Cnotes 2021 Major League Baseball Transactions, News, Notes, Picks Etc. !!

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MLB July Opinions and Best Bets:


07/19/2021.......5-7-0.......41.66%....-23.65
07/18/2021.....6-10-0.......37.50%....-19.35
07/17/2021.....6-10-0.......37.50%....-28.85
07/16/2021.......5-9-0.......35.71%....-22.95
07/11/2021.......9-2-0.......81.82%...+41.60
07/10/2021...... 8-7-0 ......53.33% ....+4.95
07/09/2021.......9-5-0.......64.29%...+26.35
07/08/2021.......3-6-0.......33.33%....-14.80
07/07/2021.......6-6-0.......50.00%.....+0.25
07/06/2021.......6-7-0.......46.15%......-9.90
07/05/2021 ......5-5-0 ......50.00%.... - 6.45
07/04/2021.....5-11-0.......31.25%.....-31.90
07/03/2021.....11-4-0.......73.33%....+40.60
07/02/2021.......6-8-0.......42.86%.....-10.45
07/01/2021 ......4-7-0 ......36.36% ....-13.85




Totals............94-99-0 ......48.70% ....- 68.40




***************************




Best Bets July:


07/19/2021 3-2-0................60.00%........+7.00
07/18/2021 5-6-0................45.45%........+0.50
07/17/2021 0-4-0................00.00%........-20.00
07/16/2021 2-4-0................33.33%.........-6.85
07/11/2021 3-2-0................60.00%.......+11.45
07/10/2021 3-4-0................42.85%.........+2.85
07/09/2021 3-3-0................50.00%.........+9.00
07/08/2021 2-4-0................33.33%..........-6.95
07/07/2021 3-4-0................42.85%..........-0.70
07/06/2021 3-3-0................50.00%.........+4.20
07/05/2021 3-0-0...............100.00%.......+20.20
07/04/2021 3-8-0................27.27%.........-19.15
07/03/2021 4-3-0................57.14%........+11.50
07/02/2021 0-6-0 ...............00.00%........ -30.00
07/01/2021 3-5-0............... 37.50%......... - 3.55




Totals.......36-55 0...............39.56%..........- 20.30
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack
Odds to win this week’s PGA tournament:
15-2— Dustin Johnson
14-1— Tony Finau, Louis Oosthuizen
16-1— Patrick Reed
30-1— Garcia, Grillo, MacIntyre, Tringale, Wolff
35-1— Bubba Watson, Cam Davis
40-1— Bradley, Herbert, Lebioda

Quote of the Day.
“There are no small things. Everything matters.”
Jeff Van Gundy

Tuesday’s quiz
Which former kicker for the San Diego Chargers was the host of Wheel of Fortune, for six months in 1989?

Hint: He kicked for the Chargers for ten years.

Monday’s quiz
When the Milwaukee Bucks won their only NBA title in 1971, they were a Western Conference team; they swept the Baltimore Bullets 4-0 in the Finals.

Sunday’s quiz
Kansas City Royals were a 1969 expansion team; the A’s moved out of Kansas City after the ’67 season, creating a void the Royals filled.

****************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Mets 15, Reds 11 (15):
— Mets made 4 errors in first two innings, trailed 7-3 early.
— Mets are 2nd team EVER to hit back/back homers in first inning, then hit back/back homers again in extra innings of same game. Last time it happened? Pirates in 1950.
— Cincinnati’s bullpen is freakin’ terrible.

12) 136 teams have had walk-off wins this baseball season; if you wagered on those teams in their next game, you’d be 78-58 (+14 units).

11) Last week, Juan Soto said Home Run Derby would help his swing in regular games; turns out he was right. Soto homered twice Monday, has five taters in his last four games.

10) Tigers 14, Rangers 0— Texas lost its last three games by a combined 29-0.

9) Want to win a bar bet? Only one major leaguer EVER has 500+ hits for four different teams. I’ll post the answer near the end of this space.

8) Colorado Rockies P Jon Gray could be traded in the next few days; he’s had an unusual season for a Colorado pitcher:
— He has a 3.14 ERA in 10 home starts, which are at Coors Field
— He has a 4.54 ERA in seven road starts

7) Last four years, Northwestern’s football team has an 11-3 record in conference games that were decided by one score (8 or fewer points). On the other hand, Iowa Hawkeyes have a 6-11 record in one-core games over the last four years.

6) 31 states and Washington DC currently have legalized sports betting.

5) Favorites to have the fewest regular season wins in the NFL this fall:
5-2— Texans
7-2— Lions
15-2— Bengals
8-1— Jets
11-1— Raiders

4) Jets don’t have a quarterback on their roster who has thrown an NFL pass.

3) Cubs 1B Anthony Rizzo turned down a 5-year, $70M contract this spring; will be curious where he winds up next season and how much money he’ll be making.

Trivia answer:
Rusty Staub was a great hitter; he had:
— 792 hits for Houston
— 709 hits for the Mets
— 582 hits for Detroit
— 531 hits for the Montreal Expos.

Only player ever with 500+ hits for four different teams.

2) When NFL teams make their final roster cuts, if there is a close decision between two players and one player is vaccinated and the other isn’t, could that be a deciding factor?

Teams that get to the 85% threshold are going to have advantages as far as how normal their day-to-day operation runs. You wonder if that will factor in at all.

1) In his first 10 starts this year, San Diego’s Joe Musgrove was 4-4, 2.59; then, on May 30, the Padres scripted that Musgrove would relieve starter Blake Snell in a day game in Houston, due to the San Diego bullpen having been overworked the few days before.

But Houston led 7-0 after three innings; Musgrove relieved Snell anyway, even though the game was a lost cause- he blanked the Astros for five innings in a 7-3 loss.

Since that day, Musgrove is 0-2, 5.06 in eight starts. Any connection? Impossible to tell, but it sure didn’t help any.
 

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901MIAMI -902 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 29-48 SU (-24.6 Units) vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse in the current season.

903NY METS -904 CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI is 3-17 SU (-14.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the current season.

905SAN DIEGO -906 ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 33-53 SU (-22.4 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

907CHICAGO CUBS -908 ST LOUIS
CHICAGO CUBS are 31-17 SU (11.6 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

909PITTSBURGH -910 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 9-28 SU (-21.7 Units) vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better in the current season.

911SAN FRANCISCO -912 LA DODGERS
SAN FRANCISCO is 55-33 SU (27.3 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

913LA ANGELS -914 OAKLAND
OAKLAND is 18-7 SU (13.3 Units) vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse in the current season.

915BOSTON -916 TORONTO
TORONTO is 37-23 SU (9.7 Units) vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.

917BALTIMORE -918 TAMPA BAY
BALTIMORE is 10-26 SU (-19.5 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

919TEXAS -920 DETROIT
TEXAS are 13-33 SU (-23.3 Units) when playing with a day off in the last 3 seasons.
 

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, July 20


NL games
Miami (40-53) @ Washington (44-48)

— Rogers is 0-3, 3.86 in his last five starts.
— Marlins are 2-6 in his last eight starts.
— under 10-8
— allowed run in first inning: 2-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-2
— He gave up 3 runs in 5 IP, in one start vs Washington.

— Marlins are 11-18 in their last 29 games.
— Miami is 6-17 in last 23 road games.
— over 9-2-1 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-93
— record in first 5 innings: 34-41-18

— Espino is 2-2, 3.22 in five starts.
— Nationals are 2-3 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He gave up 6 runs in 4 IP, in 2 relief stints vs Miami.

— Washington lost 10 of its last 14 games.
— Nationals are 2-5 in last seven home games.
— over 8-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 31-92
— record in first 5 innings: 37-35-19

Mets (49-42) @ Cincinnati (48-46)
— bullpen game

— Mets are 14-17 in their last 31 games.
— Mets are 5-8 in their last 13 road games.
— over 10-5-1 last 16 games.
— Last three games, total of 55 runs were scored.
— scored run in first inning: 24-91
— record in first 5 innings: 40-39-12

— Miley is 3-0, 2.49 in his last eight starts.
— Reds are 11-5 in his starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 5-16
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-2
— He is 0-1, 4.30 in four starts against the Mets.

— Cincinnati lost its last four games.
— Reds are 10-8 in last 18 home games.
— under 10-6 last 16 home games
— scored run in first inning: 26-94
— record in first 5 innings: 38-40-16

San Diego (55-41) @ Atlanta (45-47)
— Darvish is 0-1, 6.60 in his last three starts.
— Padres are 14-4 in his starts.
— over 9-2 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-7
— He is 0-3, 6.62 in four starts vs Atlanta.

— Padres are 6-8 in their last 14 games.
— San Diego is 6-13 in its last 19 road games.
— over 8-3 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-96
— record in first 5 innings: 37-43-16

— Muller is 1-2, 2.45 in three starts.
— Braves are 1-2 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He hasn’t pitched against San Diego.

