Cnotes 2016 Canadian Football League Picks-Trends-News !

Search

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,928
Tokens
RECAP


NICHOLS LEADS BOMBERS TO BIG WIN IN EDMONTON



EDMONTON – Matt Nichols had Eskimos fans seeing green on Thursday evening, outdueling former teammate Mike Reilly en route to Winnipeg’s second victory of the 2016 season. The former Eskimo completed over 78 per cent of his passes for over 300 yards and a score in his first start of the year, leading the Blue Bombers to a 30-23 win.


Weston Dressler picked up right where he left off after a 12-catch performance in Week 5, making two key catches for 60 yards on the game-opening drive. Nichols had two chances to pound the ball into the end zone after a spectacular Dressler catch brought the Bombers to the one-yard-line, but it was Winnipeg native Andrew Harris who strolled in for the score on third down, his first as a Bomber, to give the visitors a lead just four minutes into the game.


Justin Medlock tacked on a single on the ensuing kickoff, and the Bombers took an early 8-0 lead.


Nichols continued his hot start later in the first, showing some mobility by avoiding a sack and throwing downfield to Darvin Adams on a naked bootleg. He wasn’t so lucky just a few plays later however, as he was levelled by DL Marcus Howard for a big loss. The Bombers would settle for a Medlock field goal, bringing their lead to 11-0 midway through the first quarter.


With just a few minutes remaining in the first quarter, the Edmonton skies opened up, and the game entered a weather delay.


If the Eskimos were banking on the delay having any effect on the rhythm of the Bombers offence, they were sorely disappointed, as Nichols and the Bomber offence continued to roll despite a 30-minute break.


Harris picked up 45 yards on three carries on the Bombers’ first drive following the delay, and Medlock booted home his second field goal of the night to extend Winnipeg’s lead to 14.


After another ineffective drive from Reilly and the Eskimos, Nichols again had no trouble moving the ball, putting Medlock in position for his third field goal of the night and a 17-0 Bombers lead.


The new-look Bombers offence led by Nichols was the story of the game’s first half, with Nichols posting an 80 per cent completion rate for over 200 yards. Harris led the way on the ground with 104 yards on 15 carries, while Dressler was on pace for another 12-catch night with six grabs for 111 yards in the half.


The half was a thoroughly one-sided affair, with the Bombers nearly doubling the Eskimos time of possession. Though much of the focus was on Winnipeg’s offensive success in the half, their defence was nearly as impressive, holding Reilly to just 121 yards through the air and allowing just one rushing yard.


The second half started on a low note for a Bombers, as they learned that Dressler would miss the rest of the game with a lower-body injury.


Medlock added his fourth field goal of the night on the Bombers first possession of the half, extending the away team’s lead to 17.


Just when it seemed that the game may be all Winnipeg, the Eskimo offence made an appearance. A 35-yard pass interference penalty on the Bomber defence brought Reilly and the Eskimos into Bomber territory, and a 20-yard completion to Chris Getzlaf put them on the doorstep. RB Calvin McCarty sealed the deal with a two-yard scamper to paydirt, and the Eskimos pulled back to within 10 points.


Edmonton’s optimism wouldn’t last long however, as it took Nichols just five plays to find his first touchdown of the game. With his favourite target out, Nichols instead turned to Adams, who he found wide open in the end zone for a 20-yard score to extend the Bombers’ lead to 17 points.


Reilly continued to find some offensive success on the next drive, but the Eskimos were forced to kick a field goal and still trailed 27-13 heading into the fourth quarter.


After the Edmonton defence forced a quick punt, Reilly got back to work and found Derel Walker for a big completion, putting the receiver over 100 receiving yards for the fourth time in 2016.


But once again the Bombers’ defence stood tall when it mattered most, forcing another Whyte field goal and preserving a two-score lead.


With the Eskimos in desperation mode, a Reilly pass intended for Derel Walker was snapped up by rookie DB Terrence Fredrick, erasing a positive Eskimos drive and putting the home team’s backs against the wall.


Despite long odds for a comeback, Reilly kept battling, finding Derel Walker for a touchdown with just 17 seconds remaining in the game. But the onside kick attempt was recovered by the Bombers, sealing Winnipeg’s first victory in Edmonton in 10 years.


Dressler and Adams both recorded over 100 yards receiving for the Bombers in the victory, while Walker led all receivers with 148 yards and a touchdown. Reilly racked up 346 passing yards with one touchdown and one interception.


Following the big win, the Bombers will play host to the Tiger-Cats in week 7, who are fresh off a bye week following a stunning comeback victory over the Eskimos in Week 5.


The Eskimos will head east to Ontario, where they’ll look to get off a two-game skid against the East Division-leading REDBLACKS in the nation’s capital.
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,928
Tokens
Friday, July 29


Saskatchewan Roughriders (1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS) vs. Montreal Alouettes (1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS)
Point-spread: OFF
Total: OFF



Game Overview


The Roughriders posted their first straight-up victory of the year in dramatic fashion on game-winning 53-yard field goal with just over a minute to play. The biggest storyline in last week’s upset was the play of Mitchell Gale in his first CFL start at quarterback for an injured Darian Durant. Gale threw for 354 yards and a score including eight completions to Naaman Roosevelt for 182 yards. Darian remains questionable to return to action this Friday night.


Montreal gave up 21 points in the second quarter of Monday night’s rout to help seal its third loss in four games. The Alouettes have been outscored 103-59 in those first four contests and the prospect for any kind of quick turnaround does not look good. Kevin Glenn was back under center for Montreal and despite the fact that he completed 24-of-28 attempts for 285 yards, he still could not get his team in the end zone more than once through the air.


Betting Trends


The Alouettes have covered ATS in six of the last eight meetings in this interdivision clash and the total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in 16 of the last 21 meetings in Montreal.


British Columbia Lions (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (2-1-1 SU, 3-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -5
Total: 49



Game Overview


The Lions have carved out the early lead in the West Division behind an offense that is averaging over 400 total yards a game with a solid balance between the pass and the run. They have also been stingy on the other side of the ball behind a defense that has only allowed an average of 18.3 points a game. They are coming off a bye week following a 40-27 victory against Saskatchewan in Week 4 as 1 ½-point underdogs on the road.


Calgary has now covered the spread in its last three games with the total going OVER in all three contests. Bo Levi Mitchell continued to light things up through the air with 310 yards passing and three touchdown throws in last week’s win against Winnipeg. He completed 70.7 percent of his 41 attempts while connecting with seven different receivers. Jerome Messam paced the Stampeders’ ground game with 65 yards on 13 carries.

Betting Trends



Head-to-head in this West Division rivalry, the Lions won the first meeting this season 20-18 as 2 ½-point home underdogs, but they have gone just 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games against the Stampeders. The total has gone OVER the closing line in five of the last seven meetings in Calgary.


