Cnotes 2021-2022 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

[Udog]

MONTREAL is 8-5 ATS (11.3 Units) against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the 2nd half of the year.

VEGAS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs in the current season.

COLORADO is 34-5 ATS (20.1 Units) in home games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal over the last 3 seasons.

NASHVILLE is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.




NHL

Monday, March 21

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Trend Report
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Boston @ Montreal
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Montreal's last 9 games
Montreal is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Vegas @ Minnesota
Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games
Vegas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Vegas
Minnesota is 18-7 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Vegas

Edmonton @ Colorado
Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Edmonton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Colorado
Colorado is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home
Colorado is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games

Nashville @ Anaheim
Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games
Anaheim
Anaheim is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Nashville
Anaheim is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Nashville


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Golden Knights are 2-5 in past seven games overall.
Golden Knights are 2-5 in past seven vs. winning teams.
Golden Knights are 0-5 in past five road games.
Golden Knights are 0-7 in past seven vs. Central Division.
Wild are 39-14 in past 53 home games.
Wild are 2-5 in past seven vs. winning teams.
Wild are 1-4 in past five vs. Western Conference.
OVER is 5-0 in past five for Golden Knights.
OVER is 4-0 in past four as an underdog for Golden Knights.
UNDER is 8-3-1 in past 12 vs. Western Conference for Golden Knights.
OVER is 20-6-1 in past 27 home games for Wild.
OVER is 3-0-1 in past four vs. winning teams for Wild.
Golden Knights are 6-2 in past eight meetings.
Home team is 4-0 in past four meetings.


Oilers are 5-0 in the past five games overall.
Oilers are 4-9 in the past 13 as an underdog.
Oilers are 2-6 in the past eight as a road 'dog.
Oilers are 2-5 in the past seven vs. Central Division teams.
Avalanche are 40-12 in the past 52 games overall.
Avalanche are 44-8 in the past 52 home games.
Avalanche are 36-15 in the past 51 vs. Western Conference teams.
The OVER is 4-1 in the past five games for the Oilers.
The UNDER is 3-0-1 in the past four as an underdog for the Oilers.
The UNDER is 3-1-1 in the past five road games for the Oilers.
The UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven vs. Central Division teams for the Oilers.
The UNDER is 8-1-1 in the past 10 vs winning teams for the Avalanche.
The UNDER is 12-4-1 in the past 17 vs. Western Conference teams for the Avalanche.

 

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, March 21

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack
Over/under win totals for baseball season:
86.5— Phillies,
84.5— Red Sox, Giants
83.5— Angels, Giants
81— Twins
78.5— Tigers
75.5— Cubs

Quote of the Day
“Success is getting what you want. Happiness is wanting what you get.”
WP Kinsella

Tuesday’s quiz
Where did Matt Ryan play his college football?

Monday’s quiz
Last time a Pac-12 team won the NCAA Tournament was 1997, when Arizona won.

Sunday’s quiz
Eric Musselman was once head coach of both Golden State, Sacramento in the NBA.

****************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Saturday/Sunday was first time since 2000 that the #1-seeds went 0-4 ATS in the second round NCAA Tournament. 1988 is only time the #1-seeds went 4-0 ATS in second round, but this week, Arizona/Gonzaga had fights on their hands, and Baylor lost straight up.

12) Miami-Iowa State is the 4th-ever NCAA tourney game between #10/#11 seeds. Here are the first three:
2011— 11-seed VCU (+4.5) 72-71 OT over Florida State
2014— 11-seed Dayton (+3.5) 82-72 over Syracuse
2016— 10-seed Syracuse (+4) 63-60 over Gonzaga

11) Underdogs are 27-21 ATS so far in NCAA Tournament; 12 teams lost but covered.

10) Texas Tech coach Mark Adams banked a $50,000 bonus for getting the Red Raiders into the Sweet 16; Adams has already cashed $125,000 in bonuses this season.

