SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 27
Game Time(ET) Pick Units
EDM at CAR 01:00 PM
CAR -193
O 6.5
+500 +500
BUF at DAL 02:00 PM
DAL -286
O 5.5
+500 +500
STL at CHI 03:00 PM
STL -152
O 6.0
+500 +500
WIN at ARI 04:00 PM
WIN -162
O 5.5
+500 +500
PIT at CLB 06:00 PM
PIT -175
O 6.5
+500 +500
VAN at NYR 07:30 PM
NYR -129
+500
NYI at ANA 08:30 PM
ANA -119
+500
SEA at SJ 10:00 PM
O 5.5
+500
Game Time(ET) Pick Units
EDM at CAR 01:00 PM
CAR -193
O 6.5
+500 +500
BUF at DAL 02:00 PM
DAL -286
O 5.5
+500 +500
STL at CHI 03:00 PM
STL -152
O 6.0
+500 +500
WIN at ARI 04:00 PM
WIN -162
O 5.5
+500 +500
PIT at CLB 06:00 PM
PIT -175
O 6.5
+500 +500
VAN at NYR 07:30 PM
NYR -129
+500
NYI at ANA 08:30 PM
ANA -119
+500
SEA at SJ 10:00 PM
O 5.5
+500
FEBRUARY'S NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !
Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Unit
02/27/2022.........7-6-0........53.85%.............+0.60
02/26/2022.......5-14-1........26.31%.............-58.85
02/25/2022.........5-7-0........41.67%.............-19.10
02/24/2022.......6-10-0........37.50%.............-53.00
02/23/2022.........8-2-0........80.00%............+29.50
02/22/2022.........4-7-1........37.50%.............-35.85
02/20/2022.........7-7-0........50.00%.............-18.65
02/19/2022.........5-6-1........45.83%.............-14.95
02/18/2022.........5-2-0........71.43%............+11.60
02/17/2022.......5-15-0........25.00%.............-68.65
02/16/2022.........4-4-0........50.00%..............-3.15
02/15/2022.........9-8-0........52.94%.............-10.90
02/02/2022.........3-6-1........35.00%.............-22.55
02/01/2022.......13-9-0........59.09%............+35.10
TOTALS..........86-103-4.........45.50%............-228.45
BEST BETS:
02/27/2022........2-4-0..........33.33%............-12.00
02/26/2022......3-10-1..........23.07%............-40.00
02/25/2022........2-6-0..........25.00%............-23.00
02/24/2022........2-5-0..........28.57%............-17.50
02/23/2022........4-2-0..........66.66%...........+ 9.00
02/22/2022........2-7-0..........28.57%...........- 17.50
02/20/2022........3-4-0..........42.85%............- 7.00
02/19/2022........2-3-1..........40.00%.............-6.50
02/18/2022........3-1-0..........75.00%............+9.50
02/17/2022.......4-11-0.........26.66%............-40.50
02/16/2022.........2-3-0.........40.00%.............-5.50
02/15/2022.........4-4-0.........50.00%.............-2.00
01/02/2022.........0-6-0.........00.00%.............-33.00
02/01/2022.........7-8-0.........46.66%............+10.75
TOTALS............40-74-3.........35.08%.............-180.25
02/27/2022
Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Unit
02/27/2022.........7-6-0........53.85%.............+0.60
02/26/2022.......5-14-1........26.31%.............-58.85
02/25/2022.........5-7-0........41.67%.............-19.10
02/24/2022.......6-10-0........37.50%.............-53.00
02/23/2022.........8-2-0........80.00%............+29.50
02/22/2022.........4-7-1........37.50%.............-35.85
02/20/2022.........7-7-0........50.00%.............-18.65
02/19/2022.........5-6-1........45.83%.............-14.95
02/18/2022.........5-2-0........71.43%............+11.60
02/17/2022.......5-15-0........25.00%.............-68.65
02/16/2022.........4-4-0........50.00%..............-3.15
02/15/2022.........9-8-0........52.94%.............-10.90
02/02/2022.........3-6-1........35.00%.............-22.55
02/01/2022.......13-9-0........59.09%............+35.10
TOTALS..........86-103-4.........45.50%............-228.45
BEST BETS:
02/27/2022........2-4-0..........33.33%............-12.00
02/26/2022......3-10-1..........23.07%............-40.00
02/25/2022........2-6-0..........25.00%............-23.00
02/24/2022........2-5-0..........28.57%............-17.50
02/23/2022........4-2-0..........66.66%...........+ 9.00
02/22/2022........2-7-0..........28.57%...........- 17.50
02/20/2022........3-4-0..........42.85%............- 7.00
02/19/2022........2-3-1..........40.00%.............-6.50
02/18/2022........3-1-0..........75.00%............+9.50
02/17/2022.......4-11-0.........26.66%............-40.50
02/16/2022.........2-3-0.........40.00%.............-5.50
02/15/2022.........4-4-0.........50.00%.............-2.00
01/02/2022.........0-6-0.........00.00%.............-33.00
02/01/2022.........7-8-0.........46.66%............+10.75
TOTALS............40-74-3.........35.08%.............-180.25
02/27/2022
Armadillo Sports
Monday’s 6-pack
Worst free throw shooting teams in the country:
59.6%— Sam Houston State
61.3%— Nicholls State
62.7%— Jackson State
62.9%— Columbia
63.4%— Army
63.4%— Rhode Island
Quote of the Day
“I don’t think it helps us (for March Madness) but what it does is for the NET and league standings, I don’t know how you — its a lopsided scheduled compared to the other teams. It just is. But that’s okay. We’re playing for something bigger than just a seed or a league championship. You know we always play bigger than that. We’ve had teams finish fourth in this league and we’ve played in the last game of this year. We’re going to keep trying to get better.”
John Calipari
Monday’s quiz
In the last 14 years, how many times have the NBA Finals gone seven games?
Sunday’s quiz
Ja Morant played his college basketball at Murray State.
Saturday’s quiz
James Harden has played for four NBA teams; Thunder, Rockets, Nets, 76ers.
*******************************
Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend……..
13) 76ers 125, Knicks 109:
— Joel Embiid was 23-27 from the foul line. Just him. 23 for 27.
— Philly was 39-44 on foul line, Knicks 22-35.
— James Harden had 29 points, 16 assists, 10 rebounds
12) In Harden’s first two games with the 76ers, he is 8-14 on 3-pointers; in 275 games with the 76ers, Ben Simmons was 5-34 on the arc. Embiid has to be happier than hell with this trade.
11) Random NBA stat; San Antonio Spurs are 8-3 ATS if they played the night before.
10) There is a kid that plays basketball for Long Beach State named Aboubacar Traore; on January 27, he had 23 rebounds in a game against Cal-Riverside. Big deal you say, but I say,
Aboubacar Traore is only 6-foot-5; you know how hard it is for anyone to get 23 rebounds in a D-I game, much less a guy who is 6-5?