-----------------------


Friday, July 29


Saskatchewan @ Montreal



Game 303-304
July 29, 2016 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Saskatchewan
107.905
Montreal
106.355
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Saskatchewan
by 1 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montreal
by 1
50
Dunkel Pick:
Saskatchewan
(+1); Under


BC Lions @ Calgary

Game 305-306
July 29, 2016 @ 10:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
BC Lions
113.941
Calgary
121.017
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 7
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 5
49
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-5); Over





----------------------

Friday, July 29



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SASKATCHEWAN (1 - 3) at MONTREAL (1 - 3) - 7/29/2016, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 121-87 ATS (+25.3 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 52-32 ATS (+16.8 Units) in July games since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 2-2 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BRITISH COLUMBIA (3 - 1) at CALGARY (2 - 1 - 1) - 7/29/2016, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 54-28 ATS (+23.2 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 89-61 ATS (+21.9 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games off a win over a division rival since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 5-2 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------



TREND REPORT



Friday, July 29


7:00 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. MONTREAL
Saskatchewan is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Saskatchewan is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Montreal's last 16 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
Montreal is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games


10:00 PM
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. CALGARY
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of British Columbia's last 6 games when playing Calgary
British Columbia is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games
Calgary is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Calgary's last 12 games at home


----------------------

CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up


Week 6


Saskatchewan (1-3) @ Montreal (1-3)–
Home side won five of last six series games; Roughriders are 2-6 in last eight visits here, but did win here in OT last year. Riders allowed 34.5 ppg in 1-3 start; they upset Ottawa at home LW– they lost 39-36 in OT at Edmonton in only road game- their last three games went over. Alouettes lost last three games, scoring 15.7 ppg; they’re 0-2 at home, losing by 15-24 to Ottawa/Hamilton- three of four Montreal games stayed under.

British Columbia (3-1) @ Calgary (2-1-1)–
Lions upset Calgary 20-18 at home in season opener, outscoring Stamps 14-1 over last 21:00 of game- win snapped 5-game skid against the Stampeders. BC had last week off; they’re off to 3-1 start (under 3-1), winning road games by 25-17 points- three of their four games stayed under. Calgary is 2-0-1 in last three games, beating Winnipeg 36-22 (-10) in only home game. Stamps pushed total in last two games. Lions lost last three visits here, by 7-12-26 points.
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,928
Tokens
PREVIEW


ALS, RIDERS EYE WIN NO. 2 IN MONTREAL ON FRIDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL



MONTREAL — For teams with identical 1-3 records, the respective moods around the Saskatchewan Roughriders and Montreal Alouettes entering Friday’s matchup at Percival Molson Stadium in Montreal is about as different as you could imagine.


The Riders are coming off what felt like a potential TSN turning point in their season, a 30-29 home win against the previously-undefeated Ottawa REDBLACKS in Week 5, while Montreal has lost three straight and only eclipsed the 20-point mark once this season.


Saskatchewan will once again turn to quarterback Mitchell Gale, who threw for 354 yards and a touchdown in his first-career start last week against Ottawa, as Darian Durant remains sidelined by a sprained ankle.


Montreal will hand the ball to veteran Kevin Glenn, who partially kick-started the Als’ sputtering offence in Week 5 with a 285-yard performance.


The Als will be retiring legendary receiver Ben Cahoon’s No. 86 in a pre-game ceremony.


The Riders appeared to have figured out some of their defensive woes in the second half of last week’s win over Ottawa. Saskatchewan, the league’s worst defence entering Week 5, managed to hold a potent Ottawa offence — albeit without pivot Trevor Harris — to just nine second-half points in a tight ballgame.


Led by the likes of star rookie Samuel Eguavoen (five tackles), Justin Cox (team-high six tackles) and Greg Jones (five tackles, forced fumble), the Rider defence looked confident and came up with key stops down the stretch to set up Tyler Crapigna’s game winner.


“All everyone on the offence, on the defence, on special teams can follow up with is just doing their jobs,” said quarterback Mitchell Gale. “We didn’t do anything crazy to get that win last week.”


Read that as: The Riders believe they’re better than their 1-3 record, and last week’s win indicated their true potential.


Gale gets another chance to show what he can do while Durant nurses his injury as the third pivot on the Rider depth chart.


“Mitchell’s been around football for a long time,” said Jones. “He threw for 12,000 yards and 97 touchdowns in college; he’s a guy that’s been around passing offences for quite some time, so I just want him to be Mitchell and not try to do more than that.”


Saskatchewan wideout Naaman Roosevelt continued his breakout sophomore season last week against Ottawa, hauling in 182 receiving yards and a touchdown en route to being named a CFL Top Performer.


“We can’t take this team lightly,” said Roosevelt of the Als. “We just have to go out there and take advantage of what they do wrong (and) build on last week.”


To illustrate just how much of a breakout season 2016 has been for the Buffalo alumnus, consider this: Roosevelt needs just 11 receiving yards to eclipse his total from his 10-game 2015 season. He’s only played in four games this year.


The Rider offence will be boosted by the return of Shamawd Chambers. The former Edmonton Eskimo has been limited to just six receptions and 43 yards through his first three games in Rider green, and will be hoping to return to his form from 2013 (42 receptions, 465 yards) this season.


Saskatchewan’s defence will see a change at halfback, where Major Culbert enters in place of Brandon McDonald, who was cut earlier this week.


For the Alouettes, Friday’s game represents a chance to stem the bleeding and maybe, just maybe, begin a journey back into the East’s playoff picture.


S.J. Green, Tyrell Sutton and Kenny Stafford all remain out for the Als, who have been trying desperately the past few weeks to come up with a patchwork offensive solution with both Rakeem Cato and now Kevin Glenn under centre.


“It will be a challenge to play against Chris Jones’s defence,” said Als wideout Sam Giguere. “They’re a complex, varied defence (and) their blitzes can be very different. Our coaches have prepared us well, we’re ready.”


Montreal will be taking the field just three days removed from a loss in Toronto against the Argos.


“There was a lot of stretching, going to bed early, that type of thing,” said Giguere. “It sounds simple, but it was a short week and we had to study the playbook and (simultaneously) focus on recuperating.”


The Als will be hoping their defence can once again come up with some big stops against a suddenly-surging Riders offence.


Linebackers Bear Woods (28 tackles, two sacks) and Chip Cox (22 tackles, two forced fumbles, one interception) will be keys if Montreal is to stop Gale and the Rider offence in its tracks.


Ultimately it will be up to Glenn and the playmakers he does still have at his disposal — i.e. B.J. Cunningham and vocal veteran Nik Lewis — to give the Als, who have averaged just 14.75 points per game this season, a chance to claim their first win on home turf in 2016.


By the Numbers

2 – Fumbles forced by Saskatchewan’s Greg Jones. Only Hamilton’s Stephen Courtney has more.


6 – Saskatchewan players with receiving TDs this season.