— Braves won four of their last seven games
— Atlanta is 8-5 in its last 13 home games.
— over 8-2 in last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 33-92
— record in first 5 innings: 48-32-12

Cubs (46-48) @ St Louis (47-47)
— Williams is 1-1, 5.92 in his last six starts.
— His last start was May 26.
— Cubs are 6-4 in his starts.
— under 7-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-10
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3-1
— He is 4-6, 5.64 in 13 starts vs St Louis.

— Cubs are 4-15 in last 19 games.
— Chicago is 2-11 in its last 13 road games.
— Over is 7-3 in their last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-94
— record in first 5 innings: 40-42-12

— They haven’t named a starter.

— Cardinals are 11-6 in last 17 games.
— St Louis is 7-1 in its last eight home games.
— Under is 18-10-2 in their last 30 games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-94
— record in first 5 innings: 38-38-18

Pittsburgh (36-58) @ Arizona (28-68)
— Anderson is 2-0, 2.12 in his last three starts.
— Pirates are 9-8 in his starts.
— over 8-3 last 11 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-7-3
— He is 3-3, 6.27 in ten starts vs Arizona.

— Pirates is 7-5 in its last 12 games.
— Pittsburgh is 2-6 in last eight road games.
— over 10-5 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-94
— record in first 5 innings: 29-52-13

— They haven’t named a starter.

— Arizona is 12-52 in its last 64 games.
— Arizona is 5-8 in its last 13 home games.
— over 5-4 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 15-96
— record in first 5 innings: 36-54-6

San Francisco (59-34) @ Dodgers (58-37)
— Wood is 2-0, 2.60 in his last three starts.
— Giants are 10-5 in his starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-3
— He is 0-2, 4.50 in two starts vs Los Angeles this year.

— Giants won six of their last eight games.
— Giants are 7-5 in last 12 road games.
— Under is 12-5 in last 17 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-93
— record in first 5 innings: 52-28-13

— Prospect Josiah Gray likely to make his first MLB start.
— He is 1-1, 2.87 in 4 games (3 starts) in AAA (15.2 IP).
— Chances are he’ll be on a pitch count.

— Dodgers are 5-6 in last 11 games.
— Dodgers are 7-2 in last nine home games.
— under 9-3-1 last 13 home games
— scored run in first inning: 29-95
— record in first 5 innings: 48-31-16

AL games
Minnesota (40-54) @ White Sox (57-37)

— Ober is 1-1, 6.94 in his last three starts.
— Twins are 5-3 in his starts.
— over 6-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4
— He is 1-1, 6.57 in three starts vs Chicago this year.

— Minnesota lost four of its last five games.
— Twins are 2-9 in last 11 road games.
— over 9-7 last 16 road games
— scored run in first inning: 34-94
— record in first 5 innings: 28-46-20

— Keuchel is 2-1, 2.25 in his last four home games
— Chicago is 11-7 in his starts.
— over 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 11-4-3
— He is 2-0, 6.39 in two starts vs Minnesota this year.

— Chicago won eight of its last ten games.
— White Sox are 7-2 in last nine home games.
— over 8-4 last 12 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-94
— record in first 5 innings: 52-26-16

Boston (57-37) @ Toronto (48-43)
— Richards is 1-1, 7.79 in his last four starts.
— Red Sox are 8-4 in his last 12 starts.
— over 6-0-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 11-18
— record in first 5 innings: 6-8-4
— He is 1-1, 5.40 in three starts vs Toronto this year.

— Boston is 3-6 in its last nine games.
— Red Sox are 7-9 in last 16 road games.
— under 6-3-1 last ten road games
— scored run in first inning: 33-94
— record in first 5 innings: 44-35-15

— bullpen game

— Toronto won four of last five games.
— Blue Jays are 5-2 in last seven home games.
— Over is 10-7 in their last 17 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-91
— record in first 5 innings: 11-3-2 last 15 at home

Baltimore (31-62) @ Tampa Bay (55-39)
— Means is 0-2, 3.96 in five starts since his no-hitter.
— His last start was June 5th.
— Orioles are 5-7 in his starts.
— under 7-4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-12
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3-4
— He is 3-1, 3.71 in five starts vs Tampa Bay.

— Orioles are 7-9 in last 16 games.
— Baltimore is 18-32 on road, 13-30 at home.
— over is 39-18-1 in their last 58 games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-93
— record in first 5 innings: 29-49-15

— McClanahan is 1-1, 3.38 in his last four starts.
— Rays are 7-6 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-13
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Baltimore.

— Tampa Bay won eight of its last 11 games.
— Rays are 9-3 in last 12 home games.
— under is 5-0 in last last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-94
— record in first 5 innings: 36-36-22

Texas (35-59) @ Detroit (44-51)
— Dunning is 1-0, 1.93 in his last three starts.
— Texas is 5-12 in his starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 7-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-8-2
— He is 0-0, 3.86 in two starts vs Detroit.

— Texas is 2-9 in its last 11 games.
— Rangers lost last three games by combined 29-0.
— Texas is 4-24 in its last 28 road games.
— over 14-3-1 last 18 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 19-94
— record in first 5 innings: 31-50-13

— Skubal is 1-1, 5.16 in his last four starts.
— Tigers are 6-2 in his last eight starts.
— over 9-6-1
— allowed run in first inning: 7-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-9
— He hasn’t pitched against Texas.

— Detroit won its last four games.
— Detroit is 9-3 in last 12 home games.
— over 23-11-1 last 35 games
— scored run in first inning: 19-95
— record in first 5 innings: 9-2-1 last 12 at home.

Cleveland (47-44) @ Houston (57-38)
— McKenzie is 0-0, 3.00 in his last four starts.
— Indians are 4-7 in his starts.
— over 6-5
— allowed run in first inning: 2-11
— record in first 5 innings: 4-5-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Houston.

— Cleveland lost 14 of its last 21 games.
— Indians lost seven of last nine road games.
— under 4-1 last five road games
— scores run in first inning: 30-91
— record in first 5 innings: 34-43-14

— Garcia is 1-1, 3.27 in his last four starts.
— Astros are 8-2 in his last ten starts.
— under 7-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 5-15
— record in first 5 innings: 9-3-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Cleveland.

— Astros lost five of last eight games.
— Astros are 4-6 in last ten home games.
— under 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 32-95
— record in first 5 innings: 49-32-14

Angels (46-47) @ Oakland (54-42)
— Suarez is 1-1, 3.38 in two starts.
— Angels are 1-1 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He allowed 2 runs in 10.2 IP in 3 relief stints vs Oakland.

— Halos are 8-6 in last 14 games.
— Angels are 4-9 in last 13 road games.
— over 24-12-1 last 37 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-93
— record in first 5 innings: 40-41-12

— Kaprielian is 0-2, 3.00 in his last four starts.
— A’s are 6-5 in his starts.
— over 6-5
— allowed run in first inning: 2-11
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-3
— He gave up 2 runs in 5.2 IP in one start vs Anaheim.

— A’s are 5-3 in last eight games.
— Oakland is 4-6 in last ten home games.
— Under is 14-7 in their last 21 games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-96
— record in first 5 innings: 41-36-19

Interleague games
Kansas City (37-55) @ Milwaukee (55-39)

— Minor is 0-4, 8.55 in his last four starts.
— Kansas City is 8-11 in his starts.
— over 9-6 last 15
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 7-10-2
— He is 3-2, 2.31 in six starts vs Milwaukee

— Royals are 8-28 in last 36 games.
— Royals lost their last 12 road games.
— over 10-3-1 last 14 road games.
— scores run in first inning: 18-92
— record in first 5 innings: 33-47-12

— Lauer is 2-1, 0.98 in his last three starts.
— Milwaukee is 4-5 in his starts.
— over 5-4
— allowed run in first inning: 3-9
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Kansas City.

— Brewers won their last three games.
— Milwaukee is 7-6 in its last 13 home games.
— under 5-1 last six home games.
— scored run in first inning: 33-95
— record in first 5 innings: 44-33-18

Philadelphia (46-45) @ Bronx (48-43)
— Nola is 1-1, 8.35 in his last four starts.
— Phillies are 9-9 in his starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 7-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-7-1
— He is 1-0, 0.66 in two starts vs New York.

— Phillies are 9-4 in their last 13 games.
— Phillies are 26-17 at home, 20-28 on road.
— over 10-1 last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 31-91
— record in first 5 innings: 36-34-21

— German is 0-2, 10.57 in his last four starts.
— New York is 8-7 in his starts.
— under 8-7
— allowed run in first inning: 9-17
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-6
— He gave up 7 runs in 5.1 IP in 2 games (1 start) vs Philly.

— New York won seven of its last nine games.
— New York is 4-5 in its last nine home games.
— under 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 24-91
— record in first 5 innings: 38-36-17

Seattle (50-44) @ Colorado (41-53)
— Gonzales is 0-1, 6.53 in his last four starts.
— Mariners are 5-6 in his starts.
— under 6-5
— allowed run in first inning: 4-11
— record in first 5 innings: 2-7-2
— He is 1-0, 5.06 in two starts vs Colorado.

