CNOTES 2024 - 2025 COLLEGE BASKETBALL NEWS-BEST BETS-OPINIONS THRU THE CHAMPIONSHIP !

[CNOTES]

COLLEGE HOOPS BEST BETS FOR DECEMBER !

12/06/2024.......................9 - 6 - 0...................60.00%................+ 12.00
12/05/2024.......................5 - 5 - 1...................50.00%................- 5.00
12/04/2024......................19 - 20 - 1.................48.71%................- 15.00
12/03/2024......................20 - 19 - 0.................51.28%................- 4.50
12/02/2024..........................2 - 8 - 0................20.00%................- 34.00
12/01/2024......................... 4 - 6 - 0................40.00%................- 13.00

TOTALS............................59 - 64 - 0.................47.96%................- 59.50

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday’s 6-pack:
Teams getting the highest % of their points on 3-pointers:
51%— North Dakota State
46.2%— North Florida
45.2%— Tennessee Tech
44.6%— Furman
44.2%— DePaul
44.1%— Akron

Quote of the Day
“We wanted to make something of a statement coming into a new city and coming into a new ballpark. But more than that, to improve on what we have. Signing someone with Luis’ experience to be a leader was important to us.”
A’s general manager David Forst, after signing P Luis Severino

Saturday’s quiz
What city hosts the Holiday Bowl every year?

Friday’s quiz
A’s moved from Kansas City to Oakland in 1968.

Thursday’s quiz
Super Bowl III was the biggest upset in Super Bowl history, when the 18-point underdog Jets upset the Baltimore Colts, 16-7.

****************************************

Saturday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here……..​

— P Shane Bieber re-signed with the Cleveland Guardians, for one year, $10M, with a $4M buyout if they don’t keep him after 2025.

— P Clay Holmes signed with the Mets for three years, $38M; he’s going to start for the Mets, after making 300 relief appearances over the last six seasons. He did start four games for the Pirates in 2018.

— Dodgers star 1B Freddie Freeman had surgery on his right ankle Thursday, is expected to be ready for the start of spring training. Freeman hit .282 last year with 89 RBI and an .854 OPS; he hit .250 in LA’s postseason games, when he was hampered by the ankle injury.

— The St. Petersburg City Council voted to approve bonds necessary to finance a new $1.3B stadium for the Tampa Bay Rays, which could open in 2028.
The Rays have said it was impossible to play at the Trop next year and maybe not until 2026, because of the damage from a tropical storm in October.

— C Kyle Higashioka signed a 2-year deal with the Texas Rangers for $13.5M; the 34-year old catcher hit 17 homers in 263 plate appearances for San Diego last year.

— It turns out that referee Bill Vinovich worked four college basketball games in four nights in Palm Springs last week, then worked the Cardinals-Vikings game in Minnesota Sunday.
Thursday night, Vinovich worked the Cal-San Diego-Santa Barbara basketball game in the Thunderdome.

— Houston Rockets coach Ime Udoka was fined $50,000 by the NBA for his actions during Tuesday’s loss to Sacramento.
He was fined for confronting and directing profane language toward a game official, failing to leave the court in a timely manner after being ejected, and public criticism of the officiating.
“Missed calls, blatant missed calls right in front of you. You’re calling ticky-tack moving screens, little s— like that, but you don’t want to call the obvious ones right in front of you. That was it. Thought [Sengun] got fouled a few times on that drive and on the layup and they don’t want to call it. So I told him to get some f—ing glasses and open your eyes.”
Alrighty then.

— Famous birthdays, December 7th:
Ellen Burstyn, 92
Johnny Bench, 77
Larry Bird, 68
C Thomas Howell, 58
Eric Chavez, 47
Ryan Theriot, 45
Jake McQuaide, 37
Kyle Hendricks, 35
Yasiel Puig, 34
Pete Alonso, 30

— There were three college football conference title games Friday:

Jacksonville State 52, Western Kentucky 12
Gamecocks win C-USA in their second year as a I-A team.
Jax State won nine of last ten games, after an 0-3 start.
Gamecocks ran for 386 yards, outgained the Hilltoppers, 562-229.
Back in 1985, Rams won NFC West with QB Dieter Brock, who played most of his career in the CFL. Dieter Brock played his college ball at Jacksonville State.

— Boise State 21, UNLV 7
Last eight years, Broncos are 6-2 SU in MW title games.
UNLV ran for 217 yards; they had an 87-yard run, but didn’t score on that drive.

— Army 35, Tulane 14
Army wins the AAC in their first season in the league.
Cadets ran ball for 335 yards; they were 4-9 on 3rd down, 4-5 on 4th down.
Army scored 35 points while throwing two passes the whole game.

— Northwestern 70, Illinois 66 OT
Illinois loses its Big 18 opener, slips to 7-2, 1-2 against top 100 teams.
Wildcats’ last four games were all decided by 5 or fewer points.

— West Virginia 73, Georgetown 60
Hoyas led 30-28 at halftime.
Senior G Small scored 26 for West Virginia, which is 6-2, 3-2 vs top 100 teams.

— Niagara 69, Siena 68
Niagara outscored Saints 6-2 over the final 2:12
Purple Eagles were 17-20 on foul line, Siena 9-14.

— Oklahoma State wants football coach Mike Gundy to re-do his contract so that he makes less $$$, then use the money he gives back to help fund their NIL program.
There will be lawyers.

— In the movie Moneyball, when they make such a big thing about trading 1B Carlos Pena, Pena was hitting .218 when he got traded to Detroit. He wound up having a 14-year career with eight different teams, he hit 286 home runs with a career OPS of .808.
John Mabry hit .275 with 11 homers for the A’s that year, stepping in at 1B For Pena.