12 – Montreal turnovers, tied for most in the CFL.


59 – League-low points scored by the Alouettes through four games in 2016.


The Skinny


Friday’s matchup pits the CFL’s worst defence in Saskatchewan against the CFL’s worst offence in Montreal.


The Riders are flying high off the back of an emotional first win, while the Als have had all sorts of injuries and ultimately a struggling offence.


Whoever can gut out the win in Montreal will be propelled back into the playoff picture, while the loser will drop into the depths of the league standings.


A critical note here: All four winning teams in Week 5 scored 30-plus points. Whoever is able to better air it out — Gale vs. Glenn — will likely end up on the winning side of the equation.


Saskatchewan’s 0-1 on the road. Montreal’s 0-2 at home. Somebody’s going to leave Percival Molson Stadium on Friday night having bucked their early-season trends.


Kickoff is slated for 7 p.m. ET and can be seen live on TSN or followed online via CFL.ca GameTracker.
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,928
Tokens
PREVIEW


LIONS HEAD TO CALGARY FOR FIRST-PLACE SHOWDOWN WITH STAMPS



CALGARY– It was largely assumed that the Calgary Stampeders would be at or near the top of the CFL’s West Division in 2016. It was largely assumed the BC Lions would not be.


Yet here we sit in Week 6, with the Lions headed to McMahon Stadium trying to grow their lead atop the West Division against a Stamps team that dominated the Winnipeg Blue Bombers in Week 5.


Anytime the two best defences in the CFL meet up, you know the game is likely to be an in-your-face trench battle. Especially given the fact BC’s run game has been its bread and butter to begin 2016 and Calgary’s D-line has been fearsome at times.


The Lions surprised many pundits and fans alike in Week 1, when they edged the Stamps in Vancouver. Fast forward to Week 6 and the Leos are looking to legitimize their contender status as the season rolls into its middle stage.


“I think everybody understands the next challenge,” head coach Wally Buono told BCLions.com. “Calgary has been an elite team for a lot of years and going into McMahon is never easy. If you want to be an elite team, you have to beat the elite teams.”


BC’s marched to the beat of its own orange-coloured drum in 2016; where running numbers are down across the league, the Leos have utilized the trio of Anthony Allen, Jeremiah Johnson and Chris Rainey to great effect. Buono’s bunch has scored more times on the ground (5) than any other team in the league.


BC’s received a boost this season from a revamped defence which has come up with big play upon big play.


“We’ve been flying around and making a lot of plays, having a lot of fun with each other,” said Leos defensive back Ronnie Yell. “Everybody’s clicking on all cylinders.”


With plenty of chirping back and forth ever since BC knocked off the Stamps in Week 1, Yell admitted there’s a little extra on the line anytime the orange suits up against the red.


“It’s always a challenge, they’ve been one of the top teams in the league for several years,” said the San Jose State alum. “It’s one of our biggest rivalries — it makes us bring our A-game, our intensity, hit a little harder, be a little nastier.”


With much of the league still not sold on the 3-1 Lions as a serious contender, Yell summarized the importance of his team’s trip to Calgary.


“We have something to prove; not only to Bo or Calgary, but to the league,” said the defensive back. “We’re just going to play our game, go out there and get the win.”


Lions defensive tackle Alex Bazzie has exploded out of the gate in his third CFL season, registering four sacks in four games and being a beast on the line. The Marshall product has registered a sack in every game thus far in 2016 and will be a defensive key for the Lions as they try to get pressure on Bo Levi Mitchell.


Linebacker and tackle-machine Adam Bighill has picked up where he left off for BC in 2015, posting a team-high 30 tackles through four games. The Central Washington grad led the CFL in defensive tackles with 114 last season.


Dutch slotback Geraldo Boldewijn will make his first start as Lion following the season-ending injury suffered by Nick Moore.


On the Calgary side of the ball, the outlook is scarily similar. An often-dominant defence (86 points against) and strong run game have complemented Bo Levi Mitchell’s passing game nicely.


“They play good defence, the offence puts up points, they have a lot of big plays and they’re consistent in what they do,” Mitchell said of the Lions to Stampeders.com. “Special teams is a threat. When you’ve got three aspects of the game that can come out and put points on the board, you’re tough to beat.”


Friday night’s matchup against BC will be Calgary’s first home game since Canada Day.


“We love playing in front of our fans and always play well in front of them,” said Mitchell of the Stamps’ return home. “We’re well-aware of the (standings) situation but not overthinking — it’s a football game at home, in conference, and those are the most important games to win.”


Mitchell holds Calgary’s franchise record for most consecutive games with a pass touchdown (19), and now holds a career record of 30-7-1 in the CFL — pretty darn good.


Calgary head coach Dave Dickenson echoed his quarterback’s sentiments on home games.


“If you’re going to win your conference, you’ve got to win at home,” said Dickenson. “If we can protect our house, win a good chunk of (our home games) and then steal some on the road, we’ll be in a good spot to win (the division).”


Calgary will hope a mixture of Mitchell’s passing game and power back Jerome Messam’s running game will be capable of breaking down a Lions defence that has been consistently stingy all season.


While favoured target Joe West remains on the six-game injured list, Mitchell’s been able to spread his passes throughout a deep receiving core that includes wideout Anthony Parker (192 yards, 1 TD) and slotbacks Marquay McDaniel (286 yards, 3 TDs) and Bakari Grant (153 yards).


By the Numbers


9 – Career touchdown receptions for national Calgary WR Anthony Parker, who’s in the midst of a career year.


13.1 – BC’s league-best average punt return. The Leos also have the best kickoff returns (26.9) in the league.


23 – Combined sacks registered by the Lions (12, 2nd) and Stamps (11, 3rd)


250 – League-high rush yards eaten up thus far by Calgary RB Jerome Messam.


The Skinny


This is a mouth-watering matchup for diehard Lions/Stamps fans and neutrals alike. Two of the league’s top defences, champing at the bit to prove which one is top dog in a pre-existing rivalry.


The upstart Lions have something to prove to the rest of the league, while Calgary is trying to reassert itself as the team to beat in the West Division.


Calgary’s 1-0 at home, BC 2-0 on the road. Something’s got to give.


Expect a dogfight.