— Seattle is 19-8 in its last 27 games.
— Seattle is 7-3 in last ten road games.
— over 13-4 last 17 road games
— scored run in first inning: 30-94
— record in first 5 innings: 44-43-7

— Marquez is 4-0, 0.75 in his last five starts.
— Rockies are 9-2 in his last 11 starts.
— under 8-1-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 3-19
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 11-7-1
— He is 2-1, 1.71 in three starts vs Seattle.

— Colorado is 16-12 in its last 28 games.
— Rockies are 32-19 at home, 9-34 on road.
— under 13-3 last 16 games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-94
— record in first 5 innings: 36-43-15

Tuesday’s umpires
Mia-Wsh— Last five Hallion games went over.
NY-Cin— Under is 3-1 in last four Carapazza games.
Chi-StL— Under is 5-1 in last six Diaz games.
Pitt-Ariz— Over is 9-2 in Ceja games.
SF-LA— Last eight Iassogna games went over.

Minn-Chi— Last eight Barber games went over.
Bos-Tor— Underdogs are 7-2 in last nine Whitson games.
Balt-TB— Home side won five of last six O’Nora games.
Tex-Det— Under is 7-3 in last ten Hamari games.
Clev-Hst— Underdogs are 5-1 in last six Dreckman games.
LAA-A’s— Under is 10-6 in Miller games.
 

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MLB

Tuesday, July 20


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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LA Angels @ Oakland
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 12 of LA Angels's last 17 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Angels's last 12 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games

Kansas City @ Milwaukee
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City's last 10 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games on the road
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games at home
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City

Miami @ Washington
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games
Washington
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Miami
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami

Philadelphia @ NY Yankees
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games on the road
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games

Boston @ Toronto
Boston
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

NY Mets @ Cincinnati
NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games
NY Mets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games

Texas @ Detroit
Texas
Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Baltimore @ Tampa Bay
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Baltimore's last 10 games
Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Baltimore

San Diego @ Atlanta
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games on the road
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against San Diego

Minnesota @ Chi White Sox
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games on the road
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Chi White Sox is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games

Cleveland @ Houston
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Chi Cubs @ St. Louis
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing St. Louis
Chi Cubs is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis
St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Seattle @ Colorado
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Seattle's last 10 games on the road
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Colorado's last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games

Pittsburgh @ Arizona
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona
Arizona is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Pittsburgh
Arizona is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Pittsburgh

San Francisco @ LA Dodgers
San Francisco
San Francisco is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
San Francisco is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
LA Dodgers is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Messages
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TUESDAY, JULY 20
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS



LAA at OAK 03:37 PM
OAK -155
U 8.5

+500 +500
 

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Joined
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Messages
105,440
Tokens
MLB July Opinions and Best Bets:

07/20/2021...11-10-0.......52.38%......-1.00
07/19/2021.......5-7-0.......41.66%....-23.65
07/18/2021.....6-10-0.......37.50%....-19.35
07/17/2021.....6-10-0.......37.50%....-28.85
07/16/2021.......5-9-0.......35.71%....-22.95
07/11/2021.......9-2-0.......81.82%...+41.60
07/10/2021...... 8-7-0 ......53.33% ....+4.95
07/09/2021.......9-5-0.......64.29%...+26.35
07/08/2021.......3-6-0.......33.33%....-14.80
07/07/2021.......6-6-0.......50.00%.....+0.25
07/06/2021.......6-7-0.......46.15%......-9.90
07/05/2021 ......5-5-0 ......50.00%.... - 6.45
07/04/2021.....5-11-0.......31.25%.....-31.90
07/03/2021.....11-4-0.......73.33%....+40.60
07/02/2021.......6-8-0.......42.86%.....-10.45
07/01/2021 ......4-7-0 ......36.36% ....-13.85


Totals...........105-109-0 ......49.06% ....- 69.40


***************************


Best Bets July:

07/20/2021 6-6-0................50.00%........+2.30
07/19/2021 3-2-0................60.00%........+7.00
07/18/2021 5-6-0................45.45%........+0.50
07/17/2021 0-4-0................00.00%........-20.00
07/16/2021 2-4-0................33.33%.........-6.85
07/11/2021 3-2-0................60.00%.......+11.45
07/10/2021 3-4-0................42.85%.........+2.85
07/09/2021 3-3-0................50.00%.........+9.00
07/08/2021 2-4-0................33.33%..........-6.95
07/07/2021 3-4-0................42.85%..........-0.70
07/06/2021 3-3-0................50.00%.........+4.20
07/05/2021 3-0-0...............100.00%.......+20.20
07/04/2021 3-8-0................27.27%.........-19.15
07/03/2021 4-3-0................57.14%........+11.50
07/02/2021 0-6-0 ...............00.00%........ -30.00
07/01/2021 3-5-0............... 37.50%......... - 3.55


Totals.......42-61 0...............40.77%..........- 18.00
 

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Messages
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Wednesday’s 6-pack
Over/under totals for Olympic gold medals:
43.5— USA
37.5— China
27.5— Japan (over -125)
14.5— Great Britain
12.5— Netherlands
12.5— Australia (over -130)

Quote of the Day.
“Our QB has already approached ungodly numbers, and he hasn’t even played yet. If I told you what it is … it’s almost 7-figures.”
Nick Saban, talking about QB Bryce Young, who apparently is cleaning up financially thanks to the new name, image and likeness laws that allow college players to be paid.

Wednesday’s quiz
Alex Cora first managed the Red Sox in 2018; who managed Boston before he did?
(Hint: He also won a World Series there)

Tuesday’s quiz
Rolf Benirschke was host of Wheel of Fortune for six months in 1989; before that, he kicked for the San Diego Chargers for ten years.

Monday’s quiz
When the Milwaukee Bucks won their only NBA title in 1971, they were a Western Conference team; they swept the Baltimore Bullets 4-0 in the Finals.

*************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

13) Bucks 105, Suns 98:
— Milwaukee wins its first NBA title since 1971.
— Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 50 points, was obviously the MVP.
— 17,000 fans inside the arena, another 65,000 outdoors in Milwaukee.

12) Packers’ QB Aaron Rodgers owns 1% of the Bucks (seriously), so he’ll get a championship ring. NFL WR Larry Fitzgerald owns 1% of the Suns.

Last time the Bucks won the NBA title, I was in 6th grade.

11) Cubs 7, Cardinals 6:
— Chicago scored six runs in last inning for the unlikely win.
— Kris Bryant left game early; next time he plays, will probably be for another team.

10) A’s 6, Angels 0— Oakland 2B Jacob Wilson got his first MLB hit in this game, in his 5th big league at-bat. Wilson is a 30-year old rookie who had 2,819 minor league at-bats before finally getting the call to The Show. Must have been quite a day for him.

Odd thing is, A’s pinch-ran for him with Tony Kemp after his hit, so he got to enjoy it, and A’s broke game open, scoring three runs that inning.

9) Very bad news for the LA Rams; RB Cam Akers tore his achilles tendon, will miss the 2021 season. Akers ran ball for 625 yards as a rookie LY, also caught 11 passes for 123 yards.

8) Umpires have a logo for a company FTX on their shirts; I read where it is a company that deals in crypto currency.

7) baseball injuries:
— Mets’ IF Jose Peraza (finger) goes on IL
— Bronx IF DJ Lemahieu (stomach flu) missed Tuesday’s game
— Royals’ P Brady Singer (shoulder) goes to IL
— Phillies put P Zach Eflin (tendonitis) on IL

— Twins’ OF Luis Arraez (knee) left Tuesday’s game
— Cubs’ 3B Kris Bryant (hamstring) left Tuesday’s game

6) Mets have used 15 starting pitchers this season, most of any team.

5) Monday night, Mets TV announcer Gary Cohen started a ruckus on social media by ripping Skyline Chili, one of the favorite foods of Cincinnati, where the Mets are this week.

He told partner Ron Darling to try it once, but then “you’ll never eat it again” Was good/funny TV, but because everyone is too sensitive these days, people in Ohio were annoyed.

4) Dodgers 8, Giants 6:
— Will Smith followed two walks with a walk-off, 3-run homer in the 9th.
— Justin Turner, Max Muncy both left this game early with injuries.
— The Trevor Bauer situation has made LA’s pitching staff really, really thin.

3) Arizona 11, Pittsburgh 6— Diamondbacks win their third game in a row, which is a big deal when your record is 29-68.

2) Thoughts/prayers to Jets’ assistant coach Greg Knapp, who was critically injured while riding a bicycle last weekend in California.

1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL— Mets, Brewers, Giants. Wild Card: San Diego @ Los Angeles
AL— Red Sox, White Sox, Astros. Wild Card: Oakland @ Tampa Bay
 

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Messages
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Tokens
951SAN DIEGO -952 ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 33-53 SU (-22.4 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

953NY METS -954 CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI is 3-18 SU (-15.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the current season.