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Saturday, December 7

 

[Udog]

NCAAB

Saturday, December 7

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Trend Report
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[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, December 7

Five of Saturday’s best college basketball games:
Wisconsin @ Marquette (-6.5)
Wisconsin (8-1)
KenPom rating: 35
Tempo: 175
Experience: 35
Continuity: 79
Wisconsin lost its Big 18 opener 67-64 to #16 Michigan Tuesday
Badgers are 3-1 vs top 100 teams (schedule #138)
Badgers’ best win: 81-75 over #26 Pitt on a neutral floor.
This is Wisconsin’s first true road game.
Big 18 road underdogs are 2-5.

Marquette (8-1)
KenPom rating: 10
Tempo: 83
Experience: 130
Continuity: 12
Marquette lost its last game, 81-70 at #6 Iowa State
Eagles are forcing turnovers 24.4% of time (#5)
Marquette is 4-1 vs top 100 teams, with three top 40 wins.
Eagles are shooting 59% inside the arc (#23)
Big East home favorites are 15-19 ATS


Wisconsin beat Marquette the last three years.


Colorado State @ Colorado (-3.5)
Colorado State (5-3)
KenPom rating: 95
Tempo: 202
Experience: 51
Continuity: 189
Colorado State is 1-2 vs top 100 teams (schedule #269)
Colorado State’s best win: 76-72 in OT over #80 TCU
Rams are 2-1 in overtime games.
Rams are #43 team in country on defensive boards.
Mountain West road underdogs are 5-8 ATS.

Colorado (6-2)
KenPom rating: 89
Tempo: 190
Experience: 258
Continuity: 295
Colorado went 1-2 at Maui Classic, vs top 100 teams
Buffs’ best win: 73-72 over #24 UConn.
Colorado is turning ball over 21% of time (#325)
Buffs are shooting 40.1% on arc (#12)
Big X home favorites are 21-26 ATS


Home team won this matchup the last two years.


Butler @ Houston (-16.5)
Butler (7-1)
KenPom rating: 59
Tempo: 185
Experience: 19
Continuity: 31
Butler won its last six games, since 68-66 loss to Austin Peay.
Bulldogs have best eFG% defense in country (vs schedule #238)
Butler’s best win: 87-77 over #12 Mississippi State
Bulldogs are 3-0 vs top 100 teams.
This is Butler’s first true road game.
Big East road underdogs are 2-2 ATS

Houston (4-3)
KenPom rating: 5
Tempo: 358
Experience: 57
Continuity: 8
Houston’s losses were by 5-5-3 points (last 2 in OT)
Cougars are 1-3 vs top 100 teams.
Houston’s best win: 65-54 over #84 Notre Dame.
Cougars have #28 eFG% defense in country.
Big X home favorites are 21-26 ATS


Houston beat Butler 70-52 on a neutral floor, three years ago.


Saint Mary’s @ Utah (-2.5)
Saint Mary’s (8-1)
KenPom rating: 40
Tempo: 345
Experience: 198
Continuity: 90
Saint Mary’s is 1-1 vs top 100 teams (schedule #187)
Gaels’ only loss: 68-64 to #53 Arizona State on neutral floor.
Gaels’ best win: 77-74 over #45 Nebraska on neutral floor.
Saint Mary’s is rebounding 43.9% of its missed shots (#1)
WCC road underdogs are 7-8 ATS

Utah (6-1)
KenPom rating: 60
Tempo: 62
Experience: 144
Continuity: 231
Utah has played easiest schedule in country so far.
Utes’ only loss: 78-73 to #12 Mississippi State
Utah’s best win: 88-80 over #240 Easternn Washington.
Opponents are shooting only 39.3% inside arc.
Big X home favorites are 21-26 ATS


Utah won 78-71 at Saint Mary’s last year.


Kentucky @ Gonzaga (-5.5) (@ Seattle)
Kentucky (7-1)
KenPom rating: 11
Tempo: 7
Experience: 4
Continuity: 355
Kentucky lost its last game, 70-66 at Clemson Tuesday.
Wildcats are 2-1 vs top 100 teams (schedule #163)
Kentucky’s best win: 77-72 over #3 Duke)
Wildcats are shooting 60.1% inside the arc (#10)
SEC road underdogs are 5-3 ATS.

Gonzaga (7-1)
KenPom rating: 4
Tempo: 63
Experience: 13
Continuity: 6
Gonzaga’s one loss was in OT to West Virginia in Atlantis.
Zags are 4-1 vs top 100 teams, with four top 60 wins.
Gonzaga has #36 eFG% defense in country.
Gonzaga’s best win: 101-63 over #23 Baylor.
WCC home favorites are 18-17 ATS


Zags beat Kentucky 88-72 at home two years ago.

 

[CNOTES]

