under new (interim) coach- they allowed 277 rushing ypg in last four games.


-- Washington QB Browning is banged-up, a ? here; Huskies lost two of last three games (all three decided by 6 or less points). Stanford won four of last five series games; last three were all decided by 7 or less points.


-- Alabama won last four games, all by 13+ points; Tide won last five vs Tennessee by average score of 40-12. Vols lost three of last five games; they gave up 938 TY in splitting last two games.


-- North Carolina won last five gaes vs Virginia, four by 11+; they won 28-27 LY. Tar Heels won last three I-A games, scoring 42 ppg. Cavs are 1-4 vs I-A opponents after beating Syracuse in OT last week.


-- Wisconsin allowed total of 41 points in last six games since 35-17 loss to Alabama in opener; Badgers scored 38 ppg in winning last four games vs Illinois (2-2 vs spread). Illini won last two home games 27-25/14-13


-- UL-Monroe lost last four games by average score of 44-14; they beat idaho 38-31 (-14) at home LY. Vandals are 1-4 vs I-A teams, with first win 19-16 at Troy State last week.


-- 6-0 Houston is scoring 44.4 ppg vs I-A teams, winning at Louisville (34-31), Tulsa (38-24), Tulane (42-7). Cougars lost 19-14/17-12 in last two games vs UCF. Golden Knights are 0-7 (last four losses by 14+).


-- Baylor has scored 56+ points in every game TY; they beat Iowa State 49-28/71-7 last two years. Cyclones lost last two games 66-31/45-21; they're 15-13 as road underdog under Rhoads.


-- Maryland lost last three games by average of 40-11; they upset Penn State 20-19 (+3) in Happy Valley LY, but already fired their coach TY. Nittany Lions are 5-0 at home, winning by average score of 28-12.


--Rice is 2-3 vs I-A teams, with both wins on road; Owls beat Army LY 41-21, despite giving up 250 YR. Cadets are 1-4 vs I-A teams, with its win at Eastern Michigan- four of their five losses are by 6 or less points.


-- Southern Miss scored 32+ points in its three I-A wins, 18 ppg in its three losses. Charlotte lost its last four games by average score of 41-15, but they did run ball for 532 yards in last two games.


-- Louisville (-3) won 38-19 at Boston College LY; Cardinals are 1-4 vs I-A teams, losing at home to Clemson/Houston. BC lost last three games while scoring 8 ppg; they had less than 100 PY in four of last five tilts.


-- Cincinnati allowed 33+ points in four of last five games; they won last four games with UConn, winning last three by 17+. Huskies lost four of last five games, but only one of the losses was by more than 10 points.


-- Road teams won both USF-SMU games; Mustangs won 16-6 in last visit here. South Florida won last two games, running ball for 557 yards. SMU lost its last four games, allowing 50.5 ppg.


-- Texas State lost last three games, allowing 54.8 ppg; home side won both their games with South Alabama (20-24/33-31). Jaguars won their last two road games, at San Diego State and Troy State.


-- FIU (+5) lost 38-35 at Old Dominion LY. Monarchs gave up 273+ RY in three of last four games, edging Charlotte 37-34 LW when 49ers ran for 309 yards. FIU lost three of its last four games.


-- Kentucky is 2-2 in SEC; all four games were decided by 8 or less pts. Mississippi State scored 17.7 ppg in losing two of its three SEC games; they won last six games with Kentucky (3-1-1 vs spread last five).


-- Kansas hung in (30-20) with Texas Tech LW but lost 27-14/38-13 in games at Rutgers/Iowa State, its only road games. Oklahoma State is 6-0 wth all three conference wins by 7 or less points.


-- Ohio State is starting a different QB this week; they won 34-27/34-27 in two road games, at Va Tech/Indiana. Rutgers won 55-52 at Indiana LW, after being down 52-25 in third quarter.


-- UTEP is 1-4 vs I-A opponents, with four losses by 19+ points; they gained total of 547 yards in last two games (9 ppg). FAU is 1-5, 1-1 on road, with only win 17-7 at I-A newbie Charlotte.


-- Troy is 0-5 vs I-A foes, scoring 13.5 ppg in its last four; Trojans beat New Mexico State 41-24 (-7) LY. Aggies are 0-6, but lost 34-32/50-47 in their only two home games.


