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Sunday, August 3



Indians hot in dog role with Bauer on the mound

The Cleveland Indians are 4-0 the last four games Trevor Bauer has started and they have been underdogs.

In those four games, the Indians have won at Detroit and Los Angeles (Dodgers) and defeated the Yankees and Angels at home.

Bauer takes the mound for the Indians as the underdog once again with Yu Darvish and the Texas Rangers in town. Cleveland is currently a +112 home dog for the matchup.


Road teams streaking with Wegner working the plate

Road teams are 7-1 in the last eight games when umpire Mark Wegner has worked behind the plate.

Overall this season, visiting ball clubs are 12-7 when he's been tasked with calling balls and strikes.

Wegner is back behind the dish in Florida as the Miami Marlins host the Cincinnati Reds Sunday. The Reds are -113 road faves.
 

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Short Sheet

Sunday, August 3


San Francisco at NY Mets, 1:10 ET
Bumgarner: SAN FRANCISCO 21-13 SU on the road when the money line is +125 to -125
Colon: NY METS 18-34 SU as a home underdog of +100 to +125

Cincinnati at Miami, 1:10 ET
Leake: CINCINNATI 7-17 SU in road games after a one run loss
Turner: MIAMI is 24-15 SU after 3 or more consecutive home games

Philadelphia at Washington, 1:35 ET
Hamels: PHILADELPHIA 16-7 SU revenging a shutout loss to opponent
Strasburg: 11-18 TSR as a favorite of -125 to -175

Milwaukee at St Louis, 2:15 ET
Garza: MILWAUKEE 18-10 SU in road games after 3 or more consecutive road games
Lackey: ST LOUIS 13-19 SU after scoring 9 runs or more

Chicago Cubs at LA Dodgers, 4:10 ET
Jackson: CHICAGO SU when playing on Sunday
Beckett: LA DODGERS 46-20 SU after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8

Pittsburgh at Arizona, 4:10 ET
Liriano: PITTSBURGH 19-9 SU against NL West opponents
Cahill: ARIZONA 17-27 SU when the total is 8 to 8.5

Atlanta at San Diego, 4:10 ET
Harang: ATLANTA 12-4 SU in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6
Ross: 8-17 TSR when the money line is +125 to -125

Texas at Cleveland, 1:05 ET
Darvish: TEXAS 6-18 SU after having lost 15 or more of their last 20
Bauer: CLEVELAND 36-21 SU against AL West opponents

Seattle at Baltimore, 1:35 ET
Iwakuma: SEATTLE 13-23 SU after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games
Tillman: BALTIMORE 31-24 SU after 3 straight games without a stolen base

LA Angeles at Tampa Bay, 1:40 ET
Weaver: LA ANGELS 31-13 SU after a loss
Odorizzi: TAMPA BAY 15-23 SU after 2 straight games where they committed no errors

Minnesota at Chicago White Sox, 2:10 ET
Gibson: MINNESOTA 7-1 SU in road games after 3 straight games without a stolen base
Quintana: CHI WHITE SOX 37-60 SU after having won 2 of their last 3 games

Toronto at Houston, 2:10 ET
Stroman: TORONTO 24-13 SU after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6
Feldman: HOUSTON 13-34 SU in home games after 2 games without giving up a stolen base

Kansas City at Oakland, 4:05 ET
Shields: KANSAS CITY 19-24 SU as an underdog of +100 to +150
Kazmir: OAKLAND 61-23 SU as a favorite of -150 or more

NY Yankees at Boston, 8:05 ET
Phelps: NY YANKEES 15-6 SU in road games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7
Buchholz: BOSTON 5-12 SU at home with a money line of -100 to -125

Colorado at Detroit, 1:05 ET
De La Rosa: 22-4 TSR after a loss
Sanchez: DETROIT 15-17 SU at home when the total is 8.5 to 10

TSR = Team Start Record
 

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Sunday, August 3



Domonic Brown, Philadelphia - Doub Sun

Brown has missed the last four games with a bad case of strep throat. He is not expected to play in Sunday's game against the Nationals.


Mets heating up for Under bettors

The New York Mets have gone Under the total in back-to-back games heading into Sunday's third game in the series with the San Francisco Giants, and are 3-11 Over/Under in the past 14 games overall.

The Mets and Giants have combined for six runs in each of the first two games of their series and oddsmakers have placed a low total of 6.5 on Sunday's games.

Madison Bumgarner is scheduled to start for the Giants, while the Mets will counter with Bartolo Colon.
 

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Diamond Trends - Sunday

August 3, 2014


SU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Reds are 0-12 (+$1,200) since May 17, 2009 as a road dog after an extra inning loss.

PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- Jered Weaver has produced a team record of 19-0 (+$1,900) in his career when he is off a start in which he had a WHIP of at least two and they did not lose by more than seven, and his team isn’t an underdog or more than +110.

MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

-- The Indians are 0-13 OU since April 09, 2006 as a home dog when they are off two wins in which they never trailed and it is not the first game of a series.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The White Sox are 10-0 since September 28, 2008 as a home 140+ favorite after scoring 6+ runs in a loss for a net profit of $1000.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- When Jorge De La Rosa starts the Rockies are 10-1 since May 12, 2013 after the team lost their last three games for a net profit of $1011.
 

