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Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, July 22


NL games
Atlanta (45-48) @ Philadelphia (46-47)

— Morton is 3-0, 2.31 in his last six starts.
— Braves are 10-9 in his starts.
— under 6-3-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 12-5-2
— He is 1-2, 7.71 in three starts vs Philly this year.

— Braves lost four of their last six games
— Atlanta is 3-1 in its last four road games.
— over 8-4 in last 12 games.
— scored run in first inning: 33-94
— record in first 5 innings: 48-32-13

— Moore is 0-0, 3.12 in his last four starts.
— Phillies are 6-1 in his starts.
— over 6-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-3
— He is 1-0, 5.79 in 4 games (2 starts) vs Atlanta.

— Phillies are 1-3 in their last four games.
— Phillies are 26-17 at home, 20-30 on road.
— over 12-1 last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-93
— record in first 5 innings: 36-35-22

San Diego (56-42) @ Miami (41-54)
— Snell is 1-1, 6.20 in his last five starts (20.1 IP).
— Padres are 8-9 in his starts.
— over 10-5 last 15
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9-2
— He is 1-1, 4.80 in three starts vs Miami.

— Padres are 7-9 in their last 16 games.
— San Diego is 7-14 in its last 21 road games.
— over 8-5 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-98
— record in first 5 innings: 38-43-17

— They haven’t named a starter.

— Marlins are 12-19 in their last 31 games.
— Miami is 6-4 in last ten home games.
— over 9-3-2 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-95
— record in first 5 innings: 34-42-19

Cubs (47-49) @ St Louis (48-48)
— Alzolay is 0-5, 7.16 in his last six starts.
— Cubs are 6-10 in his starts.
— under 5-2-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 5-7-4
— He is 0-2, 2.45 in three starts vs St Louis.

— Cubs are 5-16 in last 21 games.
— Chicago is 3-12 in its last 15 road games.
— Over is 8-4 in their last 12 games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-96
— record in first 5 innings: 41-43-12

— Kim won his last four starts, giving up 1 run in 24 IP.
— Cardinals are 10-6 in his starts.
— over 7-6-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-3
— He is 1-0, 0.93 in two starts (9.2 IP) vs Chicago.

— Cardinals are 12-7 in last 19 games.
— St Louis is 8-2 in its last 10 home games.
— Under is 19-11-2 in their last 32 games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-96
— record in first 5 innings: 39-39-18

San Francisco (59-35) @ Dodgers (59-37)
— DeSclafani is 2-1, 2.18 in his last three starts.
— Giants are 13-6 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 12-5-2
— He is 0-2, 11.25 in three starts vs LA this year.

— Giants won six of their last nine games.
— Giants are 7-6 in last 13 road games.
— Under is 12-6 in last 18 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-94
— record in first 5 innings: 53-28-13

— Buehler is 2-0, 1.38 in his last two starts.
— Dodgers are 13-6 in his starts.
— over 11-7-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-5
— He is 2-0, 2.20 in five starts vs SF this year.

— Dodgers split their last 12 games.
— Dodgers are 8-2 in last ten home games.
— under 9-4-1 last 14 home games
— scored run in first inning: 30-96
— record in first 5 innings: 48-32-16

AL games
Texas (35-61) @ Detroit (46-51)

— Foltynewicz gave up 10 runs in 1.2 IP in his last start.
— Texas is 6-13 in his starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 3-12-4
— He gave up 5 runs in 5 IP, in his one start vs Detroit.

— Texas is 2-11 in its last 13 games.
— Rangers lost last five games by combined 37-3.
— Texas is 4-26 in its last 30 road games.
— over 14-5-1 last 20 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 19-96
— record in first 5 innings: 31-52-13

— bullpen game

— Detroit won its last six games.
— Detroit is 11-3 in last 14 home games.
— over 23-13-1 last 37 games
— scored run in first inning: 21-97
— record in first 5 innings: 11-2-1 last 14 at home.

Bronx (50-43) @ Boston (58-37)
—Montgomery is 0-4, 4.80 in his last four starts.
— New York is 10-7 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 7-17
— record in first 5 innings: 4-11-2
— He is 0-2, 4.50 in two starts vs Boston this year.

— New York won nine of its last 11 games.
— New York is 7-5 in its last 12 road games.
— under 3-1 last four road games
— scored run in first inning: 24-93
— record in first 5 innings: 39-36-18

— bullpen game

— Boston is 4-6 in its last ten games.
— Red Sox are 9-2 in last 11 home games.
— over 5-2-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 33-95
— record in first 5 innings: 45-35-15

Tampa Bay (57-39) @ Cleveland (48-45)
— Fleming is 0-1, 8.16 in his last three games.
— Rays are 2-5 in his starts.
— over 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4
— He threw 2.2 scoreless IP, in one relief stint vs Cleveland.

— Tampa Bay won 10 of its last 13 games.
— Rays are 3-11 in last 14 road games, 3-1 in last four.
— under is 5-2 in last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-96
— record in first 5 innings: 37-36-23

— Quantrill is 2-0, 3.18 in his last two starts.
— Indians are 4-5 in his starts.
— over 6-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-9
— record in first 5 innings: 5-2-2
— He allowed 2 runs in 5.1 IP, in one start vs Tampa Bay.

— Cleveland lost 15 of its last 23 games.
— Indians won its last three home games.
— over 11-4-1 last 16 home games
— scores run in first inning: 30-93
— record in first 5 innings: 34-45-14

Angels (46-48) @ Minnesota (41-55)
— Heaney is 1-4, 8.49 in his last five starts.
— Angels are 6-10 in his starts.
— over 13-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 6-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-1
— He is 0-0, 3.18 in two starts vs Minnesota.

— Halos are 8-7 in last 15 games.
— Angels are 4-10 in last 14 road games.
— over 24-13-1 last 38 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-94
— record in first 5 innings: 40-42-12

— Maeda is 1-0, 1.69 in his last three starts.
— Twins are 5-10 in his starts.
— over 8-7
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 4-5-6
— He is 2-3, 4.56 in 6 games (5 starts) vs Anaheim.

— Minnesota lost five of its last seven games.
— Twins are 4-0 in last four home games.
— over 5-3-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 34-96
— record in first 5 innings: 29-47-20

Oakland (55-42) @ Seattle (51-45)
— Manaea is 0-4, 4.45 in his last five starts.
— A’s are 12-7 in his starts.
— under 6-3
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 9-6-4
— He is 7-5, 3.42 in 13 starts vs Seattle.

