Cnotes 2023 Major League Baseball Transactions, News, Notes, Picks Etc. !!

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Dunkel

Tuesday, September 5


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Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack:

Interesting point spreads in college football this week:
— Illinois @ Kansas (-3)
— Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh (-7)
— Nebraska @ Colorado (-5)
— Texas A&M (-3) @ Miami
— Oregon (-7) @ Texas Tech
— Texas @ Alabama (-7)

Quote of the Day
“Shohei is going to be in somebody’s lineup next year, DH-ing when the bell rings…….… Shohei loves to pitch. There’s not a question in his mind that he’s going to come back and continue to do both.”
Nez Balelo, Shohei Ohtani’s agent

Wednesday’s quiz
Hall of Fame QB Brett Favre played most of his career in Green Bay; what team did he start his NFL career with?

Tuesday’s quiz
San Diego Padres have played in two World Series; Hall of Famer Dick Williams and future Hall of Famer Bruce Bochy were the managers.

Monday’s quiz
New Orleans hosts the Sugar Bowl every year.

****************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

— Labor Day afternoon around 5:00, my phone rings; I normally don’t answer calls from strange numbers, but it was an Albany number so I answered. Guy wanted to buy my house, which was kind of surprising, seeing how its not for sale.

How he got my phone number, I have no freakin’ idea, but its a national holiday, go out and do something fun. I politely declined and that was that; I do need somewhere to live ?

Probably should’ve asked him how much he was offering……..

— Patrick Mahomes has played five Week 1 games in his career; Chiefs have averaged 36.4 points/game in those five contests.

Duke 28, Clemson 7
Clemson lost two fumbles in the red zone, had two FG’s blocked.
Duke QB Leonard had a 44-yard TD run.
First time Blue Devils beat Clemson since 2004.

— Oregon State has covered its last eight football games, longest active streak in the country. Beavers’ QB this year is DJ Uiagalelei, who started for Clemson the last two years.

— Kansas City Chiefs TE Travis Kelce hyperextended knee during practice Tuesday, is a ??? for the Chiefs’ opener with Detroit Thursday night.

— Baylor’s QB Blake Shapen is out 2-3 weeks with a knee injury.

— When I was a kid, loved to eat Cracker Jack; very good snack food. Had no idea until couple of days ago that there was a dog on the box, sitting at the sailor’s feet on the label. Turns out the dog’s name is Bingo, if you care about stuff like that.

— Word of the Day— Obsequious— obedient to an excessive degree.

— NFL Trend of the Day—Last three years, Miami Dolphins are 17-8 ATS at home.

— When the Rays lost at home to Boston Monday, it ended the Red Sox’ 13-game losing streak at Tampa Bay.

— Lucas Giolito got traded from the White Sox to the Angels on July 26. He is 1-6, 9.34 since the White Sox traded him- the Angels have since traded him to Cleveland, in a waiver deal.

Strange how a guy who is a pretty good pitcher just lost it in August.

Astros 14, Rangers 1— Jose Altuve hit home runs in the 1st, 2nd and 3rd innings; he’s hit five home runs the last two nights.

Rays 8, Red Sox 6 (11)— Brandon Lowe hit a walk-off homer in the 11th inning.

New York 5, Detroit 1— Giancarlo Stanton hit his 400th career home run.

— Dodgers’ P Julio Urías was arrested on felony domestic violence charges; he isn’t with the team on their road trip in Miami. Urias was suspended for 20 games in 2019, after the pitcher shoved his girlfriend to the ground in the parking lot of a Los Angeles shopping mall.

With this being his second offense, the penalty figures to be longer.

Cubs 11, Giants 8— Wind was blowing out at Wrigley; Cubs scored six runs in 7th inning, with Christian Morel hitting a 3-run homer.

Padres 8, Phillies 0— Pedro Avila allowed two hits in 6.2 shutout IP (he walked six guys).

Orioles 5, Angels 4 (10)
Orioles scored twice in 9th, took 4-3 lead.
Angels tied game in bottom of the 9th.
Baltimore is 30-14 this year in games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

— If the playoffs started today (they do not):
NL: Braves, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Phillies, Cubs, Reds
AL: Orioles, Twins, Astros. Wild Cards: Rays, Mariners, Blue Jays
 

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PITTSBURGH is 10-0 SU (10 Units) in home games when playing with a day off in the current season.

