SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 14
| Game | Time(ET) | Pick | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| LSU at SOCAR | 12:00 PM | SOCAR +6.5 | +500 |
| MEM at FSU | 12:00 PM | MEM +6.5 | +500 |
| OKST at TLSA | 12:00 PM | OKST -18.5 | +500 |
| ALA at WIS | 12:00 PM | WIS +15.5 U 48.5 | +500 +500 |
| UNT at TTU | 12:00 PM | UNT +10.5 | +500 |
| CMU at ILL | 12:00 PM | CMU +21.5 | +500 |
| BC at MIZZ | 12:45 PM | U 52.5 | +500 |
| CCU at TEM | 02:00 PM | CCU -17.5 | +500 |
| IDST at UND | 02:00 PM | UND -10.5 | +500 |
| TULN at OKLA | 03:30 PM | TULN +12.5 | +500 |
| TAM at FLA | 03:30 PM | TAM -3.5 | +500 |
| VMI at GT | 03:30 PM | U 56.5 | +500 |
| WSU at WASH | 03:30 PM | WSU +4.5 | +500 |
| ORE at ORST | 03:30 PM | O 49.5 | +500 |
| WVU at PITT | 03:30 PM | U 61.5 | +500 |
| MORG at OHIO | 03:30 PM | OHIO -24.5 | +500 |
| NEV at MINN | 03:30 PM | MINN -17.5 | +500 |
| ND at PUR | 03:30 PM | O 46.5 | +500 |
| APP at ECU | 04:00 PM | ECU +1.5 | +500 |
| TROY at IOWA | 04:00 PM | IOWA -23.5 | +500 |
| UAB at ARK | 04:15 PM | ARK -22.5 | +500 |
| UTAH at USU | 04:30 PM | O 43.5 | +500 |
| FIU at FAU | 06:00 PM | FAU -4.5 | +500 |
| VT at ODU | 06:00 PM | U 47.5 | +500 |
| MISS at WAKE | 06:30 PM | MISS -21.5 O 64.5 | +500 +500 |
| HAW at SHSU | 07:00 PM | SHSU -3.5 U 47.5 | +500 +500 |
| WKU at MTU | 07:00 PM | U 54.5 | +500 |
| USF at USM | 07:00 PM | USF -11.5 | +500 |
| UTSA at TEX | 07:00 PM | TEX -35.5 | +500 |
| KENN at SJSU | 07:00 PM | O 42.5 | +500 |
| VAN at GSU | 07:00 PM | VAN -9.5 O 44.5 | +500 +500 |
| COLO at CSU | 07:30 PM | CSU +7.5 | +500 |
| UNI at NEB | 07:30 PM | NEB -30.5 | +500 |
| AFA at BAY | 07:30 PM | O 41.5 | +500 |
| UCF at TCU | 07:30 PM | UCF +2.5 | +500 |
| UGA at UK | 07:30 PM | UGA -21.5 O 44.5 | +500 +500 |
| EIU at NW | 07:30 PM | U 36.5 | +500 |
| TOL at MSST | 07:30 PM | TOL +10.5 O 57.5 | +500 +500 |
| IU at UCLA | 07:30 PM | IU -2.5 | +500 |
| KENT at TENN | 07:45 PM | U 62.5 | +500 |
| MD at UVA | 08:00 PM | UVA +1.5 | +500 |
| BYU at WYO | 09:00 PM | BYU -9.5 | +500 |
| NMSU at FRES | 10:30 PM | NMSU +19.5 | +500 |
| SDSU at CAL | 10:30 PM | SDSU +18.5 O 47.5 | +500 +500 |
NCAAFB BEST BETS AUGUST-SEPTEMBER!
09/14/2024.........................18 - 15 - 0.............................54.54%.........................+ 7.50
09/13/2024............................3 - 1 - 0.............................75.00%.........................+ 9.50
09/12/2024............................0 - 4 - 0.............................00.00%.........................- 22.00
09/07/2024..........................21 - 17 - 0............................55.26%.........................+ 11.20
09/06/2024.............................0 - 4 - 0............................00.00%.........................- 22.00
09/02/2024.............................1 - 1 - 0............................50.00%..........................- 0.50
09/01/2024.............................1 - 1 - 0............................50.00%..........................- 0.50
08/30/2024..........,................17 - 13 - 1.........................56.66%............................+ 13.50
08/29/2024.............................13 - 4 - 2.........................76.47%............................+ 43.00
TOTALS.................................74 - 60 - 3..........................55.22%...........................+ 42.70
09/14/2024.........................18 - 15 - 0.............................54.54%.........................+ 7.50
09/13/2024............................3 - 1 - 0.............................75.00%.........................+ 9.50
09/12/2024............................0 - 4 - 0.............................00.00%.........................- 22.00
09/07/2024..........................21 - 17 - 0............................55.26%.........................+ 11.20
09/06/2024.............................0 - 4 - 0............................00.00%.........................- 22.00
09/02/2024.............................1 - 1 - 0............................50.00%..........................- 0.50
09/01/2024.............................1 - 1 - 0............................50.00%..........................- 0.50
08/30/2024..........,................17 - 13 - 1.........................56.66%............................+ 13.50
08/29/2024.............................13 - 4 - 2.........................76.47%............................+ 43.00
TOTALS.................................74 - 60 - 3..........................55.22%...........................+ 42.70
Sunday’s 6-pack:
Some interesting college football spreads for next week:
— Stanford @ Syracuse (-9.5)
— Illinois @ Nebraska (-8.5)
— Kansas @ West Virginia (-2.5)
— Arkansas @ Auburn (-5)
— USC (-6) @ Michigan
— Utah @ Oklahoma State (-1.5)
Tweet of the Day
“We’re not gonna be working heavy in free agency. We’ve got guys on the field right now who need to improve their game. A lot of young players who just need to make adjustments to be more productive.”
White Sox general manager Chris Getz
Sunday’s quiz
In the movie A Star is Born, what actor/comedian played Lady Gaga’s father?
Saturday’s quiz
In the old Batman TV series, Vincent Price played the Egghead.
Friday’s quiz
Wade Phillips replaced Marv Levy as coach of the Buffalo Bills.
*************************************
#1 team in the country has a very narrow escape.
Kentucky led 9-6 after three quarters.
Georgia scored only TD of game with 12:20 left.
— LSU 36, South Carolina 33
Gamecocks led 17-0 early in second quarter.
LSU drove 55 yards, scored game-winning TD with 1:12 left.
Gamecocks ran for 243 yards, but missed a 49-yard FG at the gun.
South Carolina turned ball over three times, had 123 penalty yards.
— Memphis 20, Florida State 12
Seminoles were 13-1 last year, are 0-3 so far this year:
L21-24 vs Georgia Tech (-10)
L13-28 Boston College (-16.5)
L12-20 Memphis (-7)
Mike Norvell is a good coach, but he is squarely on the hot seat now; this is his contract situation going forward:
2024- $10M
2025- $10,150,000
2026- $10,300,000
2027- $10,450,000
2028- $10,600,000
2029- $10,750,000
2030- $10,900,000
2031- $11,050,000
— Meanwhile, in Gainesville……..
Texas A&M 33, Florida 20
Aggies led this game 20-0 at halftime.
A&M averaged 10.5 yards/pass attempt.
Gators lost their first two I-A games, 41-17/33-20; they’ve now lost their last seven I-A games, with only win in that span 45-7 over I-AA Samford.
Safe to say, the natives are restless in northern Florida.
— Pittsburgh 38, West Virginia 34
WVU led 34-24 with 3:30 left in the game.
Pitt had TD drives of 75-77 yards to pull out a dramatic win.
Teams combined to convert only 4 of 22 third down plays.
These rivals didn’t play from 2012-21, kind of an expen$ive deci$ion.
— Upsets of the Week:
UNLV (+10.5) 23, Kansas 20
Toledo (+10.5) 41, Mississippi State 17
Georgia State (+10) 36, Vanderbilt 32
Memphis (+7) 20, Florida State 12
Washington State (+5.5) 24, Washington 19
— Washington State 24, Washington 19
Coogs stopped Washington on 1-yard line with 1:07 left.
Apple Cup was played in the Seahawks’ stadium, lot earlier than usual.
Washington gained 452 yards, but had 16 penalties for 135 yards.
Coogs beat Washington for just third time in last 15 meetings.
— Oregon 49, Oregon State 14
Teams that got left behind went 1-1 vs their arch-rivals this weekend.
Ducks led by only 22-14 at halftime.
Ducks outgained the Beavers, 546-309.
Oregon had lost its previous two visits to Corvallis.
— Indiana 42, UCLA 13
Curt Cignetti is the new coach at Indiana; he is a really good coach.
Cignetti was 52-9 the last five years at James Madison.
Indiana was 9-12 on third down, Bruins 2-8
Total yardage: 430-238, Indiana.
Hoosiers overcame having 14 penalties for 127 yards.
— Auburn 45, New Mexico 19
Auburn’s new starting QB Hank Brown passed for 235 yards and 4 TD’s.
Auburn’s starting QB last week (Payton Thorne) was complaining this week about gamblers bugging him after Auburn lost games; he threw 4 INT’s last week. Then he got benched.
— Famous birthdays, September 15th:
Tommy Lee Jones, 78
Oliver Stone, 78
LeRoy Irvin, 67
Dan Marino, 63
Earnest Byner, 62
Sherman Douglas, 58
Jason Terry, 47
Mike Dunleavy Jr, 44
Tyler Fitzgerald, 27
— Central Florida 35, TCU 34
UCF threw a 20-yard TD pass with 0:36 left for the winning score.
Arkansas transfer Jefferson threw for 230 yards, 3 TD’s.
TCU led 31-10 with 5:00 left in third quarter.
Horned Frogs blocked two field goals and an extra point.
— Eastern Michigan 37, Jacksonville State 34 OT
EMU led this game 31-20 after three quarters.
Gamecocks kicked a 51-yard FG to tie game with 0:34 left.
Eagles were 10-19 on third down, Jax State was 3-12.
— Buffalo 34, UMass 3
Marquis Cooper had a 105-yard pick-6 for Buffalo.
— Texas 56, Tex-San Antonio 7
Texas QB Ewers was 14-16/185 passing before he got hurt.
Backup QB Manning (Peyton’s nephew) was 9-12/223, with 4 TD passes.
UTSA lost its last two games 49-10/56-7; they’re not good.
— How conferences did in non-league games this week:
AAC 2-0 ATS as favorite, 3-6 as underdog
ACC 2-2 ATS as favorite, 2-2 as underdog
Big X 7-4 ATS as favorite, 1-0 as underdog
Big 18 3-3 ATS as favorite, 0-2 as underdog
Conference USA 1-0 ATS as favorite, 1-3 as underdog
Mid-American 2-0 ATS as favorite, 1-3 as underdog
Mountain West 2-0 ATS as favorite, 3-6 as underdog
SEC 5-5 ATS as favorite
Sun Belt 1-2 ATS as favorite, 3-2 as underdog
Some interesting college football spreads for next week:
— Stanford @ Syracuse (-9.5)
— Illinois @ Nebraska (-8.5)
— Kansas @ West Virginia (-2.5)
— Arkansas @ Auburn (-5)
— USC (-6) @ Michigan
— Utah @ Oklahoma State (-1.5)
Tweet of the Day
“We’re not gonna be working heavy in free agency. We’ve got guys on the field right now who need to improve their game. A lot of young players who just need to make adjustments to be more productive.”