— A’s are 6-3 in last nine games.
— Oakland is 4-3 in last seven road games.
— Under is 15-7 in their last 22 games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-97
— record in first 5 innings: 42-36-19

— Flexen is 4-0, 1.36 in his last six starts.
— Mariners are 13-4 in his starts.
— over 9-5 last 14
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-1
— He gave up 5 runs in 6 IP, in his one start vs Oakland

— Seattle is 20-9 in its last 29 games.
— Seattle is 3-1 in last four home games.
— under 3-1 last four home games
— scored run in first inning: 30-96
— record in first 5 innings: 44-45-7
 

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MLB

Thursday, July 22


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Texas @ Detroit
Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas's last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Texas is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Atlanta @ Philadelphia
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta

NY Yankees @ Boston
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing Boston
Boston
Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
Boston is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

Tampa Bay @ Cleveland
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Tampa Bay is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

San Diego @ Miami
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego's last 8 games when playing on the road against Miami
San Diego is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Diego

Chi Cubs @ St. Louis
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Chi Cubs is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

LA Angels @ Minnesota
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
LA Angels is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing LA Angels
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

San Francisco @ LA Dodgers
San Francisco
San Francisco is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing LA Dodgers
San Francisco is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games at home
LA Dodgers is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home

Oakland @ Seattle
Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing at home against Oakland
Seattle is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against Oakland


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Diamond Trends for Thursday July 22
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: San Francisco at L.A. Dodgers (10:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Dodgers are 15-0 SU since Apr. 1, 2018 in the last game of a series at home after they left fewer than 10 men on base individually.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Chi. Cubs at St. Louis (7:15 p.m. ET)

-- The Cubs are 0-11 SU since Jun. 16, 2021 off a game as an underdog in which they scored first.

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Angels at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Twins are 9-0-1 OU (2.8 ppg) since Sept. 25, 2020 as a favorite of -140 or more after they won and never trailed game prior.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Angels at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Angels are 10-0 OU (3.5 ppg) since Sept. 21, 2018 when Andrew Heaney starts as a road underdog of less than +200.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
 

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THURSDAY, JULY 22
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS



TEX at DET 01:10 PM
DET -139
U 9.5
+500 +500


ATL at PHI 07:05 PM
PHI +116
+500


TB at CLE 07:10 PM
TB -143
+500


NYY at BOS 07:10 PM
NYY +126
+500


CHC at STL 07:15 PM
STL -119
U 8.5
+500 +500


LAA at MIN 08:10 PM
MIN -144
+500


SF at LAD 10:10 PM
SF +153
U 7.5

+500 +500


OAK at SEA 10:10 PM
SEA +130
+500
 

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minnesota - 144 is not a best bet.............as i never bet favorites !!
 

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MLB July Opinions and Best Bets:


07/22/2021.......5-6-0......45.45%......-6.05
07/21/2021.......8-5-0......61.53%....+29.65
07/20/2021...11-10-0.......52.38%......-1.00
07/19/2021.......5-7-0.......41.66%....-23.65
07/18/2021.....6-10-0.......37.50%....-19.35
07/17/2021.....6-10-0.......37.50%....-28.85
07/16/2021.......5-9-0.......35.71%....-22.95
07/11/2021.......9-2-0.......81.82%...+41.60
07/10/2021...... 8-7-0 ......53.33% ....+4.95
07/09/2021.......9-5-0.......64.29%...+26.35
07/08/2021.......3-6-0.......33.33%....-14.80
07/07/2021.......6-6-0.......50.00%.....+0.25
07/06/2021.......6-7-0.......46.15%......-9.90
07/05/2021 ......5-5-0 ......50.00%.... - 6.45
07/04/2021.....5-11-0.......31.25%.....-31.90
07/03/2021.....11-4-0.......73.33%....+40.60
07/02/2021.......6-8-0.......42.86%.....-10.45
07/01/2021 ......4-7-0 ......36.36% ....-13.85




Totals...........118-120-0 ......49.57% ....- 45.08




***************************




Best Bets July:


07/22/2021.2-5-0................28.57%.......-13.85
07/21/2021.6-5-0................54.54%.......+19.65
07/20/2021 6-6-0................50.00%........+2.30
07/19/2021 3-2-0................60.00%........+7.00
07/18/2021 5-6-0................45.45%........+0.50
07/17/2021 0-4-0................00.00%........-20.00
07/16/2021 2-4-0................33.33%.........-6.85
07/11/2021 3-2-0................60.00%.......+11.45
07/10/2021 3-4-0................42.85%.........+2.85
07/09/2021 3-3-0................50.00%.........+9.00
07/08/2021 2-4-0................33.33%..........-6.95
07/07/2021 3-4-0................42.85%..........-0.70
07/06/2021 3-3-0................50.00%.........+4.20
07/05/2021 3-0-0...............100.00%.......+20.20
07/04/2021 3-8-0................27.27%.........-19.15
07/03/2021 4-3-0................57.14%........+11.50
07/02/2021 0-6-0 ...............00.00%........ -30.00
07/01/2021 3-5-0............... 37.50%......... - 3.55




Totals.......50-71 0...............41.32%..........-12.20
 

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Friday’s 6-pack
Spreads for Labor Day weekend college football games:
— Penn State at Wisconsin (-4)
— West Virginia at Maryland (+4.5)
— Indiana at Iowa (-4.5)
— Texas Tech at Houston (+7)
— Georgia at Clemson (-3.5)
— Fresno State at Oregon (-20.5)

Quote of the Day.
“He (Hector Cruz) may be the best teammate I’ve ever seen in terms of the way he goes about his business, the way he puts his arm around people, the way he helps us become better in our front-office jobs and coaching-staff jobs. This guy is beyond special.”
Minnesota Twins president Derek Falvey, who traded Cruz to Tampa Bay Thursday

Friday’s quiz
Who was the LA Rams’ QB, the first time they played in a Super Bowl?

Thursday’s quiz
Bo Jackson played in the NFL and the major leagues; he spent most of his baseball career with Kansas City.

Wednesday’s quiz
Alex Cora first managed the Red Sox in 2018; John Farrell managed Boston before he did.

********************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with weekend here…….

13) First domino of the baseball trade deadline season fell Thursday, with Minnesota dealing DH Nelson Cruz to Tampa Bay, for a couple of AAA pitching prospects.

At age 41, Cruz has 19 homers, 50 RBI and a .370 on-base %age. He should be a big help.

12) Cruz hit 216 home runs before his 35th birthday; he’s hit 220 homers since that birthday, which is 3rd all-time.

11) Tampa Bay/Texas are allowing the worst OPS to opposing #9 hitters; Tampa Bay is 58-39, would host the Wild Card game if it were played today. Nothing they do is normal, but they do it very well.

10) Detroit Tigers are 7-0 since the All-Star break; they’ve won their last nine home games. AJ Hinch is a damn good manager; he won the World Series in Houston, but may be doing his best work in Detroit right now.

9) Giants 5, Dodgers 3:
— Giants roughed up Kenley Jansen for 4 runs in 9th inning, after a replay reversal kept the game going.
— San Francisco leads the Dodgers by 3 games, San Diego by 5.5 in the NL West.

