Cnotes 2021-2022 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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MARCH NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Unit

03/24/2022........13-7-0.........65.00%............+15.80
03/23/2022..........1-6-1.........14.28%............-41.80
03/22/2022........7-14-1..........33.33%............-54.35
03/20/2022..........3-8-1..........27.27%............-42.60
03/19/2022........12-8-2...........59.09%............+9.70
03/18/2022..........4-7-1..........37.50%.............-36.65
03/17/2022.......10-10-0..........50.00%.............-10.05
03/16/2022..........4-1-1..........75.00%............+13.35
03/15/2022........18-4-0...........81.82%...........+71.30
03/14/2022..........2-0-0..........100.00%..........+12.10
03/13/2022.........10-9-1...........52.50%...........-22.20
03/12/2022........9-11-0............45.00%............-16.80
03/11/2022..........5-3-0............62.50%...........+4.35
03/10/2022.......14-11-1............55.77%.............-9.35
03/09/2022..........2-2-0.............50.00%............-0.50
03/08/2022.......10-12-0.............45.45%..........-35.30
03/07/2022...........4-5-1.............45.00%...........-9.85
03/06/2022...........9-7-0.............56.25%..........+4.80
03/05/2022..........13-7-0............65.00%.........+15.35
03/04/2022............9-5-0............64.29%.........+12.95
03/03/2022............9-8-1............52.78%...........-30.65
03/02/2022............3-5-0............37.50%...........-30.30
03/01/2022...........10-8-0............55.56%............-0.25

TOTALS............183-158-9............53.66%.........-180.85



BEST BETS:

03/24/2022............8-4-0..............66.66%......+45.10
03/23/2-22............0-4-0..............00.00%.......-22.00
03/22/2022..........2-10-1..............16.66%.......-45.00
03/20/2022............2-4-1..............33.33%.......-12.00
03/19/2022............5-5-2..............50.00%........- 2.50
03/18/2022............2-3-1..............40.40%.........- 6.50
03/17/2022............8-3-0..............72.72%.......+ 23.50
03/16/2022............2-1-1..............66.66%.........+ 4.50
03/15/2022..........12-2-0..............85.71%.........+49.00
03/14/2022............2-0-0............100.00%.........+12.10
03/13/2022............6-3-0..............66.66%.........+13.50
03/12/2022............5-6-0..............45.45%...........- 8.00
03/11/2022............3-1-0..............75.00%...........+9.50
03/10/2022............8-7-1..............53.33%...........+1.75
03/09/2022............1-2-0..............33.33%............- 6.00
03/08/2022............8-5-0..............61.53%..........+12.50
03/07/2022............3-4-1..............42.85%............- 7.00
03/06/2022............5-5-0..............50.00%............- 2.35
03/05/2022............8-3-0..............72.72%..........+25.40
03/04/2022............4-3-0..............57.14%...........+ 3.50
03/03/2022............5-3-1..............62.50%...........+ 8.50
03/02/2022............2-2-0..............50.00%............- 1.00
03/01/2022............5-3-1..............62.50%............+ 8.50

TOTALS..............106-83-9..............56.08%...........+104.00


UPDATED ON 03/24/2022
 

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Friday’s 6-pack

Conference records (SU/ATS) in this year’s NCAA Tournament:
ACC— 9-2/9-2
Big East— 5-4/6-3
Big 14— 9-8/6-10-1
Big X— 9-4/8-5
Pac-12— 4-2/1-5
SEC— 5-5/3-7

Quote of the Day
“We are winning the World Series in 2022…..We will win the World Series this year, put it on record.”
Dodgers manager Dave Roberts

Friday’s quiz
When Ben Simmons played his one season at LSU, one of his teammates is the son of a 3-time Grammy award-winning musician. Who is this musician?

Thursday’s quiz
In the movie The Hangover, the four friends stay in Caeser’s Palace.

Wednesday’s quiz
Trae Young played his college basketball at Oklahoma.

*********************

Friday’s Den: Wrapping up a terrific Thursday

13) Kansas is favored by 7.5 points over Providence Friday night; if the Jayhawks lose, it’ll be the first time EVER (in the 64+-team era) that no #-1 seeds made it to the Elite 8.

Thursday was a rough night for number one seeds.

12) Arkansas 74, Gonzaga 68:
— Razorbacks ended first half on 15-4 run, led 32-29 at halftime.
— Arkansas is 14-2 outside the SEC.
— Gonzaga was 28-4 this season, but 0-2 vs SEC teams (Alabama/Arkansas)

11) Houston 72, Arizona 60:
— Cougars never trailed, were by far the more physical team.
— Arizona shot 33.3% from floor, gave up 1.16 points/possession.
— Houston gave up 68-53-60 points in three NCAA tourney wins.