Outstanding effort can make an ordinary player good, a good player great; rebounding is a lot about positioning and effort, but mostly effort.
Long Beach won 12 of its last 14 games, will be a tough out in the Big West tourney.
9) Illinois 93, Michigan 85:
— Illinois shot 10-17 on arc, only 15-25 on foul line.
— Michigan is 15-12, very much a bubble team, probably the wrong side of it.
8) Memphis 81, Wichita State 57:
— Wichita State is 4-9 in AAC this year after they ended last season with consecutive one-point losses in AAC and NCAA tourneys.
— Shockers went 157-41 in conference games in Gregg Marshall’s last 11 years as their coach, but he got fired for non-basketball reasons. You wonder how many people in Wichita are regretting that decision now.
7) Princeton 74, Harvard 73:
— Tigers lead the Ivy League by a game over Yale.
— Harvard will miss the 4-team Ivy tournament for the first time.
6) Iona 67, Rider 61:
— Rick Pitino’s Gaels lead MAAC by four games, but they’re still going to have to win the MAAC tournament to get into March Madness.
— Iona starts four seniors, has #31 eFG% defense, and a Hall of Fame coach.
5) Pelicans 123, Lakers 95:
— Lakers are 27-33; they gave up 44 points in 3rd quarter of this game.
— This would be the Lakers’ 7th losing season in nine years, even with an NBA title two years ago. The fans aren’t happy.
4) Toronto Maple Leafs won a hockey game 10-7 Saturday night; this was first time in 11 years that there were 17+ goals scored in an NHL game. Leafs led 7-2 at one point, then it was 7-6, but Toronto pulled away in the third period.
3) QB Paxton Lynch was Denver’s first pick in the 2016 NFL Draft; he started four games over two seasons for Denver, was released and has bounced around pro football since. Last year, he was the 3rd string QB for Saskatchewan Roughriders in the CFL.
In April, Lynch will be playing for the Michigan Panthers in the USFL; will be interesting to see if he can revive a once-promising career by playing spring football.
2) Tampa Bay Bucs’ guard Ali Marpet retired this weekend at age 28, after seven years in the NFL. This is a guy who played D-III college ball at Hobart, then made himself into a Pro Bowl lineman. Buccaneers are going to miss him.
1) If you have HBO Max, I’ll recommend an old TV show to watch; Without a Trace was a show about a FBI Missing Persons Squad that found missing people by applying using psychological profiling to get clues. Show was on for seven years; Anthony LaPaglia was great as Jack Malone, the star of the show. If you’re looking for a program to binge-watch, this is a good one.
Monday’s 6-pack
Worst free throw shooting teams in the country:
59.6%— Sam Houston State
61.3%— Nicholls State
62.7%— Jackson State
62.9%— Columbia
63.4%— Army
63.4%— Rhode Island
Quote of the Day
“I don’t think it helps us (for March Madness) but what it does is for the NET and league standings, I don’t know how you — its a lopsided scheduled compared to the other teams. It just is. But that’s okay. We’re playing for something bigger than just a seed or a league championship. You know we always play bigger than that. We’ve had teams finish fourth in this league and we’ve played in the last game of this year. We’re going to keep trying to get better.”
John Calipari
Monday’s quiz
In the last 14 years, how many times have the NBA Finals gone seven games?
Sunday’s quiz
Ja Morant played his college basketball at Murray State.
Saturday’s quiz
James Harden has played for four NBA teams; Thunder, Rockets, Nets, 76ers.
*******************************
Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend……..
13) 76ers 125, Knicks 109:
— Joel Embiid was 23-27 from the foul line. Just him. 23 for 27.
— Philly was 39-44 on foul line, Knicks 22-35.
— James Harden had 29 points, 16 assists, 10 rebounds
12) In Harden’s first two games with the 76ers, he is 8-14 on 3-pointers; in 275 games with the 76ers, Ben Simmons was 5-34 on the arc. Embiid has to be happier than hell with this trade.
11) Random NBA stat; San Antonio Spurs are 8-3 ATS if they played the night before.
10) There is a kid that plays basketball for Long Beach State named Aboubacar Traore; on January 27, he had 23 rebounds in a game against Cal-Riverside. Big deal you say, but I say,
Aboubacar Traore is only 6-foot-5; you know how hard it is for anyone to get 23 rebounds in a D-I game, much less a guy who is 6-5?
Outstanding effort can make an ordinary player good, a good player great; rebounding is a lot about positioning and effort, but mostly effort.
Long Beach won 12 of its last 14 games, will be a tough out in the Big West tourney.
9) Illinois 93, Michigan 85:
— Illinois shot 10-17 on arc, only 15-25 on foul line.
— Michigan is 15-12, very much a bubble team, probably the wrong side of it.
8) Memphis 81, Wichita State 57:
— Wichita State is 4-9 in AAC this year after they ended last season with consecutive one-point losses in AAC and NCAA tourneys.
— Shockers went 157-41 in conference games in Gregg Marshall’s last 11 years as their coach, but he got fired for non-basketball reasons. You wonder how many people in Wichita are regretting that decision now.
7) Princeton 74, Harvard 73:
— Tigers lead the Ivy League by a game over Yale.
— Harvard will miss the 4-team Ivy tournament for the first time.
6) Iona 67, Rider 61:
— Rick Pitino’s Gaels lead MAAC by four games, but they’re still going to have to win the MAAC tournament to get into March Madness.
— Iona starts four seniors, has #31 eFG% defense, and a Hall of Fame coach.
5) Pelicans 123, Lakers 95:
— Lakers are 27-33; they gave up 44 points in 3rd quarter of this game.
— This would be the Lakers’ 7th losing season in nine years, even with an NBA title two years ago. The fans aren’t happy.
4) Toronto Maple Leafs won a hockey game 10-7 Saturday night; this was first time in 11 years that there were 17+ goals scored in an NHL game. Leafs led 7-2 at one point, then it was 7-6, but Toronto pulled away in the third period.
3) QB Paxton Lynch was Denver’s first pick in the 2016 NFL Draft; he started four games over two seasons for Denver, was released and has bounced around pro football since. Last year, he was the 3rd string QB for Saskatchewan Roughriders in the CFL.
In April, Lynch will be playing for the Michigan Panthers in the USFL; will be interesting to see if he can revive a once-promising career by playing spring football.
2) Tampa Bay Bucs’ guard Ali Marpet retired this weekend at age 28, after seven years in the NFL. This is a guy who played D-III college ball at Hobart, then made himself into a Pro Bowl lineman. Buccaneers are going to miss him.
1) If you have HBO Max, I’ll recommend an old TV show to watch; Without a Trace was a show about a FBI Missing Persons Squad that found missing people by applying using psychological profiling to get clues. Show was on for seven years; Anthony LaPaglia was great as Jack Malone, the star of the show. If you’re looking for a program to binge-watch, this is a good one.
