Cnotes 2021-2022 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack

Six top prospects for the Baltimore Orioles:
1) Adley Rutschman, C
2) Grayson Rodriguez, P
3) DL Hall, P
4) Gunnar Henderson, SS
5) Colton Cowser, OF
6) Jordan Westburg, SS

Quote of the Day
“We all run our own race, whatever that may be. It’s part of the journey and this year obviously was a tough experience, winning three games and all that, but it’s all part of the journey. My time will come, whenever that may be, to get another crack at it.”
Jared Goff

Wednesday’s quiz
In the movie Draft Day, where Kevin Costner played the GM of the Cleveland Browns, who played the coach of the Browns?

Tuesday’s quiz
NCIS star Mark Harmon was a quarterback at UCLA.

Monday’s quiz
In last ten NCAA tournaments, Gonzaga has been a #1-seed four times.

******************************

Wednesday’s Den: mid-week musings……..

13) Arkansas 80, Auburn 76 OT:
— #1 team in country loses a tough game, ending their 19-game win streak.
— Auburn led by 5 with 2:40 left to play.
— Foul line: Arkansas 26-32, Auburn 8-17
— After this game ended, students stormed the court; Auburn’s team had very little protection as they tried to get to the locker room. This was a potentially dangerous thing; Arkansas needs to do better to protect its guests.

12) When the conference tournaments start in a few weeks, obviously teams have to win three or four days in a row to get into the NCAA Tournament. You need some depth to get thru games 3-4 days in a row.

Here are a few teams that lack depth, and may struggle to win their conference tournament because of that:
#358 in bench minutes- St Bonaventure
#357- Oakland
#356- Wright State
#353- Toledo
#351- North Texas

11) Why would anyone trade for Ben Simmons? Guy is very talented, one of the best passers I’ve ever seen, but your best players have to be good guys, team guys, not entitled, selfish people who care only about themselves.

Simmons hasn’t played a minute this year and he’s healthy; he’s offended because the 76ers’ coach didn’t fly cross-country to beg him to play this season. He’s opted out of $24M this year because his feelings got hurt (he still gets $8M this year for doing nothing)

Four years ago, Showtime aired a documentary about Simmons, which was filmed after his one college year, but before the NBA Draft; he didn’t come across well.

Four years with the 76ers, they won lot of regular season games, but went 19-19 in playoff games and never got the Eastern Conference finals. One year at LSU and they didn’t even get into the NCAA Tournament.

You pay someone $30M a year, you want a team leader and Simmons doesn’t seem to be one.

10) After the NCAA Tournament, we’ll get into this more, but there will be lot of conference shuffling next year. Conference USA will look almost totally different; CAA is adding three teams, lot of the mid-major leagues are juggling teams.

Loyola Chi is going to the A-14, which becomes the A-15 I guess.

9) Major league umpire Phil Cuzzi was on MLB Network the other day; he said he’s worked two no-hitters behind the plate and in both games, he wasn’t aware that the pitcher had a no-hitter until the last batter.

Not sure how that happens; these stadiums have very large scoreboards, but he concentrates on his job I guess, and wasn’t aware of it.

8) Purdue 84, Illinois 68:
— Boilers sweep Illinois; this was a pretty good beating.
— One of the newer things I try to do now is identify the legit NBA prospects who are still in college, and then lean on them in March. Purdue’s Jaden Ivey seems like one of those guys, but I’m not a big Matt Painter fan. Purdue has size and some diverse scorers, though, and that wins lot of games in March.

7) Wyoming 78, Utah State 76 OT:
— Cowboys won five games in row, four by 2 points or in OT.
— Last six years, Wyoming was 34-68 in conference games; now they’re 20-3, 9-1 in league and Jeff Linder deserves some mention for National Coach of the Year.