White Sox general manager Chris Getz
Sunday’s quiz
In the movie A Star is Born, what actor/comedian played Lady Gaga’s father?
Saturday’s quiz
In the old Batman TV series, Vincent Price played the Egghead.
Friday’s quiz
Wade Phillips replaced Marv Levy as coach of the Buffalo Bills.
*************************************
Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college football Saturday……..
— Georgia 13, Kentucky 12#1 team in the country has a very narrow escape.
Kentucky led 9-6 after three quarters.
Georgia scored only TD of game with 12:20 left.
— LSU 36, South Carolina 33
Gamecocks led 17-0 early in second quarter.
LSU drove 55 yards, scored game-winning TD with 1:12 left.
Gamecocks ran for 243 yards, but missed a 49-yard FG at the gun.
South Carolina turned ball over three times, had 123 penalty yards.
— Memphis 20, Florida State 12
Seminoles were 13-1 last year, are 0-3 so far this year:
L21-24 vs Georgia Tech (-10)
L13-28 Boston College (-16.5)
L12-20 Memphis (-7)
Mike Norvell is a good coach, but he is squarely on the hot seat now; this is his contract situation going forward:
2024- $10M
2025- $10,150,000
2026- $10,300,000
2027- $10,450,000
2028- $10,600,000
2029- $10,750,000
2030- $10,900,000
2031- $11,050,000
— Meanwhile, in Gainesville……..
Texas A&M 33, Florida 20
Aggies led this game 20-0 at halftime.
A&M averaged 10.5 yards/pass attempt.
Gators lost their first two I-A games, 41-17/33-20; they’ve now lost their last seven I-A games, with only win in that span 45-7 over I-AA Samford.
Safe to say, the natives are restless in northern Florida.
— Pittsburgh 38, West Virginia 34
WVU led 34-24 with 3:30 left in the game.
Pitt had TD drives of 75-77 yards to pull out a dramatic win.
Teams combined to convert only 4 of 22 third down plays.
These rivals didn’t play from 2012-21, kind of an expen$ive deci$ion.
— Upsets of the Week:
UNLV (+10.5) 23, Kansas 20
Toledo (+10.5) 41, Mississippi State 17
Georgia State (+10) 36, Vanderbilt 32
Memphis (+7) 20, Florida State 12
Washington State (+5.5) 24, Washington 19
— Washington State 24, Washington 19
Coogs stopped Washington on 1-yard line with 1:07 left.
Apple Cup was played in the Seahawks’ stadium, lot earlier than usual.
Washington gained 452 yards, but had 16 penalties for 135 yards.
Coogs beat Washington for just third time in last 15 meetings.
— Oregon 49, Oregon State 14
Teams that got left behind went 1-1 vs their arch-rivals this weekend.
Ducks led by only 22-14 at halftime.
Ducks outgained the Beavers, 546-309.
Oregon had lost its previous two visits to Corvallis.
— Indiana 42, UCLA 13
Curt Cignetti is the new coach at Indiana; he is a really good coach.
Cignetti was 52-9 the last five years at James Madison.
Indiana was 9-12 on third down, Bruins 2-8
Total yardage: 430-238, Indiana.
Hoosiers overcame having 14 penalties for 127 yards.
— Auburn 45, New Mexico 19
Auburn’s new starting QB Hank Brown passed for 235 yards and 4 TD’s.
Auburn’s starting QB last week (Payton Thorne) was complaining this week about gamblers bugging him after Auburn lost games; he threw 4 INT’s last week. Then he got benched.
— Famous birthdays, September 15th:
Tommy Lee Jones, 78
Oliver Stone, 78
LeRoy Irvin, 67
Dan Marino, 63
Earnest Byner, 62
Sherman Douglas, 58
Jason Terry, 47
Mike Dunleavy Jr, 44
Tyler Fitzgerald, 27
— Central Florida 35, TCU 34
UCF threw a 20-yard TD pass with 0:36 left for the winning score.
Arkansas transfer Jefferson threw for 230 yards, 3 TD’s.
TCU led 31-10 with 5:00 left in third quarter.
Horned Frogs blocked two field goals and an extra point.
— Eastern Michigan 37, Jacksonville State 34 OT
EMU led this game 31-20 after three quarters.
Gamecocks kicked a 51-yard FG to tie game with 0:34 left.
Eagles were 10-19 on third down, Jax State was 3-12.
— Buffalo 34, UMass 3
Marquis Cooper had a 105-yard pick-6 for Buffalo.
— Texas 56, Tex-San Antonio 7
Texas QB Ewers was 14-16/185 passing before he got hurt.
Backup QB Manning (Peyton’s nephew) was 9-12/223, with 4 TD passes.
UTSA lost its last two games 49-10/56-7; they’re not good.
— How conferences did in non-league games this week:
AAC 2-0 ATS as favorite, 3-6 as underdog
ACC 2-2 ATS as favorite, 2-2 as underdog
Big X 7-4 ATS as favorite, 1-0 as underdog
Big 18 3-3 ATS as favorite, 0-2 as underdog
Conference USA 1-0 ATS as favorite, 1-3 as underdog
Mid-American 2-0 ATS as favorite, 1-3 as underdog
Mountain West 2-0 ATS as favorite, 3-6 as underdog
SEC 5-5 ATS as favorite
Sun Belt 1-2 ATS as favorite, 3-2 as underdog
Tuesday’s 6-pack:
— Padres 3, Astros 1- Yu Darvish tossed six shutout IP.
— White Sox 8, Angels 4- Chicago (36-115) has won three in a row
— Royals 7, Tigers 6- Detroit led 5-1 after four innings.
— Cardinals 4, Pirates 0- Andre Pallante struck out nine in 7 IP.
— Rockies 3, Arizona 2- Winning run scored on a throwing error.
— Falcons 22, Eagles 21- Cousins threw 7-yard TD pass with 0:34 left.
Quote of the Day
“I think everything’s on the table. Ultimately, my goal is to be in that batter’s box, in the field every single day. Whether that’s moving to a corner or DHing more, I’ll leave it up to the front office to come up with a plan. Where I’m at and what’s happened the last few years, I’m definitely going to try to explore every option that can keep me out there.”
Mike Trout
Tuesday’s quiz
Where did Kirk Cousins play his college football?
Monday’s quiz
In the movie Moneyball, Philip Seymour Hoffman played A’s manager Art Howe.
Sunday’s quiz
In the movie A Star is Born, Andrew Dice Clay played Lady Gaga’s father.
****************************************
— Arizona is 57-37 vs righty starters, 26-29 vs lefties.
Over is 20-7 in Diamondbacks’ last 27 games.
— Atlanta is 9-4 in its last 13 home games.
Under is 13-3 in their last 16 home games.
— Cubs won 11 of their last 15 road games.
Over is 12-3 in their last 15 road games.
— Cincinnati is 9-5 in its last fourteen games.
Reds are 14-27 in one-run games.
— Colorado is 9-1 in last ten home series openers.
Under is 7-2 in Rockies’ last nine road games.
— Dodgers lost four of their last six games.
Dodgers are 33-17 against lefty starting pitchers.
— Miami lost six of its last seven games.
Marlins are 10-44 against lefty starting pitchers, 45-51 vs righties.
— Under is 7-3 in Brewers’ last ten games.
Milwaukee is 19-23 against lefty starting pitchers, 67-40 vs righties.
— Mets are 9-3 in their last 12 home games.
Mets are 11-1 in their last 12 home series openers.
— Phillies won 11 of their last 14 games.
Phillies are 26-25 in day games, 64-34 in night games.
— Pirates are 2-9 in last 11 games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.
Under is 6-3 in their last nine road games.
— Cardinals are 1-11 in their last dozen home series openers.
Under is 7-1 in their last eight home games.
— San Diego is 9-1 in extra-inning games.
Padres are 8-1 in last nine road series openers.
— San Francisco is 33-30 in day games, 39-48 in night games.
Giants are 2-8 in last 12 ten home games.
— Washington is 10-8 in its last 18 home games.
Under is 8-4 in their last 12 road games.
Famous birthdays, September 17th
Phil Jackson, 79
Junior Bridgeman, 72
Mark Brunell, 54
Dan Haren, 44
Alexander Ovechkin, 39
Marcus Semien, 34
Jose Ramirez, 32
Patrick Mahomes, 29
James Wood, 22
— Orioles are 2-7 in game after their last nine wins.
Last five Baltimore games stayed under.
— Red Sox lost eight of their last nine road games.
Boston is 58-49 vs righty starters, 17-26 vs lefties; last two years, they were 47-31 vs lefties.
— White Sox are 6-43 since the All-Star break.
Chicago is 2-17 in its last 19 series openers.
— Guardians are 22-11 in games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.
Cleveland is 29-12 vs lefty starting pitchers; LY, they were 24-35.
— Detroit is 7-3 in its last ten games.
Under is 14-3 in their last 17 home games.
— Houston won its last four games.
Last two years, Houston was 70-33 vs lefty starters; this year, they’re 21-21.
— Royals lost eight of their last eleven road games.
Royals are 69-50 vs righty starters, 13-18 vs lefties.
— Angels lost seven of their last eight games.
They’re 2-11 in their last 13 series openers.
— Minnesota is 8-17 in its last 25 games.
Over is 6-0 in their last six games.
— New York is 7-3 in its last ten games.
Under is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games.
— A’s are 9-7 in their last 16 games.
Oakland is 9-1 in its last ten series openers.
— Mariners are 13-9 since they changed managers,
Seattle is 7-19 in last 26 games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.
— Tampa Bay is 4-7 in its last 11 games.
Under is 20-6 in their last 26 road games.
— Texas lost five of its last six games.
Rangers are 16-22 vs lefty starting pitchers.
— Toronto is 4-1 in its last five games.
Under is 10-3 in their last 13 road games.
— Padres 3, Astros 1- Yu Darvish tossed six shutout IP.
— White Sox 8, Angels 4- Chicago (36-115) has won three in a row
— Royals 7, Tigers 6- Detroit led 5-1 after four innings.
— Cardinals 4, Pirates 0- Andre Pallante struck out nine in 7 IP.
— Rockies 3, Arizona 2- Winning run scored on a throwing error.
— Falcons 22, Eagles 21- Cousins threw 7-yard TD pass with 0:34 left.
Quote of the Day
“I think everything’s on the table. Ultimately, my goal is to be in that batter’s box, in the field every single day. Whether that’s moving to a corner or DHing more, I’ll leave it up to the front office to come up with a plan. Where I’m at and what’s happened the last few years, I’m definitely going to try to explore every option that can keep me out there.”
Mike Trout
Tuesday’s quiz
Where did Kirk Cousins play his college football?
Monday’s quiz
In the movie Moneyball, Philip Seymour Hoffman played A’s manager Art Howe.
Sunday’s quiz
In the movie A Star is Born, Andrew Dice Clay played Lady Gaga’s father.
****************************************
Tuesday’s Den: Trends all for 30 MLB teams…….
Trends for all 30 MLB teams…….(thru Sunday’s games)— Arizona is 57-37 vs righty starters, 26-29 vs lefties.
Over is 20-7 in Diamondbacks’ last 27 games.
— Atlanta is 9-4 in its last 13 home games.
Under is 13-3 in their last 16 home games.