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 7​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
NEB at MSU	12:00 PM	NEB +6.5 U 147.0	+500 +500
PRIN at FUR	12:00 PM	FUR +1.5 O 144.5	+500 +500
UMASS at MASS	12:00 PM	UMASS +3.0 O 157.5	+500 +500
PROV at URI	12:00 PM	URI +2.0 U 146.5	+500 +500
SYR at ND	12:00 PM	ND -5.0 U 145.0	+500 +500
RUTG at OSU	12:00 PM	RUTG +4.5 O 155.5	+500 +500
BC at WAKE	12:00 PM	WAKE -10.0 O 134.5	+500 +500
USF at L-IL	12:30 PM	L-IL -10.0 O 147.0	+500 +500
UMBC at TOWS	01:00 PM	TOWS -8.5 U 143.0	+500 +500
WRST at DETU	01:00 PM	WRST -6.0 U 143.5	+500 +500
ALBY at BU	01:00 PM	ALBY +1.5 U 140.5	+500 +500
WIS at MARQ	01:30 PM	WIS +6.5 U 150.5	+500 +500
TULN at GMU	02:00 PM	GMU -13.0 U 139.5	+500 +500
DREX at PENN	02:00 PM	DREX -3.5 U 136.0	+500 +500
MRSH at UNCW	02:00 PM	UNCW -6.5 U 148.5	+500 +500
L-MD at DSU	02:00 PM	L-MD -2.5 O 140.0	+500 +500
MORG at BGSU	02:00 PM	BGSU -9.5 O 153.0	+500 +500
UVM at YALE	02:00 PM	UVM +8.5 O 136.5	+500 +500
LEH at DAY	02:00 PM	DAY -22.0 O 147.0	+500 +500
CCSU at HC	02:00 PM	CCSU -3.5 U 133.5	+500 +500
TNTC at UWG	02:00 PM	TNTC -3.0 U 141.0	+500 +500
NAVY at NJIT	02:00 PM	NAVY -3.0 U 139.0	+500 +500
LAF at MEHST	02:00 PM	LAF -3.5 O 131.5	+500 +500
UNO at NICH	02:00 PM	NICH -11.5 O 147.0	+500 +500
PITT at VT	02:00 PM	PITT -8.5 O 142.5	+500 +500
NCCU at WEBB	02:00 PM	NCCU +6.5 U 147.0	+500 +500
IOWA at MICH	02:00 PM	IOWA +9.5 U 158.0	+500 +500
GT at UNC	02:00 PM	UNC -18.0 U 163.5	+500 +500
UTSA at ARK	02:00 PM	ARK -20.0 O 155.5	+500 +500
ECU at SCAR	02:00 PM	ECU +11.0 O 134.5	+500 +500
OAK at YSU	02:00 PM	YSU -1.0 O 131.5	+500 +500
SDAK at NAU	02:00 PM	NAU +1.0 U 158.0	+500 +500
UVA at SMU	02:15 PM	SMU -10.0 U 135.5	+500 +500
SOU at TLSA	03:00 PM	TLSA -7.5 U 141.0	+500 +500
CLEVST at WIGB	03:00 PM	WIGB -2.5 U 146.5	+500 +500
MONT at STT	03:00 PM	STT -5.5 U 148.5	+500 +500
SCUS at WCU	03:00 PM	SCUS +8.0 O 160.0	+500 +500
USI at SIU	03:00 PM	SIU -9.0 O 145.0	+500 +500
MTU at BEL	03:30 PM	MTU +3.0 O 153.5	+500 +500
GW at ODU	04:00 PM	ODU +8.5 U 148.0	+500 +500
BUFF at SBON	04:00 PM	BUFF +17.5 O 141.5	+500 +500
MORE at OHIO	04:00 PM	MORE +13.5 U 147.5	+500 +500
WSU at BSU	04:00 PM	BSU -8.5 O 152.0	+500 +500
STAN at CAL	04:00 PM	STAN +2.0 U 148.5	+500 +500
FSU at NCST	04:00 PM	FSU +5.0 O 147.5	+500 +500
SEA at UTEP	04:00 PM	UTEP -3.5 U 135.0	+500 +500
NEOM at CSUS	04:00 PM	CSUS -1.0 U 136.0	+500 +500
UNLV at CREI	04:00 PM	UNLV +10.5 O 144.5	+500 +500
SFA at AMCC	04:30 PM	SFA +2.5 O 139.0	+500 +500
NWST at HCU	04:30 PM	NWST -3.5 U 137.5	+500 +500
GRAM at PEPP	05:00 PM	PEPP -2.5 U 138.5	+500 +500
IDHO at ORST	05:00 PM	ORST -14.0 U 138.5	+500 +500
BUT at HOU	05:30 PM	BUT +17.5 O 134.5	+500 +500
LAM at UTRGV	05:30 PM	UTRGV -7.5 U 152.5	+500 +500
NIU at UNI	06:00 PM	UNI -18.5 U 139.5	+500 +500
USC at WASH	06:00 PM	USC +4.0 O 141.5	+500 +500
SMC at UTAH	07:00 PM	SMC +3.5 U 141.5	+500 +500
FRES at SCU	07:00 PM	SCU -16.0 O 155.0	+500 +500
PAC at ILST	07:00 PM	ILST -7.5 O 143.5	+500 +500
CCU at WIN	07:00 PM	CCU +12.0 O 140.5	+500 +500
MVSU at LIB	07:00 PM	LIB -35.0 O 125.0	+500 +500
UNF at GASO	07:00 PM	UNF -1.0 O 162.0	+500 +500
ETSU at WICH	07:00 PM	WICH -8.5 O 145.5	+500 +500
EWU at SDST	07:00 PM	SDST -10.0 O 153.5	+500 +500
CARK at ARPB	07:00 PM	ARPB +5.5 O 153.0	+500 +500
WOF at ELON	07:00 PM	ELON -2.0 O 138.5	+500 +500
CSU at COLO	08:00 PM	CSU +2.5 O 140.5	+500 +500
CSF at UCRV	08:00 PM	CSF +10.0 O 134.5	+500 +500
UCSB at UCD	08:00 PM	UCD +2.5	+500
CSN at CP	08:00 PM	CP +2.0 U 158.0	+500 +500
LNDNWD at MISS	08:00 PM	MISS -31.0 U 148.0	+500 +500
UNCO at NDSU	08:00 PM	NDSU -1.5	+500
USD at SDSU	10:00 PM	SDSU -24.0	+500

 

[CNOTES]

COLLEGE HOOPS BEST BETS FOR DECEMBER !

12/07/2024...................43 - 21 - 1..................61.81%................+ 54.50
12/06/2024.......................9 - 6 - 0...................60.00%................+ 12.00
12/05/2024.......................5 - 5 - 1...................50.00%................- 5.00
12/04/2024......................19 - 20 - 1.................48.71%................- 15.00
12/03/2024......................20 - 19 - 0.................51.28%................- 4.50
12/02/2024..........................2 - 8 - 0................20.00%................- 34.00
12/01/2024......................... 4 - 6 - 0................40.00%................- 13.00

TOTALS...........................102 - 85 - 3.................54.54%................- 5.00

 

[CNOTES]

Sunday’s 6-pack:
Highest scoring teams in college football:
44.2 ppg— Miami
43.3— Indiana
39.8— Notre Dame
39.2— SMU
39.1— Boise State
38.6— Texas Tech

Quote of the Day
“Don’t give up, don’t ever give up.”
Jim Valvano

Sunday’s quiz
Oregon QB Dillon Gabriel has played college football for two other schools; which ones?