6) NFL coach stuff:
— Saints named Dennis Allen their new coach
— Texans named Lovie Smith their new coach
— Green Bay named Rich Bisaccia their special teams coach
— Giants named Don Martindale their defensive coordinator

5) It is amazing to me that there are still states where high school basketball doesn’t have a shot clock. Basketball without shot clocks can be strangled by stubborn coaches who won’t come out of zone defenses, and by coaches who refuse to play against zones (if they’re ahead).

In the late 70’s, there was a Duke-North Carolina game that was 7-0 at halftime. Seriously.

Putting the shot clock into college ball was a great move that helped make the game a lot more popular.

4) If you like to wager on pro golf, note that Patrick Cantlay is 97-under par in his last five tournaments, with a birdie-or-better % of 34.4%.

3) Washington Wizards’ star Bradley Beal is out for the year, with a left wrist injury.

2) Colorado Rockies extended manager Bud Black’s contract thru the 2023 season.

1) Dodgers’ P Trevor Bauer will not be criminally charged by Los Angeles prosecutors after a woman charged him with assault/other stuff, so now the big question is, what do the Dodgers do with him. Will they cut him? Trade him? Play him?

Bauer hasn’t committed a crime and the Dodgers owe him $64M over the next two seasons, but the baseball commissioner, who is currently involved with trying to screw up the sport with its labor dysfunction, has the autonomy to hand out suspensions under the domestic violence policy, so Bauer could still be suspended this season.
 

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CLEVELAND is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in home games after a game where they covered the spread in the current season.

CHICAGO is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher over the last 2 seasons.

TORONTO is 2-15 ATS (-14.5 Units) in road games versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=108 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the ls 2 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 229-281 ATS (-80.1 Units) versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game since 1996.




NBA

Wednesday, February 9


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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San Antonio @ Cleveland
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
San Antonio is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing San Antonio
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Chicago @ Charlotte
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

Toronto @ Oklahoma City
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Oklahoma City is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Toronto

Minnesota @ Sacramento
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games at home
Sacramento is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

Golden State @ Utah
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Golden State's last 9 games when playing Utah
Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Utah's last 9 games when playing Golden State

LA Lakers @ Portland
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, February 9


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The Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last five matchups against Charlotte.
The Hornets are 1-5 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone OVER in seven straight Bulls' games.
The total has gone UNDER in five straight Hornets' games.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of the last 17 matchups between Charlotte and Chicago.


The Warriors are 9-0 SU in their last nine games.
The Jazz are are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games.
The Warriors are 4-1 SU in their last five matchups against Utah.
The total has gone UNDER in eight of the last 11 Jazz' games.
The total has gone OVER in eight of the last nine matchups between Golden State and Utah.
 

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Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack

Six top teams in roster continuity (of teams we track here):
1) Southern Utah
4) South Dakota State
6) Appalachian State
7) St Bonaventure
8) North Dakota State
9) Fairfield

Quote of the Day
“I really like him. I’m really excited. I’m really excited for the future. I’ve spoken with him a couple of times, really just impressed by who he is. I think, personality-wise, we’re going to gel really well. I think we’re pretty similar. Just knowing he played the position.”
Trevor Lawrence, talking about Doug Peterson, his new coach

Thursday’s quiz
Where did Kawhi Leonard play his college basketball?

Wednesday’s quiz
In the movie Draft Day, where Kevin Costner played the GM of the Cleveland Browns, Denis Leary played the coach of the Browns.

Tuesday’s quiz
NCIS star Mark Harmon played college football at UCLA.

********************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) SMU 85, Houston 83:
— Houston’s first loss in ten AAC games; they had won 12 games in a row.
— Mustangs made 12-23 on arc; they’re 14-2 in their last 16 games.
— SMU starts five seniors; this win will carry weight on Selection Sunday.

12) Oklahoma 70, Texas Tech 55:
— Sooners were 13-28 on arc, Tech 2-17.
— Only second win in last nine games for Oklahoma.
— Last two games, Red Raiders are 6-38 on the arc.

