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Udog

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Friday, September 8

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Udog

Udog

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, September 8

National League
Arizona (73-68) @ Cubs (76-65)
— Gallen is 0-2, 9.28 in his last two starts.
— Arizona is 1-5 in his last six road starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 6-29
— record in first 5 innings: 17-8-4
— He is 1-1, 4.35 in four starts vs Chicago.


— Arizona is 5-7 in its last 12 games.
— Arizona is 35-33 on road.
— under 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 49-141
— record in first 5 innings: 59-54-28
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-6-3.1


— Taillon is 0-3, 8.89 in his last five starts.
— Cubs are 3-8 in his home starts
— under 5-3 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 11-25
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 10-12-3
— He is 1-1, 5.25 in two starts vs Arizona.


— Cubs are 11-5 in their last 16 games.
— Chicago is 40-32 at home.
— under 9-2 last eleven games.
— scored run in first inning: 41-140
— record in first 5 innings: 65-54-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-2.1-3.1


St Louis (61-79) @ Cincinnati (73-69)
— Rom is 0-2, 8.56 in three starts.
— Cardinals are 0-3 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Cincinnati.


— Cardinals are 6-2 in their last eight games.
— Cardinals are 31-38 on road.
— over 6-1-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 42-139
— record in first 5 innings: 59-58-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-x


— Abbott is 0-1, 4.61 in his last three starts.
— Reds are 6-2 in his home starts.
— under 11-6
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— allowed run in first inning: 6-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-3
— He blanked St Louis for 5.2 IP (105 PT) June 10.


— Reds are 4-2 in their last six games.
— Cincinnati is 35-37 at home.
— under 9-5 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 45-140
— record in first 5 innings: 55-54-31
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-3.2-x


Los Angeles (85-54) @ Washington (63-77)
— Sheehan is 2-1, 10.95 in three road starts.
— Dodgers are 4-4 in his starts.
— over 5-3
— allowed run in first inning: 4-8
— record in first 5 innings: 5-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Washington.


— Dodgers lost five of their last seven games.
— Dodgers are 38-30 on road.
— over 11-4 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 56-139
— record in first 5 innings: 70-53-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.3-1-2


— Gore is 1-1, 4.11 in his last three starts.
— Nationals are 5-3 in his last eight starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 6-26
— record in first 5 innings: 11-9-6
— He gave up a run in 5.2 IP in his one start vs Los Angeles.


— Nationals are 2-8 in their last ten games.
— They’re 30-41 at home.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 46-140
— record in first 5 innings: 53-71-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-5-4


Miami (70-68) @ Philadelphia (77-62)
— Perez is 0-0, 3.48 in his last four starts.
— Marlins are 2-5 in his last seven starts.
— under 11-4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Philly.


— Miami won six of its last seven games.
— Marlins are 32-36 on road.
— over 6-1 last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-140
— record in first 5 innings: 59-57-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5-5.1


— Sanchez is 2-0, 4.76 in his last four starts.
— Phillies are 4-1 in his last five starts.
— over 5-1 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-14
— record in first 5 innings: 3-5-6
— This is his first start vs Miami.


— Phillies lost four of last seven games.
— Phillies are 36-36 on road.
— under 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 41-139
— record in first 5 innings: 59-62-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-x


Pittsburgh (65-75) @ Atlanta (91-48)
— Keller is 2-0, 1.73 in his last four starts.
— Pirates are 8-5 in his home starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 11-28
— record in first 5 innings: 15-9-4
— He is 0-2, 8.64 in four starts vs Atlanta.


— Pirates won seven of their last nine games.
— Pittsburgh is 31-38 on road.
— over 31-17 last 48 games
— scored run in first inning: 35-140
— record in first 5 innings: 51-70-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-5.1-x


— Elder is 3-0, 2.22 in his last four starts.
— Braves are 10-3 in his home starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 6-27
— record in first 5 innings: 15-5-7
— He gave up 5 runs in 5 IP, in his one start vs Pittsburgh.


— Atlanta lost three of last four games.
— Braves are 45-24 at home.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 55-139
— record in first 5 innings: 82-39-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-6.1-3


Colorado (51-88) @ San Francisco (70-70)
— Blach is 1-0, 3.30 in his last five starts.
— Colorado is 3-5 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3
— This is his first start vs San Francisco.


— Colorado is 13-28 in its last 41 games.
— Colorado is 22-50 on road.
— over 13-6-1 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 41-140
— record in first 5 innings: 55-69-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5.2-x


— Harrison is 1-1, 4.70 in three starts.
— Giants are 1-2 in his starts.
— under 3-0
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Colorado.


— Giants lost their last six games.
— San Francisco is 38-31 at home.
— under 3-0 last three home games
— scored run in first inning: 39-140
— record in first 5 innings: 56-59-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.1-5.2-x


American League
White Sox (54-86) @ Detroit (64-76)
— Clevinger is 1-2, 7.31 in his last three starts.
— White Sox are 1-6 in his last seven road starts.
— under 10-5-1 last 16 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-19
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 9-9-1
— He is 0-1, 8.00 in two starts vs Detroit TY.


— Chicago is 7-17 in its last 24 games.
— White Sox are 26-46 on road
— over 7-0-2 last nine road games
— scored run in first inning: 39-140
— record in first 5 innings: 52-71-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-3-x


— Olson is 2-0, 4.01 in his last five starts.
— Detroit is 4-1 in his last five starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 6-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-8-2
— He is 1-1, 1.50 in two starts vs Chicago TY.


— Detroit won five of its last seven games.
— Tigers are 29-40 at home.
— under 18-7 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-140
— record in first 5 innings: 52-67-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-7-3


Seattle (79-61) @ Tampa Bay (85-56)
— Kirby is 0-1, 4.18 in his last four starts.
— Mariners are 5-7 in his road starts.
— under 3-1-1 last five starts
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— allowed run in first inning: 7-26
— record in first 5 innings: 10-11-5
— He is 1-0, 1.38 in two starts vs Tampa Bay.


— Seattle is 4-5 in its last nine games.
— Mariners are 40-32 on road.
— over 3-2-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 43-140
— record in first 5 innings: 68-50-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.2-3


— Bradley is 0-1, 6.75 in his last three starts.
— Tampa Bay is 1-6 in his last seven starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-8-3
— He gave up 5 runs in 3.1 IP in July 2 start at Seattle.


— Tampa Bay is 13-6 in its last 19 games.
— Rays are 47-25 at home.
— under 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 49-141
— record in first 5 innings: 75-49-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3-1


Kansas City (44-97) @ Toronto (77-63)
— Royals haven’t named a starter.


— Royals lost nine of last 12 games.
— Royals are 18-51 on road.
— over 5-1-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 41-141
— record in first 5 innings: 42-82-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.2-x


— Kikuchi is 0-2, 4.76 in his last five starts.
— Blue Jays are 8-4 in his home starts
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 7-27
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 12-10-5
— He is 1-2, 7.30 in six starts vs Kansas City.


— Toronto won six of last nine games.
— Blue Jays are 35-30 at home.
— over 8-2-1 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 33-139
— record in first 5 innings: 57-53-29
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-3-x


Baltimore (88-51) @ Boston (72-68)
— Bradish is 3-0, 2.00 in his last three starts.
— Orioles are 10-3 in his last 13 starts.
— over 5-1-1 last seven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-25
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 12-10-3
— He gave up 7 runs in 2.1 IP in April 19 start vs Boston.


— Orioles are 16-7 in their last 23 games.
— Baltimore is 46-25 on road.
— over 13-4-2 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-139
— record in first 5 innings: 66-50-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-3-x


— Houck is 1-2, 4.50 in his last four starts.
— Red Sox are 2-8 in his last 10 starts.
— over 4-0 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-10
— He is 1-1, 6.30 in two starts vs Baltimore TY.


— Red Sox are 3-7 in their last ten games.
— Boston is 36-33 at home.
— over 17-2-1 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 45-140
— record in first 5 innings: 53-68-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-3.1-x


Oakland (43-97) @ Texas (76-63)
— Blackburn is 1-1, 3.71 in his last three starts.
— A’s are 6-2 in his last eight starts
— under 10-4 last 14 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-5
— He is 0-3, 13.00 in four starts vs Texas


— A’s are 9-7 in their last 16 games.
— Oakland is 19-50 on road.
— under 6-4-1 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-140
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 41-77-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-x


— Montgomery is 2-1, 3.82 in six starts for Texas.
— Rangers are 2-4 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
— He is 0-1, 3.64 in five starts vs Oakland.


— Texas is 4-15 in its last 19 games.
— Rangers are 43-29 at home.
— over 11-3 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 40-139
— record in first 5 innings: 75-46-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-6-x


Cleveland (67-74) @ LA Angels (65-76)
— Allen is 0-2, 6.60 in his last three starts.
— Guardians are 7-3 in his road starts
— under 6-2 last eight starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-21
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 9-9-3
— He gave up 3 runs in 4.1 IP, in May 12 start vs Anaheim.