10) Villanova 63, Michigan 55:
— Villanova has won eight in row, 13 of last 14 games.
— Michigan shot 34.4% from floor, 34.9% inside arc.
— Villanova is in Elite 8 for third time in last six years.

9) Duke 78, Texas Tech 73:
— Free throws: Duke 15-17, Texas Tech 5-9
— Red Raiders led 68-66 with 3:00 left in game.
— Duke is shooting 37% on arc (#29), 56.2% inside arc (#8)

8) NC-Wilmington 96, Middle Tennessee 90, 2OT:
— Seahawks won CBI championship Wednesday afternoon.
— UNCW won four games in four days; title game was day game after a nite game.
— MTSU led by 11 with 12:33 left to play.
— UNCW was 36-43 on foul line, Blue Raiders 34-46.

7) New York City lifted its vaccine mandate this week, meaning Kyrie Irving and any unvaccinated players on the two NYC baseball teams can play in home games.

6) Strange stat of the day: Memphis Grizzlies are 15-2 when star G Ja Morant doesn’t play; that stat will get tested some more, as Morant will miss the next two weeks with a knee problem.

5) Brian Schottenheimer will serve as a consultant to the Dallas Cowboys in 2022, working on both sides of the ball. Dallas coach Mike McCarthy broke into the NFL working for Brian’s dad Marty Schottenheimer with Kansas City back in 1993.

This will be Schottenheimer’s 8th NFL team; he was with Jacksonville LY, was OC in Seattle the three years before that.

4) Los Angeles Angels signed C Max Stassi to a 3-year, $17.5M deal

3) Colorado Rockies traded OF Raimel Tapia and a minor league to Toronto, for OF Randal Grichuk.

2) Was reading about a 12-team fantasy draft, where all the owners were fantasy baseball experts; none of the first 44 guys drafted are on my fantasy team. Cedric Mullins was 45th pick, Kris Bryant 48th. Now, either my team isn’t very good, or those guys aren’t so expert.

1) I’d like to thank the good people at MGM Grand Sportsbook for letting me hang out Thursday night. Was fun watching the ballgames there. This is a really good sportsbook that is well-run, comfortable and around the corner from an excellent pizza place.
 

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NY RANGERS are 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite in the current season.

WASHINGTON is 15-7 ATS (9.5 Units) in road games against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the current season.

COLUMBUS are 7-0 ATS (10.8 Units) in road games against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on >19% of chances in the 2nd half of the season in the current season.

PHILADELPHIA is 12-34 ATS (-20.5 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

ARIZONA is 3-0 ATS (10.5 Units) against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.




NHL
Dunkel

Friday, March 25


02FzGZp.png





NHL

Friday, March 25


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Washington @ Buffalo
Washington
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Pittsburgh @ NY Rangers
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Rangers's last 9 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

Columbus @ Winnipeg
Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing at home against Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing Columbus

Arizona @ Calgary
Arizona
Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games on the road
Calgary
Calgary is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona
Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona

Philadelphia @ Colorado
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Colorado
Colorado is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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FRIDAY, MARCH 25
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


PIT at NYR 07:00 PM
PIT -112
U 5.5
+500 +500

WAS at BUF 07:00 PM
WAS -187
O 6.5
+500 +500

CLB at WIN 08:00 PM
WIN -167
U 6.5
+500 +500

ARI at CAL 09:00 PM
ARI +329
U 6.0

+500 +500

PHI at COL 09:00 PM
COL -379
O 6.0
+500 +500
 

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MARCH NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Unit

03/25/2022..........5-3-1.........61.11%.............+8.40
03/24/2022........13-7-0.........65.00%............+15.80
03/23/2022..........1-6-1.........14.28%............-41.80
03/22/2022........7-14-1..........33.33%............-54.35
03/20/2022..........3-8-1..........27.27%............-42.60
03/19/2022........12-8-2...........59.09%............+9.70
03/18/2022..........4-7-1..........37.50%.............-36.65
03/17/2022.......10-10-0..........50.00%.............-10.05
03/16/2022..........4-1-1..........75.00%............+13.35
03/15/2022........18-4-0...........81.82%...........+71.30
03/14/2022..........2-0-0..........100.00%..........+12.10
03/13/2022.........10-9-1...........52.50%...........-22.20
03/12/2022........9-11-0............45.00%............-16.80
03/11/2022..........5-3-0............62.50%...........+4.35
03/10/2022.......14-11-1............55.77%.............-9.35
03/09/2022..........2-2-0.............50.00%............-0.50
03/08/2022.......10-12-0.............45.45%..........-35.30
03/07/2022...........4-5-1.............45.00%...........-9.85
03/06/2022...........9-7-0.............56.25%..........+4.80
03/05/2022..........13-7-0............65.00%.........+15.35
03/04/2022............9-5-0............64.29%.........+12.95
03/03/2022............9-8-1............52.78%...........-30.65
03/02/2022............3-5-0............37.50%...........-30.30
03/01/2022...........10-8-0............55.56%............-0.25