— Cubs won 11 of their last 15 road games.
Over is 12-3 in their last 15 road games.
— Cincinnati is 9-5 in its last fourteen games.
Reds are 14-27 in one-run games.
— Colorado is 9-1 in last ten home series openers.
Under is 7-2 in Rockies’ last nine road games.
— Dodgers lost four of their last six games.
Dodgers are 33-17 against lefty starting pitchers.
— Miami lost six of its last seven games.
Marlins are 10-44 against lefty starting pitchers, 45-51 vs righties.
— Under is 7-3 in Brewers’ last ten games.
Milwaukee is 19-23 against lefty starting pitchers, 67-40 vs righties.
— Mets are 9-3 in their last 12 home games.
Mets are 11-1 in their last 12 home series openers.
— Phillies won 11 of their last 14 games.
Phillies are 26-25 in day games, 64-34 in night games.
— Pirates are 2-9 in last 11 games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.
Under is 6-3 in their last nine road games.
— Cardinals are 1-11 in their last dozen home series openers.
Under is 7-1 in their last eight home games.
— San Diego is 9-1 in extra-inning games.
Padres are 8-1 in last nine road series openers.
— San Francisco is 33-30 in day games, 39-48 in night games.
Giants are 2-8 in last 12 ten home games.
— Washington is 10-8 in its last 18 home games.
Under is 8-4 in their last 12 road games.
Famous birthdays, September 17th
Phil Jackson, 79
Junior Bridgeman, 72
Mark Brunell, 54
Dan Haren, 44
Alexander Ovechkin, 39
Marcus Semien, 34
Jose Ramirez, 32
Patrick Mahomes, 29
James Wood, 22
— Orioles are 2-7 in game after their last nine wins.
Last five Baltimore games stayed under.
— Red Sox lost eight of their last nine road games.
Boston is 58-49 vs righty starters, 17-26 vs lefties; last two years, they were 47-31 vs lefties.
— White Sox are 6-43 since the All-Star break.
Chicago is 2-17 in its last 19 series openers.
— Guardians are 22-11 in games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.
Cleveland is 29-12 vs lefty starting pitchers; LY, they were 24-35.
— Detroit is 7-3 in its last ten games.
Under is 14-3 in their last 17 home games.
— Houston won its last four games.
Last two years, Houston was 70-33 vs lefty starters; this year, they’re 21-21.
— Royals lost eight of their last eleven road games.
Royals are 69-50 vs righty starters, 13-18 vs lefties.
— Angels lost seven of their last eight games.
They’re 2-11 in their last 13 series openers.
— Minnesota is 8-17 in its last 25 games.
Over is 6-0 in their last six games.
— New York is 7-3 in its last ten games.
Under is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games.
— A’s are 9-7 in their last 16 games.
Oakland is 9-1 in its last ten series openers.
— Mariners are 13-9 since they changed managers,
Seattle is 7-19 in last 26 games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.
— Tampa Bay is 4-7 in its last 11 games.
Under is 20-6 in their last 26 road games.
— Texas lost five of its last six games.
Rangers are 16-22 vs lefty starting pitchers.
— Toronto is 4-1 in its last five games.
Under is 10-3 in their last 13 road games.
NCAAF
Week 4
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Trend Report
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Week 4
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Trend Report
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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting college football spreads this week:
— USC (-5.5) @ Michigan
— Utah @ Oklahoma State (-2)
— Tennessee (-7) @ Oklahoma
— Kansas State (-6.5) @ BYU
— Florida (-6) @ Mississippi State
— Arkansas @ Auburn (-3)
Quote of the Day
“I’ve kind of been in every scenario. I’ve come up as a rookie, I’ve had some success. I’ve been a veteran who’s been more of a leader, and I’ve kind of been a guy who’s struggled with injuries and seen his play decline. I’ve gone through the whole gauntlet of what a player could go through. So I feel like I can understand where all the guys are at mentally and what they’re thinking.”
White Sox interim manager Grady Sizemore
Wednesday’s quiz
In the history of the NFL’s Chargers, who caught the most passes?
Tuesday’s quiz
Kirk Cousins played his college football at Michigan State.
Monday’s quiz
In the movie Moneyball, Philip Seymour Hoffman played A’s manager Art Howe.
***************************************
He drove the Falcons 70 yards in six plays, throwing the game-winning TD pass against the Eagles with 0:34 left in a 22-21 Atlanta win in Philadelphia Monday night.
Cousins was 20-29/241 passing, with two TD’s. Very clutch performance
— Miami Dolphins put QB Tua Tagovailoa (concussion) on IR; he is out until at least Week 8- they signed QB Tyler Huntley off of Baltimore’s practice squad.
— There are 16 games on the Week 3 NFL schedule; 10 of the 16 games are AFC-NFC matchups, which seems like a lot. NFL likes to hoard the glitzier divisional games until later in the season, or into their Amazon package.
There are also two Monday night games this week, which is unusual; no idea why, but Jaguars-Bills, Commanders-Bengals are on the docket Monday.
— Weeks 2-6, the Thursday night Amazon NFL game is a divisional rivalry; then in Week 7, it is Denver at New Orleans, Sean Payton’s return to Bourbon Street.
— Carolina Panthers are benching 2nd-year QB Bryce Young, will start veteran Andy Dalton this week in Las Vegas against the Raiders.
Young is 2-16 as an NFL starter; he needs to sit-watch-learn for a while. Carolina hasn’t led in the 4th quarter in any of its last 20 games, the 2nd-longest streak ever.
Dalton is 36 years old, is 83-78-2 as an NFL starter; he started once for Carolina last year. His glory days were with the Bengals, where he played for coach Marvin Lewis, who is now an assistant coach with the Raiders, Carolina’s opponent this week.
— Let’s review the 2023 trade between the Bears/Panthers:
Carolina got:
The #1 pick in the draft- they took QB Bryce Young
Chicago got:
WR DJ Moore
1st round pick in 2023 (OL Darnell Wright)
2nd round pick in 2023 (CB Tyrique Stevenson
2024 1st round pick (QB Caleb Williams)
2025 2nd round pick
Carolina Panthers are owned by hedge fund trader David Tepper, the wealthiest owner in the NFL. Tepper sent the Panthers’ GM packing last year; we’ll see how fast they can clean up the mess that guy left behind.
— Not only are the Tennessee Titans off to an 0-2 start, they’re first team since 2012 to have a punt blocked in each of their first two games. Tennessee is also minus-4 in turnovers; they’ve been outscored 38-7 in the second half of their games.
— Famous birthdays, September 18th
Frankie Avalon, 84
Billy Gambrell, 83
Billy Sims, 69
Ryne Sandberg, 65
Holly Robinson Peete, 60
Toni Kukoc, 56
Jason Sudeikis, 49
Kevin Dotson, 28
Andre Pallante, 26
— From 2005-23, Pitt Panthers trailed 72 games by 10+ points in the 4th quarter; they lost all 72 of those games.
So far this season, Pitt trailed both Cincinnati/West Virginia by 10+ points in the 4th quarter, but won both games, behind QB Eli Holstein, whose thrown for 939 yards in three games.
— In Week 1, Cincinnati was the most popular pick in the Circa survivor pool in Las Vegas; they lost. 4,895 of the 14,206 people in the pool got KO’d when the Bengals lost
In Week 2, Baltimore was the most popular pick; they lost too. 2,304 people got knocked out when the Ravens lost. After two weeks, half the people are out of the pool already.
Handicapping the NFL is difficult; underdogs were 8-7 SU/10-4-1 ATS in Week 2.
— Packers at Tennessee game this week has an unexpected interesting subplot; QB Mailk Willis was a 3rd round pick by the Titans in the 2022 draft, out of Liberty (he had been a backup at Auburn before that).
Willis played in 11 games for the Titans, starting three (1-2); he completed 53% of his passes, with no TD’s, 3 INT’s. He ran the ball 32 times for 144 yards and a TD.
Last month, Willis was traded to Green Bay for a 7th round draft pick; 27 days after the trade, he is starting against his old team. Should be interesting.
— Kansas City Chiefs are bringing back RB Kareem Hunt; he spent the last five years with the Browns, after running for 1,327/824 yards in his first two NFL seasons, with the Chiefs. With Isiah Pacheco out injured for a while, Chiefs needed another RB.
— Astros 4, Padres 3
Jose Altuve fouled a ball off his toe, but the umpire called the ball fair and Altuve was out. He took his shoe/sock off to show the umpire that his toe was hurt— he got ejected.
Josh Hader got four outs for Houston; he never pitched more than an inning for San Diego.
This was San Diego’s 52nd sellout this season.
— Reds 6, Braves 5
Atlanta led 5-1 in 4th inning, 5-2 in 6th inning.
Reds used seven pitchers to get 27 outs.
— Marlins 11, Dodgers 9
Jesus Sanchez was 5-5 with three RBI.
Shohei Ohtani hit his 48th home run.
Dodgers lead in NL West is down to 3.5 games.
— A’s 4, Cubs 3
Shea Langeliers homered twice, has 28 for the season.
A’s were 50-112 last year; they’re 66-86 this year.
— Tigers 3, Royals 1 (10)
Detroit is 24-10 in its last 34 games.
Royals were 56-106 last year; they’re 82-70 this year.
— Rockies 8, Diamondbacks 2
Ezequiel Tovar was 3-5, with two runs, 2 RBI
Arizona lost four of its last five games.
— If the baseball playoffs starter today (they don’t):
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Padres-Diamonfbacks-Mets
AL: New York, Guardians, Houston. Wild Cards: Orioles-Royals-Twins
Mets lead Atlanta by two games for the last NL playoff spot.
Twins lead Detroit by 1.5 games for the last AL playoff spot.
Interesting college football spreads this week:
— USC (-5.5) @ Michigan
— Utah @ Oklahoma State (-2)
— Tennessee (-7) @ Oklahoma
— Kansas State (-6.5) @ BYU
— Florida (-6) @ Mississippi State
— Arkansas @ Auburn (-3)
Quote of the Day
“I’ve kind of been in every scenario. I’ve come up as a rookie, I’ve had some success. I’ve been a veteran who’s been more of a leader, and I’ve kind of been a guy who’s struggled with injuries and seen his play decline. I’ve gone through the whole gauntlet of what a player could go through. So I feel like I can understand where all the guys are at mentally and what they’re thinking.”
White Sox interim manager Grady Sizemore
Wednesday’s quiz
In the history of the NFL’s Chargers, who caught the most passes?
Tuesday’s quiz
Kirk Cousins played his college football at Michigan State.
Monday’s quiz
In the movie Moneyball, Philip Seymour Hoffman played A’s manager Art Howe.
***************************************
Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….
— Falcons 22, Eagles 21- Atlanta QB Kirk Cousins makes $45M a year; Monday night, he showed why he’s worth that much.He drove the Falcons 70 yards in six plays, throwing the game-winning TD pass against the Eagles with 0:34 left in a 22-21 Atlanta win in Philadelphia Monday night.
Cousins was 20-29/241 passing, with two TD’s. Very clutch performance
— Miami Dolphins put QB Tua Tagovailoa (concussion) on IR; he is out until at least Week 8- they signed QB Tyler Huntley off of Baltimore’s practice squad.
— There are 16 games on the Week 3 NFL schedule; 10 of the 16 games are AFC-NFC matchups, which seems like a lot. NFL likes to hoard the glitzier divisional games until later in the season, or into their Amazon package.