8) Boston 5, New York 4 (10):
— Red Sox scored twice in 9th inning, twice in the 10th.
— Hunter Renfroe walked it off with a 10th inning sac fly.
— Kike Hernandez tied the game with a 9th inning double.
— New York reliever Brooks Kriske threw four wild pitches in 10th inning– the most by one pitcher in a single extra inning in MLB history.

7) If I was advising a young person who was looking to pursue a great career, I’d suggest they become an eye doctor. Being a beer distributor would also be good, but being an eye doctor must be very cool.

Over the last 20 months, I’ve spent too way much time in doctor’s offices getting pictures taken of my eye, which has had two operations. Those two surgeons saved the vision in my right eye; can’t imagine how great it must be to save someone’s vision.

Plus, I’m guessing eye doctors make a boatload of money.

6) Padres 3, Marlins 2:
— Blake Snell finished the 6th inning for only third time in 18 starts.
— Snell came into this game with a 9.08 ERA in ten road outings.

5) A’s 4, Seattle 1:
— Sean Manaea threw 7 great innings (107 PT) to win opener of an important series.
— Ramon Laureano knocked in two runs for the A’s.

4) Cardinals 3, Cubs 2:
— Chicago is 5-17 in its last 22 games; when do they resume dumping players?
— I mean, Kris Bryant is on my fantasy team; I’d rather he get traded now, so he gets a full week for his new team next week.

3) The Yermin Mercedes retirement story turned out to be a false alarm; he was in uniform for AAA Charlotte Thursday night, but didn’t play. Wouldn’t shock me if a contender that needed a bat off the bench traded for Mercedes in the next nine days.

2) Jets assistant coach Greg Knapp died Thursday; he passed away from injuries suffered when he was struck by a car while biking in California last week. Knapp had a 25-year coaching career and was known for working with QB’s, like Peyton Manning/Steve Young. RIP, sir.

1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL— Mets, Brewers, Giants. Wild Card: San Diego @ Los Angeles
AL— Red Sox, White Sox, Astros. Wild Card: Oakland @ Tampa Bay
 

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951ARIZONA -952 CHICAGO CUBS
ARIZONA is 5-19 SU (-17.6 Units) in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

953ATLANTA -954 PHILADELPHIA
ATLANTA is 35-53 SU (-20.4 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

955SAN DIEGO -956 MIAMI
SAN DIEGO is 21-35 SU (-16.1 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the current season.

957ST LOUIS -958 CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI is 0-11 SU (-12.1 Units) in home games vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season in the current season.

959PITTSBURGH -960 SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 37-15 SU (25.3 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

961COLORADO -962 LA DODGERS
COLORADO is 4-14 SU (-16.4 Units) in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the current season.

963NY YANKEES -964 BOSTON
NY YANKEES are 12-23 SU (-14.8 Units) in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.

965TAMPA BAY -966 CLEVELAND
TAMPA BAY is 30-12 SU (19 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.

967LA ANGELS -968 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 26-53 SU (-35 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

969TEXAS -970 HOUSTON
TEXAS are 13-28 SU (-20.8 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, July 23


NL games
Arizona (29-68) @ Cubs (47-50)

— Gallen is 0-3, 5.21 in his last five starts.
— Arizona is 2-8 in his starts.
— over 7-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 5-5
— He gave up a run in 5.2 IP, in his one start vs Chicago.

— Arizona won its last four games.
— Arizona is 2-30 in its last 32 road games.
— over 7-4 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 15-98
— record in first 5 innings: 38-54-6

— Davies is 0-2, 4.50 in his last four starts.
— Cubs are 10-10 in his starts.
— under 9-6 last 15
— allowed run in first inning: 5-20
— record in first 5 innings: 7-9-4
— He is 4-2, 3.49 in seven starts vs Arizona.

— Cubs are 5-17 in last 22 games.
— Chicago is 4-7 in its last 11 home games.
— Over is 5-1 in their last six home games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-97
— record in first 5 innings: 41-44-12

Atlanta (46-48) @ Philadelphia (46-48)
— Fried is 4-1, 3.72 in his last five starts.
— Braves are 8-7 in his starts.
— over 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 7-15
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-1
— He is 3-2, 4.08 in 12 games (6 starts) vs Philly.

— Braves are 3-4 in their last seven games
— Atlanta is 4-1 in its last five road games.
— over 8-4 last 12 games.
— scored run in first inning: 34-95
— record in first 5 innings: 49-32-13

— Wheeler is 2-1, 3.76 in his last four starts.
— Phillies are 11-8 in his starts.
— under 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-6
— He is 1-1, 1.37 in three starts vs Atlanta this year.

— Phillies are 1-4 in their last five games.
— Phillies are 26-18 at home, 20-30 on road.
— over 13-1 last 14 games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-94
— record in first 5 innings: 36-36-22

San Diego (57-42) @ Miami (41-55)
— Musgrove is 0-1, 7.85 in his last four starts.
— Padres are 9-9 in his starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9-3
— He allowed a run in 5.2 IP, in his one start vs Miami.

— Padres are 4-2 in their last six games.
— San Diego is 8-14 in its last 22 road games.
— under 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 29-99
— record in first 5 innings: 39-43-17

— Thompson is 2-2, 3.21 in six starts.
— Marlins are 2-4 in his starts.
— under 5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4
— He hasn’t pitched against San Diego.

— Marlins are 12-20 in their last 32 games.
— Miami is 6-5 in last 11 home games.
— over 9-4-2 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-96
— record in first 5 innings: 34-43-19

St Louis (49-48) @ Cincinnati (49-47)
— LeBlanc is 0-2, 2.50 in four starts.
— Cardinals are 2-2 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-3
— He is 2-0, 1.62 in nine games (3 starts) vs Cincinnati.

— Cardinals are 13-7 in last 20 games.
— St Louis is 5-14 in its last 19 road games.
— Under is 20-11-2 in their last 33 games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-97
— record in first 5 innings: 40-39-18

— Mahle is 0-1, 5.81 in his last five starts.
— Reds are 12-7 in his starts.
— under 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 11-4-4
— He is 2-0, 3.75 in two starts vs St Louis this year.

— Cincinnati lost five of its last six games.
— Reds are 11-9 in last 20 home games.
— under 12-6 last 18 home games
— scored run in first inning: 27-96
— record in first 5 innings: 39-41-16

Pittsburgh (36-59) @ San Francisco (60-35)
— Kuhl is 3-1, 2.30 in his last five starts.
— Pirates are 7-5 in his starts.
— over 8-4 (0-3 last 3)
— allowed run in first inning: 5-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3-3
— He is 0-0, 3.00 in two starts vs San Francisco.