TOTALS..........188-161-10............53.86%.........-172.45



BEST BETS:

03/25/2022............2-3-1..............40.00%.........-6.50
03/24/2022............8-4-0..............66.66%......+45.10
03/23/2-22............0-4-0..............00.00%.......-22.00
03/22/2022..........2-10-1..............16.66%.......-45.00
03/20/2022............2-4-1..............33.33%.......-12.00
03/19/2022............5-5-2..............50.00%........- 2.50
03/18/2022............2-3-1..............40.40%.........- 6.50
03/17/2022............8-3-0..............72.72%.......+ 23.50
03/16/2022............2-1-1..............66.66%.........+ 4.50
03/15/2022..........12-2-0..............85.71%.........+49.00
03/14/2022............2-0-0............100.00%.........+12.10
03/13/2022............6-3-0..............66.66%.........+13.50
03/12/2022............5-6-0..............45.45%...........- 8.00
03/11/2022............3-1-0..............75.00%...........+9.50
03/10/2022............8-7-1..............53.33%...........+1.75
03/09/2022............1-2-0..............33.33%............- 6.00
03/08/2022............8-5-0..............61.53%..........+12.50
03/07/2022............3-4-1..............42.85%............- 7.00
03/06/2022............5-5-0..............50.00%............- 2.35
03/05/2022............8-3-0..............72.72%..........+25.40
03/04/2022............4-3-0..............57.14%...........+ 3.50
03/03/2022............5-3-1..............62.50%...........+ 8.50
03/02/2022............2-2-0..............50.00%............- 1.00
03/01/2022............5-3-1..............62.50%............+ 8.50

TOTALS............108-86-10.............55.67%............+97.50


UPDATED ON 03/25/2022
 

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Saturday’s 6-pack

Regional finals between #4-seeds and #2-seeds:
1991— #2 Duke (-6.5) 78, St John’s 61
1995— #4 Ohio State (+3.5) 68, UMass 54
1995— #2 Arkansas (-2) 68, Virginia 61
1996— #4 Syracuse (+6) 60, Kansas 57
2006— #4 LSU (+3) 70, Texas 60, OT
2011— #4 Kentucky (-1.5) 76, LSU 69

Quote of the Day
“It eats at you. These guys won 29 games and then you feel awful.”
Purdue coach Matt Painter

Saturday’s quiz
When was last time North Carolina was in a Final Four?

Friday’s quiz
When Ben Simmons played his one season at LSU, one of his teammates was the son of a 3-time Grammy award-winning musician— Bruce Hornsby.

Thursday’s quiz
In the movie The Hangover, the four friends stay in Caeser’s Palace.

*******************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Friday

13) Saint Peter’s 67, Purdue 64:

— February 20: Saint Peter’s lost 84-70 at Siena; they were 12-11 overall, 10-6 in MAAC. Since then, they’re 10-0, the first 15-seed EVER to make the Elite 8.
— Peacocks held Purdue star Jaden Ivey to nine points.
— March 25 is National Peacock Day (seriously).

12) Kansas 66, Providence 61:
— Kansas was 20-26 on foul line, Friars 11-16.
— Teams combined to go 6-37 on the arc.
— Kansas is only #1-seed left in the tournament.

11) If you’re in New Jersey and you wagered on North Carolina to win the East Region, you’ve already won; New Jersey sports books can’t take bets on Saint Peter’s.

10) North Carolina 71, UCLA 66:
— Caleb Love scored 30 points, was 6-13 on arc.
— Tar Heels played four starters 37:00+.
— UCLA stars Juzang/Jaquez shot combined 10-31 from floor.

9) Miami 70, Iowa State 56:
— Hurricanes shot 56.7% inside arc; they’re in Elite 8 for first time.
— Cyclones were 4-22 on arc, 2-4 on foul line.
— Miami played all five starters 34:00+.

8) Elite 8 by conference:
1 each— AAC, Big East, Big X, MAAC, SEC.

7) Coaching carousel:
— Steve Prohm returns to Murray State (he was 104-29 there from 2012-15)
— Ball State hired UCLA assistant Michael Lewis
— UMass hired former K-State/South Carolina coach Frank Martin.

6) They’re not calling as many fouls in the tournament as they do during the season; the phrase “play thru contact” is very important.

In practices, teams do drills where coaches disrupt players with foam pads while they shoot close to the basket, just for this reason. This is partly why teams with older players are doing better; they’re more physically mature, play thru contact better.

5) Tampa Bay Rays acquired OF Harold Ramirez from the Cubs, in exchange for a minor league infielder. Ramirez is a .271 hitter over parts of three seasons with Miami and Cleveland.

4) Dodgers gave manager Dave Roberts a 3-year contract extension; he has a 542-329 over the last six years, best in majors during that time.