There are also two Monday night games this week, which is unusual; no idea why, but Jaguars-Bills, Commanders-Bengals are on the docket Monday.
— Weeks 2-6, the Thursday night Amazon NFL game is a divisional rivalry; then in Week 7, it is Denver at New Orleans, Sean Payton’s return to Bourbon Street.
— Carolina Panthers are benching 2nd-year QB Bryce Young, will start veteran Andy Dalton this week in Las Vegas against the Raiders.
Young is 2-16 as an NFL starter; he needs to sit-watch-learn for a while. Carolina hasn’t led in the 4th quarter in any of its last 20 games, the 2nd-longest streak ever.
Dalton is 36 years old, is 83-78-2 as an NFL starter; he started once for Carolina last year. His glory days were with the Bengals, where he played for coach Marvin Lewis, who is now an assistant coach with the Raiders, Carolina’s opponent this week.
— Let’s review the 2023 trade between the Bears/Panthers:
Carolina got:
The #1 pick in the draft- they took QB Bryce Young
Chicago got:
WR DJ Moore
1st round pick in 2023 (OL Darnell Wright)
2nd round pick in 2023 (CB Tyrique Stevenson
2024 1st round pick (QB Caleb Williams)
2025 2nd round pick
Carolina Panthers are owned by hedge fund trader David Tepper, the wealthiest owner in the NFL. Tepper sent the Panthers’ GM packing last year; we’ll see how fast they can clean up the mess that guy left behind.
— Not only are the Tennessee Titans off to an 0-2 start, they’re first team since 2012 to have a punt blocked in each of their first two games. Tennessee is also minus-4 in turnovers; they’ve been outscored 38-7 in the second half of their games.
— Famous birthdays, September 18th
Frankie Avalon, 84
Billy Gambrell, 83
Billy Sims, 69
Ryne Sandberg, 65
Holly Robinson Peete, 60
Toni Kukoc, 56
Jason Sudeikis, 49
Kevin Dotson, 28
Andre Pallante, 26
— From 2005-23, Pitt Panthers trailed 72 games by 10+ points in the 4th quarter; they lost all 72 of those games.
So far this season, Pitt trailed both Cincinnati/West Virginia by 10+ points in the 4th quarter, but won both games, behind QB Eli Holstein, whose thrown for 939 yards in three games.
— In Week 1, Cincinnati was the most popular pick in the Circa survivor pool in Las Vegas; they lost. 4,895 of the 14,206 people in the pool got KO’d when the Bengals lost
In Week 2, Baltimore was the most popular pick; they lost too. 2,304 people got knocked out when the Ravens lost. After two weeks, half the people are out of the pool already.
Handicapping the NFL is difficult; underdogs were 8-7 SU/10-4-1 ATS in Week 2.
— Packers at Tennessee game this week has an unexpected interesting subplot; QB Mailk Willis was a 3rd round pick by the Titans in the 2022 draft, out of Liberty (he had been a backup at Auburn before that).
Willis played in 11 games for the Titans, starting three (1-2); he completed 53% of his passes, with no TD’s, 3 INT’s. He ran the ball 32 times for 144 yards and a TD.
Last month, Willis was traded to Green Bay for a 7th round draft pick; 27 days after the trade, he is starting against his old team. Should be interesting.
— Kansas City Chiefs are bringing back RB Kareem Hunt; he spent the last five years with the Browns, after running for 1,327/824 yards in his first two NFL seasons, with the Chiefs. With Isiah Pacheco out injured for a while, Chiefs needed another RB.
— Astros 4, Padres 3
Jose Altuve fouled a ball off his toe, but the umpire called the ball fair and Altuve was out. He took his shoe/sock off to show the umpire that his toe was hurt— he got ejected.
Josh Hader got four outs for Houston; he never pitched more than an inning for San Diego.
This was San Diego’s 52nd sellout this season.
— Reds 6, Braves 5
Atlanta led 5-1 in 4th inning, 5-2 in 6th inning.
Reds used seven pitchers to get 27 outs.
— Marlins 11, Dodgers 9
Jesus Sanchez was 5-5 with three RBI.
Shohei Ohtani hit his 48th home run.
Dodgers lead in NL West is down to 3.5 games.
— A’s 4, Cubs 3
Shea Langeliers homered twice, has 28 for the season.
A’s were 50-112 last year; they’re 66-86 this year.
— Tigers 3, Royals 1 (10)
Detroit is 24-10 in its last 34 games.
Royals were 56-106 last year; they’re 82-70 this year.
— Rockies 8, Diamondbacks 2
Ezequiel Tovar was 3-5, with two runs, 2 RBI
Arizona lost four of its last five games.
— If the baseball playoffs starter today (they don’t):
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Padres-Diamonfbacks-Mets
AL: New York, Guardians, Houston. Wild Cards: Orioles-Royals-Twins
Mets lead Atlanta by two games for the last NL playoff spot.
Twins lead Detroit by 1.5 games for the last AL playoff spot.
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 4
Thursday’s game
South Alabama @ Appalachian State (-7.5)
South Alabama (1-2)
USA lost its first two I-A games, 52-38/27-20.
Jaguars allowed 550/404 TY in the two losses.
Jaguars pounded on a I-AA team LW, 87-10.
USA has 4 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
Jaguars have 21 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Lopez has thrown for 689 yards (7 TD’s, no INT’s).
Last three years, USA is 3-6 ATS as a road underdog.
Last four years, South Alabama is 14-18 ATS in Sun Belt games.
New coach Applewhite was 15-11 in two years at Houston (’17-’18)
South Alabama is 8-13 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
Appalachian State (2-1)
App State threw for 424 yards in LW’s 21-19 win at East Carolina.
App State lost its other I-A game 66-20 at Clemson.
App State has 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
App State has 15 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Aguilar started 13 games last year.
Under Clark, App State is 9-15 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Clark, App State is 12-26-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under Clark, App State is 13-20-1 ATS in Sun Belt games.
Under Clark, App State is 13-17-2 ATS coming off a win.
Teams haven’t met since 2021.
App State won last four series games (2-2 ATS)
App State won last three meetings, 113-17.
Over is 3-2 in last five series games.
Friday’s games
Stanford @ Syracuse (-9)
Stanford (1-1)
Last three years, Stanford was 3-9/3-9/3-9 SU, 9-26 ATS
Cardinal has 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Stanford has 88 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Daniels started 10 games last year.
Last three years, Stanford is 4-9 ATS as a road underdog.
Last three years, Stanford is 8-20 ATS as an underdog.
Last three years, Stanford is 7-20 ATS in conference games.
Cardinal lost only I-AA game TY 34-27 at home to TCU.
Horned Frogs threw for 353 yards in that game.
Syracuse (2-0)
Syracuse won its first two games, 38-22/31-28.
Syracuse has 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Orangemen have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB McCord started 12 games at Ohio State last year.
Last 3+ years, Syracuse is 8-4-1 ATS as a home favorite.
First two games, Syracuse threw ball for 354/381 yards.
Last 2+ years, Syracuse is 6-11 ATS in ACC games.
Ohio U ran ball for 255 yards in Orange’s 38-22 home win.
Why are these teams in the same league? (2,827 miles apart)
These teams haven’t met in this century.
Illinois @ Nebraska (-8)
Illinois (3-0)
Illinois won first two I-A games, 23-17/30-9.
Illinois has 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Illini has 77 returning starts on OL.
Junior QB Altmyer has 10 career starts.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 9-3 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Bielema is 24-16-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 15-12 ATS in conference games.
Both of Illinois I-A games stayed under the total.
Illinois is +8 in turnovers, +4 in I-A games.
Nebraska (3-0)
Nebraska hasn’t had a winning season since 2016.
Nebraska won its first two I-A games, 40-7/28-10.
Cornhuskers have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Nebraska has 152 returning starts on OL, mostly from transfers.
Freshman QB Raiola threw fo4 469 yards in his two I-A games.
Under Rhule, Nebraska is 4-3 ATS as a home favorite (2-0 TY).
As college coach, Rhule is 15-16 ATS as a home favorite.
Last 5+ years, Cornhuskers are 6-12-1 ATS coming off a win.
In its two I-A games, Nebraska outrushed opponents, 372-72
Illinois won three of last four meetings.
Illini is 2-2 SU/3-1 ATS in last four visits to Lincoln.
Under is 8-3 in last eleven series games.
San Jose State @ Washington State (-12)
San Jose State (3-0)
Spartans are 26-19 last 4 years; coach bolted to Arizona
New coach Niumatalolo was 109-83 in 15 years at Navy.
San Jose has 3 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Spartans have only 20 starts returning on offensive line.
San Jose won its first road game 17-7 at Air Force.
San Jose held its two I-A opponents to 197/192 TY.
San Jose is 7-5/7-6/3-0 last 2+ years, thanks to +11/+11/+3 turnover ratios.
Since 2021, Spartans are 6-8 ATS in non-conference games.
Spartans lost last three bowls; their last bowl win was in 2015.
New coach Niumatalolo is 32-19 ATS as a road underdog.
Washington State (3-0)
Wazzu had emotional 24-19 win over rival Washington last week.
Trap game; Coogs visit Boise State next week.
Coogs have 6 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Wazzu has 63 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Mateer is 37-70/712 passing in two games.
Under Dickert, Wazzu is 9-5 ATS as a favorite.
Under Dickert, Wazzu is 5-4 ATS as a home favorite.
Coogs are 13-6-1 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
Coogs are 2-0 vs I-A opponents, despite giving up 491-452 TY.
These teams haven’t met since 2018.
Mountain West non-conference underdogs are 9-9 ATS.
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 4
Thursday’s game
South Alabama @ Appalachian State (-7.5)
South Alabama (1-2)
USA lost its first two I-A games, 52-38/27-20.
Jaguars allowed 550/404 TY in the two losses.
Jaguars pounded on a I-AA team LW, 87-10.
USA has 4 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
Jaguars have 21 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Lopez has thrown for 689 yards (7 TD’s, no INT’s).
Last three years, USA is 3-6 ATS as a road underdog.
Last four years, South Alabama is 14-18 ATS in Sun Belt games.
New coach Applewhite was 15-11 in two years at Houston (’17-’18)
South Alabama is 8-13 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
Appalachian State (2-1)
App State threw for 424 yards in LW’s 21-19 win at East Carolina.
App State lost its other I-A game 66-20 at Clemson.
App State has 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
App State has 15 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Aguilar started 13 games last year.
Under Clark, App State is 9-15 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Clark, App State is 12-26-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under Clark, App State is 13-20-1 ATS in Sun Belt games.
Under Clark, App State is 13-17-2 ATS coming off a win.
Teams haven’t met since 2021.
App State won last four series games (2-2 ATS)
App State won last three meetings, 113-17.
Over is 3-2 in last five series games.
Friday’s games
Stanford @ Syracuse (-9)
Stanford (1-1)
Last three years, Stanford was 3-9/3-9/3-9 SU, 9-26 ATS
Cardinal has 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Stanford has 88 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Daniels started 10 games last year.
Last three years, Stanford is 4-9 ATS as a road underdog.
Last three years, Stanford is 8-20 ATS as an underdog.
Last three years, Stanford is 7-20 ATS in conference games.
Cardinal lost only I-AA game TY 34-27 at home to TCU.
Horned Frogs threw for 353 yards in that game.
