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GAME RECAP


LION TAMERS: ‘CATS CLAW BC IN DOMINANT EASTERN SEMI SHOWING



HAMILTON – Jeremiah Masoli proved Sunday why he is the East Division nominee for Most Outstanding Player, dominating time of possession and putting 28 first half points on the board.


Masoli passed for 259 yards and three touchdowns yards and newcomer Bralon Addison hauled 124 of those yards as the Hamilton Tiger-Cats mauled the BC Lions 48-8 at Tim Hortons Field Sunday afternoon in the Eastern Semi-Final.


The Tiger-Cats will now travel to Ottawa to take on the REDBLACKS in the Eastern Final next weekend.


On top of a stellar outing from Masoli, the Tiger-Cats won the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball and were gifted a two-touchdown performance by Luke Tasker.


For a pair of teams that only played each other twice, there was no shortage of bad blood between these two teams. The Lions stormed back in the first meeting for an overtime win and the Ticats owned the battle the following week in a game that wasn’t short on fireworks.


One of the primary differences in the Eastern Semi versus the two previous encounters was the BC quarterback, Travis Lulay, whose play in the final third of the regular season helped propel the Lions to a playoff berth.


Before Lulay could see the field, it was the MOP candidate under centre on the other side that put the first points on the board. Masoli got the Ticats off and running with a pair of big completions to SB Bralon Addison and a 21-yard screen pass to RB Alex Green to set the Ticats up on the Lions goal line. In one of the more bizarre sneaks one will see, short yardage QB Dane Evans snuck right, fumbled the ball but it was promptly recovered by offensive lineman Kelvin Palmer for the score and an early 7-0 Hamilton lead.


When Lulay did take the field for the Leos, his first play from scrimmage gave the Ticats another chance to score. Lulay went play action and when he dropped back to pass, put the ball on the carpet. It was recovered by DE Adrian Tracy on the BC 42-yard line.


Five plays later, the Ticats were in the endzone again after Masoli and Addison connected for 27 yards and then looked off the safety and found Tasker on a post for a 14-yard major.


The Lions responded with a solid drive to get some traction, but a 41-yard Ty Long field goal went wide right.


Already dominating time of possession, the TIcats made BC pay for the miss, generating a 4:56 drive that featured a 50-yard strike from Masoli to Addison before backup RB Sean Thomas-Erlington who made a nine-yard TD reception off his back shoulder.


Two possessions later, the ‘Cats flexed their muscles again when a 17-yard run by Green set up Luke Taskers second major of the game when he hauled in a 25-yard pass ahead of the goal line and navigated his way to pay dirt. The major extended the lead to 28-0 with just over four minutes left and was set up by a third-and-inches stop by the Ticats when LB Larry Dean stuffed QB Cody Fajardo on the gamble at the BC 42 yard line.


Masoli entered halftime with a four-touchdown lead, a completion percentage of 81.3 and a receiver, Addison, with 124 yards receiving. The first half was dominated so heavily by the Tiger-Cats that the Lions didn’t get their first stop until the 7:37 mark of the second quarter.


When the third quarter began, the dominant Ticats offence cooled but began to play the field position game – the Lions started their first three possessions of the half inside their own 10-yard line.


With just over five minutes remaining in the third frame, Lulay tried to work his way out of a jam, looking for WR DeVier Posey on a five-yard out. Posey came out of his break and DB Frankie Williams jumped the route, picked off the pass clean and took it 39 yards for the pick-six.


That ended Lulay’s day, who was replaced by Jonathon Jennings for the remainder of the game, stuck 37-0. Lulay finished 8 of 17 for 103 yards, one interception, one fumble and no touchdowns.


Jennings willed the Lions into the redzone for the first time and looked poised to break the shutout. The Loins lined up on the Hamilton one-yard line on first down and went for a wildcat formation but the snap was fumbled by RB Tyrell Sutton and scooped up by veteran LB Simoni Lawrence who took it 92 yards down to the BC goal line. Backup Dane Evans would punch it in from there to extend the lead to 44-0.


The Lions would finally break the goose egg when Jennings found WR Shaq Johnson for a 30-yard major. They would add a two-point conversion.


Despite the late score, it was a blip on what was otherwise a phenomenal outing by the Hamiltoin defence which forced five turnovers and controlled the line of scrimmage all day long.


Before the day was done, the Ticats put Evans in the game to close things out. He got in on the party by completing a pass to Mike Jones for a gain of 37 yards before the three minute warning to put another field goal on the board.


The ‘Cats will now begin prep on the Eastern Final in Ottawa while the Lions head back to Vancouver where they will clean their lockers out on Monday. Sunday’s loss is the largest in BC Lions playoff history.