NEW JERSEY is 4-27 ATS (-25.9 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the current season.
LOS ANGELES are 28-20 ATS (11.3 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.
NHL
Dunkel
Monday, February 28
NHL
Monday, February 28
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Vancouver @ New Jersey
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games
New Jersey
New Jersey is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing Vancouver
Toronto @ Washington
Toronto
Toronto is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Toronto
Boston @ Los Angeles
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LOS ANGELES are 28-20 ATS (11.3 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.
NHL
Dunkel
Monday, February 28
NHL
Monday, February 28
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Vancouver @ New Jersey
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games
New Jersey
New Jersey is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing Vancouver
Toronto @ Washington
Toronto
Toronto is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Toronto
Boston @ Los Angeles
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FEBRUARY'S NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !
Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Unit
02/28/2022.........3-3-0........50.00%..............-1.50
02/27/2022.........7-6-0........53.85%.............+0.60
02/26/2022.......5-14-1........26.31%.............-58.85
02/25/2022.........5-7-0........41.67%.............-19.10
02/24/2022.......6-10-0........37.50%.............-53.00
02/23/2022.........8-2-0........80.00%............+29.50
02/22/2022.........4-7-1........37.50%.............-35.85
02/20/2022.........7-7-0........50.00%.............-18.65
02/19/2022.........5-6-1........45.83%.............-14.95
02/18/2022.........5-2-0........71.43%............+11.60
02/17/2022.......5-15-0........25.00%.............-68.65
02/16/2022.........4-4-0........50.00%..............-3.15
02/15/2022.........9-8-0........52.94%.............-10.90
02/02/2022.........3-6-1........35.00%.............-22.55
02/01/2022.......13-9-0........59.09%............+35.10
TOTALS..........89-106-4.........45.64%............-229.95
BEST BETS:
02/28/2022........1-3-0..........25.00%............-11.50
02/27/2022........2-4-0..........33.33%............-12.00
02/26/2022......3-10-1..........23.07%............-40.00
02/25/2022........2-6-0..........25.00%............-23.00
02/24/2022........2-5-0..........28.57%............-17.50
02/23/2022........4-2-0..........66.66%...........+ 9.00
02/22/2022........2-7-0..........28.57%...........- 17.50
02/20/2022........3-4-0..........42.85%............- 7.00
02/19/2022........2-3-1..........40.00%.............-6.50
02/18/2022........3-1-0..........75.00%............+9.50
02/17/2022.......4-11-0.........26.66%............-40.50
02/16/2022.........2-3-0.........40.00%.............-5.50
02/15/2022.........4-4-0.........50.00%.............-2.00
01/02/2022.........0-6-0.........00.00%.............-33.00
02/01/2022.........7-8-0.........46.66%............+10.75
TOTALS............41-77-3.........34.74%.............-191.75
02/28/2022
Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Unit
02/28/2022.........3-3-0........50.00%..............-1.50
02/27/2022.........7-6-0........53.85%.............+0.60
02/26/2022.......5-14-1........26.31%.............-58.85
02/25/2022.........5-7-0........41.67%.............-19.10
02/24/2022.......6-10-0........37.50%.............-53.00
02/23/2022.........8-2-0........80.00%............+29.50
02/22/2022.........4-7-1........37.50%.............-35.85
02/20/2022.........7-7-0........50.00%.............-18.65
02/19/2022.........5-6-1........45.83%.............-14.95
02/18/2022.........5-2-0........71.43%............+11.60
02/17/2022.......5-15-0........25.00%.............-68.65
02/16/2022.........4-4-0........50.00%..............-3.15
02/15/2022.........9-8-0........52.94%.............-10.90
02/02/2022.........3-6-1........35.00%.............-22.55
02/01/2022.......13-9-0........59.09%............+35.10
TOTALS..........89-106-4.........45.64%............-229.95
BEST BETS:
02/28/2022........1-3-0..........25.00%............-11.50
02/27/2022........2-4-0..........33.33%............-12.00
02/26/2022......3-10-1..........23.07%............-40.00
02/25/2022........2-6-0..........25.00%............-23.00
02/24/2022........2-5-0..........28.57%............-17.50
02/23/2022........4-2-0..........66.66%...........+ 9.00
02/22/2022........2-7-0..........28.57%...........- 17.50
02/20/2022........3-4-0..........42.85%............- 7.00
02/19/2022........2-3-1..........40.00%.............-6.50
02/18/2022........3-1-0..........75.00%............+9.50
02/17/2022.......4-11-0.........26.66%............-40.50
02/16/2022.........2-3-0.........40.00%.............-5.50
02/15/2022.........4-4-0.........50.00%.............-2.00
01/02/2022.........0-6-0.........00.00%.............-33.00
02/01/2022.........7-8-0.........46.66%............+10.75
TOTALS............41-77-3.........34.74%.............-191.75
02/28/2022
Armadillo Sports
Tuesday’s 6-pack
Best offensive rebounding teams in the country:
6) Memphis
5) Buffalo
4) Houston
3) UConn
2) TCU
1) Kentucky
Quote of the Day
“Players are used to their ‘threats.’ Owners’ actions have made it clear all along that they have a set # of games where they still make profits/get TV money. They don’t want to play. It’s sad that these are the guys who drive the direction and ‘future’ of our amazing sport.”
Major league pitcher Jameson Taillon
Tuesday’s quiz
Which three schools has John Calipari led to a Final Four?
Monday’s quiz
In the last 14 years, the NBA Finals gone seven games three times; there has been one sweep (2018, Warriors over Cleveland).
Sunday’s quiz
Ja Morant played his college basketball at Murray State.
********************************
Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….
13) Welcome to March, one of the best months of the year. We better enjoy it too, since the morons who run baseball look like they’re running that sport into the ground. April might be a slow month this year (looking forward to the USFL).
This will be our first normal March Madness since 2019; there is no dominant team, and it is going to be fun to watch. Handicapping will be difficult, but when isn’t it?
12) If you’re looking at the best metric to define success in the NCAA Tournament, I’d look at:
— offensive and defensive efficiency
Teams that don’t rank in the top 20 in efficiency haven’t been winning national titles.
We’ll get more into that next week, with the conference tournaments going on.
11) Since 1985, no team lost their first conference tournament game, then won the national title. Four national champs (1985-87-95-97) didn’t have a conference tournament that year.
From 1990-2013, 13 of 22 national champs also won their conference tournament; since 2014, only one national champ (Villanova, 2018) won their conference tournament.
10) Took me two months, but I finally saw American Underdog, the Kurt Warner movie. Was different than I thought it would be, probably a little better too.