MINNESOTA is 109-122 SU (-25.2 Units) in road games in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO CUBS are 43-24 SU (16.6 Units) when playing on Wednesday in the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 44-62 SU (-24.2 Units) against left-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

ARIZONA is 8-0 SU (8 Units) in home games as a favorite of -175 to -250 in the current season.

PHILADELPHIA is 15-5 Under (9.5 Units) in road games when the total is 8 to 8.5 in the current season.

LA DODGERS are 17-6 Over (10.4 Units) in road games in the second half of the season in the current season.

TAMPA BAY is 11-4 SU (6.6 Units) in home games against left-handed starters in the current season.

CINCINNATI is 11-2 SU (8.8 Units) against AL West opponents in the current season.

NY METS are 110-121 SU (-23.1 Units) in road games in all games in the last 3 seasons.

NY YANKEES are 35-65 SU (-36.5 Units) in home games when the total is 8 to 8.5 in the last 3 seasons.

ATLANTA is 17-5 Over (11.5 Units) against NL Central opponents in the current season.

CHI WHITE SOX is 20-35 SU (-18.5 Units) in road games when the total is 9 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.

HOUSTON is 36-9 SU (26.1 Units) in road games as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.

BALTIMORE is 17-4 SU (12.6 Units) in road games against left-handed starters in the current season.
 

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MLB

Wednesday, September 6


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Trend Report
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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, September 6

National League
Milwaukee
(77-61) @ Pittsburgh (64-75)
— Peralta is 5-0, 1.71 in his last seven starts.
— Brewers are 9-1 in his last 10 starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 5-26
— record in first 5 innings: 16-7-3
— He is 0-0, 3.97 in two starts vs Pittsburgh TY.


— Brewers won 12 of last 16 games.
— Milwaukee is 47-25 on road.
— under 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 42-138
— record in first 5 innings: 58-60-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-2-2


— Keller is 2-0, 1.73 in his last four starts.
— Pirates are 8-5 in his home starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 11-28
— record in first 5 innings: 15-9-4
— He is 0-2, 10.80 in two starts vs Milwaukee TY.


— Pirates won six of their last eight games.
— Pittsburgh is 33-37 at home.
— over 30-17 last 47 games
— scored run in first inning: 34-139
— record in first 5 innings: 51-69-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-3-4.2


Los Angeles (84-53) @ Miami (69-67)
— Lynn is 4-1, 3.82 in six starts for LA.
— Dodgers are 5-1 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
— He is 4-2, 4.35 in seven starts vs Miami.


— Dodgers lost their last four games.
— Dodgers are 37-29 on road.
— over 9-4 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 56-137
— record in first 5 innings: 69-52-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-x-3


— bullpen game


— Miami won its last five games.
— Marlins are 39-31 at home.
— over 4-1 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-138
— record in first 5 innings: 58-56-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-x-3


NY Mets (64-74) @ Washington (62-77)
— bullpen game


— Mets are 4-1 in their last five games.
— Mets are 29-41 on road.
— under 11-5-1 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-136
— record in first 5 innings: 60-59-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-x-2


— Adon is 2-1, 6.00 in five starts.
— Nationals are 4-1 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1
— He is 0-2, 7.88 in two starts vs New York.


— Nationals are 1-8 in their last nine games.
— They’re 29-41 at home.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 46-139
— record in first 5 innings: 53-70-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-5-5


St Louis (60-78) @ Atlanta (90-46)
— Hudson is 1-1, 4.00 in his last three starts.
— Cardinals are 5-2 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 0-7
— record in first 5 innings: 5-2
— He is 0-1, 6.75 in two starts vs Atlanta.


— Cardinals lost 12 of last 18 games.
— Cardinals are 29-38 on road.
— over 6-2-1 last nine home games
— scored run in first inning: 40-137
— record in first 5 innings: 57-58-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-x-2.1


— Strider is 4-0, 1.67 in his last four starts.
— Braves are 22-5 in his starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 5-27
— record in first 5 innings: 16-6-5
— He is 1-0, 0.75 in two starts vs St Louis.