*****************************




WESTERN SEMI-FINAL


HARRIS, WOLITARSKY LEAD BOMBERS PAST RIDERS IN WESTERN SEMI



REGINA — Drew Wolitarsky and Andrew Harris each scored a touchdown and Kevin Fogg had a key interception, leading the Winnipeg Blue Bombers to a 23-18 win over the Saskatchewan Roughriders in the Western Semi-Final on Sunday in Regina.


The Bombers got the best of their heated rival in front of a hostile crowd at new Mosaic Stadium, scoring 13 unanswered points in the second frame and never relinquishing the lead, putting the game out of reach with a fourth-quarter touchdown by Harris.


Bombers pivot Matt Nichols threw for 169 yards, one touchdown and no interceptions in the win, while the sophomore Wolitarsky had a team-high five catches for 68 yards to lead the Bombers to victory.


Mississauga, Ont. native and Riders pivot Brandon Bridge became the first Canadian quarterback to start a playoff game since Gerry Dittilio, finishing 12-of-22 for 100 yards and an interception in defeat, however he exited the game with :08 remaining after being hit by Jackson Jeffcoat.


The Riders’ regular starter Zach Collaros was scratched after taking limited practice reps throughout the week.


Fogg had the game’s lone turnover, an interception in the second quarter that flipped the field and broke a first-half stalemate in the Bombers’ favour.


After failing to find much of a lane in the first half with just 27 yards, Harris finished with 153 yards on 19 carries in a dominant second-half performance.


The Bombers will travel to Calgary to take on the Stampeders in the Western Final on Nov. 18.


With a raucous crowd at their back in the first game at the new stadium, the Riders came out with momentum. Bridge completed his first pass to Naaman Roosevelt for a first down, then got the edge on a second down scramble and took off for a 32-yard run into Bomber territory. Lauther’s 32-yard field goal put the Riders in front 3-0 on a successful opening drive.


After a quick two-and-out by the Riders’ defence, including a sack by a blitzing Mike Edem on second down, a pass interference penalty on Chris Randle set up Lauther’s second field goal of the game, a short 16-yard chip shot to make it 6-0 midway through the opening quarter.


The Bombers needed to pick up the pace offensively and did on their second drive of the game, starting with a critical second-down hookup between Nichols and Dressler to move the sticks. Completions to Darvin Adams and Wolitarsky moved the offence into field goal range, setting up the Bombers’ first points with a 37-yard field goal by Justin Medlock.


Two of the CFL’s stingiest defences began to settle in after that, as a field position battle ensued well into the second quarter.


Medlock’s second field goal of the game, this one from 36, knotted the game at six points apiece with 8:40 remaining in the opening half.


After digging out of a small hole, the Bombers had the momentum and would continue to build. A promising drive by Bridge and the Riders ended suddenly deep in Winnipeg territory when Bridge’s errant pass was picked off by Kevin Fogg and returned to the Saskatchewan 42, marking the game’s first turnover and biggest sudden swing.


A couple of plays later the Bombers finished the drive as Wolitarsky got by Edem while Nichols made no mistake, connecting for a 20-yard touchdown to give the Bombers their first lead of the game, 13-6.


The Riders answered with a big play from their special teams when Loucheiz Purifoy returned Medlock’s kick 54 yards into Bomber territory. A 19-yard run by Bridge set up a 34-yard field goal from Lauther, his third of the game, to make it 13-9.


The Bombers threatened again as the half melted away, but a 15-yard penalty against Patrick Neufeld proved to be costly, forcing an eventual 54-yard field goal attempt from Medlock. The Bombers’ usually-steady kicker missed to the left, sending the game to halftime with a four-point Winnipeg edge.


With the Bombers nursing a four-point lead, it was a Chris Jones challenge flag that gave the Riders some life with 6:00 left in the third quarter. Bridge’s pass on second-and-nine fell incomplete, but Jones challenged for pass interference on Roosevelt and won, resulting in a first down at midfield.


A pair of first-down scampers by Bridge moved the Riders into scoring possession, but a loss on first down and a false start penalty foiled their most promising drive, resulting in a 27-yard field goal from Lauther, his fourth of the game to cut the deficit to 13-12 entering the fourth quarter.


It was anyone’s game heading into the final frame on a cold but calm night in Regina, with the Bombers holding an edge of 238 net yards to 194, and just one turnover between them.


The Bombers forced a stop after Bridge’s deep ball on second-and-short fell incomplete. A long drive ensued thanks to some hard inside running by Harris, who threatened the century mark midway through the fourth, eventually setting up a 30-yard Medlock field goal to restore a four-point lead.


Jeffcoat sacked Bridge on second down on the next drive — Jackson’s second sack of the game and his team’s third — forcing the Riders to punt from their own 10 with barely six minutes remaining.