— Pirates lost their last four games.
— Pittsburgh is 2-8 in last ten road games.
— over 12-5 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-95
— record in first 5 innings: 30-53-12

— Cueto is 0-2, 5.63 in his last three starts.
— Giants are 8-7 in his starts.
— under 7-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-2
— He is 21-4, 2.17 in 32 starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Giants won seven of their last ten games.
— Giants are 14-5 in last 19 home games.
— Over is 8-4 in last 12 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-95
— record in first 5 innings: 53-29-13

Colorado (42-54) @ Dodgers (59-38)
— Gonzalez is 1-2, 5.57 in his last four starts.
— Rockies are 5-10 in his starts.
— over 9-3 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 5-15
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 3-10-2
— He is 2-2, 4.78 in 8 games (5 starts) vs LA.

— Colorado is 17-13 in its last 30 games.
— Rockies are 33-20 at home, 9-34 on road.
— under 15-3 last 18 games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-96
— record in first 5 innings: 38-43-15

— Price is 0-0, 2.03 in five starts (13.1 IP).
— Most pitches he’s thrown in a game- 66.
— Dodgers are 2-3 in his starts.
— under 5-0
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He is 1-2, 4.76 in 7 games (4 starts) vs Colorado.

— Dodgers are 6-7 in last 13 games.
— Dodgers are 8-3 in last 11 home games.
— under 9-5-1 last 15 home games
— scored run in first inning: 31-97
— record in first 5 innings: 49-32-16

AL games
Bronx (50-45) @ Boston (59-38)

— Cole allowed one run in 15 IP in his last two starts.
— New York is 10-9 in his starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 10-4-5
— He is 1-1, 5.73 in two starts vs Boston this year.

— New York won nine of its last 12 games.
— New York is 7-6 in its last 13 road games.
— under 4-1 last five road games
— scored run in first inning: 24-95
— record in first 5 innings: 40-36-19

— Rodriguez is 2-1, 2.38 in his last four starts.
— Boston is 12-6 in his starts.
— over 7-2-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 6-18
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7-2
— He is 2-0, 2.65 in three starts vs New York this year.

— Boston won its last three games.
— Red Sox are 10-2 in last 12 home games.
— over 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 33-97
— record in first 5 innings: 45-37-15

Tampa Bay (58-39) @ Cleveland (48-46)
— Fleming is 0-1, 8.16 in his last three games.
— Rays are 2-5 in his starts.
— over 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4
— He threw 2.2 scoreless IP, in one relief stint vs Cleveland.

— Tampa Bay won 11 of its last 14 games.
— Rays are 4-1 in last five road tilts.
— under is 6-2 in last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-97
— record in first 5 innings: 37-37-23

— Plesac is 3-0, 5.34 in his last five starts.
— Indians are 7-5 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-2
— He gave up 4 runs in 5 IP, in one start vs Tampa Bay.

— Cleveland lost 16 of its last 24 games.
— Indians won three of last four home games.
— over 11-5-1 last 17 home games
— scores run in first inning: 30-94
— record in first 5 innings: 35-45-14

Angels (47-48) @ Minnesota (41-56)
— Cobb is 2-0, 1.83 in his last three starts.
— Angels are 10-4 in his starts.
— over 10-4
— allowed run in first inning: 2-14
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-1
— He is 3-3, 6.27 in seven starts vs Minnesota.

— Halos are 9-7 in last 16 games.
— Angels are 5-10 in last 15 road games.
— over 24-14-1 last 39 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-95
— record in first 5 innings: 41-42-12

— Happ is 1-2, 7.85 in his last three starts.
— Twins are 8-9 in his starts.
— over 12-2 last 14
— allowed run in first inning: 7-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9-2
— He is 2-6, 5.14 in nine starts vs Anaheim.

— Minnesota lost six of its last eight games.
— Twins are 4-1 in last five home games.
— under 5-2 last seven home games
— scored run in first inning: 34-97
— record in first 5 innings: 29-48-20

Detroit (47-51) @ Kansas City (39-55)
— Peralta is 3-0, 0.75 in his last four starts.
— Detroit is 3-3 in his starts.
— over 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 5-1
— He threw 1.1 scoreless IP in a relief stint vs Kansas City.

— Detroit won its last seven games.
— Detroit lost its last four road games.
— over 24-13-1 last 38 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-98
— record in first 5 innings: 6-1-2 last nine on road.

— Bubic is 0-3, 11.12 in his last four starts.
— Kansas City is 5-3 in his starts.
— over 6-0 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 5-8
— record in first 5 innings: 2-5-1
— He is 0-0, 3.68 in 3 games (2 starts) vs Detroit.

— Royals are 10-28 in last 38 games.
— Royals are 2-5 in last seven home games.
— under 7-5 last 12 home games.
— scores run in first inning: 19-94
— record in first 5 innings: 33-48-13

Texas (35-62) @ Houston (58-39)
— Allard is 0-5, 6.59 in his last five starts.
— Texas is 1-8 in his starts.
— under 7-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-9
— record in first 5 innings: 1-7-1
— He is 1-2, 2.25 in 5 games (2 starts) vs Houston.

— Texas is 2-12 in its last 14 games.
— Rangers lost last six games by combined 44-8.
— Texas is 4-27 in its last 31 road games.
— over 15-5-1 last 21 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 19-97
— record in first 5 innings: 31-53-13

— Odorizzi is 0-2, 5.79 in his last two starts.
— Astros are 4-7 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5
— He is 4-1, 3.26 in eight starts vs Texas.

— Astros are 4-6 in their last ten games.
— Astros are 5-7 in last 12 home games.
— over 9-3 last 12 home games
— scored run in first inning: 33-97
— record in first 5 innings: 51-32-14

Oakland (56-42) @ Seattle (51-46)
— Montas is 1-1, 2.70 in his last four starts.
— A’s are 9-10 in his starts.
— over 10-9
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-8-3
— He is 2-2, 3.31 in 8 games (5 starts) vs Seattle.

— A’s are 7-3 in last ten games.
— Oakland is 5-3 in last eight road games.
— Under is 16-7 in their last 23 games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-98
— record in first 5 innings: 43-36-19

— Kikuchi is 0-2, 10.80 in his last two starts.
— Mariners are 8-9 in his starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-1
— He is 1-2, 2.54 in seven starts vs Oakland

— Seattle is 20-10 in its last 30 games.
— Seattle is 3-2 in last five home games.
— under 4-1 last five home games
— scored run in first inning: 30-97
— record in first 5 innings: 44-46-7

Interleague games
Washington (45-49) @ Baltimore (31-64)

— Corbin is 1-3, 6.95 in his last four starts.
— Nationals are 9-9 in his starts.
— over 10-8
— allowed run in first inning: 9-18
— record in first 5 innings: 7-8-3
— He is 1-2, 5.06 in 5 games (4 starts) vs Baltimore.