One excellent tidbit; in the last Arena League game Warner played in, the 1996 Arena Bowl, the Iowa Barnstormers were driving for the winning score; on the last play, Warner completed a pass, but the receiver was tackled on the one-yard line, and Iowa lost 42-38.
3.5 years later, Warner’s St Louis Rams won the Super Bowl with an almost-identical ending, adding to the Hollywood-like story of his football career.
Bruce McGill is in the movie; he is a great actor, this generation’s Jack Warden. He plays the coach of the Barnstormers, the guy who actually invented Arena Football. Dennis Quaid plays Dick Vermeil, Anna Paquin plays Brenda Warner.
Not one curse word in the whole movie, which is unusual. Very good movie.
9) North Carolina 88, Syracuse 79 OT
— Syracuse (+7.5) is a very bad beat.
— Eight guys in this game played 41:00+.
— Tar Heels won 10 of their last 12 games.
8) Central Connecticut 67, FDU 66:
— Blue Devils trailed by 15 with 18:10 left in game.
— CCSU moves on to play top-seed Bryant in NEC tourney.
7) Washington State 103, Oregon State 97 OT:
— Beavers were in Elite 8 LY; they’re 3-25 this year, 0-15 in 2022.
— Coogs shot 69.2% inside arc, OSU 67.5%. Lot of layups.
6) Purdue plays at Wisconsin Tuesday night; Boilers are 6-0 vs teams in Kenpom’s top 25, but they’re also 1-5 this season when they score less than 70 points. Wisconsin won its last 17 games when giving up less than 70 points.
5) There is a movement among NFL teams that in playoff games that go to overtime, both teams should get a possession. Sounds like a good idea.
4) Arizona Cardinals will host a game in Mexico next fall; Jaguars will play a game in England, Buccaneers will play in Germany. Packers-Saints will meet in England.
3) Raiders/Jaguars is the Hall of Fame Game in Canton this summer; Josh McDaniels is the Raiders’ new coach; he played his high school games on that field.
2) Derek Jeter quit as CEO of the Miami Marlins Monday; he is selling his 4% of the team, which is worth an estimated $40-44M.
In five years since the team was sold, Marlins went 295-412, though they did make the playoffs in the shortened 2020 season.
Jeter inherited a team with Stanton-Ozuna-Yelich-Realmuto. He traded all four of them, with Sandy Alcantara the only player he got back who has evolved into a star.
Media will never say a bad word about Jeter, especially in New York, but he did a cruddy job in Miami. Interesting to see where they go from here; will they put that ugly statue back behind the centerfield fence? Will they ever contend again? In 2020, they made the playoffs, but they were only 31-29 in the regular season.
1) There are 510 players in the NBA; only 129 of them get 10+ shots a game. To make it in the NBA, you need to be great at spassing or at omething when you don’t have the ball— getting loose balls, rebounding, defending, screening, running the floor.
Effort/energy wins games; players that defend/rebound will make rosters, get playing time.
Tuesday’s 6-pack
Best offensive rebounding teams in the country:
6) Memphis
5) Buffalo
4) Houston
3) UConn
2) TCU
1) Kentucky
Quote of the Day
“Players are used to their ‘threats.’ Owners’ actions have made it clear all along that they have a set # of games where they still make profits/get TV money. They don’t want to play. It’s sad that these are the guys who drive the direction and ‘future’ of our amazing sport.”
Major league pitcher Jameson Taillon
Tuesday’s quiz
Which three schools has John Calipari led to a Final Four?
Monday’s quiz
In the last 14 years, the NBA Finals gone seven games three times; there has been one sweep (2018, Warriors over Cleveland).
Sunday’s quiz
Ja Morant played his college basketball at Murray State.
********************************
Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….
13) Welcome to March, one of the best months of the year. We better enjoy it too, since the morons who run baseball look like they’re running that sport into the ground. April might be a slow month this year (looking forward to the USFL).
This will be our first normal March Madness since 2019; there is no dominant team, and it is going to be fun to watch. Handicapping will be difficult, but when isn’t it?
12) If you’re looking at the best metric to define success in the NCAA Tournament, I’d look at:
— offensive and defensive efficiency
Teams that don’t rank in the top 20 in efficiency haven’t been winning national titles.
We’ll get more into that next week, with the conference tournaments going on.
11) Since 1985, no team lost their first conference tournament game, then won the national title. Four national champs (1985-87-95-97) didn’t have a conference tournament that year.
From 1990-2013, 13 of 22 national champs also won their conference tournament; since 2014, only one national champ (Villanova, 2018) won their conference tournament.
10) Took me two months, but I finally saw American Underdog, the Kurt Warner movie. Was different than I thought it would be, probably a little better too.
One excellent tidbit; in the last Arena League game Warner played in, the 1996 Arena Bowl, the Iowa Barnstormers were driving for the winning score; on the last play, Warner completed a pass, but the receiver was tackled on the one-yard line, and Iowa lost 42-38.
3.5 years later, Warner’s St Louis Rams won the Super Bowl with an almost-identical ending, adding to the Hollywood-like story of his football career.
Bruce McGill is in the movie; he is a great actor, this generation’s Jack Warden. He plays the coach of the Barnstormers, the guy who actually invented Arena Football. Dennis Quaid plays Dick Vermeil, Anna Paquin plays Brenda Warner.
Not one curse word in the whole movie, which is unusual. Very good movie.
9) North Carolina 88, Syracuse 79 OT
— Syracuse (+7.5) is a very bad beat.
— Eight guys in this game played 41:00+.
— Tar Heels won 10 of their last 12 games.
8) Central Connecticut 67, FDU 66:
— Blue Devils trailed by 15 with 18:10 left in game.
— CCSU moves on to play top-seed Bryant in NEC tourney.
7) Washington State 103, Oregon State 97 OT:
— Beavers were in Elite 8 LY; they’re 3-25 this year, 0-15 in 2022.
— Coogs shot 69.2% inside arc, OSU 67.5%. Lot of layups.
6) Purdue plays at Wisconsin Tuesday night; Boilers are 6-0 vs teams in Kenpom’s top 25, but they’re also 1-5 this season when they score less than 70 points. Wisconsin won its last 17 games when giving up less than 70 points.
5) There is a movement among NFL teams that in playoff games that go to overtime, both teams should get a possession. Sounds like a good idea.
4) Arizona Cardinals will host a game in Mexico next fall; Jaguars will play a game in England, Buccaneers will play in Germany. Packers-Saints will meet in England.
3) Raiders/Jaguars is the Hall of Fame Game in Canton this summer; Josh McDaniels is the Raiders’ new coach; he played his high school games on that field.
2) Derek Jeter quit as CEO of the Miami Marlins Monday; he is selling his 4% of the team, which is worth an estimated $40-44M.
In five years since the team was sold, Marlins went 295-412, though they did make the playoffs in the shortened 2020 season.
