CNOTES 2024 - 2025 COLLEGE BASKETBALL NEWS-BEST BETS-OPINIONS THRU THE CHAMPIONSHIP !

[CNOTES]

TUESDAY, DECEMBER 10​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
MIA at TENN	06:30 PM	TENN -15.0 U 144.0	+500 +500
NDSU at BUT	06:30 PM	BUT -13.5 O 141.5	+500 +500
MORG at XAV	07:00 PM	XAV -30.0 U 156.5	+500 +500
COPP at NCST	07:00 PM	NCST -33.0 O 136.5	+500 +500
URI at BRWN	07:00 PM	BRWN +4.5 O 151.0	+500 +500
MONM at PRIN	07:00 PM	PRIN -14.5 U 147.0	+500 +500
CHAR at DAV	07:00 PM	CHAR +9.0 O 143.0	+500 +500
COFC at JOES	07:00 PM	COFC +8.0 U 151.5	+500 +500
JAC at FAU	07:00 PM	FAU -12.5 O 155.0	+500 +500
NCCU at WVU	07:00 PM	NCCU +26.0 O 142.5	+500 +500
ALBY at SYR	07:00 PM	ALBY +12.0 U 156.5	+500 +500
PSU at RUTG	07:00 PM	PSU +3.5 U 158.5	+500 +500
IW at DUKE	07:00 PM	DUKE -35.0 U 143.0	+500 +500
TROY at HOU	08:00 PM	HOU -27.0 O 132.0	+500 +500
WYO at SDAK	08:00 PM	SDAK -1.0 U 157.5	+500 +500
PROV at DEP	08:30 PM	PROV +2.0 O 138.5	+500 +500
USM at TULN	08:30 PM	USM +6.0 U 146.0	+500 +500
WIS at ILL	09:00 PM	WIS +6.5 O 154.0	+500 +500
MICH at ARK	09:00 PM	MICH -4.0 U 147.5	+500 +500
UMKC at PORT	10:00 PM	PORT -2.5 O 144.0	+500 +500
LBSU at USD	10:00 PM	USD -5.0 O 141.0	+500 +500
COR at CAL	10:00 PM	CAL -9.5 O 167.0	+500 +500
EWU at WASH	11:00 PM	EWU +12.5 O 147.5	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

COLLEGE HOOPS BEST BETS FOR DECEMBER !

12/10/2024...................10 - 15 - 0.................40.00%...............- 32.50
12/09/2024......................4 - 4 - 0.................50.00%................- 2.00
12/08/2024....................15 - 18 - 0................45.45%................- 24.00
12/07/2024...................43 - 21 - 1.................61.81%................+ 54.50
12/06/2024......................9 - 6 - 0.................60.00%................+ 12.00
12/05/2024......................5 - 5 - 1.................50.00%................- 5.00
12/04/2024...................19 - 20 - 1.................48.71%................- 15.00
12/03/2024...................20 - 19 - 0.................51.28%................- 4.50
12/02/2024......................2 - 8 - 0.................20.00%................- 34.00
12/01/2024..................... 4 - 6 - 0.................40.00%................- 13.00

TOTALS......................131 - 122- 3.................51.77%................- 53.50

 

[CNOTES]

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
NFL’s worst teams in turnover ratio:
minus-17— Raiders
minus-11— Jaguars, Titans
minus-10— Browns
minus-9— Falcons
minus-8— Cowboys, Giants
minus-6— Patriots

Quote of the Day
“Nolan wants to win, and there’s more details, but that’s really between them and I don’t want to have any effect on what [Cardinals president of baseball operations John] Mozeliak is trying to do. Nolan’s willing to strongly consider it, if it’s the right place to go, but he’s not going to go just anywhere. He has a full no-trade clause, so he has that right, and he’s a veteran player and we hope something good happens, but he’s not going to approve and move his family and go play (just anywhere).”
Nolan Arenado’s agent Joel Wolfe

Wednesday’s quiz
Where did Jameis Winston play his college football?

Tuesday’s quiz
Kevin Durant played his one year of college basketball for the Texas Longhorns.

Monday’s quiz
Terry Collins was manager of the Mets last time they were in the World Series, in 2015.

*******************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..​

— Good week for baseball fans; lot of stuff going on.
Mets are going to be paying Juan Soto $51K a year for the next 16 years; last year, the entire payroll for the Oakland A’s was $63M. Awesome.
On Opening Day, when Soto suits up for the Mets, he’ll be playing for his fourth different team in the last four Opening Days. Very unusual for a 26-year old star.

— When they signed Soto, Mets’ odds to win the World Series plunged from 12-1 to 15-2.

— With Soto leaving the Bronx, New York has lot of extra $$$ to spend- Bombers signed P Max Fried to an eight year, $218M deal- that is $27.25M per year.
Fried will be 31 next month; he was 11-10, 3.25 in 29 starts for Atlanta last year. In his career, he is 73-36, 3.07 in 151 career starts, all with the Braves. Fried was an All-Star two of the last three seasons.