955PITTSBURGH -956 ARIZONA
PITTSBURGH is 1-11 SU (-12.8 Units) in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the current season.

957MIAMI -958 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 30-48 SU (-23.1 Units) vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse in the current season.

959CHICAGO CUBS -960 ST LOUIS
CHICAGO CUBS are 31-17 SU (11.6 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

961SAN FRANCISCO -962 LA DODGERS
SAN FRANCISCO is 23-3 SU (19.7 Units) in road games as an underdog of +100 or higher in the current season.

963BALTIMORE -964 TAMPA BAY
BALTIMORE is 11-26 SU (-18.4 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

965BOSTON -966 TORONTO
BOSTON is 40-26 SU (11.7 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

967TEXAS -968 DETROIT
TEXAS are 13-27 SU (-18.8 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.

969CLEVELAND -970 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 2-11 SU (-11.7 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start in the current season.
 

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, July 21


NL games
Miami (40-54) @ Washington (45-48)

— Alcantara is on bereavement list; this is a bullpen game.

— Marlins are 11-19 in their last 30 games.
— Miami is 6-18 in last 24 road games.
— over 9-2-2 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-94
— record in first 5 innings: 34-42-18

— Fedde is 0-3, 10.12 in his last three starts.
— Nationals are 7-7 in his starts.
— under 9-5
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 3-8-3
— He is 2-0, 1.17 in three starts vs Miami.

— Washington won three of last four games.
— Nationals are 3-5 in last eight home games.
— over 8-2-1 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-93
— record in first 5 innings: 38-35-19

Mets (49-43) @ Cincinnati (49-46)
— bullpen game

— Mets are 14-18 in their last 32 games.
— Mets are 5-9 in their last 14 road games.
— over 10-6-1 last 17 games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-92
— record in first 5 innings: 40-40-12

— Hoffman is 1-2, 7.63 in his last four starts.
— This is his first start since May 21.
— Reds are 5-4 in his starts.
— over 8-0-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 3-5-1
— He is 1-1, 7.43 in 6 games (4 starts) against the Mets.

— Cincinnati lost four of its last five games.
— Reds are 11-8 in last 19 home games.
— under 11-6 last 17 home games
— scored run in first inning: 27-95
— record in first 5 innings: 39-40-16

San Diego (55-42) @ Atlanta (45-47)
— Paddack is 1-1, 11.57 in his last four starts.
— Padres are 10-7 in his starts.
— over 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-9-1
— He gave up 2 runs in six IP in one start vs Atlanta.

— Nightcap is a bullpen game.

— Padres are 6-9 in their last 15 games.
— San Diego is 6-14 in its last 20 road games.
— over 8-4 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-97
— record in first 5 innings: 37-43-17

— Muller is 1-2, 2.45 in three starts.
— Braves are 1-2 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He hasn’t pitched against San Diego.

— Wilson is 1-3, 5.70 in his last five starts.
— Braves are 2-4 in his starts.
— under 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3
— He hasn’t pitched against San Diego.

— Braves won five of their last eight games
— Atlanta is 9-5 in its last 14 home games.
— over 8-3 in last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 33-93
— record in first 5 innings: 48-32-13

Cubs (47-48) @ St Louis (47-48)
— Hendricks is 4-0, 1.98 in his last six starts.
— Cubs are 12-7 in his starts.
— under 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 14-4-1
— He is 3-0, 3.32 in three starts vs St Louis this year.

— Cubs are 5-15 in last 20 games.
— Chicago is 3-11 in its last 14 road games.
— Over is 8-3 in their last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-95
— record in first 5 innings: 40-43-12

— Wainwright is 3-1, 3.09 in his last five starts.
— Cubs are 9-9 in his starts.
— under 10-8
— allowed run in first inning: 3-18
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-5
— He is 17-13, 4.00 in 43 starts vs Chicago.

— Cardinals are 11-7 in last 18 games.
— St Louis is 7-2 in its last nine home games.
— Under is 18-11-2 in their last 31 games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-95
— record in first 5 innings: 39-38-18

Pittsburgh (36-58) @ Arizona (28-68)
— Kuhl is 3-1, 2.30 in his last five starts.
— Pirates are 7-5 in his starts.
— over 8-4 (0-3 last 3)
— allowed run in first inning: 5-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3-3
— He is 0-1, 12.86 in two starts vs Arizona.

— Pirates lost their last three games.
— Pittsburgh is 2-7 in last nine road games.
— over 11-5 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-94
— record in first 5 innings: 30-52-12

— Bumgarner is 0-4, 9.41 in his last five starts.
— Arizona is 4-9 in his starts.
— over 8-5
— allowed run in first inning: 6-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-7-1
— He is 3-5, 3.14 in nine starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Arizona won its last three games.
— Arizona is 6-8 in its last 14 home games.
— over 6-4 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 15-97
— record in first 5 innings: 37-54-6

San Francisco (59-35) @ Dodgers (59-37)
— Webb is 3-0, 1.88 in his last five starts.
— Giants are 8-3 in his starts.
— under 6-5
— allowed run in first inning: 3-11
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3-2
— He is 1-2, 4.34 in four starts vs Los Angeles.

— Giants won six of their last nine games.
— Giants are 7-6 in last 13 road games.
— Under is 12-6 in last 18 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-94
— record in first 5 innings: 53-28-13

— Urias is 3-0, 3.86 in his last three starts.
— Dodgers are 15-4 in his starts.
— over 13-4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 12-5-2
— He is 1-1, 7.36 in two starts vs San Francisco this year.

— Dodgers split their last 12 games.
— Dodgers are 8-2 in last ten home games.
— under 9-4-1 last 14 home games
— scored run in first inning: 30-96
— record in first 5 innings: 48-32-16

AL games
Minnesota (40-55) @ White Sox (58-37)

— Pineda is 0-3, 8.27 in his last four starts.
— Twins are 4-8 in his starts.
— under 6-5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-2
— He is 0-2, 6.75 in two starts vs Chicago this year.

— Minnesota lost five of its last six games.
— Twins are 2-10 in last 12 road games.
— over 10-7 last 17 road games
— scored run in first inning: 34-95
— record in first 5 innings: 28-47-20

— Cease is 0-2, 6.46 in his last three starts.
— Chicago is 11-8 in his starts.
— over 11-7-1
— allowed run in first inning: 7-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-4
— He is 1-1, 4.95 in three starts vs Minnesota this year.

— Chicago won nine of its last 11 games.
— White Sox are 8-2 in last ten home games.
— over 9-4 last 13 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-95
— record in first 5 innings: 53-26-16

Boston (57-37) @ Toronto (48-43)
— Richards is 1-1, 7.79 in his last four starts.
— Red Sox are 8-4 in his last 12 starts.
— over 6-0-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 11-18
— record in first 5 innings: 6-8-4
— He is 1-1, 5.40 in three starts vs Toronto this year.

— Boston is 3-6 in its last nine games.
— Red Sox are 7-9 in last 16 road games.
— under 6-3-1 last ten road games
— scored run in first inning: 33-94
— record in first 5 innings: 44-35-15

— Ray is 3-1, 1.69 in his last four starts.
— Blue Jays are 10-5 in his last 15 starts.
— under 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 11-4-3
— He is 1-0, 5.91 in 3 games (2 starts) vs Boston.

— Toronto won four of last five games.
— Blue Jays are 5-2 in last seven home games.
— Over is 10-7 in their last 17 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-91
— record in first 5 innings: 11-3-2 last 15 at home

Baltimore (31-63) @ Tampa Bay (56-39)
— Akin is 0-5, 12.00 in his last six starts.
— Orioles are 1-7 in his starts.
— over 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 0-6-2
— He allowed 5 runs in 7.1 IP in 3 games (1 start) vs Tampa Bay.

— Orioles are 7-10 in last 17 games.
— Baltimore is 18-33 on road, 13-30 at home.
— over is 40-18-1 in their last 59 games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-94
— record in first 5 innings: 29-50-15

— Wacha is 1-0, 3.00 in his last three starts.
— Rays are 8-3 in his starts.
— over 6-3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-11
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-3
— He is 0-1, 7.00 in three starts vs Baltimore.

— Tampa Bay won nine of its last 12 games.
— Rays are 10-3 in last 13 home games.
— under is 5-1 in last last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-95
— record in first 5 innings: 37-36-22

Texas (35-60) @ Detroit (45-51)
— Lyles is 3-1, 4.30 in his last four starts.
— Texas is 9-10 in his starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 8-19
— record in first 5 innings: 6-12-1
— He is 0-0, 2.57 in 2 games (1 start) vs Detroit.

— Texas is 2-10 in its last 12 games.
— Rangers lost last four games by combined 33-1.
— Texas is 4-25 in its last 29 road games.
— over 14-4-1 last 19 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 19-95
— record in first 5 innings: 31-51-13

— Manning is 0-2, 10.32 in his last three starts.
— Tigers are 2-3 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Texas.