11) We talked some the other day about Marquette coach Shaka Smart, how he’s struggled in NCAA Tournament games the last few years, but he’s done very well in conference tournaments, going 17-7 as a head coach in conference tournament games, winning three tournaments.

10) Over the last eight years, six different schools won the Mountain West tournament, and none of them was UNLV, which hosts the tournament. San Diego State/Utah State split the last four years- four other teams won the four years before that.

9) Of the last 14 teams to win the national title in college basketball, 11 of them were favored by 20+ points in their first round game. Last 15 national champs went 12-3 ATS in their first round games.

8) Atlantic 14 is looking like a one-bid league, so their conference tournament will be fun to follow; last time the #1-seed won the A-14 was way back in 2013. Top four teams in A-14 this season are pretty well-matched.

7) Portland (+18) 69, San Francisco 68— This game was late Tuesday and it might hurt the WCC”s chances of getting four teams in March Madness. Horrific loss for USF, losing to a 12-12 Pilots squad that is 3-6 in the WCC. Bubble teams can’t be losing to stiffs.

6) Big thing in handicapping college basketball, for me at least, has become identifying college players who would be playing in the NBA if they were there. Those players figure to dominate college games, right?
— Jabari Smith, Auburn
— Jaden Ivey, Purdue
— Chet Holmgren, Gonzaga

Those are three guys I would put in that class right now.

5) Was watching a replay of the 2000 World Series between the two New York teams, and one of the FOX analysts was former big league catcher Bob Brenly. These days, Brenly is the TV analyst for Arizona Diamondback games.

But in 2001, right after his World Series stint on TV, Brenly took over as the Diamondbacks’s manager— he won the World Series in his first year as a skipper. He went 303-262 in 3+ years managing in Arizona.

4) Brooklyn Nets lost their last nine games, going 1-8 ATS; they had players making a combined $129M this season sitting out their last game with injuries.

3) Rutgers 66, Ohio State 64— Rutgers outscored the Buckeyes 10-0 over final 3:12 of game. When you shoot 10-18 on arc and lose, that’s a bad loss- OSU was 13-39 inside the arc.

2) I’m thinking the increased reliance on the 3-point shot has made handicapping college basketball more difficult- there are way more long rebounds in games with missed 3’s- teams get streaky, both good and bad.

Arizona was 16-1 at one point, then they went 10-51 on the arc over a 2-game stretch, losing at UCLA and struggling to beat rival Arizona State. Wildcats have good size, they run like hell, but knocking down 3’s is what makes them an excellent team.

In three games since that first ASU game, Arizona has recovered to go 19-51 on arc.

1) Notre Dame 63, Louisville 57— Louisville has lost nine of its last ten games, has already fired their coach- they’re 11-13, 5-9 in the ACC. Once late March/April rolls around, who they hire as their new coach will be a very interesting topic.
 

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DETROIT is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the current season.

HOUSTON is 8-32 ATS (-27.2 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

LA CLIPPERS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 20-41 ATS (-25.1 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the last 3 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 18-6 ATS (11.4 Units) in home games versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=108 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
 

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NBA

Thursday, February 10


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Trend Report
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Memphis @ Detroit
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing Detroit
Memphis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games

Brooklyn @ Washington
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington
Washington is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games

Miami @ New Orleans
Miami
Miami is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing New Orleans
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing Miami

Toronto @ Houston
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Houston's last 13 games at home
Houston is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Toronto

LA Clippers @ Dallas
LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games
LA Clippers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Dallas's last 14 games at home
Dallas is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home

New York @ Golden State
New York
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games on the road
New York is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Golden State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

Milwaukee @ Phoenix
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee


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The Nets are 0-5 ATS in their last five games.
The Wizards are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games.
The Nets are 0-9 SU in their last nine games.
The Wizards are 2-4 SU in their last six matchups against Brooklyn.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last five matchups between Brooklyn and Washington.