— Atlanta is 20-7 in its last 27 games.
— Braves are 44-23 at home.
— under 6-3 last nine home games
— scored run in first inning: 54-137
— record in first 5 innings: 81-38-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-6


San Francisco (70-69) @ Cubs (75-64)
— bullpen game


— Giants lost their last five games.
— San Francisco is 32-38 on road.
— under 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 39-139
— record in first 5 innings: 56-58-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-1.1-6.1


— Wicks is 2-0, 1.80 in two starts.
— Cubs are 2-0 in his starts
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against San Francisco.


— Cubs are 10-4 in their last 14 games.
— Chicago is 39-31 at home.
— under 7-2 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 40-138
— record in first 5 innings: 64-53-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-1-3.2


Colorado (51-87) @ Arizona (71-68)
— Flexen is 0-1, 5.72 in his last five starts.
— Colorado is 2-5 in his starts.
— over 6-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-1
— He is 1-1, 5.48 in four starts vs Arizona.


— Colorado is 13-27 in its last 40 games.
— Colorado is 22-49 on road.
— over 12-6-1 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 40-139
— record in first 5 innings: 55-68-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-2-3


— Davies is 1-0, 1.64 in his last two starts.
— Arizona is 2-7 in his last nine starts.
— over 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 6-14
— record in first 5 innings: 5-7-2
— He is 4-3, 4.40 in 14 starts vs Colorado.


— Arizona is 3-7 in its last ten games.
— Arizona is 37-35 at home.
— under 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 47-139
— record in first 5 innings: 57-54-28
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-2-5.1


Philadelphia (76-62) @ San Diego (66-74)
— Wheeler is 1-1, 3.00 in his last four starts.
— Phillies are 3-5 in his last eight starts.
— over 4-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-27
— record in first 5 innings: 13-10-4
— He is 3-1, 2.31 in eight starts vs San Diego.


— Phillies lost four of last six games.
— Phillies are 35-36 on road.
— over 12-6 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 40-138
— record in first 5 innings: 58-62-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4-2


— Wacha is 4-0, 2.67 in his last five starts.
— Padres won his last five home starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-19
— record in first 5 innings: 11-4-4
— He is 3-2, 4.98 in seven starts vs Philadelphia.


— Padres won four of last five games.
— San Diego is 39-35 at home.
— over 8-4-1 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 49-140
— record in first 5 innings: 65-59-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-7.2-2.1


American League
Minnesota
(73-65) @ Cleveland (66-73)
— Ryan is 1-0, 1.64 in his last two starts.
— Twins are 5-6 in his road starts.
— over 7-1 last eight starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-24
— record in first 5 innings: 8-11-5
— He is 0-2, 2.84 in two starts vs Cleveland TY.


— Twins are 8-6 in their last 14 games.
— Minnesota is 33-37 on road.
— over 11-3 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 39-138
— record in first 5 innings: 60-58-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-3


— Williams is 0-2, 7.94 in his last three starts.
— Guardians are 1-5 in his last six starts
— under 4-2 in his last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-13
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 4-5-4
— He threw a scoreless IP vs Minnesota August 29.


— Guardians are 6-5 in their last 11 games.
— Cleveland is 35-36 at home.
— under 4-3 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 39-139
— record in first 5 innings: 55-60-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-6-4


Boston (72-67) @ Tampa Bay (84-55)
— Paxton is 2-2, 3.63 in his last four starts.
— Red Sox are 10-4 in his last 14 starts.
— under 10-5 last 15 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-19
— record in first 5 innings: 6-11-2
— He is 3-1, 3.61 in seven starts vs Tampa Bay.


— Red Sox are 3-6 in their last nine games.
— Boston is 36-34 on the road.
— over 17-1-1 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 45-139
— record in first 5 innings: 53-67-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-6


— Glasnow is 1-2, 4.74 in his last three starts.
— Tampa Bay is 9-7 in his starts.
— under 7-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 1-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-2
— He is 2-1, 3.59 in nine starts vs Boston.


— Tampa Bay is 12-5 in its last 17 games.
— Rays are 46-24 at home.
— over 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 49-139
— record in first 5 innings: 74-48-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.2-5


Detroit (63-75) @ Bronx (69-69)
— Manning is 2-0, 1.52 in his last four starts.
— Detroit is 3-8 in his starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-1
— He threw 6 shutout IP in his one start vs New York.