— Detroit won its last five games.
— Detroit is 10-3 in last 13 home games.
— over 23-12-1 last 36 games
— scored run in first inning: 20-96
— record in first 5 innings: 10-2-1 last 13 at home.

Cleveland (47-45) @ Houston (58-38)
— Morgan is 1-3, 8.44 in five starts.
— Indians are 2-3 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3
— He gave up 3 runs in five IP vs Houston July 3rd.

— Cleveland lost 15 of its last 22 games.
— Indians lost eight of last ten road games.
— under 4-2 last six road games
— scores run in first inning: 30-92
— record in first 5 innings: 34-44-14

— McCullers is 4-1, 2.64 in his last five starts.
— Astros are 10-5 in his starts.
— under 3-0-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-1
— He is 2-2, 5.82 in four starts vs Cleveland.

— Astros lost five of last nine games.
— Astros are 5-6 in last 11 home games.
— under 7-4 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-96
— record in first 5 innings: 50-32-14

Interleague games
Kansas City (38-55) @ Milwaukee (55-40)

— Keller is 0-5, 6.86 in his last seven starts.
— Kansas City is 8-11 in his starts.
— under 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 10-19
— record in first 5 innings: 7-10-2
— He is 0-1, 6.55 in 3 games (2 starts) vs Milwaukee

— Royals are 9-28 in last 37 games.
— Royals are 1-12 in last 13 road games.
— over 10-4-1 last 15 road games.
— scores run in first inning: 19-93
— record in first 5 innings: 33-47-13

— Lauer is 2-1, 0.98 in his last three starts.
— Milwaukee is 4-5 in his starts.
— over 5-4
— allowed run in first inning: 3-9
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Kansas City.

— Brewers won three of last four games.
— Milwaukee split its last 14 home games.
— under 6-1 last seven home games.
— scored run in first inning: 33-96
— record in first 5 innings: 44-33-19

Philadelphia (46-46) @ Bronx (49-43)
— Moore is 0-0, 3.12 in his last four starts.
— Phillies are 6-1 in his starts.
— over 6-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-3
— He is 6-3, 3.86 in 12 starts vs New York.

— Phillies are 9-5 in their last 14 games.
— Phillies are 26-17 at home, 20-29 on road.
— over 11-1 last 12 games.
— scored run in first inning: 31-92
— record in first 5 innings: 36-35-21

— Wojchiekowski is making his first ’21 start.
— He is 9-15, 5.95 in 57 career games (34 starts).
— He allowed 2 runs in 0.1 IP in a relief stint vs Philly.

— New York won eight of its last ten games.
— New York is 5-5 in its last ten home games.
— under 4-3 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 24-92
— record in first 5 innings: 39-36-17

Seattle (51-44) @ Colorado (41-54)
— Seattle hasn’t named a starter.

— Seattle is 20-8 in its last 28 games.
— Seattle is 8-3 in last 11 road games.
— over 13-5 last 18 road games
— scored run in first inning: 30-95
— record in first 5 innings: 44-44-7

— Gomber is 3-0, 1.29 in his last four starts.
— His last start was June 19.
— Rockies are 7-8 in his starts.
— under 7-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 8-5-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Seattle.

— Colorado is 16-13 in its last 29 games.
— Rockies are 32-20 at home, 9-34 on road.
— under 14-3 last 17 games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-95
— record in first 5 innings: 37-43-15

Wednesday’s umpires
SD-Atl— Road team won 5 of last 6 Timmons games.
Over is 9-4 in Torres games.
Mia-Wsh—Underdog is 3-2 in last five Blaser games.
NY-Cin— Over is 14-2-1 in Meals games.
Chi-StL— Underdogs are 7-3 in last ten Nelson games.
Pitt-Ariz— 4 of last 5 Muchlinski games went over.
SF-LA— Under is 5-1 in last six Fletcher games.

Minn-Chi— Under is 6-3-1 in last 10 Guccione games.
Bos-Tor— Underdogs are 7-2 in last nine Whitson games.
Balt-TB— Underdogs are 6-1 in Culbreth games.
Tex-Det— Over is 6-2 in last eight Fairchild games.
Clev-Hst— Over is 8-5 in last 13 Baker games.

KC-Mil— Under is 6-3 in last nine Barksdale games
Phil-NY— Over is 10-2 in last dozen Hoye games
Sea-Colo— Over is 5-2 in last seven May games.
 

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, July 21


NL games
Miami (40-54) @ Washington (45-48)

— Alcantara is on bereavement list; this is a bullpen game.

— Marlins are 11-19 in their last 30 games.
— Miami is 6-18 in last 24 road games.
— over 9-2-2 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-94
— record in first 5 innings: 34-42-18

— Fedde is 0-3, 10.12 in his last three starts.
— Nationals are 7-7 in his starts.
— under 9-5
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 3-8-3
— He is 2-0, 1.17 in three starts vs Miami.

— Washington won three of last four games.
— Nationals are 3-5 in last eight home games.
— over 8-2-1 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-93
— record in first 5 innings: 38-35-19

Mets (49-43) @ Cincinnati (49-46)
— bullpen game

— Mets are 14-18 in their last 32 games.
— Mets are 5-9 in their last 14 road games.
— over 10-6-1 last 17 games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-92
— record in first 5 innings: 40-40-12

— Hoffman is 1-2, 7.63 in his last four starts.
— This is his first start since May 21.
— Reds are 5-4 in his starts.
— over 8-0-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 3-5-1
— He is 1-1, 7.43 in 6 games (4 starts) against the Mets.

— Cincinnati lost four of its last five games.
— Reds are 11-8 in last 19 home games.
— under 11-6 last 17 home games
— scored run in first inning: 27-95
— record in first 5 innings: 39-40-16

San Diego (55-42) @ Atlanta (45-47)
— Paddack is 1-1, 11.57 in his last four starts.
— Padres are 10-7 in his starts.
— over 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-9-1
— He gave up 2 runs in six IP in one start vs Atlanta.

— Nightcap is a bullpen game.

— Padres are 6-9 in their last 15 games.
— San Diego is 6-14 in its last 20 road games.
— over 8-4 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-97
— record in first 5 innings: 37-43-17

— Muller is 1-2, 2.45 in three starts.
— Braves are 1-2 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He hasn’t pitched against San Diego.

— Wilson is 1-3, 5.70 in his last five starts.
— Braves are 2-4 in his starts.
— under 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3
— He hasn’t pitched against San Diego.

— Braves won five of their last eight games
— Atlanta is 9-5 in its last 14 home games.
— over 8-3 in last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 33-93
— record in first 5 innings: 48-32-13

Cubs (47-48) @ St Louis (47-48)
— Hendricks is 4-0, 1.98 in his last six starts.
— Cubs are 12-7 in his starts.
— under 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 14-4-1
— He is 3-0, 3.32 in three starts vs St Louis this year.

— Cubs are 5-15 in last 20 games.
— Chicago is 3-11 in its last 14 road games.
— Over is 8-3 in their last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-95
— record in first 5 innings: 40-43-12

— Wainwright is 3-1, 3.09 in his last five starts.
— Cubs are 9-9 in his starts.
— under 10-8
— allowed run in first inning: 3-18
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-5
— He is 17-13, 4.00 in 43 starts vs Chicago.

— Cardinals are 11-7 in last 18 games.
— St Louis is 7-2 in its last nine home games.
— Under is 18-11-2 in their last 31 games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-95
— record in first 5 innings: 39-38-18

Pittsburgh (36-58) @ Arizona (28-68)
— Kuhl is 3-1, 2.30 in his last five starts.
— Pirates are 7-5 in his starts.
— over 8-4 (0-3 last 3)
— allowed run in first inning: 5-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3-3
— He is 0-1, 12.86 in two starts vs Arizona.

— Pirates lost their last three games.
— Pittsburgh is 2-7 in last nine road games.
— over 11-5 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-94
— record in first 5 innings: 30-52-12

— Bumgarner is 0-4, 9.41 in his last five starts.
— Arizona is 4-9 in his starts.
— over 8-5
— allowed run in first inning: 6-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-7-1
— He is 3-5, 3.14 in nine starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Arizona won its last three games.
— Arizona is 6-8 in its last 14 home games.
— over 6-4 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 15-97
— record in first 5 innings: 37-54-6

San Francisco (59-35) @ Dodgers (59-37)
— Webb is 3-0, 1.88 in his last five starts.
— Giants are 8-3 in his starts.
— under 6-5
— allowed run in first inning: 3-11
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3-2
— He is 1-2, 4.34 in four starts vs Los Angeles.

— Giants won six of their last nine games.
— Giants are 7-6 in last 13 road games.
— Under is 12-6 in last 18 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-94
— record in first 5 innings: 53-28-13

— Urias is 3-0, 3.86 in his last three starts.
— Dodgers are 15-4 in his starts.
— over 13-4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 12-5-2
— He is 1-1, 7.36 in two starts vs San Francisco this year.