From there it was Harris time, with the Bombers’ Most Outstanding Canadian finding the edge for a 37-yard run to the Saskatchewan 16. After carrying the pile for 14 more down to the Saskatchewan two, Harris finished the drive with his first touchdown of the game, capping a short three-play, 53-yard scoring drive.


The play was reviewed after Harris appeared to fumble, but it was revealed that he recovered the fumble in the end zone, putting the Bombers ahead 23-12 with 4:30 remaining.


The Riders weren’t ready to fade into the night, responding with another big return from Purifoy, this one 47 yards into Bombers territory. Bridge scrambled and completed a pass to Roosevelt to move a stick, then Sayles’ second pass interference penalty extended the drive with a first down at the Winnipeg 22.


Bridge took a shot for the end zone to Kyran Moore and while it fell incomplete, Moore was bumped on his way to the ball, drawing another interference penalty. On first and goal from the one, short-yardage specialist Nick Marshall sprinted around the end and beat the defender to the pylon. Roosevelt couldn’t hang on to the two-point conversion attempt, but the Riders pulled to within five points with 2:36 remaining.


With the ball back in their hands with 40 seconds left, it was too little too late. David Watford‘s last-gasp pass was intercepted, sending the Bombers to the Western Final on the strength of a 23-18 win.
 

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eastern final


sun nov 18
10:00 am pst
ham
@
ott


western final


sun nov 18
1:30 pm pst
wpg
@
cgy




********************


playoff record:


11/11/2018 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50




best bets:


Date..................ats....................units..................o/u...............units...............total


11/11/2018........1 - 1...................0.50...................0 - 2................-11.00..............-11.50
 

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CFL Betting Notes - Div Finals
David Schwab


This year’s CFL playoffs got underway on Sunday with a pair of matchups in the division semifinals. The East Division’s Hamilton Tiger-Cats made an early statement with a 48-8 rout of British Columbia as a crossover team from the West Division. Hamilton closed as a slight 1 ½-point home favorite with the total going OVER 51 ½ points.


The favorite prevailed in the second game as well with Winnipeg going on the road to cover a two-point spread in a 23-18 victory against Saskatchewan as a home underdog. The total stayed UNDER 50 points in that West Division clash.


Sunday, Nov. 18


Hamilton Tiger-Cats (9-10 SU, 8-10-1 ATS) at Ottawa Redblacks (11-7 SU, 9-9 ATS)

Point-spread: Ottawa -3
Total: 53 ½


Game Overview


Hamilton limped into the postseason with just two victories in its last seven games both straight-up and against the spread. This included a pair of losses to Ottawa (SU and ATS) in a late-season home-and-home matchup. The total went OVER 54 ½ points in a 35-31 loss Ottawa on the road before staying UNDER 53 ½ points in the Tiger-Cats 30-13 loss at home the following week as 4 ½-point favorites. Hamilton also lost the first meeting at home 21-15 in late July as a six-point favorite against the RedBlacks.


The most encouraging aspect of Sunday’s playoff win was the play of Hamilton’s defense, which kept BC off the board until the fourth quarter when the game was already out of hand. Jeremiah Masoli is the East Division’s nominee for Most Outstanding Player and he showed why with 259 yards passing and three touchdown throws in that game.


Ottawa took a different path to winning the East this season with a 5-2 run in its last seven games both SU and ATS. The total stayed UNDER 47 ½ points in a 24-9 victory against Toronto in the RedBlacks’ season finale as four-point home favorites and it stayed UNDER in six of their last nine games. They went 6-3 SU at home this season with a 4-5 record ATS.


In order for Ottawa to get back to its second Grey Cup Championship in three seasons, its quarterback Trevor Harris is going to have to be at the top of his game. That was not always the case this season, but he did finish fourth on the list in total passing yards (5,116) while tossing 22 touchdowns against 11 interceptions. The RedBlacks averaged 25.8 points per game on offense to complement a defense that allowed an average of 23.3 PPG.


Betting Trends


-- The Tiger-Cats have gone 4-1-1 ATS in their last six playoff games and the total has gone OVER in six of their last seven division games.


-- The RedBlacks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games in the postseason and the total has stayed UNDER in 18 of their last 24 East Division games.


-- Ottawa has an 8-3 edge ATS in the last 11 meetings and the total has gone OVER in six of the last seven meetings in Ottawa.


Winnipeg Blue Bombers (11-8 SU, 11-7-1 ATS) at Calgary Stampeders (13-5 SU, 9-9 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -4 ½
Total: 52


Game Overview


The Blue Bombers opened as two-point road underdogs for Sunday’s matchup against Saskatchewan, but an injury to the Roughriders’ quarterback Zach Collaros swung bettors the other way. Winnipeg finished the regular season with a 5-1 run in its last six games both SU and ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in five of its last seven games including the playoff win.


