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Cubs, Padres square off


May 19, 2015




CHICAGO CUBS (21-16) at SAN DIEGO PADRES (19-20)


First pitch: Tuesday, 10:10 p.m. ET
Sportsbook.ag Line and Total: San Diego -120, Chicago +110, Total: 6.5


Two teams that seem to be heading in different directions, the Chicago Cubs and San Diego Padres, meet for the first of three contests on Tuesday night.


It is just the beginning of what should be an extended stretch of successful years for this Cubs franchise as their core of young superstars has led them to victories in six of their last seven games while sitting a mere 3.5-games behind St. Louis in the Central race. They followed up a four-game sweep of the Mets with two wins in three attempts against Pittsburgh over the weekend. They scored 15 runs over the first two games, winning them both before being shutout in the sweep attempt by a score of 3-0. Chicago managed a meager five hits and were 0-for-7 with RISP as they failed to back the strong outing (7 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 7 K) from starter Jake Arrieta.


Superstar 1B Anthony Rizzo (.344) saw his nine-game hitting streak come to an end in the loss and he has dominated the month of May, hitting .365 with six homers, 14 RBI and 10 runs. The Padres season has been trending downwards after a successful start to the year and they come into this matchup with a 2-5 record in their last seven games. The recent series against Washington got ugly as they were outscored 24-6 in the final three meetings and failed to even the four-game set with a big 10-5 defeat on Sunday. The Nationals had only eight hits in the contest, but earned six free passes and maximized with men on base, hitting two three-run homers. OF Justin Upton (.293) put up his best effort in the loss with a 3-for-3 day in which he clocked two solo HRs; posting his fourth multi-hit game in the past eight outings.


Starting the contest for the visiting Cubbies will be RHP Jason Hammel (3-1, 3.11 ERA) as he looks to outpitch RHP James Shields (5-0, 3.91 ERA) of the host San Diego group. The road has been a struggle for this young Chicago team as they are 8-8 away from home and will be fortunate enough to take on these Padres that are 10-10 at Petco Park. San Diego has gotten the better of the Cubs since the start of 2013 as they are 10-7 overall in the matchup, barely breaking even (4-3) at home in that time. They already met in the “Windy City” for three games this year when the Padres took 2-of-3 on the road and scored at least five runs in each contest. Some trends to keep an eye on include that when James Shields is on the mound; his team is a mere 1-8 in home games after a loss since the start of last year as San Diego is a solid 18-5 (.783) after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more in the past three seasons.


Chicago is missing tons of depth in this one as 3B Mike Olt (Wrist), 2B Tommy La Stella (Ribs) and OF Chris Denorfia (Hamstring) are out while the Padres are without OF Wil Myers (Undisclosed), 1B Yonder Alonso (Shoulder) and OF Melvin Upton Jr. (Foot).


Hammel has been steadily improving over the past three seasons and is on pace to post a sub-3.50 ERA for the third time in the last four years. He has done so with impeccable control (1.2 BB/9) as he continues to strike out a decent amount of batters (8.0 K/9). He’s put up four consecutive quality starts entering this outing and has a 25:5 K/BB ratio during that period in which his team is 3-1. He’s had little success against the Padres in his career, going 4-3 (6-7 team record) with a 5.15 ERA (1.43 WHIP) and has allowed four or more runs to score in three of his last five performances.


OFs Matt Kemp (8-for-28, 2 doubles, 1 HR, 3 RBI, 7 K) and Justin Upton (8-for-32, 2 doubles, 2 HR, 8 RBI, 7 K) have shown some power off of the righty as OF Will Venable has performed horrible with just one hit in 17 at-bats (.059) with three strikeouts. One thing holding Chicago back right now is a below-average bullpen which has gone 8-6 with a 4.32 ERA (1.36 WHIP) and is a poor 9-for-16 (56%) in save chances.


Hector Rondon (3.18 ERA, 8 saves) blew his second save of the year in his last outing and is now 8-for-10 on the year. Shields has done what his new team was hoping he would, win games, and through eight starts he already has five as he looks to get double-digit victories for the ninth consecutive season. His strikeouts (11.9 K/9) are way above his career average of 7.8 K/9) and he continues to do well despite giving up 12 long balls (2.2 HR/9) on the year. He’s allowed eight of them over his last three starts, but is coming off a fantastic performance (6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 9 K) in Seattle last Wednesday. He’s met with the Cubs just twice in 293 career starts, going 1-0 (2-0 team record) with a 4.38 ERA (1.30 WHIP) and earned the win against them behind six strong innings (3 ER, 5 H, 9 K) back in April.


The only batter with double-digit at-bats against the righty is OF Chris Coughlan and he has been successful with five hits in 15 at-bats (.333) as two went for doubles. On the other side of things, youngsters 3B Kris Bryant, SS Starlin Castro and OF Dexter Fowler have combined to go 1-for-13 with eight strikeouts in the matchup. The Padres ‘pen has been horrible thus far with a 5-5 record, 4.66 ERA (1.38 WHIP), but have saved a solid 11-of-15 (73%) games. The ninth has been held down by Craig Kimbrel (5.52 ERA, 10 saves) who has not done particularly well in his first season with San Diego, giving up at least one run in six of his last 10 appearances.
 

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Diamond Trends - Tuesday


May 19, 2015




SU TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Braves are 10-0 since July 30, 2012 at home when they are off two wins in which they never trailed and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $1005.



PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:


-- When Jose Quintana starts the White Sox are 0-14 OU since April 24, 2013 at home after throwing at least six innings and allowing no more than six hits last start for a net profit of $1400 when playing the under.


MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:


-- The Blue Jays are 17-0 (+$1,700) in database history as a home favorite in a game not starting before 1:00 after a win in which they allowed 12+ hits against this team.


CHOICE TREND:


-- The Mets are 13-0 OU since September 08, 2011 as a dog after scoring 3 runs or less and winning as a favorite for a net profit of $1300 when playing the over.


ACTIVE TRENDS:


-- The Rockies are 1-11 since July 18, 2014 when they are off two losses in which they never led for a net profit of $1000 when playing against.
 

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Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

-- Bruce Chen retired after 17 big league seasons with 11 different teams, where he proved that it pays to be lefthanded.

-- Angels' Matt Shoemaker has started seven games, all won by the road team.

-- Rough night for Randal Grichuk of St Louis; 0-6 with five K's. Oy.

-- Coming into this week, Miami's Dee Gordon had 15 more hits than anyone else in the National League.

-- Padres/Marlins have never had a player hit for the cycle; Arizona's Aaron Hill hit for the cycle twice, both in 2012.

-- Lightning 6, Rangers 2-- Tyler Johnson had a hat trick; series is 1-1.

**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.......

13) Tonight and tomorrow night are the last two nights for David Letterman's TV show; he has Bob Dylan on tongiht, making a rare TV appearance. Eddie Vedder was terrific at the end of last night's show.

12) When baseball teams own the TV stations their games are shown on, you get better stuff; Mets have in-game interviews with pitchers or subs in third inning of their home games.

Then there are the Marlins, who put their team president on the air after they made the GM the field manager Monday. He didn't have a lot to say.

11) Christopher Kamka from Chicago comes up with some great nuggets; this one is interesting.........

Last 33 times Chris Sale started for White Sox, Tyler Flowers was his catcher, thats 3,452 pitches thrown to the same catcher.

In Jeff Samardzija's last 41 starts, he's thrown to seven different catchers.

10) Miami Dolphins signed QB Ryan Tannehill up thru the 2020 season; now he has to play like he's worth it-- he hasn't to this point. Taneyhill was WR for half of his career at Texas A&M- this will be interesting to follow.