9) How good was the Big X this season?
— Iowa State finished T7th; they’re in the Sweet 16
— TCU finished T5th; they damn near beat Gonzaga in the second round.

8) Coaching carousel:
— LSU is hiring Murray State’s Matt McMahon as its new coach.
— Maryland is hiring Seton Hall’s Kevin Willard as its new coach.
— LaSalle fired coach Ashley Howard; Explorers haven’t been in NCAA Tournament since 2013.

Good/bad news on Willard:
— Last seven years, Seton Hall was 75-53 in Big East games
— Willard is 1-5 in NCAA Tournament games; he was the higher seed in four of those six games.

7) HBO’s series Winning Time is about the Lakers before/during the Magic Johnson era; this week’s episode revolved around Dr Jerry Buss trying to hire UNLV coach Jerry Tarkanian as the Lakers’ new coach. This was 11 years before UNLV won their national title, two years after UNLV made the Final Four for the first time under Tarkanian.

Dr Buss meets with Tark in a Las Vegas restaurant; Tark’s friend/lawyer Vic Weiss is there, trying to broker the deal. Buss thinks they have a deal for Tark to coach the Lakers, but at one point, the waiter brings over a bottle of champagne, a gift from a table of four guys who look a lot like mobsters. Negotiations went downhill from there.

Day or two later, Vic Weiss shows up dead in the trunk of a car; it is unclear exactly how much is true/embellished; the HBO show inferred that the Tarkanian hiring had something to do with Weiss’ murder, but surfing the Interweb, apparent Weiss owed the wrong people a lot of money, never a good thing, and that is why he was killed.

Anyway, the program is entertaining, sometimes eye-opening.

6) Boston Celtics are 22-14 vs teams over .500, 22-14 vs teams under .500.

5) What is a Billiken? According to the Saint Louis University website, the billiken is a mythical good-*luck figure who represents “things as they ought to be.”

4) Last year, Giants’ OF Joc Pederson played with Atlanta; he became just 9th player ever to win a World Series ring two years in row, while playing for two different teams.

3) NFL stuff:
— Atlanta Falcons traded QB Matt Ryan to the Colts for a 3rd-round draft pick.
— Falcons then signed QB Marcus Mariota, who worked with coach Arthur Smith when the two were together in Tennessee.

2) These NFL teams will have new starting QB’s this coming season:
— Washington Commanders— Carson Wentz takes over for Taylor Heinicke
— Atlanta Falcons— Marcus Mariota in for Matt Ryan
— Pittsburgh Steelers— Mitch Trubisky for Ben Roethlisberger
— Cleveland Browns— Deshaun Watson for Baker Mayfield
— Indianapolis Colts— Matt Ryan for Carson Wentz
— Denver Broncos— Russell Wilson for Teddy Bridgewater
— Seattle Seahawks— ??????? for Russell Wilson

1) Colorado Rockies signed IF Ryan McMahon to a six-year, $70M extension; all of a sudden, Rockies are spending money. Too bad they didn’t pay Story/Arenado when they had the chance.

 

[Udog]

TAMPA BAY is 0-5 ATS (-7.3 Units) against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

COLUMBUS are 13-4 ATS (15.1 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the 2nd half of the year.

NEW JERSEY is 7-32 ATS (-27.6 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the current season.

WASHINGTON is 7-13 ATS (-16.6 Units) in home games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

DETROIT is 12-3 ATS (10.3 Units) in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.

OTTAWA is 33-41 ATS (13.8 Units) against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances over the last 2 seasons.

WINNIPEG is 12-23 ATS (-15.9 Units) against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on >19% of chances in the 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

DALLAS are 14-4 ATS (8.8 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

SAN JOSE is 0-12 ATS (-12.1 Units) against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances in the 2nd half of the year.

ARIZONA is 9-3 ATS (15.4 Units) against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

NASHVILLE is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) on Tuesday nights in the current season.