Jeter inherited a team with Stanton-Ozuna-Yelich-Realmuto. He traded all four of them, with Sandy Alcantara the only player he got back who has evolved into a star.
Media will never say a bad word about Jeter, especially in New York, but he did a cruddy job in Miami. Interesting to see where they go from here; will they put that ugly statue back behind the centerfield fence? Will they ever contend again? In 2020, they made the playoffs, but they were only 31-29 in the regular season.
1) There are 510 players in the NBA; only 129 of them get 10+ shots a game. To make it in the NBA, you need to be great at spassing or at omething when you don’t have the ball— getting loose balls, rebounding, defending, screening, running the floor.
Effort/energy wins games; players that defend/rebound will make rosters, get playing time.
TAMPA BAY is 109-53 ATS (28.8 Units) against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 4-27 ATS (-25.9 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the current season.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-28 ATS (-19.4 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.
CAROLINA is 15-2 ATS (12.8 Units) after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games in the current season.
CALGARY is 10-4 ATS (7.4 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the current season.
MONTREAL is 5-25 ATS (-18.1 Units) against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.
NY ISLANDERS are 4-18 ATS (-15.6 Units) vs. winning teams in the current season.
VEGAS are 38-10 ATS (21 Units) against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 16-40 ATS (-28 Units) in home games after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 4-27 ATS (-25.9 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the current season.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-28 ATS (-19.4 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.
CAROLINA is 15-2 ATS (12.8 Units) after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games in the current season.
CALGARY is 10-4 ATS (7.4 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the current season.
MONTREAL is 5-25 ATS (-18.1 Units) against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.
NY ISLANDERS are 4-18 ATS (-15.6 Units) vs. winning teams in the current season.
VEGAS are 38-10 ATS (21 Units) against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 16-40 ATS (-28 Units) in home games after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.
NHL
Tuesday, March 1
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
New Jersey @ Columbus
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Jersey's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games on the road
Columbus
Columbus is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Jersey
Columbus is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing New Jersey
Edmonton @ Philadelphia
Edmonton
Edmonton is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Ottawa @ Tampa Bay
Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games on the road
Ottawa is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Carolina @ Detroit
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games on the road
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games
Calgary @ Minnesota
Calgary
Calgary is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing at home against Calgary
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Montreal @ Winnipeg
Montreal
Montreal is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Montreal is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Winnipeg's last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Winnipeg's last 12 games when playing at home against Montreal
NY Islanders @ Colorado
NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Islanders's last 7 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 6 games on the road
Colorado
Colorado is 20-2 SU in its last 22 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
Boston @ Anaheim
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games on the road
Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
Anaheim is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Boston
San Jose @ Vegas
San Jose
San Jose is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
San Jose is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Vegas
Vegas
Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
Vegas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Jose
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tuesday, March 1
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
New Jersey @ Columbus
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Jersey's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games on the road
Columbus
Columbus is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Jersey
Columbus is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing New Jersey
Edmonton @ Philadelphia
Edmonton
Edmonton is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Ottawa @ Tampa Bay
Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games on the road
Ottawa is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Carolina @ Detroit
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games on the road
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games
Calgary @ Minnesota
Calgary
Calgary is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing at home against Calgary
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Montreal @ Winnipeg
Montreal
Montreal is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Montreal is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Winnipeg's last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Winnipeg's last 12 games when playing at home against Montreal
NY Islanders @ Colorado
NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Islanders's last 7 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 6 games on the road
Colorado
Colorado is 20-2 SU in its last 22 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
Boston @ Anaheim
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games on the road
Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
Anaheim is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Boston
San Jose @ Vegas
San Jose
San Jose is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
San Jose is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Vegas
Vegas
Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
Vegas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Jose
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TUESDAY, MARCH 1
Game Time(ET) Pick Units
NJ at CLB 07:00 PM
NJ -102
O 6.5
+500 +500
EDM at PHI 07:00 PM
EDM -152
O 6.5
+500 +500
OTT at TB 07:00 PM
TB -420
O 6.0
+500 +500
CAR at DET 07:30 PM
CAR -197
O 6.5
+500 +500
MON at WIN 08:00 PM
WIN -205
U 6.0
+500 +500
CAL at MIN 08:00 PM
MIN +112
O 6.5
+500 +500
NYI at COL 09:00 PM
COL -277
O 5.5
+500 +500
BOS at ANA 10:00 PM
BOS -166
U 5.5
+500 +500
SJ at VEG 10:00 PM
VEG -244
U 5.5
+500 +500
Game Time(ET) Pick Units
NJ at CLB 07:00 PM
NJ -102
O 6.5
+500 +500
EDM at PHI 07:00 PM
EDM -152
O 6.5
+500 +500
OTT at TB 07:00 PM
TB -420
O 6.0
+500 +500
CAR at DET 07:30 PM
CAR -197
O 6.5
+500 +500
MON at WIN 08:00 PM
WIN -205
U 6.0
+500 +500
CAL at MIN 08:00 PM
MIN +112
O 6.5
+500 +500
NYI at COL 09:00 PM
COL -277
O 5.5
+500 +500
BOS at ANA 10:00 PM
BOS -166
U 5.5
+500 +500
SJ at VEG 10:00 PM
VEG -244
U 5.5
+500 +500
MARCH NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !
Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Unit
03/01/2022...........10-8-0............55.56%............-0.25
TOTALS.................10-8-0............55.56%............-0.25
BEST BETS:
03/01/2022............5-3-1..............62.50%............+ 8.50
TOTALS..................5-3-1..............62.50%............+ 8.50
UPDATED ON 03/01/2022
Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Unit
03/01/2022...........10-8-0............55.56%............-0.25
TOTALS.................10-8-0............55.56%............-0.25
BEST BETS:
03/01/2022............5-3-1..............62.50%............+ 8.50
TOTALS..................5-3-1..............62.50%............+ 8.50
UPDATED ON 03/01/2022
Armadillo Sports
Wednesday’s 6-pack
Some of the most experienced teams in the country:
1) Manhattan
2) Cleveland State
5) Southern Utah
7) Providence
9) St Bonaventure
10) Penn State
Quote of the Day
“We all get along good, and I’m glad he’s (Bieniemy) back with us and rolling. My thought was that he potentially would get a head-coaching job, which I would have been happy with, too. But that’s not the way it worked out.”
Andy Reid, talking about his OC, Eric Bieniemy
Wednesday’s quiz
Who played the judge in the classic movie, My Cousin Vinny?
(Hint: He is most famous as the star of a 60’s TV comedy)
Tuesday’s quiz
John Calipari has led UMass, Memphis and Kentucky to Final Fours.
Monday’s quiz
In the last 14 years, the NBA Finals gone seven games three times; there has been one sweep (2018, Warriors over Cleveland).
*****************************
Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….