Saturday’s quiz
San Diego hosts the Holiday Bowl every year.

Friday’s quiz
A’s moved from Kansas City to Oakland in 1968.

*********************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…….​

— Georgia 22, Texas 19 OT
Texas tied game on a 37-yard FG with 0:18 left.
Each team scored one touchdown in regulation.
Longhorns outgained Georgia, 389-277.
11-2 Dawgs won their last four games, the last two in overtime.
Georgia QB Beck hurt his right arm during the game, didn’t finish.

— Clemson 34, SMU 31
Clemson kicked a 55-yard FG at the gun for the win.
Tigers have won their last nine appearances in the ACC title game.
Clemson led this game 31-14 in 4th quarter.
SMU drove 79 yards, tied game 31-31 on TD with 0:16 left.
SMU’s punter Isaac Pearson was a coal miner for four years in Australia, before coming to America and going to college as a punter.

— Oregon 45, Penn State 37
Ducks led this game 31-24 at halftime.
Oregon ran ball 35 times for 292 yards (8.3 yards/carry).
Ducks win the Big 18, in their first year in the league.

— Arizona State 45, Iowa State 19
Sun Devils ran ball 39 times for 245 yards (6.3 yards/carry).
ASU wins the Big X, in its first year in the league.
Sun Devils were picked 15th out of 16 team in the pre-season media poll.

— Marshall 31, Louisiana 3
WR Chapman caught 8 passes for 86 yards and a TD.
Thundering Herd was 8-15 on third down, Louisiana 2-16
Marshall outgained the Ragin’ Cajuns, 410-256.

— Ohio U 38, Miami OH 3
Bobcats outgained Miami, 467-189.
Bobcats threw ball for 235 yards, ran it for 232.
Ohio won its last six games, since a 30-20 loss at Miami.

— College Basketball Upsets of the Day:
New Mexico State (+20.5) 89, New Mexico 83 OT
Washington State (+8.5) 74, Boise State 69
Loyola Marymount (+8.5) 68, Nevada 64
Denver (+8.5) 68, Portland State 67
Long Beach State (+6) 76, Hawai’i 68
Indiana State (+4.5) 80, Missouri State 77

— SS/3B Willie Adames signed a 7-year, $182M deal with San Francisco; he hit 32 homers, knocked in 112 runs for Milwaukee LY. He’s hit 87 home runs the last three years

— OF Tyler O’Neill signed a 3-year deal with the Orioles worth $49.5M, filling the void in the Oriole outfield created by Anthony Santander’s free agency.
O’Neill hit 31 homers last year in his only season with the Red Sox; his OPS was .842 last year, his career OPS is .792.

— Japanese pitcher Roki Sasaki is expected to be posted at the winter meetings, but he isn’t expected to sign until after January 15, when the international amateur signing period starts, and more $$$ will be available.

— Oklahoma State was paying football coach Mike Gundy $7.75M/year, but his contract has been re-done, and the money that was taken away from him will go into OSU’s NIL program, as they try to recruit better players.
Oklahoma State had gone to 18 consecutive bowls before this year, but they went 3-9, 0-9 in conference games. Gundy is the winningest coach in OSU history.

— Famous birthdays, December 8th:
Kim Basinger, 71
Steve Dils, 69
George Rogers, 66
Wendell Pierce, 61
Teri Hatcher, 60
Jeff George, 57
Mike Mussina, 56
Philip Rivers, 43
Josh Donaldson, 39
Dwight Howard, 39

— Marquette 88, Wisconsin 74
Marquette scored 88 points on 66 possessions; they were only 8-26 on the arc.
Marquette was +11 in turnovers (16-5), shot 63.9% inside the arc.
Badgers lost two in row after an 8-0 start; they led 39-37 at halftime.

— New Mexico State 89, New Mexico 83 OT
Huge upset in the Land of Enchantment.
Aggies had lost five in row, had the #338 eFG% in country.
Lobos led by 14 early, but State made 14-31 shots on the arc.

— Rhode Island 69, Providence 63
Rams are 9-0, but they’ve played schedule #330.
Both of URI’s top 100 wins were by six points.
Providence led this game by 8 with 13:43 left in the game.

— NC State 84, Florida State 74 OT
Seminoles led 66-60 with 3:444 left to play.
Wolfpack snaps 3-game skid with their first top 100 win in four tries.
NC State shot 64.5% inside the arc.
Bad beat if you had the Seminoles +5.

— St John’s 88, Kansas State 71
K-State came a long way to play a game that started at 11:30am in Queens.
Wildcats led by 10 with 5:36 left in first half.
Red Storm outscored K-State 53-32 in the second half.

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Sunday, December 8

 

[Udog]

NCAAB

Sunday, December 8

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Trend Report
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[CNOTES]