9) Corey Kluber struck out 12 White Sox; he has 30 strikeouts in his last two starts, but Chicago beat the Tribe 3-2 and Cleveland is now 1-7 this year when Kluber starts, after he won the Cy Young Award last year.

8) Mets scored four runs in Matt Harvey's last three starts; he left his last two starts with 1-0 leads, but the NY bullpen blew both leads- at some point, they will have to make a trade to bolster their lineup-- then we'll find out if Sandy Alderson deserved to have a book written about him.

7) Colorado catcher Nick Hundley got thrown out last night by the first base umpire when he argued a check-swing call against him; biggest problem there is that the first base ump last night works the plate tonight, so Hundley will be 18 inches in front of him for three hours tonight- that should be fun.

6) I hope this is just a weird coincidence; the Marlins fired Mike Redmond with a 16-22 record. Twelve years ago, the Marlins fired Jeff Torborg and re-hired Jack McKeon, who led the Marlins to a world title. The Marlins record when they made the Torborg/McKeon switch? 16-22.

5) Why are fedoras such a popular giveaway item at ball games this year?

4) Good baseball teams have starting pitchers who can be depended upon to go 6+ innings, takes the strain off the bullpen. Teams whose pitchers last less than six innings put a strain on the bullpen, which more often than not turns into a disaster. Building a good bullpen is a hit-and-miss proposition.

3) Seven baseball games Monday; six one-run games, three in extra innings, only three of 14 teams scored more than three runs.

2) Do the Phoenix Suns have the best trainers in the NBA? In five years with the Suns: Grant Hill played in 362/410 games (88.3%). During the rest of his NBA career, he played in 664/1148 games (57.8%).

1) NFL owners' meetings are this week; chances are the league will change how extra points are done, making them longer while giving the defense the chance to score two points, the way they can in college.

Imagine how bettors will feel when this happens; Team A is favored by 2.5 points; they trail by four with 0:12 left- they score a TD with 0:04 left to go up by two points. Instead of kicking the PAT (which could be blocked and run back for tying points), Team A takes a knee and wins but does not cover. I'd love to be in Las Vegas the first time that happens.
 

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MLB
Dunkel

Tuesday, May 19


Arizona @ Miami

Game 951-952
May 19, 2015 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Hellickson) 16.607
Miami
(Koehler) 15.808
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
-145
8
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+125); Under

St. Louis @ NY Mets

Game 953-954
May 19, 2015 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Wacha) 13.825
NY Mets
(Niese) 17.143
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 3 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-130
7
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(+110); Under

Philadelphia @ Colorado

Game 955-956
May 19, 2015 @ 8:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
(Harang) 13.519
Colorado
(Bettis) 15.112
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-115
10
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-115); Over

Chicago Cubs @ San Diego

Game 957-958
May 19, 2015 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Hammel) 15.534
San Diego
(Shields) 17.102
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
-120
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(-120); Over

LA Dodgers @ San Francisco

Game 959-960
May 19, 2015 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Frias) 15.498
San Francisco
(Hudson) 16.552
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 1
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-115
7
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(-105); Under

LA Angels @ Toronto

Game 961-962
May 19, 2015 @ 7:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Angels
(Santiago) 16.369
Toronto
(Sanchez) 13.361
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 3
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-120
9
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(+100); Under

Seattle @ Baltimore

Game 963-964
May 19, 2015 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Walker) 14.921
Baltimore
(Gonzalez) 16.592
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
-125
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-125); Over

Texas @ Boston

Game 965-966
May 19, 2015 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Gallardo) 14.166
Boston
(Miley) 15.786
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-135
9
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-135); Over

Oakland @ Houston

Game 967-968
May 19, 2015 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Gray) 17.412
Houston
(Hernandez) 16.018
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-140
8
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-140); Over

Cleveland @ Chicago White Sox

Game 969-970
May 19, 2015 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Bauer) 14.512
Chicago White Sox
(Quintana) 17.166
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 2 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago White Sox
-135
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(-135); Over

NY Yankees @ Washington

Game 971-972
May 19, 2015 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Eovaldi) 16.255
Washington
(Gonzalez) 15.119
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-140
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(+120); Under

Minnesota @ Pittsburgh

Game 973-974
May 19, 2015 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Nolasco) 14.853
Pittsburgh
(Liriano) 13.648
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-175
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+155); Under

Milwaukee @ Detroit

Game 975-976
May 19, 2015 @ 7:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Nelson) 16.094
Detroit
(Sanchez) 15.024
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
-175
8
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+155); Under

Tampa Bay @ Atlanta

Game 977-978
May 19, 2015 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Ramirez) 12.738
Atlanta
(Fltynwicz) 14.122
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-115
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-105); Under

Cincinnati @ Kansas City

Game 979-980
May 19, 2015 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Cueto) 15.409
Kansas City
(Ventura) 16.845
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
-120
7
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-120); Over
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, May 19


National League
Cardinals @ Mets
Cardinals are are 7-0 when Wacha starts (1-0, 2.04 in last three); three of his last four road starts stayed under.

Niese is 2-0, 1.35 in his last three home starts; he allowed eight unearned runs in his seven starts this season.

Mets won four of last six games with St Louis; under is 9-0-1 in last ten games in series. Mets won last three games- they're 16-4 at home. Under is 7-3-2 in their last 12 games. Cardinals lost six of last nine games- five of their last six games stayed under.

Diamondbacks @ Marlins
Hellickson is 0-1, 7.08 in his last four starts (over 3-0-1).

Koehler is 0-1, 4.76 in his last three starts; five of his last six went over.

Miami lost seven of last eight games; five of their last seven went over; they are 3-2 in last five games with Arizona-- seven of last ten series games went under. Arizona lost seven of last ten games- seven of its last 11 went over.

Phillies @ Rockies
Harang is 2-1, 1.71 in his last three starts; under is 7-1-2 in his last ten.

Bettis allowed four runs in five IP in his first '15 start; he was 1-3, 5.64 in eight starts two years ago.

Colorado lost 14 of its last 16 games, with three of last four going over; they lost four of last five games with Philly- four of five went over total. Phillies won their last six games, with five of those staying under the total.

Cubs @ Padres
Hammel is 2-0, 1.86 in his last four starts; four of his last five stayed under.

Shields is 3-0, 5.71 in his last three starts; Padres scored 18 runs in those games- six of his last eight starts went over.

Cubs lost four of last five games with San Diego (over 4-0-1); Chicago won six of its last seven games- under is 5-2-1 in his last eight. Padres lost last three games, outscored 24-6; three of their last four games went over.

Dodgers @ Giants
Frias is 2-0, 3.31 in his three starts (over 2-0-1).

Hudson is 1-3, 5.31 in his last six starts; seven of his last nine stayed under.

Home side won seven of last eight Dodger-Giant games; LA lost last three in this park. Dodgers are 2-3 in last five games, but 6-3 in last nine road games. Giants won last three games, scoring 30 runs; over is 4-1-1 in their last six.

American League
Angels @ Blue Jays
Santiago is 2-1, 2.27 in his last six starts, four of which went over.

Sanchez is 2-1, 3.44 in his last three starts; under is 4-2-1 in his last seven.

Angels won eight of last 12 games; nine of their last 11 stayed under total. Halos won eight of last 11 games with Toronto. Blue Jays lost seven of last nine games; five of their last seven went over.

Mariners @ Orioles
Walker is 0-2, 8.36 in his last three starts; three of his last four went under.

Gonzalez is 2-1, 2.79 in his last three starts; seven of his last ten went under.

Seattle lost five of last seven games with Baltimore; seven of last eight series games stayed under. Mariners lost six of last seven road games; their last five games overall stayed under the total. Orioles are 4-6 in last ten games; their last four games stayed under.

Rangers @ Red Sox
Gallardo is 1-4, 4.20 in his last five starts; under is 4-2-1 in his last seven.