This was the highest scoring offense in the CFL this season with an average of 30.6 PPG, but the Blue Bombers flourished on defense down the stretch with a points-allowed average of 17.2 in their last six regular season games. Matt Nichols took the majority of the snaps at quarterback in Sunday’s win and he completed 16-of-22 passing attempts for 169 yards and a score. Andrew Harris was the difference with 153 yards and a score running the ball.


It is hard to know what to make of Calgary coming into this year’s playoffs. For the second season in a row, it stumbled down the stretch with three SU losses its last four games while going a costly 3-6 ATS over its final nine games of the year. The total stayed UNDER 50 points in a season-ending 26-9 victory on the road against BC as 8 ½-point favorites and it has stayed UNDER in four of the Stampeders’ last five games.


That uncertainty could change on a dime if quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell gets off to a fast start this Sunday afternoon. He was third in the league in passing yards with 5,124 and he led the CFL in passing touchdowns with 35 against 14 interceptions. The Stampeders were the second-highest scoring team in the league with an average of 29.0 PPG, but they only exceeded that average once in their last six games.


Betting Trends


-- The Blue Bombers have covered in four of their last five playoff games on the road and the total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five division games.


-- The Stampeders are 2-5 ATS in their last seven postseason games played at home and the total has gone OVER in four of their last five playoff games overall.


-- The season series was split 1-1 with each team winning at home both SU and ATS. The total went OVER 53 points in Calgary’s 39-26 victory on Aug. 25 as a 7 ½-point home favorite. It stayed UNDER 52 ½-points on Oct. 26 in Winnipeg’s 29-21 victory as a 3 ½-point underdog at home.
 

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CFL
Long Sheet


Division Finals



Sunday, November 18


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HAMILTON (9 - 10) at OTTAWA (11 - 7) - 11/18/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAMILTON is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 5-3 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 6-2 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WINNIPEG (11 - 8) at CALGARY (13 - 5) - 11/18/2018, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 9 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-3 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-2 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Division Finals



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Trend Report
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Sunday, November 18


Hamilton Tiger-Cats
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games
Hamilton is 10-4-1 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hamilton's last 6 games on the road
Hamilton is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Ottawa
Hamilton is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
Hamilton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Hamilton's last 8 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Ottawa RedBlacks
Ottawa is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Ottawa is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games
Ottawa is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games at home
Ottawa is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Hamilton
Ottawa is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Hamilton
Ottawa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Hamilton
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Ottawa's last 8 games when playing at home against Hamilton




Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Winnipeg is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Winnipeg is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 7 games
Winnipeg is 17-6 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Winnipeg's last 25 games on the road
Winnipeg is 3-18 SU in its last 21 games when playing Calgary
Winnipeg is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Winnipeg is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary Stampeders
Calgary is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Calgary is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games
Calgary is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Calgary is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 9 games at home
Calgary is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games when playing Winnipeg
Calgary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Calgary is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
 

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CFL Betting Notes - Grey Cup
November 19, 2018
By David Schwab



The 2018 CFL season will come to a close in dramatic fashion late Sunday afternoon at Edmonton’s Commonwealth Stadium with the East’s Ottawa RedBlacks taking on the West’s Calgary Stampeders in this year’s Grey Cup Championship Game.


The RedBlacks punched their ticket to a third Grey Cup berth in four seasons by hammering Hamilton 46-27 as 3 ½-point home favorites in Sunday’s East Division Final. Calgary will be making its third-straight appearance in the CFL title game following a 22-14 home victory against Winnipeg as a 4 ½-point favorite in the West Finals.


Sunday, Nov. 25


Ottawa RedBlacks (12-7 SU, 10-9 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (14-5 SU, 10-9 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -4
Total: 53 ½



Game Overview

Ottawa lost to Edmonton in the 2015 championship game before stunning Calgary the following season 39-33 as a heavy 9 ½-point underdog. The RedBlacks come into Sunday’s title showdown with a four-game winning streak both straight-up and against the spread. They have been able to cover in six of their last eight games with the total staying UNDER in three of their last five outings.


Trevor Harris has come under fire at times this season for his inconsistent play under center, but he brought his A-Game to Sunday’s East Division Final by setting a new CFL playoff record with six touchdown throws. He completed 29 of his 32 passing attempts against Hamilton for 367 yards. Greg Ellingson was the top target with eight receptions for 144 yards and Diontae Spencer came down with two touchdown grabs as part of his six catches on the day. Harris was fourth in the CFL this season in total passing yards (5,116) and he tossed 22 touchdowns against 11 interceptions.


