Cnotes 2016 NCAA Basketball News-Trends-Picks !

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, January 18

Florida won its last seven games; they’re 5-0 in SEC, winning road games by 9 at Arkansas, 13 at Alabama. Gators force turnovers 24.9% of time vs SEC opponents. South Carolina is 4-0 in SEC, beating Texas A&M/Ole Miss by 11 points each in its two SEC home games. Gamecocks are forcing turnovers 29.7% of time in league play. Florida won seven of last eight games with South Carolina, losing in OT in Columbia LY; Gators won four of last five games here. Road teams are 13-5 vs spread in SEC games where spread was 5 or less points.

Indiana lost four of last six games after a 10-2 start; they’re 0-2 in true road games, losing at Ft Wayne/Maryland, both by 3 points. Hoosiers put their foes on foul line more than any team in Big 14. Penn State won three of last four games, beating Michigan St/Minnesota in last two; they were down 10 at half to Gophers in last game. PSU won two of last three games with Indiana, after losing previous five series games. Hoosiers won four of last five visits to Happy Valley. Big 14 home underdogs of 6 or less points are 6-3 vs spread this season.

Notre Dame won its last seven games, is 16-2, 5-0 in ACC, with four wins by 5 or less points or in OT. Irish already have ACC wins at Pitt-Miami-Va Tech; they protect ball well and they don’t foul much. Florida State is also 16-2; they had 12-game win streak snapped at UNC Saturday. Seminoles are 3-0 in ACC home games, winning by 16-15-16 points- they get to foul line more than any team in ACC. FSU won 76-74/77-56 in its last two games with Notre Dame. ACC home favorites of 6 or less points are 9-4 vs spread this season.

TCU is 14-3 this year, 3-2 in Big X, after being 8-64 in league games the previous four years. Horned Frogs are 3-2 in Big X, 1-1 on road; their losses are to Kansas/WestVa. Frogs are shooting 55.3% inside arc in Big X games. Texas Tech is 2-3 in Big X, 2-0 at home with pair of one-point wins, over WVU/K-State- Red Raiders won eight of last nine games with TCU. Horned Frogs beat ‘em 67-62 in Big X tourney LY, but lost last four visits to Lubbock, by 9-6-20-4 points. Big X home favorites of 5 or less points are 3-3 against the spread.

Wake Forest is 1-4 in ACC, with only win at home vs Boston College; Deacons’ ACC home losses are by 5 to Clemson, 6 to UNC. Wake is shooting 39% (#32) from arc for season. Miami split tis first four games, losing by 15 at Syracuse, winning by 26 at Pitt in their road games. Hurricanes are #266 experience team that is just 2-4 vs top 100 teams, beating NC State/Pitt. Home side won last five Miami-Wake Forest games; Hurricanes lost 80-65/72-70 in last two visits here. Road team is 6-3-1 vs spread in ACC games where spread was 3 or less points.

Utah is 3-2 in Pac-12 after playing #339 pre-conference schedule; they split pair of Pac-12 road games, losing by 9 at Arizona, winning by 6 at ASU. Utes are last in league getting to foul line. Utah won its last five games with Washington State, winning 67-59/92-77 in last two visits here- they beat Coogs 88-47 in last meeting in SLC LY. Wazzu lost its last three games by 19-30-4 points; Coogs are #84 experience team that packs it in on defense; teams are shooting 44.7% on arc against them in Pac-12 tilts. Pac-12 home underdogs are 5-5 vs spread this season.

Ohio State is 1-4 in Big 14, 0-3 on road, losing games by 5-10-23 points; they got first league win Sunday vs Michigan St. Buckeyes have #11 eFG% defense in Big 14. Nebraska lost its last two games after starting 3-0 in league; Huskers have made 43.7% of their 3’s in conference games. Ohio State won nine of last ten games with Nebraska, winning last three by 4-24-3 points. Buckeyes won three of last four visits to Lincoln, winning 65-62 in OT here LY. Big 14 home teams are 11-6 vs spread in games where spread was 3 or less points.

Georgia Tech is 3-2 in ACC despite being picked to finish last before season; Jackets are 1-3 in true road games, losing by 53 at Duke, winning at NC State in ACC road games. GT opponents are shooting just 42.6% inside arc. Virginia Tech lost three of its last four games; they’re 2-1 at home in ACC, beating Duke/Syracuse, losing to Notre Dame. VT is 8-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100. Hokies won their last two games with Georgia Tech by total of three points; Jackets lost six of last seven visits to Blacksburg. ACC home favorites of 7+ points are 8-5 vs spread.

Home side won last nine Kansas State-Oklahoma State games; Wildcats beat OSU 75-71 in Big X tourney LY, but lost last four visits to Stillwater, by 3-14-16-6 points. K-State lost three of last four games; they’re 0-2 on Big X road, losing at Kansas/Tex Tech by total of three points. OSU is 0-5 in Big X, allowing 83.6 pts/game; Cowboys lost home games to WVU by 17, Iowa St by 10. OSU is fouling most and forcing least turnovers in Big X, a bad combination. Big X home teams are 5-5 against spread in games where spread was 5 or less points.

Wyoming is 2-3 in Mountain West, losing both road games, by 6 at UNLV, 15 at Fresno State. Cowboys are 1-4 overall in true road games this season, winning by one at Montana. Wyoming won five of last six games with San Jose State- they lost 62-55 here LY, but won previous two visits to San Jose, by 8-6 points. Spartans won two of last three games, are 1-1 in MW home games, losing by 5 to Colorado St, beating Fresno St by 7, after trailing by 15. Underdogs are 7-4 vs spread in Mountain West games where spread was 3 or less points.

Colorado State is down to 7 scholarship players due to academic issues; Rams are 3-2 in MW, splitting pair of road games that were decided by total of six points- they lost by 1 at Boise, won at San Jose. Fresno State is 3-0 at home, 0-3 on road in league play, beating Nevada/Wyoming/Boise at home. Bulldogs swept Colorado State by 14-8 points, after losing eight of previous nine series games. Rams are 2-3 in last five visits here, losing by 23-9-14 points. Mountain West home favorites of 5 or less points are 8-7 against the spread.

Colorado is 0-5 in Pac-12 after starting season 10-3; they lost Pac-12 road games at Arizona schools, by 1 at ASU, 9 in Tucson. Buffs are starting three juniors, two seniors, but are turning ball over 20% of time in Pac-12. Home side won six of eight Colorado-Washington games; Buffaloes lost three of four visits here, losing by 10-17-12 points. Huskies won first meeting of year last three seasons. Washington is 1-4 in Pac-12, with only win over lowly Oregon State. Pac-12 favorites are 0-5 vs spread in games where spread was 3 or less points.

Denver is 11-7 this year, 3-2 in Summit League, after going 13-19 in league play last two years. Pioneers are playing pace #238 this year, after being at #350 last couple years, while playing Princeton style under the previous coach. Omaha won its last three games, scoring 88.7 pts/game; they’re playing #12 pace in country. Home side won last five Denver-Omaha games; Pioneers lost 80-69/75-72 in last two visits here- they beat Omaha 78-70 in Summit tourney LY. Summit League home favorites of 5 or less points are 4-6 vs spread.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB

Wednesday, January 18

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Trend Report
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6:30 PM
FLORIDA vs. SOUTH CAROLINA
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against South Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 6 games when playing on the road against South Carolina
South Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Florida
The total has gone OVER in 4 of South Carolina's last 6 games when playing at home against Florida

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JANUARY 18, 7:00 PM
MISSOURI vs. ALABAMA
Missouri is 2-23 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Alabama is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Missouri
Alabama is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home

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JANUARY 18, 7:00 PM
MISSOURI STATE vs. INDIANA STATE
Missouri State is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Missouri State's last 5 games on the road
Indiana State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Missouri State
Indiana State is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Missouri State

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JANUARY 18, 7:00 PM
NOTRE DAME vs. FLORIDA STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Notre Dame's last 6 games on the road
Notre Dame is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Florida State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Florida State is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games

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JANUARY 18, 7:00 PM
SAINT JOSEPH'S vs. MASSACHUSETTS
Saint Joseph's is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Saint Joseph's is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Massachusetts's last 8 games when playing at home against Saint Joseph's
Massachusetts is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Saint Joseph's

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JANUARY 18, 7:00 PM
INDIANA vs. PENN STATE
Indiana is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Indiana is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Penn State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Penn State's last 9 games when playing at home against Indiana

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JANUARY 18, 7:00 PM
OKLAHOMA vs. WEST VIRGINIA
Oklahoma is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oklahoma's last 10 games on the road
West Virginia is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Oklahoma
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of West Virginia's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma

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JANUARY 18, 7:00 PM
VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH vs. FORDHAM
Virginia Commonwealth is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Virginia Commonwealth is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Fordham is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Fordham is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games

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JANUARY 18, 7:00 PM
DUQUESNE vs. GEORGE WASHINGTON
Duquesne is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Duquesne's last 7 games when playing on the road against George Washington
George Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Duquesne
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of George Washington's last 7 games when playing at home against Duquesne

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JANUARY 18, 7:00 PM
TEMPLE vs. CINCINNATI
Temple is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Temple is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Temple
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing Temple

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JANUARY 18, 7:30 PM
TCU vs. TEXAS TECH
TCU is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of TCU's last 7 games on the road
Texas Tech is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing TCU
Texas Tech is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing TCU

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JANUARY 18, 7:30 PM
TULANE vs. TULSA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tulane's last 9 games when playing on the road against Tulsa
Tulane is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tulsa
Tulsa is 8-0-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Tulane
Tulsa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tulane

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JANUARY 18, 8:00 PM
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS vs. DRAKE
Southern Illinois is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Southern Illinois's last 10 games on the road
Drake is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Southern Illinois
Drake is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Southern Illinois

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JANUARY 18, 8:00 PM
LOYOLA OF CHICAGO vs. NORTHERN IOWA
Loyola of Chicago is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Northern Iowa
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Loyola of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
Northern Iowa is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Northern Iowa is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games

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JANUARY 18, 8:00 PM
VIRGINIA vs. BOSTON COLLEGE
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Virginia's last 13 games on the road
Virginia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston College's last 5 games at home
Boston College is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

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JANUARY 18, 8:00 PM
MIAMI vs. WAKE FOREST
Miami is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Wake Forest
Miami is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Wake Forest
Wake Forest is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Wake Forest is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

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JANUARY 18, 8:05 PM
ROOSEVELT vs. CHICAGO STATE
No trends available
Chicago State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Chicago State is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games at home

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JANUARY 18, 8:30 PM
LSU vs. AUBURN
LSU is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
LSU is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Auburn's last 5 games when playing at home against LSU
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Auburn's last 11 games when playing LSU

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JANUARY 18, 9:00 PM
GEORGIA TECH vs. VIRGINIA TECH
Georgia Tech is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Virginia Tech
Georgia Tech is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Virginia Tech is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Virginia Tech's last 5 games

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JANUARY 18, 9:00 PM
OHIO STATE vs. NEBRASKA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ohio State's last 5 games on the road
Ohio State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nebraska's last 6 games when playing Ohio State
Nebraska is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Ohio State

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JANUARY 18, 9:00 PM
ILLINOIS STATE vs. BRADLEY
Illinois State is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Bradley
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Illinois State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Bradley
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Bradley's last 5 games
Bradley is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games

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JANUARY 18, 9:00 PM
KANSAS STATE vs. OKLAHOMA STATE
Kansas State is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma State
Kansas State is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma State's last 6 games

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JANUARY 18, 9:00 PM
UTAH vs. WASHINGTON STATE
Utah is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington State
Washington State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah
Washington State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah

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JANUARY 18, 10:00 PM
UC IRVINE vs. CAL POLY
UC Irvine is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
UC Irvine is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cal Poly
Cal Poly is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Cal Poly is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

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JANUARY 18, 10:00 PM
AIR FORCE vs. NEVADA
Air Force is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Nevada's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nevada's last 6 games at home

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JANUARY 18, 10:00 PM
WYOMING vs. SAN JOSE STATE
Wyoming is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
San Jose State is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Wyoming
San Jose State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Wyoming

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JANUARY 18, 10:00 PM
UC RIVERSIDE vs. CS FULLERTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of UC Riverside's last 5 games when playing on the road against CS Fullerton
UC Riverside is 3-7-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
CS Fullerton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of CS Fullerton's last 6 games

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JANUARY 18, 11:00 PM
COLORADO STATE vs. FRESNO STATE
Colorado State is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado State's last 6 games on the road
Fresno State is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Colorado State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Fresno State's last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado State

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JANUARY 18, 11:00 PM
COLORADO vs. WASHINGTON
Colorado is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

 

[CNOTES]

Wednesday's Tip Sheet
January 18, 2017




**Florida at South Carolina**


-- South Carolina (14-3 straight up, 7-6 against the spread) hasn’t tasted a defeat in the 11 games played by senior star Sindarius Thornwell, who missed six games due to an indefinite suspension. However, since his return, the Gamecocks have won four in a row while producing a 3-1 spread record.


-- Frank Martin’s team has won 10 of its 11 home games while posting a 3-5 spread record. The Gamecocks are off of Saturday’s 67-56 win over Ole Miss as 12.5-point home ‘chalk.’ Chris Silva had a double-double with 16 points and 11 rebounds, while P.J. Dozier added 16 points, five rebounds and three assists. Thornwell had 10 points, eight boards, three assists and a pair of steals.


-- As of early this morning, most books had South Carolina listed as a one-point home favorite. One offshore shop had a total of 134.5 points.


-- South Carolina is 2-1 SU and 1-2 ATS as a single-digit home favorite. The Gamecocks covered in a 79-68 win over Texas A&M as 5.5-point favorites, but they lost 62-60 to Clemson as 1.5-point home ‘chalk.’ They failed to cover as 5.5-point home favorites in a 70-69 overtime win vs. Monmouth on Dozier’s buzzer-beating jumper.


-- Thornwell is averaging team-highs in scoring (18.0 points per game), rebounding (7.1 RPG), assists (3.6 APG) and steals (2.5 SPG). Dozier (14.9 PPG) is averaging 4.8 rebounds and 3.1 APG. Silva (9.7 PPG 6.3 RPG,) is averaging team-bests in field-goal percentage (57.8%) and blocked shots (1.9 BPG).