— Detroit won four of its last five games.
— Tigers are 34-35 on road.
— under 17-6 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 34-137
— record in first 5 innings: 51-66-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-5.1


— Schmidt is 0-2, 7.45 in his last four starts.
— New York is 5-9 in his home starts.
— under 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 8-27
— record in first 5 innings: 9-12-6
— He is 1-0, 4.00 in three games (1 start) vs Detroit.


— New York is 7-1 in last eight games.
— Bronx is 37-33 at home.
— under 6-1-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 38-138
— record in first 5 innings: 62-53-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4-3


White Sox (53-86) @ Kansas City (44-96)
— Toussaint is 1-2, 6.28 in his last three starts.
— White Sox are 4-7 in his starts.
— under 9-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-11
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 3-7-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Kansas City.


— Chicago is 6-17 in its last 23 games.
— White Sox are 25-46 on road
— over 7-0-1 last eight road games
— scored run in first inning: 39-139
— record in first 5 innings: 52-70-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7.1-4.1-2.2


— Lyles is 1-2, 7.50 in his last four starts.
— Royals are 4-22 in his starts.
— over 6-2 last eight.
— allowed run in first inning: 14-26
— record in first 5 innings: 7-16-3
— He is 1-5, 4.74 in seven starts vs Chicago.


— Royals lost eight of last 11 games.
— Royals are 26-45 at home.
— over 5-1-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 41-140
— record in first 5 innings: 41-82-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-3-4

Houston
(79-61) @ Texas (76-62)
— Verlander is 4-2, 4.11 in six starts for Houston.
— Houston is 4-2 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2
— He is 20-8, 2.64 in 34 starts vs Texas.


— Astros lost three of last five games.
— Houston is 44-27 on road.
— over 19-8-1 last 28 games
— scored run in first inning: 48-140
— record in first 5 innings: 67-52-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-2


— Scherzer is 3-1, 2.21 in six starts for Texas.
— Rangers are 4-2 in his starts.
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-1
— He is 5-1, 2.98 in eight starts vs Houston.


— Texas is 4-14 in its last 18 games.
— Rangers are 43-28 at home.
— over 10-3 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 40-138
— record in first 5 innings: 75-45-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4.1-2.1


Toronto (77-62) @ Oakland (42-97)
— Ryu is 3-0, 4.05 in his last four starts.
— Blue Jays are 5-1 in his starts
— over 5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 3-0-3
— He is 2-0, 5.40 in three starts vs Oakland.


— Toronto won six of last eight games.
— Blue Jays are 42-32 on road.
— over 8-1-1 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 33-138
— record in first 5 innings: 57-52-29
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4-1


— Sears is 1-2, 6.86 in his last four starts.
— A’s are 2-8 in his last 10 starts
— over 7-2 last nine starts
— allowed run in first inning: 10-27
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 7-16-4
— This is his first start vs Toronto


— A’s are 8-7 in their last 15 games.
— Oakland is 23-47 at home.
— under 5-4-1 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 37-139
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 40-77-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-5.1-3


Baltimore (87-51) @ LA Angels (64-75)
— Gibson is 2-2, 9.13 in his last four starts.
— Orioles are 12-2 in his last 14 starts.
— over 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 10-28
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 14-13-1
— He is 3-5, 5.94 in 14 starts vs Anaheim.


— Orioles are 15-7 in their last 22 games.
— Baltimore is 45-25 on road.
— over 12-4-2 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-138
— record in first 5 innings: 65-50-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-3-5.1


— Sandoval is 1-3, 9.00 in his last four starts.
— Angels are 1-5 in his last six starts.
— over 4-1 last five starts
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— allowed run in first inning: 8-24
— record in first 5 innings: 9-13-2
— He is 0-1, 2.38 in two starts vs Baltimore.


— Angels are 7-24 in their last 31 games.
— Angels are 32-35 at home.
— over 7-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 39-138
— record in first 5 innings: 55-61-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-3-3.1


Interleague games
Seattle
(77-61) @ Cincinnati (73-68)
— Gilbert is 3-0, 2.32 in his last five starts.
— Mariners are 9-2 in his last 11 starts.
— over 6-3 last nine starts
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— allowed run in first inning: 11-27
— record in first 5 innings: 16-9-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Cincinnati.