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 8​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
OKST at HALL	12:00 PM	HALL +2.0 O 132.5	+500 +500
ME at FOR	12:00 PM	FOR -5.5 U 138.5	+500 +500
RICH at AUB	12:00 PM	AUB -29.5 U 145.5	+500 +500
MD at PUR	12:00 PM	PUR -4.5 O 143.5	+500 +500
VAN at TCU	12:30 PM	TCU +2.5 U 150.5	+500 +500
MW at NIAG	01:00 PM	NIAG +2.0 O 126.5	+500 +500
SPU at IONA	01:00 PM	IONA -1.0 O 131.5	+500 +500
WAG at UMES	01:00 PM	UMES +5.0 O 126.5	+500 +500
KU at MIZZ	01:00 PM	KU -6.5 U 154.5	+500 +500
HARV at UNH	01:00 PM	HARV -8.5 O 135.0	+500 +500
COR at ARMY	01:00 PM	ARMY +5.0 U 158.0	+500 +500
TST at UCF	01:00 PM	UCF -25.0 O 136.5	+500 +500
COLG at NE	02:00 PM	NE -7.5 U 134.0	+500 +500
MRST at MAN	02:00 PM	MAN +1.5 O 137.5	+500 +500
HOW at CIN	02:00 PM	CIN -28.5 O 141.5	+500 +500
SH at QUIN	02:00 PM	QUIN -5.0 U 148.5	+500 +500
FAIR at MSM	02:00 PM	MSM -2.0 U 138.0	+500 +500
BUCK at RAD	02:00 PM	BUCK +7.0 O 133.0	+500 +500
RMU at PFW	02:00 PM	RMU +9.5 U 147.0	+500 +500
BALL at SIUE	02:00 PM	SIUE -3.0 O 137.0	+500 +500
TAM at TTU	03:00 PM	TAM +1.0 U 142.0	+500 +500
PEAY at SAM	03:00 PM	PEAY +13.0 U 151.0	+500 +500
MER at STET	03:00 PM	STET +3.5 O 154.0	+500 +500
FGCU at LSU	03:00 PM	FGCU +14.5 U 139.5	+500 +500
RICE at TXST	03:00 PM	RICE +6.0 U 134.5	+500 +500
CHS at SLU	03:00 PM	SLU -26.5 U 153.5	+500 +500
SEMO at MURR	04:00 PM	MURR -16.0 O 145.5	+500 +500
JVST at USA	04:00 PM	JVST +4.0 U 134.5	+500 +500
ARST at MEM	04:00 PM	ARST +13.5 O 153.0	+500 +500
PV at MSST	04:00 PM	MSST -38.0 O 163.5	+500 +500
LT at ULL	04:30 PM	ULL +7.0 O 146.0	+500 +500
DART at UIC	05:00 PM	UIC -10.5 U 152.5	+500 +500
CONN at TEX	05:00 PM	TEX -1.5 U 141.0	+500 +500
JKST at ISU	06:00 PM	ISU -35.5 U 145.0	+500 +500
DUKE at LOU	06:00 PM	LOU +9.0 U 144.5	+500 +500
UCLA at ORE	06:00 PM	ORE -3.5 O 138.5	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

COLLEGE HOOPS BEST BETS FOR DECEMBER !

12/08/2024....................15 - 18 - 0................45.45%................- 24.00
12/07/2024...................43 - 21 - 1..................61.81%................+ 54.50
12/06/2024.......................9 - 6 - 0...................60.00%................+ 12.00
12/05/2024.......................5 - 5 - 1...................50.00%................- 5.00
12/04/2024......................19 - 20 - 1.................48.71%................- 15.00
12/03/2024......................20 - 19 - 0.................51.28%................- 4.50
12/02/2024..........................2 - 8 - 0................20.00%................- 34.00
12/01/2024......................... 4 - 6 - 0................40.00%................- 13.00

TOTALS.........................117 - 103 - 3.................53.18%................- 19.00

 

[CNOTES]

Monday’s 6-pack:
— UCLA 73, Oregon 71- Bruins banked in a 3-pointer with 0:00.4 left.
— Missouri 76, Kansas 67- Kansas was 9-11 on foul line, Mizzou 26-31
— Duke 76, Louisville 65- Cardinals led by 14 points in first half.
— Purdue 83, Maryland 78- Terps led 62-57 with 8:25 left in game.
— Vanderbilt 83, TCU 74- Edwards scored 30 points; he didn’t start.
— Oklahoma State 85, Seton Hall 76- Pirates are 5-5, vs schedule #269.

Quote of the Day
“When you’re climbing the ladder of success in life, sometimes they forget to tell you to stop when you’re happy.”
UCF football coach Scott Frost

Monday’s quiz
Who was manager of the Mets last time they were in the World Series (2015)?

Sunday’s quiz
Oregon QB Dillon Gabriel has played college football for two other schools; Central Florida and Oklahoma.

Saturday’s quiz
San Diego hosts the Holiday Bowl every year.

********************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday……​

Lot of stuff going on; let’s get to it.
— Mets signed OF Juan Soto to a 15-year, $765M contract; that’s $51M a year, $318K+ per game for a 26-year old outfielder with a career OPS of .953.
Soto is 26; he’ll be playing for his 4th team in eight years, which is odd, but he doesn’t have to move this time, seeing how he played in the Bronx last year, and will play in Queens from now on.
Baseball’s Winter Meetings are this week; they’re off to a flying start.

Dolphins 32, Jets 26 OT
Miami forced OT on a 52-yard FG with 0:07 left.
Sanders kicked four FG’s, two of 50+ yards, but also missed a PAT.
Miami drove 70 yards in 8 plays for game-winning TD in overtime.
Dolphins won nine of last ten series games.
Miami won four of its last five games overall.
Jets outgained Miami 402-375, but had 10 penalties for 83 yards.
Jets are 1-9 SU/2-8 ATS in their last ten games.
Four of their last five losses were by 3-1-5-6 points.
Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.
Jets held last three opponents to 91-84-44 rushing yards.

Vikings 42, Falcons 21
Cousins threw for 344 yards, but also 2 INTs in his return to Minnesota.
Falcons lost their last three games SU, scoring 5 TD’s on 38 drives.
Atlanta is 2-7 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog.
Falcons had 3 turnovers, also 12 penalties for 127 yards.
Vikings’ first five drives: 30 plays, 213 yards, 14 points.
Vikings’ last four drives: 24 plays, 275 yards, 28 points.
Minnesota won its last six games (4-2 ATS)
Minnesota has 26 takeaways in 13 games (+7 turnovers).
NFC North home favorites are 12-5 ATS in non-divisional games.