-- Florida (14-3 SU, 9-6 ATS) owns a 3-1 SU record and a 2-1 ATS mark in four true road assignments. The Gators are winless both SU and ATS in three games as underdogs.


-- Since dropping back-to-back games vs. Duke (84-74 at MSG in NYC) and at FSU (83-78), Mike White’s team has ripped seven consecutive wins while going 5-2 ATS. UF is 5-0 in SEC play and can pull back into a first-place tie with Kentucky with a win here. UK went to 6-0 in league action by winning but failing to cover in last night’s win at The Hump over Mississippi St. The Gators have won at Arkansas (81-72), vs. Ole Miss (70-63), vs. Tennessee (83-70), at Alabama (80-67) and vs. Georgia (80-76).


-- Florida needed a second-half rally to force overtime before beating Georgia on Saturday at The O’Dome in Gainesville. The Bulldogs easily took the cash as 11-point underdogs. Although UGA had lost 13 straight at UF, senior guard J.J. Frazier helped the Bulldogs to an eight-point advantage in the second half. Kasey Hill made two free throws on four attempts in the final minute to force the extra session. Trailing by three with nine seconds left, Frazier’s trey attempt to tie was off the mark. Canyon Barry countered Frazier’s 25 points with a game-high 27. That was a season-high scoring effort for Barry, as was his five 3-pointers made on eight launches. Redshirt freshman forward Keith Stone scored a career-best on 17 points. He also had three steals and made 5-of-6 shots from the field, including 3-of-4 from downtown. Hill finished with 11 points and four assists. John Egbunu contributed five points, 11 rebounds and two blocked shots.


-- UF sophomore guard KeVaughn Allen scored nine points in the win over UGA. It was the second straight game he was held to single-digit scoring after averaging 19.3 points per game over a four-game stretch. Allen has averaged a team-best 13.9 PPG for the season while hitting 39.8 percent of his shots from beyond the arc and 86.8 percent at the free-throw line. Barry (12.8 PPG) has buried 85.7 percent at the charity stripe in the underhanded form made famous by his NBA Hall-of-Famer father, Rick. Devin Robinson is averaging 11.4 points and 5.1 RPG.


-- UF is No. 3 in the RPI Rankings with a 4-3 record versus the Top 50 and a 9-3 mark against the Top 100. All three of the Gators’ defeats came against RPI Top-15 foes, including neutral-court losses to Duke and Gonzaga and a setback at FSU. Their best wins are at Arkansas, vs. Ole Miss, vs. UGA and vs. Seton Hall on a neutral floor. They also have neutral-court scalps over Miami, St. Bonaventure and Florida Gulf Coast.


-- South Carolina is No. 25 in the RPI, going 2-2 vs. the Top 50 and 7-2 against the Top 100. The Gamecocks have quality road wins at Georgia and at Tennessee, in addition to notable home victories vs. Ole Miss, Monmouth, Michigan, Vermont and Texas A&M.


-- The ‘over’ is on a 7-2 run for the Gators, who have now seen the ‘over’ go 9-6 overall and 3-0 in their road contests.


-- The ‘under’ is 11-3 overall for South Carolina, 6-2 in its home contests.


-- Tip-off is scheduled for 6:30 p.m. Eastern on The SEC Network.


**Notre Dame at Florida State**

-- As of early this morning, most spots had FSU (16-2 SU, 11-5 ATS) listed as a six-point favorite.


-- Leonard Hamilton’s team is No. 11 in the RPI, producing Top-50 home wins over Duke, Wake Forest, Florida and Minnesota. The Seminoles are also beat Illinois on a neutral floor and a won at Virginia. Their only losses came at North Carolina and vs. Temple on a neutral court. They own a 4-1 record against the Top 25, a 6-1 mark versus the Top 50 and a 7-2 ledger against the Top 100.


-- FSU is undefeated in 12 home games with an 8-2 spread record.


-- FSU saw its school-record 12-game winning streak snapped in Saturday’s 96-83 loss at UNC as an 8.5-point underdog. Dwayne Bacon had a team-high 18 points in the losing effort. Jonathan Isaac produced 17 points, 12 rebounds and three steals, but the Seminoles were an abysmal 12-of-26 from the FT line (46.2%).


-- Bacon, a sophomore wing who was a five-star recruit, is averaging a team-best 17.8 PPG. Isaac is averaging 12.5 points and 7.5 RPG. Xavier Rathan-Mayes (10.8 PPG) has dished out a team-high 84 assists compared to 36 turnovers.


-- Notre Dame (16-2 SU, 8-3 ATS) has won outright in all three road games, going 2-0-1 ATS. Since blowing second-half leads in a pair of neutral-court losses to Villanova and Purdue, Mike Brey’s squad has won has seven in a row and has covered the number in four straight outings. The Fighting Irish are alone in first place atop the ACC standings with a 5-0 record.


-- Notre Dame just brought to a halt Miami’s 21-game home winning streak last Thursday before ending Va. Tech’s 15-game home surge on Saturday. Now the Irish can stop a 15-game home winning streak for FSU.


-- Notre Dame won 67-62 at Miami as a four-point road ‘dog before besting the Hokies 76-71 as a 1.5-point puppy in Blacksburg. Steve Vasturia paced his team against Va. Tech by scoring 29 points to go with four boards and four assists. Bonzie Colson added 14 points, 12 rebounds and two blocked shots, while junior PG Matt Farrell finished with 14 points, five assists and three steals. Temple Gibbs contributed 13 points from off the bench in just 17 minutes of playing time.


-- Notre Dame is 2-2 both SU and ATS as an underdog.


-- Colson is averaging a double-double (15.8 PPG, 10.9 RPG) while draining 87.3 percent of his free throws. He has a team-best 25 rejections. Vasturia (15.0 PPG) is burying 44.3 percent from 3-point range and 91.5 percent at the FT line. Farrell (14.1 PPG) has a 98/43 assists-to-turnovers ratio, while V.J. Beachem is also scoring in double figures with a 13.9 PPG average.


-- Notre Dame leads the nation in free-throw percentage (82.8%).


-- When these teams met last season, FSU cruised to a 77-56 win as a 2.5-point home underdog. Bacon led the way for the winners with 21 points.


-- The ‘over’ is 9-7 overall for the ‘Noles, 7-3 in their home outings. They’ve seen the ‘over’ hit in three consecutive games.


-- The ‘over’ is 7-5 overall, but the ‘under’ has cashed in back-to-back games for the Irish. The ‘under’ is 2-1 in their road assignments.


-- ESPN will have the broadcast at 7:00 p.m. Eastern.

 

[CNOTES]

In the Paint - Week 10
January 11, 2017


Trouble Bruin


UCLA slipped up 89-87 in Oregon on Dec. 28, but they have rebounded with three straight victories. However, the Bruins have been struggling against the number lately, going 0-5 ATS over the past five games after a 9-0 ATS run from Nov. 20 to Dec. 17. After a favorite of 19 or more points, UCLA is just 2-5 ATS. Getting into league play isn't good for UCLA, as they're just 1-10 ATS in their past 11 league games. UCLA is also a dismal 1-5 ATS in their past six outings on the road. Remember that for UCLA's next two games at Colorado on Jan. 12, and at Utah on Jan. 14.


Top of the ACC


Florida State has ascended to the top of the Atlantic Coast Conference, and they'll remain on the top of the heap for the foreseeable future after blasting Duke 88-72 in a battle of Top 10 clubs in Tallahassee on Tuesday night. The Seminoles have now rattled off 12 consecutive victories, last tasting defeat Nov. 24 against Temple on a neutral site court. FSU has covered four in a row, and eight of their past 10 games. They're also a perfect 5-0 ATS in their past five instances as a favorite or 10 or fewer points. They have a big test at North Carolina on Saturday afternoon. FSU passed their first big road test of the season, winning on New Year's Eve at Virginia by a 60-58 count as nine-point underdogs.

Big East Clash


Butler will head to Omaha on Wednesday for a Big East clash against Creighton. The Bulldogs have rebounded nicely with a three-game win and cover streak following a shocking loss at St. John's on Dec. 29. Butler enters 4-0-1 ATS in their past five games as an underdog, and 8-2 ATS in their past 10 league games. They're also 10-3-1 ATS in their past 14 games on the road. Creighton has been money as a home favorite, going 9-3 ATS in their past 12 games. They're also 22-7 ATS in their past 29 games as a favorite and 10-4 ATS in their past 14 overall at home. Like Butler, Creighton has been cover kings within the league, going 21-9-1 ATS in the past 31 Big East affairs. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the past six in this series, with the 'under' 4-1 in the past five.


Duck, Duck...Lose


Oregon has been on a roll to kick off the Pac-12 schedule, going a perfect 4-for-4 straight up and against the number. That includes road wins at Washington and Washington State in the past two outings. In fact, Oregon has won the past three games by an average of 24.7 points per game. Next up will be a game against Oregon State on Saturday, a team playing horrible basketball this season. The Beavs have started out 0-4 in the Pac-12, and they're just 1-9 straight up over the past 10 outings. Their poor offense is the reason for their struggles, and they won't be able to do much against an Oregon scoring defense which ranks 36th in the natiuon (64.5 PPG) while holding the opposition to just 38.8 percent from the field, which is 20th in the country.

Mary, Mary...Why You Buggin'?

St. Mary's has been on quite the roll, winning eight straight games since their only setback of the season at home against Texas-Arlington back on Dec. 8. However, the Gaels have been hurting bettors at the window, posting a rather marginal 3-3-1 ATS mark over the past seven games after opening the season 4-1 ATS in the first five games. St. Mary's hopes to stay hot on the road, as they head to Portland first before a showdown at Gonzaga. The Gaels are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS in four road outings this season, and the 'under' is 3-1 in those games away from home.


Other Teams to Watch

Fordham heads to Davidson on Wednesday looking to turn things around. They have dropped three in a row, and nine of the past 10 since a 5-1 start. The Rams are also just 0-7-1 ATS over the past eight games.


Idaho State has been a good team to pick on lately. They have dropped four in a row straight up, and they're 0-5 ATS over the past five outings. If you want to make money, the 'under' is also 6-0 in their past six games, as the Bengals rank 321st in the nation in scoring offense at just 65.4 points per game.


Long Beach State has rattled off victories in four of their past six games, but they're struggling against the number. The 49ers are 0-5 ATS over the past five outings.


Northeastern of the Colonial Athletic Association will host Drexel Thursday night, as they look for their eight straight win. During the streak they have a win at Michigan State, as well as at Harvard, Oakland and Vermont. They also pushed aside the Dragons of Drexel by a 75-70 score in overtime on Jan. 2, just covering a 4 1/2-point number. The Huskies are 6-0 ATS in their past six outings, and the 'under' has hit in four of their past five.


Northern Iowa has been a fairly dependable team in the past few years for bettors. UNI is dependable this season, too, but for different reasons. The Panthers have dropped six straight overall, and they're 0-7 ATS over the past seven games while going 1-11 ATS over the past 12 outings.


Tulane has dropped five straight after their 80-59 setback against Memphis on Sunday, and they have posted a dismal 0-4 ATS mark over the past four games, and a 1-7 ATS record over the past eight. Total bettors have been cashing in on the Green Wave, too, as the 'over' is 5-2 over the past seven outings.


UTEP has really struggled in Conference USA play, dropped their first three league games. The Miners have dropped 12 in a row since their last win against Western Michigan way back on Nov. 18, and UTEP is 0-6 ATS over the past six outings.


Wofford hosts Furman Saturday in SoCon play. The Terriers haven't been ticking off many victories lately, dropping three in a row, and four of the past five. However, Wofford has been money against the spread, going 9-1 ATS over the past 10 outings.

 

[CNOTES]

Preview: Gators (14-3) at Gamecocks (14-3)
Date: January 18, 2017 6:30 PM EDT

Points figure to be at a premium when Florida and South Carolina share the basketball court on Wednesday.


The 19th-ranked Gators are stout at stopping the competition but the 24th-ranked Gamecocks stymie opponents at a far better rate as they enter the SEC showdown in Columbia, S.C.


South Carolina (14-3, 4-0 SEC) leads the SEC and ranks eighth nationally in scoring defense at 59.8 points per game. The Gamecocks rank third nationally in field-goal percentage defense (36.4) and have held five opponents to 50 or fewer points.


"They're just so sound, they're just so intense," Florida coach Mike White said at a press conference. "They're one of the best defensive programs in college basketball."


The Gators (14-3, 5-0) allow an average of 67.1 points per outing and enter the contest with seven consecutive wins. Florida is averaging 82.1 points during its winning streak and figures to test the prolific Gamecocks' defense.


The Gators have a red-hot player in backup senior guard Canyon Barry and a deep roster in which freshman forward Keith Stone -- the ninth-leading scorer at 5.3 points per game -- averaged 15.5 points and made 6 of 7 3-point attempts over the past two games.


"We can't say 'if we stop this guy then we have a chance,'" senior guard Sindarius Thornwell said at a press conference. "You have to guard everybody because with a team like that, anybody can have a good day."


The aforementioned Barry is averaging 18.8 points over the past four games and recorded season highs of 27 points and five 3-pointers in Saturday's 80-76 overtime victory against Georgia. Barry ranks second on the team in scoring (12.8) behind sophomore guard KeVaughn Allen (13.9) and is perfectly happy being a reserve.


"I try to play my game," said Barry, the son of Hall of Famer Rick Barry. "Let the game come to me. Read the defense. See what I can get. Obviously, my teammates have done a great job finding me and I've been able to shoot well."


There have been suggestions that Barry should be in the team's starting lineup but White isn't interesting in making any changes during a long winning streak. But he definitely is ecstatic over Barry's play.


"He's playing with a different level of confidence, I really believe that," White said. "I think we can all see that. He's just shooting the ball better. He's shooting it better in practice, shooting it better at shootaround and it's carrying over. I know he's spent a lot of time in the gym. I know this is really important to him."