— Guardians are 7-6 in their last 13 games.
— Cleveland is 31-38 on road.
— under 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 39-141
— record in first 5 innings: 56-60-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-2.1


— Canning is 0-1, 2.66 in his last four starts.
— Guardians are 5-2 in his home starts
— under 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-18
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 8-8-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Cleveland.


— Angels are 8-25 in their last 33 games.
— Angels are 33-36 at home.
— over 8-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 39-140
— record in first 5 innings: 55-62-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-4-9


Interleague games
Milwaukee (77-62) @ Bronx (70-70)
— Rea is 0-1, 6.98 in his last four starts.
— Brewers are 6-3 in his road starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 7-20
— record in first 5 innings: 8-10-2
— He gave up 2 runs in 6 IP, in his one start vs New York.


— Brewers won 12 of last 17 games.
— Milwaukee is 47-26 on road.
— under 5-4 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 43-139
— record in first 5 innings: 59-60-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-2.1


— Severino is 2-0, 2.04 in his last three starts.
— New York is 4-3 in his home starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 7-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-4
— He gave up 3 runs in 7 IP, in his one start vs Milwaukee.


— New York is 8-2 in last ten games.
— Bronx is 38-34 at home.
— under 7-2-1 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 38-140
— record in first 5 innings: 63-54-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2.1-5.1


NY Mets (64-75) @ Minnesota (73-67)
— Senga is 3-1, 2.48 in his last five starts.
— Mets are 6-2 in his last eight starts
— under 16-5 in his last 21 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-25
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 10-10-5
— He hasn’t pitched against Minnesota.


— Mets are 4-2 in their last six games.
— Mets are 29-42 on road.
— under 12-5-1 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-137
— record in first 5 innings: 61-59-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-x


— Keuchel is 1-1, 6.61 in four starts.
— Twins are 3-1 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 82-2
— He is 1-1, 2.00 in three starts vs New York.


— Twins are 8-7 in their last 15 games.
— Minnesota is 40-29 at home.
— over 11-4 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 39-139
— record in first 5 innings: 60-59-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-4


San Diego (66-75) @ Houston (80-61)
— Snell is 4-1, 2.03 in his last five starts.
— Padres are 7-1 in his last eight starts.
— under 7-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 8-28
— record in first 5 innings: 15-12-1
— He is 2-3, 6.11 in seven starts vs Houston.


— Padres won four of last six games.
— San Diego is 27-39 on road.
— over 8-5-1 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 49-141
— record in first 5 innings: 65-60-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7.2-2.1-5


— Brown is 1-3, 9.17 in his last four starts.
— Houston is 3-6 in his last nine starts.
— over 5-1 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-25
— record in first 5 innings: 11-11-3
— He hasn’t pitched against San Diego.


— Astros won last three games, scoring 39 runs.
— Houston is 2-7 in last nine home games.
— over 20-8-1 last 29 games
— scored run in first inning: 49-141
— record in first 5 innings: 68-52-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-x
 
CNOTES

CNOTES

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Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
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FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 8​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
CHW at DET06:40 PMDET -139
U 8.5		+500 +500
SEA at TB06:40 PMSEA -107
O 8.0		+500 +500
STL at CIN06:40 PMCIN -115
O 10.0		+500 +500
LAD at WAS07:05 PMLAD -145
U 10.0		+500 +500
MIL at NYY07:05 PMMIL -101
U 9.0		+500 +500
MIA at PHI07:05 PMPHI -130
U 9.0		+500 +500
KC at TOR07:07 PMKC +217
O 9.0		+500 +500
BAL at BOS07:10 PMBAL -116
U 10.5		+500 +500
PIT at ATL07:20 PMATL -195
U 9.5		+500 +500
OAK at TEX08:05 PMOAK +212
U 8.5		+500 +500
SD at HOU08:10 PMSD +124
U 8.5		+500 +500
NYM at MIN08:10 PMMIN -101
O 8.5		+500 +500
CLE at LAA09:38 PMCLE -122
O 8.5		+500 +500
COL at SF10:15 PMSF -219
O 8.0		+500 +500
 
CNOTES

CNOTES

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Sep 26, 2005
Messages
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SEPT'S MLB BEST BETS !

09/08/2023...............................14 - 8 - 1........................63.63%............................+ 31.00
09/04/2023................................5 - 10..............................33.33%.............................- 31.05
09/03/2023...............................5 - 16 - 1..........................23.80%............................- 61.35
09/02/2023...............................12 - 9 - 1..........................57.14%............................+ 15.95
09/01/2023................................7 - 14..............................33.33%............................- 39.50

TOTALS...................... ............43 - 57 - 3...........................43.00%%.........................- 84.95
 
CNOTES

CNOTES

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
Interesting point spreads in the NFL this week:
— Cardinals @ Washington (-7, 38)
— Raiders @ Denver (-3.5, 43)
— Miami @ LA Chargers (-3, 51)
— Eagles (-4, 44.5) @ New England
— Packers @ Chicago (-1.5, 42)
— Cowboys (-3.5, 45) @ NJ Giants

Quote of the Day
“I wish I wasn’t out there for the seventh to be honest. I was at 90 pitches and I didn’t think I needed to go anymore, but, you know, it is what it is. It’ll be a conversation soon.”
Mariners’ starting pitcher George Kirby, after Seattle’s 7-4 loss Friday

Saturday’s quiz
Kurt Warner won the Super Bowl with the 1999 Rams; who did they play in their season opener that year?
Hint: That team won the Super Bowl the next season

Friday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes was the Chiefs’ backup QB his rookie year in the NFL; Alex Smith was the Chiefs’ starting QB that year.

Thursday’s quiz
Erik Kramer was the Detroit Lions’ QB the last time they won a playoff game, in 1991.

******************************************

Saturday’s Den: Our Week 1 NFL writeup​

Texans (0-0) @ Ravens (0-0)
— Texans have their fourth head coach the last four years.
— Last 3 years, Texans are 10-11-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— However, they’re 4-9-1 ATS as a road dog outside AFC South, 6-2 in division.
— Houston covered five of last six road openers.
— Under is 6-2 in their last eight road openers.
— Rookie QB Stroud gets the nod under center here, with a rookie head coach.
— Last two years, under is 11-6 in Houston road games.
— Since 2013, NFL coaches in their first year with a new team are 13-7-1 ATS as Week 1 underdogs.
— Last seven years, Ravens are 6-1 ATS in Week 1
— Last two years, Baltimore is 3-10 ATS as a home favorite.
— 5-2 ATS last seven home openers
— Last three years, they scored 38-36-38 points in home openers
— Lamar Jackson is 46-19 as an NFL starter (1-3 in playoff games)
— Last two years, Ravens are 18-16 SU, with a minus-8 turnover ratio.
— Under is 11-6 in their last 17 home games.
— Ravens are 10-2 against Houston.
— Teams haven’t met since 2020.
— Texans are 0-6 in Baltimore, losing last visit 41-7 in 2019.

Bengals (0-0) @ Browns (0-0)
— QB Burrow hurt his calf in preseason; is expected to play here.
— Cincinnati lost its last four road openers.
— Bengals went to OT in Week 1 the last two years (1-1)
— Cincinnati is 8-3 ATS in last 11 games as a road favorite.
— Last 2 years, Bengals were 22-11 SU, 22-9-2 ATS.
— Last 2 years, Cincy is 8-5-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Last 2 years, Bengals are 4-1-1 ATS in AFC North road games.
— Under is 10-5-2 in their last 17 road games.
— Browns have had one winning season (2020) since 2007.
— Browns are 3-1-1 ATS in last five games as a home underdog.
— Last three years, Cleveland scored 35-31-30 points in their home opener.
— Last year was first time since 2004 that Browns won in Week 1.
— Last nine years, Cleveland is 9-17-1 ATS in AFC North home tilts (3-0 LY)
— Over is 7-2 in Browns’ last seven home openers.
— Watson is 32-30 as an NFL starter, was 3-3 for Cleveland LY.
— Browns won five of last six games against Cincinnati.
— Bengals lost their last five visits to Cleveland.

Buccaneers (0-0) @ Vikings (0-0)
— Despite being 8-9, Tampa Bay won the NFC South last year.
— Since 2017, Bucs are 6-13-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— Bucs are 5-8 ATS in last 13 games on artificial turf.
— Mayfield is 32-39 as an NFL starter (1-1 in playoffs)
— Buccaneers were 2-12-1 ATS in their last 15 games LY.
— Bucs are 5-3 ATS in last eight road openers.
— Last two years, under is 11-5 in Tampa Bay road games.
— Bucs’ new OC Dave Canales spent last 12 years in Seattle.
— Minnesota made playoffs LY, for first time since 2019.
— Vikings won/covered 7 of their last 8 home openers.
— Vikings were 11-0 SU LY in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
— Last three years, Minnesota is 7-12 ATS as a home favorite.
— Since 2014, Vikings are 23-11-1 as a non-divisional home favorite.
— Last three years, over is 18-7 in Minnesota home games.
— Cousins is 73-66-2 as an NFL starter, 1-3 in playoffs.
— Vikings’ new defensive coordinator is former Dolphins’ HC Brian Flores.
— Tampa Bay won seven of last nine series games.
— Teams haven’t met since 2020.
— Bucs lost last visit to Minnesota, 34-17 in 2017.