Rams 44, Bills 42
Rams blocked punt for TD early in 2nd quarter, giving them 17-7 lead.
Bills’ 7 drives after that: 41 plays, 407 yards, 35 points.
QB Allen threw for 342 yards, 3 TDs, ran for 82 yards, 3 more TD’s.
Buffalo gave up 35-23-44 points in its losses (9-0 allow less than 23).
Last eight Buffalo games went over the total.
Rams’ first five drives: 52 plays, 358 yards, 31 points.
Rams converted 11 of their 15 third down plays.
WR Nucua caught 12 passes for 162 yards and a TD.
Rams won six of their last eight games, after a 1-4 start.
Ten of their 13 games were decided by 8 or fewer points.

Saints 14, Giants 11
Saints blocked a 35-yard FG with 0:11 left to preserve the win.
New Orleans is 3-1 SU/ATS since their coaching change.
Saints QB Carr injured his left hand late in game (check status)
New Orleans was 5-15 on third down, Giants 5-19.
Giants outgained the Saints, 325-292.
New Orleans led 14-3 after the third quarter.
Giants in 4th quarter: 30 plays, 162 yards, only 8 points.
Giants are 0-8 SU/1-7 ATS in last eight games.
Giants are 0-7 SU/2-5 ATS at home, scoring 10.1 points/game.
Giants haven’t had a positive turnover ratio in any games TY.

Steelers 27, Browns 14
Cleveland was 2-13 on 3rd down, Steelers 6-14.
Browns are 2-5 SU/ATS on road this season.
Cleveland is 3-1 when it scores 18+ points, 0-9 when it doesn’t
Browns are 8-14-1 ATS last 23 games as a road underdog.
Browns are minus-9 in turnovers the last seven games.
Pittsburgh led 13-7 at halftime.
Steelers first two drives of 2nd half: 13 plays, 113 yards, 14 points.
Steelers won/covered seven of their last eight games.
Pittsburgh is 13-4 ATS in last 17 AFC North home games.
Cleveland lost 5 in row, 22 of last 23 visits to Pittsburgh (1-7 ATS last 8)

Buccaneers 28, Raiders 13
Tampa Bay’s first 2 drives: 17 plays, 137 yards, 14 points.
Bucs won their last three games, after a 1-5 skid.
7-6 Tampa Bay leads NFC South by a game over Atlanta.
Mayfield threw for 295 yards, 3 TD’s.
Mayfield is 17-15 as Tampa Bay’s quarterback.
Buccaneers outgained Las Vegas, 420-286.
Tampa Bay ran ball 26 times for 152 yards (5.8 yards/carry).
Raiders lost another QB: O’Connell hurt his knee, Ridder was 12-18/101 passing.
Las Vegas is 0-9 SU/3-6 ATS in last nine games.
Raiders have 25 turnovers in 13 games (minus-17).

Famous birthdays, December 9th:
Darold Knowles, 83
Beau Bridges, 83
Michael Nouri, 79
John Malkovich, 71
World B Free, 71
Jim Haslett, 69
Otis Birdsong, 69
Juan Samuel, 64
Eric Bledsoe, 35

Eagles 22, Panthers 16
Carolina WR dropped a 38-yard TD pass in last 1:00 that would’ve given them the lead.
Panthers led 16-14 after 3rd quarter; they outgained Philly 302-292
Carolina is 2-3 SU/5-0 ATS in last five games.
Those five games were decided by total of 16 points.
WR Thielen caught nine passes for 102 yards.
Eagles ran ball for 209 yards, but Hurts threw for only 108 yards.
Safe to say that Philly’s receivers aren’t happy with those numbers.
Eagles are 9-0 SU/6-3 in their last nine games.
Philly is 4-1 SU/1-4 ATS at home this season.
Last seven games, Eagles are +10 in turnovers.

Jaguars 10, Titans 6
Tennessee led 6-0 after the third quarter.
Jaguars’ first 5 drives: 34 plays, 127 yards, 2 INTs, no points.
Jaguars’ last 3 drives: 24 plays, 151 yards, 10 points.
Jacksonville snaps its 5-game losing skid.
Jaguars covered six of their last seven games.
Tennessee is 2-7 SU/1-8 ATS in last nine games.
Titans were +2 in turnovers, but averaged only 4.3 yards/pass attempt.
Titans are 2-6 ATS in last eight AFC South home games.
QB Levis is 5-14 as an NFL starter.
Titans’ team total: under 9-3-1

Seahawks 30, Cardinals 18
Murray threw INTs on two of Arizona’s first three drives.
Seahawks’ first two TD drives were only 19-46 yards.
Seattle is 7-0 SU/6-1 ATS in last seven series games.
Seahawks are 4-0 since their bye, giving up 17-6-21-18 points.
Seattle was 7-15 on third down, Arizona 4-12.
Arizona is 0-3 since its bye, losing 16-6/23-22/30-18.
Down 27-18 in 4th quarter, Arizona missed a 40-yard FG.
Seahawks ran ball 31 times for 176 yards (5.7 yards/carry)
QB Murray is 34-44-1 SU as an NFL starter.

49ers 35, Bears 13
Bears scored first once in their 13 games (4-9).
Bears in first half: 17 plays, 9 yards, 5 punts.
49ers in first half: 37 plays, 310 yards, 24 points.
Maybe it wasn’t all the former coach’s fault.
Bears are 8-14-1 ATS last 23 games as a road underdog.
San Francisco snaps its 3-game losing skid.
49ers outgained Chicago 452-162; they averaged 11.9 yards/pass attempt.
49ers are 5-1 when they score 30+ points, 1-6 when they don’t.
QB Purdy is 27-11 as an NFL starter.
Over is 8-3 in their last eleven games.