Thornwell and sophomore guard PJ Dozier pace the South Carolina attack. Thornwell leads the Gamecocks in scoring (18.0) and rebounding (7.1) while Dozier is averaging 14.9 points to go with a team-leading 35 steals.


Sophomore forward Chris Silva could be a key player against the Gators after producing a career-high 16 points and matching his career best of 11 rebounds in Saturday's 67-56 victory over Mississippi. Silva averages 9.7 points and 6.3 rebounds.


South Carolina coach Frank Martin knows his team's resume will be helped by a win over the Gators. Yet he is also aware it will be a challenge.


"They're a real good basketball team," Martin said. "They were real good last year and now they're a year better, a year older, and Mike and his staff have really put their arms around this team right now."


The Gamecocks registered a 73-69 overtime victory in their lone meeting with Florida last season.

 

[CNOTES]

Preview: Owls (10-9) at Bearcats (15-2)
Date: January 18, 2017 7:00 PM EDT

CINCINNATI -- No. 20 Cincinnati has every reason to look past Wednesday night's game at Fifth Third Arena against the Temple Owls.


Well, except one: The Bearcats know better.


Cincinnati enters the contest on an eight-game winning streak that includes key American Athletic Conference wins over Houston and SMU. The Bearcats' RPI soared to 16 this week and their NCAA Tournament resume is stronger than ever.


Temple, meanwhile, has lost five of six.


But, don't be fooled. Coming into this season, the Owls had defeated Cincinnati in three straight games and six of the previous 10.


Bearcats coach Mick Cronin knows those tough-minded kids from Philadelphia won't be a tough out.


"They fight you as hard as they can fight you," Cronin said.


Temple (10-9, 1-5 AAC) has two top-25 wins among its nine victories, having defeated Florida State and West Virginia earlier this season. The Owls defeated three ranked teams last year and 10th-ranked Kansas the year before.


"This is a good time for us to turn it around," Temple guard Shizz Alston told the Philadelphia Inquirer.


The first meeting this season was a tight affair. When the teams played on Dec. 28, Jacob Evans and Gary Clark each scored nine of their 11 points in the second half to help Cincinnati hold off the Owls 65-60. A Bearcats' 10-0 run in the second half helped them go ahead by eight points with seven minutes remaining.


Cronin believes that when teams play for the second time in a season, the advantage goes to the club that lost the first game.


"They're the ones who think they have to play better to win," he said. "It's just human nature. You have to rely on your veteran leadership."


Cincinnati (15-2, 5-0 AAC) has won 18 consecutive games at home. The last team to beat the Bearcats on their home court? You guessed it. Temple won 77-70 at Fifth Third Arena on Dec. 29, 2015.


The Bearcats often are known for their tenacious defense and this season has been no different. Cincinnati ranks second nationally in field goal percentage defense (35.6), 10th in scoring defense (60.6), and fifth in 3-point percentage defense (30.1).


Temple shoots an AAC-best 34.8 percent from 3-point range. The Owls also average more than 70 points per game. In the first meeting, the Bearcats held Temple to just 60 points and 5-for-26 from 3-point range.


During the eight-game winning streak, Evans led Cincinnati with 12.5 points per game followed by Clark's 12.1. Opponents have scored just 61.4 points and shot 32 percent.


Temple is paced by Obi Enechionyia, who averaged 14.3 points and 6.5 rebounds. Alston, who's coming off a 25-point performance in a loss to Tulsa, averages 13.3 points for the Owls.


Cincinnati leads the series 17-9, including a 7-2 mark at home. Temple was picked in the preseason to finish sixth in the AAC while the Bearcats were picked to win the league.


"(Temple) is extremely well coached," Cronin said. "They have played by far the hardest schedule in our conference. It's always tough to beat a team two times in the same year."

 

[CNOTES]

Preview: Sooners (7-9) at Mountainers (15-2)
Date: January 18, 2017 7:00 PM EDT

MORGANTOWN, W.Va. -- A close call at Texas left No. 7 West Virginia feeling fortunate to win. Mountaineers coach Bob Huggins doesn't want a repeat against another rebuilding opponent, Oklahoma.


"Huggs says if we don't play harder than anyone in the country, then our defense isn't what it's supposed to be," said Mountaineers guard Tarik Phillip.


Phillip was one of the second-half heroes Saturday when West Virginia edged the Longhorns 74-72.


Next up on Wednesday are the Sooners (7-9, 1-4), lightyears removed from last season's Buddy Hield-sparked Final Four team, but feeling more chipper after beating Texas Tech for their first conference win.


"We have been so close," said Oklahoma forward Kadeem Lattin. "We are a team that fights really hard. Now that we have a win under our belt it's a confidence booster going into the rest of the season. Now we are ready to fight some more."


Lattin and Jordan Woodard are the only starters back for the Sooners from a year ago, when two of the three games against West Virginia (15-2, 4-1) were decided on the final possession. Such inexperience explains why Lon Kruger's team is the worst in the Big 12 in shooting percentage and turnovers.


"I think four of the five starters last year had started like 500 games or whatever it was," Huggins said. "That's a lot and those guys played heavy minutes, so the guys off the bench didn't play as much. That makes it hard."


Opponents find it hard playing in Morgantown with WVU winning 25 of its last 27 games, including a 21-point beating of then-No. 1 Baylor eight days ago. Point guard Jevon Carter won Naismith player-of-the-week honors for his clutch play against the Bears and his late-game surge in Austin, where 11 of his 15 points came in the final 9:17.


"He should get rewarded for all the time he puts in," Huggins said.


"I don't really pay those things too much mind," Carter said. "I mean, it feels good but I'm just here to win."


A two-time all-defensive Big 12 member, Carter's offense is catching up thanks to more aggressive shot creation. He's scoring 11.2 points and 4.7 assists per game.


West Virginia forward Esa Ahmad (12.1 points), held without a field goal at Texas, is looking to bounce back. Same with Nathan Adrian (10.5 points, 6.5 rebounds), who was sluggish against the Longhorns while coping with a stomach illness.


Woodard (17.5 points) paces Oklahoma, followed by 6-foot-6 guard Rashard Odomes (11.5 points) and Christian James (11.2).

 

[CNOTES]

Preview: Fighting Irish (16-2) at Seminoles (16-2)
Date: January 18, 2017 7:00 PM EDT

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. -- Jockeying for first place in the Atlantic Coast Conference continues Wednesday night as No. 15 Notre Dame travels to Florida to take on No. 10 Florida State.


The Fighting Irish (16-2, 5-0 ACC) bring a perfect conference mark into the Donald L. Tucker Center -- and sole possession, at the moment, of the top spot in the ACC. But the Seminoles (16-2, 4-1) can swing the pendulum back in their favor with a win on their home floor, where Florida State is unbeaten this year with a 12-0 mark in Tallahassee.


The game will mark the fifth straight ranked opponent Florida State will have faced since beginning conference play. The Seminoles are 3-1 over that stretch with wins against No. 16 Virginia, then-No. 20 Virginia Tech and No. 18 Duke, coupled with a loss to No. 9 North Carolina this past Saturday. Florida State will close its brutal Top 25 gauntlet to begin ACC play Saturday when it hosts No. 12 Louisville.


The 96-83 defeat to the Tar Heels ended a stretch of 12 wins in a row by Florida State and halted potential history: The Seminoles, who are led by guard Dwayne Bacon's 17.8 points per game, had tied their best start ever at 16-1 (with the 1988-99 team) going into the North Carolina game, and they needed just one win to set a school record.


Instead, Florida State forward Jarquez Smith called the loss "a reality check," in an interview with the school's official website, Seminoles.com.


Smith added: "Things aren't always going to go our way. We're not always going to play the best game possible. We just have to learn to bounce back from tough games like that."


Another tough game awaits in Notre Dame, winners of seven straight with its only losses coming against No. 1 Villanova and No. 21 Purdue. The Irish have also beaten Louisville, Duke and Virginia Tech en route to first place in the ACC -- a spot it shared with Florida State before the Seminoles' loss Saturday to North Carolina.


What is particularly impressive has been Notre Dame's ability to close games. The Irish have outscored their opponents 45-11 in the final two-plus minutes of their first five ACC games, including a 10-1 run in the victory over over Miami and a 6-1 run against Pitt that forced overtime, with Notre Dame eventually winning 78-77.


Notre Dame senior swingman V.J. Beachem leads the team in playing time at 33.2 minutes per game and has been particularly adept at producing pivotal plays in the closing minutes.


"It's just something that all of us take pride in," he told the South Bend Tribune. "I tell myself in the heat of the moments, try to make a play here to help your team win a game. Get a stop, a deflection. It's something I've been trying to be conscious of lately."


Coach Mike Brey depends on Beachem's senior leadership when it matters most.


"That's why you have him on the floor, especially at crunch time," Brey said, according to the Tribune. "He has a knack for doing it. Even though maybe the previous 38 minutes weren't beautiful, you kind of want him back in there to finish."


The Irish, who are led in scoring by forward Bonzie Colson's 15.8 points and 10.9 rebounds a game, earlier posted the best overall start of Brey's tenure (9-0), and now have the best ACC start (5-0) in school history.


But the Irish haven't fared well in Tallahassee. Florida State leads the all-time series against Notre Dame 3-1, with two of those wins coming at home.

 

[CNOTES]

Preview: Cavaliers (13-3) at Eagles (9-9)
Date: January 18, 2017 8:00 PM EDT

BOSTON -- Clemson coach Brad Brownell expressed his frustration after his team's narrow loss to then-No. 19 Virginia on Saturday.


"If you would have told me we were going to score 73 points and force Virginia into 16 turnovers, I would have told you we won the game," he said. "But it didn't happen. Marial (Shayok) and London (Perrantes) were terrific for them. They made big-time baskets throughout the game."


Clemson scored the second-most number of points this season against the top defense in the country. But the Cavaliers survived the road test and go to Boston College on Wednesday night as the No. 16 team in the country.


They also make the trip with a 4-1 road record, 6-1 away from home counting neutral games. They are yielding just 53.4 points per game as they visit the Eagles, who are 9-9 overall and 2-3 in league games after going winless in ACC play last season.


BC is 2-0 at home in the league but coming off a loss at Syracuse -- where the Eagles turned the ball over 15 times in the first half.


"We started off the game pretty well, it was 13-13, so we had a big 3 to take the lead," Boston College coach Jim Christian said. "We play teams and they make a run on the road and we haven't responded very well and that is what we have to get better at.


"That is what the good teams in this league do. Teams are going to make runs at home and we haven't answered that run with sound smart play yet on the road."


Virginia (13-3, 3-2 ACC) is one of those good teams.


The Cavaliers have a balanced attack, with Perrantes the only player in double figures at 12.1 points per game -- the lowest scoring average ever to lead a Virginia team. But Shayok has scored 17 points -- going 14-for-24 from the floor -- in each of his two games since being added to the starting lineup.


"In practice you can see him coming," said Virginia coach Tony Bennett. "He can score off the bounce. He's creative at creating space, rising up, and he's got a scorer's mentality. I put him in the lineup, and whether that's helped his confidence or not, I don't think so. He's just getting opportunities and he's taking better care of the basketball."


The Cavs are fifth in the country in fewest turnovers, 10th in scoring margin, 12th in both assist/turnover ratio and 3-point percentage, 13th in field-goal percentage and 18th in turnover margin. But the story is defense -- earlier this season they became the first team in ACC history to hold three straight opponents under 40 points.


BC is led by two underclassmen -- sophomore Jerome Robinson and freshman Ky Bowman, who are averaging a combined 32.5 points, 8.8 rebounds and 5.6 assists per game. Robinson is tied for third in the ACC at 20.2 points per game.


The Eagles are 8-3 at home, but the home losses were against Nicholls State, Hartford and Harvard. They have defeated Syracuse and North Carolina State at home in the league.

 

[CNOTES]

TOP 25 SELECTIONS:


WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 18


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


FLA at SCAR 06:30 PM

FLA +1.5


ND at FSU 07:00 PM

ND +5.5


TEM at CIN 07:00 PM


CIN -12.5


OKLA at WVU 07:00 PM


WVU -17.0


UVA at BC 08:00 PM


UVA -14.5

 

[CNOTES]

BEST OF THE REST :


WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 18


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


IND at PSU 07:00 PM


PSU +4.0


U 148.0


MOSU at INST 07:00 PM


INST +1.5


JOES at MASS 07:00 PM

MASS -6.5


DUQ at GW 07:00 PM


DUQ +9.0


O 144.5


MIZZ at ALA 07:00 PM


ALA -13.0


SDST at INDPU 07:00 PM


INDPU -6.5


O 160.5


VCU at FOR 07:00 PM


VCU -10.5


TULN at TLSA 07:30 PM


TULN +11.0


TCU at TTU 07:30 PM


TCU +4.0


O 137.0


L-IL at UNI 08:00 PM

UNI -3.0


MIA at WAKE 08:00 PM

WAKE +1.5


SIU at DRKE 08:00 PM


SIU -3.0


O 150.5


DEN at NEOM 08:00 PM


DEN +4.0


O 156.5


SDAK at ORU 08:00 PM


SDAK +1.5


O 150.5


LSU at AUB 08:30 PM


AUB -7.5


UTAH at WSU 09:00 PM

UTAH -9.5


ILST at BRAD 09:00 PM


ILST -11.0


OSU at NEB 09:00 PM


NEB -1.0

KSU at OKST 09:00 PM


KSU +3.0


O 155.0


GT at VT 09:00 PM


GT +11.0


O 145.5


UCRV at CSF 10:00 PM


CSF -6.5


WYO at SJSU 10:00 PM


SJSU -1.0


UCI at CP 10:00 PM


UCI -6.0


AFA at NEV 10:00 PM


NEV -11.5


COLO at WASH 11:00 PM


COLO +2.0


CSU at FRES 11:00 PM


FRES -5.0


CSN at HAW 11:59 PM


HAW -2.0

 

[CNOTES]

Top 25 Capsules
January 18, 2017


MORGANTOWN, W.Va. (AP) Kristian Doolittle scored six of his 12 points in overtime and Jordan Woodard's layup with 2.2 seconds left lifted Oklahoma to an 89-87 victory over No. 7 West Virginia on Wednesday night.