— Washington is 3-7 in its last ten games.
— Nationals lost last four road games.
— over 9-3-1 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-94
— record in first 5 innings: 39-36-19

— Lopez is 0-6, 7.29 in his last seven starts.
— Orioles are 5-14 in his starts.
— under 12-7
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 4-11-4
— He is 0-1, 3.21 in 4 games (1 start) vs Washington.

— Orioles are 7-11 in last 18 games.
— Baltimore is 18-34 on road, 13-30 at home.
— over is 41-18-1 in their last 60 games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-95
— record in first 5 innings: 29-50-16

Toronto (48-44) @ Mets (50-43)
— Ryu is 4-1, 3.34 in his last five starts.
— Blue Jays are 11-7 in his starts.
— over 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 6-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-7-1
— He is 5-1, 1.23 in nine starts vs New York.

— Toronto won four of last six games.
— Blue Jays are 1-4 in last five road games.
— Over is 5-1 in their last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-92
— record in first 5 innings: 4-7 last 11 on road

— Megill is 0-0, 2.63 in five starts.
— Mets are 4-1 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Toronto.

— Mets are 15-18 in their last 33 games.
— Mets are 7-5 in their last 12 home games.
— over 4-2 last six home games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-93
— record in first 5 innings: 41-40-12

White Sox (58-38) @ Milwaukee (55-41)
— Giolito is 2-0, 1.88 in his last two starts.
— Chicago is 10-9 in his starts.
— over 7-0 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-3
— He allowed 2 runs in 6 IP in one start vs Milwaukee.

— Chicago won nine of its last 12 games.
— White Sox won their last five road games.
— over 10-3 last 13 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-96
— record in first 5 innings: 53-27-16

— Peralta is 3-2, 2.23 in his last eight starts.
— Milwaukee is 11-6 in his starts.
— under 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-4
— He threw 3 scoreless IP, in a relief stint vs Chicago.

— Brewers won three of last five games.
— Milwaukee is 7-8 in its last 15 home games.
— under 6-1-1 last eight home games.
— scored run in first inning: 33-97
— record in first 5 innings: 45-33-19
 

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Jun 22, 2009
Messages
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MLB

Friday, July 23


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Arizona @ Chi Cubs
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games at home

Washington @ Baltimore
Washington
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing Washington

Atlanta @ Philadelphia
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Atlanta

NY Yankees @ Boston
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
Boston is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home

St. Louis @ Cincinnati
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis

Tampa Bay @ Cleveland
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

San Diego @ Miami
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
San Diego is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
Miami is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against San Diego

Toronto @ NY Mets
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
NY Mets
NY Mets is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Mets's last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto

Texas @ Houston
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Texas's last 8 games when playing Houston
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Texas

Detroit @ Kansas City
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Kansas City's last 22 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing Detroit

Chi White Sox @ Milwaukee
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Chi White Sox is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox

LA Angels @ Minnesota
LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 5 games on the road
LA Angels is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing LA Angels
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Pittsburgh @ San Francisco
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Colorado @ LA Dodgers
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Colorado's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 8 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Colorado
LA Dodgers is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Colorado

Oakland @ Seattle
Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games
Oakland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 8 games when playing at home against Oakland


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Messages
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Diamond Trends for Friday July 23
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Detroit at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Royals are 12-0 SU since Sep 24, 2015 as a home favorite after they scored first before trailing and then coming back to win last game.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Chicago White Sox at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The White Sox are 0-11 SU since Sep 21, 2020 as a dog after their opponent scored first last game.

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: N.Y. Yankees at Boston (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Red Sox are 10-0 OU (2.90 ppg) since Aug 08, 2018 in the second game of a series after they played extra inning in game one.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Oakland at Seattle (10:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Mariners are 0-8 SU since Apr 15, 2019 when Yusei Kikuchi starts as a dog after he averaged fewer than 3.5 pitches per batter in his last start.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
 

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Messages
105,440
Tokens
FRIDAY, JULY 23
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS



ARI at CHC 02:20 PM
ARI +128
+500


ATL at PHI 07:05 PM
PHI -149
+500


WAS at BAL 07:05 PM
WAS -124
+500


TB at CLE 07:10 PM
CLE +105
+500


TOR at NYM 07:10 PM
TOR +103
+500


STL at CIN 07:10 PM
STL +141
+500


NYY at BOS 07:10 PM
BOS -116
+500


SD at MIA 07:10 PM
SD -154
+500


LAA at MIN 08:10 PM
LAA -119
+500


TEX at HOU 08:10 PM
HOU -199
+500


DET at KC 08:10 PM
DET +104
+500


CHW at MIL 08:10 PM
MIL -125
+500


PIT at SF 09:45 PM
SF -186
+500


COL at LAD 10:10 PM
COL +236
+500


OAK at SEA 10:10 PM
OAK -118
+500
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,440
Tokens
MLB July Opinions and Best Bets:


07/23/2021.......6-9-0......40.00%....-15.55
07/22/2021.......5-6-0......45.45%......-6.05
07/21/2021.......8-5-0......61.53%....+29.65
07/20/2021...11-10-0.......52.38%......-1.00
07/19/2021.......5-7-0.......41.66%....-23.65
07/18/2021.....6-10-0.......37.50%....-19.35
07/17/2021.....6-10-0.......37.50%....-28.85
07/16/2021.......5-9-0.......35.71%....-22.95
07/11/2021.......9-2-0.......81.82%...+41.60
07/10/2021...... 8-7-0 ......53.33% ....+4.95
07/09/2021.......9-5-0.......64.29%...+26.35
07/08/2021.......3-6-0.......33.33%....-14.80
07/07/2021.......6-6-0.......50.00%.....+0.25
07/06/2021.......6-7-0.......46.15%......-9.90
07/05/2021 ......5-5-0 ......50.00%.... - 6.45
07/04/2021.....5-11-0.......31.25%.....-31.90
07/03/2021.....11-4-0.......73.33%....+40.60
07/02/2021.......6-8-0.......42.86%.....-10.45
07/01/2021 ......4-7-0 ......36.36% ....-13.85




Totals...........124-129-0 ......49.011% ....- 60.63




***************************




Best Bets July:


07/23/2021.1-5-0................16.66%.......-13.20
07/22/2021.2-5-0................28.57%.......-13.85
07/21/2021.6-5-0................54.54%.......+19.65
07/20/2021 6-6-0................50.00%........+2.30
07/19/2021 3-2-0................60.00%........+7.00
07/18/2021 5-6-0................45.45%........+0.50
07/17/2021 0-4-0................00.00%........-20.00
07/16/2021 2-4-0................33.33%.........-6.85
07/11/2021 3-2-0................60.00%.......+11.45
07/10/2021 3-4-0................42.85%.........+2.85
07/09/2021 3-3-0................50.00%.........+9.00
07/08/2021 2-4-0................33.33%..........-6.95
07/07/2021 3-4-0................42.85%..........-0.70
07/06/2021 3-3-0................50.00%.........+4.20
07/05/2021 3-0-0...............100.00%.......+20.20
07/04/2021 3-8-0................27.27%.........-19.15
07/03/2021 4-3-0................57.14%........+11.50
07/02/2021 0-6-0 ...............00.00%........ -30.00
07/01/2021 3-5-0............... 37.50%......... - 3.55