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Yankees visit Red Sox

August 3, 2014


N.Y. Yankees (56-53) at Boston (49-61)

First pitch: Sunday, 8:00 p.m. ET

Sportsbook.ag Line: Red Sox -110, Yankees +100, Total 8.5

Two storied rivals meet Sunday night when the Red Sox host the Yankees, and each team will have a fresh look for the rest of the season after shaking things up at Thursday’s trade deadline.

Both New York and Boston were extremely active on the phones Thursday, as both teams looked to make changes after disappointing throughout the season. The Yankees were able to acquire 3B Martin Prado (.270 BA, 5 HR, 42 RBI) and 2B Stephen Drew (.176 BA, 4 HR, 11 RBI), while giving up practically nothing. The Stephen Drew move was one of very few trades between these long-time rivals. Boston traded SP Jon Lester, OF Jonny Gomes and cash to the Oakland A’s for OF Yoenis Cespedes (.256 BA, 17 HR, 67 RBI). Boston also shipped SP John Lackey to St. Louis for 1B/OF Allen Craig (.237 BA, 7 HR, 44 RBI) and traded lefty reliever Andrew Miller to Baltimore.

These two teams split the first two games of this series, as the Yankees rallied from a 3-0 deficit to shock the Sox on Saturday, 6-4. Boston grabbed the series opener on Friday night, 4-3, which ended a three-game skid for the Sox.

Both teams are now significantly different, but New York had won the only series these teams played in Boston this season. They won two out of three games in that series and had won six out of 10 meetings this year before Friday. SP David Phelps (1.34 WHIP) will take the mound for New York and he will be up against SP Clay Buchholz (5.87 ERA and 1.56 WHIP). The Yankees are still very much alive in the hunt for a Wild Card spot in the American League.

Heading into the series against Boston, the Yankees were just 3.5 games out of a spot in the American League playoffs. New York made a drastic change to its lineup with the acquisitions of Martin Prado and Stephen Drew. Both players should immediately start for the team in the infield. David Phelps gets the ball for the Yankees on Sunday night after allowing four earned runs on eight hits in 6 IP against the Rangers. Heading into that start, Phelps had pitched five straight games where he allowed two runs or less. He has given the Yankees some much-needed stability at the back-end of their rotation. For Phelps, it is absolutely crucial that he can pitch a solid six or seven innings because the Yankees bullpen has been strong this year.

Closer David Robertson (1.08 WHIP) has saved 27-of-29 opportunities this season, and if the Yankees can make it to him, they should have the final game of this series won. 3B Chase Headley (10-for-33, 8 K’s) has been excellent since joining the Yankees. He has come through with some timely hits and has looked more like the successful player he was in 2012, when he batted .286 and finished the season with 31 HR and 115 RBI.

The Red Sox were said to be sellers at the trade deadline, but they actually were able to get themselves a very well-established outfield. Bringing in Allen Craig and Yoenis Cespedes gives them a potent hitting outfield that will allow them to turn their focus to their pitching staff in the offseason. Craig is having a down year for the Cardinals, but he did bat .315 with 13 HR and 97 RBI in 2013. In his four years prior to this season, he was a very consistent hitter. Even with this subpar season, he is still batting .291 over the course of his career. Cespedes, on the other hand, gives the Red Sox some much needed power outside of 1B/DH David Ortiz. Heading into the series, Ortiz had homered five times in the previous nine games.

Playing in Fenway Park, the righty should enjoy a lot more success than he did in the gigantic, pitcher-friendly O.co Coliseum. Cespedes hit 26 HR and drove in 80 RBI in 2013, and the Red Sox were wise to pick up a player like him. The Red Sox did, however, abandon nearly all of their pitching staff and Clay Buchholz, the lone member of their rotation who was with them when they won their last World Series, has struggled mightily in 2014. He will need to turn things around the rest of the way, in order to prove that he is a part of the future with this team.
 

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Sunday, August 3

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Texas - 1:05 PM ET Texas -116 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Cleveland - Over 7 500

Colorado - 1:08 PM ET Colorado +197 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Detroit - Over 9 500

Cincinnati - 1:10 PM ET Miami +103 500 *****
Miami - Under 7 500

San Francisco - 1:10 PM ET San Francisco -120 500 TRIPLE PLAY
NY Mets - Over 6.5 500

Seattle - 1:35 PM ET Seattle -116 500 GRAND SLAM
Baltimore - Under 7.5 500

Philadelphia - 1:35 PM ET Philadelphia +136 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Washington - Over 6.5 500

LA Angels - 1:40 PM ET Tampa Bay -111 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Tampa Bay - Under 7.5 500

Minnesota - 2:10 PM ET Chi. White Sox -150 500
Chi. White Sox - Under 8 500

Toronto - 2:10 PM ET Toronto -167 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Houston - Over 8.5 500

Milwaukee - 2:15 PM ET St. Louis -138 500
St. Louis - Under 7.5 500

Kansas City - 4:05 PM ET Oakland -158 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Oakland - Over 7 500

Pittsburgh - 4:10 PM ET Pittsburgh -166 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Arizona - Over 8 500