3) If you have HBO Max, I recommend watching the old TV series Without a Trace; great show about the FBI division assigned to find people who go missing, for various reasons. Anthony LaPaglia was terrific as Jack Malone, head of the unit.

2) The Price Is Right has been on TV for 50 years? Damn, I’m old; remember watching that as a kid; Price is Right at 3:00, Match Game at 3:30, every weekday.

1) Cleveland Browns ran a classic news dump Friday, doing the Deshaun Watson introductory press conference on Friday of the Sweet 16’s, when most sports fans are distracted by other stuff. When you introduce your new star player and his most consequential sentence is “I am innocent” that’s probably not a good thing.
 

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NY ISLANDERS are 7-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) vs. winning teams in the current season.

TAMPA BAY is 6-10 ATS (-9 Units) against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the 2nd half of the year.

CHICAGO is 10-28 ATS (-17.6 Units) against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances in the current season.

NEW JERSEY is 2-20 ATS (-18.5 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

DALLAS are 15-4 ATS (9.8 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

FLORIDA is 3-9 ATS (-8.7 Units) in road games against good starting goalies - saving >= 91.5% of shots against in the current season.

MONTREAL is 6-20 ATS (-16 Units) in home games after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.

COLUMBUS are 7-0 ATS (10.8 Units) in road games against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on >19% of chances in the 2nd half off the season.

ST LOUIS are 0-5 ATS (-9.9 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the season.

CALGARY is 14-3 ATS (11.3 Units) against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

ANAHEIM is 4-15 ATS (-11.6 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the 2nd half of the year.

SEATTLE is 18-40 ATS (-21.2 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.
 

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NHL

Saturday, March 26


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY Islanders @ Boston
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Boston
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Tampa Bay @ Detroit
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Chicago @ Vegas
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Vegas
Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Vegas
Vegas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Vegas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

Vancouver @ Dallas
Vancouver
Vancouver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Vancouver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games

Toronto @ Montreal
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal
Montreal is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto

Florida @ Ottawa
Florida
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing Florida
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing at home against Florida

New Jersey @ Washington
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Jersey's last 10 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington's last 10 games
Washington is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing New Jersey

Columbus @ Minnesota
Columbus
Columbus is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Columbus is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Carolina @ St. Louis
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Carolina's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis's last 7 games
St. Louis is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Carolina

Edmonton @ Calgary
Edmonton
Edmonton is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games
Calgary
Calgary is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games at home
Calgary is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games

Seattle @ Los Angeles
Seattle
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 9 games at home

Anaheim @ San Jose
Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
Anaheim is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Jose
San Jose
San Jose is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
San Jose is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Islanders are 4-1 in the past five games overall.
Islanders are 3-8 in the past 11 road games.
Islanders are 6-22 in the past 28 vs. winning teams.
Islanders are 6-22 in the past 28 as an underdog.
Islanders are 3-12 in the past 15 as a road 'dog.
Bruins are 13-3 in the past 16 games overall.
Bruins are 4-1 in the past five home games.
Bruins are 51-22 in the past 73 as a favorite.
Bruins are 28-12 in the past 40 as a home favorite.
The OVER is 11-5-1 in the past 17 for the Islanders.
The OVER is 12-5 in the past 17 road games for the Islanders.
The OVER is 6-2-1 in the past nine vs. winning teams for the Islanders.
The UNDER is 4-0-2 in the past six games for the Bruins.
The UNDER is 3-1-1 in the past five home games for the Bruins.
The UNDER is 3-0-1 in the past four vs. losing teams for the Bruins.
The Islanders have won five straight meetings vs. Bruins.
The home team is 4-1 in the past five meetings.
The OVER is 3-0-1 in the past four meetings in Boston.


Oilers are 6-2 in the past eight games overall.
Oilers are 0-4 in the past four road games.
Oilers are 1-4 in the past five as an underdog.
Oilers are 0-4 in the past four as a road 'dog.
Oilers are 6-14 in the past 20 vs. winning teams.
Flames are 21-7 in the past 28 games overall.
Flames are 16-5 in the past 21 home games.
Flames are 14-4 in the past 18 as a home favorite.
Flames are 8-2 in the past 10 vs. winning teams.
The OVER is 5-1 in the past six games for the Oilers.
The UNDER is 14-6-2 in past 22 vs. winning teams for the Oilers.
The UNDER is 4-1-1 in the past six as a 'dog for the Oilers.
The UNDER is 3-1-1- in the past five as a road 'dog for the Oilers.
The OVER is 3-1-1 in the past five games for the Flames.
The OVER is 6-1-2 in the past nine on no rest for the Flames.
The OVER is 3-1-1 in the past five as a favorite for the Flames.
The home team is 4-0 in the past four meetings.
The favorite is 17-7 in the past 24 meetings.
The UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven meetings.
 