— Seattle is 2-5 in its last seven games.
— Mariners are 38-32 on road.
— under 5-3-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 43-138
— record in first 5 innings: 66-50-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3-4


— Richardson is 0-1, 6.75 in three starts.
— Reds are 2-1 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Seattle.


— Reds are 4-1 in their last five games.
— Cincinnati is 35-36 at home.
— under 9-4 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 44-139
— record in first 5 innings: 55-53-31
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-7-4.1


Umpires
NY-Wash— Favorites are 12-4 in last 16 Carlson games
StL-Atl— Under is 9-2 in last 11 Bacchus games
LA-Mia— Underdogs are 3-3 in Hernandez games
Mil-Pitt— Under is 5-2 in last seven Bucknor games
SF-Chi— Last eight Torres games went over the total.
Col-Az— Over is 7-2 in last nine Johnson games.
Phil-SD— Underdogs are 5-3 in last eight Ceja games.


Minn-Clev— Underdogs are 4-2 in Clemons games.
Bos-TB— Over is 6-1 in last seven Metz games.
Det-NY— Over is 5-1 in last six Muchinski games
Chi-KC— Under is 8-4-1 in last 13 Whitson games.
You’re reading armadillosports.com
Hst-Tex— Last four Wegner games went over total.
Balt-LAA— Favorite won 8 of last 9 Barrett games
Tor-A’s— Over is 3-1-1 in last five Ripperger games.


Sea-Can— Last four Tumpane games went over the total.
 

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Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack:

Interesting point spreads in college football this week:
— Wisconsin (-3) @ Washington State
— Iowa (-3) @ Iowa State
— Ole Miss (-4) @ Tulane
— Arizona @ Mississippi State (-9)
— Central Florida (-2) @ Boise State
— Auburn (-7) @ California

Happy birthday to my neighbor Christina; hope you have an excellent day.

Quote of the Day
“Celebrate the uniqueness of each player.”
Pete Carroll

Thursday’s quiz
Who was the Detroit Lions’ QB the last time they won a playoff game?
Hint: He played college football at NC State

Wednesday’s quiz
Hall of Fame QB Brett Favre played most of his career in Green Bay; he started his NFL career with the Atlanta Falcons.

Tuesday’s quiz
San Diego Padres have played in two World Series; Hall of Famer Dick Williams and future Hall of Famer Bruce Bochy were the managers.

*******************************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

Cardinals 11, Braves 6
St Louis was +265, the biggest underdog they’ve been since 2005.

Atlanta was -350, the biggest favorite to lose this season.

— This week, Jose Altuve became the 4th player ever to hit three home runs in the first three innings of a game:

1930— Carl Reynolds
2002— Mike Cameron
2016— Manny Machado
2023— Jose Altuve

— Astros are in first place in AL West for the first time this season; they’ve scored 78 runs in their last eight road games.

— Texas A&M pounded New Mexico 52-10 last week, but it wasn’t a total loss for the Lobos; they banked a check for $1.6M that will pay a lot of bills for their athletic department.

— Good luck in your next chapter, Chris Mortensen; the NFL insider who spent more than 30 years at ESPN, announced his retirement this week.

Mortensen joined ESPN in 1991 after writing for The National, Sport magazine, The Sporting News and the Atlanta Journal-Constitution. In 2016, Mortensen took a leave of absence while battling throat cancer. Following successful treatment, he returned to ESPN.

We wish him well; hope he does something fun.

— A baby grand piano that once belonged to Freddie Mercury sold for over $2.2M at a Sotheby’s auction Wednesday; Mercury bought the piano in 1975 and brought it to England from Japan- he wrote Bohemian Rhapsody that same year.

— Word of the Day— Serendipity— finding something valuable or interesting when you are not looking for it.

It was also the name of a pretty good movie, with John Cusack, Kate Beckinsale and Eugene Levy.

— College Football Trend of the Day— As a college coach, Nebraska coach Matt Rhule is 32-13 ATS as an underdog.

— Angels are paying three of their players a boatload of $$$:
Anthony Rendon—$38,571,429— games played, last 4 years: 52-58-47-43

Mike Trout— $37,116,667— games played, last 4 years: 53-36-119-82

Shohei Ohtani— $30,000,000— he certainly earns his $$, but even he’s hurt now.