Atlanta - 4:10 PM ET Atlanta +126 500 DOUBLE PLAY
San Diego - Under 6.5 500

Chi. Cubs - 4:10 PM ET LA Dodgers -183 500 *****
LA Dodgers - Over 8 500

NY Yankees - 8:00 PM ET Boston -106 500 *****
Boston - Under 8.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
 

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Yesterday's Rated Plays: ( Saturday's Results SUCKED )


0 - 4.............................-4.35 *****

0 - 3........................... + 6.46 DOUBLE PLAY

1 - 4........................... - 8.91 TRIPLE PLAY

0 - 1...........................- 4.00 GRAND SLAM

-------------------------------

Overall Rated Plays

28 - 36- 1 ............................- 15.09 *****

26 - 26 ...............................- 7.34 DOUBLE PLAY

28 - 24 ...............................+ 27.55 TRIPLE PLAY

3 - 5....................................-7.12 GRAND SLAM
 

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Yesterday's Rated Plays: ( Sunday's Results SUCKED even more then Saturday's SLUMPING BIG TIME )


0 - 3.............................-3.89 *****

0 - 6........................... - 16.63 DOUBLE PLAY

1 - 3........................... - 10,75 TRIPLE PLAY

0 - 1...........................- 4.64 GRAND SLAM

-------------------------------

Overall Rated Plays

28 - 39- 1 ............................- 18.98 *****

26 - 32 ...............................- 23.97 DOUBLE PLAY

29 - 27 ...............................+ 16.80 TRIPLE PLAY

3 - 6....................................-11.76 GRAND SLAM
 

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Monday's Tip Sheet

August 4, 2014

Tigers at Yankees – 7:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
DET: Scherzer (13-3, 3.27 ERA)
NYY: McCarthy (3-0, 2.55 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Tigers finished off a three-game home sweep of the Rockies, capped off by Sunday’s 4-0 shutout as -230 favorites. The Yankees rallied past the Red Sox on Sunday night, 8-7 to take two of three at Fenway Park, while finishing their road trip at 3-3 by winning two straight.

What to watch for: Detroit has won each of Scherzer’s last four road starts, while the Tigers are 5-1 in his past six outings against the Yankees since 2011. New York has struggled in the role of a home underdog, posting a 2-9 record in this situation in 2014. However, the Yankees are 5-2 in their last seven home series openers, while McCarthy is unbeaten in his last six starts with New York and Arizona.

Reds at Indians – 7:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
CIN: Simon (12-6, 2.84 ERA)
CLE: Kluber (11-6, 2.61 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Reds captured three of four games at Miami, as the offense finally woke up in Sunday’s 7-3 rout of the Marlins. Cincinnati’s pitching staff limiting Miami to just eight runs in the four-game set, while the ‘under’ is 6-1-1 in its past eight road contests. The Indians rallied on Sunday to top the Rangers in 12 innings, 4-3 to pull off the three-game sweep, as Cleveland held Texas to five runs in the series.

What to watch for: The home team has won each of the last 10 meetings of the Buckeye Series since 2012, while the Reds have dropped nine straight visits to Progressive Field. Kluber is coming off consecutive complete-game efforts, including a 2-0 shutout of the Mariners in his previous outing. After winning 15 of his first 18 starts, the Reds are 0-3 in Simon’s past three starts, while two of his worst efforts this season came as an underdog of at least +130.

Orioles at Nationals – 7:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
BAL: Gausman (5-3, 3.70 ERA)
WSH: Roark (11-6, 2.74 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Orioles needed just one run in Sunday’s 1-0 triumph over the Mariners as short home ‘dogs to take two of three from Seattle. The Nationals rebounded from a pair of losses to the Phillies by taking the final two games of their weekend set. Washington blanked Philadelphia on Sunday as -150 favorites, 4-0 to outscore the Phillies, 15-0 in the last two victories.

What to watch for: This is a make-up game from a rain-out on July 8, as the Orioles won two of the first three matchups in the Beltway Series. Baltimore has drilled the ‘under’ in 11 of its past 13 games overall, including seven straight on the highway. The Nationals have split 16 interleague contests this season, while Washington owns a 4-0 record in Roark’s past four trips to the mound.

Rays at Athletics – 10:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
TB: Cobb (7-6, 3.54 ERA)
OAK: Samardzija (2-1, 3.19 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Rays fell behind, 5-0 in the first inning of Sunday’s 7-5 defeat to the Angels as short home favorites to lose two of three in that set. Tampa Bay finished off its homestand at 5-4, while still trying to reach the elusive .500 mark. The A’s dropped two of three to the Royals at home, as Oakland scored just two runs in the two defeats.

What to watch for: Oakland grabbed two of three at Tropicana Field in late May, as the lone victory by Tampa Bay came on a walk-off, three-run homer in 11 innings in the series finale. The Rays have won six of Cobb’s eight road starts, including each of the last five on the highway. The A’s are 4-1 in Samardzija’s five starts since he was acquired from the Cubs, but each of the past two wins came as a heavy favorite against the Astros.