Woodard scored 18 of his 20 points after halftime in his second start since missing four games with a leg injury.


After scoring 27 points in a win over Texas Tech on Saturday, Woodard made a jumper with 3.1 seconds left in regulation that tied it at 77-77, then made two baskets in the final minute of overtime to send the Mountaineers (15-3, 4-2 Big 12) to their first home loss of the season.


Freshman Kameron McGusty added 17 points for Oklahoma (8-9, 2-4) in just his third start of the season. Sophomore Jamuni McNeace had a career-high 14 points for Oklahoma and Rashard Odomes added 13.


Jevon Carter scored a season-high 23 points for West Virginia.


---

No. 10 FLORIDA ST. 83, No. 15 NOTRE DAME 80


TALLAHASSEE, Fla. (AP) - Jonathan Isaac scored 23 points, including 17 in the second half, as Florida State moved into a three-way tie atop the Atlantic Coast Conference at the one-third mark in conference play.


Isaac, who had 10 rebounds for his second straight double-double, scored nine of his points during an 11-1 run that helped the Seminoles take control. FSU trailed 64-62 with 5:40 remaining before Isaac buried a 3-pointer to start the run.


Dwayne Bacon added 11 points for Florida State (17-2, 5-1), which has won 16 straight at home and is tied with Notre Dame and North Carolina for the conference lead.


Steve Vasturia scored 18 points, including four 3-pointers, for the Fighting Irish (16-3, 5-1), who were 15 of 21 from long distance. Notre Dame had its seven-game winning streak snapped.


---


No. 16 VIRGINIA 71, BOSTON COLLEGE 54


BOSTON (AP) - Devon Hall scored 13 points and Isaiah Wilkins had 11 points and nine rebounds for Virginia.


None of the Cavaliers played more than 25 minutes as they rested up for next week's games against No. 15 Notre Dame and top-ranked Villanova. Virginia (14-3, 4-2 Atlantic Coast Conference) beat BC for the fourth straight time.


Connor Tava scored 12 points with a season-high 11 rebounds and Jordan Chatman had 16 points for the Eagles (9-10, 2-4).


---

No. 24 SOUTH CAROLINA 57, No. 19 FLORIDA 53


COLUMBIA, S.C. (AP) - Sindarius Thornwell scored 15 of his 20 points in the second half for South Carolina.


The Gamecocks (15-3, 5-0 Southeastern Conference) opened the second half with a 14-2 run and held on down the stretch when the Gators (15-4, 5-1) drew within 54-53 on Chris Chiozza's free throws shots with 40.3 seconds to go. PJ Dozier drove for South Carolina's final basket and Florida fumbled it out of bounds on its next possession.


Leading scorer KeVaughn Allen had one point for Florida while Kasey Hill scored all 11 of his in the opening half before fouling out. Canyon Barry led the Gators with 13 points.


Florida went 0 of 17 from 3-point range, ending a streak of 850 consecutive games with a long-range basket that was the longest in the NCAA. The Gators last went 0-from-behind the arc in an 80-61 loss to Kentucky in 1992.


---

No. 20 CINCINNATI 81, TEMPLE 74


CINCINNATI (AP) - Kyle Washington scored 10 of his 16 points in the second half, rallying Cincinnati to its ninth straight win.


The Bearcats (16-2, 6-0 American Athletic) trailed by six points before Washington made two one-handed shots during a decisive 17-5 run that put them ahead to stay. Cincinnati led by as many as 13 points.


The Bearcats extended their best winning streak in three seasons and completed a series sweep of the Owls (10-10, 1-6).


Troy Caupain had 18 points for the Bearcats, including seven free throws in the closing minutes.


Shizz Alston, Jr., led Temple with 25 points, matching his career high.

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack


— South Carolina 57, Florida 53— Gators were 0-17 behind the arc.


— Upsets of the Night: Oklahoma (+17) 89, West Virginia 87 OT……and Fordham (+11.5) 69, VCU 67.


— Auburn 78, LSU 74— Bruce Pearl gets his 500th coaching win.


— Pacers 106, Kings 100— Sacramento’s Rudy Gay tore his achilles tendon.


— Florida State 83, Notre Dame 80— First ACC loss for the Irish.


— Washington 85, Colorado 83 OT— Fun game to watch, but some of the worst defense I’ve ever seen played. Seriously, just terrible defense by both teams. Buffs led by 17 in second half.


**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud…….


13) Did you know that Anheuser-Busch has the option to buy the first ad of the Super Bowl, and they’ve declined two of the past three years? Their research shows them that commercials later in the game get more attention that those early on. By doing that, they’re gambling the game isn’t a blowout and people stop paying attention.


Advertising is also a big money game. Over the last 35 Super Bowls, Anheuser Busch has spent over $520M in advertising.


12) Three Oregon football players went to the hospital after off-season workouts, and so the new strength coach of the Ducks has been suspended for a month, replaced by the old strength coach, who must be laughing up his sleeve.


The new strength coach came from South Florida with coach Willie Taggart; supposedly he does not have the college degree a person in his position usually has.


Signing Day is 13 days away; stuff like that can hurt your recruiting.


11) Back in 1960, the first year of the AFL, the Los Angeles Chargers had a damn good coaching staff. Sid Gillman was head coach; two of his assistants were Al Davis and Chuck Noll. Not bad.


10) Tony Romo has a steel rod in the collarbone that has been broken three times.


I mention this because the last couple of times I flew, the security person asked me if I had any steel rods in my body. Maybe I look like an NFL quarterback or maybe I just look old, you make the call but my preference is to think I look like a former signal caller.


9) Tennis player Nick Kyrgios was trailing 6-5 in the third set late Tuesday night in Australia when he actually hit a return shot between his legs, like it was nothing. Seriously, I’d be in traction if I tried to do what he did, even without any steel rods in my body.


I don’t know much about tennis, but this guy looks like a little like Giancarlo Stanton, resembles a Greek Adonis, but John McEnroe ripped Kyrgios after he lost his second round match, saying “…..he has about the #200 mental game.” Alrighty then.


8) Congrats to Tim Raines, Jeff Bagwell, Pudge Rodriguez on getting into the Hall of Fame. Will be lot of people coming down from Montreal to Cooperstown in July, I’m pretty sure.


One other HOF note: if David Ortiz gets put in the Hall of Fame someday and that seems likely, then they need to put Edgar Martinez in also. His career on-base %age was .418. Four-Freakin’-eighteen.


Just because he played on the west coast shouldn’t mean he gets excluded.


7) Since 2010, your major league leader in home runs? Jose Bautista, with 249.


6) If I ever get involved in coaching basketball again, I’d be a strong advocate for spending eight minutes of EVERY practice with kids practicing all different kinds of layups. It really helps.


This is something from the Princeton school of coaching; I’m no fan of the Princeton offense itself, but if you’re lucky enough to have players who get the ball close to the basket, it is a big help to have guys who can finish plays. Watch Belmont in the OVC; they’re crafty around the basket and it helps them neutralize more athletic opponents.


I see it all season watching college hoop for 5-6 hours a night; some teams have kids who are uncomfortable when they have the ball around the basket, unless they can dunk it.


5) Surprising fact: Atlanta Falcons have four rookie starters on defense.


4) Over last two years, Clippers are 5-12 in games that Chris Paul missed; he is now out 6-8 weeks with a torn ligament in his thumb.


3) Baylor’s Johnathan Motley had 32 points, 20 rebounds against Texas Monday night; it is really hard to go 30-20 in a basketball game, you have to be totally dominant. Baylor got zero votes in the preseason college hoop poll, but now they’re a top 10 team.


2) Washington Huskies QB Jake Browning had shoulder surgery this week; they did a nice job of hiding his injury thru the season.


1— The following numbers are presented as facts, not as any sort of political statement, but they are facts, and they are interesting.


President Obama commuted 1,385 prison sentences in his eight years in office, 504 of which were life sentences. He also pardoned 212 people. This is more than the last 12 presidents did combined.


I don’t have an opinion on these stats, other than when you do something more than the 12 people who had your job before you (combined), it is an interesting statistic.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, January 19

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MIDDLE TENN ST (15 - 3) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (4 - 14) - 1/19/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 3-1 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 3-1 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NORTHEASTERN (12 - 6) at DELAWARE (7 - 12) - 1/19/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHEASTERN is 4-2 against the spread versus DELAWARE over the last 3 seasons
NORTHEASTERN is 5-1 straight up against DELAWARE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MARYLAND (16 - 2) at IOWA (11 - 8) - 1/19/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARYLAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 1-1 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 1-1 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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RICHMOND (11 - 6) at DAYTON (13 - 4) - 1/19/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DAYTON is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) in home games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
DAYTON is 1-1 against the spread versus RICHMOND over the last 3 seasons
DAYTON is 3-0 straight up against RICHMOND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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CONNECTICUT (7 - 10) at SMU (15 - 4) - 1/19/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SMU is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
SMU is 44-23 ATS (+18.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 3-2 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
SMU is 3-2 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


DREXEL (7 - 11) at ELON (10 - 9) - 1/19/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
DREXEL is 3-2 against the spread versus ELON over the last 3 seasons
ELON is 3-2 straight up against DREXEL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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TOWSON ST (10 - 9) at HOFSTRA (9 - 10) - 1/19/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOWSON ST is 35-17 ATS (+16.3 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
HOFSTRA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOFSTRA is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
HOFSTRA is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
HOFSTRA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
HOFSTRA is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
HOFSTRA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
TOWSON ST is 2-1 against the spread versus HOFSTRA over the last 3 seasons
HOFSTRA is 3-1 straight up against TOWSON ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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UNC-WILMINGTON (17 - 2) at COLL OF CHARLESTON (15 - 4) - 1/19/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNC-WILMINGTON is 160-120 ATS (+28.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
UNC-WILMINGTON is 97-62 ATS (+28.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 72-99 ATS (-36.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
UNC-WILMINGTON is 5-1 against the spread versus COLL OF CHARLESTON over the last 3 seasons
UNC-WILMINGTON is 6-0 straight up against COLL OF CHARLESTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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JAMES MADISON (6 - 13) at WM & MARY (8 - 8) - 1/19/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
WM & MARY is 3-2 against the spread versus JAMES MADISON over the last 3 seasons
WM & MARY is 4-1 straight up against JAMES MADISON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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DAVIDSON (9 - 7) at LASALLE (10 - 5) - 1/19/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DAVIDSON is 180-131 ATS (+35.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 176-135 ATS (+27.5 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 143-111 ATS (+20.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 88-51 ATS (+31.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
LASALLE is 133-171 ATS (-55.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
LASALLE is 2-2 against the spread versus DAVIDSON over the last 3 seasons
DAVIDSON is 4-0 straight up against LASALLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


RICE (12 - 6) at LOUISIANA TECH (12 - 6) - 1/19/2017, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
RICE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISIANA TECH is 3-1 against the spread versus RICE over the last 3 seasons
LOUISIANA TECH is 4-0 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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UAB (11 - 7) at FLA ATLANTIC (5 - 11) - 1/19/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
FLA ATLANTIC is 2-2 against the spread versus UAB over the last 3 seasons
UAB is 3-1 straight up against FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


N TEXAS (6 - 11) at SOUTHERN MISS (5 - 12) - 1/19/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N TEXAS is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
N TEXAS is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SOUTHERN MISS is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
N TEXAS is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
SOUTHERN MISS is 2-1 against the spread versus N TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
SOUTHERN MISS is 2-1 straight up against N TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


PEPPERDINE (5 - 13) at BYU (13 - 6) - 1/19/2017, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PEPPERDINE is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) in all games this season.
PEPPERDINE is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
PEPPERDINE is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
PEPPERDINE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
BYU is 227-171 ATS (+38.9 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
BYU is 144-107 ATS (+26.3 Units) in all home games since 1997.
BYU is 144-107 ATS (+26.3 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
BYU is 81-56 ATS (+19.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
BYU is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
PEPPERDINE is 4-0 against the spread versus BYU over the last 3 seasons
PEPPERDINE is 3-1 straight up against BYU over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MEMPHIS (13 - 5) at HOUSTON (14 - 5) - 1/19/2017, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 149-104 ATS (+34.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 2-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 2-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ARIZONA (16 - 2) at USC (16 - 3) - 1/19/2017, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
USC is 2-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 2-1 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CALIFORNIA (13 - 5) at OREGON (16 - 2) - 1/19/2017, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALIFORNIA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
CALIFORNIA is 2-1 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 2-1 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CLEMSON (11 - 6) at LOUISVILLE (15 - 3) - 1/19/2017, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEMSON is 70-100 ATS (-40.0 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
LOUISVILLE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all home games this season.
LOUISVILLE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in home lined games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 2-0 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 1-1 straight up against CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SAN DIEGO (9 - 9) at LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT (9 - 8) - 1/19/2017, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
SAN DIEGO is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
SAN DIEGO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road lined games this season.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 40-60 ATS (-26.0 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 51-80 ATS (-37.0 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 97-129 ATS (-44.9 Units) in all home games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 97-129 ATS (-44.9 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 59-84 ATS (-33.4 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 3-2 against the spread versus LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT over the last 3 seasons
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 3-2 straight up against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


PORTLAND (9 - 8) at SAN FRANCISCO (12 - 7) - 1/19/2017, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 29-53 ATS (-29.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 89-56 ATS (+27.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 29-48 ATS (-23.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-1 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-1 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


UC-SANTA BARBARA (3 - 12) at LONG BEACH ST (6 - 14) - 1/19/2017, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LONG BEACH ST is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all games this season.
LONG BEACH ST is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all lined games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
LONG BEACH ST is 3-1 against the spread versus UC-SANTA BARBARA over the last 3 seasons
LONG BEACH ST is 3-1 straight up against UC-SANTA BARBARA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


PACIFIC (8 - 11) at ST MARYS-CA (15 - 2) - 1/19/2017, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PACIFIC is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games this season.
PACIFIC is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
PACIFIC is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
PACIFIC is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games this season.
PACIFIC is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road lined games this season.
PACIFIC is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ST MARYS-CA is 42-28 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ST MARYS-CA is 42-28 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ST MARYS-CA is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
ST MARYS-CA is 4-20 ATS (-18.0 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
PACIFIC is 2-1 against the spread versus ST MARYS-CA over the last 3 seasons
ST MARYS-CA is 4-0 straight up against PACIFIC over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