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MARCH NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Unit

03/26/2022........10-7-1.........58.33%............+4.15
03/25/2022..........5-3-1.........61.11%.............+8.40
03/24/2022........13-7-0.........65.00%............+15.80
03/23/2022..........1-6-1.........14.28%............-41.80
03/22/2022........7-14-1..........33.33%............-54.35
03/20/2022..........3-8-1..........27.27%............-42.60
03/19/2022........12-8-2...........59.09%............+9.70
03/18/2022..........4-7-1..........37.50%.............-36.65
03/17/2022.......10-10-0..........50.00%.............-10.05
03/16/2022..........4-1-1..........75.00%............+13.35
03/15/2022........18-4-0...........81.82%...........+71.30
03/14/2022..........2-0-0..........100.00%..........+12.10
03/13/2022.........10-9-1...........52.50%...........-22.20
03/12/2022........9-11-0............45.00%............-16.80
03/11/2022..........5-3-0............62.50%...........+4.35
03/10/2022.......14-11-1............55.77%.............-9.35
03/09/2022..........2-2-0.............50.00%............-0.50
03/08/2022.......10-12-0.............45.45%..........-35.30
03/07/2022...........4-5-1.............45.00%...........-9.85
03/06/2022...........9-7-0.............56.25%..........+4.80
03/05/2022..........13-7-0............65.00%.........+15.35
03/04/2022............9-5-0............64.29%.........+12.95
03/03/2022............9-8-1............52.78%...........-30.65
03/02/2022............3-5-0............37.50%...........-30.30
03/01/2022...........10-8-0............55.56%............-0.25

TOTALS..........198-168-11............54.09%.........-168.30



BEST BETS:

03/26/2022............5-4-1..............55.55%.......+3.00
03/25/2022............2-3-1..............40.00%.........-6.50
03/24/2022............8-4-0..............66.66%......+45.10
03/23/2-22............0-4-0..............00.00%.......-22.00
03/22/2022..........2-10-1..............16.66%.......-45.00
03/20/2022............2-4-1..............33.33%.......-12.00
03/19/2022............5-5-2..............50.00%........- 2.50
03/18/2022............2-3-1..............40.40%.........- 6.50
03/17/2022............8-3-0..............72.72%.......+ 23.50
03/16/2022............2-1-1..............66.66%.........+ 4.50
03/15/2022..........12-2-0..............85.71%.........+49.00
03/14/2022............2-0-0............100.00%.........+12.10
03/13/2022............6-3-0..............66.66%.........+13.50
03/12/2022............5-6-0..............45.45%...........- 8.00
03/11/2022............3-1-0..............75.00%...........+9.50
03/10/2022............8-7-1..............53.33%...........+1.75
03/09/2022............1-2-0..............33.33%............- 6.00
03/08/2022............8-5-0..............61.53%..........+12.50
03/07/2022............3-4-1..............42.85%............- 7.00
03/06/2022............5-5-0..............50.00%............- 2.35
03/05/2022............8-3-0..............72.72%..........+25.40
03/04/2022............4-3-0..............57.14%...........+ 3.50
03/03/2022............5-3-1..............62.50%...........+ 8.50
03/02/2022............2-2-0..............50.00%............- 1.00
03/01/2022............5-3-1..............62.50%............+ 8.50

TOTALS............113-90-11.............55.66%............+100.50


UPDATED ON 03/26/2022
 

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Messages
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Armadillo Sports

Sunday’s 6-pack

Six pitchers who are still free agents:
— Chris Archer
— Jake Arrieta
— Mike Fiers
— Tommy Milone
— Ervin Santana
— José Ureña

Quote of the Day
“We have more people cashing tickets on Saint Peter’s moneyline than I think are enrolled in the school.”
Derek Stevens, owner of the Circa Casino

Sunday’s quiz
Which two teams played in the NFL’s first-ever regular season overtime game?

Saturday’s quiz
North Carolina was last in a Final Four in 2017.

Friday’s quiz
When Ben Simmons played his one season at LSU, one of his teammates was the son of a 3-time Grammy award-winning musician— Bruce Hornsby.

****************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) Villanova 50, Houston 44:
— Houston shot 1-20 on the arc.
— Foul line: Villanova 15-15, Cougars 9-14
— When you score 0.86 points/possession and still win, that’s an ugly game.
— Villanova G Moore suffered a lower leg injury late in this game; it didn’t look good.

12) Duke 78, Arkansas 69:
— Duke shot 58.1% inside the arc.
— Only six Blue Devils played more than 5:00.
— Arkansas gave up 62.3 ppg in first three tourney games, 78 in this one.

11) ACC didn’t have a great regular season, but their teams are 12-2 in the NCAA’s, with three of the last six teams still standing.

10) This season, only three of the twelve top 3 seeds made the Elite 8; contrast that to 2007, when seven of the eight top 2 seeds got to the Elite 8.