Angels at Dodgers – 10:10 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
LAA: Richards (11-4, 2.74 ERA)
LAD: Greinke (12-6, 2.65 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Angels concluded an East Coast swing at 3-3 at Baltimore and Tampa Bay, including a 7-5 triumph at Tropicana Field on Sunday to capture the weekend set. The Dodgers were tripped up by the Cubs this past weekend, including Sunday’s 7-3 defeat as nearly a -200 favorite. It was the third home series loss by the Dodgers since the start of June, which also includes series defeats to the White Sox and Indians.

What to watch for: The home team finished 4-0 in the Freeway Series last season, which included the Dodgers rallying from a 6-1 deficit with Greinke on the hill to beat the Angels, 8-7 in the series opener at home. Following an eight-game winning streak from June through the All-Star break, the Angels have lost each of Richards’ last three outings, all in the favorite role. Since last July, the Dodgers are 13-3 in Greinke’s past 16 home starts, which includes a pair of wins over AL foes.
 

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Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

-- Hall of Fame game opened as an even bet, wound up with Buffalo favored by 3 or 3.5 points. Wagering on August football can't be a lot of fun.

-- For what it is worth, over last five seasons, team that won the Hall of Fame game finished that season with a losing record.

-- Hale Irwin finished 9th in Seniors' golf this weekend; he beat his age (69) in all three rounds, which is really impressive.

-- New Texas Longhorns' coach Charlie Strong has already cut/suspended seven players, but notice that none of the seven are linemen.

-- Hunter Pence has played in 333 consecutive games, the longest active streak in the major leagues. Cal Ripken doesn't stay awake worrying about this.

-- Do Indiana Pacer season ticket holders get a rebate with Paul George out?


**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend.......

13) Been a long week; started it in Las Vegas, ended it watching the first preseason football game of the year. Didn't think I'd see Red Sox trading off their starting pitchers this week; Clay Buchholz is the only starter left from the April rotation.

12) If you care about such things, Cubs' SS prospect Addison Russell, the main piece of the Jeff Samardzija trade, is hitting .293 in AA, with eight honers and five walks in 99 plate appearances.

11) Allen Craig wore #21 in St Louis, but the Red Sox haven't given that number out since Roger Clemens left in 1996, so Craig is wearing #5 in Boston.

10) AJ Burnett threw 131 pitches in a July 23 start against the Giants; in his two starts since, he's allowed 12 runs in only 6.2 innings pitched-- he got tossed from his start Sunday, complaining loudly about balls/strikes.

9) Detroit Tigers scored in every inning Saturday, first team to do that since 2006, only fifth team to do that in the last 35 years.

8) Under is 36-17 at Camden Yards this year, making that hitters' park the best under park in the major leagues this season. Not everything makes sense.

7) Why don't the Dallas Cowboys draft a young QB to develop behind Tony Romo, who is in his 30's now? Also, why do they train in California?

6) Sergio Garcia was a combined -42 in the last three tournaments he played in, but didn't win any of them; he did bank a combined $2,231,510, so hard to feel real bad for him. In his career, Garcia has led four PGA Tour events by 3+ strokes after 54 holes, but didn't win any of them.

5) Sounds like Kings-Sharks will be an outdoor hockey game at the new Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara next winter. Outdoor NHL games are very popular.

4) Texas Rangers traded for Mike Carp this weekend; he'll be the 55th player they used this season and there are still eight weeks to go this season.

3) Jake Peavy took a no-hitter into the 7th inning Saturday night against the Mets, but fact remains, he is 0-11, 5.28 in his last 17 starts.

2) In seven of first 12 Super Bowls, the team trailing at halftime hadn't scored a point; that has happened only three times in the last 36 Super Bowls.

1) Since Yasiel Puig came to major leagues last June, he, Hanley Ramirez and Matt Kemp all started in the same game only 76 out of a possible 219 games. Kemp hit five home runs this week, most by any Dodger in a week this season.
 

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Dunkel


LA Angels at LA Dodgers
The Dodgers open up an interleague series against the crosstown rival Angels tonight and come into the contest with a 20-4 record in Zack Greinke's last 24 home starts. The Dodgers are the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Dodgers favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-130). Here are all of today's MLB picks.

MONDAY, AUGUST 4

Game 901-902: San Francisco at NY Mets (12:10 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Hudson) 16.403; NY Mets (Gee) 14.989
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-130); Under

Game 903-904: Detroit at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 17.899; NY Yankees (McCarthy) 16.323
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Detroit (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-130); Under

Game 905-906: Texas at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Martinez) 14.309; White Sox (Noesi) 12.422
Dunkel Line: Texas by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+140); Over

Game 907-908: Tampa Bay at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Cobb) 17.402; Oakland (Samardzija) 16.332
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-160); 7
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+140); Over

Game 909-910: Cincinnati at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Simon) 15.664; Cleveland (Kluber) 17.208
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-200); 7
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-200); Under

Game 911-912: LA Angels at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Richards) 15.988; LA Dodgers (Greinke) 18.402
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-130); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-130); Over

Game 913-914: Baltimore at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Gausman) 16.521; Washington (Roark) 15.430
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Washington (-160); 7
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+140); Under
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, August 4

Giants-Mets
Hudson is 1-3, 4.21 in his last four starts.
Gee is 0-3, 8.10 in his last three starts.