Titans (0-0) @ Saints (0-0)
— Titans were 7-10 LY, their first losing season since 2015.
— Tennessee lost its last seven games (1-5-1 ATS) last year.
— Titans are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road openers.
— Last 3 years, Tennessee is 9-4-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Tannehill is 80-68 as an NFL starter (2-3 in playoffs)
— Since 2015, Titans are 19-14-1 ATS vs NFC opponents.
— Last two years, Titans are 7-5-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
— New Orleans was 7-10 LY, their first losing season since 2016.
— Saints are 2-6 SU/1-7 ATS in last eight home openers.
— New Orleans won last four years in Week 1, scoring 29.8 ppg.
— Since 2018, Saints are 13-15 ATS as a home favorite
— Since 2018, NO is 18-11-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
— Derek Carr is 63-80 as an NFL starting QB.
— Last two years, under is 10-7 in Saints’ home games.
— LY, New Orleans was minus-11 in turnovers (+31 from 2019-21)
— Tennessee leads series, 9-6-1
— Road team won four of last five meetings.
— Titans won their last three visits to Bourbon Street.

Panthers (0-0) @ Falcons (0-0)
— New coach, rookie QB usually suggests a losing season.
— Panthers have had five straight losing seasons.
— Reich was 41-35-1 coaching the Colts (1-2 in playoffs)
— Carolina went 8-3 ATS in last 11 games LY, after they fired the coach.
— Last two years, Panthers were 6-8 ATS as a road underdog.
— Carolina is 5-4 ATS in last nine road openers.
— You’re reading armadillosports com
— Last four years, Panthers are 7-5 ATS in NFC South road games.
— Last 3 years, dogs were 19-2 ATS in Carolina games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
— Falcons have also had five straight losing seasons.
— Atlanta is 14-20 SU in two years under Arthur Smith.
— Seven of their last 10 games LY were decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Atlanta is 2-8-1 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite.
— Since 2004, Atlanta is 15-4 ATS in home openers.
— Under Smith, Falcons are 7-4-2 ATS in games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
— Ridder was 2-2 as a starter last year, his rookie season.
— Under is 7-1 in their last eight games.
— Teams split their season series (3-3) the last three years.
— Panthers won two of last three visits to Atlanta.

Jaguars (0-0) @ Colts (0-0)
— Jaguars made playoffs LY for 1st time since 2017, 2nd time since ’07.
— Jags were first team EVER to win playoff game with a minus-5 TO ratio.
— Jacksonville was +6 in turnovers LY; they were minus-20 in 2021.
— Last five years, Jaguars are 5-8-2 ATS in AFC South road games.
— Since 2018, Jaguars are 6-12-2 ATS on artificial turf.
— Lawrence is 12-22 as an NFL starter- he won a national title in college.
— Over last decade, Jaguars are 6-6 ATS as a road favorite.
— Pederson is 56-48-1 as a head coach (5-3 in playoff games).
— This will be 7th year in row Colts have a different #1 QB
— Colts lost 10 of their last 12 games SU last year.
— Colts are 6-9 ATS in last 15 games as a home underdog.
— Last three years, Indy is 2-6-1 ATS in AFC South home games.
— No idea which QB starts; Minshew has a 8-16 record as a starter.
— Rookie QB Richardson starts, rookie QB/new coach combo isn’t great.
— Last three years, under is 14-10 in Colts’ home games.
— Colts were minus-13 in turnovers LY (+14/+10 previous two years)
— Home side won last 11 series games.
— Jaguars lost their last five visits to Indy (1-2-2 ATS, all as underdogs)

49ers (0-0) @ Steelers (0-0)
— San Francisco won 12 of its last 13 games (10-3 ATS) LY.
— 49ers were +14 in turnovers last year (minus-15 in 2020-21)
— Last two years, SF were 23-11 in regular season, 4-2 in playoffs.
— Since 2016, 49ers are 11-12 ATS as a road favorite.
— SF is 3-4 SU/ATS in its last seven road openers.
— 49ers are 6-9 ATS in last 15 games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
— 49ers are 15-10 ATS in last 25 games vs AFC opponents.
— 2nd-year QB Purdy is 7-1 as NFL starter.
— Steelers went 9-8/9-7-1 the last two seasons.
— Pittsburgh won/covered six of its last seven games LY.
— Since 2018, Steelers are 7-1-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Pitt is 10-3-1 ATS in last 14 games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
— Since 2015, Steelers are 20-15 ATS vs NFC opponents.
— Steelers are 1-4 SU/0-5 ATS in last five home openers.
— 2nd-year QB Pickett is 7-5 as an NFL starter.
— Home team won last five series games.
— 49ers lost last two visits here; their last win in Pittsburgh was in 1996.

Cardinals (0-0) @ Commanders (0-0)
— New GM, new coach, different QB for Arizona in Week 1.
— Cardinals lost seven in row, 11 of their last 13 games SU (4-6 ATS in last 10).
— Kyler Murray is still recovering from a knee injury; Colt McCoy is starter.
— 37-year old McCoy is 11-25 as an NFL starter (4-4 since 2020)
— Last five years, Cardinals are 20-9-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— Arizona was 1-13 SU last year when it scored less than 29 points.
— Cardinals won their last three road openers, covered last four.
— Dobbs is 0-2 as an NFL starting QB.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five road openers.
— 2022 5th-round pick QB Howell gets his 2nd NFL start here.
— Howell won his first NFL start 26-6 against the Cowboys.
— LY, Washington was 5-1 when it scored 23+ points, 3-7-1 if they didn’t.
— Last five years, Commanders are 5-9 ATS as a home favorite.
— Under was 10-3 in Washington’s last 13 games last year.
— Under is 17-6 in Commanders’ last 23 home games.
— Washington is 3-8 SU/ATS in last eleven home openers.
— Washington won 10 of last 13 series games.
— Teams haven’t met since 2020.
— Cardinals lost last eight visits here; their last win in Washington was in 1998.

Raiders (0-0) @ Broncos (0-0)
— Last three years, Raiders are -7/-9/-11 in turnovers.
— Raiders blew five double digit leads in 2nd half last year.
— Garoppolo is 40-17 as an NFL starting QB.
— Garoppolo worked with coach McDaniels in New England.
— Last four years, Raiders are 14-8 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last four years, Las Vegas is 6-4 ATS as an AFC West road dog.
— Raiders are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road openers.
— Under is 11-6 in their last 17 road games.
— Raiders were 3-8 SU LY in games decided by 5 or less points, or in OT.
— Sean Payton (152-89 as NFL HC) makes his Denver debut here.
— Denver lost 11 of its last 14 games last year.
— Last 8 years with the Saints, Payton was 20-29-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Since 2017, Broncos are 7-15-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last three years, Denver is 5-3-1 ATS in AFC West home games.
— Denver is 9-5 ATS in its last 14 home openers.
— Last two years, under was 10-6 in Broncos’ home games.
— Russell Wilson is 117-71-1 as an NFL starter.
— Las Vegas won last six series games.
— Raiders won last three visits to Denver (won 22-16 in OT LY)

Dolphins (0-0) @ Chargers (0-0)
— Last 3 years, Miami was 10-6/9-8/9-8……0-1 in playoffs.
— Miami was 9-8 LY despite a minus-8 turnover ratio.
— Last four years, Dolphins are 13-9 ATS as a road underdog.
— Over was 7-2 in Miami road games last season.
— Last four years, Dolphins are 12-7 ATS on artificial turf.
— Last 2 years, Miami is 4-6 in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Dolphins are 6-2 ATS in last eight road openers.
— Tagovailoa is 21-13 as an NFL starter.
— Chargers made playoffs LY, lost 31-30, blowing 27-0 lead in Jacksonville.
— Kellen Moore comes in from Dallas to be new OC.
— Under Staley, Chargers are 6-6-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Bolts are 6-12-7 ATS in last 25 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Herbert is 25-25 as an NFL starter.
— Chargers started the last four seasons 1-0 SU.
— Chargers are 2-4 ATS in last six home openers.
— Bolts’ last three home openers stayed under the total.
— Teams split their last six meetings.
— Dolphins won last three visits to San Diego/LA.

Eagles (0-0) @ Patriots (0-0)
— Last 20 years, Super Bowl loser is 4-16 ATS in Week 1 the next year.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 25-13 SU.
— Last 3 years, Eagles are 4-10 ATS as a road favorite.
— Eagles are 2-3 SU/1-4 ATS in last five road openers.
— Hurts is 25-13 as an NFL starter.
— Philly is 6-10 ATS in last 16 games vs AFC opponents.
— Eagles lost both coordinators to HC jobs after last season.
— Since Brady left, NE is 25-25 SU in regular season, 0-1 in playoffs.
— Last three years, Patriots are 3-5 ATS as a home underdog.
— Mac Jones is 16-16 as an NFL starting QB.
— Patriots brought Bill O’Brien in to be Jones’ new QB guru.
— Patriots are 6-4 ATS last ten games vs NFC opponents.
— New England is 4-8 ATS in last dozen home openers.
— Last year was first time since 2002 NE was an underdog in its home opener.
— Under is 23-17-1 in New England’s last 41 home games.
— New England won five of last seven series games.
— Two of those games (1-1) were Super Bowls.
— Eagles are 2-3 in Foxboro; their last visit here was in 2015.