13) Sad day for baseball fans Tuesday; first week of the season was cancelled by the owners, as they try to break the players’ union and rein in expenses.
This is going to be a while now; once people start losing money, then it gets personal and the impasse is more likely to stretch out. Too bad; I love baseball, but life goes on and there are lot of other things to do. The owners need to realize that.
12) I was going to post that the White Sox (-$220) were the heaviest favorite to win any of the divisions this season, but that doesn’t seem relevant now.
MLB Network should go to color bars until this dispute is resolved.
11) Just to be clear, I’m not on either side; I just want to watch ballgames. Players make a ton of money; scumweasel agents make it harder to come to an agreement. A pitcher like Alex Wood was going to make $12M this year, $12M next year. Pretty good bank for playing ball.
Owners are billionaires; I have no idea what their end game is here; do they really want to kill the golden goose, when they own the teams involved? Do they think the union is just going to fold and end the dispute? Ballplayers are competitive people; they ain’t giving up easily.
Atlanta Braves made $104M last year; it isn’t credible for owners to cry poor.
10) I’m going on vacation in three weeks, my first vacation in 2.5 years; last day of my trip was supposed to be Opening Day of baseball season. Sitting in a sportsbook and watching baseball all day is an excellent day, but that ain’t going to happen now.
I’ll watch NBA/NHL instead; there’s a ton of stuff to do in Las Vegas, but these billionaires are complete imbeciles when it comes to marketing their sport.
In any event, Tuesday was a good day for the USFL; those four games/week they’re going to play every weekend starting in mid-April will have lot of eyeballs on them, mine included.
9) TCU 74, Kansas 64:
— Horned Frogs had 19 offensive rebounds.
— Kansas lost last two games, after a 23-4 start.
8) Horizon League tournament:
— Robert Morris 77, Youngstown State 73— First upset of March Madness.
— Oakland 69, IUPUI 58— Jaguars played five guys all 40:00.
— Detroit 79, Green Bay 62— Coach’s son Davis scored 38 points.
— Ill-Chicago 80, Milwaukee 69— Flames won their last four games.
7) Atlantic Sun tournament:
— Central Arkansas 74, Stetson 73— Hatters led by 14 with 16:12 left to play.
— Fla Gulf Coast 81, North Alabama 72— Eagles won eight of last nine games.
— Lipscomb 74, North Florida 65— Game was tied at halftime.
— Kennesaw State 82, Eastern Kentucky 73— EKU led by 14 in first half.
6) Patriot League tournament:
— American 69, Holy Cross 63— Eagles are 3-0 vs HC, 3-13 vs rest of league
— Bucknell 82, Lafayette 81 OT— Bucknell was down 13 in first half.
5) Arizona 91, USC 71:
— Wildcats led 51-27 at halftime.
— Arizona made 12-25 on arc, lead Pac-12 by three games.
4) UMass fired basketball coach Matt McCall; Minutemen were 28-42 in A-14 games in his five years as coach. Tough job; A-14 doesn’t get lot of TV exposure, plus John Calipari used to coach there, so expectations are too high, just like they are at Memphis.
3) 49ers’ QB Jimmy Garoppolo is going to have his throwing shoulder operated on, won’t be able to throw for 16 weeks. Going to be hard for the 49ers to trade him and get value.
Dallas QB Dak Prescott had his left shoulder operated on, which shouldn’t impact him going forward.
2) Villanova 76, Providence 74:
— Villanova led by 14 early in second half, hung on for dear life.
— Wildcats are only team to beat Providence twice this season.
— Despite that, Friars have already clinched Big East regular season title.
1) Dayton 55, Richmond 53:
— Dayton got an alley-oop dunk on an OB under with 0:01.2 left.
— Flyers, least experienced team in country, clinches top-4 spot in A-14.
Wednesday’s 6-pack
Some of the most experienced teams in the country:
1) Manhattan
2) Cleveland State
5) Southern Utah
7) Providence
9) St Bonaventure
10) Penn State
Quote of the Day
“We all get along good, and I’m glad he’s (Bieniemy) back with us and rolling. My thought was that he potentially would get a head-coaching job, which I would have been happy with, too. But that’s not the way it worked out.”
Andy Reid, talking about his OC, Eric Bieniemy
Wednesday’s quiz
Who played the judge in the classic movie, My Cousin Vinny?
(Hint: He is most famous as the star of a 60’s TV comedy)
Tuesday’s quiz
John Calipari has led UMass, Memphis and Kentucky to Final Fours.
Monday’s quiz
In the last 14 years, the NBA Finals gone seven games three times; there has been one sweep (2018, Warriors over Cleveland).
*****************************
Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….
13) Sad day for baseball fans Tuesday; first week of the season was cancelled by the owners, as they try to break the players’ union and rein in expenses.
This is going to be a while now; once people start losing money, then it gets personal and the impasse is more likely to stretch out. Too bad; I love baseball, but life goes on and there are lot of other things to do. The owners need to realize that.
12) I was going to post that the White Sox (-$220) were the heaviest favorite to win any of the divisions this season, but that doesn’t seem relevant now.
MLB Network should go to color bars until this dispute is resolved.
11) Just to be clear, I’m not on either side; I just want to watch ballgames. Players make a ton of money; scumweasel agents make it harder to come to an agreement. A pitcher like Alex Wood was going to make $12M this year, $12M next year. Pretty good bank for playing ball.
Owners are billionaires; I have no idea what their end game is here; do they really want to kill the golden goose, when they own the teams involved? Do they think the union is just going to fold and end the dispute? Ballplayers are competitive people; they ain’t giving up easily.
Atlanta Braves made $104M last year; it isn’t credible for owners to cry poor.
10) I’m going on vacation in three weeks, my first vacation in 2.5 years; last day of my trip was supposed to be Opening Day of baseball season. Sitting in a sportsbook and watching baseball all day is an excellent day, but that ain’t going to happen now.
I’ll watch NBA/NHL instead; there’s a ton of stuff to do in Las Vegas, but these billionaires are complete imbeciles when it comes to marketing their sport.
In any event, Tuesday was a good day for the USFL; those four games/week they’re going to play every weekend starting in mid-April will have lot of eyeballs on them, mine included.
9) TCU 74, Kansas 64:
— Horned Frogs had 19 offensive rebounds.
— Kansas lost last two games, after a 23-4 start.
8) Horizon League tournament:
— Robert Morris 77, Youngstown State 73— First upset of March Madness.
— Oakland 69, IUPUI 58— Jaguars played five guys all 40:00.
— Detroit 79, Green Bay 62— Coach’s son Davis scored 38 points.
— Ill-Chicago 80, Milwaukee 69— Flames won their last four games.
7) Atlantic Sun tournament:
— Central Arkansas 74, Stetson 73— Hatters led by 14 with 16:12 left to play.
— Fla Gulf Coast 81, North Alabama 72— Eagles won eight of last nine games.