Totals.......51-76 0...............40.15%..........-25.50
 

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Jun 22, 2009
Messages
18,303
Tokens
Saturday’s 6-pack
Major league leaders in total bases:
224— Vladimir Guerrero, Tor
218— Shohei Ohtani, LAA
205— Rafael Devers, Bos
198— Matt Olson Oak/JD Martinez Bos
196— Nick Castellanos, Cin
195— Cedric Mullins Balt/Marcus Semien, Tor

Quote of the Day.
“It’s gotten to the point now where there are guys who are in a serious mental health crisis because of how stressful money is here. I really do think it affects not only their play on the field, but I think it affects quality of life overall. We’re reaching a point now where this is actually becoming detrimental to the players’ overall health, and the owner not addressing it is [the organization] actively saying that they don’t care about the health of their players.”
Kieran Lovegrove, a pitcher in the Angels’ farm system, at AA level

Saturday’s quiz
Rams have played in Super Bowl four times, with four different coaches and four different QB’s; other than Ferragamo, Kurt Warner and Jared Goff, who started at QB for the Rams in a Super Bowl?

Friday’s quiz
Vince Ferragamo was the LA Rams’ QB, the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

Thursday’s quiz
Bo Jackson played in the NFL and the major leagues; he spent most of his baseball career with Kansas City.

***********************************

Saturday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind………

13) If you bet on baseball or own a fantasy team, a reality for the rest of this season is that some teams are going to be limiting the innings of their younger pitchers, to keep them healthy.

Friday, Milwaukee led the White Sox 1-0 after four innings, but lifted Freddy Peralta after he had thrown only 51 pitches. Detroit has held Casey Mize under 60 PT in his last three starts.

There is a thing about the injury risk going way up for any pitcher who throws 20% more pitches than he did the year before, and since last year was such a short season, some teams are going to go overboard with caution.

12) Starting next year, Cleveland Indians will be known as the Cleveland Guardians; the new name was inspired by large landmark stone edifices — referred to as traffic guardians — that flank both ends of the Hope Memorial Bridge, which connects downtown to Ohio City.

My personal preference would’ve been Cleveland Spiders, but they didn’t ask me- the Spiders were a team in the late 19th century.

11) In the the next couple of weeks, MLB will begin testing new technology that lets catchers electronically communicate signs to pitchers; this will happen at a lower minor league- the system is designed to quicken the pace of play and eliminate sign-stealing.

10) Apparently the fine folks at Texas A&M aren’t real happy about Texas/Oklahoma joining the SEC; Texas A&M bolted the Big X to join the SEC in 2012, primarily to get away from those teams, now it looks like they’ll be conference rivals again.

9) Rockies 9, Dodgers 6 (10)
— Colorado scored six runs in last three innings.
— Dodgers are 59-40, but they’re 1-10 in extra innings.

8) Reds 6, Cardinals 5:

— Two outs, no one on in last inning, Cardinals have Yadier Molina on bench but they pinch-hit pitcher Adam Wainwright instead, which was weird. Wainwright is batting .030.

7) Mets acquired 41-year old P Rich Hill from Tampa Bay, to fortify their rotation. Rays will be getting Chris Archer back soon, so they had an excess of starting pitching.

6) When the Blue Jays go back to Toronto next week, they’ll be first major league team since 1903 to have three different home fields in the same season.

5) Yermin Mercedes was back in the lineup for AAA Charlotte Friday, two days after he kind of announced his retirement on Instagram; he homered in his first at-bat last night.

4) Red Sox P Eduardo Rodriguez left Friday’s start in the second inning with a migraine headache; Boston won 6-2, is now 9-2 vs division rival New York this season.

3) MLB extended Washington Nationals’ IF Starlin Castro’s administrative leave thru July 29; doesn’t sound like he or Trevor Bauer will be on a ballfield anytime soon.

2) NBA’s New Orleans Pelicans named Willie Green their new head coach; he was an assistant coach for the Phoenix Suns this past season.

1) If the playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL— Mets, Brewers, Giants. Wild Card: San Diego @ Los Angeles
AL— Red Sox, White Sox, Astros. Wild Card: Oakland @ Tampa Bay
 

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901ARIZONA -902 CHICAGO CUBS
ARIZONA is 5-19 SU (-17.6 Units) in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

903ATLANTA -904 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 12-1 SU (10.9 Units) in home games when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

903ATLANTA -904 PHILADELPHIA
JOE GIRARDI is 12-1 SU (10.9 Units) in home games when playing on Saturday (Coach of PHILADELPHIA)

905SAN DIEGO -906 MIAMI
SAN DIEGO is 21-36 SU (-17.1 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the current season.

907ST LOUIS -908 CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI is 3-20 SU (-17.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the current season.

909PITTSBURGH -910 SAN FRANCISCO
PITTSBURGH is 1-12 SU (-14.6 Units) in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the current season.

911COLORADO -912 LA DODGERS
COLORADO is 4-14 SU (-16.4 Units) in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the current season.

913NY YANKEES -914 BOSTON
NY YANKEES are 13-23 SU (-13.8 Units) in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.

915TEXAS -916 HOUSTON
TEXAS are 13-33 SU (-23.3 Units) when playing with a day off in the last 3 seasons.

917TAMPA BAY -918 CLEVELAND
TAMPA BAY is 30-13 SU (18 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.
 

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, July 24


NL games
Arizona (29-69) @ Cubs (48-50)

— Kelly is 4-0, 2.56 in his last six starts.
— Arizona is 5-1 in his last six starts.
— over 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 6-20
— record in first 5 innings: 10-9-1
— He is 1-1, 5.40 in two starts vs Chicago.

— Arizona won four of last five games.
— Arizona is 2-31 in its last 33 road games.
— over 8-4 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 15-99
— record in first 5 innings: 38-55-6

— Mills is 1-2, 5.59 in his last four starts.
— Cubs are 3-4 in his starts.
— under 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-1
— He threw 2 scoreless IP, in a relief stint vs Arizona.

— Cubs are 6-17 in last 23 games.
— Chicago is 5-7 in its last 12 home games.
— Over is 6-1 in their last seven home games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-98
— record in first 5 innings: 42-44-12

Atlanta (46-49) @ Philadelphia (47-48)
— Smyly is 5-0, 2.51 in his last six starts.
— Braves are 8-8 in his starts.
— over 11-5
— allowed run in first inning: 2-16
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 10-4-2
— He is 0-0, 7.72 in two starts vs Philly this year.