Rams (0-0) @ Seahawks (0-0)
— Last year was Rams’ first losing season since 2016.
— Rams were 1-5-1 ATS as a road dog LY (7-3-1 from ’17-’21)
— Big ?? For Rams; did they improve their offensive line?
— Stafford is 93-104-1 as an NFL starter, 19-11 with the Rams.
— Rams are 13-6-1 ATS in last 20 NFC West road games.
— Under McVay, Rams are 5-1 SU/ATS in season openers.
— Rams covered four of last five road openers.
— WR Kupp (hamstring) is out for this week.
— Since 2003, Seahawks are 18-2 SU/15-5 ATS in home openers.
— Last two years, Seattle is 3-7 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last six years, Seahawks are 7-10-1 ATS in NFC West home games.
— Geno Smith is 22-29 as an NFL starter, 10-11 with Seattle.
— Under Carroll, Seattle is 41-35-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— Under is 9-3 in Seahawks’ last dozen home openers.
— Last three years, under is 15-10 in Seattle home games.
— Seattle was 16-19 last two years, after going 34-18 from 2018-20.
— Rams are 8-4 in last 12 series games, but lost 27-23/19-16 LY.
— Rams won three of their last four visits to Seattle.

Packers (0-0) @ Bears (0-0)
— Jordan Love lost his only NFL start 13-7 at Kansas City in 2021.
— Last four years, Packers are 11-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— GB is 12-8-2 ATS in last 22 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Packers are 8-12 ATS in last 20 NFC North road games.
— Green Bay is 2-4 SU/ATS in last six road openers.
— Under is 5-2 in their last eight road openers.
— This is 5th year in a row that Green Bay opens on the road (2-2 L4)
— Green Bay had three losing seasons in the last six years.
— Bears were 9-25 SU/12-20-2 ATS the last two years.
— Fields is 5-20 SU as an NFL starter; prospect or suspect?
— Last four years, Chicago is 5-7-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Chicago is 1-8 ATS last nine NFC North home games.
— Bears are 13-9-2 in last 24 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Chicago won four of its last five home openers.
— Bears’ last six home openers stayed under the total.
— Chicago was 3-14 LY; their turnover ratio was only minus-2.
— Green Bay won/covered last eight games in this rivalry.
— Packers are 17-2 SU in last 19 series games.
— Green Bay’s last loss here was in 2018.

Cowboys (0-0) @ Giants (0-0)
— McCarthy takes over as play-caller for departed OC Moore.
— Last two years, Dallas is 17-7 ATS as a favorite.
— Cowboys are 16-11-1 in last 28 games as a road favorite.
— Dallas is 6-6 SU/9-3 ATS in last dozen road openers.
— Over is 4-2-1 in their last seven road openers.
— QB Prescott is 63-40 as an NFL starter.
— Last six years, Dallas is 11-7 ATS in NFC East road games.
— Giants made playoffs LY for first time since 2016.
— Since 2018, Giants are 9-19 ATS as a home dog (2-1 LY)
— Last five years, Big Blue is 5-10 ATS in NFC East home games.
— Daniel Jones is 22-32-1 as an NFL starter.
— Last 11 years, Giants are 2-9 SU/1-10 ATS in last 11 home openers.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven home openers.
— Giants were +1 in turnovers LY (minus-25 from 2019-21)
— Last four years, under is 23-9-1 in their home games.
— Dallas won four in row, 11 of last 12 series games.
— Cowboys won/covered five of last six visits to Giants Stadium.
— This is 7th time in last 12 years these teams met in Week 1.

Bills (0-0) @ Jets (0-0)
— Last four years, Bills are 37-18 in regular season, 4-4 in playoffs.
— Last four years, Buffalo is 13-9 ATS as road favorites.
— Last five years, Buffalo is 9-5-1 ATS in AFC East home games.
— Bills are 10-1 ATS in last 11 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Josh Allen is 56-28 as an NFL starter.
— Buffalo is 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in last four road openers.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven road openers.
— Bills are 7-3 ATS in last ten Week 1 games.
— Last 7 years, Jets are 34-80 SU; they have new QB now, guy named Rodgers.
— Jets haven’t made the playoffs since 2010.
— Rodgers is 158-85-1 as an NFL starter, 11-10 in playoff games.
— Last two years, Jets are 5-9 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last five years, Jets are 4-11 ATS in AFC East home games.
— Last three years, Jets are 3-8 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Jets are 4-8 SU in last 12 home openers, 7-3 ATS in last ten.
— Over is 4-1 in their last five home openers.
— Buffalo won five of last six series games.
— Bills won four of last five series games in New Jersey.
 
CNOTES

CNOTES

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
Interesting point spreads in the NFL this week:
— Cardinals @ Washington (-7, 38)
— Raiders @ Denver (-3.5, 43)
— Miami @ LA Chargers (-3, 51)
— Eagles (-4, 44.5) @ New England
— Packers @ Chicago (-1.5, 42)
— Cowboys (-3.5, 45) @ NJ Giants

Quote of the Day
“I wish I wasn’t out there for the seventh to be honest. I was at 90 pitches and I didn’t think I needed to go anymore, but, you know, it is what it is. It’ll be a conversation soon.”
Mariners’ starting pitcher George Kirby, after Seattle’s 7-4 loss Friday

Saturday’s quiz
Kurt Warner won the Super Bowl with the 1999 Rams; who did they play in their season opener that year?
Hint: That team won the Super Bowl the next season

Friday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes was the Chiefs’ backup QB his rookie year in the NFL; Alex Smith was the Chiefs’ starting QB that year.

Thursday’s quiz
Erik Kramer was the Detroit Lions’ QB the last time they won a playoff game, in 1991.

******************************************

Saturday’s Den: Our Week 1 NFL writeup​

Texans (0-0) @ Ravens (0-0)
— Texans have their fourth head coach the last four years.
— Last 3 years, Texans are 10-11-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— However, they’re 4-9-1 ATS as a road dog outside AFC South, 6-2 in division.
— Houston covered five of last six road openers.
— Under is 6-2 in their last eight road openers.
— Rookie QB Stroud gets the nod under center here, with a rookie head coach.
— Last two years, under is 11-6 in Houston road games.
— Since 2013, NFL coaches in their first year with a new team are 13-7-1 ATS as Week 1 underdogs.
— Last seven years, Ravens are 6-1 ATS in Week 1
— Last two years, Baltimore is 3-10 ATS as a home favorite.
— 5-2 ATS last seven home openers
— Last three years, they scored 38-36-38 points in home openers
— Lamar Jackson is 46-19 as an NFL starter (1-3 in playoff games)
— Last two years, Ravens are 18-16 SU, with a minus-8 turnover ratio.
— Under is 11-6 in their last 17 home games.
— Ravens are 10-2 against Houston.
— Teams haven’t met since 2020.
— Texans are 0-6 in Baltimore, losing last visit 41-7 in 2019.

Bengals (0-0) @ Browns (0-0)
— QB Burrow hurt his calf in preseason; is expected to play here.
— Cincinnati lost its last four road openers.
— Bengals went to OT in Week 1 the last two years (1-1)
— Cincinnati is 8-3 ATS in last 11 games as a road favorite.
— Last 2 years, Bengals were 22-11 SU, 22-9-2 ATS.
— Last 2 years, Cincy is 8-5-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Last 2 years, Bengals are 4-1-1 ATS in AFC North road games.
— Under is 10-5-2 in their last 17 road games.
— Browns have had one winning season (2020) since 2007.
— Browns are 3-1-1 ATS in last five games as a home underdog.
— Last three years, Cleveland scored 35-31-30 points in their home opener.
— Last year was first time since 2004 that Browns won in Week 1.
— Last nine years, Cleveland is 9-17-1 ATS in AFC North home tilts (3-0 LY)
— Over is 7-2 in Browns’ last seven home openers.
— Watson is 32-30 as an NFL starter, was 3-3 for Cleveland LY.
— Browns won five of last six games against Cincinnati.
— Bengals lost their last five visits to Cleveland.