The Bucks are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone OVER in seven of the last ten matchups between Phoenix and Milwaukee.
The total has gone OVER in five of the last six Bucks' games.
The Suns are 14-1 SU in their last 15 games.
 

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Armadillo Sports

Friday’s 6-pack

Teams who get highest %age of their points on 3-pointers:
2) Evansville
3) Cal-San Diego
4) San Francisco
5) Wofford
6) Rice
8) Florida International

Quote of the Day
“(Matt Ryan) loves the game. He loves the Falcons. He loves the city, and he wants to stay here. That’s a decision the coach and general manager will make. But we have no reason to think he won’t continue to be playing quarterback for us.”
Falcons’ owner Arthur Blank

Friday’s quiz
Where did James Harden play his college basketball?

Thursday’s quiz
Kawhi Leonard played his college basketball at San Diego State

Wednesday’s quiz
In the movie Draft Day, where Kevin Costner played the GM of the Cleveland Browns, Denis Leary played the coach of the Browns.

********************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with weekend here……..

13) 76ers traded Ben Simmons to Brooklyn for James Harden; Philly also sent Seth Curry and Andre Drummond to the Nets, along with two first-round draft picks. Paul Millsaps goes to the 76ers as part of the deal.

Here’s the thing: Seth Curry is married to Doc Rivers’ daughter, which has to make things just a little awkward in the Rivers household this weekend.

As part of the trade, Harden opts into his $47.3M deal for next year.

12) Think about that: next year, Harden will make $47.3M for playing 82 basketball games.

Secondary question: Does this mean Simmons will actually play now? He hasn’t played a minute yet this season. If the 76ers hadn’t traded him, he would’ve forfeited $24M this season.

11) After the trade, 76ers dropped from 12-1 to 7-1 to win the NBA title.

10) NFL announced that next season, they’ll have games in Germany, Mexico, England.

9) Was listening to a fantasy baseball podcast the other night; they said that Statcast posted that if Marcus Semien had played for Texas last year, he would’ve hit 32 home runs, instead of the 45 he hit for the Blue Jays, that’s what a pitcher’s ballpark they have in Arlington now.

Blue Jays played home games in Dunedin, Buffalo, Toronto last year; Dunedin/Buffalo are great hitters’ parks.

8) Wonder if ballplayers ever listen to these fantasy podcasts, hearing nerds like myself discuss their stats and projecting how they’ll do in the coming season.

7) The baseball commissioner hasn’t delayed the start of spring training yet; he did say that the universal DH is a done deal, so that helps fantasy baseball owners make some plans.

If you have JT Realmuto on your team, it is safe to assume that he’ll DH most days he isn’t behind the plate. Yon Gomes will probably be the Cubs’ DH, Robinson Cano the Mets’ DH.

Some teams will use the DH slot to rest starters, give them a day off from the field, but in any event, the universal DH is a positive development.

6) There was a tine, 12-15 years ago, where I spent my summer vacation at Disney’s Wide World of Sports watching the national AAU basketball tournament for 12 hours a day or so- saw ton of really good players, learned some stuff.

When I got back to work, friend of mine asked me what I did on my vacation; got a very strange look when I told her. Hey, everyone likes different stuff.

One day I’m sitting there and the two guys next to me are talking; one was an SEC head coach, the other guy was an assistant at a much smaller D-I school. The head coach wanted to schedule a buy game against the smaller school; he told the assistant to tell his boss: if they came to play the SEC school, then he would help the smaller school get a recruit that would help their team.

Never heard a name mentioned, so don’t know how this all turned out with the recruit, but the smaller school did go play that game.

5) Southern Conference is an underrated league in college basketball; they’re the #12 league in Ken Pomeroy’s rankings. Last seven years, the #1 seed won their conference tournament every time, which is very unusual, especially since the tournament is played at a neutral site.