 

[Udog]

NHL

Tuesday, March 22

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tampa Bay @ Carolina
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing Carolina
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Carolina's last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Carolina's last 8 games at home

NY Rangers @ New Jersey
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
NY Rangers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 13 of New Jersey's last 16 games when playing at home against NY Rangers
New Jersey is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Columbus @ Pittsburgh
Columbus
Columbus is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Columbus is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Columbus
Pittsburgh is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Columbus

St. Louis @ Washington
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
St. Louis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Philadelphia @ Detroit
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Philadelphia is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Ottawa @ NY Islanders
Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Ottawa's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Ottawa
NY Islanders is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Vegas @ Winnipeg
Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vegas's last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Vegas
Winnipeg is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Vegas

Edmonton @ Dallas
Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Edmonton's last 7 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton

San Jose @ Calgary
San Jose
San Jose is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
San Jose is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary
Calgary is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games at home
Calgary is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games

Seattle @ Arizona
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games on the road
Seattle is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
Arizona
Arizona is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Arizona is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Nashville @ Los Angeles
Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games on the road
Nashville is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Los Angeles
Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing Nashville


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

Blues are 2-7 in their past nine games overall.
Blues are 1-4 in the past five road games.
Blues are 9-4 in the past 13 vs. winning teams.
Blues are 1-6 in the past seven vs. Eastern Conference teams.
Capitals are 4-1 in the past five games overall.
Capitals are 3-7 in the past 10 home games.
The OVER is 4-1 in the past five games for the Blues.
The OVER is 6-1-1 in the past eight as a 'dog for the Blues.
The OVER is 5-0-1 in the past six as a road 'dog for the Blues.
The OVER is 7-1 in the past eight games for the Capitals.
The OVER is 17-8 in the past 25 home games for the Capitals.
The OVER is 4-1 in the past five vs. winning teams for the Capitals.


Predators are 4-1 in the past five games overall.
Predators are 4-1 in the past five vs. winning teams.
Predators are 5-1 in the past six vs. Western Conference teams.
Kings are 7-2 in the past nine as a favorite.
Kings are 6-2 in the past eight as a home favorite.
Kings are 1-5 in the past six vs. Western Conference teams.
Kings are 5-12 in the past 17 vs. Central Division teams.
The OVER is 5-1 in the past six games for the Predators.
The OVER is 21-6 in the past 27 road games for the Predators.
The OVER is 14-5 in the past 19 vs. Western Conference teams for the Predators.
The OVER is 7-3-1 in the past 11 for the Predators when playing on no rest.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five games for the Kings.
The UNDER is 21-9 in the past 30 as a home favorite for the Kings.
The OVER is 7-3 in the past 10 vs. winning teams for the Kings.
The Predators are 9-1 in the past 10 meetings.
The Predators are 5-1 in the past six meetings in Los Angeles.
The OVER is 11-5-1 in the past 17 meetings in Los Angeles.

 

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 22

 

[CNOTES]

TUESDAY, MARCH 22
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

CLB at PIT 07:00 PM
PIT -333
O 6.5
+500 +500

NYR at NJ 07:00 PM
NYR -140
U 6.0
+500 +500

STL at WAS 07:00 PM
WAS -144
O 6.0
+500 +500

TB at CAR 07:00 PM
TB +106
O 5.5
+500 +500

PHI at DET 07:30 PM
DET -133
U 6.0
+500 +500

OTT at NYI 07:30 PM
NYI -204
U 5.5
+500 +500

VEG at WIN 08:00 PM
WIN -170
O 6.0
+500 +500

EDM at DAL 08:30 PM
EDM +107
U 6.0
+500 +500

SJ at CAL 09:00 PM
CAL -320
U 6.0
+500 +500

SEA at ARI 10:00 PM
ARI -103
U 6.0
+500 +500

NAS at LA 10:30 PM
LA -120
U 6.0
+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