San Francisco lost seven of its last ten games.
Mets won ten of their last fourteen home games.
Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven Hudson starts.

Tigers-Bronx
Scherzer is 5-1, 2.08 in his last seven starts.
Bronx won all four McCarthy starts (3-0, 3.65).

Detroiit won four of its last five games.
Bronx won 10 of its last 16 games.

Under is 7-2-1 in Detroit's last ten road games.

Rangers-White Sox
Texas lost last eight Martinez starts (0-6, 8.38).
Noesi is 2-2, 6.29 in his last four starts.

Rangers lost eleven of their last fifteen games.
White Sox lost four of their last five home games.

Last six White Sox games went over the total.

Rays-A's
Cobb is 5-0, 2.89 in his last six starts.
Oakland won four of five Samardzija starts (2-1, 3.09).

Tampa Bay won 10 of 14 games since All-Star break.
A's lost six of their last seven series openers.

Under is 12-6-1 in last nineteen Oakland home games.

Reds-Indians
Simon is 0-3, 4.96 in his last three starts.
Kluber is 4-0, 1.76 in his last five starts.

Reds won three of their last four games.
Cleveland won seven of its last ten home games.

Under is 8-1-2 in last eleven Cincinnati road games.

Angels-Dodgers
Richards is 0-2, 3.86 in his last three starts.
Greinke is 3-2, 2.32 in his last six starts.

Angels won nine of their last thirteen road games.
Dodgers won seven of their last nine games.

Under is 12-6-1 in last nineteen Angel games.

Orioles-Nationals
Gausman is 2-1, 3.54 in his last five starts.
Roark is 4-0, 1.29 in his last four starts.

Baltimore won nine of its last thirteen games.
Nationals won four of their last six home games.

11 of last 13 Baltimore games stayed under total.

Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- Hudson 12-8; Gee 5-7

-- Scherzer 16-6; McCarthy 4-14/4-0
-- Martinez 4-9; Noesi 8-9
-- Cobb 8-7; Samardzija 3-14/4-1

-- Simon 15-6; Kluber 14-9
-- Richards 15-7; Greinke 13-9
-- Gausman 7-3; Roark 12-9

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Hudson 4-21 (3 of last 3); Gee 3-12

-- Scherzer 6-22; McCarthy 5-22
-- Martinez 5-13; Noesi 4-17
-- Cobb 4-16; Samardzija 9-22

-- Simon 5-21; Kluber 4-23
-- Richards 5-22; Greinke 5-22
-- Gausman 2-10; Roark 4-21
 

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Monday, August 4


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

12:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. NY METS
San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Francisco's last 13 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 9 of NY Mets's last 13 games when playing San Francisco
NY Mets are 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Francisco

7:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
Baltimore is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore

7:05 PM
CINCINNATI vs. CLEVELAND
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

7:05 PM
DETROIT vs. NY YANKEES
Detroit is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games when playing Detroit
NY Yankees are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games when playing Detroit

8:10 PM
TEXAS vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Texas is 5-10 SU in their last 15 games when playing Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 10-5 SU in their last 15 games when playing Texas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games

10:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. OAKLAND
Tampa Bay is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Oakland
Oakland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oakland's last 10 games at home

10:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 7 games on the road
LA Angels are 15-7 SU in their last 22 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of LA Dodgers's last 15 games when playing LA Angels
LA Dodgers are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games when playing at home against LA Angels
 

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Monday, August 4


Rangers ice cold with this pitcher on the hill

As the Texas Rangers woeful season continues, their backers won't have a lot of reason to be optimistic with Nicholas Martinez on the bump for their matchup against the Chicago White Sox in Illinois Monday. The Rangers are an ugly 0-8 in Martinez's last eight outings.

The ChiSox are currently -143 faves with a total of 9.5.


Giants struggling behind Hudson as of late

After enjoying a nice start to the season, the San Francisco Giants have gone ice cold behind veteran pitcher Tim Hudson, winning just two out of the 39-year-old's last eight starts.

Hudson and the Giants will try to buck that trend when they visit the New York Mets at Citi Field Monday. San Fran are presently -121 faves with an O/U of seven.


McCarthy on fire since trade to Big Apple

It's been quite the turnaround for Brandon McCarthy. Since being traded from the lowly Arizona Diamondbacks to the New York Yankees in June, the Yankees have won all four games McCarthy has started in pinstripes. He'll get the ball again for the Bronx Bombers when they host the Detroit Tigers Monday.

Detroit are -127 faves on the moneyline with a total of -127.


Post-trade Padres are trending upward

Suddenly, things are going the San Diego Padres' way.

The Padres continued their second-half surge Sunday with a 10-inning, 4-3 win over the Atlanta Braves to complete a three-game sweep. The win capped a 5-1 homestand against two playoff contenders -- the St. Louis Cardinals and Atlanta.


Heavy Cy: Yanks set to face Detroit's three aces

Now all the Yankees have to worry about is facing the past three American League Cy Young Award winners over the next three nights.

Detroit Tigers right-hander Max Scherzer, the 2013 winner, on Monday.

Left-hander David Price, the 2012 winner making his Tigers debut, on Tuesday.