The top tier of teams isn’t as good this season.

9) Charlie Moore is the point guard for Miami Hurricanes; here is his career path:
2017— Cal Bears
2019— Kansas
2020-21— DePaul
2022— Miami
Five years, four schools. Interesting career.

8) Memphis Tigers were notified of multiple violations by the NCAA, including getting rid of evidence the NCAA wanted to look over during their investigation. Not good.

7) Grizzlies 127, Bucks 102— Weird stat: Memphis is 17-2 when Ja Morant doesn’t play.

6) Raptors 131, Pacers 91— Game was delayed for over an hour in second quarter, when a speaker in the arena caught fire. When the game resumed, the fans who were escorted out of the arena weren’t allowed back in. Luckily, no one was hurt.

5) Free agent WR Jarvis Landry isn’t getting the contract offers he thought he would; he’s fired his agent and hired a new one. We’ll see how much that helps.

4) New Jersey Jets signed K Greg Zuerlein, who has kicked for Rams/Cowboys. He made a 56-yard FG in OT to put the Rams into the Super Bowl three years ago.

3) Had the Red Sox-Tampa Bay game on TV in my motel room Saturday, and Boston TV guy Dave O’Brien was whining about pace of play in the first two innings. No bueno.

You get paid six figures to broadcast baseball; if you don’t like it, quit. 1,000 or so people will quickly apply to take your place. Promote the game, that’s part of the job.

2) In 2006, George Mason made the Final Four as a #11-seed; their coach? Jim Larranaga

Sunday, Larranaga’s Miami Hurricanes try to make the Final Four as a #10-seed.

1) Apparently Shaheen Holloway is making $266,000 to coach Saint Peter’s this year; once he signs with Seton Hall, after this great run he’s led the Peacocks on, he’ll be adding a zero at the end of that salary.
 

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TAMPA BAY is 4-10 ATS (-11 Units) against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances in the 2nd half of the year.

DETROIT is 4-27 ATS (-22.4 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the last 3 seasons.

NY RANGERS are 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive overs in the current season.

MINNESOTA is 17-20 ATS (-12.4 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

PHILADELPHIA is 13-35 ATS (-19.4 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

MONTREAL is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

TORONTO is 15-3 ATS (10 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

ARIZONA is 6-1 ATS (12.4 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.
 

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NHL

Sunday, March 27


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tampa Bay @ NY Islanders
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
NY Islanders is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Buffalo @ NY Rangers
Buffalo
Buffalo is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Buffalo's last 11 games when playing NY Rangers
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
NY Rangers is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Buffalo

Detroit @ Pittsburgh
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Detroit's last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit

Colorado @ Minnesota
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Philadelphia @ Nashville
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games
Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games
Nashville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Arizona @ Winnipeg
Arizona
Arizona is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 9 games on the road
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Arizona
Winnipeg is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Arizona

Montreal @ New Jersey
Montreal
Montreal is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games on the road
New Jersey
New Jersey is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
New Jersey is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal

Florida @ Toronto
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Florida's last 8 games when playing Toronto
Florida is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing Florida
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Florida


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Messages
105,594
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SUNDAY, MARCH 27
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


NY at DET 03:30 PM
NY -3.0
O 219.5
+500 +500

GS at WAS 06:00 PM
GS -7.0
O 216.5
+500 +500

MIN at BOS 06:00 PM
BOS -6.0
U 229.5
+500 +500

PHI at PHO 06:00 PM
PHI +3.5
U 228.0
+500 +500

LAL at NO 07:00 PM
NO -3.5
U 232.0
+500 +500

CHA at BK 07:30 PM
BK -5.5
U 238.5

+500 +500

UTA at DAL 07:30 PM
DAL -1.0
U 214.0
+500 +500
 

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Messages
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SUNDAY, MARCH 27
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


TB at NYI 02:00 PM
TB -142
O 5.5
+500 +500

DET at PIT 05:00 PM
PIT -310
O 6.5
+500 +500

BUF at NYR 05:00 PM
NYR -253
O 6.0
+500 +500

COL at MIN 06:00 PM
MIN +124
O 6.5

+500 +500

PHI at NAS 06:00 PM
NAS -256
O 6.0
+500 +500

MON at NJ 07:00 PM
NJ -178
U 6.5
+500 +500

ARI at WIN 07:00 PM
WIN -264
O 6.0
+500 +500

FLA at TOR 07:00 PM
FLA +111
O 7.0

+500 +500
 

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MARCH NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Unit