4) Iowa 110, Maryland 87— Not a lot of defense played here; mentioned yesterday how the Louisville head coaching job will be an interesting hire this spring, so will the Maryland job.

Not sure why they fired Mark Turgeon, but they did. The next coach has a rebuild ahead of him.

3) Michigan 82, Purdue 58— Purdue is 21-0 when it scores 70+ points, 0-4 when it doesn’t. No idea what to make of the Boilermakers as far as March Madness goes; the four starters other than Jaden Ivey shot a combined 7-20 from the floor.

2) Right now, 30 states have legalized sports betting, but California isn’t one of them; in 2021, American sportsbooks accepted nearly $60B in bets, generating more than $4.3B in revenue.

California voters will have sports betting on their ballot this fall; very competitive as to which vendors get the lucrative contracts.

1) Very happy to report that Dick Vermeil will be inducted into the Pro Football Hall of Fame this summer. Coach Vermeil took downtrodden franchises in Philly/St Louis to Super Bowls, winning Super Bowl XXXIV with the Rams. Congratulations coach!!!
 

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OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=108 points/game in the current season.

INDIANA is 5-23 ATS (-20.3 Units) in home games in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

CHARLOTTE is 40-21 ATS (16.9 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=108 points/game in the last 3 seasons.

DENVER is 1-14 ATS (-14.4 Units) after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

ATLANTA is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) in home games off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) off a road loss by 10 points or more in the current season.

ORLANDO is 29-50 ATS (-26 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NBA

Friday, February 11


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Charlotte @ Detroit
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games
Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Detroit's last 12 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte

Cleveland @ Indiana
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cleveland's last 10 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Indiana's last 10 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indiana's last 9 games

Oklahoma City @ Philadelphia
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Oklahoma City is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

Denver @ Boston
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Boston
Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Denver
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

San Antonio @ Atlanta
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
San Antonio is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
Atlanta is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Atlanta is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

Minnesota @ Chicago
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 8 games at home

Orlando @ Utah
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games
Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games at home
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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The Nuggets are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games.
The Celtics are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games.
The total has gone OVER in 11 of the last 15 games Nuggets' games.
The total has gone UNDER in seven in the last nine Celtics' games.
The Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last five matchups against Boston.
 

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FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 11
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


CLE at IND 07:00 PM
CLE -6.0
+500

CHA at DET 07:00 PM
CHA -6.0
+500

SA at ATL 07:30 PM
ATL -9.0
+500

DEN at BOS 07:30 PM
BOS -6.0
+500

MIN at CHI 08:00 PM
MIN +3.0
+500
 

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FEBRUARY'S NBA OPINIONS AND BEST BETS!

Date .......................W-L-T.....................%...................Units

02/11/2022...............2-2-1............50.00%..................-1.00
02/07/2022...............3-3-0............50.00%..................-1.50
02/04/2022...............9-8-1............52.94%.................+1.00
02/03/2022...............5-7-0............41.67%.................-13.50
02/02/2022...............7-8-2............47.06%...................-9.00
02/01/2022...............8-6-0............57.14%..................+7.00

TOTALS..................31-31-3............50.00%%...............-15.50


BEST BETS:

02/11/2022..............2-2-1.............50.00%..................-1.00
02/07/2022.............2-2-0..............50.00%..................-1.00
02/04/2022.............6 -5-0.............54.54%..................+2.50
02/03/2022.............3 -4 -0............42.85%...................-7.00
02/02/2022............12-11-0............52.17%...................-0.50
02/01/2022...............5-4-0.............55.55%.................+3.00

TOTALS..................30-28-1............51.72%..................-4.00


UPDATED 02/11/22
 

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Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack

— St Bonaventure 68, Saint Louis 61— Three Bonnies played all 40:00
— Siena 70, Iona 64— Gaels’ 2nd straight loss, after starting 11-0 in MAAC
— Boise State 69, UNLV 63— Hamilton scored 32 of Rebels’ 63 points.
— Nevada 85, Utah State 72— Wolf Pack snaps six-game losing skid.
— Xavier 74, UConn 68— Musketeers shot 56.4% inside arc.
— Colorado State 65, Fresno State 50— Bulldogs were only 5-27 on the arc.