— Lipscomb 74, North Florida 65— Game was tied at halftime.
— Kennesaw State 82, Eastern Kentucky 73— EKU led by 14 in first half.
6) Patriot League tournament:
— American 69, Holy Cross 63— Eagles are 3-0 vs HC, 3-13 vs rest of league
— Bucknell 82, Lafayette 81 OT— Bucknell was down 13 in first half.
5) Arizona 91, USC 71:
— Wildcats led 51-27 at halftime.
— Arizona made 12-25 on arc, lead Pac-12 by three games.
4) UMass fired basketball coach Matt McCall; Minutemen were 28-42 in A-14 games in his five years as coach. Tough job; A-14 doesn’t get lot of TV exposure, plus John Calipari used to coach there, so expectations are too high, just like they are at Memphis.
3) 49ers’ QB Jimmy Garoppolo is going to have his throwing shoulder operated on, won’t be able to throw for 16 weeks. Going to be hard for the 49ers to trade him and get value.
Dallas QB Dak Prescott had his left shoulder operated on, which shouldn’t impact him going forward.
2) Villanova 76, Providence 74:
— Villanova led by 14 early in second half, hung on for dear life.
— Wildcats are only team to beat Providence twice this season.
— Despite that, Friars have already clinched Big East regular season title.
1) Dayton 55, Richmond 53:
— Dayton got an alley-oop dunk on an OB under with 0:01.2 left.
— Flyers, least experienced team in country, clinches top-4 spot in A-14.
TORONTO is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) off a road win by 2 goals or more in the current season.
ST LOUIS are 9-2 ATS (8.1 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the current season.
LOS ANGELES are 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games after one or more consecutive overs in the current season.
SEATTLE is 5-18 ATS (-15.7 Units) in home games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.
NHL
Wednesday, March 2
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
St. Louis @ NY Rangers
St. Louis
St. Louis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 6 games
NY Rangers is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home
Buffalo @ Toronto
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games on the road
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Los Angeles @ Dallas
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Los Angeles is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
Nashville @ Seattle
Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Nashville's last 9 games on the road
Nashville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 9 games
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ST LOUIS are 9-2 ATS (8.1 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the current season.
LOS ANGELES are 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games after one or more consecutive overs in the current season.
SEATTLE is 5-18 ATS (-15.7 Units) in home games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.
NHL
Wednesday, March 2
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
St. Louis @ NY Rangers
St. Louis
St. Louis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 6 games
NY Rangers is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home
Buffalo @ Toronto
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games on the road
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Los Angeles @ Dallas
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Los Angeles is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
Nashville @ Seattle
Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Nashville's last 9 games on the road
Nashville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 9 games
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MARCH NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !
Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Unit
03/02/2022............3-5-0............37.50%...........-30.30
03/01/2022...........10-8-0............55.56%............-0.25
TOTALS...............13-13-0............50.00%..........-30.55
BEST BETS:
03/02/2022............2-2-0..............50.00%............- 1.00
03/01/2022............5-3-1..............62.50%............+ 8.50
TOTALS..................7-5-1..............58.33%............+ 7.50
UPDATED ON 03/02/2022
Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Unit
03/02/2022............3-5-0............37.50%...........-30.30
03/01/2022...........10-8-0............55.56%............-0.25
TOTALS...............13-13-0............50.00%..........-30.55
BEST BETS:
03/02/2022............2-2-0..............50.00%............- 1.00
03/01/2022............5-3-1..............62.50%............+ 8.50
TOTALS..................7-5-1..............58.33%............+ 7.50
UPDATED ON 03/02/2022
Armadillo Sports
Thursday’s 6-pack
Teams who make best %age of shots inside arc:
61.4%— Belmont
60.6%— Gonzaga
58.9%— Wake Forest
58.2%— Vermont
57.6%— Oklahoma
57.3%— Winthrop
Quote of the Day
“They need to stop treating us like we’re idiots.”
Unnamed baseball player, talking about the owners/labor situation
Thursday’s quiz
Which hotel/casino in Las Vegas is shaped like a pyramid?
Wednesday’s quiz
Fred Gwynne played the judge in the classic movie, My Cousin Vinny; he is best known for being the star of The Munsters
Tuesday’s quiz
John Calipari has led UMass, Memphis and Kentucky to Final Fours.
********************************
Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..
13) Arkansas 77, LSU 76:
— Arkansas won last two games by total of three points.
— Razorbacks shot 57.6% inside arc.
— Teams combined to make 42-47 on foul line; good to see!!!
12) Texas A&M 87, Alabama 71:
— Aggies outscored Alabama 50-31 in second half.
— Alabama is a weird team; 47.3% of their shots are 3’s, but they’ve only made 31.3% of those 3’s (#291). Very difficult team to handicap.
11) Auburn 81, Mississippi State 68 OT:
— Auburn led by 12 at halftime.
— MSU shot 50% inside arc, 0-13 outside arc.
— Bulldogs lost eight of last 12 games.
10) Creighton 64, UConn 62:
— Creighton never trailed; they led by 16 in first half.
— Bluejays are 5-0 vs UConn the last two seasons.
— Huskies shot 6-22 on arc, 2-5 on foul line.
9) Duke won the ACC’s regular season basketball title this year, first time they’ve done that since 2006. ACC is down this year, the 6th-ranked league, their worst rating in nine years. Duke has won seven games in a row.
Speaking of Duke, they have a baseball player Chris Davis, whose dad is Rece Davis, the ESPN anchor. Chris Davis used to play baseball at Princeton; few years ago, he ruptured his spleen after a collision in the outfield, and needed two operations to recover. Scary thing.
8) Big South tournament— all four games were tied with 0:06 left in regulation
— NC A&T 78, Radford 71 OT— Aggies had lost nine of previous 11 games.
— Charleston Southern 79, NC-Asheville 78— Bucs got tap-in at buzzer for the upset.
— High Point 84, Hampton 77 OT— There were 79 foul shots in this game.
— Campbell 75, Presbyterian 72, 2OT— Camels win on Wednesday (Hump Day) Presbyterian was only 12-23 on foul line in a double overtime loss.
7) George Washington 98, Duquesne 93, 3OT:
— 7 points was biggest lead either team had the whole game.
— Senior Night at GW; four seniors started, played 3:00 each.
— Duquesne is coached by Keith Dambrot, Lebron James’ high school coach; they’ve lost 15 games in a row.
6) DePaul 91, Marquette 80:
— Depaul scored 58 points in second half.
— Marquette is 3-5 in last eight games; they’re experience team #350, very young.
— Marquette played 7 freshmen, one junior, two seniors.
5) UNLV 64, Wyoming 57:
— Rebels are 18-12, 10-7; Kevin Kruger has done a nice job in his first year at UNLV.
— UNLV star Hamilton went 3-15 from floor and they still won; impressive.