Kickoff is slated for 10 p.m. ET and can be seen live on TSN or followed online via CFL.ca GameTracker.
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,928
Tokens
7/28- Thursday's Totals: 1 - 1


June July Totals


WLT PCT UNITS



ATS Picks 8-13-0 38.10% -3150


O/U Picks 11-8-2 57.89% +1100




FRIDAY, JULY 29



GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


SSK at MTL 07:00 PM


SSK +1.0


U 49.0





BC at CGY 10:00 PM

BC +4.0


O 48.5
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,928
Tokens
WEST DIVISION


RK TEAM GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV


1 BC 4 3 1 0 6 102 73 1-1-0 2-0-0 2-0-0


2 Calgary 4 2 1 1 5 113 86 1-0-0 1-1-1 2-1-0


3 Edmonton 5 2 3 0 4 150 164 1-3-0 1-0-0 2-1-0


4 Winnipeg 6 2 4 0 4 128 158 0-3-0 2-1-0 1-3-0


5 Saskatchewan 4 1 3 0 2 110 138 1-2-0 0-1-0 0-2-0




EAST DIVISION


RK TEAM GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV


1 Ottawa 5 3 1 1 7 158 126 0-0-1 3-1-0 2-0-0


2 Hamilton 5 3 2 0 6 137 114 0-2-0 3-0-0 2-0-0


3 Toronto 5 3 2 0 6 125 120 1-2-0 2-0-0 1-2-0


4 Montreal 4 1 3 0 2 59 103 0-2-0 1-1-0 0-3-0




y - Clinched Division
x - Clinched Playoff Berth
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,928
Tokens
Sunday, July 31


Toronto Argonauts (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS) vs. Ottawa RedBlacks (3-1-1 SU, 3-2 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa OFF
Total: OFF


Game Overview



Toronto has now won three of its last four games both SU and against the spread including wins on the road against Saskatchewan and British Columbia. Credit Ricky Ray for Monday night’s win after throwing for three touchdowns. Ray left the game in the fourth quarter with a leg injury and right now it looks like Logan Kilgore might get the start on Sunday after coming into this past Monday’s game as his replacement.


The RedBlacks will look to quickly bounce back from their first SU loss of the season, but they may have to do it without the services of their starting quarterback Trevor Harris. He left last week’s game early in the first quarter with a leg injury and his status for Sunday remains up in the air. Harris has been one of the CFL’s top passers this season in both yards (1,499) and touchdowns (9). If he cannot go, we may see the return of Henry Burris at quarterback after missing the first five games with a hand injury.

Betting Trends



Ottawa drew first blood in this season’s series with a 30-20 victory on July 13 as a one-point road favorite. Toronto still has a SU 4-2 edge against the RedBlacks over the last six meetings and the total has gone OVER in three of the last four games.


--------------------



Sunday, July 31


Toronto @ Ottawa

Game 307-308
July 31, 2016 @ 7:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
114.943
Ottawa
120.399
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ottawa
by 5 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ottawa
by 8
49
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+8); Over



-------------------

Sunday, July 31



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (3 - 2) at OTTAWA (3 - 1 - 1) - 7/31/2016, 7:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing on a Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 4-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 3-3 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Sunday, July 31


7:30 PM
TORONTO vs. OTTAWA
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Toronto's last 11 games
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Ottawa8-2-1 SU in its last 11 games


-----------------------


Toronto (3-2) @ Ottawa (3-1-1)– Toronto QB Ray got hurt LW, is out a month, big blow for Argo squad that won three of last four games, scoring 25.5 ppg in road wins in Regina, Vancouver. RedBlacks (-1) won 30-20 in Toronto two weeks ago, outgaining Argos 476-300 after falling behind 13-0 early. just its second win in six series games- teams split pair played here. Toronto allowed 17 or less points in its three wins, 30+ in its two losses. Ottawa is on road for fifth time in six games- they lost first game LW, 30-29 to Saskatchewan.


-----------------------


CFL


Sunday, July 31



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sunday's CFL betting preview and odds: Argonauts at RedBlacks
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


The RedBlacks are starting to get respect from sportsbooks. They're 11-pt home chalk in a battle for top spot in the East Division.


Toronto Argonauts at Ottawa RedBlacks (-10, 50)


The Ottawa Redblacks host the Toronto Argonauts in a battle for top spot in the East Division on Sunday. The Redblacks stayed in first place despite dropping a 30-29 decision to the previously winless Saskatchewan Roughriders in Week 5 and received a huge boost with the news that star quarterback Henry Burris will return to the fold after missing the last four games with a pinky injury on his throwing hand.


Backup quarterback Trevor Harris threw for 1,499 yards and nine touchdowns in Burris' absence, but suffered a knee injury against Saskatchewan and will be sidelined for at least a week and Ottawa hopes Burris returns to the form that saw him win the CFL's Most Outstanding Player award in 2015. Toronto overcame a sluggish start to beat the Montreal Alouettes 30-17 to secure its first victory at BMO Field and move within one point of the Redblacks at the top of the division. The victory came at a steep cost as veteran quarterback Ricky Ray, who missed 15 games in 2015, sprained his MCL after taking a low hit in the fourth quarter and will be sidelined for the next three to six weeks, meaning Logan Kilgore will get his first CFL start on Sunday. "That's why Logan is here as the guys have faith in him and I have faith in him," Toronto coach Scott Milanovich told reporters. "We'll try to put together a plan that's built around his talents and let him go to work."


TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, TSN, ESPN2

LINE HISTORY:
The RedBlacks opened as heavy 10-point home favorites, but bettors still didn't think that was enough as the line has moved to Ottawa -11. Since then the number has bounced back to the opening number of -10. Meanwhile the total opened at 50.5 and was bet down to 49.5, before bouncing back to the current number of 50. Check out the complete line history here.

ABOUT THE ARGONAUTS (3-2, 3-2 ATS, 2-3 O/U):
Ray went 29-of-34 for 235 yards and three touchdowns before Montreal defensive end Vaughn Martin fell on his knee after he released the ball and Toronto filed an official complaint to the league regarding the hit. Devon Wylie, who played for the Kansas City Chiefs in 2012 before bouncing around various practice squads in the NFL, caught five passes for 55 yards and a touchdown in his first CFL game. The Argos signed defensive back Marcus Alford, kicker Ryan Hawkins and running back Chase Price to the practice squad and activated quarterback Adrian McPherson from the six-game injured list.

ABOUT THE REDBLACKS (3-1-1, 3-2 ATS, 2-2-1 O/U):
Harris was injured on Ottawa's first possession of the game against Saskatchewan and third-string quarterback Brock Jensen acquitted himself well by throwing for 271 yards and two touchdowns and will back up Burris on Sunday. Burris passed for 989 yards and four touchdowns in three losses to the Argonauts last season and was 23-of-31 for 251 yards and a score before going down in the third quarter of the 45-37 overtime win against the Edmonton Eskimos. "The thing is my body wasn't hurt it was just a finger," Burris told reporters. "I was able to stay physically into it and out there working on my conditioning."

TRENDS:



* Argonauts are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
* RedBlacks are 5-0 ATS in their last five versus Eastern Division opponents.
* Under is 4-0 in Argonauts last four road games.
* Over is 4-1-1 in RedBlacks last six home games.

CONSENSUS
: The public think the double-digit chalk is too much to lay with the RedBlacks, with 61 percent of wagers on the Argonauts. As for the total, 56 percent of wagers are on the Over.