STANFORD (10 - 8) at OREGON ST (4 - 14) - 1/19/2017, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
STANFORD is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
STANFORD is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
STANFORD is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 31-49 ATS (-22.9 Units) in home games in January games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 2-1 against the spread versus OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 2-1 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ARIZONA ST (9 - 9) at UCLA (18 - 1) - 1/19/2017, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA ST is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
UCLA is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
UCLA is 3-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
UCLA is 2-1 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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GONZAGA (17 - 0) at SANTA CLARA (10 - 9) - 1/19/2017, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GONZAGA is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games this season.
GONZAGA is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
GONZAGA is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
GONZAGA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
GONZAGA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
SANTA CLARA is 4-0 against the spread versus GONZAGA over the last 3 seasons
GONZAGA is 4-0 straight up against SANTA CLARA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


THE CITADEL (9 - 11) at W CAROLINA (5 - 13) - 1/19/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
THE CITADEL is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
W CAROLINA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
W CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
W CAROLINA is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
W CAROLINA is 2-2 against the spread versus THE CITADEL over the last 3 seasons
W CAROLINA is 3-1 straight up against THE CITADEL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


VMI (4 - 12) at WOFFORD (7 - 11) - 1/19/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VMI is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
VMI is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
VMI is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
WOFFORD is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
WOFFORD is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
WOFFORD is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
WOFFORD is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
VMI is 2-1 against the spread versus WOFFORD over the last 3 seasons
WOFFORD is 4-0 straight up against VMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


E TENN ST (14 - 4) at FURMAN (10 - 8) - 1/19/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FURMAN is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
FURMAN is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
E TENN ST is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
E TENN ST is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
FURMAN is 28-48 ATS (-24.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
FURMAN is 3-2 against the spread versus E TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
E TENN ST is 3-2 straight up against FURMAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MERCER (8 - 11) at UNC-GREENSBORO (14 - 5) - 1/19/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
UNC-GREENSBORO is 2-2 against the spread versus MERCER over the last 3 seasons
MERCER is 3-1 straight up against UNC-GREENSBORO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SIU EDWARDSVL (5 - 13) at SE MISSOURI ST (7 - 13) - 1/19/2017, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SE MISSOURI ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
SE MISSOURI ST is 70-97 ATS (-36.7 Units) in all home games since 1997.
SE MISSOURI ST is 70-97 ATS (-36.7 Units) in home lined games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
SIU EDWARDSVL is 3-1 against the spread versus SE MISSOURI ST over the last 3 seasons
SIU EDWARDSVL is 3-1 straight up against SE MISSOURI ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


JACKSONVILLE ST (12 - 8) at BELMONT (11 - 4) - 1/19/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE ST is 102-72 ATS (+22.8 Units) in road games since 1997.
JACKSONVILLE ST is 102-72 ATS (+22.8 Units) in road lined games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE ST is 2-1 against the spread versus BELMONT over the last 3 seasons
BELMONT is 3-1 straight up against JACKSONVILLE ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WEBER ST (9 - 6) at N DAKOTA (9 - 7) - 1/19/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N DAKOTA is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
N DAKOTA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
N DAKOTA is 3-1 against the spread versus WEBER ST over the last 3 seasons
WEBER ST is 3-1 straight up against N DAKOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


E KENTUCKY (8 - 12) at MURRAY ST (10 - 9) - 1/19/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E KENTUCKY is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
E KENTUCKY is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
E KENTUCKY is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
E KENTUCKY is 85-60 ATS (+19.0 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
E KENTUCKY is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
MURRAY ST is 39-62 ATS (-29.2 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
MURRAY ST is 1-1 against the spread versus E KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
MURRAY ST is 2-0 straight up against E KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MOREHEAD ST (7 - 11) at AUSTIN PEAY (6 - 13) - 1/19/2017, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
MOREHEAD ST is 2-0 against the spread versus AUSTIN PEAY over the last 3 seasons
MOREHEAD ST is 2-0 straight up against AUSTIN PEAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


E ILLINOIS (9 - 9) at TENN-MARTIN (12 - 8) - 1/19/2017, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
TENN-MARTIN is 2-2 against the spread versus E ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
TENN-MARTIN is 3-1 straight up against E ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TENNESSEE TECH (7 - 13) at TENNESSEE ST (12 - 6) - 1/19/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE TECH is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE ST is 3-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE TECH over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE ST is 2-2 straight up against TENNESSEE TECH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


IUPU-FT WAYNE (14 - 5) at N DAKOTA ST (12 - 6) - 1/19/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) in road games since 1997.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
N DAKOTA ST is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in all games this season.
N DAKOTA ST is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
N DAKOTA ST is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 3-2 against the spread versus N DAKOTA ST over the last 3 seasons
N DAKOTA ST is 3-2 straight up against IUPU-FT WAYNE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SIENA (8 - 11) at ST PETERS (9 - 8) - 1/19/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SIENA is 66-94 ATS (-37.4 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
ST PETERS is 64-95 ATS (-40.5 Units) in all home games since 1997.
ST PETERS is 64-95 ATS (-40.5 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
ST PETERS is 59-84 ATS (-33.4 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
ST PETERS is 25-44 ATS (-23.4 Units) in home games in January games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
ST PETERS is 4-1 against the spread versus SIENA over the last 3 seasons
ST PETERS is 3-2 straight up against SIENA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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N ARIZONA (4 - 14) at E WASHINGTON (11 - 7) - 1/19/2017, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E WASHINGTON is 69-47 ATS (+17.3 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
E WASHINGTON is 3-1 against the spread versus N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
E WASHINGTON is 3-1 straight up against N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


IDAHO ST (3 - 14) at N COLORADO (7 - 10) - 1/19/2017, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO ST is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in all games this season.
IDAHO ST is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
IDAHO ST is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
IDAHO ST is 44-67 ATS (-29.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
N COLORADO is 25-41 ATS (-20.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
N COLORADO is 25-41 ATS (-20.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
N COLORADO is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
N COLORADO is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
N COLORADO is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
N COLORADO is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
N COLORADO is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
IDAHO ST is 3-0 against the spread versus N COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
IDAHO ST is 2-1 straight up against N COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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MONTANA ST (7 - 12) at SACRAMENTO ST (5 - 11) - 1/19/2017, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTANA ST is 30-54 ATS (-29.4 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
MONTANA ST is 43-70 ATS (-34.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
MONTANA ST is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 since 1997.
SACRAMENTO ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO ST is 2-2 against the spread versus MONTANA ST over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO ST is 2-2 straight up against MONTANA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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MONTANA (10 - 9) at PORTLAND ST (10 - 6) - 1/19/2017, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
MONTANA is 2-0 against the spread versus PORTLAND ST over the last 3 seasons
MONTANA is 3-0 straight up against PORTLAND ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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SOUTHERN UTAH (4 - 14) at IDAHO (7 - 9) - 1/19/2017, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SOUTHERN UTAH is 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SOUTHERN UTAH is 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SOUTHERN UTAH is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
IDAHO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in January games over the last 2 seasons.
IDAHO is 33-53 ATS (-25.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
SOUTHERN UTAH is 2-1 against the spread versus IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
SOUTHERN UTAH is 2-1 straight up against IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


UNC-ASHEVILLE (13 - 6) at WINTHROP (13 - 4) - 1/19/2017, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNC-ASHEVILLE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
UNC-ASHEVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus WINTHROP over the last 3 seasons
WINTHROP is 3-2 straight up against UNC-ASHEVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB

Thursday, January 19

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
TOWSON vs. HOFSTRA
Towson is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Hofstra
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Towson's last 5 games when playing on the road against Hofstra
Hofstra is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing Towson
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hofstra's last 5 games when playing Towson

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JANUARY 19, 7:00 PM
DREXEL vs. ELON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Drexel's last 5 games on the road
Drexel is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Elon is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Elon's last 6 games

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JANUARY 19, 7:00 PM
DAVIDSON vs. LA SALLE
Davidson is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Davidson is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
La Salle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of La Salle's last 5 games at home

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JANUARY 19, 7:00 PM
RICHMOND vs. DAYTON
Richmond is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Richmond is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Dayton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dayton's last 7 games when playing Richmond
Dayton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Richmond

See more trends!
JANUARY 19, 7:00 PM
NORTHEASTERN vs. DELAWARE
Northeastern is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Delaware is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Northeastern
Delaware is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Northeastern

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JANUARY 19, 7:00 PM
VMI vs. WOFFORD
No trends available
Wofford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against VMI
Wofford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing VMI

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JANUARY 19, 7:00 PM
MIDDLE TENNESSEE vs. FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Middle Tennessee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Florida Internati
Middle Tennessee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Florida Internati
Florida International is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing Middle Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Florida International's last 8 games when playing Middle Tennessee

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JANUARY 19, 7:00 PM
MARYLAND vs. IOWA
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Maryland's last 15 games on the road
Maryland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa's last 7 games at home
Iowa is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games

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JANUARY 19, 7:00 PM
THE CITADEL vs. WESTERN CAROLINA
The Citadel is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Western Carolina
The Citadel is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Western Carolina
Western Carolina is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing The Citadel
Western Carolina is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home

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JANUARY 19, 7:00 PM
MERCER vs. UNC GREENSBORO
No trends available
UNC Greensboro is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
UNC Greensboro is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

See more trends!
JANUARY 19, 7:00 PM
CONNECTICUT vs. SOUTHERN METHODIST
Connecticut is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Southern Methodist is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Southern Methodist is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games

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JANUARY 19, 7:00 PM
EAST TENNESSEE STATE vs. FURMAN
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Furman's last 6 games
Furman is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games at home

See more trends!
JANUARY 19, 7:00 PM
UNC WILMINGTON vs. COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON
UNC Wilmington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
College of Charleston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against UNC Wilmington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of College of Charleston's last 6 games when playing UNC Wilmington

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JANUARY 19, 7:00 PM
JAMES MADISON vs. WILLIAM & MARY
James Madison is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of James Madison's last 9 games when playing on the road against William & Mary
William & Mary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against James Madison
The total has gone OVER in 6 of William & Mary's last 9 games when playing at home against James Madison

See more trends!
JANUARY 19, 7:30 PM
SIU EDWARDSVILLE vs. SE MISSOURI STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of SIU Edwardsville's last 6 games on the road
SIU Edwardsville is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
SE Missouri State is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
SE Missouri State is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games

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JANUARY 19, 7:30 PM
RICE vs. LOUISIANA TECH
Rice is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Louisiana Tech's last 9 games when playing Rice
Louisiana Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Rice

See more trends!
JANUARY 19, 8:00 PM
MOREHEAD STATE vs. AUSTIN PEAY
Morehead State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Morehead State is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Austin Peay
Austin Peay is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games
Austin Peay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

See more trends!
JANUARY 19, 8:00 PM
SIENA vs. SAINT PETER'S
Siena is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Siena is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Saint Peter's
Saint Peter's is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Siena
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Saint Peter's last 7 games when playing Siena

See more trends!
JANUARY 19, 8:00 PM
EASTERN ILLINOIS vs. TENNESSEE-MARTIN
Eastern Illinois is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Tennessee-Martin
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Eastern Illinois's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tennessee-Martin
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee-Martin's last 7 games
Tennessee-Martin is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games at home

See more trends!
JANUARY 19, 8:00 PM
TENNESSEE TECH vs. TENNESSEE STATE
Tennessee Tech is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee Tech's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee State's last 6 games
Tennessee State is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games

See more trends!
JANUARY 19, 8:00 PM
JACKSONVILLE STATE vs. BELMONT
Jacksonville State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Belmont
Jacksonville State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Belmont is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Jacksonville State
Belmont is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Jacksonville State

See more trends!
JANUARY 19, 8:00 PM
WEBER STATE vs. NORTH DAKOTA
No trends available
North Dakota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
North Dakota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

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JANUARY 19, 8:00 PM
NORTH TEXAS vs. SOUTHERN MISS
North Texas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Miss's last 7 games at home
Southern Miss is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home

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JANUARY 19, 8:00 PM
UAB vs. FLORIDA ATLANTIC
UAB is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida Atlantic's last 5 games
Florida Atlantic is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

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JANUARY 19, 8:00 PM
EASTERN KENTUCKY vs. MURRAY STATE
Eastern Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Eastern Kentucky is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Murray State
Murray State is 1-8-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Eastern Kentucky
Murray State is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Eastern Kentucky

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JANUARY 19, 9:00 PM
IDAHO STATE vs. NORTHERN COLORADO
Idaho State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Idaho State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Northern Colorado's last 8 games when playing Idaho State
Northern Colorado is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Idaho State

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JANUARY 19, 9:00 PM
CALIFORNIA vs. OREGON
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of California's last 8 games when playing on the road against Oregon
California is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Oregon
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oregon's last 6 games

See more trends!
JANUARY 19, 9:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. HOUSTON
Memphis is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Memphis's last 17 games on the road
Houston is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Memphis

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JANUARY 19, 9:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. USC
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against USC
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of USC's last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona
USC is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona

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JANUARY 19, 9:00 PM
CLEMSON vs. LOUISVILLE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Clemson's last 6 games on the road
Clemson is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Louisville is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games at home
Louisville is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games

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JANUARY 19, 9:00 PM
PEPPERDINE vs. BYU
Pepperdine is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against BYU
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pepperdine's last 6 games when playing on the road against BYU
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of BYU's last 6 games when playing at home against Pepperdine
BYU is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Pepperdine

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JANUARY 19, 9:05 PM
NORTHERN ARIZONA vs. EASTERN WASHINGTON
Northern Arizona is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Eastern Washingto
Northern Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Eastern Washingto
Eastern Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Northern Arizona
Eastern Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northern Arizona

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JANUARY 19, 10:00 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
San Diego is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games on the road
Loyola Marymount is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing San Diego
Loyola Marymount is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego

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JANUARY 19, 10:00 PM
SOUTHERN UTAH vs. IDAHO
Southern Utah is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Utah's last 5 games on the road
Idaho is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Southern Utah
Idaho is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