Miley is 1-3, 5.73 in his last four starts; four of his last five stayed under.

Boston won five of their last seven games with Texas; they're 5-3 in last eight games overall, with last five games staying under total. Red Sox lost five of their last six home games. Rangers lost three of last four games; over is 4-2-1 in their last seven.

A's @ Astros
Gray is 3-1, 1.29 in his last five starts; over is 5-2-1 in his last eight.

Hernandez is 1-2, 4.64 in his last five starts; three of his last four went over.

Houston won five of last six games, scoring 29 runs; they won last four of last five games with Oakland- three of last four went over total. A's lost nine of last 11 games; over is 6-3-1 in their last ten.

Indians @ White Sox
Bauer is 0-1, 5.96 in his last four starts, three of which went over.

Quintana is 1-2, 2.08 in his last four starts, all of which stayed under.

White Sox won eight of last nine games, with six of last seven staying under total. Chicago won three of last four games with Cleveland; last 11 series games stayed under total. Indians are 4-6 in last ten games; four of their last six games stayed under.

Interleague
Bronx @ Nationals
Eovaldi is 2-1, 4.88 in his last four starts; four of his last five stayed under.

Gonzalez is 2-0, 3.32 in his last three staets; three of his last four starts went over the total.

Nationals lost last three games with Bronx; five of last seven series games got under the total. Washington won nine of last 11 games (over 10-1). Bronx lost five of last six games, with five of the six staying under the total.

Twins @ Pirates
Nolasco is 3-0, 5.28 in his last three starts; Twins scored 17 runs for him.

Liriano is 0-2, 6.08 in his last two starts; three of his last four home starts went over the total.

Minnesota won six of last nine games with Pittsburgh; five of last seven in series went over. Twins are 3-4 in last seven games; six of their last nine went over total. Pirates lost four of last five; six of their last eight stayed under.

Brewers @ Tigers
Nelson is 0-3, 7.15 in his last four starts.

Sanchez is 2-2, 3.63 in his last five starts; seven of his last ten went over.

Milwaukee lost four of last six games (under 4-1-1). Detroit won three of last five games; seven of their last nine games stayed under the total. Teams are meeting this week for first time since 2009.

Rays @ Braves
Ramirez is 1-1, 7.30 in his three starts (under 2-1).

Foltynewicz is 2-0, 5.29 in his last three starts (over 1-1-1).

Rays lost four of last five games with Atlanta; eight of last ten series games stayed under. Tampa Bay won four of last six games; four of its last six went under the total. Braves won last three games, allowing six runs; four of their last six games stayed under.

Reds @ Royals
Cueto is 3-1, 3.38 in his last five starts (under 3-1-1).

Ventura is 0-3, 6.59 in his last five starts; seven of his last 10 went over.

Cincinnati lost five of last six games with Kansas City; four of last five went over total. Reds lost last three games, allowing 30 runs; all three games went over. Royals won three of last four games; under is 3-1-1 in his last five.

Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
Az-Mia-- Hellickson 1-6; Koehler 3-4
StL-NY-- Wacha 7-0; Niese 3-4
Phil-Colo-- Harang 5-3; Bettis 1-0
Chi-SD-- Hammel 4-3; Shields 5-3
LA-SF-- Frias 2-1; Hudson 3-4

LAA-Tor-- Santiago 3-4; Sanchez 3-4
Sea-Balt-- Walker 2-5; MGonzalez 2-4
Tex-Bos-- Gallardo 3-8; Miley 3-4
A's-Hst-- Gray 4-4; Hernandez 3-4
Clev-Chi-- Bauer 3-4; Quintana 3-4

NY-Wsh-- Eovaldi 4-3; GGonzalez 5-2
Min-Pitt-- Nolasco 3-1; Liriano 1-6
Mil-Det-- Nelson 2-5; Sanchez 3-5
TB-Atl-- Ramirez 2-1; Foltynewicz 2-1
Cin-KC-- Cueto 5-3; Ventura 3-4

Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
Az-Mia-- Hellickson 4-7; Koehler 0-7
StL-NY-- Wacha 3-7; Niese 3-7
Phil-Colo-- Harang 1-8; Bettis 1-1
Chi-SD-- Hammel 1-7; Shields 2-8
LA-SF-- Frias 1-3; Hudson 2-7

LAA-Tor-- Santiago 1-7; Sanchez 3-4
Sea-Balt-- Walker 2-7; MGonzalez 1-6
Tex-Bos-- Gallardo 3-8; Miley 2-7
A's-Hst-- Gray 1-8; Hernandez 4-7
Clev-Chi-- Bauer 1-7; Quintana 3-7

NY-Wsh-- Eovaldi 4-7; GGonzalez 1-6
Min-Pitt-- Nolasco 0-4; Liriano 1-7
Mil-Det-- Nelson 3-7; Sanchez 2-8
TB-Atl-- Ramirez 2-3; Foltynewicz 2-3
Cin-KC-- Cueto 4-8; Ventura 2-7

Umpires
Az-Phil-- Four of last six Bellino games stayed under.
StL-NY-- Five of six Wolf games went over total.
Phil-Col-- Over is 3-1-1 in Wendelstedt games this year.

LA-Tor-- Three of last four Barber games stayed under.
A's-Hst-- Favorites won six of eight Fletcher games this year.
Cle-Chi-- Five of six Knight games went over the total.

Mil-Det-- Underdogs, under are 4-2 in HGibson games.
 

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Tuesday, May 19

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:05 PM
MINNESOTA vs. PITTSBURGH
Minnesota is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 11 games
Pittsburgh is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games

7:05 PM
NY YANKEES vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
NY Yankees are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Washington
Washington is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Washington's last 11 games

7:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. BALTIMORE
Seattle is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Seattle is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Baltimore's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Baltimore's last 8 games when playing Seattle

7:07 PM
LA ANGELS vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Angels's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 14 of LA Angels's last 19 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 4-12 SU in their last 16 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Toronto's last 19 games when playing LA Angels

7:08 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games on the road
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games at home

7:10 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. NY METS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of NY Mets's last 16 games
NY Mets are 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis

7:10 PM
TEXAS vs. BOSTON
Texas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
Texas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston
Boston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games at home

7:10 PM
ARIZONA vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Arizona's last 13 games when playing Miami
Arizona is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:10 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Tampa Bay's last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay

8:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games
Chi White Sox are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games

8:10 PM
CINCINNATI vs. KANSAS CITY
Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games on the road
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

8:10 PM
OAKLAND vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Oakland's last 23 games
Oakland is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland

8:40 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. COLORADO
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Philadelphia's last 23 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Philadelphia is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Colorado's last 23 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

10:10 PM
CHI CUBS vs. SAN DIEGO
Chi Cubs are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games when playing on the road against San Diego
Chi Cubs are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing San Diego
San Diego is 8-3 SU in their last 11 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

10:15 PM
LA DODGERS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
LA Dodgers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
LA Dodgers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Francisco's last 12 games at home
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers

 

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Tuesday, May 19


Pitcher change - Tom Koehler, Miami

Miami vs. Arizona on May 19 at 7:10 PM. Previous Starter: Jarred Cosart.
 

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MLB

Tuesday, May 19


Hitters' wind at Comerica Park Tuesday

According to weather forecasts, wind will blow out to left field at around 13 miles per hour at Comerica Park when the Detroit Tigers host the Milwaukee Brewers Tuesday evening.

The Tigers (-177) are scheduled to start Anibal Sanchez while Jimmy Nelson is the probable starter for the Brewers. The total for Tuesday's meeting is presently 8.


The diamond produces another day of unders

Major League Baseball under bettors have gone home happy for two consecutive days after the under went 6-1 Monday.