Syracuse (2-0)
Syracuse won its first two games, 38-22/31-28.
Syracuse has 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Orangemen have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB McCord started 12 games at Ohio State last year.
Last 3+ years, Syracuse is 8-4-1 ATS as a home favorite.
First two games, Syracuse threw ball for 354/381 yards.
Last 2+ years, Syracuse is 6-11 ATS in ACC games.
Ohio U ran ball for 255 yards in Orange’s 38-22 home win.
Why are these teams in the same league? (2,827 miles apart)
These teams haven’t met in this century.
Illinois @ Nebraska (-8)
Illinois (3-0)
Illinois won first two I-A games, 23-17/30-9.
Illinois has 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Illini has 77 returning starts on OL.
Junior QB Altmyer has 10 career starts.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 9-3 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Bielema is 24-16-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 15-12 ATS in conference games.
Both of Illinois I-A games stayed under the total.
Illinois is +8 in turnovers, +4 in I-A games.
Nebraska (3-0)
Nebraska hasn’t had a winning season since 2016.
Nebraska won its first two I-A games, 40-7/28-10.
Cornhuskers have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Nebraska has 152 returning starts on OL, mostly from transfers.
Freshman QB Raiola threw fo4 469 yards in his two I-A games.
Under Rhule, Nebraska is 4-3 ATS as a home favorite (2-0 TY).
As college coach, Rhule is 15-16 ATS as a home favorite.
Last 5+ years, Cornhuskers are 6-12-1 ATS coming off a win.
In its two I-A games, Nebraska outrushed opponents, 372-72
Illinois won three of last four meetings.
Illini is 2-2 SU/3-1 ATS in last four visits to Lincoln.
Under is 8-3 in last eleven series games.
San Jose State @ Washington State (-12)
San Jose State (3-0)
Spartans are 26-19 last 4 years; coach bolted to Arizona
New coach Niumatalolo was 109-83 in 15 years at Navy.
San Jose has 3 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Spartans have only 20 starts returning on offensive line.
San Jose won its first road game 17-7 at Air Force.
San Jose held its two I-A opponents to 197/192 TY.
San Jose is 7-5/7-6/3-0 last 2+ years, thanks to +11/+11/+3 turnover ratios.
Since 2021, Spartans are 6-8 ATS in non-conference games.
Spartans lost last three bowls; their last bowl win was in 2015.
New coach Niumatalolo is 32-19 ATS as a road underdog.
Washington State (3-0)
Wazzu had emotional 24-19 win over rival Washington last week.
Trap game; Coogs visit Boise State next week.
Coogs have 6 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Wazzu has 63 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Mateer is 37-70/712 passing in two games.
Under Dickert, Wazzu is 9-5 ATS as a favorite.
Under Dickert, Wazzu is 5-4 ATS as a home favorite.
Coogs are 13-6-1 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
Coogs are 2-0 vs I-A opponents, despite giving up 491-452 TY.
These teams haven’t met since 2018.
Mountain West non-conference underdogs are 9-9 ATS.
Thursday’s 6-pack:
Interesting NFL spreads this week:
— Dolphins @ Seattle (-4)
— Ravens (-1) @ Dallas
— Lions (-3) @ Arizona
— Chiefs (-3.5) @ Atlanta
— Jaguars @ Buffalo (-5)
— Commanders @ Cincinnati (-7.5)
Quote of the Day
“Yeah, I’m interested in coaching. My dad was a college coach, I was a college coach at Pitt, my wife was a cheerleader at Tennessee when I met her. Hell yeah, I’m interested in coaching. I know I can help a team, I know I can help young players get better, and I know I can hire a good staff, and that’s the only thing I can guarantee. But yeah, I’m very interested in coaching at any level, period.”
Former NFL coach Jon Gruden
Thursday’s quiz
Washington Nationals won the World Series five years ago; who led the Nationals in RBI that year?
Wednesday’s quiz
In the history of the NFL’s Chargers, Antonio Gates caught the most passes (955); Keenan Allen caught 904 passes.
Tuesday’s quiz
Kirk Cousins played his college football at Michigan State.
******************************************************
“I am retiring from a dream job at ESPN and am so incredibly grateful for my time and experiences with the Worldwide Leader.” Wojnarowski said.
General managers have become more common in college basketball in recent years, as the transfer portal has made wholesale roster turnover a bigger part of the sport.
St Bonaventure is in Olean, NY, on the state’s southern tier, kind of in the middle of nowhere. Recruiting really good basketball players to go there ain’t easy. Bonnies have been to the NCAA tournament three times in the last 20 years, going 0-3 in those games.
— One of the best college football games this weekend is Tennessee at Oklahoma, a game filled with subplots.
In 2000, QB Josh Heupel led Oklahoma to a national title; Sooners haven’t won a national title since then. Heupel is now Tennessee’s coach.
In 2011, Heupel became Oklahoma’s offensive coordinator, and over the next four years, the Sooners averaged 475 yards per game, but they fired him after a 40-6 bowl loss to Clemson. It was a controversial dismissal; firing alums can be frowned upon.
Saturday, Heupel will be back in Norman for the first time since they fired him; his Vols are 3-0, winning 51-10/71-0 in their two games vs I-A opponents.
As if all that isn’t enough, this is also Oklahoma’s first conference game since joining the SEC. Sooners are also 3-0, giving up a total of 34 points in the three games.
Should be interesting.
— Milwaukee Brewers are first team to clinch a playoff spot; they’ve won NL Central the last two years, will be in the playoffs for sixth time in seven years.
— You see all these TV commercials asking for money “For only $19 a month……..”
These commercials are always on TV………
— abandoned pets
— symbolically adopting an elephant
— disadvantaged kids
— American Civil Liberties Union
Whats the deal with $19 a month? Why not $29 or $34/month?
Inquiring minds want to know……..
— Under was 21-11 in NFL team totals in Week 2, after over was 16-13-3 in Week 1.
Underdogs were 8-7 SU in Week 2 NFL games, 10-4-1 ATS.
— Only two baseball teams ever have made the World Series after giving up more runs than they scored in the regular season:
1987 Minnesota Twins
2023 Arizona Diamondbacks
— Famous birthdays, September 19th
David Ray, 80
Nat Moore, 73
Dan Hampton, 67
Jim Abbott, 57
Raja Bell, 48
John Jaso, 41
George Springer, 35
CJ McCollum, 33
Dejounte Murray, 28
Today would’ve been Adam West’s 96th birthday; the star of Batman, the TV series.
— Jermaine Dye was a good ballplayer, played OF for the A’s in the Moneyball era; he had a career OPS of .826, once broke his leg fouling a pitch off his shin.
These days, Jermaine Dye’s son is a cornerback on the Kansas Jayhawks’ football team.
Kansas is playing its non-conference home games in a 25,000-seat soccer stadium; their conference home games will be at Arrowhead Stadium, home of the Chiefs. Jayhawks are-havng their football stadium refurbished this year.
— Billy Joe Hobert was an NFL QB for five years for three teams, starting 17 games, mostly with the Saints.
These days, Hobert’s son is a receiver for Texas State, which has a pretty good team.
— When the Giants scored a TD on their first drive at Washington Sunday, it was their first opening drive TD in their last 27 games, which was the longest brought in the NFL.
— Movie of the Day: Jerry and Marge Go Large (2022)- Based on the true story about an older married couple Jerry and Marge Selbee, who win the lottery and use the money to revive their small town. Turns out that Jerry was really smart, and figured out how to beat the lottery.
Bryan Cranston, Annette Bening are the couple. Michael McKean is also in the movie; he was in the old TV series Laverne & Shirley— his wife’s name in this movie is Shirley.
This was an interesting movie to watch, especially because it is a true story.
— A’s 5, Cubs 3
Oakland’s win clinched the NL Central for the Brewers.
Tyler Soderstrom homered, scored twice, had 2 RBI
— Guardians 5, Twins 4 (10)
Cleveland scored three runs in bottom of 10th.
Guardians’ magic number to clinch a playoff spot is 1.
Cleveland has 41 comeback wins this year, most in MLB.
— Giants 5, Orioles 3
Baltimore is 3-9 in its last 12 games; they’ve scored nine runs in last five games.
— Diamondbacks 9, Rockies 4
Corbin Carroll homered twice.
Eduardo Rodriguez struck out 11 guys in 6.1 IP.
— Bronx 2, Seattle 1 (10)
New York clinches a playoff spot.
— If the baseball playoffs starter today (they don’t):
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Padres-Diamondbacks-Mets
AL: New York, Guardians, Houston. Wild Cards: Orioles-Royals-Twins
Mets/Arizona lead Atlanta by two games for the last two NL playoff spots.
Twins lead Detroit by half a game for the last AL playoff spot.
Interesting NFL spreads this week:
— Dolphins @ Seattle (-4)
— Ravens (-1) @ Dallas
— Lions (-3) @ Arizona
— Chiefs (-3.5) @ Atlanta
— Jaguars @ Buffalo (-5)
— Commanders @ Cincinnati (-7.5)
Quote of the Day
“Yeah, I’m interested in coaching. My dad was a college coach, I was a college coach at Pitt, my wife was a cheerleader at Tennessee when I met her. Hell yeah, I’m interested in coaching. I know I can help a team, I know I can help young players get better, and I know I can hire a good staff, and that’s the only thing I can guarantee. But yeah, I’m very interested in coaching at any level, period.”
Former NFL coach Jon Gruden
Thursday’s quiz
Washington Nationals won the World Series five years ago; who led the Nationals in RBI that year?
Wednesday’s quiz
In the history of the NFL’s Chargers, Antonio Gates caught the most passes (955); Keenan Allen caught 904 passes.
Tuesday’s quiz
Kirk Cousins played his college football at Michigan State.
******************************************************
Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..
— Little bit of a strange news day; ESPN’s NBA insider Adrian Wojnarowski quit the network, and will become the general manager of the men’s basketball program at St Bonaventure, his alma mater.“I am retiring from a dream job at ESPN and am so incredibly grateful for my time and experiences with the Worldwide Leader.” Wojnarowski said.
General managers have become more common in college basketball in recent years, as the transfer portal has made wholesale roster turnover a bigger part of the sport.
St Bonaventure is in Olean, NY, on the state’s southern tier, kind of in the middle of nowhere. Recruiting really good basketball players to go there ain’t easy. Bonnies have been to the NCAA tournament three times in the last 20 years, going 0-3 in those games.
— One of the best college football games this weekend is Tennessee at Oklahoma, a game filled with subplots.
In 2000, QB Josh Heupel led Oklahoma to a national title; Sooners haven’t won a national title since then. Heupel is now Tennessee’s coach.
In 2011, Heupel became Oklahoma’s offensive coordinator, and over the next four years, the Sooners averaged 475 yards per game, but they fired him after a 40-6 bowl loss to Clemson. It was a controversial dismissal; firing alums can be frowned upon.
Saturday, Heupel will be back in Norman for the first time since they fired him; his Vols are 3-0, winning 51-10/71-0 in their two games vs I-A opponents.
As if all that isn’t enough, this is also Oklahoma’s first conference game since joining the SEC. Sooners are also 3-0, giving up a total of 34 points in the three games.
Should be interesting.
— Milwaukee Brewers are first team to clinch a playoff spot; they’ve won NL Central the last two years, will be in the playoffs for sixth time in seven years.
— You see all these TV commercials asking for money “For only $19 a month……..”