— Braves are 3-5 in last eight games
— Atlanta is 4-2 in its last six road games.
— over 8-5 last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 34-96
— record in first 5 innings: 49-33-13

— Velasquez is 0-2, 8.78 in his last three starts.
— Phillies are 8-7 in his starts.
— over 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-3
— He is 1-6, 4.57 in 13 starts vs Atlanta.

— Phillies are 2-4 in their last six games.
— Phillies are 27-18 at home, 20-30 on road.
— over 13-2 last 14 games.
— scored run in first inning: 33-95
— record in first 5 innings: 37-36-22

San Diego (58-42) @ Miami (41-56)
— Weathers is 2-1, 5.48 in his last five starts (21.1 IP).
— Padres are 6-5 in his starts.
— over 7-4
— allowed run in first inning: 2-11
— record in first 5 innings: 7-3-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Miami.

— Padres are 5-2 in their last seven games.
— San Diego is 9-14 in its last 23 road games.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 30-100
— record in first 5 innings: 40-43-17

— bullpen game

— Marlins are 12-21 in their last 33 games.
— Miami is 6-6 in last 12 home games.
— over 9-5-2 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-97
— record in first 5 innings: 34-44-19

St Louis (49-49) @ Cincinnati (50-47)
— Woodford gave up run in 5.2 IP in his first ’21 start.
— Cardinals are 1-0 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He gave up 5 runs in 7.1 IP, in 5 relief stints vs Cincinnati.

— Cardinals are 13-8 in last 21 games.
— St Louis is 5-15 in its last 20 road games.
— Under is 20-12-2 in their last 34 games.
— scored run in first inning: 31-98
— record in first 5 innings: 40-40-18

— Castillo is 1-1, 1.61 in his last seven starts.
— Reds are 5-4 in his last nine starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 8-20
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 9-9-2
— He is 1-2, 9.43 in three starts vs St Louis this year.

— Cincinnati lost five of its last seven games.
— Reds are 12-9 in last 21 home games.
— under 12-7 last 19 home games
— scored run in first inning: 28-97
— record in first 5 innings: 40-41-16

Pittsburgh (37-59) @ San Francisco (60-36)
— Crowe is 0-1, 5.02 in his last three starts.
— Pirates are 5-8 in his starts.
— over 7-1-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 5-13
— record in first 5 innings: 3-8-2
— He gave up 3 runs in 5 IP, in one start vs San Francisco.

— Pirates lost four of last five games.
— Pittsburgh is 3-8 in last 11 road games.
— over 13-5 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-96
— record in first 5 innings: 31-53-12

— Gausman is 1-2, 3.43 in his last four starts.
— Giants are 13-6 in his starts.
— under 9-9-1
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 13-3-3
— He is 1-2, 5.06 in seven starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Giants are 4-4 since All-Star break.
— Giants are 14-6 in last 20 home games.
— Over is 9-4 in last 13 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-96
— record in first 5 innings: 53-30-13

Colorado (43-54) @ Dodgers (59-39)
— Freeland is 0-2, 4.63 in his last two starts.
— Rockies are 4-6 in his starts.
— under 8-2
— allowed run in first inning: 4-10
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-3
— He is 2-6, 4.43 in 13 starts vs LA.

— Colorado is 18-13 in its last 31 games.
— Rockies are 33-20 at home, 10-34 on road.
— under 15-4 last 19 games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-97
— record in first 5 innings: 38-44-15

— Gonsolin is 0-1, 2.81 in seven starts (25.2 IP).
— Dodgers are 5-2 in his starts.
— under 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 4-7
— record in first 5 innings: 5-2
— He is 0-1, 2.40 in 3 games (2 starts) vs Colorado.

— Dodgers are 6-8 in last 14 games.
— LA is 1-10 in extra innings this year.
— Dodgers are 8-4 in last 12 home games.
— under 9-6-1 last 16 home games
— scored run in first inning: 32-98
— record in first 5 innings: 50-32-16

AL games
Bronx (50-46) @ Boston (60-38)

— Taillon is 4-0, 2.70 in his last five starts.
— New York is 8-10 in his starts.
— over 11-3-1 last 15
— allowed run in first inning: 3-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-2
— He is 1-0, 2.53 in two starts vs Boston this year.

— New York won nine of its last 13 games.
— New York split its last 14 road games.
— under 5-1 last six road games
— scored run in first inning: 24-96
— record in first 5 innings: 40-37-19

— Eovaldi is 2-2, 3.38 in his last five starts.
— Boston is 11-8 in his starts.
— under 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 3-19
— record in first 5 innings: 11-5-3
— He is 2-0, 1.93 in three starts vs New York this year.

— Boston won its last four games.
— Red Sox are 11-2 in last 13 home games.
— over 3-2 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 33-98
— record in first 5 innings: 46-37-15

Tampa Bay (59-39) @ Cleveland (48-47)
— bullpen game

— Tampa Bay won 12 of its last 15 games.
— Rays are 5-1 in last six road tilts.
— under is 6-3 in last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-98
— record in first 5 innings: 38-37-23

— Mejia is 0-3, 13.50 in his last three starts.
— Indians are 3-5 in his starts.
— over 4-4
— allowed run in first inning: 5-8
— record in first 5 innings: 1-5-2
— He gave up 6 runs in 2.2 IP, in one start vs Tampa Bay.

— Cleveland is 8-17 in last 25 games.
— Indians won three of last five home games.
— over 12-5-1 last 18 home games
— scores run in first inning: 30-95
— record in first 5 innings: 35-46-14

Angels (47-49) @ Minnesota (42-56)
— Sandoval is 0-2, 4.88 in his last four starts.
— Angels are 5-5 in his starts.
— over 7-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-10
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Minnesota.

— Halos are 9-8 in last 17 games.
— Angels are 5-11 in last 16 road games.
— over 25-14-1 last 40 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-96
— record in first 5 innings: 42-42-12

— Berrios is 0-1, 4.58 in his last six starts.
— Twins are 11-8 in his starts.
— over 10-4 last 14
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-5
— He is 2-2, 6.14 in four starts vs Anaheim.

— Minnesota lost six of its last nine games.
— Twins are 5-1 in last six home games.
— under 6-2 last eight home games
— scored run in first inning: 34-98
— record in first 5 innings: 29-49-20

Detroit (47-52) @ Kansas City (40-55)
— Mize is 1-1, 2.65 in last four starts.
— Last 3 starts, he was held to 56-50-54 PT; they’re limiting his IP.
— Detroit is 11-7 in his starts.
— under 13-4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-4
— He is 2-1, 4.56 in four starts vs Kansas City this year.

— Detroit won seven of last eight games.
— Detroit lost its last five road games.
— over 24-14-1 last 39 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-99
— record in first 5 innings: 6-2-2 last nine on road.