The under is now 17-5 over the past two days, that is a success rate of 77.27 percent. Which is much higher than the season average of 47.40 percent.
 

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Long Sheet

Tuesday, May 19

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ARIZONA (16 - 21) at MIAMI (16 - 23) - 7:10 PM
JEREMY HELLICKSON (R) vs. TOM KOEHLER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 80-119 (-35.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 197-232 (-58.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
ARIZONA is 80-119 (-35.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 61-89 (-26.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 27-51 (-24.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
HELLICKSON is 4-16 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HELLICKSON is 0-8 (-8.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HELLICKSON is 2-10 (-9.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HELLICKSON is 1-10 (-9.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MIAMI is 20-10 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 11-21 (-11.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 (+1.1 Units) against MIAMI this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

JEREMY HELLICKSON vs. MIAMI since 1997
HELLICKSON is 0-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 5.59 and a WHIP of 2.070.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

TOM KOEHLER vs. ARIZONA since 1997
KOEHLER is 1-2 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.533.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

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ST LOUIS (25 - 13) at NY METS (23 - 16) - 7:10 PM
MICHAEL WACHA (R) vs. JON NIESE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 102-99 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 16-4 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY METS are 13-3 (+9.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less this season.
NY METS are 16-4 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 15-3 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 13-1 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
ST LOUIS is 105-57 (+37.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 19-46 (-24.6 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

MICHAEL WACHA vs. NY METS since 1997
WACHA is 2-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.81 and a WHIP of 1.438.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

JON NIESE vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
NIESE is 4-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 2.27 and a WHIP of 1.235.
His team's record is 5-2 (+4.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-5. (-4.4 units)

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PHILADELPHIA (17 - 23) at COLORADO (13 - 22) - 8:40 PM
AARON HARANG (R) vs. CHAD BETTIS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 73-92 (-28.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 184-175 (+31.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
HARANG is 41-30 (+23.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 79-118 (-35.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 224-298 (-81.8 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997.
COLORADO is 79-118 (-35.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 51-83 (-30.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 54-87 (-31.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 1-8 (-8.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
COLORADO is 33-49 (-18.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against COLORADO this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

AARON HARANG vs. COLORADO since 1997
HARANG is 6-6 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 7-7 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-5. (+3.2 units)

CHAD BETTIS vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
BETTIS is 0-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 1.69 and a WHIP of 1.313.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (21 - 16) at SAN DIEGO (19 - 20) - 10:10 PM
JASON HAMMEL (R) vs. JAMES SHIELDS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1408-1569 (-278.0 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 190-249 (-82.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 151-189 (-55.1 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1351-1482 (-252.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1033-1166 (-211.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 689-690 (-156.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
HAMMEL is 3-12 (-12.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN DIEGO is 103-79 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 103-79 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 33-22 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SHIELDS is 17-8 (+9.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAMMEL is 30-24 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
SHIELDS is 9-15 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SHIELDS is 1-8 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 2-1 (+1.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

JASON HAMMEL vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
HAMMEL is 4-3 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 5.15 and a WHIP of 1.432.
His team's record is 6-7 (-3.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-8. (-4.0 units)

JAMES SHIELDS vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
SHIELDS is 1-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.38 and a WHIP of 1.298.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

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LA DODGERS (24 - 13) at SAN FRANCISCO (20 - 18) - 10:15 PM
CARLOS FRIAS (R) vs. TIM HUDSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 120-97 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 30-14 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 120-97 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1036-867 (+117.6 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 82-64 (+12.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 67-51 (+15.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 56-49 (+11.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HUDSON is 293-184 (+51.5 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 166-76 (+47.8 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 123-67 (+33.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 281-172 (+55.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 166-95 (+37.8 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-2 (+3.3 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

CARLOS FRIAS vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

TIM HUDSON vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
HUDSON is 6-6 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 4.03 and a WHIP of 1.315.
His team's record is 10-7 (+2.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-6. (+4.5 units)

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LA ANGELS (19 - 19) at TORONTO (18 - 22) - 7:05 PM
HECTOR SANTIAGO (L) vs. AARON SANCHEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SANTIAGO is 19-35 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TORONTO is 284-245 (+43.0 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997.
TORONTO is 20-10 (+11.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 26-10 (+14.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 759-738 (+69.0 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 25-9 (+15.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 92-62 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 66-34 (+21.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

HECTOR SANTIAGO vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

AARON SANCHEZ vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
No recent starts.

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SEATTLE (17 - 20) at BALTIMORE (16 - 19) - 7:05 PM
TAIJUAN WALKER (R) vs. MIGUEL GONZALEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 11-18 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SEATTLE is 714-642 (-100.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 116-89 (+32.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 63-41 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 102-77 (+28.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 81-54 (+31.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 91-66 (+29.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 62-52 (+12.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 49-33 (+15.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

TAIJUAN WALKER vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.

MIGUEL GONZALEZ vs. SEATTLE since 1997
GONZALEZ is 0-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.09 and a WHIP of 1.636.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

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TEXAS (16 - 22) at BOSTON (18 - 20) - 7:10 PM
YOVANI GALLARDO (R) vs. WADE MILEY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 83-117 (-20.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 25-49 (-24.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 54-92 (-32.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 4-15 (-10.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
GALLARDO is 15-25 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GALLARDO is 14-24 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GALLARDO is 9-20 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GALLARDO is 5-14 (-11.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 36-25 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 89-112 (-32.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 598-538 (-78.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
BOSTON is 41-57 (-30.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 14-21 (-14.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 79-96 (-27.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 63-79 (-22.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 62-78 (-20.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 22-32 (-18.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

YOVANI GALLARDO vs. BOSTON since 1997
GALLARDO is 1-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.65 and a WHIP of 1.861.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.3 units)

WADE MILEY vs. TEXAS since 1997
MILEY is 0-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 1.17 and a WHIP of 0.522.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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OAKLAND (14 - 26) at HOUSTON (25 - 14) - 8:10 PM
SONNY GRAY (R) vs. ROBERTO HERNANDEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 14-26 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 5-12 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in May games this season.
OAKLAND is 49-54 (-25.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 14-26 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 74-68 (-17.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 1-12 (-13.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
OAKLAND is 44-48 (-14.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GRAY is 7-14 (-13.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 25-14 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 51-52 (+12.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 25-14 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HERNANDEZ is 3-11 (-8.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-3 (+1.5 Units) against OAKLAND this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

SONNY GRAY vs. HOUSTON since 1997
GRAY is 2-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.05 and a WHIP of 1.091.
His team's record is 2-1 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.4 units)

ROBERTO HERNANDEZ vs. OAKLAND since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 5-7 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 4.98 and a WHIP of 1.548.
His team's record is 5-8 (-4.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-4. (+3.2 units)

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CLEVELAND (14 - 23) at CHI WHITE SOX (18 - 17) - 8:10 PM
TREVOR BAUER (R) vs. JOSE QUINTANA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 14-23 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 7-17 (-13.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CLEVELAND is 14-23 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 5-13 (-10.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 63-61 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 2-11 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 4-2 (+2.3 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
6 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+6.0 Units)

TREVOR BAUER vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
BAUER is 1-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.10 and a WHIP of 1.573.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.2 units)

JOSE QUINTANA vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
QUINTANA is 4-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.26 and a WHIP of 1.190.
His team's record is 5-5 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-6. (-2.5 units)

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NY YANKEES (22 - 17) at WASHINGTON (22 - 17) - 7:05 PM
NATHAN EOVALDI (R) vs. GIO GONZALEZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 9-19 (-14.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 19-5 (+12.0 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 93-64 (+27.9 Units) against the money line in home games in an inter-league game since 1997.
GONZALEZ is 112-78 (+29.1 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GONZALEZ is 111-75 (+31.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 31-22 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 86-41 (+30.1 Units) against the money line after getting shut out since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