— Dodgers split their last 12 games.
— Dodgers are 8-2 in last ten home games.
— under 9-4-1 last 14 home games
— scored run in first inning: 30-96
— record in first 5 innings: 48-32-16

AL games
Minnesota (40-55) @ White Sox (58-37)

— Pineda is 0-3, 8.27 in his last four starts.
— Twins are 4-8 in his starts.
— under 6-5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-2
— He is 0-2, 6.75 in two starts vs Chicago this year.

— Minnesota lost five of its last six games.
— Twins are 2-10 in last 12 road games.
— over 10-7 last 17 road games
— scored run in first inning: 34-95
— record in first 5 innings: 28-47-20

— Cease is 0-2, 6.46 in his last three starts.
— Chicago is 11-8 in his starts.
— over 11-7-1
— allowed run in first inning: 7-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-4
— He is 1-1, 4.95 in three starts vs Minnesota this year.

— Chicago won nine of its last 11 games.
— White Sox are 8-2 in last ten home games.
— over 9-4 last 13 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-95
— record in first 5 innings: 53-26-16

Boston (57-37) @ Toronto (48-43)
— Richards is 1-1, 7.79 in his last four starts.
— Red Sox are 8-4 in his last 12 starts.
— over 6-0-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 11-18
— record in first 5 innings: 6-8-4
— He is 1-1, 5.40 in three starts vs Toronto this year.

— Boston is 3-6 in its last nine games.
— Red Sox are 7-9 in last 16 road games.
— under 6-3-1 last ten road games
— scored run in first inning: 33-94
— record in first 5 innings: 44-35-15

— Ray is 3-1, 1.69 in his last four starts.
— Blue Jays are 10-5 in his last 15 starts.
— under 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 11-4-3
— He is 1-0, 5.91 in 3 games (2 starts) vs Boston.

— Toronto won four of last five games.
— Blue Jays are 5-2 in last seven home games.
— Over is 10-7 in their last 17 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-91
— record in first 5 innings: 11-3-2 last 15 at home

Baltimore (31-63) @ Tampa Bay (56-39)
— Akin is 0-5, 12.00 in his last six starts.
— Orioles are 1-7 in his starts.
— over 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 0-6-2
— He allowed 5 runs in 7.1 IP in 3 games (1 start) vs Tampa Bay.

— Orioles are 7-10 in last 17 games.
— Baltimore is 18-33 on road, 13-30 at home.
— over is 40-18-1 in their last 59 games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-94
— record in first 5 innings: 29-50-15

— Wacha is 1-0, 3.00 in his last three starts.
— Rays are 8-3 in his starts.
— over 6-3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-11
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-3
— He is 0-1, 7.00 in three starts vs Baltimore.

— Tampa Bay won nine of its last 12 games.
— Rays are 10-3 in last 13 home games.
— under is 5-1 in last last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-95
— record in first 5 innings: 37-36-22

Texas (35-60) @ Detroit (45-51)
— Lyles is 3-1, 4.30 in his last four starts.
— Texas is 9-10 in his starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 8-19
— record in first 5 innings: 6-12-1
— He is 0-0, 2.57 in 2 games (1 start) vs Detroit.

— Texas is 2-10 in its last 12 games.
— Rangers lost last four games by combined 33-1.
— Texas is 4-25 in its last 29 road games.
— over 14-4-1 last 19 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 19-95
— record in first 5 innings: 31-51-13

— Manning is 0-2, 10.32 in his last three starts.
— Tigers are 2-3 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Texas.

— Detroit won its last five games.
— Detroit is 10-3 in last 13 home games.
— over 23-12-1 last 36 games
— scored run in first inning: 20-96
— record in first 5 innings: 10-2-1 last 13 at home.

Cleveland (47-45) @ Houston (58-38)
— Morgan is 1-3, 8.44 in five starts.
— Indians are 2-3 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3
— He gave up 3 runs in five IP vs Houston July 3rd.

— Cleveland lost 15 of its last 22 games.
— Indians lost eight of last ten road games.
— under 4-2 last six road games
— scores run in first inning: 30-92
— record in first 5 innings: 34-44-14

— McCullers is 4-1, 2.64 in his last five starts.
— Astros are 10-5 in his starts.
— under 3-0-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-1
— He is 2-2, 5.82 in four starts vs Cleveland.

— Astros lost five of last nine games.
— Astros are 5-6 in last 11 home games.
— under 7-4 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-96
— record in first 5 innings: 50-32-14

Interleague games
Kansas City (38-55) @ Milwaukee (55-40)

— Keller is 0-5, 6.86 in his last seven starts.
— Kansas City is 8-11 in his starts.
— under 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 10-19
— record in first 5 innings: 7-10-2
— He is 0-1, 6.55 in 3 games (2 starts) vs Milwaukee

— Royals are 9-28 in last 37 games.
— Royals are 1-12 in last 13 road games.
— over 10-4-1 last 15 road games.
— scores run in first inning: 19-93
— record in first 5 innings: 33-47-13

— Lauer is 2-1, 0.98 in his last three starts.
— Milwaukee is 4-5 in his starts.
— over 5-4
— allowed run in first inning: 3-9
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Kansas City.

— Brewers won three of last four games.
— Milwaukee split its last 14 home games.
— under 6-1 last seven home games.
— scored run in first inning: 33-96
— record in first 5 innings: 44-33-19

Philadelphia (46-46) @ Bronx (49-43)
— Moore is 0-0, 3.12 in his last four starts.
— Phillies are 6-1 in his starts.
— over 6-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-3
— He is 6-3, 3.86 in 12 starts vs New York.

— Phillies are 9-5 in their last 14 games.
— Phillies are 26-17 at home, 20-29 on road.
— over 11-1 last 12 games.
— scored run in first inning: 31-92
— record in first 5 innings: 36-35-21

— Wojchiekowski is making his first ’21 start.
— He is 9-15, 5.95 in 57 career games (34 starts).
— He allowed 2 runs in 0.1 IP in a relief stint vs Philly.

— New York won eight of its last ten games.
— New York is 5-5 in its last ten home games.
— under 4-3 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 24-92
— record in first 5 innings: 39-36-17

Seattle (51-44) @ Colorado (41-54)
— Seattle hasn’t named a starter.

— Seattle is 20-8 in its last 28 games.
— Seattle is 8-3 in last 11 road games.
— over 13-5 last 18 road games
— scored run in first inning: 30-95
— record in first 5 innings: 44-44-7

— Gomber is 3-0, 1.29 in his last four starts.
— His last start was June 19.
— Rockies are 7-8 in his starts.
— under 7-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 8-5-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Seattle.

— Colorado is 16-13 in its last 29 games.
— Rockies are 32-20 at home, 9-34 on road.
— under 14-3 last 17 games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-95
— record in first 5 innings: 37-43-15

Wednesday’s umpires
SD-Atl— Road team won 5 of last 6 Timmons games.
Over is 9-4 in Torres games.
Mia-Wsh—Underdog is 3-2 in last five Blaser games.
NY-Cin— Over is 14-2-1 in Meals games.
Chi-StL— Underdogs are 7-3 in last ten Nelson games.
Pitt-Ariz— 4 of last 5 Muchlinski games went over.
SF-LA— Under is 5-1 in last six Fletcher games.

Minn-Chi— Under is 6-3-1 in last 10 Guccione games.
Bos-Tor— Underdogs are 7-2 in last nine Whitson games.
Balt-TB— Underdogs are 6-1 in Culbreth games.
Tex-Det— Over is 6-2 in last eight Fairchild games.
Clev-Hst— Over is 8-5 in last 13 Baker games.

KC-Mil— Under is 6-3 in last nine Barksdale games
Phil-NY— Over is 10-2 in last dozen Hoye games
Sea-Colo— Over is 5-2 in last seven May games.
 