— Minnesota Twins have lost their last 18 playoff games; last time they won a playoff game was way back in 2004.

— Las Vegas Raiders re-did Jimmy Garoppolo’s contract; now they’re pretty much obligated to keep him on the roster this year and next. If they cut him next year, he’d be $28M of dead $$$$ on their salary cap.

Nationals 3, Mets 2
Mets led 2-0 in 7th inning, but Washington scored twice in 7th.
Rookie Jacob Young had the walk-off hit in the ninth inning.

Cubs 8, Giants 2— Rookie Jordan Wicks has won his first three MLB starts.

Marlins 11, Dodgers 4— Miami scored nine runs in the fifth inning. LA has lost five games in a row, but they’ve got a huge lead in the NL West.

— If the playoffs started today (they do not):
NL: Braves, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Phillies, Cubs, Marlins
AL: Orioles, Twins, Astros. Wild Cards: Rays, Mariners, Blue Jays
 

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LA DODGERS are 23-7 SU (15.3 Units) on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 in the current season.

TAMPA BAY is 51-36 SU (11.4 Units) when the total is 7 or less in the last 3 seasons.

DETROIT is 278-302 SU (-54.2 Units) in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games since 1996.

ATLANTA is 7-0 Over (7 Units) in home games against NL Central opponents in the current season.

CHICAGO CUBS are 11-2 Under (8.8 Units) in home games in September games over the last 2 seasons.

LA ANGELS are 136-97 Under (29.3 Units) in home games in September games since 1996.
 

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MLB

Thursday, September 7


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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LA Dodgers @ Miami
LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of LA Dodgers's last 13 games
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Seattle @ Tampa Bay
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Seattle

Detroit @ NY Yankees
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

St. Louis @ Atlanta
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing St. Louis
Atlanta is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home

Arizona @ Chi Cubs
Arizona
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games at home

Cleveland @ LA Angels
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Angels's last 9 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, September 7

National League
Los Angeles
(84-54) @ Miami (70-67)
— Pepiot is 1-0, 1.29 in three games (1 start) for LA.
— Dodgers are 1-0 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He is 1-0, 2.45 in two games (1 start) vs Miami.


— Dodgers lost their last five games.
— Dodgers are 37-30 on road.
— over 10-4 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 56-138
— record in first 5 innings: 69-53-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.3-1


— Garrett is 2-2, 2.74 in his last four starts.
— Marlins are 10-3 in his home starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 6-26
— record in first 5 innings: 9-9-8
— He is 0-1, 6.00 in two games (1 start) vs Los Angeles.


— Miami won its last six games.
— Marlins are 40-31 at home.
— over 5-1 last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-139
— record in first 5 innings: 59-56-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-5


St Louis (61-78) @ Atlanta (90-47)
— Wainwright is 0-6, 8.44 in his last six starts.
— Cardinals are 2-12 in his last 14 starts.
— under 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 8-18
— record in first 5 innings: 6-11-1
— He is 10-4, 3.42 in 16 starts vs Atlanta.


— Cardinals are 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Cardinals are 30-38 on road.
— over 5-1-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 41-138
— record in first 5 innings: 58-58-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2.1-4


— Fried is 3-0, 2.55 in his last four starts.
— Braves are 8-3 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 1-11
— record in first 5 innings: 8-2-1
— He is 4-0, 0.34 in four starts vs St Louis.


— Atlanta lost its last three games.
— Braves are 44-24 at home.
— over 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 54-138
— record in first 5 innings: 81-39-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-6-6.1


Arizona (72-68) @ Cubs (76-64)
— Nelson is 0-2, 9.16 in his last four starts.
— Arizona is 2-5 in his last seven starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 7-24
— record in first 5 innings: 9-12-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Chicago.


— Arizona is 4-7 in its last eleven games.
— Arizona is 34-33 on road.
— under 4-3 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 48-140
— record in first 5 innings: 58-54-28
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5.1-6


— Assad is 2-0, 1.89 in his last five starts.
— Cubs are 5-2 in his starts
— under 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona.