— This was Wyoming’s fourth game in eight nights; tough stretch.
4) Wednesday was the 60th anniversary of the night that Wilt Chamberlain scored 100 points for the Philadelphia Warriors against the Knicks. Wilt was freakin’ awesome.
Warriors won the game 169-147; the game was in Hershey, PA. Not a lot of defense.
Wilt played all 48:00; he 36-63 from the floor, 28-32 on foul line, had 25 rebounds. I repeat, he played all 48:00— there was no load management back then.
3) Arizona Cardinals gave GM Steve Keim, coach Kliff Kingsbury contract extensions after the Redbirds went 11-7 this past season. No word yet on QB Kyler Murray’s contract.
2) Baltimore Ravens’ QB Lamar Jackson is apparently negotiating his own contract extension with the Ravens, not using an agent. Saves you the 3% commission, but he doesn’t have a deal yet, either. Jackson will make $23.016M this coming season.
Ravens say that Jackson hasn’t shown much interest in getting a new deal done. Unusual.
1) I’ve started spending more time recently listening to the VSIN radio network on I-Heart radio, a station dedicated to sports/gambling. Lot of interesting stuff, but why in God’s name do people wager on the NFL Draft? Chances are the oddsmakers have better info than the bettor.
Couple of the VSIN guys were discussing NFL futures for 2022; how can you bet on anything before you see the schedule, which is released in April? Plus there figure to be lot of QB trades this offseason; lot of depth charts are going to look different in September than they do now.
Thursday’s 6-pack
Teams who make best %age of shots inside arc:
61.4%— Belmont
60.6%— Gonzaga
58.9%— Wake Forest
58.2%— Vermont
57.6%— Oklahoma
57.3%— Winthrop
Quote of the Day
“They need to stop treating us like we’re idiots.”
Unnamed baseball player, talking about the owners/labor situation
Thursday’s quiz
Which hotel/casino in Las Vegas is shaped like a pyramid?
Wednesday’s quiz
Fred Gwynne played the judge in the classic movie, My Cousin Vinny; he is best known for being the star of The Munsters
Tuesday’s quiz
John Calipari has led UMass, Memphis and Kentucky to Final Fours.
********************************
Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..
13) Arkansas 77, LSU 76:
— Arkansas won last two games by total of three points.
— Razorbacks shot 57.6% inside arc.
— Teams combined to make 42-47 on foul line; good to see!!!
12) Texas A&M 87, Alabama 71:
— Aggies outscored Alabama 50-31 in second half.
— Alabama is a weird team; 47.3% of their shots are 3’s, but they’ve only made 31.3% of those 3’s (#291). Very difficult team to handicap.
11) Auburn 81, Mississippi State 68 OT:
— Auburn led by 12 at halftime.
— MSU shot 50% inside arc, 0-13 outside arc.
— Bulldogs lost eight of last 12 games.
10) Creighton 64, UConn 62:
— Creighton never trailed; they led by 16 in first half.
— Bluejays are 5-0 vs UConn the last two seasons.
— Huskies shot 6-22 on arc, 2-5 on foul line.
9) Duke won the ACC’s regular season basketball title this year, first time they’ve done that since 2006. ACC is down this year, the 6th-ranked league, their worst rating in nine years. Duke has won seven games in a row.
Speaking of Duke, they have a baseball player Chris Davis, whose dad is Rece Davis, the ESPN anchor. Chris Davis used to play baseball at Princeton; few years ago, he ruptured his spleen after a collision in the outfield, and needed two operations to recover. Scary thing.
8) Big South tournament— all four games were tied with 0:06 left in regulation
— NC A&T 78, Radford 71 OT— Aggies had lost nine of previous 11 games.
— Charleston Southern 79, NC-Asheville 78— Bucs got tap-in at buzzer for the upset.
— High Point 84, Hampton 77 OT— There were 79 foul shots in this game.
— Campbell 75, Presbyterian 72, 2OT— Camels win on Wednesday (Hump Day) Presbyterian was only 12-23 on foul line in a double overtime loss.
7) George Washington 98, Duquesne 93, 3OT:
— 7 points was biggest lead either team had the whole game.
— Senior Night at GW; four seniors started, played 3:00 each.
— Duquesne is coached by Keith Dambrot, Lebron James’ high school coach; they’ve lost 15 games in a row.
6) DePaul 91, Marquette 80:
— Depaul scored 58 points in second half.
— Marquette is 3-5 in last eight games; they’re experience team #350, very young.
— Marquette played 7 freshmen, one junior, two seniors.
5) UNLV 64, Wyoming 57:
— Rebels are 18-12, 10-7; Kevin Kruger has done a nice job in his first year at UNLV.
— UNLV star Hamilton went 3-15 from floor and they still won; impressive.
— This was Wyoming’s fourth game in eight nights; tough stretch.
4) Wednesday was the 60th anniversary of the night that Wilt Chamberlain scored 100 points for the Philadelphia Warriors against the Knicks. Wilt was freakin’ awesome.
Warriors won the game 169-147; the game was in Hershey, PA. Not a lot of defense.
Wilt played all 48:00; he 36-63 from the floor, 28-32 on foul line, had 25 rebounds. I repeat, he played all 48:00— there was no load management back then.
3) Arizona Cardinals gave GM Steve Keim, coach Kliff Kingsbury contract extensions after the Redbirds went 11-7 this past season. No word yet on QB Kyler Murray’s contract.
2) Baltimore Ravens’ QB Lamar Jackson is apparently negotiating his own contract extension with the Ravens, not using an agent. Saves you the 3% commission, but he doesn’t have a deal yet, either. Jackson will make $23.016M this coming season.
Ravens say that Jackson hasn’t shown much interest in getting a new deal done. Unusual.
1) I’ve started spending more time recently listening to the VSIN radio network on I-Heart radio, a station dedicated to sports/gambling. Lot of interesting stuff, but why in God’s name do people wager on the NFL Draft? Chances are the oddsmakers have better info than the bettor.
Couple of the VSIN guys were discussing NFL futures for 2022; how can you bet on anything before you see the schedule, which is released in April? Plus there figure to be lot of QB trades this offseason; lot of depth charts are going to look different in September than they do now.
MINNESOTA is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 14-2 ATS (11.8 Units) after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games in the current season.
OTTAWA is 32-39 ATS (13.8 Units) against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 20-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.
CHICAGO is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) after getting shutout in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 11-13 ATS (-12.9 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 13-1 ATS (10.5 Units) against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp in the current season.
PITTSBURGH is 14-2 ATS (11.8 Units) after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games in the current season.
OTTAWA is 32-39 ATS (13.8 Units) against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 20-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.
CHICAGO is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) after getting shutout in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 11-13 ATS (-12.9 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 13-1 ATS (10.5 Units) against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp in the current season.