Quote of the Day
“Yeah, I’m happy that I’m not going to be answering any more questions about that subject. It’s good that, not just for me, but my teammates, the whole organization. The whole year, it was pretty annoying with the whole situation, but I’m glad that everybody has moved on.”
Joel Embiid, after Thursday’s big trade

Saturday’s quiz
Which pitcher (other than Ohtani) hit the last home run in the majors last year?

Friday’s quiz
James Harden played his college basketball at Arizona State

Thursday’s quiz
Kawhi Leonard played his college basketball at San Diego State

********************************

Saturday’s Den: Unusual prop bets for the Super Bowl

This weekend, you can bet on most anything; here are some unusual prop bets you can make at the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas. The document with all their prop bets is 40+ pages long.

13) Total field goals made in Super Bowl:
none— 18-1
1— 15-2
2— 3-1
3— 3-1
4— 4-1
5— 7-1
6— 14-1
7— 30-1
8+— 40-1

12) Will a TD be scored by defense/special teams:
— no -275
— yes +235

11) Devin Booker’s points Saturday (-3.5)
vs points scored in first half of Super Bowl

10) Klay Thompson’s points Saturday
vs largest lead by either team in Super Bowl (-0.5)

9) Stephen Curry 3-points baskets Saturday
vs Odell Beckham receptions Sunday (-0.5)

8) Jayson Tatum points + rebounds Sunday
vs Matthew Stafford pass attempts Sunday (-0.5)

7) Anthony Davis points Saturday (-0.5)
vs LA Rams’ points Sunday

6) Total numbers of players to throw a pass in Super Bowl
(doesn’t include 2-point conversions)
— under 2.5 (-150)
— over 2.5 (+130)

5) Joel Embiid points + rebounds + assists Saturday (-0.5)
vs total points scored in Super Bowl

4) Joel Embiid points Saturday
vs length of first field goal made in Super Bowl (-5.5)

3) Highest scoring quarter by both teams combined: over/under 19.5 points

2) Total yardage in game: over/under 759.5 yards

1) Total points by Rams’ K Matt Gay:
— over 7.5 (-130)
— under 7.5 (+110)

Like I said, you can bet on most anything this weekend
 

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Messages
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Tokens
MEMPHIS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after 2 straight games outrebounding opponent by 10 or more over the last 2 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread in the current season.

DENVER is 14-30 ATS (-19 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-1 ATS (11.9 Units) in road games after scoring 95 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

MIAMI is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the current season.

LA CLIPPERS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 86-122 ATS (-48.2 Units) in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game since 1996.

PHOENIX is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.
 

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NBA

Saturday, February 12


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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New York @ Portland
New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 6 games on the road
New York is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Portland
Portland
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games

Memphis @ Charlotte
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games
Memphis is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games

Sacramento @ Washington
Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Sacramento's last 9 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 9 games when playing Sacramento

San Antonio @ New Orleans
San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
San Antonio is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games

Cleveland @ Philadelphia
Cleveland
Cleveland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games on the road
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing Cleveland
Philadelphia is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games

Denver @ Toronto
Denver
Denver is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Toronto
Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Oklahoma City @ Chicago
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing Chicago
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chicago's last 9 games

Brooklyn @ Miami
Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 8 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Brooklyn's last 19 games when playing Miami
Miami
Miami is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home

LA Clippers @ Dallas
LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games on the road
Dallas
Dallas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

LA Lakers @ Golden State
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
LA Lakers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State
Golden State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Golden State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games

Orlando @ Phoenix
Orlando
Orlando is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Orlando's last 11 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Phoenix is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games



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