These commercials are always on TV………
— abandoned pets
— symbolically adopting an elephant
— disadvantaged kids
— American Civil Liberties Union
Whats the deal with $19 a month? Why not $29 or $34/month?
Inquiring minds want to know……..
— Under was 21-11 in NFL team totals in Week 2, after over was 16-13-3 in Week 1.
Underdogs were 8-7 SU in Week 2 NFL games, 10-4-1 ATS.
— Only two baseball teams ever have made the World Series after giving up more runs than they scored in the regular season:
1987 Minnesota Twins
2023 Arizona Diamondbacks
— Famous birthdays, September 19th
David Ray, 80
Nat Moore, 73
Dan Hampton, 67
Jim Abbott, 57
Raja Bell, 48
John Jaso, 41
George Springer, 35
CJ McCollum, 33
Dejounte Murray, 28
Today would’ve been Adam West’s 96th birthday; the star of Batman, the TV series.
— Jermaine Dye was a good ballplayer, played OF for the A’s in the Moneyball era; he had a career OPS of .826, once broke his leg fouling a pitch off his shin.
These days, Jermaine Dye’s son is a cornerback on the Kansas Jayhawks’ football team.
Kansas is playing its non-conference home games in a 25,000-seat soccer stadium; their conference home games will be at Arrowhead Stadium, home of the Chiefs. Jayhawks are-havng their football stadium refurbished this year.
— Billy Joe Hobert was an NFL QB for five years for three teams, starting 17 games, mostly with the Saints.
These days, Hobert’s son is a receiver for Texas State, which has a pretty good team.
— When the Giants scored a TD on their first drive at Washington Sunday, it was their first opening drive TD in their last 27 games, which was the longest brought in the NFL.
— Movie of the Day: Jerry and Marge Go Large (2022)- Based on the true story about an older married couple Jerry and Marge Selbee, who win the lottery and use the money to revive their small town. Turns out that Jerry was really smart, and figured out how to beat the lottery.
Bryan Cranston, Annette Bening are the couple. Michael McKean is also in the movie; he was in the old TV series Laverne & Shirley— his wife’s name in this movie is Shirley.
This was an interesting movie to watch, especially because it is a true story.
— A’s 5, Cubs 3
Oakland’s win clinched the NL Central for the Brewers.
Tyler Soderstrom homered, scored twice, had 2 RBI
— Guardians 5, Twins 4 (10)
Cleveland scored three runs in bottom of 10th.
Guardians’ magic number to clinch a playoff spot is 1.
Cleveland has 41 comeback wins this year, most in MLB.
— Giants 5, Orioles 3
Baltimore is 3-9 in its last 12 games; they’ve scored nine runs in last five games.
— Diamondbacks 9, Rockies 4
Corbin Carroll homered twice.
Eduardo Rodriguez struck out 11 guys in 6.1 IP.
— Bronx 2, Seattle 1 (10)
New York clinches a playoff spot.
— If the baseball playoffs starter today (they don’t):
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Padres-Diamondbacks-Mets
AL: New York, Guardians, Houston. Wild Cards: Orioles-Royals-Twins
Mets/Arizona lead Atlanta by two games for the last two NL playoff spots.
Twins lead Detroit by half a game for the last AL playoff spot.
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 4
Saturday’s best 13 games
Florida (-6) @ Mississippi State
Florida (1-2, 0-1)
Florida lost its two I-A games, 41-17/33-20.
Last three years, Gators were 6-7/6-7/5-7.
Florida has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Gators have 80 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Mertz/frosh QB Lagway are splitting time.
Last four years, Florida is 1-9 ATS as a road favorite.
Last 3+ years, Florida is 14-25-1 ATS overall.
In his career, Napier is 19-24-1 ATS as favorite, 7-7 on road.
Under Napier, Florida is 8-9 ATS in SEC games.
In its two I-A games, Gators gave up 529/488 total yards.
Mississippi State (1-2)
Miss State lost first two I-A games, 30-23/41-17.
Miss State was outrushed 515-90 in those two games.
Bulldogs have 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Bulldogs have 67 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Shapen started 23 games at Baylor.
Since 2019, MSU is 1-10-1 ATS as a home underdog.
MSU is 4-11-1 ATS in its last sixteen SEC games.
Bulldogs are 2-8-1 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.
Jeff Lebby is Miss State’s 5th head coach the last eight seasons.
Lebby was offensive coordinator at Oklahoma the last 2 years.
Teams haven’t met since 2018.
Florida won three of last four series games.
Underdogs covered last five meetings.
Last three series games stayed under the total.
Houston @ Cincinnati (-3.5)
Houston (1-2)
Houston was held to 7-12 points in losses to UNLV/Oklahoma.
Cougars whacked crosstown rival Rice 33-7 last week.
Houston has 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Cougars have 118 returning starts on OL, only 30 of them at Houston.
Senior QB Smith has 20 career starts.
Houston is 10-6-1 ATS in last 17 games as a road underdog.
Houston is 6-10-1 ATS in its last 17 conference games.
In his career, Fritz is 23-20-1 ATS as an underdog
Cougars are 9-15 ATS in last 24 games coming off a win.
Cincinnati (2-1)
Cincinnati lost 28-27 at home to Pitt, won 27-16 at Miami OH
Bearcats were 3-9 LY, their first losing season since 2017.
Bearcats have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Bearcats have 91 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Sorsby started 7 games at Indiana last year.
Last 2+ years, Cincinnati is 5-11 ATS as a favorite.
Last 2+ years, Cincinnati is 3-7 ATS as a home favorite.
Last two years, Cincinnati was 3-13-1 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Satterfield is 24-25-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Last two weeks, Bearcats gave up 302/356 passing yards.
Cincinnati won/covered last four meetings.
Cougars are 1-5-1 ATS in last seven visits to Cincinnati
Under is 4-2 in last six series games.
Kansas @ West Virginia (-2.5)
Kansas (1-2)
Kansas lost its two I-A games, 23-17 at Illinois, 23-20 to UNLV.
Kansas outgained those opponents by 56-85 yards, were minus-3 in TO’s.
Jayhawks have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Kansas has 130 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Daniels has 20 career starts.
In his career, Leipold is 11-19-1 ATS as road underdog.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 5-9 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 13-13-1 ATS in Big X games.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 9-11 ATS coming off a loss.
West Virginia (1-2)
WVU lost its two I-A games, 34-12 to Penn State, 38-34 at Pitt.
Two weeks ago, WVU gave up 306 PY to a I-AA team.
Mountaineers have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Mountaineers have 113 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Greene has 14 career starts.
Since 2020, WVU is 11-4 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Brown is 20-16-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Brown, WVU is 20-24 ATS in Big X games.
Under Brown, Mountaineers are 17-11 ATS in games coming off a loss.
West Virginia is minus-5 turnovers in its first three games.
West Virginia won eight of last nine series games.
Kansas covered its last five visits to Morgantown.
Over is 6-1 in last seven meetings.
USC (-5.5) @ Michigan
USC (2-0)
In first two games, Trojans beat LSU 27-20, Utah State 48-0.
USC gained 447/544 yards in those games.
USC has 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Trojans have 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Moss won his only start 42-28 LY (bowl game).
In his career, Riley is 8-17-1 as a road favorite, 2-6 at USC.
Trojans are 9-19 ATS in last 28 conference games.
In his career, Riley is 31-35-1 ATS in conference games.
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USC outgained LSU 447-421 in their 27-20 win in Las Vegas.
This is USC’s first Big 18 conference game.
Michigan (2-1)
Michigan is switching QB’s this week; junior QB Orji gets the nod
Wolverines were minus-5 in turnovers the last two weeks.
Wolverines have 2 starters back on offense, 5 on defense, a new head coach.
New defensive coordinator Martindale has a significant NFL resume.
Michigan has 53 returning starts on offensive line (none at Michigan).
Last 3+ years, Michigan is 3-1 ATS as an underdog.
Wolverines were held to 269-284 yards by Fresno/Texas.
Michigan ran for 301 yards LW but only beat Arkansas State 28-18.
Michigan is 19-8-3 ATS in its last 30 conference games.
Last 3+ years, Michigan is 21-14-3 ATS coming off a win.
These teams haven’t met since a bowl game 18 years ago.
Arkansas @ Auburn (-3)
Arkansas (2-1)
Arkansas lost 39-31 at Oklahoma State, beat UAB 37-27 LW.
Razorbacks ran ball for 232/266 yards in those two games.
Razorbacks have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Razorbacks have 67 returning starts on the offensive line;
Junior QB Green started 22 games at Boise State.
Under Pittman, Arkansas is 17-7 ATS as an underdog.
Arkansas is 10-3 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog.
Under Pittman, Arkansas is 19-13-2 ATS in SEC games.
Last 2+ years, Razorbacks are 3-7-1 ATS coming off a win.
Auburn (2-1)
Auburn lost 21-14 to Cal, beat New Mexico 45-19 in its I-A games.
Auburn has had three straight losing years (6-7/5-7/5-7).
Tigers have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Tigers have 87 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Brown was 17-25/235 passing in his first start LW.
Since 2019, Auburn is 13-9 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Freeze is 33-24-1 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Freeze is 44-29-1 ATS in home games.
Auburn is 23-18-1 ATS in its last 42 SEC games.
Auburn won seven of last eight meetings.
Razorbacks are 5-4 ATS in last nine visits to Auburn.
Over is 9-1 in last ten series games.
Arizona State @ Texas Tech (-3)
Arizona State (3-0)
Sun Devils scored 48-30-31 points in its 3-0 SU/ATS start/
Sun Devils are +6 in turnovers, have run ball for 229.3 yards/game.
ASU has 6 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Sun Devils have 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Leavitt is 43-72/573 passing this year, and has also run for 155 yards.
Since 2017, ASU is 15-6-1 ATS as a road underdog.
ASU outgained first three opponents by 150 yards/game.
This is Sun Devils’ first-ever Big X game.
Arizona State is 18-13 ATS in last 31 conference games.
Texas Tech (2-1)
Texas Tech lost 37-16 at Wazzu, beat North Texas 66-21.
Last three years, Tech was 7-6/8-5/7-6.
Red Raiders have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Red Raiders have 125 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Morton started 12 games LY (10 TDs/2 INTs this year)
Under McGuire, Texas Tech is 9-5 ATS in home games.
Under McGuire, Red Raiders are 6-4 ATS as a home favorite.
Tech is throwing ball for 358.3 yards/game.
Tech is 29-34 ATS in its last 63 Big X games.
Texas Tech gave up 506 PY to a I-AA team in its opener.
These teams haven’t met since 2017.
Utah (-1) @ Oklahoma State
Utah (3-0, 1-0)
Utah beat Baylor 23-12, Utah State 38-21 in its I-A games.
Utes have 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Utah has 60 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Rising (knee) DNP LY; he’s got 23 career starts.
Under Whittingham, Utah is 80-72-3 ATS as favorite.
Under Whittingham, Utah is 28-31-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Utes are 6-11 ATS in its last 17 road games.
Since 2016, Utes are 45-26 ATS in conference games.
Oklahoma State (3-0)
OSU scored 39-45 points in its two I-A wins.
Cowboys passed for 326/431 yards in those games.
Cowboys have 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Cowboys have 214 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Bowman is in his 7th college season (13 starts LY)
Under Gundy, OSU is 66-47-5 ATS at home.