The Stampeders are hoping that the third time will be the charm coming off losses to Ottawa and Toronto in the last two Grey Cups. They struggled down the stretch this season at 1-3 SU in their last four games while going a very costly 3-6 ATS in their last nine regular season games. The total stayed UNDER 53 points in Sunday’s victory against Winnipeg and it has stayed UNDER in five of Calgary’s last six games. It has stayed UNDER in 12 of 19 games on the year.


Calgary won the season series against the RedBlacks SU and ATS with the sweep in a home-and-home series early in the schedule. The total stayed UNDER in each of those contests. In Sunday’s win against the Blue Bombers, Eric Rodgers was the big story on offense with touchdown grabs in half of his six receptions on the day. Bo Levi Mitchell completed 54.8 percent of his 31 passing attempts for 214 yards. Don Jackson added another 83 yards running the ball on 14 carries. The Stampeders ended the regular season averaging 29.0 points per game as the second-highest scoring team in the CFL behind Winnipeg.


Betting Trends


-- The RedBlacks are 5-1 ATS in their last six postseason games and they have covered in four of their last five games following a SU win. The total has stayed UNDER in three of their last four games closing as underdogs.


-- The Stampeders have failed to cover in 12 of their last 17 playoff games with one contest ending as a PUSH. This includes a 0-4 record ATS in their last four Grey Cup title games. The total has stayed UNDER in 12 of their last 16 games coming off a SU win.


-- Calgary has a SU 6-2-2 record in its last 10 games against Ottawa including this season’s two-game sweep. The Stampeders have a slight 6-4 edge ATS with the total going OVER in seven of the last 10 games between the two.
 

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Sunday, November 25


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OTTAWA (12 - 7) vs. CALGARY (14 - 5) - 11/25/2018, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 134-102 ATS (+21.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1996.
OTTAWA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-3 against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-1 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL
Grey Cup



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Trend Report
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Sunday, November 25


Ottawa RedBlacks
Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Ottawa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Ottawa is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 games on the road
Ottawa is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ottawa's last 9 games on the road
Ottawa is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Calgary
Ottawa is 1-5-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Ottawa's last 9 games when playing Calgary
Ottawa is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Ottawa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary Stampeders
Calgary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Calgary is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games
Calgary is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Calgary's last 10 games at home
Calgary is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Ottawa
Calgary is 4-1-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Calgary's last 9 games when playing Ottawa
Calgary is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Ottawa
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing at home against Ottawa
 

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SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 25
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS



OTT at CGY 06:00 PM

OTT +4.5


O 52.5
 

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CFL Betting Notes - Week 1
David Schwab


Football ‘north of the border’ returns to action with Week 1 of the 2019 CFL regular season. The Calgary Stampeders finally broke through with a victory over the Ottawa RedBlacks in last season’s CFL title game in their third-straight trip to the Grey Cup Championship.


Turning to the CFL futures odds to win this year’s CFL title, Calgary has been opened as a 13/5 favorite. Second on the list is the British Columbia Lions at 9/2 followed by Ottawa and the Winnipeg Blue Bombers at 11/2 betting odds.


Further down the list at 7/1 is the Hamilton Tiger-Cats with the Saskatchewan Roughriders at 15/2. Rounding out the nine CFL teams are the Edmonton Eskimos (10/1), Toronto Argonauts (15/1) and Montreal Alouettes (18/1).


Thursday, June 13


Saskatchewan Roughriders (12-7 SU, 10-9 ATS) at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (9-11 SU, 8-11-1 ATS)

Point-spread: OFF
Total: OFF


Game Overview


The Roughriders were one game off the pace to win the West Division last season ahead of a 23-18 loss to Winnipeg in the playoffs as two-point home underdogs. Craig Dickenson takes over the reins as head coach for the departed Chris Jones. He is likely to turn to Zach Collaros as his starting quarterback for Week 1 with the long-term hopes that he can stay healthy and return to form as a solid passer in the CFL. Saskatchewan was 6-3 straight-up on the road last year.


Expectations have been raised for Hamilton this season in light of Jeremiah Masoli’s play at quarterback in 2018. He was second in the CFL with 5,209 total passing yards while tossing 28 touchdowns against 18 interceptions. The Tiger-Cats also have a new head coach at the helm with Orlondo Steinauer taking over for the departed June Jones. Hamilton bowed out of the playoffs last season with a 46-27 loss to Ottawa as a 3 ½-point road underdog in the East Division Finals.


Betting Trends


-- Saskatchewan has won the last five meetings SU and the total has stayed UNDER in seven of the last 10 games in this inter-division matchup.