EXTRA POINTS:



* The Argonauts have won four of the last five meetings with the Redblacks.
* Ottawa WR Chris Williams leads the CFL in receiving yards (570) and receiving touchdowns (6).
* Redblacks K Chris Milo has missed at least one field goal in each of his last four games.
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,928
Tokens
PREVIEW


ARGOS, REDBLACKS SET FOR FIRST-PLACE CLASH IN THE NATION’S CAPITAL



OTTAWA — Everything in the game of football is cyclical; quarterbacks and winning seasons, coaches and losing seasons. Both the Toronto Argonauts and Ottawa REDBLACKS will have to adjust to some changes entering their Week 6 matchup at TD Place.


The REDBLACKS came flying out of the gate to begin 2016, undefeated in their first four games and making the offensive side of the game look easy. But after a morale-draining 30-29 loss to last-place Saskatchewan, combined with the loss of star quarterback Trevor Harris, the grass is no longer a deep, complete green for the 3-1-1 REDBLACKS.


At 3-2, the Argos enter Sunday’s showdown ready for another crack at Ottawa, which spoiled their party on home turf back on July 13 with a come-from-behind win, knowing they can move into sole possession of first place in the East with a road win.


Both teams will be starting ‘new’ quarterbacks in Henry Burris and Logan Kilgore. Burris, 41, will be making career regular-season start No. 224, but just his second of 2016 after a finger injury sidelined him for the past month. Kilgore, 26, will be making his first pro start for the Argos in place of the injured Ricky Ray (knee).


The REDBLACKS will be looking to bounce back from last week’s loss in Regina with a different face — Smilin’ Hank’s — under centre.


With one star quarterback down with knee and ankle injuries in Harris, Ottawa slots one of the CFL’s most successful quarterbacks of all-time back under centre in Burris.


“It’s going to be nice to be back out there,” Burris, who missed four games, told OttawaREDBLACKS.com. “The only thing I want to accomplish now is winning a championship; if it’s Trevor (Harris), Brock (Jensen) or Danny (O’Brien) playing quarterback, hey, I get to eat fruit out of the Grey Cup with my family.”


Burris will be faced with one of the league’s tougher defences in Toronto.


The Argos have given up just 120 points in their first five games, and possess one of the best front sevens in the CFL.


“(Argos defensive coordinator) Stubler’s been around this game a long time, I’m sure he’s seen every route combination possible,” said Ottawa offensive coordinator Jaime Elizondo. “I’m sure they’re going to mix their match coverages, which is their base defence, and disguise who their low players are — we’ll see a little more disguise from those guys, for sure.”


The REDBLACKS are without a doubt the league’s best offensive team, having scored the most points (158), racked up more passing yards (2,021), and thrown more pass touchdowns (12) than any other team in the CFL.


Offensive catalyst Chris Williams will be looking to return to his early-season form. The lightning-quick Ottawa wideout has been kept under 100 receiving yards and out of the end zone in each of the past two games, after beginning the season with a trio of 100-plus-yard games and six touchdown catches.


On the defensive side of the ball, Ottawa will be hoping to find the elusive big play on Sunday night. By the numbers, Ottawa’s defence has been mediocre at best through five games, sitting middle-of-the-pack in sacks (11, 5th), passes defended (16, 6th) and points allowed (126, 5th), and towards the bottom of the league in interceptions (2, 7th) and forced fumbles (2, 9th).


“I expect (Toronto) to run their offence,” said REDBLACKS defensive coordinator Mark Nelson. “Their head coach has been there for a few years, they’ve gone through a bunch of QBs at different times and he’s stayed the course.”


The third-year coordinator predicted the Argos will lob some easy play calls to their rookie quarterback.


“Personally I think they’ll give him some high-percentage stuff early on, so he can feel like he’s in a routine and gains some confidence,” said Nelson. “Hopefully we can do a good job of taking those away from him and (making) him feel like he’s in a very heated, competitive game.”


For Toronto, Sunday’s game in Ottawa is a chance to return the favour after the REDBLACKS rained on their parade in the fourth quarter a few weeks back at BMO Field.


“We’ve got to come out and tackle better than we did last time we faced those guys,” Argos defensive lineman Shawn Lemon told Argonauts.ca. “We’ve got to come out, play a little faster, get in the backfield fast and go from there.”


Lemon’s been a major part of the tenacious Toronto front seven since joining the Boatmen in a trade from Saskatchewan earlier this season, registering three sacks, five tackles and forcing a fumble in his first three games as an Argo.


“Coach Stubler does a great job on gameplans, (so) it’s about trusting the gameplan and playing fast,” said Lemon, who will be facing his former team for the second time since he suited up for them in 2015. “It was good for us to come back off a loss and get the (win) last week on our home field.”


Beyond Lemon, the likes of Ricky Foley (three sacks), Ken Bishop (two sacks) and Bryan Hall (two sacks) have combined to make the Argos one of the scariest front sevens in the league.


Toronto will turn to Kilgore under centre in the absence of Ray. The start may be the first of the Middle Tennessee State product’s career, but the situation — QB1 injured — is far from unfamiliar for the Argos.


“I’m frustrated for Ricky, he’s worked too hard (for this) string of bad luck,” said Toronto head coach Scott Milanovich. “I’m not upset, I’m not surprised: Two teams in the league still have their starting QB, it’s the way this league has been the last number of years.”


As for the 26 year-old making his first career start?


“Guys have faith in him, I have faith in him and we’re trying to build a plan based around his talents,” said Milanovich, whose two previous backups-turned-starters — Zach Collaros and Trevor Harris — have become bona fide stars. “Logan’s more in Trevor (Harris)’s mold, with a little better arm (but) Trevor has a bit more mobility.”


Kilgore, who is 3-of-7 for 44 yards on the season entering Sunday’s game, says a pair of pre-season starts have made him somewhat more comfortable this week.


“In pre-season (Coach Milanovich) did a great thing, giving me two starts under my belt,” said the California native. “It’s a different mindset when you know all week that you’re going to be the guy, taking those reps — he said just go out there and execute, do what you do.”


The Argos are the CFL’s best team in the red zone on either side of the football, converting 85 per cent of their chances from inside the 20 on offence and limiting opponents to majors on only 47 per cent of their red zone attempts.


By the Numbers


7 – Career passing attempts by Logan Kilgore in two professional CFL seasons.


9 – The Argos’ ranking in net offensive yards per game, their lowest ever in five years under Milanovich.


46 – The number of starting quarterbacks Burris will have faced in his career after going against Kilgore.


476 – Ottawa’s net-average offence, the best in the CFL.

The Skinny



Both Ricky Ray and Trevor Harris are huge losses to their respective teams.


The difference is one team’s replacement is making career-start No. 224 — unnecessary hint: Burris — and the other’s is making career-start No. 1.


Ottawa will be fired up for just its second home game in front of another rabid #RNation crowd, which will almost certainly be buzzing even more than usual in light of a ‘special announcement’ at Sunday’s game.