Tigers right-hander Justin Verlander, who won it in 2011, on Wednesday.

Oh, and then there's Detroit right-hander Rick Porcello (13-5) on Thursday.

However, the Yankees, whose bats have struggled all year, come into the series on a bit of an offensive roll.

They scored 14 runs in their last two games -- both wins -- in Boston, including an 8-7, come-from-behind win over the Red Sox on Sunday night.
 

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Long Sheet

Monday, August 4


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SAN FRANCISCO (60 - 51) at NY METS (53 - 58) - 12:10 PM
TIM HUDSON (R) vs. DILLON GEE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 68-77 (-22.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 60-67 (-23.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 23-14 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 31-21 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 179-121 (+52.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 31-21 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 19-11 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 18-12 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 39-20 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
HUDSON is 45-24 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 51-17 (+28.5 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 44-23 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 159-89 (+36.3 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 46-66 (-21.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 18-35 (-14.6 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 97-119 (-34.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 97-119 (-34.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 10-31 (-21.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 5-1 (+4.1 Units) against NY METS this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

TIM HUDSON vs. NY METS since 1997
HUDSON is 17-10 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.52 and a WHIP of 1.254.
His team's record is 21-10 (+8.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 12-19. (-8.4 units)

DILLON GEE vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
GEE is 0-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 8.10 and a WHIP of 2.024.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.1 units)

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DETROIT (61 - 47) at NY YANKEES (57 - 53) - 7:05 PM
MAX SCHERZER (R) vs. BRANDON MCCARTHY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 159-122 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 31-20 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
DETROIT is 31-20 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 24-13 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
DETROIT is 22-11 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
DETROIT is 11-3 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
DETROIT is 14-7 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SCHERZER is 42-15 (+19.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SCHERZER is 40-15 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SCHERZER is 23-6 (+13.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MCCARTHY is 16-28 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MCCARTHY is 3-9 (-7.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
MCCARTHY is 3-9 (-7.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
MCCARTHY is 5-12 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MCCARTHY is 5-15 (-12.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MCCARTHY is 4-14 (-10.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MAX SCHERZER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
SCHERZER is 6-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.12 and a WHIP of 1.289.
His team's record is 6-1 (+6.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.3 units)

BRANDON MCCARTHY vs. DETROIT since 1997
MCCARTHY is 2-3 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.28 and a WHIP of 1.178.
His team's record is 5-4 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-5. (-2.6 units)

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TEXAS (43 - 68) at CHI WHITE SOX (54 - 58) - 8:10 PM
NICK MARTINEZ (R) vs. HECTOR NOESI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 43-68 (-26.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 17-30 (-15.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TEXAS is 41-64 (-24.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 29-51 (-24.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 32-47 (-15.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TEXAS is 27-40 (-15.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TEXAS is 12-22 (-13.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 54-58 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 21-7 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 39-33 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 9-16 (-12.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 112-151 (-23.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 60-93 (-22.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 50-70 (-21.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-1 (+0.4 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

NICK MARTINEZ vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
No recent starts.

HECTOR NOESI vs. TEXAS since 1997
NOESI is 0-2 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 8.18 and a WHIP of 1.273.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

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TAMPA BAY (54 - 57) at OAKLAND (67 - 43) - 10:05 PM
ALEX COBB (R) vs. JEFF SAMARDZIJA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 54-57 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 34-37 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 24-32 (-16.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
OAKLAND is 165-112 (+27.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 139-81 (+34.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 278-206 (+63.1 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997.
OAKLAND is 65-39 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 165-110 (+45.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 174-120 (+46.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 104-77 (+25.8 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 122-72 (+30.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SAMARDZIJA is 7-16 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 2-12 (-10.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 10-20 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 0-6 (-6.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less this season. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 7-16 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 0-6 (-6.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

ALEX COBB vs. OAKLAND since 1997
COBB is 3-2 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.34 and a WHIP of 1.110.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.3 units)

JEFF SAMARDZIJA vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

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CINCINNATI (56 - 55) at CLEVELAND (56 - 55) - 7:05 PM
ALFREDO SIMON (R) vs. COREY KLUBER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 148-126 (+22.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 84-52 (+22.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 142-120 (+19.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 55-30 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 684-756 (+55.9 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 621-700 (+39.9 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 445-492 (+34.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 496-545 (+46.6 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 344-355 (+48.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.
SIMON is 16-6 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
SIMON is 10-2 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
SIMON is 16-6 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
SIMON is 11-2 (+10.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 20-40 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ALFREDO SIMON vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
SIMON is 1-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 0.571.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

COREY KLUBER vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

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LA ANGELS (66 - 44) at LA DODGERS (63 - 49) - 10:10 PM
GARRETT RICHARDS (R) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 5-14 (-10.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 10-21 (-16.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 60-78 (-22.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 32-16 (+12.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
LA DODGERS are 19-5 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GREINKE is 36-17 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 32-11 (+17.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 25-8 (+13.8 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 20-4 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 36-17 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 27-10 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 19-5 (+13.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 66-44 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 732-717 (+62.7 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 93-70 (+30.9 Units) against the money line in road games in an inter-league game since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 611-601 (+56.5 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