— Cubs are 11-4 in their last 15 games.
— Chicago is 40-31 at home.
— under 8-2 last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 41-139
— record in first 5 innings: 65-53-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-3.2-2.1


American League
Seattle
(78-61) @ Tampa Bay (85-55)
— Castillo is 4-0, 3.09 in his last five starts.
— Mariners are 6-1 in his last seven starts.
— over 10-3 last 13 starts
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— allowed run in first inning: 8-28
— record in first 5 innings: 11-11-6
— He is 0-0, 3.46 in two starts vs Tampa Bay.


— Seattle is 3-5 in its last eight games.
— Mariners are 39-32 on road.
— over 3-1-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 43-139
— record in first 5 innings: 67-50-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-3.2


— Littell is 1-1, 5.82 in his last four starts.
— Tampa Bay is 5-5 in his starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4-1
— This is his first start against Seattle.


— Tampa Bay is 13-5 in its last 18 games.
— Rays are 47-24 at home.
— over 3-2 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 49-140
— record in first 5 innings: 75-48-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-5-3


Detroit (63-76) @ Bronx (70-69)
— Rodriguez is 2-1, 3.00 in his last three starts.
— Detroit is 6-3 in his last nine starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-21
— record in first 5 innings: 9-9-3
— He is 8-6, 3.76 in 22 starts vs New York.


— Detroit won four of its last six games.
— Tigers are 34-36 on road.
— under 18-6 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 35-138
— record in first 5 innings: 51-67-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5.1-7


— Rodon is 1-0, 2.87 in his last three starts.
— New York is 2-7 in his starts.
— under 6-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-9
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-2
— He is 6-2, 4.50 in 11 starts vs Detroit.


— New York is 8-1 in last nine games.
— Bronx is 38-33 at home.
— under 7-1-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 38-139
— record in first 5 innings: 63-53-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-2.1


Cleveland (67-73) @ LA Angels (64-76)
— Quantrill is 0-4, 11.05 in his last five starts.
— Guardians are 1-5 in his last six starts
— under 9-4 in his last 13 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-14
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 3-10-1
— He is 1-1, 2.67 in four starts vs Anaheim.


— Guardians are 7-5 in their last 12 games.
— Cleveland is 31-37 on road.
— under 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 39-140
— record in first 5 innings: 56-60-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-4-4


— bullpen game


— Angels are 7-25 in their last 32 games.
— Angels are 32-36 at home.
— over 8-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 39-139
— record in first 5 innings: 55-62-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.1-4
 

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SEPT'S MLB BEST BETS !

09/04/2023................................5 - 10..............................33.33%...........................- 31.05
09/03/2023...............................5 - 16 - 1..........................23.80%............................- 61.35
09/02/2023...............................12 - 9 - 1..........................57.14%............................+ 15.95
09/01/2023................................7 - 14..............................33.33%............................- 39.50

TOTALS...................... ............29 - 49 - 2...........................37.17%............................- 115.95
 

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Friday’s 6-pack:
Interesting point spreads in the NFL this week:
— Panthers @ Atlanta (-3.5, 39.5)
— Bengals (-2, 47.5) @ Cleveland
— Jaguars (-5, 46) @ Indianapolis
— Buccaneers (-5.5, 45.5) @ Minnesota
— Titans @ New Orleans (-3, 41.5)
— 49ers (-2.5, 41) @ Pittsburgh

Quote of the Day
“I don’t know that I’ve ever been more disappointed in a person, a group of people, or an institution than I am with the NCAA right now. It’s clear that the NCAA is about process and it couldn’t care less about the young people it’s supposed to be supporting.”
North Carolina football coach Mack Brown, after one of his players was denied eligibility for the 2023 season

Friday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes was the Chiefs’ backup QB his rookie year in the NFL; who was the Chiefs’ starting QB that year?

Thursday’s quiz
Erik Kramer was the Detroit Lions’ QB the last time they won a playoff game, in 1991.

Wednesday’s quiz
Hall of Fame QB Brett Favre played most of his career in Green Bay; he started his NFL career with the Atlanta Falcons.
Posted onSeptember 8, 2023Leave a commenton Friday’s 6-pack, Quote, Quiz of the Day

*********************************************​

Lions 21, Chiefs 20
— Lions drove 75 yards for game-winning TD with 7:06 left.
— Detroit tied game on a pick-6 with 10:54 left in 3rd quarter.
— Last two years, Detroit is 11-6 ATS as a road underdog.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 13-21-1 SU, 24-10-1 ATS.
— Goff is 57-48-1 as an NFL starter, 13-18-1 with the Lions.
— In 1st half, Chiefs 28 plays for 187 yards, scored 2 TD’s on four drives.
— In 2nd half, Chiefs ran 36 plays for only 134 yards on seven drives.
— Last 3+ years, KC is 10-14 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last 3+ years, under is 16-9-1 in KC home games.
— Chiefs’ WR’s had a rough night; they missed injured TE Kelce.