MARCH NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Unit

03/22/2022........7-14-1..........33.33%............-54.35
03/20/2022..........3-8-1..........27.27%............-42.60
03/19/2022........12-8-2...........59.09%............+9.70
03/18/2022..........4-7-1..........37.50%.............-36.65
03/17/2022.......10-10-0..........50.00%.............-10.05
03/16/2022..........4-1-1..........75.00%............+13.35
03/15/2022........18-4-0...........81.82%...........+71.30
03/14/2022..........2-0-0..........100.00%..........+12.10
03/13/2022.........10-9-1...........52.50%...........-22.20
03/12/2022........9-11-0............45.00%............-16.80
03/11/2022..........5-3-0............62.50%...........+4.35
03/10/2022.......14-11-1............55.77%.............-9.35
03/09/2022..........2-2-0.............50.00%............-0.50
03/08/2022.......10-12-0.............45.45%..........-35.30
03/07/2022...........4-5-1.............45.00%...........-9.85
03/06/2022...........9-7-0.............56.25%..........+4.80
03/05/2022..........13-7-0............65.00%.........+15.35
03/04/2022............9-5-0............64.29%.........+12.95
03/03/2022............9-8-1............52.78%...........-30.65
03/02/2022............3-5-0............37.50%...........-30.30
03/01/2022...........10-8-0............55.56%............-0.25

TOTALS............169-145-8............53.82%.........-154.85



BEST BETS:

03/22/2022..........2-10-1..............16.66%.......-45.00
03/20/2022............2-4-1..............33.33%.......-12.00
03/19/2022............5-5-2..............50.00%........- 2.50
03/18/2022............2-3-1..............40.40%.........- 6.50
03/17/2022............8-3-0..............72.72%.......+ 23.50
03/16/2022............2-1-1..............66.66%.........+ 4.50
03/15/2022..........12-2-0..............85.71%.........+49.00
03/14/2022............2-0-0............100.00%.........+12.10
03/13/2022............6-3-0..............66.66%.........+13.50
03/12/2022............5-6-0..............45.45%...........- 8.00
03/11/2022............3-1-0..............75.00%...........+9.50
03/10/2022............8-7-1..............53.33%...........+1.75
03/09/2022............1-2-0..............33.33%............- 6.00
03/08/2022............8-5-0..............61.53%..........+12.50
03/07/2022............3-4-1..............42.85%............- 7.00
03/06/2022............5-5-0..............50.00%............- 2.35
03/05/2022............8-3-0..............72.72%..........+25.40
03/04/2022............4-3-0..............57.14%...........+ 3.50
03/03/2022............5-3-1..............62.50%...........+ 8.50
03/02/2022............2-2-0..............50.00%............- 1.00
03/01/2022............5-3-1..............62.50%............+ 8.50

TOTALS...............98-75-9..............56.64%...........+80.90


UPDATED ON 03/22/2022

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack
Odds to win the NBA championship:
4-1— Phoenix Suns
11-2— Golden State, Brooklyn
6-1— Milwaukee
13-2— Philadelphia
10-1— Miami
18-1— Utah, Boston

Quote of the Day
“Success is found in the mud. And the only way to effect positive change is to get your hands dirty.”
Cooper Kupp

Wednesday’s quiz
Where did Trae Young play his college basketball?

Tuesday’s quiz
Matt Ryan played his college football at Boston College.

Monday’s quiz
Last time a Pac-12 team won the NCAA Tournament was 1997, when Arizona won.

************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

13) You’ll have to excuse me if there are mistakes in this article today; left my house at 3:15am Tuesday, got to my hotel room in Las Vegas 13 hours later. Long day; I don’t enjoy flying much anymore, but Southwest does provide free movies on their Wi-Fi, so that helped some. For some reason, can’t sleep on planes.

First vacation in 29 months; good to get closer to normal.

12) By the way, my hotel room has Pac-12 Network, which is only time I ever see it, since DirecTV does not have it. 13 different home shopping channels, no Pac-12 Network. Terrific.

11) St Bonaventure 52, Virginia 51— Bonnies played four senior starters 40:00 each; one guy got in foul trouble and only played 28:00. What the hell are they going to do for players next year?