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Jun 22, 2009
Messages
18,303
Tokens
MLB

Wednesday, July 21


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Baltimore @ Tampa Bay
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Baltimore's last 11 games
Baltimore is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Baltimore
Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Baltimore

San Diego @ Atlanta
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego's last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games on the road
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing at home against San Diego
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Diego

NY Mets @ Cincinnati
NY Mets
NY Mets is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games

Kansas City @ Milwaukee
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Kansas City

Seattle @ Colorado
Seattle
Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Colorado's last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games

Pittsburgh @ Arizona
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 10 games
Arizona
Arizona is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Pittsburgh
Arizona is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Pittsburgh

San Diego @ Atlanta
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego's last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games on the road
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing at home against San Diego
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Diego

Miami @ Washington
Miami
Miami is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Washington
Miami is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Washington
Washington
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami

Philadelphia @ NY Yankees
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
NY Yankees is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Boston @ Toronto
Boston
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Texas @ Detroit
Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Texas is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Minnesota @ Chi White Sox
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Cleveland @ Houston
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Chi Cubs @ St. Louis
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing St. Louis
Chi Cubs is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis
St. Louis is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs

San Francisco @ LA Dodgers
San Francisco
San Francisco is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
San Francisco is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Active member
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Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,440
Tokens
WEDNESDAY, JULY 21
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS



KC at MIL 02:10 PM
KC +160
+500


SEA at COL 03:10 PM
SEA +127
O 11.0

+500 +500


PIT at ARI 03:40 PM
ARI -126
+500


SD at ATL 05:20 PM
ATL -109
+500


MIA at WAS 07:05 PM
MIA +103
+500


BOS at TOR 07:07 PM
BOS +180
+500


TEX at DET 07:10 PM
DET -118
+500


MIN at CHW 08:10 PM
MIN +140
+500


CLE at HOU 08:10 PM
CLE +202
+500


CHC at STL 08:15 PM
CHC +115
O 8.0
+500 +500


SF at LAD 10:10 PM
SF +138
O 8.5

+500 +500
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,440
Tokens
MLB July Opinions and Best Bets:


07/21/2021.......8-5-0......61.53%....+29.65
07/20/2021...11-10-0.......52.38%......-1.00
07/19/2021.......5-7-0.......41.66%....-23.65
07/18/2021.....6-10-0.......37.50%....-19.35
07/17/2021.....6-10-0.......37.50%....-28.85
07/16/2021.......5-9-0.......35.71%....-22.95
07/11/2021.......9-2-0.......81.82%...+41.60
07/10/2021...... 8-7-0 ......53.33% ....+4.95
07/09/2021.......9-5-0.......64.29%...+26.35
07/08/2021.......3-6-0.......33.33%....-14.80
07/07/2021.......6-6-0.......50.00%.....+0.25
07/06/2021.......6-7-0.......46.15%......-9.90
07/05/2021 ......5-5-0 ......50.00%.... - 6.45
07/04/2021.....5-11-0.......31.25%.....-31.90
07/03/2021.....11-4-0.......73.33%....+40.60
07/02/2021.......6-8-0.......42.86%.....-10.45
07/01/2021 ......4-7-0 ......36.36% ....-13.85




Totals...........113-114-0 ......49.77% ....- 39.75




***************************




Best Bets July:


07/21/2021.6-5-0................54.54%.......+19.65
07/20/2021 6-6-0................50.00%........+2.30
07/19/2021 3-2-0................60.00%........+7.00
07/18/2021 5-6-0................45.45%........+0.50
07/17/2021 0-4-0................00.00%........-20.00
07/16/2021 2-4-0................33.33%.........-6.85
07/11/2021 3-2-0................60.00%.......+11.45
07/10/2021 3-4-0................42.85%.........+2.85
07/09/2021 3-3-0................50.00%.........+9.00
07/08/2021 2-4-0................33.33%..........-6.95
07/07/2021 3-4-0................42.85%..........-0.70
07/06/2021 3-3-0................50.00%.........+4.20
07/05/2021 3-0-0...............100.00%.......+20.20
07/04/2021 3-8-0................27.27%.........-19.15
07/03/2021 4-3-0................57.14%........+11.50
07/02/2021 0-6-0 ...............00.00%........ -30.00
07/01/2021 3-5-0............... 37.50%......... - 3.55




Totals.......48-66 0...............42.10%..........+ 1.65
 

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Joined
Jun 22, 2009
Messages
18,303
Tokens
Thursday’s 6-pack
— Reds’ star OF Nick Castellanos has a microfracture in his right wrist.
— Texas/Oklahoma seem primed for a move from Big X to SEC, which would be a major shakeup for college sports.
— Cardinals 3, Cubs 2 (10)— Yadier Molina walked it off with an RBI double.
— St Louis pitchers have hit 72 batters this year; next highest in MLB is San Diego (58)
— Astros are 5-7 this year in games where they had shot at sweeping series.
— White Sox’ DH Yermin Mercedes abruptly announced his retirement on Instagram last night; he is still on AAA Charlotte’s roster, so it isn’t official yet.

Quote of the Day.
“It’s affecting amateur coverage, pro coverage. At some point, you have to have meetings — and not just meetings with your scouts, but meetings with your front office, the executives, the general managers … it’s more than talking with your scouts and getting a pulse, ‘OK, we like him in the first round, we like him in the second round,’ or whatever.”
An unnamed National League executive, talking about July’s schedule of events, which are different than they’ve been in recent years

Thursday’s quiz
Bo Jackson played in the NFL and the major leagues; which team did he spend most of his baseball career with?

Wednesday’s quiz
Alex Cora first managed the Red Sox in 2018; John Farrell managed Boston before he did.

Tuesday’s quiz
Rolf Benirschke was host of Wheel of Fortune for six months in 1989; before that, he kicked for the San Diego Chargers for ten years. [/SIZE]

*********************

Thursday’s Den: First draft of my Week 1 NFL article

Dallas @ Tampa Bay

— Last 4 years, Cowboys are 5-9-1 ATS as road underdogs.
— Dallas lost three of last four road openers SU.
— Cowboys are 10-4 ATS last 14 games as a dog in road openers.
— Under is 6-3 in their last nine road openers.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven Week 1 games.

— Defending Super Bowl champs are ATS in Week 1 the next year.
— Tampa Bay was 3-2-1 ATS LY as a home favorite.
— Buccaneers won three of last four Week 1 games.
— Bucs won/covered three of last four home openers.
— Tampa scored 27+ points in four of last five home openers.
— Four of their last five Week 1 games went over.

— Dallas won 7 of last 8 series games.
— Cowboys lost 3 of last 5 visits here, scoring 6-0-7 points in losses.
— Favorites are 5-2 ATS in last seven series games.

****************************

Sunday games

Pittsburgh @ Buffalo

— Steelers opened on road last six years (3-2-1 SU, 2-3-1 ATS)
— Steelers are 10-3 ATS in last 13 games as road underdogs.
— Pittsburgh is 3-1-1 SU last five road openers.
— Under is 7-1 in their last eight road openers.

— Bills are 11-6 ATS in last 17 games as home favorites.
— Home team won their last six Week 1 games.
— Bills are 9-5 ATS last 14 home openers.
— Buffalo is 6-2 ATS as a favorite in home openers.

— Crowd should be mixed for this game; tough day for security guards.
— Bills beat Pittsburgh last two years, after losing previous six meetings.
— Steelers gained only 224 yards, lost 26-15 here LY; Buffalo scored on pick-6.
— Pittsburgh won four of last five visits to Orchard Park.

NJ Jets @ Carolina
— Jets have new coach, new QB.
— Jets started 0-1 four of last five years.
— Last five years, Gang Green is 10-22-2 ATS as road dogs.
— Jets are 11-4 ATS in last 15 road openers.
— Over 5-2 last seven road openers.

— Last 2 years, Panthers lost 30-27/34-30 at home in Week 1.
— Last 5 years, Carolina is 10-16 ATS as a home favorite.
— Panthers are 6-11-1 ATS last in 18 home openers.
— Under 16-6-1 last 23 home openers.

— Sam Darnold played 3 years for the Jets, going 13-25 as their QB.
— Panthers are 3-2 in last five series games, scoring 30+ in all three wins.
— Jets lost 30-20/30-3 in last two visits to Charlotte.

Philadelphia @ Atlanta
— New coach; 2nd-year QB started four games (1-3) LY.
— Eagles won four of last five season openers.
— Last 5 years, Eagles are 12-13 ATS as road underdogs.
— Philly won 5 of last 7 Week 1 games on road.
— Over 7-4-1 in their last dozen road openers.

— New coach, new GM for Atlanta.
— Last 5 years, Falcons are 15-18 ATS as home favorites.
— Falcons lost four of last five Week 1 games.
— Atlanta is 17-5 ATS in last 22 home openers.
— Since 2004, Falcons are 8-1 ATS as a favorite in HO’s.
— Over is 4-1 in Atlanta’s last five home openers.

— Eagles are 11-5 in last 16 series games.
— Philly lost last three visits here, by 4-2-4 points.
— For what its worth, Matt Ryan is from Philadelphia

Minnesota @ Cincinnati
— Last three years, Vikings are 6-3 ATS as road favorites.
— Minnesota won/covered four of last five Week 1 games.
— Vikings are 0-3-1 SU, 0-4 ATS last four road openers.
— This is first time in 5 years Vikings open on road.
— Under 12-5 in their last 17 road openers.

— Cincinnati started out 1-0 four of last seven years.
— Bengals are 8-7-1 ATS last 16 games as home dogs.
— Cincy won/covered once in last five home openers.
— Bengals are 3-6-1 ATS as favorite in home openers.
— Under is 9-4 in their last 13 home openers.

— Coach Zimmer was Bengals’ DC from 2008-13.
— Home side won last four series games.
— Vikings lost last two visits here, 42-14/37-8.