03/27/2022........11-4-1.........71.88%..........+34.70
03/26/2022........10-7-1.........58.33%............+4.15
03/25/2022..........5-3-1.........61.11%.............+8.40
03/24/2022........13-7-0.........65.00%............+15.80
03/23/2022..........1-6-1.........14.28%............-41.80
03/22/2022........7-14-1..........33.33%............-54.35
03/20/2022..........3-8-1..........27.27%............-42.60
03/19/2022........12-8-2...........59.09%............+9.70
03/18/2022..........4-7-1..........37.50%.............-36.65
03/17/2022.......10-10-0..........50.00%.............-10.05
03/16/2022..........4-1-1..........75.00%............+13.35
03/15/2022........18-4-0...........81.82%...........+71.30
03/14/2022..........2-0-0..........100.00%..........+12.10
03/13/2022.........10-9-1...........52.50%...........-22.20
03/12/2022........9-11-0............45.00%............-16.80
03/11/2022..........5-3-0............62.50%...........+4.35
03/10/2022.......14-11-1............55.77%.............-9.35
03/09/2022..........2-2-0.............50.00%............-0.50
03/08/2022.......10-12-0.............45.45%..........-35.30
03/07/2022...........4-5-1.............45.00%...........-9.85
03/06/2022...........9-7-0.............56.25%..........+4.80
03/05/2022..........13-7-0............65.00%.........+15.35
03/04/2022............9-5-0............64.29%.........+12.95
03/03/2022............9-8-1............52.78%...........-30.65
03/02/2022............3-5-0............37.50%...........-30.30
03/01/2022...........10-8-0............55.56%............-0.25

TOTALS..........209-172-12............54.85%.........-133.60



BEST BETS:

03/27/2022............5-4-1..............55.55%.......+4.20
03/26/2022............5-4-1..............55.55%.......+3.00
03/25/2022............2-3-1..............40.00%.........-6.50
03/24/2022............8-4-0..............66.66%......+45.10
03/23/2-22............0-4-0..............00.00%.......-22.00
03/22/2022..........2-10-1..............16.66%.......-45.00
03/20/2022............2-4-1..............33.33%.......-12.00
03/19/2022............5-5-2..............50.00%........- 2.50
03/18/2022............2-3-1..............40.40%.........- 6.50
03/17/2022............8-3-0..............72.72%.......+ 23.50
03/16/2022............2-1-1..............66.66%.........+ 4.50
03/15/2022..........12-2-0..............85.71%.........+49.00
03/14/2022............2-0-0............100.00%.........+12.10
03/13/2022............6-3-0..............66.66%.........+13.50
03/12/2022............5-6-0..............45.45%...........- 8.00
03/11/2022............3-1-0..............75.00%...........+9.50
03/10/2022............8-7-1..............53.33%...........+1.75
03/09/2022............1-2-0..............33.33%............- 6.00
03/08/2022............8-5-0..............61.53%..........+12.50
03/07/2022............3-4-1..............42.85%............- 7.00
03/06/2022............5-5-0..............50.00%............- 2.35
03/05/2022............8-3-0..............72.72%..........+25.40
03/04/2022............4-3-0..............57.14%...........+ 3.50
03/03/2022............5-3-1..............62.50%...........+ 8.50
03/02/2022............2-2-0..............50.00%............- 1.00
03/01/2022............5-3-1..............62.50%............+ 8.50

TOTALS............118-94-12.............55.66%............+104.70


UPDATED ON 03/27/2022
 

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Messages
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Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 10-pack

Coaches who went to the Final Four in first season as a head coach:
1939— Bruce Drake, Oklahoma
1943— Bully Gilstrap, Texas
1943— Ray Meyer, DePaul
1965— Gary Thompson, Wichita State
1972— Denny Crum, Louisville
1979— Bill Hodges, Indiana State
1980— Larry Brown, UCLA
1989— Steve Fisher, Michigan
1998— Bill Guthridge, North Carolina
2022— Hubert Davis, North Carolina

Quote of the Day
“Be kind, for everyone you meet is fighting a harder battle.”
Plato

Monday’s quiz
When the Houston Astros were an expansion team back in the early 60’s, they weren’t called the Astros. What was their nickname back then?

Sunday’s quiz
Steelers-Broncos played in the NFL’s first-ever regular season overtime game, a 35-35 tie in 1974.

Saturday’s quiz
North Carolina was last in a Final Four in 2017.

****************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday

13) Kansas 76, Miami 50:
— Most one-sided Elite 8 game since 1992, when Cincinnati beat Memphis 88-57.
— Miami actually led 35-29 at halftime.
— Kansas is only #1-seed to make the Final Four (or Elite 8)

12) North Carolina 69, Saint Peter’s 49:
— Clock struck midnight for Peacocks, but what a great run for them.
— Tar Heels led 9-0 early, were up 38-19 at halftime.
— North Carolina-Duke renew their rivalry in national semifinal.

11) There are already 800+ names in the college basketball transfer portal; there are 358 Division I teams, so that is 2.2 players per team that are bolting to greener pastures, and there will probably be a lot more to come.

10) Gonzaga/Oklahoma share an unenviable record; they’ve both been a #1-seed five times, but haven’t won a national title yet. DePaul/Illinois have been #1-seeds four times each, without winning it all.