See more trends!
JANUARY 19, 10:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Portland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Portland is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco's last 9 games when playing Portland
San Francisco is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Portland

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JANUARY 19, 10:05 PM
MONTANA STATE vs. SACRAMENTO STATE
Montana State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montana State's last 9 games on the road
Sacramento State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Montana State
Sacramento State is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games

See more trends!
JANUARY 19, 10:05 PM
MONTANA vs. PORTLAND STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montana's last 6 games on the road
Montana is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Portland State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Montana
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Portland State's last 11 games when playing at home against Montana

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JANUARY 19, 10:30 PM
SANTA BARBARA vs. LONG BEACH STATE
Santa Barbara is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Long Beach State
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Santa Barbara's last 9 games when playing on the road against Long Beach State
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Long Beach State's last 17 games when playing Santa Barbara
Long Beach State is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Santa Barbara

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JANUARY 19, 11:00 PM
STANFORD vs. OREGON STATE
Stanford is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Stanford's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oregon State's last 5 games at home
Oregon State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

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JANUARY 19, 11:00 PM
PACIFIC vs. ST. MARY'S
Pacific is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against St. Mary's
Pacific is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
St. Mary's is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pacific
St. Mary's is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pacific

See more trends!
JANUARY 19, 11:00 PM
GONZAGA vs. SANTA CLARA
Gonzaga is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Gonzaga is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Santa Clara
Santa Clara is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Gonzaga
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Santa Clara's last 12 games when playing at home against Gonzaga

See more trends!
JANUARY 19, 11:00 PM
ARIZONA STATE vs. UCLA
Arizona State is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against UCLA
Arizona State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against UCLA
UCLA is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
UCLA is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, January 19

Maryland won nine of its last 10 games, winning last three, by 7-3-6 points; they’re 2-0 on Big 14 road, winning at Michigan/Illinois. Terrapins are #319 experience team that are held together by great PG Trimble. Iowa is 3-0 at home, 0-3 on road in league, winning by 3-6-5 points; Hawkeyes are #343 experience team that has #12 eFG% defense in Big 14, not good. Home side won both Big 14 matchups between Iowa/Maryland; Terps lost 71-55 here couple years ago. Big 14 home favorites of 3 or less points are 6-3 vs spread.

Dayton won six of last seven games, is 4-1 in A-14, winning by 11-3 points over LaSalle/URI. Flyers force turnovers 23.9% of time in A-14 games. Richmond is 5-0 in A-14 with wins at GW, St Joe’s, Davidson; Spiders are shooting 58.6% inside arc in A-14 games, are 6-1 since frosh Buckingham became a starter. Dayton won its last four games with Richmond; Spiders lost last three visits here, by 4-12-3 points- they beat Richmond by 15 in A-14 tourney last March. Double digit home favorites are 4-9 vs spread in A-14 games this season.

SMU won 11 of last 12 games; they’re 5-1 in AAC, with home wins by 14 over Temple, 19 over USF. Mustangs are shooting 43.1% on arc in league games, are grabbing 43.9% of their own missed shots. UConn lost five of last seven games; they’re 0-2 on AAC road, losing by 2-9 points- they lost non-league game at Georgetown by 3 in last game. Home side won five of six AAC regular season meetings between UConn-SMU; Huskies lost last three visits to Dallas, by 9-18-26 points. Double digit home favorites are 3-4 vs spread in AAC games this season.

Battle of 6-0 teams in CAA. NC-Wilmington won its last seven games with Charleston, winning last two visits here, both in OT; they also beat Cougars in last two CAA tourneys. UNCW is 3-0 on CAA road, winning by 9-18-10 points; they force turnovers 22.7% of time, shoot 57.8% inside arc in CAA games. Charleston won its last seven games, has home wins by by 5-6-10 points- they don’t turn ball over much. Cougars are 1-3 vs top 100 teams, with best win over Davidson. CAA road favorites of 5 or less points are 3-4 vs spread.

LaSalle won its last four games after a 6-5 start; they’re 3-0 in A-14 home games, winning by 21-7-10 points- they scored 84.7 pts/game in last three games. Explorers are #61 experience team that is making 81% of FT’s in A-14. Davidson is 2-3 in A-14, losing by 2-4-6 points; they split pair of A-14 road games. Wildcats upset VCU in last game. Davidson is 4-0 vs LaSalle in A-14 play, beating Explorers by 1-15 points in last two conference tourneys. Wildcats won 77-69 (+1.5) here two years ago. A-14 home favorites of 4 or less points are 3-5 vs spread.

Houston lost two of last three games after a 12-3 start; Cougars are 4-2 in AAC, splitting pair of home games- they lost to Cincinnati. Houston forces turnovers 22% of time in AAC play. Memphis won four of last five games; they split pair of AAC road games, losing by 10 at Tulsa, winning at Tulane. Tigers are playing 2nd-fastest tempo in AAC. Memphis won six of last eight games with Houston but lost two of last three visits here. Home side won five of last six series games. AAC home favorites of 6 or less points are 3-4 vs spread.

USC is 2-3 in its last five games after a 14-0 start; Trojans split pair of Pac-12 home games, beating Stanford, losing to Cal by a point. USC is 4-3 vs top 100 teams. Arizona won its last nine games, is 2-0 on Pac-12 road, winning by 5 at Cal, 39 at Stanford. Wildcats are 5-2 vs top 100 teams. Arizona won seven of last nine games with USC, but they lost two of last three visits here, losing in four OT’s in Galen Center LY. Pac-12 road favorites of 5 or less points are 1-3 vs spread. These are top two teams in league at getting to foul line.

California won its last three games, allowing 62 pts/game; they’re 1-1 on Pac-12 road, losing by 10 at UCLA, beating USC (only true road games this season). Bears are 13-2 in its last 15 games with Oregon, but lost 68-65 here LY, their first loss in last seven visits to Eugene. Cal is holding foes to 44.2% inside arc; they do not force lot of turnovers, Oregon won its last 14 games, is 5-0 in Pac-12 games, winning home games by 2-34-42 points. Ducks force turnovers 21.6% of time in Pac-12. Double digit home favorites are 3-7-1 in Pac-12 games this season.

Clemson lost its last four games after an 11-2 start, dropping ACC road games by 5 at Notre Dame, 12 at Ga Tech (they won at Wake Forest). ACC foes are shooting 43.1% on arc vs Clemson. Louisville won its last three games by 15-5-9 points, making 22-49 on arc; Cardinals have #6 eFG% defense in country- they’re 2-1 in ACC home games, beating Pitt/Duke by 5-9, after losing to Virginia. Home side won both ACC meetings with Clemson-Louisville; Tigers (+16) lost 58-52 here two years ago. Single digit home favorites are 11-6 in ACC games. Louisville guard Snider (plays 74.9% of time) is out with an injury for a couple of weeks.

San Diego is #323 experience team that plays only 7 guys; they’re 2-4 in WCC, but winning two of last three. Toreros are #1 in WCC at getting to foul line and make 76.1% once they get there. Loyola Marymount won four of last five games with San Diego, beating Toreros by 3 in WCC tourney LY. USD lost last three visits to Gersten Pavilion by 3-9-4 points. LMU is #25 experience team that is worst in WCC at putting opponents on line. Lions are 2-4 in WCC, also won two of last three games. WCC home favorites of 6 or less points are 3-5 this season.

East Tennessee State is 4-1 in SoCon games, winning road games by 44 over Citadel, 9 over Mercer. ETSU is shooting 62.3% inside arc in league play. Home side won all four East Tennessee-Furman games; Buccaneers lost by 4-4 points in last two visits here. ETSU beat Paladins by 8 in SoCon tourney last March. Furman are home for first time in 17 days; they beat Mercer/Citadel in first two SoCon home games. Paladins start four juniors and a senior, are 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 6-6-16 points. Single digit road favorites are 2-4 in SoCon games.

Battle for first place in Summit League. North Dakota State won four of last five games; they’re 2-0 at home in league, winning by 12-4 points over Omaha/IUPUI. Bison plays slowest tempo in league, defends well. Home side won last six IPFW-ND State games; Mastodons lost last five visits here, by 16-12-11-4-16 points. Bison beat Fort Wayne by point in Summit tourney last March. Mastodons split pair of Summit road games, with games decided by total of five points. Summit League home favorites of 5 or less points are 4-6 against the spread this season.

Siena’s 4-game win streak (after a 4-11 start) started with 56-54 (-4.5) home win over St Peter’s 12 days ago, but Saints lost last six visits to Jersey City, by 8-7-10-13-8-4 points. Siena’s win at Fairfield Sunday was their first road win in 11 tries this year- this is third game in five nights for both sides here. Peacocks allowed 58 pts/game in winning last three games; they’re 3-1 in MAAC home games, with only loss to Iona back in December. MAAC home favorites of 4 or less points are 3-7 vs spread. Siena’s Marquis Wright is suspended for this game.

 

[CNOTES]

College basketball's best teams are also its best bets... besides Kansas


Kansas has only one loss on the season but is 6-10 ATS, including a 2-5 ATS record inside Allen Fieldhouse this season.


College basketball bettors have got what they’ve expected from the Top 10 teams in the nation this season. That is, from every one of those elite programs besides Kansas.


The Jayhawks are the only team ranked inside the AP Top 10 that isn’t covering the spread at least 58 percent of the time. Kansas is 17-1 SU and sits No. 2 in the AP poll – and is actually No. 1 in the USA Today Coaches poll. However, Bill Self’s kids have managed to cover the spread in only six of their 16 lined games, lugging a costly 6-10 ATS record.


Kansas has little trouble scoring, averaging 85.8 points per game which sits 14th most in the country. The Jayhawks are shooting 50.4 percent from the field and 41.2 percent from beyond the 3-point arc – both of which rank 8th. On the defensive end, however, KU is 141st in points allowed, giving up an average of 70.4 points to opponents. That’s an average margin of victory of +15.3 versus an average closing spread of -13.72.


The Jayhawks have been favorites of -15.5 or more in seven of their games this season. There has been a drop off in second-half production, with the margin dipping from +8.8 in the first half to +6.7 points in the final 20 minutes. Looking at KU's recent bet graphs (exclusive to ***********) for games in which it failed to cover the spread, and rarely did Kansas actually play well enough to cover the lofty lines at any point during those 40 minutes.


Kansas is undefeated in its first six Big 12 conference games, but is only 2-4 ATS in those contests after going 67-57-4 ATS inside the Big 12 in the last eight years. And, KU is 2-5 ATS inside Allen Fieldhouse - one of the best home-court advantages in sports - after posting a 54-42-2 ATS record at home since 2010.


Overall, the AP poll’s Top 10 teams in the country have a combined mark of 102-59-1 ATS as of Wednesday (169-14 SU), covering the spread 63 percent of the time. Taking KU out of that equation improves that collective record to 96-49-1 ATS – a 66 percent winner if you blindly bet on those Top 10 teams so far this season.


The best bet among the Top 10 are the No. 4 Gonzaga Bulldogs, who boast a 12-2 ATS record and are unbeaten at 17-0 SU. Behind the Zags in terms of ATS success among those Top-10 programs are No. 7 Creighton (13-4 ATS), No. 10 Florida State (11-5 ATS) and defending champ No. 1 Villanova (12-6 ATS).


Here’s a full list of the Top 10 AP poll programs and their SU/ATS records:


Villanova 18-1 SU, 12-6 ATS


Kansas 17-1 SU, 6-10 ATS


UCLA 18-1 SU, 11-8 ATS


Gonzaga 17-0, 12-2 ATS


Kentucky 16-2 SU, 11-7 ATS


Baylor 17-1 SU, 8-5 ATS


Creighton 18-1 SU, 13-4 ATS


West Virginia 15-2 SU, 7-5 ATS


North Carolina 17-3 SU, 11-7-1 ATS


Florida State 16-2 SU, 11-5 ATS

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, January 19

NC-Asheville @ Winthrop

Game 797-798
January 19, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NC-Asheville
51.259
Winthrop
63.038
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winthrop
by 12
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winthrop
by 3
150
Dunkel Pick:
Winthrop
(-3); Over

Southern Utah @ Idaho

Game 795-796
January 19, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Southern Utah
39.014
Idaho
51.585
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Idaho
by 12 1/2
146
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Idaho
by 10 1/2
151
Dunkel Pick:
Idaho
(-10 1/2); Under

Montana @ Portland St

Game 793-794
January 19, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montana
51.296
Portland St
57.112
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland St
by 6
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montana
by 3
151 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland St
(+3); Under

Montana State @ Sacramento St

Game 791-792
January 19, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montana State
49.518
Sacramento St
46.026
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montana State
by 3 1/2
157
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montana State
Pick
152
Dunkel Pick:
Montana State
Over

Idaho State @ Northern Colorado

Game 789-790
January 19, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Idaho State
44.848
Northern Colorado
44.554
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Idaho State
Even
145
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northern Colorado
by 7 1/2
140
Dunkel Pick:
Idaho State
(+7 1/2); Over

Northern Arizona @ East Washington

Game 787-788
January 19, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Arizona
45.839
East Washington
50.112
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
East Washington
by 4 1/2
153
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
East Washington
by 13 1/2
148 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Northern Arizona
(+13 1/2); Over

Siena @ St Peter's

Game 785-786
January 19, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Siena
51.924
St Peter's
58.373
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St Peter's
by 6 1/2
134
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St Peter's
by 3 1/2
125 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St Peter's
(-3 1/2); Over

IPFW @ North Dakota St

Game 783-784
January 19, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
IPFW
51.212
North Dakota St
61.147
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Dakota St
by 10
157
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Dakota St
by 1
152 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
North Dakota St
(-1); Over

Tennessee Tech @ Tennessee St

Game 781-782
January 19, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee Tech
42.065
Tennessee St
60.933
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tennessee St
by 19
122
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee St
by 12
133
Dunkel Pick:
Tennessee St
(-12); Under

Eastern Illinois @ UT-Martin

Game 779-780
January 19, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Eastern Illinois
45.133
UT-Martin
52.278
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UT-Martin
by 7
156
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UT-Martin
by 3
147 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
UT-Martin
(-3); Over