Buccaneers (0-0) @ Vikings (0-0)
— Despite being 8-9, Tampa Bay won the NFC South last year.
— Since 2017, Bucs are 6-13-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— Bucs are 5-8 ATS in last 13 games on artificial turf.
— Mayfield is 32-39 as an NFL starter (1-1 in playoffs)
— Buccaneers were 2-12-1 ATS in their last 15 games LY.
— Bucs are 5-3 ATS in last eight road openers.
— Last two years, under is 11-5 in Tampa Bay road games.
— Bucs’ new OC Dave Canales spent last 12 years in Seattle.
— Minnesota made playoffs LY, for first time since 2019.
— Vikings won/covered 7 of their last 8 home openers.
— Vikings were 11-0 SU LY in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
— Last three years, Minnesota is 7-12 ATS as a home favorite.
— Since 2014, Vikings are 23-11-1 as a non-divisional home favorite.
— Last three years, over is 18-7 in Minnesota home games.
— Cousins is 73-66-2 as an NFL starter, 1-3 in playoffs.
— Vikings’ new defensive coordinator is former Dolphins’ HC Brian Flores.
— Tampa Bay won seven of last nine series games.
— Teams haven’t met since 2020.
— Bucs lost last visit to Minnesota, 34-17 in 2017.

Titans (0-0) @ Saints (0-0)
— Titans were 7-10 LY, their first losing season since 2015.
— Tennessee lost its last seven games (1-5-1 ATS) last year.
— Titans are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road openers.
— Last 3 years, Tennessee is 9-4-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Tannehill is 80-68 as an NFL starter (2-3 in playoffs)
— Since 2015, Titans are 19-14-1 ATS vs NFC opponents.
— Last two years, Titans are 7-5-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
— New Orleans was 7-10 LY, their first losing season since 2016.
— Saints are 2-6 SU/1-7 ATS in last eight home openers.
— New Orleans won last four years in Week 1, scoring 29.8 ppg.
— Since 2018, Saints are 13-15 ATS as a home favorite
— Since 2018, NO is 18-11-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
— Derek Carr is 63-80 as an NFL starting QB.
— Last two years, under is 10-7 in Saints’ home games.
— LY, New Orleans was minus-11 in turnovers (+31 from 2019-21)
— Tennessee leads series, 9-6-1
— Road team won four of last five meetings.
— Titans won their last three visits to Bourbon Street.

Panthers (0-0) @ Falcons (0-0)
— New coach, rookie QB usually suggests a losing season.
— Panthers have had five straight losing seasons.
— Reich was 41-35-1 coaching the Colts (1-2 in playoffs)
— Carolina went 8-3 ATS in last 11 games LY, after they fired the coach.
— Last two years, Panthers were 6-8 ATS as a road underdog.
— Carolina is 5-4 ATS in last nine road openers.
— You’re reading armadillosports com
— Last four years, Panthers are 7-5 ATS in NFC South road games.
— Last 3 years, dogs were 19-2 ATS in Carolina games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
— Falcons have also had five straight losing seasons.
— Atlanta is 14-20 SU in two years under Arthur Smith.
— Seven of their last 10 games LY were decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Atlanta is 2-8-1 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite.
— Since 2004, Atlanta is 15-4 ATS in home openers.
— Under Smith, Falcons are 7-4-2 ATS in games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
— Ridder was 2-2 as a starter last year, his rookie season.
— Under is 7-1 in their last eight games.
— Teams split their season series (3-3) the last three years.
— Panthers won two of last three visits to Atlanta.

Jaguars (0-0) @ Colts (0-0)
— Jaguars made playoffs LY for 1st time since 2017, 2nd time since ’07.
— Jags were first team EVER to win playoff game with a minus-5 TO ratio.
— Jacksonville was +6 in turnovers LY; they were minus-20 in 2021.
— Last five years, Jaguars are 5-8-2 ATS in AFC South road games.
— Since 2018, Jaguars are 6-12-2 ATS on artificial turf.
— Lawrence is 12-22 as an NFL starter- he won a national title in college.
— Over last decade, Jaguars are 6-6 ATS as a road favorite.
— Pederson is 56-48-1 as a head coach (5-3 in playoff games).
— This will be 7th year in row Colts have a different #1 QB
— Colts lost 10 of their last 12 games SU last year.
— Colts are 6-9 ATS in last 15 games as a home underdog.
— Last three years, Indy is 2-6-1 ATS in AFC South home games.
— No idea which QB starts; Minshew has a 8-16 record as a starter.
— Rookie QB Richardson starts, rookie QB/new coach combo isn’t great.
— Last three years, under is 14-10 in Colts’ home games.
— Colts were minus-13 in turnovers LY (+14/+10 previous two years)
— Home side won last 11 series games.
— Jaguars lost their last five visits to Indy (1-2-2 ATS, all as underdogs)

49ers (0-0) @ Steelers (0-0)
— San Francisco won 12 of its last 13 games (10-3 ATS) LY.
— 49ers were +14 in turnovers last year (minus-15 in 2020-21)
— Last two years, SF were 23-11 in regular season, 4-2 in playoffs.
— Since 2016, 49ers are 11-12 ATS as a road favorite.
— SF is 3-4 SU/ATS in its last seven road openers.
— 49ers are 6-9 ATS in last 15 games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
— 49ers are 15-10 ATS in last 25 games vs AFC opponents.
— 2nd-year QB Purdy is 7-1 as NFL starter.
— Steelers went 9-8/9-7-1 the last two seasons.
— Pittsburgh won/covered six of its last seven games LY.
— Since 2018, Steelers are 7-1-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Pitt is 10-3-1 ATS in last 14 games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
— Since 2015, Steelers are 20-15 ATS vs NFC opponents.
— Steelers are 1-4 SU/0-5 ATS in last five home openers.
— 2nd-year QB Pickett is 7-5 as an NFL starter.
— Home team won last five series games.
— 49ers lost last two visits here; their last win in Pittsburgh was in 1996.

Cardinals (0-0) @ Commanders (0-0)
— New GM, new coach, different QB for Arizona in Week 1.
— Cardinals lost seven in row, 11 of their last 13 games SU (4-6 ATS in last 10).
— Kyler Murray is still recovering from a knee injury; Colt McCoy is starter.
— 37-year old McCoy is 11-25 as an NFL starter (4-4 since 2020)
— Last five years, Cardinals are 20-9-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— Arizona was 1-13 SU last year when it scored less than 29 points.
— Cardinals won their last three road openers, covered last four.
— Dobbs is 0-2 as an NFL starting QB.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five road openers.
— 2022 5th-round pick QB Howell gets his 2nd NFL start here.
— Howell won his first NFL start 26-6 against the Cowboys.
— LY, Washington was 5-1 when it scored 23+ points, 3-7-1 if they didn’t.
— Last five years, Commanders are 5-9 ATS as a home favorite.
— Under was 10-3 in Washington’s last 13 games last year.
— Under is 17-6 in Commanders’ last 23 home games.
— Washington is 3-8 SU/ATS in last eleven home openers.
— Washington won 10 of last 13 series games.
— Teams haven’t met since 2020.
— Cardinals lost last eight visits here; their last win in Washington was in 1998.

Raiders (0-0) @ Broncos (0-0)
— Last three years, Raiders are -7/-9/-11 in turnovers.
— Raiders blew five double digit leads in 2nd half last year.
— Garoppolo is 40-17 as an NFL starting QB.
— Garoppolo worked with coach McDaniels in New England.
— Last four years, Raiders are 14-8 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last four years, Las Vegas is 6-4 ATS as an AFC West road dog.
— Raiders are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road openers.
— Under is 11-6 in their last 17 road games.
— Raiders were 3-8 SU LY in games decided by 5 or less points, or in OT.
— Sean Payton (152-89 as NFL HC) makes his Denver debut here.
— Denver lost 11 of its last 14 games last year.
— Last 8 years with the Saints, Payton was 20-29-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Since 2017, Broncos are 7-15-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last three years, Denver is 5-3-1 ATS in AFC West home games.
— Denver is 9-5 ATS in its last 14 home openers.
— Last two years, under was 10-6 in Broncos’ home games.
— Russell Wilson is 117-71-1 as an NFL starter.
— Las Vegas won last six series games.
— Raiders won last three visits to Denver (won 22-16 in OT LY)

Dolphins (0-0) @ Chargers (0-0)
— Last 3 years, Miami was 10-6/9-8/9-8……0-1 in playoffs.
— Miami was 9-8 LY despite a minus-8 turnover ratio.
— Last four years, Dolphins are 13-9 ATS as a road underdog.
— Over was 7-2 in Miami road games last season.
— Last four years, Dolphins are 12-7 ATS on artificial turf.
— Last 2 years, Miami is 4-6 in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Dolphins are 6-2 ATS in last eight road openers.
— Tagovailoa is 21-13 as an NFL starter.
— Chargers made playoffs LY, lost 31-30, blowing 27-0 lead in Jacksonville.
— Kellen Moore comes in from Dallas to be new OC.
— Under Staley, Chargers are 6-6-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Bolts are 6-12-7 ATS in last 25 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Herbert is 25-25 as an NFL starter.
— Chargers started the last four seasons 1-0 SU.
— Chargers are 2-4 ATS in last six home openers.
— Bolts’ last three home openers stayed under the total.
— Teams split their last six meetings.
— Dolphins won last three visits to San Diego/LA.