-- San Jose State is 2-2 in Mountain West; all four of its losses this year are by 14+ points. New Mexico won three of last four games, but gave up 28+ points in all six I-A games, allowing 293 rushing ypg last three.


-- Nevada won last four games with Hawai'i, three by 14+ points; they lost four of last six games, beating Buffalo (24-21), New Mexico (35-17). Hawai'i lost its last four games, allowing average of 34.8 ppg.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF

Saturday, October 24

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the Day: Texas A&M at Ole Miss
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Kyle Allen threw for 13 TDs and two INTs while guiding the Aggies to a 5-0 start but is suddenly unsure of his job security after the disaster against Alabama last week.

Texas A&M Aggies at Ole Miss Rebels (-5, 63.5)

Holes in the run defense and a trio of crushing turnovers ended Texas A&M’s dreams of an undefeated season last week, but SEC West supremacy remains a legitimate goal. The Aggies will try to bounce back quickly when they host another team bidding for an SEC West title in Ole Miss on Saturday.

Texas A&M quarterback Kyle Allen had three interceptions run back for touchdowns in a 41-23 home loss to Alabama last week and Kyler Murray added another pick. “No doubt that we need to play better at the (quarterback) position,” Aggies head coach Kevin Sumlin told reporters. “Those guys will be the first to tell you that.” Those quarterbacks will be going up against a Rebels secondary that has 10 interceptions on the season but was carved up for 384 passing yards in a 37-24 loss at Memphis last week. “Defensively, I have evaluated every one of them,” Ole Miss head coach Hugh Freeze told reporters. “It is very frustrating. Like I’ve told our coaching staff, it really doesn’t matter what you know, it matters what your kids know.”

TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened Ole Miss as 4-point home faves, but that's moved to -5. The total is down to 63.5 from the opening 66.

INJURY REPORT:

Texas A&M - RB James White (Questionable, ankle), LB Otaro Alaka (Out for season, shoulder).

Ole Miss - DB Trae Elston (Probable, head), LB Tayler Polk (Questionable, undisclosed), P Will Gleeson (Questionable, undisclosed), DB Kailo Moore (Questionable, undisclosed), WR Damore'ea Stringfellow (Questionable, undisclosed), RB Jaylen Walton (Questionable, ankle), DT Robert Nkemdiche (Questionable, concussion), OL Robert Conyers (Out for season, knee), OL Laremy Tunsil (Eligible Saturday, suspension), LB C.J. Johnson (Mid November, knee), DB Tony Conner (Out indefinitely, knee), DT Issac Gross (Out for season, neck).

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for a 55 percent chance of thunderstorms and temperatures in the low 70s.

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "The Aggies beat themselves in a home loss to Alabama on Saturday, surrendering three interceptions returned for touchdowns. It won't get any easier this week on the road in Mississippi. The Rebels playoff hopes were crushed with a loss to the Memphis Tigers, and they try to pick up the pieces this week at home against Texas A&M."

ABOUT TEXAS A&M (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS, 3-3 O/U): Allen threw for 13 touchdowns and two interceptions while guiding the Aggies to a 5-0 start but is suddenly unsure of his job security after the disaster against Alabama last week. The sophomore sat in favor of true freshman Murray for a pair of possessions, though Murray did little in the short stint to distinguish himself. Allen took over the position from former Aggies player Kenny Hill due to the latter’s tendency to turn the ball over last season, including a pair of picks by Hill in a 35-20 home loss to Ole Miss.

ABOUT OLE MISS (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS, 3-4 O/U): The Rebels' defense has allowed at least 37 points in three of the last five games and could be without its biggest weapon in defensive lineman Robert Nkemdiche, who suffered a concussion while playing offense last week. Nkemdiche joins a long list of injured Ole Miss defenders that also includes key defensive back Trae Elston. “As far as Robert (Nkemdiche), you just don’t know,” Freeze told reporters of Nkemdiche’s potential availability for Saturday. “I know he loves to play the game. I am not in charge of protocols but I know he loves the game and wants to play. We have to make sure he is safe and ready to play.”

TRENDS:

* Aggies are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a S.U. loss.
* Rebels are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.
* Under is 7-0 in Rebels last seven games in October.
* Over is 13-6 in Aggies last 19 games in October.

CONSENSUS: Fifty-nine percent of users are backing the Aggies.