Chiefs 19, Chargers 17
Chiefs drove 47 yards, kicked GW 31-yard field goal at the gun.
Kansas City wins AFC West for 9th year in a row.
Chiefs are 12-1, but they’re 0-7 ATS last seven games.
Kansas City has only one win this year by more than 10 points.
Chiefs are 16-22 ATS in last 38 games as a home favorite.
Chargers in first half: 27 plays, 122 yards, no points.
Chargers in second half: 31 plays, 210 yards, 17 points.
LA took a 17-16 lead, kicking a FG with 4:35 left in game.
Chargers are 5-2 SU/6-1 ATS in their last seven games.
LA is 3-5 scoring 23 or fewer points, 5-0 scoring 24+.

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, December 9

NCAAB

Monday, December 9

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Trend Report
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Minnesota vs Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Indiana is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Pennsylvania vs VCU
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pennsylvania's last 6 games on the road
Pennsylvania is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
VCU is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Sarah Lawrence vs Columbia
Columbia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Hofstra vs Norfolk State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hofstra's last 6 games on the road
Hofstra is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hofstra's last 6 games on the road
Hofstra is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road

Abilene Christian vs Baylor
Baylor is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Baylor is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home

Lincoln (CA) vs San Jose State
The total has gone OVER in 13 of San Jose State's last 17 games at home
San Jose State is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games at home


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[CNOTES]

MONDAY, DECEMBER 9​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
MINN at IND	06:30 PM	MINN +9.5 O 140.0	+500 +500
PENN at VCU	07:00 PM	VCU -23.5 O 137.5	+500 +500
HOF at NORF	07:00 PM	HOF +3.5 U 133.0	+500 +500
CHSO at SCST	07:00 PM	SCST -2.5 U 144.5	+500 +500
ACU at BAY	08:00 PM	BAY -24.0 O 142.0	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

COLLEGE HOOPS BEST BETS FOR DECEMBER !

12/09/2024......................4 - 4 - 0.................50.00%................- 2.00
12/08/2024....................15 - 18 - 0................45.45%................- 24.00
12/07/2024...................43 - 21 - 1..................61.81%................+ 54.50
12/06/2024.......................9 - 6 - 0...................60.00%................+ 12.00
12/05/2024.......................5 - 5 - 1...................50.00%................- 5.00
12/04/2024......................19 - 20 - 1.................48.71%................- 15.00
12/03/2024......................20 - 19 - 0.................51.28%................- 4.50
12/02/2024..........................2 - 8 - 0................20.00%................- 34.00
12/01/2024......................... 4 - 6 - 0................40.00%................- 13.00

TOTALS.........................121 - 107- 3.................53.07%................- 21.00

 

[CNOTES]

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
NFL’s best teams in turnover ratio:
+17— Bills, Steelers
+11— Chargers
+10— Bears, Texans
+9— Packers
+8— Lions, Vikings
+4— Eagles, Commanders

Quote of the Day
“If you think nobody cares about you, try missing a couple of payments.”
Steven Wright

Tuesday’s quiz
Where did Kevin Durant play his one year of college basketball?

Monday’s quiz
Terry Collins was manager of the Mets last time they were in the World Series, in 2015.

Sunday’s quiz
Oregon QB Dillon Gabriel has played college football for two other schools; Central Florida and Oklahoma.

***************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Early notes, trends on bowl games…….​

Early notes, thoughts, trends on bowl games:

— If you’re betting on bowl games, pay attention to the news:
Which coaches have moved on to other jobs
Which players are injured
Which players (if any) have opted out of playing
Weather

— If I was a kid playing in a bowl, my preference would be warm weather; in other words, almost anywhere other than Boise, Boston or the Bronx.

— This is the first year of the 12-team playoff; four games will be played at campus sites December 20-21. What impact will campus sites have on the games? Won’t be as many students around, with the games so close to Christmas.

— Will the teams who have first round byes have an advantage in second round games? Again, there is no road map for this, since this is the first year with this format.
Arizona State, Boise State, Georgia, Oregon have the first round byes.

— Biggest spreads in bowls:
Florida -12 vs Tulane
Ole Miss -11.5 vs Duke
Alabama -11.5 vs Michigan
Clemson +11 @ Texas
South Carolina -10.5 vs Illinois
Army -10.5 vs Marshall
TCU -10 vs Louisiana
SMU +9 @ Penn State
Pittsburgh -9 vs Toledo

— Highest totals in bowls:
68.5- North Texas-Texas State
62.5- South Florida-San Jose State
60.5- Baylor-LSU
60.5- Syracuse-Washington State
59.5- Texas Tech-Arkansas
59.5- South Alabama-Western Michigan
59.5- TCU-Louisiana
59.5- NC State-East Carolina
58.5- Coastal Carolina-Tex-San Antonio

— Lowest totals in bowls:
40.5- Iowa-Missouri
42.5- Northern Illinois-Fresno State
43.5- Miami OH-Colorado State
43.5- Alabama-Michigan
44.5- Oklahoma-Navy
45.5- Boston College-Nebraska
46.5- Georgia Southern-Sam Houston State
47.5- Tennessee-Ohio State

— Famous birthdays, December 10:
Susan Dey, 72
Mark Aguirre, 65
Bryant Stith, 54
Carlos Rodon, 32
Nestor Cortes, 30
Joe Burrow, 28

— North Carolina-UConn, Fenway Bowl
Tar Heels fired 73-year old Mack Brown, who won’t coach this game; Brown led UNC to bowls the last six years, going 44-33, but lost his last four bowls.
Adding to the intrigue is news that North Carolina is talking with 72-year old Bill Belichick about being the Tar Heels’ next coach, even though he has never coached in college.
With the game being played in Boston, that only adds to the drama.

— UNLV coach Barry Odom has already bolted to Purdue, which is 5-19 the last two years. Odom was 19-8 the last two years at UNLV; there is debate as to whether Purdue is a better job than UNLV, big fish/small pond and all that……..
Rebels are playing the Cal Bears in the LA Bowl; UNLV’s QB quit the team after three games this year, now their coach has moved on to greener pa$ture$. Not ideal.