9) Took a walk on the Strip today, which is unlike me; stopped in sportsbooks at Bellagio and Caeser’s Palace. It was freakin’ hot out, but walking on the Strip is always uniquely fun.

Lady in Bellagio wanted my autograph; she thought I was Larry David. It is possible that she had been drinking. Politely explained to her that I was neither funny, rich or famous, although I am old and bald; took her five minutes to believe me.

At Caeser’s, they were charging people to sit in the sportsbook, so I wasn’t there long.

8) Coaching carousel:
— SMU hired Georgia State coach Rob Lanier.
— New Mexico State hired Greg Heiar, who won a national title in JC ball this year; he had previously been an assistant for Gregg Marshall/Will Wade.

7) Pelicans 116, Lakers 108— Lakers blew a 23-point lead in this game.

6) Arizona Diamondbacks gave 2B Ketel Marte a contract extension for five years, $76M.

5) St Louis Cardinals have an infield prospect Kramer Robertson; his mom is LSU hoop coach Kim Mulkey, his dad used to play QB at Louisiana Tech.

4) Almost 40% of the Atlanta Falcons’ salary cap this year is for Matt Ryan, who will be playing……..for the Colts this fall.

3) Random trivia: Three players with best career OPS against the Mets: Kyle Schwarber, Stan Musial, Paul DeJong.

2) CBS must be happy; Final Four of Villanova-Kansas, North Carolina-Duke. Should get excellent TV ratings.

1) Opening lines for Final Four:
— Kansas -4 vs Villanova (Justin Moore is out)
— Duke -4.5 vs North Carolina (teams split two previous meetings)
 

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Messages
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Tokens
WASHINGTON is 14-17 ATS (-15.5 Units) in home games against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current.

ST LOUIS are 0-6 ATS (-10.9 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the season in the current season.

CHICAGO is 7-20 ATS (-15 Units) in home games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

ARIZONA is 6-2 ATS (11.4 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

LOS ANGELES
are 16-6 ATS (9.4 Units) after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games in the current season.




NHL
Dunkel

Monday, March 28


3aWFRgK.png





NHL

Monday, March 28


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Carolina @ Washington
Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Carolina's last 10 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Carolina's last 12 games
Washington
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Carolina

Vancouver @ St. Louis
Vancouver
Vancouver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Vancouver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 7 of St. Louis's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing at home against Vancouver

Buffalo @ Chicago
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Chicago is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing Buffalo

Arizona @ Edmonton
Arizona
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Arizona is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Seattle @ Los Angeles
Seattle
Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Los Angeles is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




Canucks are 4-1 in the past five road games.
Canucks are 5-2 in the past seven vs. Central Division teams.
Blues are 1-5 in the past six games overall.
Blues are 1-7 in the past eight as a favorite.
Blues are 0-4 in the past four home games.
Blues are 0-5 in the past five vs. losing teams.
Blues are 11-3 in the past 14 vs. Western Conference teams.
Blues are 15-6 in the past 21 as a home favorite.
The UNDER is 4-0 in the past four for the Canucks.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five as a 'dog for the Canucks.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five vs. winning teams for the Canucks.
The OVER is 4-0 in the past four for the Blues.
The OVER is 4-1 in the past five home games for the Blues.
The OVER is 4-0 in the past four as a favorite for the Blues.
The Blues are 0-4 in the past four home games vs. the Canucks.
The underdog is 7-3 in the past 10 meetings.
The road team is 6-1 in the past seven meetings.
The OVER is 4-0 in the past four meetings in St. Louis.


Hurricanes are 2-5 in the past seven games overall.
Hurricanes are 1-4 in the past five road games.
Hurricanes are 2-5 in the past seven vs. winning teams.
Hurricanes are 1-4 in the past five vs. Eastern Conference teams.
Hurricanes are 36-15 in the past 51 as a favorite.
Capitals are 9-3 in the past 12 games overall.
Capitals are 6-0 in the past six vs. Eastern Conference teams.
Capitals are 4-1 in the past five as an underdog.
Capitals are 5-0 in the past five vs. Metropolitan Division teams.
The UNDER is 8-3-1 in the past 12 for the Hurricanes.
The UNDER is 6-1-1 in past eight vs. EC teams for the Hurricanes.
The UNDER is 7-3 in the past 10 as a favorite for the Hurricanes.
The UNDER is 7-3-1 in past 11 vs. winning teams for the Hurricanes.
The OVER is 10-4-1 in the past 15 road games for the Hurricanes.
The OVER is 10-1 in the past 11 for the Capitals.
The OVER is 4-1 in the past five home games for the Capitals.
The OVER is 4-0 in the past four as an underdog for the Capitals.
The Hurricanes are 0-5 in the past five meetings.
The Capitals are 7-2 in past nine home games vs. Hurricanes.
 

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