NATHAN EOVALDI vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
EOVALDI is 2-4 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.77 and a WHIP of 1.387.
His team's record is 3-4 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.3 units)

GIO GONZALEZ vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
GONZALEZ is 1-5 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.625.
His team's record is 1-5 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-4. (-2.6 units)

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MINNESOTA (21 - 17) at PITTSBURGH (18 - 20) - 7:05 PM
RICKY NOLASCO (R) vs. FRANCISCO LIRIANO (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 110-83 (+31.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing with a day off since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 140-98 (+30.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 51-29 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 363-369 (+49.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 21-17 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 11-5 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in May games this season.
MINNESOTA is 21-17 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MINNESOTA is 12-6 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 11-5 (+8.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 14-6 (+10.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NOLASCO is 70-60 (+26.2 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 23-7 (+19.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 66-58 (+22.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 54-35 (+31.5 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
PITTSBURGH is 55-54 (-30.5 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
LIRIANO is 15-21 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LIRIANO is 15-21 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LIRIANO is 52-58 (-24.7 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

RICKY NOLASCO vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
NOLASCO is 5-4 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 2.67 and a WHIP of 1.134.
His team's record is 5-4 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-6. (-4.6 units)

FRANCISCO LIRIANO vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
LIRIANO is 1-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 2.77 and a WHIP of 0.846.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (14 - 25) at DETROIT (23 - 16) - 7:05 PM
JIMMY NELSON (R) vs. ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 96-105 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 9-21 (-15.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 7-18 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 8-3 (+9.7 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 25-29 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 35-36 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 49-48 (-15.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 1-0 (+1.1 Units) against DETROIT this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.1 Units)

JIMMY NELSON vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
SANCHEZ is 2-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 5.30 and a WHIP of 1.714.
His team's record is 4-3 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+0.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (21 - 18) at ATLANTA (18 - 19) - 7:10 PM
ERASMO RAMIREZ (L) vs. MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 98-103 (-24.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 23-34 (-15.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 97-102 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 10-20 (-14.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 95-101 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ERASMO RAMIREZ vs. ATLANTA since 1997
RAMIREZ is 0-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 15.00 and a WHIP of 3.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (18 - 20) at KANSAS CITY (24 - 14) - 8:10 PM
JOHNNY CUETO (R) vs. YORDANO VENTURA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 27-52 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 24-14 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 40-25 (+13.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 27-9 (+16.4 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 19-6 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 24-14 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
KANSAS CITY is 88-63 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 87-62 (+14.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 698-786 (+42.1 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 507-568 (+36.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 29-44 (-22.3 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 299-319 (-73.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
VENTURA is 0-7 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JOHNNY CUETO vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
CUETO is 1-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.75 and a WHIP of 1.417.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

YORDANO VENTURA vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.
 

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MLB

Tuesday, May 19


Cubs ship C Castillo to Mariners

Catcher Wellington Castillo was traded to the Seattle Mariners on Tuesday, relieving a surplus at the position on the Chicago Cubs' roster.

Castillo, 28, was batting .163 with two home runs and five RBIs in 24 games.

He gives Seattle three catchers, at least temporarily. Jesus Sucre could be demoted. He was batting .067 in six games in 2015.

Castillo had 13 home runs and 46 RBIs in 2014.

Mariners catcher Mike Zunino, who had 22 homers in 2014, is viewed as the long-term answer at the position for Seattle.

The Cubs are left with Miguel Montero and David Ross, but another top prospect might not be far behind in offensive catcher Kyle Schwarber, who has nine home runs in 32 games this season.


Under has been hot in Mariners-O's matchups

In seven meetings between the Seattle Mariners and Baltimore Orioles last season, the Under was the hot play finishing at 6-1. The two clubs will meet for the first timne this season Tuesday and oddsmakers have a total of 8.5 tabbed for the game.

Taijuan Walker is the probable starter for the visiting Mariners while Miguel Gonzalez is scheduled to get the ball for the Orioles.


Phillies on six-game winning streak

Don't look now, but the Philadelphia Phillies are on fire as they take a six-game winning streak into Tuesday's meeting with the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field Tuesday.

The Phillies started the streak with a pair of home wins against the Pittsburgh Pirates (+113, +110) and took all three meetings with the Arizona Diamondbacks (+106, +104, +115). The Phils (-110) defeated the Rockies 4-3 Monday evening to keep the streak alive and remain one of the baseball's hottest teams.

Aaron Harang is the probable starter Tuesday, while the Rockies are slated to counter with Chad Bettis.
 

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NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, May 19


Houston Rockets @ Golden State Warriors

Game 501-502
May 19, 2015 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston Rockets
127.249
Golden State Warr
132.833
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State Warr
by 5 1/2
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State Warr
by 10 1/2
219 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston Rockets
(+10 1/2); Over




NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, May 19

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (64 - 30) at GOLDEN STATE (75 - 17) - 5/19/2015, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 51-37 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 47-31 ATS (+12.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 35-24 ATS (+8.6 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 28-19 ATS (+7.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 62-47 ATS (+10.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 49-33 ATS (+12.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 55-38 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) on Tuesday nights this season.
HOUSTON is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 27-18 ATS (+7.2 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 33-22 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 6-5 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 6-5 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA
Short Sheet

Tuesday, May 19


Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 1

Houston Rockets at Golden State, 9:05 ET
Houston: 7-19 ATS in road games revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent of 10 points or more
Golden State: 28-16 ATS as a home favorite




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, May 19

Warriors are 4-0 vs Houston this year; NBA teams who went 4-0 vs an opponent during season are 55-6 in playoff series against that team in playoffs that year. Golden State's wins vs Houston this year were all by 11+ points; six of last nine series games went under the total. Rockets came back from 3-1 down to beat Clippers with Game 7 in Houston two days ago- Warriors' last game was on Friday. Six of last seven Rocket games went over total; six of last seven Golden State games stayed under.

Hawks won seven of last eight games with Cleveland, winning last five played here, all by 8+ points; six of last seven series tilts went over the total. Atlanta won its first two series in six games each- they're 5-1 in home playoff games. Cleveland is 8-2 in playoffs with six of last nine games staying under total. Cavaliers last played on Thursday, Hawks on Friday Cleveland won last three games by 2-5-21 points after falling behind 2-1 in Chicago series.




NBA

Tuesday, May 19

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

9:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Houston's last 19 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Houston is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing Golden State
Golden State is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 9 games when playing Houston

 

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NBA

Tuesday, May 19

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the Day: Rockets at Warriors
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Houston Rockets at Golden State Warriors (-10, 219)
Series tied 0-0

The Houston Rockets waged an epic comeback to reach the Western Conference finals but now must figure out how to compete with the host Golden State Warriors, beginning with Tuesday’s opener. Houston became the ninth team to really from a 3-1 series deficit to defeat the Los Angeles Clippers in the semifinals but went 0-4 against the Warriors this season.

Second-seeded Houston looked like a team ready to call it a season when it trailed by 19 points with 14 minutes left in Game 6 but roared back to defeat Los Angeles and then outclassed the Clippers in the finale. “Ultimate confidence booster,” Rockets guard James Harden told reporters. “There are only a handful of teams that have done that. It gives us confidence.” Harden was the runner-up for NBA MVP honors behind Golden State guard Stephen Curry and both players will be under the microscope as they go head-to-head with an NBA Finals berth on the line. Top-seeded Golden State advanced to the conference finals with a six-game series win over Memphis, claiming the last three games after falling behind 2-1.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN

LINE HISTORY: The Golden State -10 spread has held steady since opening, but the total has risen a half-point from 218.5 to 219 as of this writing.