Eagles (0-0) @ Patriots (0-0)
— Last 20 years, Super Bowl loser is 4-16 ATS in Week 1 the next year.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 25-13 SU.
— Last 3 years, Eagles are 4-10 ATS as a road favorite.
— Eagles are 2-3 SU/1-4 ATS in last five road openers.
— Hurts is 25-13 as an NFL starter.
— Philly is 6-10 ATS in last 16 games vs AFC opponents.
— Eagles lost both coordinators to HC jobs after last season.
— Since Brady left, NE is 25-25 SU in regular season, 0-1 in playoffs.
— Last three years, Patriots are 3-5 ATS as a home underdog.
— Mac Jones is 16-16 as an NFL starting QB.
— Patriots brought Bill O’Brien in to be Jones’ new QB guru.
— Patriots are 6-4 ATS last ten games vs NFC opponents.
— New England is 4-8 ATS in last dozen home openers.
— Last year was first time since 2002 NE was an underdog in its home opener.
— Under is 23-17-1 in New England’s last 41 home games.
— New England won five of last seven series games.
— Two of those games (1-1) were Super Bowls.
— Eagles are 2-3 in Foxboro; their last visit here was in 2015.

Rams (0-0) @ Seahawks (0-0)
— Last year was Rams’ first losing season since 2016.
— Rams were 1-5-1 ATS as a road dog LY (7-3-1 from ’17-’21)
— Big ?? For Rams; did they improve their offensive line?
— Stafford is 93-104-1 as an NFL starter, 19-11 with the Rams.
— Rams are 13-6-1 ATS in last 20 NFC West road games.
— Under McVay, Rams are 5-1 SU/ATS in season openers.
— Rams covered four of last five road openers.
— WR Kupp (hamstring) is out for this week.
— Since 2003, Seahawks are 18-2 SU/15-5 ATS in home openers.
— Last two years, Seattle is 3-7 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last six years, Seahawks are 7-10-1 ATS in NFC West home games.
— Geno Smith is 22-29 as an NFL starter, 10-11 with Seattle.
— Under Carroll, Seattle is 41-35-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— Under is 9-3 in Seahawks’ last dozen home openers.
— Last three years, under is 15-10 in Seattle home games.
— Seattle was 16-19 last two years, after going 34-18 from 2018-20.
— Rams are 8-4 in last 12 series games, but lost 27-23/19-16 LY.
— Rams won three of their last four visits to Seattle.

Packers (0-0) @ Bears (0-0)
— Jordan Love lost his only NFL start 13-7 at Kansas City in 2021.
— Last four years, Packers are 11-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— GB is 12-8-2 ATS in last 22 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Packers are 8-12 ATS in last 20 NFC North road games.
— Green Bay is 2-4 SU/ATS in last six road openers.
— Under is 5-2 in their last eight road openers.
— This is 5th year in a row that Green Bay opens on the road (2-2 L4)
— Green Bay had three losing seasons in the last six years.
— Bears were 9-25 SU/12-20-2 ATS the last two years.
— Fields is 5-20 SU as an NFL starter; prospect or suspect?
— Last four years, Chicago is 5-7-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Chicago is 1-8 ATS last nine NFC North home games.
— Bears are 13-9-2 in last 24 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Chicago won four of its last five home openers.
— Bears’ last six home openers stayed under the total.
— Chicago was 3-14 LY; their turnover ratio was only minus-2.
— Green Bay won/covered last eight games in this rivalry.
— Packers are 17-2 SU in last 19 series games.
— Green Bay’s last loss here was in 2018.

Cowboys (0-0) @ Giants (0-0)
— McCarthy takes over as play-caller for departed OC Moore.
— Last two years, Dallas is 17-7 ATS as a favorite.
— Cowboys are 16-11-1 in last 28 games as a road favorite.
— Dallas is 6-6 SU/9-3 ATS in last dozen road openers.
— Over is 4-2-1 in their last seven road openers.
— QB Prescott is 63-40 as an NFL starter.
— Last six years, Dallas is 11-7 ATS in NFC East road games.
— Giants made playoffs LY for first time since 2016.
— Since 2018, Giants are 9-19 ATS as a home dog (2-1 LY)
— Last five years, Big Blue is 5-10 ATS in NFC East home games.
— Daniel Jones is 22-32-1 as an NFL starter.
— Last 11 years, Giants are 2-9 SU/1-10 ATS in last 11 home openers.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven home openers.
— Giants were +1 in turnovers LY (minus-25 from 2019-21)
— Last four years, under is 23-9-1 in their home games.
— Dallas won four in row, 11 of last 12 series games.
— Cowboys won/covered five of last six visits to Giants Stadium.
— This is 7th time in last 12 years these teams met in Week 1.

Bills (0-0) @ Jets (0-0)
— Last four years, Bills are 37-18 in regular season, 4-4 in playoffs.
— Last four years, Buffalo is 13-9 ATS as road favorites.
— Last five years, Buffalo is 9-5-1 ATS in AFC East home games.
— Bills are 10-1 ATS in last 11 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Josh Allen is 56-28 as an NFL starter.
— Buffalo is 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in last four road openers.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven road openers.
— Bills are 7-3 ATS in last ten Week 1 games.
— Last 7 years, Jets are 34-80 SU; they have new QB now, guy named Rodgers.
— Jets haven’t made the playoffs since 2010.
— Rodgers is 158-85-1 as an NFL starter, 11-10 in playoff games.
— Last two years, Jets are 5-9 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last five years, Jets are 4-11 ATS in AFC East home games.
— Last three years, Jets are 3-8 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Jets are 4-8 SU in last 12 home openers, 7-3 ATS in last ten.
— Over is 4-1 in their last five home openers.
— Buffalo won five of last six series games.
— Bills won four of last five series games in New Jersey.
 
Udog

Udog

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MILWAUKEE is 62-96 SU (-43.6 Units) after allowing 2 runs or less in the last 3 seasons.

NY METS are 11-30 SU (-22 Units) in road games in an inter-league game in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO CUBS are 10-2 Over (7.8 Units) in home games after scoring 1 run or less in the current season.

KANSAS CITY is 73-98 SU (-34.8 Units) in road games against right-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

LA DODGERS are 142-102 SU (29.8 Units) in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

TAMPA BAY is 13-2 Over (10.8 Units) in home games after 5 or more consecutive home games in the current season.

BOSTON is 52-43 SU (4.7 Units) in home games after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more in the last 3 seasons.

MIAMI is 74-50 Under (19 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 in the last 3 seasons.

CHI WHITE SOX is 81-59 Under (16.1 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

CINCINNATI is 7-0 Under (7 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite in the current season.

TEXAS are 9-3 SU (5.7 Units) in home games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the current season.

SAN DIEGO is 29-15 Over (12.5 Units) in road games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the last 3 seasons.

PITTSBURGH is 106-114 SU (-19.4 Units) in road games as an underdog of +100 or higher in the last 3 seasons.

SAN FRANCISCO is 8-0 Under (8 Units) in home games off a one run win over a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 72-50 Under (17 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.
 
Udog

Udog

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MLB

Saturday, September 9

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Trend Report
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Udog

Udog

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, September 9

National League
Arizona (74-68) @ Cubs (76-66)
— Kelly is 2-1, 4.07 in his last four starts.
— Arizona is 8-4 in his last 12 starts.
— under 7-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 6-25
— record in first 5 innings: 12-5-8
— He is 2-1, 4.76 in four starts vs Chicago.


— Arizona is 4-1 in its last five games.
— Arizona is 36-33 on road.
— under 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 49-142
— record in first 5 innings: 59-54-29
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-3.1-x


— Steele is 7-0, 3.27 in his last nine starts.
— Cubs are 13-1 in his last 14 starts
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 5-26
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 17-5-4
— He is 0-0, 0.82 in two starts vs Arizona.


— Cubs are 11-6 in their last 17 games.
— Chicago is 40-33 at home.
— under 10-2 last 12 games.
— scored run in first inning: 41-141
— record in first 5 innings: 65-54-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3.1-3


St Louis (62-79) @ Cincinnati (73-70)
— Thompson is 2-0, 4.50 in his last three starts.
— Cardinals are 3-2 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3
— This is his first start against Cincinnati.


— Cardinals are 7-2 in their last nine games.
— Cardinals are 32-38 on road.
— over 7-1-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 43-140
— record in first 5 innings: 60-58-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-5.1


— bullpen game


— Reds are 4-3 in their last seven games.
— Cincinnati is 35-38 at home.
— under 9-6 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 45-141
— record in first 5 innings: 55-55-31
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-x-5


Los Angeles (86-54) @ Washington (63-78)
— Miller is 3-1, 2.87 in his last five starts.
— Dodgers are 6-2 in his road starts.
— over 10-4 last 14
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-3
— He gave up a run in 6 IP vs Washington May 29.