Morehead State @ Austin Peay

Game 777-778
January 19, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Morehead State
49.681
Austin Peay
51.273
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Austin Peay
by 1 1/2
161
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Morehead State
by 2 1/2
167
Dunkel Pick:
Austin Peay
(+2 1/2); Under

Eastern Kentucky @ Murray State

Game 775-776
January 19, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Eastern Kentucky
46.511
Murray State
51.838
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Murray State
by 5 1/2
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Murray State
by 12
149
Dunkel Pick:
Eastern Kentucky
(+12); Under

Weber State @ North Dakota St

Game 773-774
January 19, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Weber State
57.812
North Dakota St
53.011
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Weber State
by 5
156
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Weber State
Pick
144
Dunkel Pick:
Weber State
Over

Jacksonville St @ Belmont

Game 771-772
January 19, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville St
46.109
Belmont
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Belmont
by 18 1/2
153
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Belmont
by 9
141 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Belmont
(-9); Over

SIU-Edwardsville @ SE Missouri St

Game 769-770
January 19, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
SIU-Edwardsville
46.202
SE Missouri St
45.013
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
SIU-Edwardsville
by 1
149
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
SE Missouri St
by 7
141 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
SIU-Edwardsville
(+7); Over

Mercer @ NC-Greensboro

Game 767-768
January 19, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Mercer
55.707
NC-Greensboro
54.417
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mercer
by 1 1/2
127
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC-Greensboro
by 5 1/2
135 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Mercer
(+5 1/2); Under

E Tenn State @ Furman

Game 765-766
January 19, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
E Tenn State
61.465
Furman
55.387
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
E Tenn State
by 6
133
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
E Tenn State
by 4
140
Dunkel Pick:
E Tenn State
(-4); Under

VMI @ Wofford

Game 763-764
January 19, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
VMI
38.172
Wofford
56.746
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wofford
by 16 1/2
153
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wofford
by 14
149
Dunkel Pick:
Wofford
(-14); Over

The Citadel @ Western Carolina

Game 761-762
January 19, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
The Citadel
46.934
Western Carolina
40.730
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
The Citadel
by 6
181
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Carolina
by 1 1/2
165 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
The Citadel
(+1 1/2); Over

Gonzaga @ Santa Clara

Game 759-760
January 19, 2017 @ 11:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Gonzaga
72.807
Santa Clara
65.374
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Gonzaga
by 7 1/2
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Gonzaga
by 14
135 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Santa Clara
(+14); Over

Arizona State @ UCLA

Game 757-758
January 19, 2017 @ 11:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona State
54.642
UCLA
81.935
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UCLA
by 27 1/2
176
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UCLA
by 17 1/2
182
Dunkel Pick:
UCLA
(-17 1/2); Under

Stanford @ Oregon State

Game 755-756
January 19, 2017 @ 11:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Stanford
60.349
Oregon State
49.932
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Stanford
by 10 1/2
136
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Stanford
by 5
125
Dunkel Pick:
Stanford
(-5); Over

Pacific @ St Mary's

Game 753-754
January 19, 2017 @ 11:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pacific
52.786
St Mary's
67.726
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St Mary's
by 15
136
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St Mary's
by 23
124
Dunkel Pick:
Pacific
(+23); Over

Santa Barbara @ Long Beach St

Game 751-752
January 19, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Santa Barbara
47.323
Long Beach St
49.472
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Long Beach St
by 2
150
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Long Beach St
by 8 1/2
140 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Santa Barbara
(+8 1/2); Over

Portland @ San Francisco

Game 749-750
January 19, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
46.269
San Francisco
62.082
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 16
155
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
by 8 1/2
145 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(-8 1/2); Over

San Diego @ Loyola Marymount

Game 747-748
January 19, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
49.698
Loyola Marymount
62.717
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Loyola Marymount
by 13
128
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Loyola Marymount
by 6
136 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Loyola Marymount
(-6); Under

Clemson @ Louisville

Game 745-746
January 19, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Clemson
71.987
Louisville
73.829
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Louisville
by 2
129
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Louisville
by 7 1/2
137 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Clemson
(+7 1/2); Under

California @ Oregon

Game 743-744
January 19, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
California
71.411
Oregon
74.542
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oregon
by 3
122
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oregon
by 9
130 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
California
(+9); Under

Arizona @ USC

Game 741-742
January 19, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
75.299
USC
65.217
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 10
154
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
by 4
143 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-4); Over

Memphis @ Houston

Game 739-740
January 19, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
57.734
Houston
71.366
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 13 1/2
134
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 6 1/2
141
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-6 1/2); Under

Pepperdine @ Brigham Young

Game 737-738
January 19, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pepperdine
50.740
Brigham Young
61.288
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brigham Young
by 10 1/2
157
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brigham Young
by 19
162
Dunkel Pick:
Pepperdine
(+19); Under

North Texas @ Southern Miss

Game 735-736
January 19, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Texas
46.274
Southern Miss
46.403
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Texas
Even
126
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Southern Miss
by 2
134 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
North Texas
(+2); Under

UAB @ Florida Atlantic

Game 733-734
January 19, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UAB
60.266
Florida Atlantic
49.604
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UAB
by 10 1/2
141
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UAB
by 7
132 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
UAB
(-7); Over

Rice @ Louisiana Tech

Game 731-732
January 19, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Rice
55.659
Louisiana Tech
62.879
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Louisiana Tech
by 7
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Louisiana Tech
by 5
155 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Louisiana Tech
(-5); Under

Davidson @ LaSalle

Game 729-730
January 19, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Davidson
63.425
LaSalle
60.926
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Davidson
by 2 1/2
146
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LaSalle
by 2 1/2
155
Dunkel Pick:
Davidson
(+2 1/2); Under

James Madison @ William & Mary

Game 727-728
January 19, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
James Madison
54.955
William & Mary
56.335
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
William & Mary
by 1 1/2
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
William & Mary
by 5 1/2
140
Dunkel Pick:
James Madison
(+5 1/2); Over

NC-Wilmington @ Coll of Charleston

Game 725-726
January 19, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NC-Wilmington
69.284
Coll of Charlesto
58.396
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NC-Wilmington
by 11
152
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC-Wilmington
by 3
140
Dunkel Pick:
NC-Wilmington
(-3); Over

Towson @ Hofstra

Game 723-724
January 19, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Towson
49.842
Hofstra
60.971
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hofstra
by 11
155
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hofstra
by 3
148
Dunkel Pick:
Hofstra
(-3); Over

Drexel @ Elon

Game 721-722
January 19, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Drexel
54.453
Elon
54.446
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Drexel
Even
163
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Elon
by 7
152
Dunkel Pick:
Drexel
(+7); Over

Connecticut @ SMU

Game 719-720
January 19, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
66.876
SMU
68.972
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
SMU
by 2
116
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
SMU
by 9
122
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
(+9); Under

Richmond @ Dayton

Game 717-718
January 19, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Richmond
62.445
Dayton
68.050
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dayton
by 5 1/2
136
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dayton
by 10
141 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Richmond
(+10); Under

Maryland @ Iowa

Game 715-716
January 19, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Maryland
69.540
Iowa
63.790
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Maryland
by 6
156
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iowa
by 1 1/2
150
Dunkel Pick:
Maryland
(+1 1/2); Over

Northeastern @ Delaware

Game 713-714
January 19, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northeastern
60.938
Delaware
45.825
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northeastern
by 15
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northeastern
by 8 1/2
131
Dunkel Pick:
Northeastern
(-8 1/2); Over

Middle Tennessee @ FIU

Game 711-712
January 19, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Middle Tennessee
63.269
FIU
48.308
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Middle Tennessee
by 15
122
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Middle Tennessee
by 12
127
Dunkel Pick:
Middle Tennessee
(-12); Under

 

[CNOTES]

Thursday's Elite Eight
January 19, 2017


A look at the day's top eight college basketball matchups, ranked in order of most attractive.


THURSDAY, JAN. 19


Matchup Records Skinny Projection




California
Overall: 13-5 SU, 7-11 ATS
Pac-12: 4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS
Totals: 8-10 O/U


Oregon
Overall: 16-2 SU, 9-8 ATS
Pac-12: 5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS
Totals: 7-10 O/U

California at Oregon, 9 p.m. ET, ESPN2


Cal has beaten Oregon four consecutive years despite being unranked each time. They’re hoping that exact scenario plays out tonight against a Ducks squad that has only opened Pac-12 play a perfect 5-0. After a riveting win over UCLA courtesy of a Dillon Brooks’ buzzer-beater, Oregon has won its last four games by an average margin of 84.25-to-57.75. They destroyed rival Oregon State over the weekend 85-43 and are putting their elite depth to good use now that everyone is healthy. In the Bears, they’ll face a team led by the league’s most talented forward, 6-foot-11 Ivan Rabb, whose 17.6 points and 13.8 boards this month have been highlighted by 57 percent 3-point shooting. Like Ducks standout Chris Boucher, he can spread the floor and is a menace at both ends. It’s definitely helped Rabb to get center Kameron Rooks back from a knee injury. The junior 7-footer has averaged only 4 points and 5.3 rebounds over his last three games, but blocked three shots at Washington State and can certainly be a difference-maker as he gets back in a rhythm. These teams field two of the nation’s top defenses. Oregon ranks 12th in field goal percentage defense (38.4 pct), while Cal comes in just behind in 13th (38.5). In addition to the bigs battling in the paint, this matchup will also be highlighted by Brooks squaring off against Cal senior wing Jabari Bird, who aims to bounce back from shooting 1-for-7 in Saturday’s 58-54 win over Washington State, where he helped keep the Cougs in it by missing five of his six 3-point attempts.


Oregon 81
California 72


Arizona
Overall: 16-2 SU, 9-7-2 ATS
Pac-12: 5-0 SU, 2-1-2 ATS
Totals: 9-8-1 O/U


USC
Overall: 16-3 SU, 9-9 ATS
Pac-12: 3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS
Totals: 9-9 O/U


Arizona at USC, 9 p.m. ET, Pac-12


Wednesday’s big news in college basketball revolved around the statement issued by elite Arizona shooting guard Allonzo Trier, who finally disclosed why he hasn’t been playing. The sophomore wing has yet to play this season because he tested positive for a PED and won’t be cleared to play until the drug leaves his system entirely. Although the ‘Cats have missed him, they’ve won 10 straight games since a loss to Gonzaga at Staples to open December, which puts them in position to realize all their preseason goals despite being without their best player. Finnish 7-footer Lauri Markkanen has emerged as Arizona’s go-to guy and looks like a NBA lottery pick, coming off a career-high 30-point effort on 120for-18 shooting against rival Arizona State. Markkanen is shooting 12-for-19 from 3-point range in 2017. Yes, he’s 7-feet tall. The ‘Cats dished out 25 assists on their 34 field goals against the Sun Devils, their highest total since 2009. USC snapped a two-game losing streak on Sunday with a 71-68 win at Colorado to get back to .500 in league play. The Trojans defeated Arizona at home last season 103-101 in a memorable game that went four overtimes. Elijah Stewart’s two late free-throws provided the winning margin, but he’s been mired in a shooting slump in 2017, missing 10 of his 12 3-pointers thus far this month. Four of Arizona's last five games have gone over the posted total. This will be only their fourth true road game and are 2-0 as a road favorite. USC is a home underdog for the first time this season.


Arizona 79
USC 73


Richmond
Overall: 11-6 SU, 7-5-1 ATS
A-10: 5-0 SU, 4-0-1 ATS
Totals: 6-7 O/U


Dayton
Overall: 13-4 SU, 10-5 ATS
A-10: 4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS
Totals: 6-9 O/U


Richmond at Dayton, 7 p.m. ET, ESPNU


The Spiders have already achieved something unprecedented in program history by opening A-10 play with five straight wins, but this is their opportunity to prove they’re truly for real. A win at Dayton would put Richmond two games up on everyone in the league besides LaSalle, which hosts Davidson in a difficult contest at the same time this game is going off. Senior forward T.J. Cline (17.8 ppg, 7.9 rpg, 5.3 apg) helps the Spiders go since he’s a marvelous passer at 6-foot-9, making their Princeton-style offense all the more effective. He fell one assist shy of a triple-double in Saturday’s 70-66 win at Saint Joseph’s, and has been at his best on the road in league play, averaging 17.7 points, 10.3 boards and 8.0 assists in leading Richmond to wins at Davidson, George Washington and St. Joe’s. Cline averaged 30.5 in two losses against the Flyers last March. Dayton leads the A-10 in points allowed in league play (63.4), but has been working shorthanded due to a number of injury concerns, losing top rim protector Josh Cunningham way back in November while seeing key glue guys Charles Cooke and Kendall Pollard miss time with nagging ailments. Those two are back and getting into a rhythm, but guard Kyle Davis, another invaluable piece to the puzzle, may be out with an ankle injury. The ‘under’ is 8-2 in Dayton’s last 10 games and has come in through Richmond’s last two.


Dayton 72
Richmond 69




Clemson
Overall: 11-6 SU, 7-7-1 ATS
ACC: 1-4 SU, 1-3-1 ATS
Totals: 9-6 O/U


Louisville
Overall: 15-3 SU, 11-5 ATS
ACC: 3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS
Totals: 4-12 O/U


Clemson at Louisville, 9 p.m. ET, ESPN


Despite a promising non-conference start that featured wins over South Carolina, Alabama, Georgia and Davidson and put an improved offense on display, the Tigers have had a terrible 2017. They got ACC play off to a strong start with a road win at Wake Forest on Dec. 31, but haven’t won since and enter this contest looking up at everyone in the conference except Pittsburgh. Clemson could really use an upset here to get back on track and can build off a strong showing in Saturday’s 77-73 loss to talented Virginia. They’ll catch a break here because Louisville begins a stretch where they’ll have to play without point guard Quentin Snider for at least two weeks due to a strained hip flexor. Snider and Donovan Mitchell have formed an extremely solid backcourt for Rick Pitino, but guard depth isn’t something this particular Louisville squad is blessed with, which makes getting through the next few weeks extremely challenging. Freshman Ryan McMahon, who averages just 5.5 minutes per game, is projected to start despite not playing a second of Saturday’s 78-69 home win over Duke. Junior center Anas Mahmoud had his best game ever, coming up with career-highs of 17 points and 11 boards to help the Cardinals hold serve as a 3.5-point favorite. The ‘Ville lost its conference opener at home against Virginia but is usually rock-solid at the Yum! Center, so they’ll have to hope that a friendly atmosphere can help get them through their first game without Snider, who will really be missed in this weekend’s showdown with Florida State in Tallahassee. Clemson defeated the Cardinals last year in South Carolina.