INJURY REPORT: Houston - K. McDaniels (out indefinitely), D. Motiejunas (out for season), P. Beverley (out indefinitely). Golden State - O. Kuzmic (questionable), M. Speights (out Tuesday).

ABOUT THE ROCKETS: Harden averaged 25.5 points, 5.5 rebounds and 5.3 assists versus Golden State during the regular season and he has scored 20 or more points in all 12 games this postseason with a high of 42. Houston received a surprise when playoff disappointment Josh Smith emerged to average 17 points in the final two games against the Clippers while small forward Trevor Ariza made six 3-pointers in the series finale for his second 22-point effort in three games. Center Dwight Howard has been superb in the postseason with six double-doubles in the series against Los Angeles and nine overall.

ABOUT THE WARRIORS: Curry averaged 25.8 points, 8.3 assists and 6.5 rebounds in the four regular-season games against Houston and is coming off a superb outing in the finale against the Grizzlies in which he made eight 3-pointers while contributing 32 points and 10 assists. He has five 30-point outings in the postseason and Golden State is hoping shooting guard Klay Thompson will regain his shooting stroke after his high point total was just 21 against Memphis. Forward Draymond Green is averaging 13.8 points, 10.1 rebounds and 5.1 assists in the postseason, while center Andrew Bogut’s main job will be getting under the skin of the easy-to-frustrate Howard.

CONSENSUS: Per Consensus, 63 percent of users are backing the underdog Rockets.
 

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NBA

Tuesday, May 19


Warriors owned the Rockets in the regular season

If the Houston Rockets are going to find any success in the Western Conference finals against the Golden State Warriors, they'll need to put the regular season in the rear-view mirror.

James Harden and company dropped all four of their meetings with the Warriors in the 2014-15 NBA campaign. The Rockets fell by a combined 61 points during those contests.

Books are offering the Warriors as 10-point home favorites with a total of 219.


LeBron James, Cleveland - Prob Wed

James tweaked his back in Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals but is expected to play in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Final against the Hawks.
 

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Game 1 - Rockets at Warriors


May 18, 2015




The Western Conference Finals beginTuesday from Oracle Arena as No. 1 Golden State meets No. 2 Houston in a best-of-seven series. Even though this matchup pits the top two teams in the West against one another, not many could’ve expected this pair reaching the conference finals at the beginning of the season.


In early October veteran oddsmaker Jay Kornegay and his staff at the Westgate Las Vegas has Golden State and Houston both listed as 12/1 betting choices to win the West, behind the Spurs, Thunder and Clippers.


The Rockets haven’t played in the conference finals since 1997 while the Warriors haven’t made a trip since 1976, the same year they also claimed the franchise’s only NBA Finals championship.


While the pair were once considered equals nearly seven months ago, the same cannot be said now. Golden State has been installed as a minus-750 series favorite (Bet $100 to win $13) at Sportsbook.ag with Houston listed at plus-550 underdog. (Bet $100 to win $550).


For Game 1, the Warriors are 10-point favorites at most betting shops and VegasInsider.com NBA expert Tony Mejia isn’t surprised by the number.


He said, “It wasn’t a shock to see that oddsmakers went ahead and placed the Game 1 point spread at double-digits, a sure slap in the face to the Rockets, but circumstances dictate that they should protect themselves against a potential blowout. For starters, think about how Houston started its last series, faltering at home against the Chris Paul-less Clippers. The Rockets ended up winning in seven games, but as a result of becoming the ninth team in NBA history to erase a 3-1 playoff series deficit, they had to turn right around and start focusing on Golden State, which includes traveling the few hours into Oakland after prevailing on Sunday afternoon. That’s a short turnaround for a team that had such little success in their four regular-season meetings against the Warriors, losing every time by at least 11 points.”


Playing on one day rest won’t be easy for Houston but it did go 33-14 under these circumstances during the regular season and 5-4 in the playoffs. Golden State hasn’t played since Friday when it eliminated Memphis in Game 6 on the road. The Warriors will have had three full days of rest for Game 1 and they’ve gone 6-1 both straight up and against the spread this season with that long of a break.


It’s rare to see this big of a favorite in the conference finals but it’s hard to argue the number, especially when you look at the recent head-to-head history.


Golden State hammered Houston four time this season, winning and covering each contest while averaging 115 points per game. The last two encounters took place in mid-January and Golden State posted 131 and 126 points versus Houston. While those offensive efforts were tremendous, Mejia isn’t putting as much stock into the head-to-head meetings as others.


He explained, “The Rockets come into the series telling themselves that things are much different than the last time they saw Golden State, since Josh Smith had just arrived in late December and only played a combined 31 minutes in his team’s two January losses. Patrick Beverley and Donatas Motiejunas were in the starting lineup for both January encounters, while James Harden shot 13-for-33 in those games.”


“The games that were contested in 2014 can also be thrown out since Dwight Howard wasn’t 100 percent and guys like Tarik Black (Lakers) and Isaiah Canaan (76ers) started before being moved off the roster. In the present, Howard’s ability to control the paint, Jason Terry’s ability to continue playing strong defense in the team concept and hanging around in the rebounding battle loom as major points of emphasis. Howard squaring off with Andrew Bogut should be huge, as both will need to avoid foul trouble to serve as their team’s primary rim protector. Both are physical and prone to extra-curricular activity, so it will be interesting to see how they handle the bad blood sure to develop over the course of a series.”


Another Houston player that didn’t face the Warriors this season was forward Terrance Jones, who is finally healthy and another weapon on Houston’s deep bench that has experience. Will Rockets head coach Kevin McHale be able to use that postseason experience to his advantage or does Golden State’s talent win out.


Mejia answered, “The Warriors have a statement to make early, which puts the pressure squarely on their shoulders as they look to make the top homecourt advantage in the NBA hold up. Counting the playoffs, Golden State is 43-3 this season at ORACLE Arena, so dropping either of the first two games would really complicate matters, not only in terms of momentum, but also confidence. While the Rockets’ mantra is rightfully all about what transpired in the regular-season not mattering, the Warriors want to increase their aura of invincibility before visiting Houston.”


“Draymond Green will be the top defensive power forward that Terrence Jones and Smith will face, a key since they often created mismatches against the Clippers and Mavericks. Splash brothers Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson will have to deal with gifted perimeter defenders Trevor Ariza and Corey Brewer, but get a reprieve facing Harden and Terry, who could struggle against guys who move around so much, especially since larger wings Harrison Barnes and Andre Iguodala may occupy Trevor Ariza's and Corey Brewer's attention due to the damage they can do taking the ball into the paint. Conversely, Thompson is likely to draw Harden quite a bit and must continue to hold up as one of the NBA's top two-way players.”


Curry and Thompson averaged a combined 47.3 points per game in the four regular season meetings against Golden State while Harden countered the pair with 25.3 PPG.


As Mejia mentioned, Golden State has gone 43-3 at home and it has produced a solid 28-17-1 against the spread record for bettors. In the playoffs, the number has dropped off to 4-1 SU and 2-3 ATS.


Including the postseason, the Warriors have been installed as double-digit home favorites 32 times this season. The club has gone 30-2 SU and 17-14-1 ATS during this span. One of the two losses came in the postseason, which occurred in Game 2 of the conference semifinals to Memphis, 97-90.


Houston has been a very respectable road team, going 28-17 SU and 23-22 ATS this season. Bettors should make a note the point-spread has only matter once to Houston in the playoffs when they beat the Clippers 115-109 in Game 2 but failed to cover as a 7 ½-point favorite. In the other 11 playoff games, Houston won and covered easily or was blown out by double digits, which happened in all four losses.


It’s been two years since the Rockets have been listed as double-digit underdogs. Coincidentally it happened in the postseason, when Houston was facing Oklahoma City in the first round of the 2013 playoffs.