GARRETT RICHARDS vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
RICHARDS is 0-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 1.799.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
GREINKE is 1-4 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.24 and a WHIP of 1.510.
His team's record is 2-6 (-4.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.2 units)

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BALTIMORE (62 - 48) at WASHINGTON (60 - 49) - 7:05 PM
KEVIN GAUSMAN (R) vs. TANNER ROARK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 93-63 (+29.3 Units) against the money line in home games in an inter-league game since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 63-48 (+20.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 23-16 (+15.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 33-23 (+18.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BALTIMORE is 9-3 (+7.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday this season.
BALTIMORE is 56-46 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 45-27 (+22.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 47-33 (+19.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 18-14 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
BALTIMORE is 28-19 (+14.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BALTIMORE is 14-7 (+10.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
WASHINGTON is 101-93 (-17.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 29-29 (-9.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
WASHINGTON is 50-60 (-17.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-1 (+1.8 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

KEVIN GAUSMAN vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
GAUSMAN is 0-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 15.75 and a WHIP of 2.250.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

TANNER ROARK vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.
 

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Monday, August 4



Rain on tap at U.S. Cellular Field

Forecasts are calling for a 40 percent chance of scattered thunderstorms at U.S. Cellular Field as the Chicago White Sox host the Texas Rangers Monday.

The White Sox, currently -145 home faves, are scheduled to send Hector Noesi to the mound, while the visiting Rangers are slated to give the start to Nicholas Martinez.


Paul Goldschmidt, Arizona - out for season

Goldschmidt has been placed on the 15-day disabled list with a fractured left hand. He is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
 

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Monday, August 4


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Game of the Day: Orioles at Nationals
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Baltimore Orioles at Washington Nationals (-138, 7)

The Washington Nationals will host the Baltimore Orioles on Monday in a makeup game from a rainout back on July 8. That game was washed away following a 2 1/2-hour delay, prompting both teams to reconvene on a previously scheduled off-day nearly a month later. Both squads won twice over the weekend, with the Nationals splitting a four-game set against the Philadelphia Phillies and the Orioles taking two of three from the Seattle Mariners.

However, neither team enters this game with much offensive momentum. Washington totaled six hits in Sunday's 4-0 win over Philadelphia and did not homer in that game, giving the team a total of one home run over its last 11 contests. Baltimore managed five hits in squeaking past Seattle 1-0 on Sunday with Nick Markakis (3-for-4, home run) doing the bulk of the damage.

TV:
7:05 p.m. ET, MASN2 (Baltimore), MASN (Washington)

LINE HISTORY:
The Nationals opened as -130 faves and now sit -138. The total has held at 7.

INJURY UPDATE:
Nationals - LF Nate McLouth (Out indefinitely, shoulder), 3B Ryan Zimmerman (Out indefinitely, hamstring)

POWER RANKINGS:
Orioles (-182), Nationals (-190)

PITCHING MATCHUP:
Orioles RH Kevin Gausman (5-3, 3.70 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Tanner Roark (11-6, 2.74)

Gausman's success in 2014 has largely been predicated around limiting the home run ball, as he has given up only two homers in 56 innings. The 23-year-old has not allowed a home run to a right-handed hitter all season and allowed just three extra-base hits - all doubles - against righties. Gausman made one start against Washington last season, allowing seven runs and three homers in four innings.

Roark is coming off a terrific month in which he went 4-1 with a 2.06 ERA, including four straight starts allowing exactly one run over seven innings to close it out. He held opponents to a .198 average in July and gave up only three hits in each of his final two starts. None of the current Orioles players has ever faced Roark, who leads the Nationals in victories.

TRENDS:


* Over is 5-0 in the last five meetings in Washington.
* Orioles are 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Washington.
* Nationals are 4-0 in Roark's last four starts.
* Over is 7-1 in National's last eight interleague home games.

CONSENSUS:
52.67 percent of wagers on Consensus are behind the Nationals.
 

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Monday, August 4


Detroit at NY Yankees, 7:05 ET
Scherzer: 38-12 TSR as a favorite
McCarthy: 3-9 TSR in home games

Texas at Chicago White Sox, 8:10 ET
Martinez: TEXAS 11-1 in road games revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite of -150 or more
Noesi: CHI WHITE SOX 9-16 as a home favorite of -125 to -150

Tampa Bay at Oakland, 10:05 ET
Cobb: TAMPA BAY 18-8 in the second half of the season
Samardzija: 2-9 TSR when the money line is -100 to -150

Cincinnati at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
Simon: 11-2 TSR after a win
Kluber: 10-2 OVER after 3 or more consecutive wins

LA Angels at LA Dodgers, 10:10 ET
Richards: LA ANGELS 5-14 when the total is 7 or less
Greinke: 12-1 TSR as a home favorite of -125 to -175

Baltimore at Washington, 7:05 ET
Gausman: BALTIMORE 23-16 as a road underdog of +125 to +150
Roark: WASHINGTON 11-20 after allowing 3 runs or less 3 straight games

TSR = Team Start Record
 

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Monday, August 4



Tigers dominant versus Yankees when Scherzer starts

When the Detroit Tigers visit the New York Yankees Monday, they'll be bolstered by the fact that Max Scherzer will be the starting pitchers. The Tigers are 6-1 in Scherzer's last seven starts versus the Bronx Bombers.