— Dodgers are 3-5 in their last eight games.
— Dodgers are 39-30 on road.
— over 12-4 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 57-140
— record in first 5 innings: 70-54-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-2-4.2


— Irvin is 0-0, 3.35 in his last seven starts.
— Nationals are 6-2 in his last eight starts.
— under 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 7-21
— record in first 5 innings: 7-10-4
— He gave up 4 runs in 5 IP in May 30 start vs Los Angeles.


— Nationals are 2-9 in their last 11 games.
— They’re 30-42 at home.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 47-141
— record in first 5 innings: 54-71-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4-5


Miami (71-68) @ Philadelphia (77-63)
— Cueto is 1-1, 6.33 in his last four starts.
— Marlins are 2-5 in his starts.
— under 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4
— He is 2-6, 5.29 in 14 starts vs Philly.


— Miami won seven of its last eight games.
— Marlins are 33-36 on road.
— over 6-2 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-141
— record in first 5 innings: 59-58-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-5.1-4


— Nola is 3-1, 4.94 in his last four starts.
— Phillies are 8-3 in his home starts.
— over 6-2 last eight starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-28
— record in first 5 innings: 14-11-3
— He is 0-2, 6.94 in two starts vs Miami TY.


— Phillies are 3-5 in their last eight games.
— Phillies are 41-28 at home.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 42-140
— record in first 5 innings: 60-62-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-4


Pittsburgh (65-76) @ Atlanta (92-48)
— Oviedo is 2-2, 4.15 in his last four starts.
— Pirates are 6-9 in his road starts.
— under 12-6-1 last 19
— allowed run in first inning: 10-28
— record in first 5 innings: 12-12-4
— This is his first start vs Atlanta.


— Pirates won seven of their last ten games.
— Pittsburgh is 31-39 on road.
— over 32-17 last 49 games
— scored run in first inning: 35-141
— record in first 5 innings: 51-71-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-x-3


— Morton is 4-1, 0.96 in his last five starts.
— Braves are 8-4 in his home starts.
— under 11-1 last 12 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-27
— record in first 5 innings: 14-12-5
— He gave up four runs in 6 IP, in his one start vs Pittsburgh.


— Atlanta lost three of last five games.
— Braves are 46-24 at home.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 55-140
— record in first 5 innings: 83-39-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.1-3-2


Colorado (51-89) @ San Francisco (71-70)
— Anderson is 0-1, 4.74 in his last four starts.
— Colorado is 6-7 in his starts.
— over 7-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-3
— He is 3-3, 4.77 in 11 starts vs San Francisco.


— Colorado is 13-29 in its last 42 games.
— Colorado is 22-51 on road.
— over 14-6-1 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 41-141
— record in first 5 innings: 56-69-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-x-3


— Cobb is 1-1, 4.20 in his last three starts.
— Giants are 8-1 in his last nine home starts.
— under 17-5-1 last 23 starts
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— allowed run in first inning: 10-26
— record in first 5 innings: 11-10-5
— He is 3-0, 5.59 in five starts vs Colorado.


— Giants lost six of their last seven games.
— San Francisco is 39-31 at home.
— under 3-1 last four home games
— scored run in first inning: 39-141
— record in first 5 innings: 56-60-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-x-4


American League
White Sox (55-86) @ Detroit (64-77)
— Urena was 0-4, 10.80 in five starts for Colorado earlier this year.
— Rockies were 0-5 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-5
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 0-5
— He gave up 3 runs in 6 IP, in his one start vs Detroit.


— Chicago is 8-17 in its last 25 games.
— White Sox are 27-46 on road
— over 7-1-2 last ten road games
— scored run in first inning: 39-141
— record in first 5 innings: 52-71-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-2


— Skubal is 1-1, 4.26 in his last three starts.
— Detroit is 4-7 in his starts.
— under 8-3
— allowed run in first inning: 4-11
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-3
— He is 4-2, 5.40 in seven starts vs Chicago.


— Detroit won five of its last eight games.
— Tigers are 29-41 at home.
— under 19-7 last 26 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-141
— record in first 5 innings: 52-67-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-3-2.1


Seattle (79-62) @ Tampa Bay (86-56)
— Woo is 1-1, 3.60 in his last three starts.
— Mariners are 5-4 in his road starts.
— under 5-1 last six starts
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— allowed run in first inning: 6-14
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4-5
— He hasn’t pitched against Tampa Bay.


— Seattle is 4-6 in its last ten games.
— Mariners are 40-33 on road.
— over 4-2-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 43-141
— record in first 5 innings: 69-50-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-3-1.2


— Civale is 2-0, 3.32 in his last four starts.
— Tampa Bay is 4-2 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2
— He is 2-3, 3.48 in five starts vs Seattle.


— Tampa Bay is 14-6 in its last 20 games.
— Rays are 48-25 at home.
— over 10-4 last 14 home games
— scored run in first inning: 50-142
— record in first 5 innings: 75-50-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-1-2.2


Kansas City (44-98) @ Toronto (78-63)
— bullpen game


— Royals lost 10 of last 13 games.
— Royals are 18-52 on road.
— over 5-1-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 41-142
— record in first 5 innings: 43-82-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-x-5


— Gausman is 1-1, 4.80 in his last three starts.
— Blue Jays are 4-7 in his last 11 starts
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 9-27
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 12-10-5
— He is 1-1, 4.11 in three starts vs Kansas City.


— Toronto won seven of last ten games.
— Blue Jays are 36-30 at home.
— over 8-2-2 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 33-140
— record in first 5 innings: 57-54-29
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-4


Baltimore (89-51) @ Boston (72-69)
— Flaherty is 1-2, 6.66 in five starts for the Orioles.
— Orioles are 2-3 in his starts.
— over 2-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-5
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Boston.


— Orioles are 17-7 in their last 24 games.
— Baltimore is 47-25 on road.
— over 14-4-2 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-140
— record in first 5 innings: 67-50-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-3


— Sale is 1-1, 4.30 in his last three starts.
— Red Sox are 8-3 in his last 11 starts.
— over 5-1 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-3
— He is 0-1, 13.50 in two starts vs Baltimore TY.


— Red Sox are 3-8 in their last 11 games.
— Boston is 36-34 at home.
— over 18-2-1 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 45-141
— record in first 5 innings: 53-69-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-x-3.2


Oakland (44-97) @ Texas (76-64)
— Muller is 0-1, 8.31 in his last three starts.
— A’s are 5-8 in his starts
— over 6-1 last seven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-13
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 3-9-1
— He is 0-2, 12.91 in two starts vs Texas


— A’s are 10-7 in their last 17 games.
— Oakland is 20-50 on road.
— over 5-2-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 38-141
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 41-77-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-6


— Gray is 0-2, 4.91 in his last four starts.
— Rangers are 8-5 in his starts.
— under 9-6 last 15 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-25
— record in first 5 innings: 10-10-5
— He is 1-0, 2.70 in two starts vs Oakland TY.


— Texas is 4-16 in its last 20 games.
— Rangers are 43-30 at home.
— over 12-3 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 41-140
— record in first 5 innings: 75-46-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-x-3.1


Cleveland (68-74) @ LA Angels (65-77)
— Giolito is 1-6, 9.34 in his last seven starts.
— He’s been traded twice since July 25.
— He made six starts for the Angels from July 28-August 28
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— He is 4-1, 4.13 in nine starts vs Anaheim.


— Guardians are 8-6 in their last 14 games.
— Cleveland is 32-38 on road.
— under 6-4 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 39-142
— record in first 5 innings: 57-60-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2.1-4


— Anderson is 0-3, 8.75 in his last five starts.
— Angels lost his last five starts
— over 6-2 last eight starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-23
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 11-6-7
— He gave up three runs in 6 IP, in his one start vs Cleveland.


— Angels are 8-26 in their last 34 games.
— Angels are 33-37 at home.
— over 9-2 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 39-141
— record in first 5 innings: 55-63-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-9-3.2


Interleague games
Milwaukee (78-62) @ Bronx (70-71)
— Miley is 1-1, 4.67 in his last three starts.
— Brewers are 5-4 in his road starts.
— under 7-4-1 last 12 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-5
— He is 0-4, 5.68 in 12 starts vs New York.


— Brewers won 13 of last 18 games.
— Milwaukee is 48-26 on road.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 43-140
— record in first 5 innings: 59-60-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2.1-4.1


— bullpen games


— New York is 8-3 in last 11 games.
— Bronx is 38-35 at home.
— under 7-3-1 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 38-141
— record in first 5 innings: 63-54-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-5.1-5


NY Mets (64-76) @ Minnesota (74-67)
— Peterson is 0-0, 4.15 in his last six starts.
— Mets are 2-7 in his road starts
— over 9-3-1 in his last 13 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 4-9-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Minnesota.


— Mets are 4-3 in their last seven games.
— Mets are 29-43 on road.
— under 13-5-1 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-138
— record in first 5 innings: 61-59-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-x-2


— Maeda is 0-0, 7.50 in his last four starts.
— Twins are 2-5 in his last seven starts.
— over 8-3 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-3
— He is 1-2, 5.25 in four games (2 starts) vs New York.