Since 2016, Cowboys are 8-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Since 2021, Cowboys are 19-10 ATS coming off a win
Oklahoma State is 18-10 ATS in its last 28 Big X games.
These teams haven’t met in this century.
TCU (-3) @ SMU
TCU (2-1)
TCU blew a 28-7 lead LW, in a 35-34 home loss to Central Florida.
UCF ran ball for 289 yards, outgained TCU 519-460.
TCU has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Horned Frogs have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Hoover started six games last year.
TCU won its only road game, 34-27 (-7.5) at Stanford.
Under Dykes, TCU is 11-8-1 ATS as a favorite.
In his career, Dykes is 13-18-1 ATS as road favorite.
Horned Frogs are 7-3-1 ATS in last 11 games as a road favorite.
In its two I-A games, TCU threw ball for 353/402 yards.
SMU (2-1)
SMU won 29-24 at Nevada, lost 18-15 to BYU in its I-A games.
This is a non-league game but a local rivalry.
Mustangs have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Mustangs have 120 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Jennings started twice LY.
Under Lashlee, SMU is 2-6 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2017, Mustangs are 5-3 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Lashlee, SMU is 2-5 ATS coming off a loss.
Mustangs kicked five FG”s, didn’t score TD in LW’s loss.
TCU won nine of last eleven series games.
Horned Frogs won/covered their last four visits to SMU.
Over is 11-4 in last fifteen meetings.
Tennessee (-7) @ Oklahoma
Tennessee (3-0)
Tennessee won 51-10/71-0 in its first two I-A games.
Last 2+ years, Vols are 23-6 SU/19-9 ATS
Tennessee has 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Vols have 112 returning starts on the offensive line;
Frosh QB Iamaleava had one start, was MVP of Citrus Bowl.
Under Heupel, Tennessee is 18-8 ATS as a favorite.
Under Heupel, Tennessee is 15-12 ATS in games coming off a win.
Under Heupel, Tennessee is 11-13 ATS in SEC games.
Vols outgained their first two I-A foes, 1,200-255.
Heupel played QB at Oklahoma, was later their OC.
Oklahoma (3-0)
Oklahoma won first three games, 51-3/16-12/34-19.
Since 2015, Sooners are 97-24 SU (19-10 under Venables)
Oklahoma has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Sooners have 114 returning starts on the offensive line.
QB Gabriel bolted to Oregon; soph QB is 54-86/484 passing.
This is Oklahoma’s first-ever SEC game.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 1-1 ATS as an underdog.
Under Venables, Sooners are 8-4 ATS at home.
Oklahoma is already +8 in turnovers this year.
Under Venables, Sooners are 7-10-1 ATS in conference games.
These teams haven’t met since 2015.
Iowa (-2.5) @ Minnesota
Iowa (2-1)
Iowa lost 20-19 to Iowa State, beat Troy 38-21 in its I-A games.
Iowa blew 13-0 halftime lead in the loss to the Cyclones.
Hawkeyes have 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Hawkeyes have 154 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB McNamara has 21 career starts.
Since 2020, Hawkeyes are 6-2 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Ferentz is 31-22-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Since 2015, Iowa is 44-31-2 ATS coming off a win.
Hawkeyes are 20-16-1 ATS in their last 37 conference games.
Minnesota (2-1)
Minnesota lost 19-17 to North Carolina, blanked Nevada 27-0.
Gophers were 6-7 last year, their worst season since 2017.
Gophers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Minnesota has 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Brosmer started 36 games at I-AA New Hampshire.
Under Fleck, Minnesota is 7-7-2 ATS as a home underdog.
In his career, Fleck is 9-12-2 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Fleck, Minnesota is 29-30-2 ATS in conference games.
Minnesota allowed only 252-172 TY in its I-A games.
Iowa is 8-1 SU/6-2-1 ATS in last nine meetings.
Hawkeyes covered their last four visits to the Twin Cities.
Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.
Baylor @ Colorado (-1.5)
Baylor (2-1)
Baylor lost 23-12 at Utah, beat Air Force 31-3 in its I-A games.
Bears held those teams to 292-218 TY
Baylor has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Bears have 97 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Finn started 32 games at Toledo.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 9-6 ATS as road underdogs.
Under Aranda, Bears are 13-10 ATS coming off a win.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 18-20 ATS in conference games.
Last 2+ years, Baylor is +1 in turnovers (+31 from 2019-21)
Colorado (2-1)
Colorado lost 28-10 at Nebraska, won 28-9 at Colorado State.
Sanders is 2-3 ATS as a favorite with Colorado.
Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Tigers have 100 returning starts on offensive line, and a new OL coach.
QB Sanders started 11 games LY, after playing multiple years at I-AA Jackson State.
Since 2017, Colorado is 6-11 ATS as a home favorite.
Last two years, Buffs were 7-11 ATS in conference games.
Colorado is 1-5 ATS in last six games coming off a win.
In three games, Buffs ran ball 109 times for only 185 yards.
These teams haven’t met since 2010.
Kansas State (-6.5) @ BYU
Kansas State (3-0)
K-State beat Tulane 34-27, Arizona 31-7 in first two I-A games.
Wildcats ran ball for 215-235 yards in those games.
Wildcats have 4 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Wildcats have 73 returning starts on OL, only 36 at I-A level.
Frosh QB Johnson threw for 490 yards, ran for 187 more in three games.
Last 2+ years, K-State is 1-5 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Klieman, Wildcats are 21-12 ATS as a favorite.
Under Klieman, K-State is 31-16 ATS in Big X games.
Wildcats are 23-16 ATS in last 39 games coming off a win.
BYU (3-0)
BYU won 18-15 at SMU, 34-14 at Wyoming in its I-A games.
BYU was 5-7 LY, after five straight winning seasons.
Cougars have 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Broncos have 88 starts returning on the offensive line.
Senior QB Bohanon started 19 games at Baylor/South Florida
This is BYU’s first Big X game.
Under Sitake, BYU is 7-6-1 ATS as a home underdog.
In his career, coach Sitake is 21-14-1 ATS as an underdog.
Last 2+ years, BYU is 6-8 ATS coming off a win.
These teams haven’t met in this century.
Purdue @ Oregon State (-4.5)
Purdue (1-0)
Purdue lost its only I-A game 66-7 to Notre Dame last week.
Purdue was outgained 578-162; Notre Dame ran for 362 yards.
Boilermakers have 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Purdue has 165 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Card has 16 career starts.
Last 10+ years, Purdue is 25-10 ATS as a road underdog.
Last 2+ years, Boilers are 2-6 ATS in non-conference games.
Purdue was 4-8 last year, its 4th losing season in six years.
Purdue is 8-11 ATS in last 19 games coming off a loss.
Oregon State (2-1)
Last week, OSU got whacked 49-14 by rival Oregon.
Last two years, Beavers were 18-8 SU, but they’ve been gutted.
Oregon State has 4 starters back on offense, 1 on defense.
Beavers have 93 returning starts on OL, from various places.
Junior QB McCoy started 23 games at I-AA Idaho.
Last three years, Oregon State is 13-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Beavers are 14-7 ATS in last 21 non-league games.
Beavers are 2-5 ATS in last seven games coming off a loss.
Oregon State won 21-0 at San Diego State, in its other I-A game
Three years ago, Oregon State (+7) lost 30-21 at Purdue.
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 4
Saturday’s best 13 games
Florida (-6) @ Mississippi State
Florida (1-2, 0-1)
Florida lost its two I-A games, 41-17/33-20.
Last three years, Gators were 6-7/6-7/5-7.
Florida has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Gators have 80 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Mertz/frosh QB Lagway are splitting time.
Last four years, Florida is 1-9 ATS as a road favorite.
Last 3+ years, Florida is 14-25-1 ATS overall.
In his career, Napier is 19-24-1 ATS as favorite, 7-7 on road.
Under Napier, Florida is 8-9 ATS in SEC games.
In its two I-A games, Gators gave up 529/488 total yards.
Mississippi State (1-2)
Miss State lost first two I-A games, 30-23/41-17.
Miss State was outrushed 515-90 in those two games.
Bulldogs have 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Bulldogs have 67 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Shapen started 23 games at Baylor.
Since 2019, MSU is 1-10-1 ATS as a home underdog.
MSU is 4-11-1 ATS in its last sixteen SEC games.
Bulldogs are 2-8-1 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.
Jeff Lebby is Miss State’s 5th head coach the last eight seasons.
Lebby was offensive coordinator at Oklahoma the last 2 years.
Teams haven’t met since 2018.
Florida won three of last four series games.
Underdogs covered last five meetings.
Last three series games stayed under the total.
Houston @ Cincinnati (-3.5)
Houston (1-2)
Houston was held to 7-12 points in losses to UNLV/Oklahoma.
Cougars whacked crosstown rival Rice 33-7 last week.
Houston has 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Cougars have 118 returning starts on OL, only 30 of them at Houston.
Senior QB Smith has 20 career starts.
Houston is 10-6-1 ATS in last 17 games as a road underdog.
Houston is 6-10-1 ATS in its last 17 conference games.
In his career, Fritz is 23-20-1 ATS as an underdog
Cougars are 9-15 ATS in last 24 games coming off a win.
Cincinnati (2-1)
Cincinnati lost 28-27 at home to Pitt, won 27-16 at Miami OH
Bearcats were 3-9 LY, their first losing season since 2017.
Bearcats have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Bearcats have 91 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Sorsby started 7 games at Indiana last year.
Last 2+ years, Cincinnati is 5-11 ATS as a favorite.
Last 2+ years, Cincinnati is 3-7 ATS as a home favorite.
Last two years, Cincinnati was 3-13-1 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Satterfield is 24-25-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Last two weeks, Bearcats gave up 302/356 passing yards.
Cincinnati won/covered last four meetings.
Cougars are 1-5-1 ATS in last seven visits to Cincinnati
Under is 4-2 in last six series games.
Kansas @ West Virginia (-2.5)
Kansas (1-2)
Kansas lost its two I-A games, 23-17 at Illinois, 23-20 to UNLV.
Kansas outgained those opponents by 56-85 yards, were minus-3 in TO’s.
Jayhawks have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Kansas has 130 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Daniels has 20 career starts.
In his career, Leipold is 11-19-1 ATS as road underdog.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 5-9 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 13-13-1 ATS in Big X games.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 9-11 ATS coming off a loss.
West Virginia (1-2)
WVU lost its two I-A games, 34-12 to Penn State, 38-34 at Pitt.
Two weeks ago, WVU gave up 306 PY to a I-AA team.
Mountaineers have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Mountaineers have 113 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Greene has 14 career starts.
Since 2020, WVU is 11-4 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Brown is 20-16-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Brown, WVU is 20-24 ATS in Big X games.
Under Brown, Mountaineers are 17-11 ATS in games coming off a loss.
West Virginia is minus-5 turnovers in its first three games.
West Virginia won eight of last nine series games.
Kansas covered its last five visits to Morgantown.
Over is 6-1 in last seven meetings.
USC (-5.5) @ Michigan
USC (2-0)
In first two games, Trojans beat LSU 27-20, Utah State 48-0.
USC gained 447/544 yards in those games.
USC has 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Trojans have 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Moss won his only start 42-28 LY (bowl game).
In his career, Riley is 8-17-1 as a road favorite, 2-6 at USC.
Trojans are 9-19 ATS in last 28 conference games.