— Hernandez gave up 2 runs in 4 IP (78 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— Kansas City is 0-1 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He gave up 4 runs in 4.2 IP in 2 games (1 start) vs Detroit.

— Royals are 11-28 in last 39 games.
— Royals are 3-5 in last eight home games.
— under 8-5 last 13 home games.
— scores run in first inning: 19-95
— record in first 5 innings: 34-48-13

Texas (35-63) @ Houston (59-39)
— Gibson allowed 13 runs in 11.1 IP in his last two starts.
— Texas is 10-8 in his starts.
— over 6-1-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-4
— He is 0-0, 1.89 in three starts vs Houston this year.

— Texas is 2-13 in its last 15 games.
— Rangers lost last seven games by combined 51-11.
— Texas is 4-28 in its last 32 road games.
— over 15-5-1 last 21 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 19-98
— record in first 5 innings: 31-54-13

— Valdez is 0-1, 7.63 in his last three starts.
— Astros are 7-3 in his starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3-1
— He is 1-2, 5.12 in 6 games (3 starts) vs Texas.

— Astros are 5-6 in their last 11 games.
— Astros are 6-7 in last 13 home games.
— over 10-3 last 13 home games
— scored run in first inning: 33-98
— record in first 5 innings: 52-32-14

Oakland (56-43) @ Seattle (52-46)
— Bassitt is 3-2, 3.06 in his last five starts.
— A’s are 14-6 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 5-20
— record in first 5 innings: 11-3-6
— He is 1-4, 3.98 in 11 starts (9 starts) vs Seattle.

— A’s are 7-4 in last 11 games.
— Oakland is 5-4 in last nine road games.
— Under is 17-7 in their last 24 games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-99
— record in first 5 innings: 43-36-20

— Gilbert is 2-0, 2.65 in his last four starts.
— Mariners won his last nine starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 1-11
— record in first 5 innings: 7-3-1
— He is 0-0, 3.60 in two starts vs Oakland this year.

— Seattle is 21-10 in its last 31 games.
— Seattle is 4-2 in last six home games.
— under 5-1 last six home games
— scored run in first inning: 30-98
— record in first 5 innings: 44-46-8

Interleague games
Washington (45-50) @ Baltimore (32-64)

— Scherzer is 0-0, 6.47 in his last three starts.
— Nationals are 10-8 in his starts.
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-5-5
— He is 7-2, 3.17 in 14 starts vs Baltimore.

— Washington is 3-8 in its last 11 games.
— Nationals lost last five road games.
— over 9-4-1 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-95
— record in first 5 innings: 39-37-19

— Harvey is 2-0, 2.38 in his last two starts.
— Orioles won his last four starts.
— over 9-3-1 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 10-8-1
— He is 3-8, 3.97 in 17 starts vs Washington.

— Orioles are 8-11 in last 19 games.
— Baltimore is 18-34 on road, 14-30 at home.
— over is 41-19-1 in their last 61 games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-96
— record in first 5 innings: 30-50-16

Toronto (48-45) @ Mets (51-43)
— Ryu is 4-1, 3.34 in his last five starts.
— Blue Jays are 11-7 in his starts.
— over 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 6-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-7-1
— He is 5-1, 1.23 in nine starts vs New York.

— Toronto lost its last three games.
— Blue Jays are 1-5 in last six road games.
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-93
— record in first 5 innings: 4-8 last 12 on road

— Walker is 1-1, 6.05 in his last five starts.
— Mets are 14-3 in his starts.
— over 6-3 in last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 10-5-2
— He is 0-3, 3.96 in four starts vs Toronto.

— Mets are 16-18 in their last 34 games.
— Mets are 8-5 in their last 13 home games.
— over 4-3 last seven home games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-94
— record in first 5 innings: 42-40-12

White Sox (58-39) @ Milwaukee (56-41)
— Rodon is 2-0, 0.69 in his last two starts.
— Chicago is 11-5 in his starts.
— under 10-3 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-4
— He gave up a run in two IP, in one start vs Milwaukee.

— Chicago won nine of its last 13 games.
— White Sox are 5-1 in last six road games.
— over 11-3 last 14 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-97
— record in first 5 innings: 53-28-16

— Burnes is 2-0, 0.99 in his last four starts.
— Milwaukee is 8-8 in his starts.
— over 6-0 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-3-4
— He gave up 2 runs in 3.2 IP, in a relief stint vs Chicago.

— Brewers won four of last six games.
— Milwaukee is 8-8 in last 16 home games.
— under 6-2-1 last nine home games.
— scored run in first inning: 33-98
— record in first 5 innings: 46-33-19

Saturday’s umpires
Az-Chi- Under is 7-1 in last eight Hoberg games.
Atl-Phil- Over is 9-4 in last 13 Hernandez games.
SD-Mia- Under is 11-6 in last 17 Eddings games.
StL-Cin- Under is 8-3 in last 11 Hamari games.
Pitt-SF- Under is 4-1 in last five Diaz games.
Colo-LA- Home side won 12 of last 15 Carapazza games.

NY-Bos- Over is 14-1 in last 15 Barber games.
LAA-Minn- Over is 8-1 in last nine Randazzo games.
Det-KC- Over is 5-0-1 in last six Hallion games.
TB-Clev- Over is 9-5 in last 14 Carlson games.
Tex-Hst- Under is 5-1 in last six Marquez games.
A’s-Sea- Over is 10-2 in Ceja games.

Wsh-Balt- Home side won 6 of last 7 Lentz games.
Chi-Mil- Under is 6-3 in last nine Rehak games.
Tor-NYM- Under is 7-2 in last nine Reyburn games.
 

Member
Joined
Jun 22, 2009
Messages
18,303
Tokens
MLB

Saturday, July 24


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Trend Report
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Arizona @ Chi Cubs
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games at home
Chi Cubs is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona

NY Yankees @ Boston
NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
Boston is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home

Atlanta @ Philadelphia
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta

San Diego @ Miami
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing Miami
Miami
Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing at home against San Diego

Washington @ Baltimore
Washington
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games at home
Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

St. Louis @ Cincinnati
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis's last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
St. Louis is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing at home against St. Louis

Tampa Bay @ Cleveland
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay

Toronto @ NY Mets
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
NY Mets
NY Mets is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Toronto
NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Texas @ Houston
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Texas's last 9 games when playing Houston
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Texas

Detroit @ Kansas City
Detroit
Detroit is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Detroit is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Kansas City's last 23 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 9 games at home

Chi White Sox @ Milwaukee
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Chi White Sox is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games at home
Milwaukee is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games

LA Angels @ Minnesota
LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Pittsburgh @ San Francisco
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
San Francisco
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Colorado @ LA Dodgers
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Colorado
LA Dodgers is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Colorado

Oakland @ Seattle
Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games on the road
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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