— Twins are 9-7 in their last 16 games.
— Minnesota is 41-29 at home.
— over 11-5 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 40-140
— record in first 5 innings: 60-59-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-4


San Diego (67-75) @ Houston (80-62)
— Lugo is 2-0, 1.13 in his last four starts.
— Padres are 2-9 in his road starts.
— under 5-2-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 4-22
— record in first 5 innings: 11-7-4
— He allowed four runs in 5 IP, in his one start vs Houston.


— Padres won five of last seven games.
— San Diego is 28-39 on road.
— over 9-5-1 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 49-142
— record in first 5 innings: 66-60-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-5-3


— Javier is 1-1, 6.86 in his last four starts.
— Houston is 7-4 in his home starts.
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-26
— record in first 5 innings: 14-9-3
— This is his first start against San Diego.


— Astros won three of last four games.
— Houston is 2-8 in last ten home games.
— over 21-8-1 last 30 games
— scored run in first inning: 50-142
— record in first 5 innings: 68-53-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-x-4.1


Umpires
Az-Chi— Underdogs are 7-4 in last 11 Scheurwater games
LA-Wsh— Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Moscoso games
Mia-Phil— Home side won last seven Barber games
StL-Cin— Favorite is 9-1 in last ten RMiller games
Pitt-Atl— Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Drake games.
Col-SF— Over is 7-2 in last nine Bellino games.


KC-Tor— Over is 10-3-1 in last 14 Nelson games.
Sea-TB— Underdogs are 15-9 in last 24 Lentz games.
Balt-Bos— Over is 5-2 in last seven Fletcher games
You’re reading armadillosports.com
Chi-Det— Underdogs are 8-6 in Thomas games.
A’s-Tex— Last six Marquez games went over total.
Clev-LAA— Under is 7-3 in last ten Hanahan games.


Mil-NYY— Over is 5-1 in last six Reyburn games.
NYM-Minn— Under is 14-3-1 in last 18 Kulpa games.
SD-Hst— Favorites won last five Wolcott games.
 
CNOTES

CNOTES

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Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,017
Tokens

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 9​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
MIL at NYY02:05 PMMIL +133
O 9.0		+500 +500
NYM at MIN02:10 PMMIN -140
U 9.0		+500 +500
ARI at CHC02:20 PMCHC -137
O 7.0		+500 +500
KC at TOR03:07 PMTOR -286
O 8.0		+500 +500
SEA at TB04:05 PMTB -115
O 8.0		+500 +500
LAD at WAS04:05 PMLAD -207
O 9.5		+500 +500
BAL at BOS04:10 PMBAL +128
O 10.0		+500 +500
MIA at PHI06:05 PMMIA +163
U 9.5		+500 +500
CHW at DET06:10 PMCHW +172
O 8.5		+500 +500
STL at CIN06:40 PMSTL -127
O 10.5		+500 +500
OAK at TEX07:05 PMOAK +216
O 9.0		+500 +500
SD at HOU07:10 PMHOU -123
O 9.0		+500 +500
PIT at ATL07:20 PMATL -208
U 10.0		+500 +500
COL at SF09:05 PMSF -261
O 8.0		+500 +500
CLE at LAA09:07 PMCLE -116
U 9.0		+500 +500
 
CNOTES

CNOTES

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Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,017
Tokens
SEPT'S MLB BEST BETS !

09/09/2023................................8 - 12..............................40.00%............................- 31.70
09/08/2023...............................14 - 8 - 1........................63.63%............................+ 31.00
09/04/2023................................5 - 10..............................33.33%.............................- 31.05
09/03/2023...............................5 - 16 - 1..........................23.80%............................- 61.35
09/02/2023...............................12 - 9 - 1..........................57.14%............................+ 15.95
09/01/2023................................7 - 14..............................33.33%............................- 39.50

TOTALS...................... ............51 - 69 - 3...........................42.50%............................- 116.65
 
Udog

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Jun 22, 2009
Messages
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Armadillo Sports

Sunday’s 6-pack:
Most popular picks in the Circa Casino Survivor Pool in Las Vegas:
(all team has to do is win SU)
3,549— Commanders
2,985— Ravens
1,044— Vikings
600— Seahawks
349— Falcons
273— Jaguars

Quote of the Day
“Even when it got dicey … I love the response and the grit and perseverance our guys showed.”
Texas coach Steve Sarkisian

Sunday’s quiz
Where did Dak Prescott play his college football?

Saturday’s quiz
Kurt Warner won the Super Bowl with the 1999 Rams; they played the Baltimore Ravens in their season opener that year. Ravens won the Super Bowl the next season.

Friday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes was the Chiefs’ backup QB his rookie year in the NFL; Alex Smith was the Chiefs’ starting QB that year.

*****************************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Saturday

— Texas 34, Alabama 24
Loss ends Alabama’s 21-game home winning streak.
Texas outscored Crimson Tide 21-8 in 4th quarter.
Texas QB Evers was 24-38/349 passing, with 3 TD’s.

— So far this season, SEC teams are 7-10 ATS in non-conference games.

— Oregon 38, Texas Tech 30
If you took Texas Tech +4.5, don’t read this part.
Ducks kicked FG with 1:10 left to take 31-30 lead.
Oregon scored on a pick-6 with 0:35 left to cover the spread.

— So far this season, Pac-12 non-conference favorites are 11-4 ATS.

— North Carolina 40, Appalachian State 34 OT
App State kicked FG with 1:22 left to force overtime.
Total yardage: 527-494, Tar Heels
App State is a dangerous opponent; they’re used to winning.
A year from today, App State is scheduled to visit Clemson.

— Miami 48, Texas A&M 33
Van Dyke threw for 374 yards, 5 TD’s.
Miami had TD passes of 52-64 yards, ran kickoff back 98 yards for a TD.
I’m guessing the wealthy A&M boosters were thrilled with this score.
If A&M fires Jimbo Fisher this year, his buyout is $76.8M. He ain’t getting fired.

— Rice 43, Houston 41 OT
Rice led this game 28-0 with 3:00 left before halftime.
Houston tied game on a TD with 0:15 left.
Rice QB Daniels was 28-42/401, with 4 TD passes.
Big win over their local rival for the Rice program.

— James Madison 36, Virginia 35
Dukes were favored by 6.5 points in this game.
Virginia led 35-24 after third quarter.
JMU drove 80 yards for winning TD with 0:55 left.

— Upsets of the Day:
Florida International (+12) 46, North Texas 39
Rice (+8) 43, Houston 41 OT
Texas (+7) 34, Alabama 24
Cincinnati (+6.5) 27, Pittsburgh 21
Auburn (+5.5) 14, California 10
Washington State (+5) 31, Wisconsin 22

— Word of the Day: Opportunity— A set of circumstances that makes it possible to do something.

— Utah 20, Baylor 13
Neither starting QB played in this game.
Baylor’s #2 QB threw an INT deep in his own territory with game tied, 1:35 left
Utah scored game-winning TD with 0:17 left.

— Colorado 36, Nebraska 13
Nebraska’s QB lost three fumbles in this game, all without getting hit.
He fumbled two shotgun snaps, lost a handoff to a RB- he was awful.
Colorado QB Sanders has thrown for 910 yards in two games.

— Auburn 14, California 10— This is the first game Auburn ever won in the state of California.

— Orioles 13, Red Sox 12— James McCann hit two home runs for Baltimore.

— Arizona 3, Cubs 2 (10)— Diamondbacks are 3-0 in Wrigley so far this weekend, have moved into the third Wild Card slot in the NL, 1.5 games ahead of Miami.

— Rays 7, Mariners 5— Yandy Diaz hit a double and walk-off homer in a game he didn’t start.

— Astros 7, Mariners 5— Yordan Alvarez scored twice, knocked in two runs.
 
Udog

Udog

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PHILADELPHIA is 22-37 SU (-18.7 Units) in September games in the last 3 seasons.

TAMPA BAY is 16-6 Over (9.4 Units) when playing on Sunday in the current season.

CHI WHITE SOX is 21-35 SU (-17.5 Units) in road games when the total is 9 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.

PITTSBURGH is 114-118 SU (-15.8 Units) in road games in all games in the last 3 seasons.

LA DODGERS are 24-7 SU (16.3 Units) on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 in the current season.

BOSTON is 22-13 SU (12.3 Units) in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.

MILWAUKEE is 60-71 SU (-18.6 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

KANSAS CITY is 73-98 SU (-34.8 Units) in road games against right-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

CINCINNATI is 19-6 Under (12.4 Units) in home games as a favorite of -110 or higher in the current season.

SAN DIEGO is 10-2 Over (7.8 Units) in road games when playing with a day off in the current season.

NY METS are 11-30 SU (-22 Units) in road games in an inter-league game in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO CUBS are 23-9 SU (17.4 Units) vs. good baserunning teams - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game in the current season.

TEXAS are 9-3 SU (5.7 Units) in home games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the current season.

LA ANGELS are 7-0 Over (7 Units) in home games as an underdog of +125 to +175 in the current season.

SAN FRANCISCO is 262-214 SU (26.6 Units) after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games since 1996.
 
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