The Warriors are a 1/7 money-line favorite (Bet $100 to win $14) to win Game 1 while bettors can take a chance with the Rockets at 5/1 odds (Bet $100 to win $500) to steal the opener.


A lot of pundits, including myself believe the Warriors will sweep this series and you can wager on that prediction at Sportsbook.ag.


A 4-0 win for Golden State returns 9/5 while the same result by Houston would net you 150/1 odds, a task most would deem impossible. Since 1971 there have only been nine sweeps in the West Finals, the last instance coming in 2013. During the same span, we’ve seen eight Game 7’s in this conference finals, the last coming in 2002 when David Stern allegedly made the “call” for the Los Angeles Lakers to best the Sacramento Kings.


Total players are starting at a number between 219 and 220 for the opener. During the regular season, total ranged from 204 ½ to 219 and the ‘over/under’ went 2-2 in those games.


Houston has been a clear-cut ‘over’ team in the playoffs, going 9-3 in its first 12 games. Ironically, the ‘under’ tickets occurred when the Rockets played their best defense, which is something they’re not known for despite having Howard in the middle.


Golden State has been the complete opposite of Houston, posting a 7-2-1 mark to the ‘under’ in the playoffs. The Warriors potent offense steals all the headlines in the Bay Area but this is arguably the best defense in the NBA, especially this postseason.


As many bettors have learned, playing the ‘under’ in Houston games is a very dicey situation with the inordinate amount of 3-point and free throw attempts it takes. The Rockets are allowing 111.5 PPG in the playoffs and they’re facing an offense that scores in bunches. When you combine all those facts, it’s hard to argue against the ‘over’ in their games.


Warriors backup forward Marreese Speights (calf) missed the final three games of the Memphis series and has been ruled ‘out’ for Game 1. He averaged just over 11 PPG versus the Rockets in the regular season.


Tip-off for Tuesday’s contest starts at 9:00 p.m. ET with ESPN providing national coverage.


Game 2 will take place on Thursday from Oracle Arena.
 

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Conference finals breakdown


May 19, 2015


After a rollercoaster ride filled with buzzer-beaters, collapses and quite frankly, a lot of ugly basketball, the top two seeds in the East and West have reached the Conference finals.


Despite the results going to form, there’s new blood to get enthused about since top-seeds Golden State and Atlanta haven’t had this level of success in decades.


Actually, in the Hawks case, they’re deeper than they’ve been since 1970 after just coming to town from St. Louis two years prior. Cleveland reached the Finals for the only time in ’07, while the Rockets, owners of the most championships among this final four, haven’t won in 20 years.


As far as experience winning at this level goes, Cleveland definitely has an edge. LeBron James, Shawn Marion, Kendrick Perkins, James Jones and Mike Miller have all won championships.


Jason Terry and Trevor Ariza have won titles, playing essential roles like the ones they’re playing with the Rockets and should provide veteran leadership. Dwight Howard played for a title in Orlando back in 2009 and doesn’t shy away from higher stakes.


Compared to their competition, the top-seeds are woefully short on championship experience. There isn’t a single member on either roster that has won a title, although both head coaches, Steve Kerr and Mike Budenholzer, have earned rings with the Spurs. Player-wise, Atlanta has Paul Millsap, who reached the West finals as a rookie in Utah, as well as the injured Thabo Sefolosha will be Atlanta's listening posts.


Meanwhile, the Warriors are in the tenuous position of relying on Leandro Barbosa to play mentor since reaching a conference finals with Phoenix qualifies him as Golden State’s elder statesman in terms of postseason experience.


The head coaches of all four teams are in uncharted waters. Cleveland's David Blatt and GS' Kerr are rookies, Budenholzer is in his second season and Houston's Kevin McHale obviously has rings as a player, but hadn't gotten out of the first round until this season despite over 400 career games on the bench.


On the floor, there isn't a whole lot to take away from what went down during the regular season. The first two Hawks-Cavs games were blowouts, another didn't feature LeBron and the most recent and relevant on March 6 produced a 106-97 result that will be scrutinized by both teams and coaching staffs between now and Wednesday's Game 1s.


All four regular-season meetings between the Warriors and Rockets produced double-digit Golden State wins. Therefore, it is no surprise that oddsmakers installed GSW as a 10-point favorite at home for Game 1, but no one should get caught up believing that what transpired thus far will carry over to this series. For historical reference, the last team that won a postseason series after being swept in the regular season were last year's champion Spurs, which turned the tables on Oklahoma City.


There is however, certainly a rallying cry from the Warriors perspective, not that the carrot of reaching the NBA Finals isn’t enough. Still, to be denied by James Harden, who opined back in January that the team that had the best record in basketball most of the season, “ain’t that good,” would be particularly grating for Golden State. Expect no mercy.


Splash brothers Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson will have to deal with gifted perimeter defenders Trevor Ariza and Corey Brewer, but get a reprieve facing Harden and Terry, who could struggle against guys who move around so much, especially since larger wings Harrison Barnes and Andre Iguodala may occupy Ariza's and Brewer's attention due to the damage they can do taking the ball into the paint.


Conversely, Thompson is likely to draw Harden quite a bit and must continue to hold up as one of the NBA's top two-way players.


Howard could have an edge against Andrew Bogut, but often gets frustrated by physical 7-footers, so monitoring extra-curricular will be a must here. With Festus Ezeli as Bogut's primary backup, it's imperative he stay out of foul trouble in what should be a telling match up between 7-foot former No. 1 picks.


In the ECF, DeMarre Carroll's defense on James is likely to be a major factor, although Millsap will likely also try and take on some of that burden. Look for a key variable to be Millsap's 3-point shooting, since the Cavs are likely to let him shoot away from beyond the arc while keying on Kyle Korver.


Kyrie Irving will give it a shot in Game 1, so a critical x-factor in this series will be not only his availability, but his mobility if he does get out there. Chicago made it a point to take advantage of his injuries, targeting him on pick-and-rolls and often driving right by him. Both Hawks point guards, Jeff Teague and Dennis Schröder, are capable of taking advantage if he's limited.


Ultimately, I see both of these series ending in six games since the four teams are too dynamic and effective to be steam-rolled. Favorites Golden State and Cleveland would sure make for the most attractive NBA Finals. Fortunately, I believe that is where we're headed.
 

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Conference Final Odds


Betting Odds provided by Sportsbook.ag


Home Team listed first - Best of 7 Games (2-2-1-1-1)
(Opening Odds in parentheses)


Eastern Conference Finals


Atlanta vs. Cleveland
Hawks (+195)
Cavaliers (-230)


Western Conference Finals


Golden State vs. Houston
Warriors (-850)
Rockets (+600)
 

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NHL
Dunkel

Tuesday, May 19


Chicago Blackhawks @ Anaheim Ducks

Game 57-58
May 19, 2015 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago *********
12.981
Anaheim Ducks
11.885
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago *********
by 1
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Anaheim Ducks
-130
5
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago *********
(+110); Over




NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, May 19

Anaheim is 9-1 in playoffs this spring, losing one game in Calgary (4-0 at home)- over is 5-2-1 in last eight games. Chicago won four of last six games with Anaheim, winning three of last four games in this building; the road team won six of last eight series games- under is 8-2-1 in last 11 series games. Ducks Blackhawks won five of last six games they allowed four goals in Game 1, after they allowed seven goals in 4-game sweep of Minnesota; over is 7-2-2 in their last 11 games. Ducks blocked 22 shots in Game 1, a physical game where Anaheim outhit Chicago 44-34.