In his career, Riley is 31-35-1 ATS in conference games.
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USC outgained LSU 447-421 in their 27-20 win in Las Vegas.
This is USC’s first Big 18 conference game.
Michigan (2-1)
Michigan is switching QB’s this week; junior QB Orji gets the nod
Wolverines were minus-5 in turnovers the last two weeks.
Wolverines have 2 starters back on offense, 5 on defense, a new head coach.
New defensive coordinator Martindale has a significant NFL resume.
Michigan has 53 returning starts on offensive line (none at Michigan).
Last 3+ years, Michigan is 3-1 ATS as an underdog.
Wolverines were held to 269-284 yards by Fresno/Texas.
Michigan ran for 301 yards LW but only beat Arkansas State 28-18.
Michigan is 19-8-3 ATS in its last 30 conference games.
Last 3+ years, Michigan is 21-14-3 ATS coming off a win.
These teams haven’t met since a bowl game 18 years ago.
Arkansas @ Auburn (-3)
Arkansas (2-1)
Arkansas lost 39-31 at Oklahoma State, beat UAB 37-27 LW.
Razorbacks ran ball for 232/266 yards in those two games.
Razorbacks have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Razorbacks have 67 returning starts on the offensive line;
Junior QB Green started 22 games at Boise State.
Under Pittman, Arkansas is 17-7 ATS as an underdog.
Arkansas is 10-3 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog.
Under Pittman, Arkansas is 19-13-2 ATS in SEC games.
Last 2+ years, Razorbacks are 3-7-1 ATS coming off a win.
Auburn (2-1)
Auburn lost 21-14 to Cal, beat New Mexico 45-19 in its I-A games.
Auburn has had three straight losing years (6-7/5-7/5-7).
Tigers have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Tigers have 87 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Brown was 17-25/235 passing in his first start LW.
Since 2019, Auburn is 13-9 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Freeze is 33-24-1 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Freeze is 44-29-1 ATS in home games.
Auburn is 23-18-1 ATS in its last 42 SEC games.
Auburn won seven of last eight meetings.
Razorbacks are 5-4 ATS in last nine visits to Auburn.
Over is 9-1 in last ten series games.
Arizona State @ Texas Tech (-3)
Arizona State (3-0)
Sun Devils scored 48-30-31 points in its 3-0 SU/ATS start/
Sun Devils are +6 in turnovers, have run ball for 229.3 yards/game.
ASU has 6 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Sun Devils have 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Leavitt is 43-72/573 passing this year, and has also run for 155 yards.
Since 2017, ASU is 15-6-1 ATS as a road underdog.
ASU outgained first three opponents by 150 yards/game.
This is Sun Devils’ first-ever Big X game.
Arizona State is 18-13 ATS in last 31 conference games.
Texas Tech (2-1)
Texas Tech lost 37-16 at Wazzu, beat North Texas 66-21.
Last three years, Tech was 7-6/8-5/7-6.
Red Raiders have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Red Raiders have 125 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Morton started 12 games LY (10 TDs/2 INTs this year)
Under McGuire, Texas Tech is 9-5 ATS in home games.
Under McGuire, Red Raiders are 6-4 ATS as a home favorite.
Tech is throwing ball for 358.3 yards/game.
Tech is 29-34 ATS in its last 63 Big X games.
Texas Tech gave up 506 PY to a I-AA team in its opener.
These teams haven’t met since 2017.
Utah (-1) @ Oklahoma State
Utah (3-0, 1-0)
Utah beat Baylor 23-12, Utah State 38-21 in its I-A games.
Utes have 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Utah has 60 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Rising (knee) DNP LY; he’s got 23 career starts.
Under Whittingham, Utah is 80-72-3 ATS as favorite.
Under Whittingham, Utah is 28-31-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Utes are 6-11 ATS in its last 17 road games.
Since 2016, Utes are 45-26 ATS in conference games.
Oklahoma State (3-0)
OSU scored 39-45 points in its two I-A wins.
Cowboys passed for 326/431 yards in those games.
Cowboys have 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Cowboys have 214 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Bowman is in his 7th college season (13 starts LY)
Under Gundy, OSU is 66-47-5 ATS at home.
Since 2016, Cowboys are 8-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Since 2021, Cowboys are 19-10 ATS coming off a win
Oklahoma State is 18-10 ATS in its last 28 Big X games.
These teams haven’t met in this century.
TCU (-3) @ SMU
TCU (2-1)
TCU blew a 28-7 lead LW, in a 35-34 home loss to Central Florida.
UCF ran ball for 289 yards, outgained TCU 519-460.
TCU has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Horned Frogs have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Hoover started six games last year.
TCU won its only road game, 34-27 (-7.5) at Stanford.
Under Dykes, TCU is 11-8-1 ATS as a favorite.
In his career, Dykes is 13-18-1 ATS as road favorite.
Horned Frogs are 7-3-1 ATS in last 11 games as a road favorite.
In its two I-A games, TCU threw ball for 353/402 yards.
SMU (2-1)
SMU won 29-24 at Nevada, lost 18-15 to BYU in its I-A games.
This is a non-league game but a local rivalry.
Mustangs have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Mustangs have 120 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Jennings started twice LY.
Under Lashlee, SMU is 2-6 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2017, Mustangs are 5-3 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Lashlee, SMU is 2-5 ATS coming off a loss.
Mustangs kicked five FG”s, didn’t score TD in LW’s loss.
TCU won nine of last eleven series games.
Horned Frogs won/covered their last four visits to SMU.
Over is 11-4 in last fifteen meetings.
Tennessee (-7) @ Oklahoma
Tennessee (3-0)
Tennessee won 51-10/71-0 in its first two I-A games.
Last 2+ years, Vols are 23-6 SU/19-9 ATS
Tennessee has 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Vols have 112 returning starts on the offensive line;
Frosh QB Iamaleava had one start, was MVP of Citrus Bowl.
Under Heupel, Tennessee is 18-8 ATS as a favorite.
Under Heupel, Tennessee is 15-12 ATS in games coming off a win.
Under Heupel, Tennessee is 11-13 ATS in SEC games.
Vols outgained their first two I-A foes, 1,200-255.
Heupel played QB at Oklahoma, was later their OC.
Oklahoma (3-0)
Oklahoma won first three games, 51-3/16-12/34-19.
Since 2015, Sooners are 97-24 SU (19-10 under Venables)
Oklahoma has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Sooners have 114 returning starts on the offensive line.
QB Gabriel bolted to Oregon; soph QB is 54-86/484 passing.
This is Oklahoma’s first-ever SEC game.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 1-1 ATS as an underdog.
Under Venables, Sooners are 8-4 ATS at home.
Oklahoma is already +8 in turnovers this year.
Under Venables, Sooners are 7-10-1 ATS in conference games.
These teams haven’t met since 2015.
Iowa (-2.5) @ Minnesota
Iowa (2-1)
Iowa lost 20-19 to Iowa State, beat Troy 38-21 in its I-A games.
Iowa blew 13-0 halftime lead in the loss to the Cyclones.
Hawkeyes have 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Hawkeyes have 154 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB McNamara has 21 career starts.
Since 2020, Hawkeyes are 6-2 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Ferentz is 31-22-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Since 2015, Iowa is 44-31-2 ATS coming off a win.
Hawkeyes are 20-16-1 ATS in their last 37 conference games.
Minnesota (2-1)
Minnesota lost 19-17 to North Carolina, blanked Nevada 27-0.
Gophers were 6-7 last year, their worst season since 2017.
Gophers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Minnesota has 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Brosmer started 36 games at I-AA New Hampshire.
Under Fleck, Minnesota is 7-7-2 ATS as a home underdog.
In his career, Fleck is 9-12-2 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Fleck, Minnesota is 29-30-2 ATS in conference games.
Minnesota allowed only 252-172 TY in its I-A games.
Iowa is 8-1 SU/6-2-1 ATS in last nine meetings.
Hawkeyes covered their last four visits to the Twin Cities.
Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.
Baylor @ Colorado (-1.5)
Baylor (2-1)
Baylor lost 23-12 at Utah, beat Air Force 31-3 in its I-A games.
Bears held those teams to 292-218 TY
Baylor has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Bears have 97 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Finn started 32 games at Toledo.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 9-6 ATS as road underdogs.
Under Aranda, Bears are 13-10 ATS coming off a win.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 18-20 ATS in conference games.
Last 2+ years, Baylor is +1 in turnovers (+31 from 2019-21)
Colorado (2-1)
Colorado lost 28-10 at Nebraska, won 28-9 at Colorado State.
Sanders is 2-3 ATS as a favorite with Colorado.
Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Tigers have 100 returning starts on offensive line, and a new OL coach.
QB Sanders started 11 games LY, after playing multiple years at I-AA Jackson State.
Since 2017, Colorado is 6-11 ATS as a home favorite.
Last two years, Buffs were 7-11 ATS in conference games.
Colorado is 1-5 ATS in last six games coming off a win.
In three games, Buffs ran ball 109 times for only 185 yards.
These teams haven’t met since 2010.
Kansas State (-6.5) @ BYU
Kansas State (3-0)
K-State beat Tulane 34-27, Arizona 31-7 in first two I-A games.
Wildcats ran ball for 215-235 yards in those games.
Wildcats have 4 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Wildcats have 73 returning starts on OL, only 36 at I-A level.
Frosh QB Johnson threw for 490 yards, ran for 187 more in three games.
Last 2+ years, K-State is 1-5 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Klieman, Wildcats are 21-12 ATS as a favorite.
Under Klieman, K-State is 31-16 ATS in Big X games.
Wildcats are 23-16 ATS in last 39 games coming off a win.
BYU (3-0)
BYU won 18-15 at SMU, 34-14 at Wyoming in its I-A games.
BYU was 5-7 LY, after five straight winning seasons.
Cougars have 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Broncos have 88 starts returning on the offensive line.
Senior QB Bohanon started 19 games at Baylor/South Florida
This is BYU’s first Big X game.
Under Sitake, BYU is 7-6-1 ATS as a home underdog.
In his career, coach Sitake is 21-14-1 ATS as an underdog.
Last 2+ years, BYU is 6-8 ATS coming off a win.
These teams haven’t met in this century.
Purdue @ Oregon State (-4.5)
Purdue (1-0)
Purdue lost its only I-A game 66-7 to Notre Dame last week.
Purdue was outgained 578-162; Notre Dame ran for 362 yards.
Boilermakers have 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Purdue has 165 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Card has 16 career starts.
Last 10+ years, Purdue is 25-10 ATS as a road underdog.
Last 2+ years, Boilers are 2-6 ATS in non-conference games.
Purdue was 4-8 last year, its 4th losing season in six years.
Purdue is 8-11 ATS in last 19 games coming off a loss.
Oregon State (2-1)
Last week, OSU got whacked 49-14 by rival Oregon.
Last two years, Beavers were 18-8 SU, but they’ve been gutted.
Oregon State has 4 starters back on offense, 1 on defense.
Beavers have 93 returning starts on OL, from various places.
Junior QB McCoy started 23 games at I-AA Idaho.
Last three years, Oregon State is 13-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Beavers are 14-7 ATS in last 21 non-league games.
Beavers are 2-5 ATS in last seven games coming off a loss.
Oregon State won 21-0 at San Diego State, in its other I-A game
Three years ago, Oregon State (+7) lost 30-21 at Purdue.