— Dowell Loggains was South Carolina’s offensive coordinator; now he is Appalachian State’s head coach. Gamecocks are a double digit favorite over Illinois in their bowl game.

— Duke running backs coach Willie Simmons is the new head coach at Florida International; he was 45-13 as head coach at Florida A&M before moving to Duke this past year. His departure could be a distraction to a Duke team that is an 11.5-point underdog to Ole Miss.

— Marshall is 10-3 this season, winning the Sun Belt championship, but the administration at Marshall didn’t get long well with coach Charles Huff, so Huff has bolted to Southern Miss.
Marshall is a 10-point underdog to Army in their bowl game.

— Ohio U is 30-10 the last three years; they won the MAC championship Saturday, but quickly lost coach Tim Albin, who bolted to Charlotte. Ohio is favored by 1.5 points over Jacksonville State in their bowl game; Albin misses out on a trip to Orlando.

— Good news: Sam Houston State is 9-3 in its second year as a I-A team.
Bad news: Temple poached Sam Houston’s coach, 65-year old KC Keeler, who is 271-112-1 as a head coach at multiple levels of college ball.
Bearkats are a 5.5-point underdog to Georgia Southern in their bowl game.

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Tuesday, December 10

 

[Udog]

NCAAB

Tuesday, December 10

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Trend Report
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[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, December 10

5 of Tuesday’s best college basketball games:
Miami vs Tennessee (-16.5) (@ Madison Square Garden)
Miami (3-6)
KenPom rating: 100
Tempo: 288
Experience: 15
Continuity: 243
Miami lost its last six games, four of them by 7 or less points.
Hurricanes are 0-5 vs top 100 teams (1-4 ATS)
Miami’s three wins are all vs teams outside top 300.
Hurricanes have #273 eFG% defense in country.
ACC neutral/road underdogs are 15-21 ATS.

Tennessee (8-0)
KenPom rating: 2
Tempo: 282
Experience: 26
Continuity: 149
Tennessee has three top 100 wins, by 22-15-26 points.
Vols have #5 eFG% defense in country, #2 eFG% offense.
Tennessee is shooting 63.7% inside arc (#1)
77-62 win over #17 Baylor is their closest game this year.
SEC neutral/road favorites are 19-13 ATS


Penn State @ Rutgers (-1.5)
Penn State (8-1, 1-0)
KenPom rating: 33
Tempo: 25
Experience: 60
Continuity: 27
Penn State won its Big 18 opener, 81-70 over #13 Purdue
Lions are 1-1 vs top 100 teams (lost 75-67 to #19 Clemson)
Penn State is forcing turnovers 24.5% of time (#5)
Lions have #10 eFG% in country, vs schedule #297
This is Penn State’s first true road game.

Rutgers (5-4, 0-1)
KenPom rating: 74
Tempo: 63
Experience: 206
Continuity: 307
Rutgers lost its Big 18 opener, 80-66 at Ohio State
Scarlet Knights are 1-3 vs top 100 teams.
Rutgers’ best win: 85-84 in OT over #79 Notre Dame.
Scarlet Knights are 1-3 in games decided by 5 or fewer points.
Rutgers has played schedule #73 so far.


These teams split their last eight meetings.


MIchigan (-4.5) vs Arkansas (@ Madison Square Garden)
MIchigan (8-1)
KenPom rating: 22
Tempo: 108
Experience: 101
Continuity: 277
Michigan won two conference games last week, by 2-3 points.
Wolverines are 4-0 vs top 100 teams.
Michigan’s only loss: 72-70 to #109 Wake Forest.
Wolverines are turning ball over 21.4% of time (#335)
Michigan has #22 eFG%, the #8 eFG% defense.
Big 18 road/neutral favorites are 11-10 ATS

Arkansas (7-2)
KenPom rating: 45
Tempo: 77
Experience: 237
Continuity: 338
Arkansas is 2-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 5-13 points (Baylor/Illinois)
Hogs’ best win: 76-60 over #96 Lipscomb.
Arkansas is shooting 58.3% inside arc (#27)
Hogs are #8 team in country on defensive boards.
SEC neutral/road underdogs are 15-9 ATS


Wisconsin @ Illinois (-6.5)
Wisconsin (8-2, 0-1)
KenPom rating: 37
Tempo: 195
Experience: 33
Continuity: 80
Wisconsin lost its last two games, by 3-14 points.
Badgers lost Big 18 opener, 67-64 at home vs Michigan
Badgers are 3-2 vs top 100 teams.
Wisconsin’s best win: 103-88 over #29 Arizona.
Badgers lost only true road game, 88-74 at Marquette

Illinois (6-2, 0-1)
KenPom rating: 16
Tempo: 39
Experience: 311
Continuity: 345
Illini lost its Big 18 opener in OT at #59 Northwestern
Illinois is 1-2 vs top 100 teams (schedule #241)
Illini’s best win: 90-77 over #45 Arkansas
Illinois has the best eFG% defense in country.


Illinois won its last eight games with Wisconsin.


Long Beach State @ San Diego (-3.5)
Long Beach State (3-8)
KenPom rating: 305
Tempo: 304
Experience: 213
Continuity: 348
Long Beach won two Big West tilts LW, after an 0-8 skid.
Long Beach is 2-3 vs teams ranked outside top 200
Long Beach’s best win: 76-68 vs #201 Hawai’i
Long Beach is shooting only 44.2% inside arc (#331)
Long Beach is 0-3 vs WCC teams, losing by 30-2-43 points.
Big West road underdogs are 19-16 ATS.

San Diego (3-6)
KenPom rating: 291
Tempo: 8
Experience: 354
Continuity: 204
San Diego lost five of last six D-I games.
San Diego is shooting 24.1% on arc (#362)
Toreros are turning ball over 20.4% of time (#314)
Toreros are 2-3 vs teams ranked outside top 200 teams.
WCC home favorites are 19-19 ATS