— Cincinnati Bengals gave QB Joe Burrow a 5-year, $275M contract Thursday, making him the NFL’s highest-paid player. $219M of that $275M is guaranteed.

— When Colorado upset TCU Saturday, they did it in a game where the Horned Frogs had a 15-yard edge in average field position.
Since the start of last season, college teams with a 15+-yard edge in field position have won 100 of 104 games SU.

— Mariners 1, Rays 0
Luis Castillo tossed six shutout innings.
Tampa Bay was 0-7 with runners in scoring position.

— Detroit 10, New York 3— Spencer Torkelson hit two home runs for the Tigers.

— Dodgers 10, Marlins 0— Ryan Pepiot threw seven shutout IP.

— Angels 3, Guardians 2— Halos scored twice in bottom of 9th; Randal Grichuk had the walk-off single.
Grichuk got in the game when Angels’ utility guy Luis Rengifo left the game in the first inning; he strained a biceps muscle swinging the bat in the on-deck circle. Seriously, he did.

— Word of the Day— Integrity— the quality of being honest and having strong moral principles; moral uprightness.

— College Football Trend of the Day— In his college career, Ole Miss coach Lane Kiffin is 18-24 ATS at home, 29-24-1 on road.

— Miami Marlins put P Sandy Alcantara/OF Jorge Soler on the IL.

— Washington Nationals gutted their front office Thursday, firing 13 scouts- it is unclear whether GM Mike Rizzo’s job is safe or not. They also postponed a ceremony where retired P Stephen Strasburg was going to get his number retired by the team.

— Individual team over/unders for Week 1 NFL

Detroit 24— under. Kansas City 28— under.
Houston 17— Baltimore 27—
Cincinnati 25— Cleveland— 22.5
Tampa Bay 20— Minnesota— 26
Tennessee 19— New Orleans 22—
Carolina 18— Atlanta 21.5—

Jacksonville 25— Indianapolis 20—
San Francisco 22— Pittsburgh 19.5—
Arizona 15.5— Washington 22.5
Las Vegas 20.5— Denver 24
Miami 24— LA Chargers 27—

Philadelphia 24.5— New England 20.5—
Green Bay 21— Chicago 22—
LA Rams 20.5— Seattle 25.5—
Dallas 25— NJ Giants 21.5—
Buffalo 24.5— NJ Jets 22—
 

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ARIZONA is 63-61 SU (-4.1 Units) as a favorite of -110 or higher in the last 3 seasons.

CINCINNATI is 381-314 Over (35.6 Units) in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games since 1996.

TAMPA BAY is 120-115 SU (-6.5 Units) in home games in all games in the last 3 seasons.

DETROIT is 83-53 Under (24.7 Units) when the money line is +125 to -125 in the last 3 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 70-93 SU (-32.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive road games in the last 3 seasons.

LA DODGERS are 80-74 SU (-1.4 Units) when the money line is -100 to -150 in the last 3 seasons.

NY YANKEES are 6-28 SU (-24.8 Units) in home games when playing on Friday in the last 3 seasons.

KANSAS CITY is 19-40 SU (-25 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

BOSTON is 15-5 SU (9.5 Units) when playing on Friday in the current season.

ATLANTA is 47-29 SU (15.1 Units) when playing on Friday in the last 3 seasons.

TEXAS are 9-2 SU (6.8 Units) in home games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the current season.

HOUSTON is 7-0 Under (7 Units) in home games when playing with a day off in the current season.

MINNESOTA is 94-65 Over (22.5 Units) after 2 straight games where they committed no errors in the last 3 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 26-8 SU (17.2 Units) as a road underdog of +100 to +150 in the current season.

SAN FRANCISCO is 10-3 SU (6.7 Units) in home games in September games over the last 2 seasons.
 

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