— P Nathan Eovaldi re-upped with the Texas Rangers, getting $75M for three years.

— Dodgers signed reliever Blake Treinen for two years, $22M; they also signed OF Michael Conforto for one year, $17M.

— Phillies signed reliever Jordan Romano for one year, $8.5M.

— Blue Jays signed reliever Yimi Garcia for two years, $15M.
Toronto also acquired 2B Andres Gimenez from Cleveland.

— Top two picks in July’s baseball draft:
1) Washington 2) LA Angels

— Mariners, Cardinals jumped the highest in the draft lottery; Marlins, Rockies have to be really disappointed with where they’re picking- they fell in the lottery.

— Tampa Bay Rays will draft 14th in July, highest pick they’ve had since 2017.

— Famous birthdays, December 11:
Rita Moreno, 93
Donna Mills, 84
Gary Dourdan, 58
Doug Nussmeier, 54
Shareef Abdur-Rahim, 48
Joe Blanton, 44
Jacoby Brissett, 32
Allen Lazard, 29
Hailee Steinfeld, 28
Mark Vientos, 25

— Bengals 27, Cowboys 20
Burrow threw a 40-yard TD pass to Chase with 1:01 for the winning TD.
Chase caught 14 passes for 177 yards, two TD’s.
Dallas muffed a blocked punt just before that, giving Cincinnati the ball back.
Bengals are 5-1 if they allow 24 or fewer points, 0-7 if they allow more than 24.
Bengals are 4-0 ATS as a road favorite TY.
Dallas is 1-6 SU/ATS at home this season.
Cowboys are 1-8 when they allow more than 20 points.
Bengals outgained Dallas, 433-322.
Game was 17-17 after the third quarter.
Cowboys’ last three drives: 12 plays, 31 yards, no points.

— Central Florida hired Scott Frost as its new football coach; Frost led UCF to a 13-0 record in 2017, then bolted to Nebraska, where his teams struggled, going 16-31 over five years- they gave him $13M to take a hike during the 2022 season.
This season, Frost has been working with the LA Rams as a special assistant.

— Brandon Aubrey is the Dallas Cowboys’ kicker; he never played college football, he played soccer in college, but he was drafted by the USFL’s Birmingham Stallions and kicked for them for two years, before he made the Cowboys’ roster.
Jake Bates is the Detroit Lions’ kicker; he kicked for the Michigan Panthers in the UFL last year and now he’s in the big time.
Spring football will be starting up at the end of March.

— Would Alabama have been left out of the college football playoff if Nick Saban was still their coach? Has their perception changed since he retired? You could make an argument that they wouldn’t have lost three games if he was still coaching, but that’s a different question.

— Kansas City Chiefs are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games; no team that won the Super Bowl has ever had an 0-6 ATS streak during that season.

— Duke’s football team is 9-3 this year, their best win %age since 1962, but QB Maalik Murphy is going into the transfer portal. He’s thrown for 2,932 yards, 26 TD’s, 12 INTs after coming over from Texas.
Duke was 9-4 last year with Riley Leonard at QB; he bolted to Notre Dame last spring.

— Arkansas 89, Michigan 87
This game had the feel of March, like a Sweet 16 game.
78-possession game, very fast pace.

— North Dakota State 71, Butler 68
Big East teams aren’t supposed to lose to Summit teams.
North Dakota State outscored Butler 9-1 over the final 2:39.
Bison shot 13-30 on the arc; that’s how upsets happen.

— Brown 84, Rhode Island 80 2OT
URI came in at 9-0; they led by 12 in first half.
Rams turned ball over 21 times (minus-7)

— Providence 70, DePaul 63 OT
DePaul led by 8 with 3:37 left in regulation.
Blue Demons have now lost their last 33 regular season conference games.

— Charleston 78, St Joe’s 75
St Joe’s led by 11 with 10:55 left in the game.
Chris Mack’s Cougars are 7-2; they were 13-13 on foul line.

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Wednesday, December 11

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, December 11

5 of Wednesday’s best college basketball games:
Marshall @ Wright State (-5.5)
Marshall (5-4)
KenPom rating: 172
Tempo: 60
Experience: 123
Continuity: 146
Marshall is 0-3 on road, losing by 35-8-9 points.
Marshall is 0-3 vs top 200 teams
Thundering Herd’s best win: 82-53 over #261 South Carolina State
Marshall is shooting 26.5% on the arc (#345)
Sun Belt neutral/road underdogs are 12-27 ATS.