Why has no school hired Mark Schmidt as their coach? Six SEC teams changed coaches already this spring, and Schmidt still lives in Olean, where he is 268-172 in 15 years. The last eight years, Bonnies are 95-45 in league games. Pretty damn good.

Go get a map, find Olean, NY; draw a 100-mile circle around Olean, and see how many big cities you find. 74 miles from Buffalo, 116 from Rochester. Not exactly basketball hotbeds. What Schmidt has done with the Bonnies is remarkable.

10) Was surprised to hear that this is the last year the NIT Final Four will be in New York City; there was a time, back before even I was born, where the NIT was bigger than the NCAA’s. In 1950, City College of New York won both tournaments, and the NIT was the bigger deal.

9) Speaking of the coaching carousel:
— South Carolina hired Chattanooga coach Paris LaMont.
— Louisiana Tech coach Eric Konkol bolts to Tulsa.
— SMU coach Tim Jankovich retired; he was 24-9 this year, doubtful he got fired, but they also haven’t made the NCAA’s the last five years. Wealthy boosters tend to be impatient.

8) CBI tournament, where the final is 2:00 Wednesday afternoon:
— NC-Wilmington 80, Northern Colorado 64— Seahawks are 26-9, 18-4 in games decided by 7 or less less points. Before this season, UNCW had four losing years in a row.
— Middle Tennessee 85, Abilene Christian 69— Quick turnaround for the winners; MTSU is playing third day in row Wednesday, day game after a night game.

7) Does playing in the NIT, CBI help a team going forward? Getting on ESPN has to help some, but seems that teams like St Bonaventure, a very experienced team that fell just short in their conference, often do well in NIT/CBI-type events, then they almost have to regress the next season, since they’ll have whole new rosters.

6) We talked some about Dodger announcer Rick Monday last week; he was also a pretty good outfielder. Reader Glenn points out that Monday hit 11 home runs off of Hall of Fame hurler Tom Seaver, more than any other player. Impressive.

5) Major League Baseball announced some rule changes Tuesday:
— Rosters will be 28 guys until May 1st.
— Extra innings will start with a runner on second base.
— If your DH is also the starting pitcher, he can stay as the DH after he is done pitching, which is obviously called the Ohtani Rule.

4) Detroit Pistons lost 119-115 to Portland Monday, ending a 12-0-1 run ATS; they’ve lost six of last seven games SU, but have been keeping games closer lately.

3) 31 baseball players wound up heading to contract arbitration; all of those cases will be heard after the season starts, which shouldn’t cause too much of a problem, should it? (joke). Six of the 31 players play for the Mets.

2) If the NBA playoffs started today (they do not) the play-in games would be:
— East: Atlanta @ Toronto, Charlotte @ Brooklyn
— West: New Orleans @ Minnesota, Lakers @ Clippers

1) Was sitting in the Aria Sportsbook Tuesday night, reading the baseball over/unders, and odds to win it all; good Lord, the A’s are 80-1 to win the World Series. Who in their right mind would wager on the A’s to win the World Series? I have a better chance of dating Sharon Stone than the A’s do of being a contender this season.

 

[Udog]

TORONTO is 3-6 ATS (-15.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season in the current ...

BUFFALO is 8-7 ATS (13.1 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

VANCOUVER is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after scoring 2 goals or less in 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

ANAHEIM is 2-12 ATS (-10.3 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the 2nd half of the year.




NHL

Wednesday, March 23

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

New Jersey @ Toronto
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Jersey's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Jersey's last 7 games when playing Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey
Toronto is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing New Jersey

Pittsburgh @ Buffalo
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Vancouver @ Colorado
Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Vancouver's last 15 games
Colorado
Colorado is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vancouver

Chicago @ Anaheim
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Anaheim
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Anaheim
Anaheim
Anaheim is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Anaheim's last 7 games when playing Chicago


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 23

 

[CNOTES]

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 23
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