That being said, the Argos have two historical trends on their side: Toronto is 4-0 in games following a Ricky Ray injury, and the last four quarterbacks to make their first career start against Henry Burris — Troy Smith, Dan Lefevour, Jonathan Crompton, Trevor Harris — have all come out on the winning end.


First place in the East is on the line. Expect a battle.


Kickoff is slated for 7:30 p.m. ET and can be seen live on TSN or followed online via CFL.ca GameTracker.
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,928
Tokens
WEST DIVISION


RK TEAM GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV


1 Calgary 5 3 1 1 7 157 127 2-0-0 1-1-1 3-1-0


2 BC 5 3 2 0 6 143 117 1-1-0 2-1-0 2-1-0


3 Edmonton 5 2 3 0 4 150 164 1-3-0 1-0-0 2-1-0


4 Winnipeg 6 2 4 0 4 128 158 0-3-0 2-1-0 1-3-0


5 Saskatchewan 5 1 4 0 2 113 179 1-2-0 0-2-0 0-2-0




EAST DIVISION


RK TEAM GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV


1 Ottawa 5 3 1 1 7 158 126 0-0-1 3-1-0 2-0-0


2 Hamilton 5 3 2 0 6 137 114 0-2-0 3-0-0 2-0-0


3 Toronto 5 3 2 0 6 125 120 1-2-0 2-0-0 1-2-0


4 Montreal 5 2 3 0 4 100 106 1-2-0 1-1-0 0-3-0
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,928
Tokens
7/28- Thursday's Totals: 1 - 1


June July Totals


WLT PCT UNITS


ATS Picks 9-14-0 39.13% -3200


O/U Picks 13-8-2 61.90% +2100



SUNDAY, JULY 31


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


TOR at OTT 07:30 PM


TOR +10.0


O 50.0
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,928
Tokens
CFL Betting Recap - Week 6
August 1, 2016


League Betting Notes



-- Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 SU in Week 6


-- Underdogs went 3-1 ATS in Week 6


-- Home/road teams posted a 2-2 SU record in Week 6


-- Road teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 6


-- The 'Under' went 3-1 in Week 6




Team Betting Notes



-- Toronto (4-2) shocked Ottawa (3-2-1) by a 23-20 count in Canada's capital city despite entering as a 10-point underdog. The Argonauts cashed +425 on the moneyline, and as high as +500 in some shops. The RedBlacks are suddenly in a tailspin, losing two in a row to the Argos and Roughriders.


-- After going 3-1 ATS in the first four games for the RedBlacks, they're now 0-2 ATS over the past two. The 'under is 3-1-1 for Ottawa over their past five. The RedBlacks are 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS over their past five tries against the Argos dating back to July 18, 2014, the last Ottawa win in this series.


-- Edmonton (2-3) met a similar fate as Ottawa, losing as a nine-point favorite at home against Winnipeg (2-4). The Eskimos have won just once in three tries at home, and they're 0-3 ATS at home and 0-4-1 ATS overall this season.


-- After their shocking win over the RedBlacks, it was back to struggling for Saskatchewan (1-4). And struggled they did, getting hammered by Montreal (2-3) in a 41-3 laugher. The Roughriders have given up 29 or more points in each of their five games, allowing 35.8 points per game (PPG).


-- Calgary (3-1-1) and the BC Lions (3-2) hooked up for the best game of the CFL season, outlasting the Lions 44-41 in overtime. QBs Jonathon Jennings and Bo Levi Mitchell each tossed three touchdowns, while Jennings also punched one in on the ground. The Stampeders failed to cover, though, falling to 3-1 ATS over the past four games.


-- The 'over' has been the play for the Stamps lately going 3-0-1 in their past four games after an under result in Week 1.


-- After allowing just 21 total points through their first two games, the Lions are allowing 32.0 points per game over their past three. The 'over' has hit in each of their past two games. BC also improved to 3-0 ATS on the road this season.


 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,928
Tokens
CFL Betting Notes - Week 7
August 1, 2016

Week 6 of the 2016 CFL regular season got underway with a huge upset when Winnipeg beat Edmonton 30-23 straight-up as a 9 ½-point road underdog last Thursday night. Montreal made short work of Saskatchewan as a two-point home favorite in the first of two games on Friday night in a 41-3 romp.


The second half of Friday’s CFL double-header was one of the best games of the season so far with Calgary outlasting British Columbia 44-41 in overtime, but failing to cover against the spread as a five-point favorite at home. Sunday’s action closed things out with another road team pulling off an upset in Toronto’s big 23-20 win against Ottawa as a heavy 10-point underdog. Here is a look at the lineup for Week 7 in the CFL.


Wednesday, Aug. 3


Hamilton Tiger-Cats (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS) vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers (2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -2
Total: 50


Game Overview



The Tiger-Cats had a bye last week after going a perfect 3-0 both straight-up and against the spread in their first three road games this season. They averaged 36.7 points a game in those three wins while scoring a combined 27 points in two losses at home. Jeremiah Masoli is expected to make at least one more start at quarterback for Hamilton with Zach Collaros not expected back in the lineup until Week 8 at the earliest.


Winnipeg’s stunning upset over Edmonton was fueled by the play of quarterback Matt Nichols, who was given the start over an ineffective Drew Willy. Nichols made the most of the opportunity by completing an impressive 78.8 percent of his 33 passes for 304 yards and a score. Andrew Harris had a big day on the ground with 127 rushing yards and a score on 22 carries.


Betting Trends


Hamilton has won six of the last eight meetings both straight-up and against the spread, but one of those losses came in Week 3 of this season when it fell to the Blue Bombers 28-24 as a nine-point favorite at home. The total has stayed UNDER in three of the last four meetings.


Thursday, Aug. 4


British Columbia Lions (3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS) vs. Montreal Alouettes (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS)
Point-spread: British Columbia -3
Total: 50 ½


Game Overview



The Lions will try and bounce back from their second SU loss in their last three games. They have to be kicking themselves after blowing a 34-19 lead heading into the fourth quarter of last week’s loss to Calgary. BC’s normally stout defense that had only allowed an average of 18.3 points in its first four games gave up 22 points in one quarter to send that game to overtime. Quarterback Jonathan Jennings ended the day with 374 yards passing and three touchdown throws.


Montreal’s offense showed some signs of life in last week’s rout after scoring a grand total of just 59 points in its first four games. Credit the play of quarterback Kevin Glenn and wide receiver Duron Carter with the win. Glenn completed 27-of-36 attempts for 299 yards and two touchdowns. Eight of those completions and one of those scores went to Carter. This was the Alouettes first win at home this season against two previous losses.

Betting Trends



The home team in this matchup had won eight games in a row both SU and ATS before the road team ended that streak last season with two straight victories (SU and ATS). The total has stayed UNDER in five of the last six games.