Friday, June 14


Montreal Alouettes (5-13 SU, 11-7 ATS) at Edmonton Eskimos (9-9 SU, 8-10 ATS)

Point-spread: OFF
Total: OFF


Game Overview


A front office shake-up over the weekend sent Mike Sherman packing after just one season as Montreal’s head coach. This unexpected departure less than a week before the season opener elevated offensive coordinator Khari Jones to the top spot. It was believed that Vernon Adams, Jr. would be the team’s starter at quarterback, but Antonio Pipkin was also in the mix during the preseason. Other off-field issues have the Alouettes under league ownership while the search for a buyer continues.


The Eskimos missed the playoffs last season after falling to last place in the West. Following the loss of Mike Reilly at quarterback, Edmonton will turn to Trevor Harris after playing last season in Ottawa. Harris threw for 5,116 passing yards while helping the RedBlacks get back to the CFL title game. He tossed 22 touchdowns against 11 interceptions in 2018. The Eskimos did win two of three both SU and against the spread to close out 2018 on a positive note.


Betting Trends


-- Montreal has a 6-3 edge ATS in the last nine meetings, but Edmonton has won its last five home games against the Alouettes SU. The total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings.


Saturday, June 15


Ottawa RedBlacks (12-8 SU, 10-10 ATS) at Calgary Stampeders (15-5 SU, 11-9 ATS)

Point-spread: OFF
Total: OFF


Game Overview


The quest to win another East Division title begins with Dominique Davis as the likely starter at quarterback for this rematch of last year’s Grey Cup. Ottawa also has Jonathan Jennings on the roster as another possible option under center. The RedBlacks will also have some new faces running the ball with the departure of William Powell, who led the CFL in rushing attempts last year. Heading on the road for the season opener, Ottawa was 6-5 ATS last season in 11 games closing as an underdog.


It has been a given that Calgary would post the best SU record in the CFL after doing so the previous three seasons. However, the Stampeders lost 11 starters from last year’s championship roster. Bo Levi Mitchell was resigned at quarterback after being named the league’s Most Outstanding Player. He was third in total passing yards (5,124) while leading the way with 35 touchdown throws. Until some other team steps up its game, Calgary remains the team to beat in the CFL.


Betting Trends


-- Calgary has won its last five home games against Ottawa SU and it has a 6-1 edge ATS in the last seven meetings at McMahon Stadium. The total has gone OVER in seven of the last 10 games between the two inter-division rivals.


Winnipeg Blue Bombers (11-9 SU, 11-8-1 ATS) at B.C. Lions (9-10 SU, 10-9 ATS)
Point-spread: OFF
Total: OFF


Game Overview


The Blue Bombers are another solid team stuck in the logjam that is the West Division. They made it all the way to the division finals last season before losing to Calgary 22-14 as 4 ½-point road underdogs. The total stayed UNDER in six of their final eight games after leading the CFL in scoring last season with an average of 30.6 points per game. Matt Nichols started 14 games and threw for 3,146 yards and 18 touchdowns, but he was also picked off 13 times. Winnipeg also has Chris Streveler waiting in the wings.


The Lions are among the ranks of the five teams that will start the 2019 regular season with a new head coach. With Wally Bruno calling it a career, the torch has been passed to DeVone Claybrooks. He is already facing some high expectations with Reilly returning to BC as the new starting quarterback after he began his CFL career with the Lions. In his final season in Edmonton, Reilly once again led the league in total passing yards (5,562) with 30 passing touchdowns and 18 interceptions.


Betting Trends


-- BC has won seven of its last 10 home games against Winnipeg SU in this West Division tilt, but Winnipeg has an overall 8-2 edge ATS in the last 10 meetings. The total has gone OVER in seven of the last nine matchups.
 

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Long Sheet


Week 1



Thursday, June 13


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SASKATCHEWAN (12 - 7) at HAMILTON (9 - 11) - 6/13/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 141-103 ATS (+27.7 Units) as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-0 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-0 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Friday, June 14


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MONTREAL (5 - 13) at EDMONTON (9 - 9) - 6/14/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 23-40 ATS (-21.0 Units) in road games when playing on a Friday since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 2-2 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 4-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Saturday, June 15


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OTTAWA (12 - 8) at CALGARY (15 - 5) - 6/15/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in June games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-2 against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WINNIPEG (11 - 9) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (9 - 10) - 6/15/2019, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-2 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-2 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------








CFL


Week 1



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Thursday, June 13


Saskatchewan Roughriders
Saskatchewan is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
Saskatchewan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games on the road
Saskatchewan is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Hamilton
Saskatchewan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Saskatchewan's last 10 games when playing Hamilton
Saskatchewan is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Hamilton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Hamilton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hamilton's last 6 games
Hamilton is 8-16-1 ATS in its last 25 games at home
Hamilton is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games at home
Hamilton is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
Hamilton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Hamilton's last 10 games when playing Saskatchewan
Hamilton is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan






Friday, June 14


Montreal Alouettes
Montreal is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Montreal is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 9 games
Montreal is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Montreal is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Montreal's last 11 games on the road
Montreal is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Edmonton
Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Montreal is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Montreal's last 9 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton Eskimos
Edmonton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Edmonton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games
Edmonton is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Edmonton is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Edmonton is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Montreal
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Montreal
Edmonton is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Montreal
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Edmonton's last 9 games when playing at home against Montreal




Saturday, June 15


Ottawa RedBlacks
Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Ottawa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games
Ottawa is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games on the road
Ottawa is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Calgary
Ottawa is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Ottawa's last 10 games when playing Calgary
Ottawa is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Ottawa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 7 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary Stampeders
Calgary is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 7 games
Calgary is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Calgary's last 11 games at home
Calgary is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Ottawa
Calgary is 4-0-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Calgary's last 10 games when playing Ottawa
Calgary is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Ottawa
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing at home against Ottawa


Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Winnipeg is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Winnipeg is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games
Winnipeg is 17-7 ATS in its last 24 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Winnipeg's last 25 games on the road
Winnipeg is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing British Columbia
Winnipeg is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing British Columbia
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Winnipeg's last 9 games when playing British Columbia
Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
Winnipeg is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Winnipeg's last 17 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
British Columbia Lions
British Columbia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
British Columbia is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home
British Columbia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of British Columbia's last 6 games at home
British Columbia is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Winnipeg
British Columbia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 7 of British Columbia's last 9 games when playing Winnipeg
British Columbia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
British Columbia is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of British Columbia's last 17 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
 

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CFL
Dunkel


Week 1



Thursday, June 13

Saskatchewan @ Hamilton


Game 681-682
June 13, 2019 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Saskatchewan
110.537
Hamilton
115.978
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 5 1/2
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
by 2 1/2
48
Dunkel Pick:
Hamilton
(-2 1/2); Over




Friday, June 14


Montreal @ Edmonton



Game 683-684
June 14, 2019 @ 9:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
105.680
Edmonton
126.150
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 20 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
by 10
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(-10); Under




Saturday, June 15


Ottawa @ Calgary



Game 685-686
June 15, 2019 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
116.572
Calgary
119.897
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 3 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 8 1/2
52
Dunkel Pick:
Ottawa
(+8 1/2); Over


Winnipeg @ BC Lions



Game 687-688
June 15, 2019 @ 10:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
115.560
BC Lions
103.977
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 11 1/2
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
BC Lions
by 2
52
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(+2); Under









CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up


Thursday, June 13



2019 CFL writeups start in Week 2
 

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CFL Week 1 preview, odds, picks and predictions: Count on Calgary in opener
Rohit Ponnaiya


Quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell and the Calgary Stampeders are -8 point favorites in Week 1 of the CFL season as they take on the Ottawa Redblacks in a rematch of the Grey Cup.


As exciting as a summer of baseball and WNBA sounds, those craving a little action on the gridiron can breathe a sigh of relief with football action north of the border. It's Week 1 of the CFL season and lines are out for all the games on the schedule including a rematch of last year's Grey Cup between the Calgary Stampeders and Ottawa Redblacks.


The CFL can be one of the best leagues for the sharp bettor to win money and the quality of football is pretty damn good as well. We break down the odds with our in-depth analysis, betting notes and best bets for each game. Keep in mind that these odds are current as of this article being published and lines can move in a hurry.


SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS AT HAMILTON TIGER-CATS


Line: Hamilton -3, O/U 48
Time: Thursday, June 13, 7:00 p.m. ET


For those who mostly know about the CFL from The Simpsons, rest assured that watching the Roughriders is generally more exciting than this clip would suggest.


This is a classic matchup of high-scoring offense versus stifling defense, the Ti-Cats put up the most points and yards in the league last year and return with almost their entire offense intact. However, even with that prolific offense they went just 8-10 in the regular season and couldn't score against the Roughriders, putting up a total of 33 points in two losses.


The Roughriders went 12-6 last year but did lose CFL All-Star defensive end Willie Jefferson in free agency. For those not in the know, the CFL All-Star designation is more of an All-CFL designation for the best players in the league at their respective positions, while the Eastern and Western All-Star designations are for each conference. However, the Riders defense might not miss a beat since they still have the other CFL All-Star DE in Charleston Hughes and signed CFL All-Star DT Micah Johnson away from Calgary. For good measure they also signed DE A.C Leonard.


This defense will be tough and their offense should be improved as well with the addition of running back William Powell who finished second in the league with 1362 rushing yards last season. Even with this being the lowest O/U for Week 1, I'm not hesitating to back the Under.