NJ at TOR 07:00 PM
TOR -294
O 7.0
+500 +500

PIT at BUF 07:30 PM
PIT -224
U 6.0
+500 +500

VAN at COL 09:30 PM
COL -255
O 6.5
+500 +500

CHI at ANA 10:00 PM
ANA -127
O 6.0
+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

MARCH NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Unit

03/23/2022..........1-6-1.........14.28%............-41.80
03/22/2022........7-14-1..........33.33%............-54.35
03/20/2022..........3-8-1..........27.27%............-42.60
03/19/2022........12-8-2...........59.09%............+9.70
03/18/2022..........4-7-1..........37.50%.............-36.65
03/17/2022.......10-10-0..........50.00%.............-10.05
03/16/2022..........4-1-1..........75.00%............+13.35
03/15/2022........18-4-0...........81.82%...........+71.30
03/14/2022..........2-0-0..........100.00%..........+12.10
03/13/2022.........10-9-1...........52.50%...........-22.20
03/12/2022........9-11-0............45.00%............-16.80
03/11/2022..........5-3-0............62.50%...........+4.35
03/10/2022.......14-11-1............55.77%.............-9.35
03/09/2022..........2-2-0.............50.00%............-0.50
03/08/2022.......10-12-0.............45.45%..........-35.30
03/07/2022...........4-5-1.............45.00%...........-9.85
03/06/2022...........9-7-0.............56.25%..........+4.80
03/05/2022..........13-7-0............65.00%.........+15.35
03/04/2022............9-5-0............64.29%.........+12.95
03/03/2022............9-8-1............52.78%...........-30.65
03/02/2022............3-5-0............37.50%...........-30.30
03/01/2022...........10-8-0............55.56%............-0.25

TOTALS............170-151-9............52.95%.........-196.65



BEST BETS:

03/23/2-22............0-4-0..............00.00%.......-22.00
03/22/2022..........2-10-1..............16.66%.......-45.00
03/20/2022............2-4-1..............33.33%.......-12.00
03/19/2022............5-5-2..............50.00%........- 2.50
03/18/2022............2-3-1..............40.40%.........- 6.50
03/17/2022............8-3-0..............72.72%.......+ 23.50
03/16/2022............2-1-1..............66.66%.........+ 4.50
03/15/2022..........12-2-0..............85.71%.........+49.00
03/14/2022............2-0-0............100.00%.........+12.10
03/13/2022............6-3-0..............66.66%.........+13.50
03/12/2022............5-6-0..............45.45%...........- 8.00
03/11/2022............3-1-0..............75.00%...........+9.50
03/10/2022............8-7-1..............53.33%...........+1.75
03/09/2022............1-2-0..............33.33%............- 6.00
03/08/2022............8-5-0..............61.53%..........+12.50
03/07/2022............3-4-1..............42.85%............- 7.00
03/06/2022............5-5-0..............50.00%............- 2.35
03/05/2022............8-3-0..............72.72%..........+25.40
03/04/2022............4-3-0..............57.14%...........+ 3.50
03/03/2022............5-3-1..............62.50%...........+ 8.50
03/02/2022............2-2-0..............50.00%............- 1.00
03/01/2022............5-3-1..............62.50%............+ 8.50

TOTALS...............98-79-9..............55.36%...........+58.90


UPDATED ON 03/23/2022

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack
Conference records (SU/ATS) in this year’s NCAA Tournament:
ACC— 8-2/8-2
Big East— 4-4/5-3
Big 14— 9-7/6-9-1
Big X— 9-3/8-4
Pac-12— 4-1/1-4
SEC— 4-5/2-7

Quote of the Day
“You can use moments during the season to catapult you. You can galvanize together over frustration and disappointment. Teams can also go the other way. I don’t see that with our group. I don’t see that with our locker room. But we have needed a kick in the butt.”
Miami Heat coach Erik Spoelstra

Thursday’s quiz
In the movie The Hangover, which Las Vegas hotel do the four friends stay in?

Wednesday’s quiz
Trae Young played his college basketball at Oklahoma.