Saskatchewan Roughriders (1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (3-1-1 SU, 3-2 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -12 ½
Total: 59 ½



Game Overview


It is hard to know to make of the Roughriders’ play over their last two games. They failed to show up on the road against Montreal after stunning Ottawa 30-29 in Week 5 as 6 ½-point home underdogs. Mitchell Gale was the hero in the win against the RedBlacks in place of an injured Darian Durant at quarterback, but he looked very average last week with 211 yards passing, an interception and a completion percentage of just 56.1 percent. Durant is listed as questionable for this week’s game.


Calgary’s big fourth-quarter comeback and its eventual victory in overtime has the Stampeders setting the early pace in the West Division title race. It has now won three of its last four games both SU and ATS while averaging 34.8 points in those four contests. Bo Levi Mitchell once again lit things up through the air with 364 passing yards and three touchdown throws in last week’s win. He is now tied for the league lead in touchdown passes with 11.


Betting Trends


Calgary has won the last four games in this West Division tilt SU and it has a 3-1 edge ATS. The total has gone OVER in all four of those contests.


Saturday, Aug. 6


Edmonton Eskimos (2-3 SU, 0-4-1 ATS) vs. Ottawa RedBlacks (3-2-1 SU, 3-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -4 ½
Total: 59



Game Overview


One more loss by Edmonton would match its loss total for the entire 2015 season. With Mike Reilly leading the CFL in passing yards (1,926) and tied for the lead in passing touchdowns (11) on an offense that is averaging 30 points a game, you would have to pin most of the Eskimos’ very shaky 2-3 start on a defense that has allowed an average of 37.3 points in those three losses.


Ottawa is another team that has been hard to figure out through its first six games. Last week’s loss to Toronto came against a quarterback that was making his first CFL start. The RedBlacks did have Henry Burris back as their starting quarterback for an injured Trevor Harris, but the rust was pretty obvious with a costly interception in final minute of play that sealed the upset for the Argonauts as heavy road underdogs. Harris is listed as questionable for Saturday’s contest.


Betting Trends


Ottawa drew first blood in this season’s series with a 45-37 overtime victory in Week 1 as a six-point road underdog. This snapped a SU five-game losing streak to Edmonton including last season’s Grey Cup Championship. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the six meetings.
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,928
Tokens
CFL
Long Sheet


Week 7


Wednesday, August 3



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


HAMILTON (3 - 2) at WINNIPEG (2 - 4) - 8/3/2016, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAMILTON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 3-2 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 3-2 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, August 4



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BRITISH COLUMBIA (3 - 2) at MONTREAL (2 - 3) - 8/4/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 65-44 ATS (+16.6 Units) in road games off a division game since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in road games in August games since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 3-2 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 3-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SASKATCHEWAN (1 - 4) at CALGARY (3 - 1 - 1) - 8/4/2016, 10:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 119-88 ATS (+22.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 121-88 ATS (+24.2 Units) as an underdog since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-1 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-0 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, August 6



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
EDMONTON (2 - 3) at OTTAWA (3 - 2 - 1) - 8/6/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 3-3 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 5-1 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,928
Tokens
CFL


Week 7



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Wednesday, August 3


8:30 PM
HAMILTON vs. WINNIPEG
Hamilton is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hamilton's last 6 games on the road
Winnipeg is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing Hamilton



Thursday, August 4



7:00 PM
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. MONTREAL
British Columbia is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of British Columbia's last 6 games when playing Montreal
Montreal is 8-16 ATS in its last 24 games when playing British Columbia
Montreal is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games when playing at home against British Columbia


10:00 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. CALGARY
Saskatchewan is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Calgary
Saskatchewan is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan



Saturday, August 6



7:00 PM
EDMONTON vs. OTTAWA
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 7 games on the road
Ottawa is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Ottawa is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Edmonton




-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,928
Tokens
CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up


Week 7





Hamilton (3-2) @ Winnipeg (2-4)– Road team won all five TiCat games; they won last two games 31-7/37-31 since 28-24 (-9) home loss to Winnipeg four weeks ago, when Hamilton threw for 367 yards but were scoreless in 4th quarter. TiCats are 7-2 in last nine series games, winning last four visits here; under is 8-3 in last 11 series games. Winnipeg is 0-3 at home, scoring 16 ppg; they’re 0-4 scoring less than 28 points. Under is 3-0-1 in Bombers’ last four games, 3-1 in Hamilton’s last four. TiCats are 0-2 when scoring less than 31 points.


British Columbia (3-2) @ Montreal (2-3)– Road team won both series games LY, after hosts had won previous nine in series. BC lost five of last six visits here. Lions scored 81 points in splitting road games last two weeks; they lost in OT at Calgary LW, allowed 32 ppg in last three games. Montreal ended 3-game skid with rout of Roughriders LW; they allowed 14 or less in their two wins, 28+ in losses. Underdogs are 5-3 vs spread in last eight series games. Four of five Montreal games stayed under the total.


Saskatchewan (1-4) @ Calgary (3-1)– Stampeders won last four series games (over 4-0), scoring 36.8 ppg; Riders lost seven of last eight visits here; their last win in Calgary was 2013 playoff game. Roughriders allowed 35.8 ppg in 1-4 start, losing both road games, by 3-38 points. Calgary is 3-0-1 in last four games, scoring 35.8 ppg; two of their last three games went to OT. Stamps scored 40 ppg in winning both home games, by 14-3 points. Three of Riders’ last four games went over total.

Edmonton (2-3) @ Ottawa (3-2-1)–
RedBlacks (+6) won season opener 45-37 at Edmonton, tying game with 0:01 left, then winning in OT for its first series win in six games. Ottawa threw for 543 yards (10.4 ypa). Eskimos won their two visits here, 10-8/23-12; they’ve allowed 30+ points in four of five games, won only road game 20-16 at Winnipeg three weeks ago. RedBlacks lost last two games after a 3-0-1 start; under is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Ottawa is 0-1-1 at home, losing to Toronto last week after tying Calgary in home opener.
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,928
Tokens
CFL
Dunkel



Week 7




Wednesday, August 3


Hamilton @ Winnipeg



Game 121-122
August 3, 2016 @ 8:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Hamilton
119.366
Winnipeg
113.278
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 6
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
by 4
50
Dunkel Pick:
Hamilton
(-4); Under




Thursday, August 4


BC Lions @ Montreal



Game 123-124
August 4, 2016 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
BC Lions
112.734
Montreal
114.237
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montreal
by 1 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
BC Lions
by 2 1/2
50
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(+2 1/2); Under


Saskatchewan @ Calgary



Game 125-126
August 4, 2016 @ 10:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Saskatchewan
103.456
Calgary
120.821
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 17 1/2
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 11
58
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-11); Over




Saturday, August 6


Edmonton @ Ottawa



Game 127-128
August 6, 2016 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
112.655
Ottawa
114.697
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ottawa
by 2
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ottawa
by 4
58 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(+4); Over
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,928
Tokens
CFL
Short Sheet


Wednesday, August 3




Hamilton at Winnipeg, 8:30 ET
Hamilton: 6-0 ATS in weeks 5 through 9
Winnipeg: 7-23 ATS after outrushing opponent by 100 or more yards last game
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,928
Tokens
CFL


Wednesday, August 3



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wednesday night CFL betting preview and odds: Tiger-Cats at Blue Bombers
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


The Bombers made a change at QB last week and Matt Nichols led them to a big win in Week 6.