This will mark his first start versus the Yanks this season, but he did get the win in his lone outing against them last year.

Scherzer is 13-3 with a 3.27 ERA and 1.17 WHIP on the season. The Tigers are currently -119 road faves.


This team has been a boon for Over bettors recently

The Chicago White Sox are one of the top Over bets in the Major Leagues this season and have been cashing tickets of late to the tune of a 6-0 Over/Under record in their last six games overall.

The Pale Hose host the Texas Rangers with a currently total of nine on the board Monday. The pair have met three times thus far in the seasons and have posted an O/U count of 2-0-1.


Reds just can't win at Progressive Field

The Cleveland Indians host the Cincinnati Reds in Interleague action Monday, and Cleveland's Progressive Field just has not been kind to the National League club.

The Reds are 0-9 in the last nine meetings between the two Ohio ball clubs at Cleveland's home stadium.

Most recently, the Indians won both meetings at home last season by scores of 7-1 and 5-2.

Alfredo Simon is up in the rotation for the Reds, while the Indians send their ace Corey Kluber to the mound.
 

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Monday, August 4


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MLB early-week betting cheat sheet: Simon lacking recent run support
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Here's a comprehensive look at betting notes for the early-week major league games:

No Offense ...

The Atlanta Braves continued their dry spell Sunday, falling 4-3 in San Diego for their sixth consecutive loss. The Braves' offense has been dreadful on their six-game West Coast jaunt, scoring a total of 13 runs; despite the outage, Atlanta is 3-3 O/U on the trek thanks to low totals and decent pitching.

Simon Struggling

Cincinnati Reds hurler Alfredo Simon will look to get back on track Monday as he visits the Cleveland Indians (-194, 7) in an interleague showdown. Simon leads the majors in pitching value but is 0-3 since the All-Star break, with the Reds scoring just six runs in those three starts.

Price Makes Detroit Debut

David Price makes his first start in a Detroit uniform Tuesday as the Tigers face the host New York Yankees. Price, who was shipped to the Tigers in a blockbuster trade at the non-waiver deadline, went 7-2 SU and 2-7 O/U in his final nine starts with Tampa Bay - including a win over the Yankees.

Pitching Notes

* Oakland right-hander Jeff Samardzija has settled into a pair of trends as he leads the Athletics into Monday's showdown with the visiting Tampa Bay Rays (+126, 7). Samardzija is 3-0 in his last three starts - all as a major favorite - while going 3-0 O/U after producing just four Overs in his first 14 starts.

* Bet against Clayton Kershaw at your own risk. The Dodgers lefty enters Tuesday's matchup with the visiting Angels on an 11-game SU win streak, going 10-0 with a no-decision in that span while allowing more than one run just twice over that stretch.

Hitting Notes

* Baltimore Orioles outfielder Nelson Cruz enters Monday's game against host Washington (-137, 7) mired in an 8-for-73 slump that has dropped his average to .262 for the season. Fortunately for Cruz, Baltimore is 12-8 SU and 5-15 O/U in that stretch.

* New York Yankees outfielder Brett Gardner had a week to remember, hitting .478 with five home runs and seven RBIs. Gardner now has 15 home runs on the season, easily surpassing his previous career best of eight; the Yankees are 8-6 SU and 5-8-1 O/U when Gardner goes deep.

Totals Streak

Chicago White Sox (6-0 O/U): White Sox games have been rather entertaining of late, with the winning team scoring at least seven runs in each of them. That stretch includes four games in which teams combined to score 14 or more runs, highlighted by Sunday's 16-3 loss to Minnesota.

Prop of the Day

Bettors may want to consider taking the host Dodgers to defeat the rival Angels by more than two runs, a wager that stands at +325. Dodgers starter Zack Greinke is 6-1 with a 2.52 ERA in nine home starts, while Angels counterpart Garrett Richards has allowed four runs in each of his last two outings.

Injury Notes

* The Arizona Diamondbacks have lost first baseman Paul Goldschmidt for the season with a broken hand. Goldschmidt, the defending National League MVP runner-up, finishes the year hitting .300 with 19 home runs and 69 RBIs in 406 at-bats.

* Colorado Rockies outfielder Carlos Gonzalez is expected to avoid the disabled list as he continues nursing a sore right ankle. Gonzalez has missed 44 games this season with a variety of ailments; the Rockies are 16-28 SU, 21-17-6 O/U and -993 units in those contests.

Weather Watch

* Fans at Yankee Stadium should expect winds out to left field at 8 mph for Monday's game against visiting Detroit (-119, 7.5). Teams combined to average a whopping 3.6 home runs in five games under similar conditions a season ago - well above the stadium average of 2.06.

* Wind at Citizens Bank Park will blow out to straightaway center field at 5 mph Tuesday when the Philadelphia Phillies host the Houston Astros. The hosts went 7-13 SU and 12-7-1 O/U in 20 games under similar conditions in 2013, including marks of 5-6 SU and 5-5-1 O/U at less than 10 mph.
 

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