Tuesday’s quiz
Matt Ryan played his college football at Boston College.

*****************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

13) Next time you’re in Las Vegas, I’m suggesting you have dinner at Maggiano’s, which is in the Fashion Show Mall across the Strip from Wynn and Encore. Excellent Italian place; if you get a seat by the window, you can watch people walk up/down the Strip, which is also fun.

12) Since 2015, #1-seeds in NCAA Tournament are 14-4-1 ATS in Sweet 16 games.

11) Since 2012, double digit favorites are 2-5 ATS in Sweet 16 games

10) Last four years, underdogs are 4-2 ATS when a #2-seed plays a #3-seed in Sweet 16.

9) Since 2000, Duke is 7-8 SU in Sweet 16 games.

8) Teams that win the NCAA Tournament tend to be teams that covered early round games; last time a team won the tournament after going 0-2 ATS in rounds 1-2 was 1997, when Arizona won it all. That is also the last season a Pac-12 team won the championship.

7) Mississippi State hired New Mexico State coach Chris Jans as its new coach; Jans was raking in $640,000 in Las Cruces, now he’ll be making $2.2M, where is he a small fish in a very deep SEC pond, as opposed to being one of the big fish in the shallow WAC pond.

6) Listening to the Braves-Rays game yesterday, Atlanta play-by-play guy Chip Caray has gotten so much better as an announcer; his grandfather Harry Caray was a legend, a total character. Skip Caray had a quirky sense of humor that he used often, but Chip Caray is more basic, and he has become very good behind the mike. Lot of pressure with some famous relatives preceding him.

5) Padres pitching prospect MacKenzie Gore wears number 1; weird seeing a pitcher wearing number one.

4) Kansas City Chiefs traded WR Tyreek Hill to the Dolphins for five draft picks; a first, a second, two fourths and a sixth round pick. Miami then gave Hill $30M a year for four years, as they commit to offense under new coach Mike McDaniel.

Over last three years, WR’s with most TD catches:
69— Davante Adams
60— Mike Evans
56— Tyreek Hill

Hill used to catch passes from Patrick Mahomes; now he’ll catch passes from Tua Tagovailoa, which is a huge downgrade. Miami will be an interesting team next fall.

3) NFL backup QB news:
— Dolphins brought in Teddy Bridgewater to back up Tagovailoa.
— Buffalo brought in Case Keenum to back up Josh Allen,
— Cleveland replaced Keenum with Jacoby Brissett, who figures to get 6+ starts once the NFL gives Watson his inevitable suspension, assuming that they’re going to deal Baker Mayfield..

Saints, Seahawks, Panthers still need a starting QB.

2) I’ve talked before how Major League Baseball has a marketing issue, as in, they suck at marketing their own product, which is a very good one.

I’m on my way out the door of my hotel Wednesday, and while there is a live spring training game on TV, the hotel bar, with three TV’s, has ESPN talk shows on, when you can’t even hear what they’re saying.

Baseball needs to promote itself to restaurant/hotel chains, to show their product to the public.

1) Two weeks to go until baseball season starts; Cubs had 55 players on their roster as of yesterday, which means they need to cut 27 guys pretty soon. Rosters will be 28 until May 1st, then drop to 26 the rest of the way.

 

[Udog]

TAMPA BAY is 0-6 ATS (-8.3 Units) against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

MONTREAL is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in home games after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.

CAROLINA is 12-0 ATS (12 Units) in home games in non-conference games in the current season.

DETROIT is 8-29 ATS (-18 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp over the last 2 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 12-34 ATS (-20.5 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

MINNESOTA is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in home games after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games in the current season.

WINNIPEG is 13-23 ATS (-14.9 Units) against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on >19% of chances in the 2nd half of the season.

SAN JOSE is 1-12 ATS (-9.5 Units) against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances in the 2nd half of the year.