Louisville 71
Clemson 67




Maryland
Overall: 16-2 SU, 10-7 ATS
Big Ten: 4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS
Totals: 6-11 O/U


Iowa
Overall: 11-8 SU, 6-9-1 ATS
Big Ten: 3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS
Totals: 7-8-1 O/U
Maryland at Iowa, 7 p.m. ET, ESPN


The Terps join Wisconsin atop the Big Ten and will look to remain perfect on the road in league play after taking down Michigan and Illinois on successive Saturdays. Melo Trimble has gotten significant help from freshman point guard Anthony Cowan, who has taken some pressure off him by supplying ball-handling and on-ball defense at a high level. Maryland is 6-1 SU/ATS since mid-December, losing only to Nebraska at home, 67-66, in OT. The Terrapins could be back at full strength with center Michal Cekovsky set to return from an ankle injury after having his walking boot removed. Despite being a slight favorite at home, the Hawkeyes have been all over the place this season, a product of their youth. Senior wing Peter Jok has provided the firepower by averaging nearly 22 points per game, but his supporting cast has been inconsistent from game to game and failed to show up in Sunday’s brutal 89-54 loss at Northwestern. As you might expect, Iowa has been sharper at home, owning seven consecutive wins at Carver-Hawkeye Arena, including takedowns of Iowa State, Michigan and Purdue. Jok was held to a season-low four points by the Wildcats and was battling a back injury, but he’s expected to play in this one. Iowa has asked fans to wear gold and hopes its home crowd can again supply a boost in helping knock off another quality visitor.


Maryland 80
Iowa 76




Memphis
Overall: 13-5 SU, 6-7 ATS
American: 3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS
Totals: 6-7 O/U


Houston
Overall: 14-5 SU, 7-7 ATS
American: 4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS
Totals: 5-9 O/U


Memphis at Houston, 9 p.m. ET, CBS SN


While both of these teams will be lucky to remain on the bubble to hear their name called on Selection Sunday, both are enjoying solid seasons. The Cougars won 22 games last year under Kelvin Sampson in reaching the NIT, while the Tigers are already on pace to surpass their victory total from each of their past two seasons since Tubby Smith has hit the ground running. Robert Gray has been Houston’s go-to guy the past two seasons and leads the way with 20.8 points per game, so Memphis must find ways to keep him from getting to his spots. Gray is shooting over 49 percent, nearly 40 percent from 3-point range and over 80 percent from the free-throw line, so he’s a handful. The Tigers have ridden twins Dedric Lawson (20.2 ppg, 10.5 rpg) and KJ Lawson (12.1, 7.8) in addition to guards Jeremiah Martin and Markel Crawford, but lack depth. That’s going to be a concern on the road, especially since the versatile Dameyan Dotson and Galen Robinson, Jr. will make the Lawsons work for everything they get. The Tigers shoot just 31 percent from 3-point range and must have either Crawford or Craig Randall II provide a spark from the perimeter to get out of Houston with an upset. The Cougars are hoping to get Devin Davis back from a foot injury that has kept him out of the last four games. The 6-7 forward was averaging 10.1 points and 6.2 rebounds in just under 20 minutes of action before getting hurt, so his return would provide a huge boost.


Houston 83
Memphis 78




UConn
Overall: 7-10 SU, 5-9 ATS
American: 2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS
Totals: 5-8 O/U


SMU
Overall: 15-4 SU, 9-4-1 ATS
American: 5-1 SU, 4-1-1 ATS
Totals: 7-7 O/U


UConn at SMU, 7 p.m. ET, ESPN2


Any other year, this would be much higher up this list as one of the American’s elite offerings for the entire season, but the injury-depleted Huskies aren’t holding up their end of the bargain. Although UConn handed UCF its only loss in league play thus far, it definitely has the look of a bottom-tier team in the conference and comes off a disappointing 72-69 road loss against former Big East rival Georgetown over the weekend. UConn has been forced to toil without starting guards Alterique Gilbert (shoulder) and Terry Larrier since mid-November, which has put too much of the burden on Jalen Adams and Rodney Purvis. Not only do those guys get little rest in games, they’ve worn down in contributing to tight losses against Ohio State, Auburn, Tulsa and the aforementioned Hoyas. With no relief in sight, the Huskies visit Dallas looking to snap a three-game road losing streak at SMU, coming off an 80-54 loss there last March. The Mustangs also have depth issues, often going with a six-man rotation in their first year under Tim Jankovich, who was head coach in waiting and stepped right in when Larry Brown surprisingly resigned. Duke transfer Semi Ojeleye is averaging a team-best 17.7 points to lead five SMU players scoring in double-figures. Since a puzzling loss to Boise State to end November, the Mustangs have gone 11-1, losing only at Cincinnati 66-64 on Jan. 12. SMU has won each of its last seven home games by at least 14 points.


SMU 72
UConn 59




Gonzaga
Overall: 17-0 SU, 12-2 ATS
WCC: 5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS
Totals: 7-7 O/U


Santa Clara
Overall:10-9 SU, 8-9 ATS
WCC: 4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS
Totals: 5-11-1 O/U


Gonzaga at Santa Clara, 11 p.m. ET, ESPNU


The Bulldogs are relishing in being the lone remaining undefeated team in the country and come off their most impressive win of the season, trouncing Saint Mary's 79-56 in Spokane in a battle of WCC unbeatens. Gonzaga dominated from the perimeter and took advantage of its edge in athleticism to overwhelm the Gaels. Although the rematch in Moraga on Feb. 11 will be tough and a visit to BYU should also be challenging, the Zags now look like they'll be favored in every regular-season the rest of the way, which means they can become the fourth team to reach the NCAA Tournament with a perfect record if they hold serve. This will be only Gonzaga's third true road game of the season and pits Mark Few against Herb Sendek, who has had a solid run in his first season at the helm at Santa Clara, which comes in even with BYU at 4-2 for third place in the West Coast Conference. The Bulldogs have beaten the Broncos 12 consecutive times, but will have to deal with reigning WCC Player of the Week Jared Brownridge, who scored 30 points in a weekend win over Pepperdine and beat San Diego on a buzzer-beater. He went 12-for-23 from 3-point range and has helped Santa Clara go 4-1 since getting back point guard KJ Feagin from a foot injury earlier this month. Counterpart Nigel Williams-Goss, a Washington transfer, leads Gonzaga in scoring (15.2), assists (4.9) and steals (1.7) while ranking just behind center Prez Karnowski (5.9) for the team lead in rebounding (5.8).

Gonzaga 84
Santa Clara 65

 

[CNOTES]

Big Ten Snapshot
January 18, 2017

Not even a third of the way into the Big Ten season and every team has a loss in what looks like a balanced group of teams in a league that appears a bit down from its normal national stature. 0-6 Rutgers appears to be at the bottom to stay but the other 13 teams could shuffle around quite a bit in the coming weeks with 10 teams currently separated by just two games in the middle of the standings.


The Big Ten currently projects to have as many as eight NCAA Tournament teams but none of those teams would currently be top four seeds in the field and only three teams currently crack the current Top 25 polls, all outside of the top 15. Here is a look at those eight teams leading the conference as we approach late January.


Favorite – Wisconsin (4-1 S/U, 3-2 ATS): The Badger program has continued a high level of success in Greg Gard’s first full season with a 15-3 overall record and the lone conference loss came in a competitive game at Purdue right after the team picked up a key road win at Indiana. Wisconsin’s track record in recent years carries some weight for a veteran group that returned all the key contributors from last season’s Sweet 16 team. This year’s non-conference slate didn’t feature any high end wins and right now, Wisconsin doesn’t have a win over a team that would be considered in the nation’s top 25. The Badgers face Maryland and Michigan State just once each and they won’t have to play Purdue again as 14-4 looks pretty realistic for this team and in a balanced league that should be enough to be at the top.


Contender – Purdue (4-2 S/U, 3-3 ATS): The two losses for Purdue have been a bit puzzling in league play, blowing a big lead and falling at home in overtime vs. Minnesota and then losing on the road against a very young Iowa squad. The non-conference losses for Purdue came vs. Villanova and Louisville in very close games with Purdue also beating Notre Dame in December as the Boilermakers are on pace for a fine season looking to redeem last season’s early upset loss in the NCAA Tournament. Two early losses in Big Ten play may not be all that damaging for Purdue as the remaining Big Ten schedule is favorable. Purdue won’t play either of the teams they lost to again and they will have the tiebreaker over Wisconsin winning the lone meeting this season. Four games ahead with Indiana and Michigan State will likely determine whether Purdue claims the conference title or is a runner-up.


Overachiever – Maryland (4-1 S/U, 4-1 ATS): The Terrapins were supposed to be a nationally elite squad last season with a star-studded starting five. Twenty-seven wins and a Sweet 16 run wasn’t a bad season but it was a mild disappointment for a team that started the season ranked in the top 5. This year’s team has matched last season’s 16-2 start as junior guard Melo Trimble leads a really young squad that has also had to play without two contributors in the Big Ten season due to injuries. Maryland’s only loss came at home and outside of the three-point win over Indiana they haven’t faced the top teams in the conference. Working in Maryland’s favor is a schedule that includes just one meeting each with Purdue, Wisconsin, and Michigan State, but the 4-1 ATS mark could erode in the coming weeks for a team that has squeaked out nine of 16 wins by seven or fewer points.


Sleeper – Northwestern (4-2 S/U, 4-2 ATS): The Wildcats have never made the NCAA Tournament and while right now they would probably get in, there is a lot of work to be done. The 4-2 Big Ten start lacks high end wins and non-conference wins over Texas, Wake Forest, and Dayton aren’t looking quite as strong at this point in the season. Northwestern is still a threat to be part of the Big Ten race however as the 4-2 start has come with four road games already taken care of, getting three wins. The Wildcats do draw two games with Purdue ahead but they will face Wisconsin and Maryland just once each and they won’t have to face Michigan State or Minnesota again. A double-digit conference win season looks likely with the remaining path and this is a year where 12-6 might realistically be enough to be in serious contention in the Big Ten if there are some upsets at the top.


Bubble Squad – Minnesota (3-3 S/U, 3-3 ATS): Many were surprised that Richard Pitino survived last season’s ugly 8-23 season that featured only two Big Ten wins. The Gophers were much more competitive than the record showed however with nine conference losses by single-digits. Minnesota impressed in the non-conference schedule this fall with the only loss coming at Florida State and a 3-1 start in Big Ten play with the only loss in overtime announced the Gophers as contenders. After entering the Top 25, the Gophers lost back-to-back road games at Michigan State and at Penn State and they have many tough remaining games. Minnesota won’t have to face Purdue or Northwestern again, but two meetings each with Wisconsin and Maryland remain. The Gophers beat a number of decent, but not great teams in the non-conference campaign as a NCAA Tournament berth will come down to putting together a winning season in the Big Ten.


Underachiever – Indiana (2-3 S/U, 2-3 ATS): The good news for Indiana is that the overtime loss to Fort Wayne from November might be a top 100 loss by season’s end as the Mastadons look like a contender in the Summit League. Indiana’s wins over Kansas and North Carolina will also continue to carry a ton of weight as even in a down season for the Big Ten Indiana’s NCAA Tournament candidacy will still be alive and well as long as they can finish with a .500 conference season. Right now that looks somewhat challenging with two home losses and one of the tougher remaining conference schedules. Indiana still draws Purdue twice while still facing tough road games at Northwestern, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Ohio State. The Hoosiers will close the season with road games in four of the final five as the lousy start has come with four of five conference games at Assembly Hall. The talent and offensive potential for Indiana is there and the Hoosiers are capable of a great run the rest of the way but that type of consistency hasn’t been the norm under Tom Crean.


Enigma – Michigan State (4-2 S/U, 4-2 ATS): The Spartans played a brutally tough non-conference schedule and lost four of the first eight games of the season. Those defeats all came against Top 25 caliber teams but three of the four weren’t that competitive and Michigan State also lost at home to Northeastern in December with only a win over Wichita State standing out on the non-conference resume. Injuries and inexperience were factors and many trust Tom Izzo’s track record to put Michigan State back in Big Ten contention as usual. It looked that way with a 3-0 league start but Michigan State has since lost to Penn State and Ohio State. The Spartans haven’t played Indiana, Purdue, or Wisconsin yet and the statistics feature alarming numbers in turnovers and free throw shooting very uncharacteristic of Izzo squads. The next month figures to feature a bunch of toss-up type of games for the Spartans as this year’s team could go either way.


Dark Horse – Michigan (2-4 S/U, 1-5 ATS): The Wolverines have been a disappointment with a veteran squad that is now just 12-7 on the season with a tough start in Big Ten play. Michigan played right with Wisconsin on the road this week and has the potential for a strong finish with the typical strengths of John Beilein teams featuring a deliberate pace but strong shooting and ball control. Michigan has been burned by opponents shooting nearly 43 percent on 3-points shots this season and while the Wolverines have a difficult remaining schedule they are capable of beating anyone. The non-conference schedule is proving to be stronger than expected with teams like Marquette, South Carolina, and UCLA exceeding expectations and the opportunity to add quality wins in Big Ten play will be there with upcoming tests against Indiana, Michigan State, Wisconsin, and Purdue as a run back to the NCAA Tournament is possible.


Big Ten ATS Notes: Home underdogs in Big Ten play are currently 6-3 S/U and 7-2 ATS counting Penn State’s Palestra win over Michigan State. There have been eight outright wins from road underdogs in league play. Overall, Northwestern has been the league’s best ATS performer at 11-5 ATS with Michigan the worst at 5-11 ATS. Indiana won the Big Ten last season with a 15-3 regular season record going 10-8 ATS.