2015 NHL playoffs
Tampa Bay vs NY Rangers
NYR 2-1, -$143, U5
TB 6-2, +$128, O5

Chicago vs Anaheim
Ana 4-1, -$135, N5




NHL

Tuesday, May 19

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Trend Report
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9:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. ANAHEIM
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Chicago is 7-16-2 SU in its last 25 games ,when playing on the road against Anaheim
Anaheim is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
Anaheim is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

 

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NHL
Long Sheet

Tuesday, May 19

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CHICAGO (56-31-0-6, 118 pts.) at ANAHEIM (60-24-0-8, 128 pts.) - 5/19/2015, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 60-55 ATS (-27.2 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 60-32 ATS (+18.7 Units) in all games this season.
ANAHEIM is 15-1 ATS (+13.5 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
ANAHEIM is 36-17 ATS (+6.6 Units) second half of the season this season.
ANAHEIM is 19-5 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games when leading in a playoff series since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 37-15 ATS (+16.9 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 25-8 ATS (+12.3 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
ANAHEIM is 26-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in home games after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 34-18 ATS (+5.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ANAHEIM is 225-206 ATS (+471.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
CHICAGO is 33-16 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 6-4 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 6-4-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.7 Units)
 

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NHL

Tuesday, May 19

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Blackhawks at Ducks: What bettors need to know
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Chicago Blackhawks at Anaheim Ducks (-130, 5)

The Chicago Blackhawks attempt to wrestle home-ice advantage away from the host Anaheim Ducks and even the Western Conference final at one win apiece when they visit Honda Center for Game 2 on Tuesday. Chicago, which had been idle since completing a sweep of Minnesota in the conference semifinals on May 7, stormed out of the gate in the series opener and outshot Anaheim 16-7 in the first period but trailed 1-0 at intermission.

The Blackhawks went on to suffer a 4-1 loss, with former Conn Smythe Trophy winner Brad Richards scoring the lone goal off a turnover late in the middle session. Jakob Silfverberg, Nate Thompson and defenseman Hampus Lindholm each recorded a goal and an assist for the Ducks, who improved to 9-1 this postseason. Corey Perry was kept off the scoresheet, remaining at 15 points as he was overtaken by Tampa Bay's Tyler Johnson for the playoff scoring lead. Anaheim Anaheim owns a 6-0 record at home this postseason and a 5-0 mark when netting the game's first goal.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, NBCSN, CBC, TVA

LINE HISTORY: The Ducks opened -133 and are now -130. The total opened at 5.

INJURY REPORT: Blackhawks - D Michal Rozsival (Out, ankle). Ducks - D Sheldon Souray (Out, wrist).

ABOUT THE BLACKHAWKS: Anaheim did a great job keeping Patrick Kane at bay, limiting the superstar to zero points and just one shot on goal. The 26-year-old had his five-game goal-scoring streak halted and also saw his seven-game point run come to an end as he was blanked for just the second time in 11 contests this postseason. Kane understands he and his teammates must perform better if they wish to accomplish their goal before the series shifts to the Windy City. "We still have a chance to come here and do what we want to do and take one from them and try to get home ice back in our favor," he said. "We have to come ready to play. I think we have a little bit of a better effort to offer, too."

ABOUT THE DUCKS: Silfverberg's two-point performance in Game 1 was his third in a row and gave him a total of 13 points this postseason - tying him for fourth in the league with Kane and Ducks teammate Ryan Getzlaf, who recorded an assist Sunday. Anaheim received two tallies from its third line in the opener as Kyle Palmieri gave it a 2-0 lead early in the second period and Thompson scored with less than eight minutes remaining in the third to make it 3-1. "We can contribute and take some pressure off guys like (Getzlaf, Perry, Ryan Kesler and Matt) Beleskey, those guys that kind of been running the ship for us offensively," Thompson said. "Whenever we can contribute and help out the team, it definitely bodes well."

TRENDS:

* Road team is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Under is 20-6-1 in the last 27 meetings.
* Ducks are 4-0 in their last four Conference Finals games.
* Over is 6-0-1 in Blackhawks last seven Conference Finals games.

CONSENSUS: According to Consensus, 51 percent of bettors are backing the Ducks.
 

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Stanley Cup Playoffs Daily Picks: Can Ducks stay perfect at home?




Chicago Blackhawks at Anaheim Ducks, 9 p.m. ET, NBCSN, Game 2
Ducks lead series 1-0


After a Game 1 victory, the Ducks are now 6-0 on home ice during the 2015 Stanley Cup Playoffs. The Honda Center has been fortress-like for the Ducks in recent years, but particularly so in this postseason.


Despite the win, head coach Bruce Boudreau wasn't enamored with how his team played in the series opener. Anaheim survived the first period, but barely, as the Blackhawks poured shots on the Ducks' net with relative ease. If not for Frederik Andersen's stellar play, it could have been a different result. But he did have a stellar game and the Ducks took an early series lead with a chance to really put the Blackhawks on their heels in Game 2.


It won't be easy as the Blackhawks have yet to lose back-to-back games in these playoffs. Chicago has to be feeling the pressure against a team that's put together like Anaheim. The physical nature of their style and the depth of scoring talent is going to pose a problem if Chicago gets into a 0-2 hole. The Blackhawks have some other problems within their own lineup to worry about, too.


Chicago's defensive woes in the last game need to be cleaned up, but that's easier said than done. Though not confirmed yet, it would appear that David Rundblad will be replaced by Kyle Cumiskey as the No. 5 defenseman for Game 2. Rundblad had a pretty poor start to the game as he played a role in each of the Ducks' first two goals of the game. Cumiskey is a journeyman who skates well can move the puck, but he only appeared in seven games with the Blackhawks this season. If he does get in the lineup, Cumiskey probably won't play a whole lot.


The Ducks want to punish the Blackhawks' shallow defense and they supplied a lot of pressure on the forecheck in Game 1. Wearing down the likes of Duncan Keith and Niklas Hjalmarsson, who had to play big, tough minutes in Game 1 is not easy to do, but the way Anaheim plays makes it possible.


The pressure is on, but this is hardly surprising to the Blackhawks. They knew coming into this series that it was going to be a battle and that the Ducks were the best team they have faced yet this postseason. Perhaps Chicago can draw a little inspiration from the Tampa Bay Lightning, who were held to one goal in Game 1 only to explode for six in Game 2 against the New York Rangers in the other conference final. The Blackhawks certainly have the personnel to do something like that.


Game 2 will tell us a lot about the series. It could prove that Honda Center is a place where opponents' hopes go to die. It could further prove that the Blackhawks will have a hard time surviving with its defense in the shape it is in currently. Or it could just be another instance in the Stanley Cup Playoffs where everything we thought we knew about these two teams gets thrown out the window.


If we're sticking with what we know, the Ducks have an advantage playing at home.


Pick: Ducks 3, Blackhawks 2


Three Stars
1. Ryan Getzlaf, Anaheim Ducks: After being held off the scoresheet in Game 1, the Ducks top line should be buzzing in Game 2. Head coach Bruce Boudreau noted that Getzlaf's trio including Corey Perry and Patrick Maroon didn't have their most effective game. Getzlaf is always a threat though. He's tied for second on the team with 13 points including 11 assists. If the Ducks continue getting favorable matchups for him, the points will come.


2. Frederik Andersen, Anaheim Ducks: Andersen has been unbeatable on home ice, so the Blackhawks are really going to have to push if they want to even the series. In Andersen's six starts at home this postseason, the Danish netminder has a 6-0 record and a .957 save percentage. He's allowed just seven goals so far at home in the playoffs. It's going to take a special effort for Chicago to break through.


3. Marian Hossa, Chicago Blackhawks: Hossa has just one goal this postseason, but it's hard not to notice the impact he has in every game. Still probably the best defensive wing in all of hockey, Hossa remains an effective presence at 36 years old. In tight checking games like the one the Blackhawks and Ducks are sure to play, players like Hossa only become more valuable and more effective.
 

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