LOS ANGELES are 34-26 ATS (11.7 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

NASHVILLE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after allowing 6 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

 

[Udog]

NHL

Thursday, March 24

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tampa Bay @ Boston
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay

Dallas @ Carolina
Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Carolina's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas

Florida @ Montreal
Florida
Florida is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Florida is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Montreal
Montreal is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Florida
Montreal is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Florida

Detroit @ NY Islanders
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Detroit's last 17 games
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
NY Islanders is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Vancouver @ Minnesota
Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Vancouver's last 7 games on the road
Vancouver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Minnesota
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Philadelphia @ St. Louis
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games on the road
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Ottawa @ Winnipeg
Ottawa
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Ottawa's last 12 games on the road
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

San Jose @ Edmonton
San Jose
San Jose is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Jose's last 7 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Edmonton's last 8 games at home

Chicago @ Los Angeles
Chicago
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Chicago is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Chicago
Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago

Nashville @ Vegas
Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Nashville's last 7 games
Vegas
Vegas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Vegas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

Lightning are 2-5 in the past seven games overall.
Lightning are 0-5 in the past five vs. winning teams.
Bruins are 5-1 in the past six games overall.
Bruins are 12-5 in the past 17 vs. Eastern Conference teams.
Bruins are 7-0 in the past seven vs. Atlantic Division teams.
The UNDER is 6-0 in the past six games for the Lightning.
The UNDER is 5-0 in the past five road games for the Lightning.
The UNDER is 5-0-1 in the past six vs. winning teams for the Lightning.
The UNDER is 3-0-1 in the past four vs. Eastern Conference teams for the Lightning.
The UNDER is 3-0-2 in the past five games for the Bruins.
The UNDER is 4-1-1 in the past six vs. Eastern Conference teams for the Bruins.
The UNDER is 3-0-1 in the past four vs. Atlantic Division teams for the Bruins.
The road team is 8-2 in the past 10 meetings.
The Lightning are 17-5 in the past 22 meetings.
The Lightning are 7-0 in the past seven trips to Boston.


Predators are 7-3 in the past 10 games overall.
Predators are 5-2 in the past seven vs. Western Conference teams.
Predators are 2-5 in the past seven as a road underdog.
Golden Knights are 2-7 in the past nine games overall.
Golden Knights are 4-1 in the past five home games.
Golden Knights are 2-6 in the past eight vs. winning teams.
Golden Knights are 0-9 in the past nine vs. Central Division teams.
Golden Knights are 5-11 in the past 16 vs. Western Conference teams.
The OVER is 4-0 in the past four games for the Predators.
The OVER is 5-1 in the past six games as a 'dog for the Predators.
The OVER is 22-6 in the past 28 road games for the Predators.
The OVER is 19-7 in the past 26 vs. Western Conference teams for the Predators.
The OVER is 5-2 in the past seven games for the Golden Knights.
The OVER is 4-1 in the past five vs. winning teams for the Golden Knights.
The UNDER is 10-4-1 in the past 15 vs. Western Conference teams for the Golden Knights.
The UNDER is 7-1 in the past eight vs. Central Division teams for the Golden Knights.
The road team is 5-0 in the past five meetings.
The underdog is 5-0 in the past five meetings.

 

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, March 24

 

[CNOTES]

THURSDAY, MARCH 24
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

TB at BOS 07:00 PM
BOS -105
O 5.5
+500 +500

FLA at MON 07:00 PM
FLA -270
O 6.5
+500 +500

DAL at CAR 07:00 PM
DAL +192
U 6.0
+500 +500

DET at NYI 07:30 PM
NYI -214
O 6.0
+500 +500

VAN at MIN 08:00 PM
MIN -191
U 6.0
+500 +500

PHI at STL 08:00 PM
STL -234
O 6.0
+500 +500

OTT at WIN 08:00 PM
WIN -234
O 6.0
+500 +500

SJ at EDM 09:00 PM
EDM -233
U 6.5
+500 +500

CHI at LA 10:00 PM
LA -178
U 6.0
+500 +500

NAS at VEG 10:00 PM
VEG +110
O 6.0
+500 +500