Wright State (6-5)
KenPom rating: 131
Tempo: 219
Experience: 117
Continuity: 73
Wright split couple league games LW; they’re 2-3 in last five tilts.
Raiders are 2-3 vs top 200 teams.
Wright’s best win: 80-62 over #114 Princeton
Raiders are shooting 39% on the arc (#25)
Horizon home favorites are 4-5 ATS


Milwaukee (-6.5) @ Green Bay
Milwaukee (6-4, 1-0)
KenPom rating: 166
Tempo: 155
Experience: 119
Continuity: 196
Milwaukee won its Horizon opener, 79-67 over #229 Cleveland State
Panthers are 3-2 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
Milwaukee is #9 team in country on offensive boards.
Panthers’ best win: 69-65 over #134 St Thomas.
Milwaukee is 1-4 in true road games (beat #218 Duquesne)

Green Bay (2-8, 0-2)
KenPom rating: 313
Tempo: 57
Experience: 304
Continuity: 187
Green Bay lost first two Horizon games by 9-22 points.
Green Bay lost its last five games overall.
Green Bay is 0-3 vs top 200 teams, losing by 13-14-33 points.
Green Bay has #323 eFG% defense in country.
Green Bay’s best win: 82-57 over #258 SIU-Edwardsville.


Milwaukee won seven of last nine series games.


Texas-El Paso @ Louisville (-15.5)
Texas-El Paso (6-2)
KenPom rating: 147
Tempo: 100
Experience: 242
Continuity: 41
UTEP won its last three games, giving up 58 ppg.
Miners are 3-1 vs teams in top 200.
UTEP’s best win: 79-76 at #124 Santa Barbara.
Miners are forcing turnovers 28.3% of time (#1 in country)
C-USA road underdogs are 14-8 ATS

Louisville (5-4)
KenPom rating: 56
Tempo: 130
Experience: 7
Continuity: 351
Louisville lost last three games, after a 5-1 start.
Cardinals are 3-0 vs teams outside top 100, winning by 48-32-15 points.
Louisville is forcing turnovers 22% of time (#33)
Cardinals are shooting only 28.2% on arc (#319)
ACC home favorites are 19-21 ATS.


South Dakota State @ Nevada (-10.5)
South Dakota State (8-3)
KenPom rating: 118
Tempo: 81
Experience: 335
Continuity: 258
SD State is 2-3 vs teams ranked in top 200.
Jackrabbits lost only true road game, 71-67 at #184 Montana
SD State’s best win: 80-73 over #95 McNeese State
Jackrabbits are #2 team in country on defensive boards.
Summit road underdogs are 18-15 ATS

Nevada (6-3)
KenPom rating: 53
Tempo: 349
Experience: 6
Continuity: 97
Nevada lost its last two games, scoring 57-64 points.
Wolf Pack is 3-1 vs teams ranked outside top 100.
Nevada has played schedule #54 so far this season.
Wolf Pack is shooting 40.5% on the arc (#11)
Mountain West home favorites are 15-14 ATS


Cal Baptist @ San Diego State (-15.5)
Cal Baptist (5-4)
KenPom rating: 177
Tempo: 298
Experience: 83
Continuity: 233
Cal Baptist hasn’t played in ten days.
Lancers are 0-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 2-15 points.
Cal Baptist has #276 eFG% defense in country.
Lancers’ best win: 88-84 over #162 Kennesaw State
WAC road underdogs are 12-19 ATS.

San Diego State (6-2)
KenPom rating: 36
Tempo: 256
Experience: 222
Continuity: 313
San Diego State is 6-2 vs schedule #12.
San Diego State has #2 eFG% defense in country.
Aztecs are 2-0 vs teams outside top 100, winning by 22-17 points.
Aztecs are off for ten days after this game.
WCC home favorites are 19-19 ATS

 

[Udog]

NCAAB

Wednesday, December 11

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Trend Report
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[CNOTES]

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 11​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
LIU at MASSL	06:00 PM	LIU +14.5 O 151.5	+500 +500
FDU at VILL	07:00 PM	FDU +28.5 O 151.5	+500 +500
UTM at ALST	07:00 PM	ALST -5.0 U 146.5	+500 +500
NJIT at DSU	07:00 PM	NJIT +4.5 O 140.0	+500 +500
UNA at ECU	07:00 PM	ECU -7.5 U 139.0	+500 +500
UTEP at LOU	07:00 PM	LOU -15.0 U 145.0	+500 +500
EKY at PITT	07:00 PM	EKY +20.0 O 148.5	+500 +500
MILW at GB	07:00 PM	MILW -5.5 U 159.5	+500 +500
MRSH at WRST	07:00 PM	WRST -6.0 U 152.0	+500 +500
DART at ND	07:00 PM	DART +18.0 O 142.0	+500 +500
ME at DUQ	07:00 PM	DUQ -5.0 O 133.0	+500 +500
ARPB at ULM	07:30 PM	ULM -11.5 U 156.0	+500 +500
SELA at ULL	08:00 PM	ULL -4.5 U 144.5	+500 +500
COLG at UK	08:00 PM	COLG +32.0 O 156.5	+500 +500
FRES at BYU	09:00 PM	FRES +27.5 O 158.0	+500 +500
SDST at NEV	10:00 PM	SDST +11.5 O 142.5	+500 +500
CBU at SDSU	10:00 PM	CBU +14.5 U 135.5	+500 +500