PICK: Under 48




MONTREAL ALOUETTES AT EDMONTON ESKIMOS


Line: Edmonton -10, O/U 51.5
Time: Friday, June 14, 9:00 p.m. ET


Edmonton lost star quarterback Mike Reilly and his 5562 passing yards but replacing him with Trevor Harris (5116 yards through the air) should soften the blow. They also added Greg Ellinson and DaVaris Daniels to a receiving corps that lost Derel Walker and D'haquille Williams (currently trying to make the Bills). On defense they completely revamped their linebackers by signing a pair of Eastern All-Stars from Hamilton in Larry Dean and Don Unamba while also pilfering Jovon Santos-Knox from Winnipeg.


Despite finishing 9-9 last season the Eskimos were probably better than their record indicated and dismantled the Alouettes in both of the games in the head to head, winning by 21 points in Montreal and and 16 points in Edmonton.


I'm not going to sugarcoat this: Montreal will be BAD this year. They won just five games last year and two of those were meaningless games to end the year. The Alouettes parted ways with head coach Mike Sherman (who you might remember from such shows as the Brett Favre-led Packers of the early 2000s) on Saturday after a tumultuous two years with the organization. Getting rid of your coach less than a week before the season starts is never a good sign.


This team could not find the back of the endzone last year and will likely start Antonio Pipkin at QB. Pipkin had all of three passing TDS and eight interceptions on 131 pass attempts in 2018 and will be behind one of the worst offensive lines in the league. This is a team in turmoil with not a whole lot of talent and on the road. Take the Esks to cover.


PICK: Edmonton -10




OTTAWA REDBLACKS AT CALGARY STAMPEDERS


Line: Calgary -8, O/U 52
Time: Saturday, June 15, 7:00 p.m. ET


The Stamps rolled to a 27-16 victory over the RedBlacks in the Grey Cup last October. But the surface they played on was an absolute mess and there has been massive turnover for both of these squads in the offseason.


The Stampeders lost three players from their defensive line (including CFL All-Star Michah Johnson) and one of the best linebackers in the league in Alex Singleton. Lucky for them, the RedBlacks have suffered even bigger losses on offense.


Besides Harris and Ellinson they also lost offensive tackle SirVincent (how great a name is that??) Rogers to Edmonton, although Rogers won't suit up for the Esks either thanks to a torn tricep. They will also have to replace Powell at RB, as well as return specialist and 1000-yard receiver Diontae Spencer.


With all those departures on offense the Redblacks will have a hard time putting up points in Week 1.


Calgary's offense on the other hand should have no problem getting on the board with the reigning Most Outstanding Player in QB Bo Levi Mitchell who is surrounded by a bevy of weapons. Even with those losses of their own, their pipeline of talent has ensured that the cupboard is never bare. This line opened at -6.5 for Calgary and has already shifted to -8. Lay the points with Calgary.


PICK: Calgary -8




WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS AT BC LIONS


Line: BC -2, O/U 51.5
Time: Saturday, June 15, 10:00 p.m. ET


There's alot of excitement in British Columbia after they signed Mike Reilly to the biggest contract in the league - $725,000 annually which might be peanuts for an NFL kicker but is about 14 percent of the team salary cap in the CFL.


Reilly, along with massive (and talented) receivers Lemar Durant and Duron Carter, should be huge for a Lions team that made the playoffs last year despite a subpar passing game. But with currently the second-best odds to win the Grey Cup, oddsmakers might be a tad too bullish on a team that finished 9-9 last season and has lost significant contributors on the defensive side of the ball and at running back.


The Canadian game tends to emphasise passing the football but watching Winnipeg last year you wouldn't know it. They averaged a league-leading 136.8 rushing yards per game, a whopping 23.9 yards more than second-place Saskatchewan. They're led by RB Andrew Harris who is kind of a Canadian version of prime Marshall Faulk with his ability to run and catch the ball out of the backfield.


Winnipeg's defense should be able to terrorize quarterbacks. They signed the previously mentioned Willie Jefferson at defensive end and already had the promising Jackson Jeffcoat and Craig Roh on the outside of the line. In the interior they have an excellent rotation with Drake Nevis, Brandin Bryant, and Jake Thomas. Add last year's Most Outstanding Defensive Player in linebacker Adam Bighill to the mix and you have one of the top defenses and top teams in the league.


I think the Bombers could be the best team in the league and with Reilly still learning to adjust to a new system and teammates I'm backing them to steal this game on the road.


PICK: Winnipeg +2
 

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THURSDAY, JUNE 13
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS



SSK at HAM 07:00 PM


SSK +3.5


U 48.0
 

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