San Francisco @ Detroit
— Last 2 years, 49ers won road opener 31-17/31-13.
— 49ers won 8 of last 10 season openers.
— Niners are 5-3 ATS last eight games as road favorite.
— Under 6-1 last seven season openers.
— Under 7-4-1 last dozen road openers.

— New coach, new GM, new QB for Lions.
— Pretty sure Detroit will try hard to run ball a lot.
— 0-2-1 SU last three season openers (favored in all 3)
— Lost four of last six home openers.
— Over 8-3 last 11 home openers.
— Lions’ last ten season openers went over the total.

— 49ers won 8 of last 9 series games.
— Favorites are 4-0-1 ATS in last five series games.
— Niners won 2 of last 3 visits here, losing 32-15 in last visit, in 2015.

Arizona @ Tennessee
— Arizona is 1-3-1 SU in last five Week 1 games.
— Cardinals lost 4 of last 5 road openers SU, but covered 10 of last 13.
— Last 2 years, Arizona is 6-3-1 ATS as road underdogs.
— Under 10-5 last 15 road openers.

— Tennessee lost SU last three times they opened season at home.
— Titans are 2-5 SU last seven home openers (2-7 ATS last nine)
— Last five years, Tennessee is 14-11-2 ATS as home favorites.
— Under is 6-3 in last nine home openers.

— Arizona won three of last four series games.
— Titans lost last meeting 12-7 in desert in 2017.
— Redbirds split last two visits here; Tennessee gained 460-531 TY, though.

Seattle @ Indianapolis
— Seahawks split last six season openers SU.
— Seattle is 8-4-1 ATS in last 13 games as road underdogs.
— Seattle won last 2 road openers 28-26/38-25, after losing 11 of previous 12.
— Seahawks are 3-12-1 ATS in last 16 road openers.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven road openers.

— Colts started out 0-1 the last seven years.
— First game for Carson Wentz as a Colt.
— Last three years, Indy is 9-10-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Won last two home openers, covered 3 of last 4.
— Last five season openers went over total.

— Colts won three of last five series games.
— Seattle lost 34-28/34-17 in last two visits here.
— Seahawks won last meeting 46-18 at home, in 2017.

LA Chargers @ Washington
— New coach, new OC for Chargers.
— Bolts are 8-4-2 ATS last 14 games as road favorites.
— Chargers are 4-0-1 ATS last five Week 1 road games.
— Bolts are 6-2-1 ATS last nine road openers
— Bolts are 10-5-1 ATS as underdogs in road openers.

— QB Fitzpatrick gets to start for another NFL team.
— Washington is 4-7 ATS in last 11 games as home underdogs.
— Washington covered last three Week 1 games.
— Washington is 1-4 ATS in last five home openers as a dog.
— Washington is 2-7 SU in last nine home openers.
— Over is 7-3 in their last ten home openers.

— Chargers won four of last five series games.
— Bolts split last two visits here, losing last visit, in 2013.

Jacksonville @ Houston
— First NFL game for Urban Meyer figures to be interesting.
— Jaguars won season openers three of last four years.
— Last 3 years, Jacksonville is 8-12-1 ATS as road underdogs.
— Jaguars lost 11 of last 13 road openers, but covered last four.
— Under is 12-6 in their last 18 road openers.

— HC Culley is also new head coach; he’s never been a coordinator.
— Texans are 9-14-1 ATS last 24 games as home favorites.
— Texans lost three of last four home openers, scoring 14.5 ppg.
— Houston is 1-5 ATS in last six home openers.
— Under 10-6 in their last 16 home openers.

— Texans won last six series games.
— Jaguars are 6-3 ATS in last nine visits to Houston.
— Two guys who have never been NFL head coaches before.

Cleveland @ Kansas City
— Browns are 2-19-1 SU in season openers (1-1-1 last three)
— Last 5 years, Cleveland is 12-19-1 ATS as road underdogs.
— Browns are 3-5-1 ATS last nine road openers.
— Last five road openers stayed under total.

— Chiefs won last six season openers, covered last four.
— Last five years, they scored 33-42-38-40-34 in Week 1.
— Last four years, Chiefs are 20-14 ATS as home favorites.
— KC won last five home openers, covered last four.
— Over 4-0-2 in their last six home openers.

— Chiefs beat Cleveland 22-17 here in LY’s playoffs (led 19-3 at half).
— Chiefs won last four series games, three by 6 or fewer points.
— Browns covered last four visits to Arrowhead.

Miami @ New England
— Since 1994, under is 22-5 in Miami’s road openers (12-0 last 12)
— Dolphins lost four of last six season openers.
— Dolphins are 8-4 ATS in last dozen games as road underdogs.
— Miami is 5-12 SU in last 17 road openers (5-3 ATS last 8)

— Patriots started 1-0 in 15 of last 17 seasons.
— New England won 7 of last 8 home openers (4-1 ATS last five)
— Last five years, Patriots are 27-15-1 ATS as home favorites.
— Under 7-2 last nine home openers.

— These teams split their season series the last four years.
— New England covered first meeting the last six years.
— Dolphins lost 11 of last 12 visits to Foxboro (1-8 ATS last nine).

Green Bay @ New Orleans
— Green Bay won last six season openers (5-1 ATS)
— Packers are 5-3 ATS in last eight games as road underdogs.
— Green Bay won/covered last four Week 1 road games.
— Over is 12-3 in their last 15 road openers.

— Saints have new QB for first time since 2005.
— Last 3 years, Saints are 10-14 ATS as home favorites.
— New Orleans lost five of last seven season openers.
— Saints are 1-5 ATS in last six home openers.
— Last 3 years, scored 40-30-34 points in home opener.
— Saints lost five of last seven season openers.

— Teams split last eight series games.
— Packers won 37-20 here LY, their first win in last four visits to Superdome.

Denver @ NY Giants
— Denver lost last four road openers, scoring 16.8 ppg.
— Last 5 years, Broncos are 18-22 ATS on the road.
— Broncos are 7-10 ATS last 17 road openers.

— Giants started nine of last ten seasons 0-1.
— Last four years, Giants are 9-22-1 ATS at home.
— Big Blue is 1-8 SU, 0-9 ATS last nine home openers.
— Giants scored 14.2 ppg in last five home openers.
— Under 7-0 in their last seven home openers.

— Denver won three of last five series games.
— Broncos split last two series games played here.

Chicago @ LA Rams
— Chicago is 1-6 in last seven Week 1 games.
— Bears are 2-4 ATS last six road openers.
— Last five years, Chicago is 10-16-1 ATS as road underdogs.
— Bears are 4-6 SU in last ten road openers.
— Under 16-5 in their last 21 road openers.

— First game for Stafford as Rams’ QB, after 12 years in Detroit.
— Rams also have a new defensive coordinator.
— Under McVay, Rams are 4-0 SU in Week 1.
— Rams won/covered last six home openers.
— Under McVay, LA is 14-12-1 ATS as home favorites.
— Under is 4-1 in last five home openers.

— First game with fans at SoFi Stadium.
— Bears won six of last nine series games, but lost 24-10 here LY.
— Chicago’s only TD in that game was scored by the defense.
— Bears lost three of last four road series games, losing by 14-10-21 points.

Baltimore @ Las Vegas
— Baltimore won/covered last five season openers
— Ravens won/covered four of last five road openers.
— Baltimore is 12-5-1 ATS in last 18 games as road favorites.
— Over is 9-4-1 in their last 14 road openers.

— Las Vegas won four of last five season openers.
— Raiders won three of last four home openers.
— Last three years, Raiders are 7-7 ATS as home underdogs.
— Las Vegas is 3-5 ATS in last eight tries as a dog in HO’s.
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven home openers.

— First game with fans at Allegiant Stadium.
— Ravens won six of last eight series games.
— Ravens split last four trips to Oakland; this is their first visit to Las Vegas.
— Underdogs won three of last four series games SU.
 

Member
Joined
Jun 22, 2009
Messages
18,303
Tokens
901ATLANTA -902 PHILADELPHIA
ATLANTA is 34-53 SU (-21.4 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

903SAN DIEGO -904 MIAMI
MIAMI is 21-28 SU (-14.5 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

905CHICAGO CUBS -906 ST LOUIS
CHICAGO CUBS are 32-17 SU (12.6 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

907SAN FRANCISCO -908 LA DODGERS
SAN FRANCISCO is 36-15 SU (24.3 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

909TEXAS -910 DETROIT
DETROIT is 12-3 SU (11.6 Units) in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

911TAMPA BAY -912 CLEVELAND
TAMPA BAY is 30-12 SU (19 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.

913NY YANKEES -914 BOSTON
NY YANKEES are 12-23 SU (-14.8 Units) in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.

915LA ANGELS -916 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 26-53 SU (-35 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

917OAKLAND -918 SEATTLE
OAKLAND is 31-18 SU (14.5 Units) vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities in the current season.
 

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