Hamilton Tiger-Cats at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (+4., 49.5)



The Hamilton Tiger-Cats look to build on their epic Week 5 comeback when they travel to Winnipeg to battle the Blue Bombers on Wednesday. The Tiger-Cats erased a 25-point halftime deficit en route to a 37-31 victory over the Edmonton Eskimos to complete the biggest comeback in franchise history, and they hope to ride the momentum to their third straight win.


Hamilton, which had a bye in Week 6, has won all three of its road games this season and can stay in the thick of the East Division race by avenging a disappointing 28-24 loss to Winnipeg on July 7. The Blue Bombers are coming off their most impressive display of the season after downing the Eskimos 30-23. Winnipeg head coach Mike O'Shea opted to start backup quarterback Matt Nichols over a struggling Drew Willy and the move paid immediate dividends as Nichols led the Blue Bombers to their first win at Commonwealth Stadium in over 10 years. Winnipeg has dropped eight of the last 10 meetings with Hamilton, including four straight home games, but the Blue Bombers hope to bury the past and complete the season sweep of the Tiger-Cats for the first time since 2011.

TV:
8:30 p.m. ET, TSN, ESPN3


LINE HISTORY: The Tiger-Cats opened this matchup as 2-point road faves and bettors have moved that number all the way to its current number of -4.5. The total has backed back-and-forth betwen the opening number of 50 and 49.5, where it currently sits. Check out the complete line history here.

ABOUT THE TIGER-CATS (3-2):
Jeremiah Masoli set a new CFL record by completing 23 straight passes and finished 31-of-38 for 391 yards and three touchdowns in the win against Edmonton. Quarterback Zach Collaros, who was one the frontrunners for the CFL's Most Outstanding Player before tearing his ACL on Sept. 19, 2015, is nearing a return but will sit out at least one more game. "He's really close and he's doing very well," Hamilton head coach Kent Austin told reporters. "Jeremiah has done awesome with his opportunity and he's trustworthy and has proven that so we'll just go with the health of the guys as we're told."

ABOUT THE BLUE BOMBERS (2-4):
Nichols showed full command of the offence as he completed 26-of-33 passes for 304 yards and a touchdown in the morale-boosting win over his former team. "I'm not thinking down the road, I'm just thinking one game at a time," Nichols told reporters. "I've always had to prove people wrong and it's not any different for me now so it's something I'm used to." Weston Dressler caught six passes for 111 yards before suffering a knee injury in the second quarter and is unlikely to play Wednesday while Darvin Adams, who had 10 receptions for 121 yards and a touchdown, has an arm injury and is also doubtful.


TRENDS:


* Tiger-Cats are 4-1 ATS in their last five games in August.
* Blue Bombers are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games.
* Over is 5-1 in Tiger-Cats last six road games.
* Under is 8-1-2 in Blue Bombers last 11 home games.
* Tiger-Cats are 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings in Winnipeg.


CONSENSUS: Bettors like the favorite in this matchup, with 61 percent of wagers taking the Ti-Cats and the points. As for the total, 58 percent of wagers are on the Over.

EXTRA POINTS:



* The Tiger-Cats have won the last four meetings in Winnipeg by an average margin of 20 points.
* Winnipeg RB Andrew Harris leads the CFL with 333 rushing yards.
* The Blue Bombers haven't won back-to-back games since July 2014.
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,928
Tokens
PREVIEW


BOMBERS, TICATS SET FOR MIDWEEK MATCHUP IN WINNIPEG



WINNIPEG — It seems like all the Winnipeg Blue Bombers and Hamilton Tiger-Cats needed to break out offensively was a trip to Edmonton’s Commonwealth Stadium.


The Bombers went into Edmonton last week and pulled out a 30-23 victory to snap a two-game skid, while the Tabbies visited Edmonton in Week 5 and exploded for 37 points, a historic comeback and their third road win to start the season.


This week’s edition of Wednesday Night Football pits the Ticats — still undefeated on the road — against the Bombers, who have yet to win on home turf at Investors Group Field in 2016.


Winnipeg will once again turn to Matt Nichols under centre on Wednesday. Nichols, an ex-Eskimo, was superb for the Bombers in their win against his former team last week, throwing for over 300 yards and a touchdown.


Though the return of quarterback Zach Collaros seems imminent for the Tabbies, Jeremiah Masoli will make his sixth start of the season on the back of a record-setting performance in Edmonton two weeks ago.


The Ticats roll into Winnipeg off a bye week with a 3-2 record and, with Ottawa in a two-game slump, an eye on first place in the East Division.


“Our guys are focused on what they need to do individually to get better as a football player,” Ticats head coach Kent Austin told Ticats.ca. “As each week passes, then collectively we play better as a unit on both sides of the ball and special teams.”


Hamilton will be without the services of defensive back Johnny Sears Jr., who was placed on the six-game injured list following the win over the Eskimos. The veteran defender sat fourth on the Ticats with 21 tackles through Week 6. South Carolina State-product Dominique Ellis is expected to slot in at halfback for Sears.


The Ticat defence has been nothing short of terrifying through its first five games of 2016, forcing eight fumbles (second in CFL) and a league-high 20 sacks.


Hamilton’s front seven, meanwhile, has been the undisputed best in the league through the first third of the season. All four of the Tabbies’ starters on the defensive line have registered at least two sacks, while a balanced group of linebackers led by Simoni Lawrence has made well over 50 tackles on the season.


Ticats return man Brandon Banks is once again a top special-teams performer in the league in 2016 with one punt return TD and 12.3-yard average return to his name already.


While Winnipeg is riding the high of a strong road performance in Edmonton last week, the Bombers are a bruised and battered bunch entering Week 7.


Top receivers Darvin Adams (upper-body) and Weston Dressler (leg) are both expected to miss a significant length of time. Their absences will put pressure on the likes of Jace Davis, Rory Kohlert and rookie Thomas Mayo to pick up the slack, along with recent veteran addition Clarence Denmark.


Of course, the offence will still largely run through Nichols under centre and dual-threat running back Andrew Harris, who ran for a season-high 127 yards and his first rush touchdown against Edmonton last week.


For either to replicate their standout performance from Week 6 on Wednesday, they know their offensive line will be key against Orlando Steinauer’s defence.


“It starts and finishes with (the O-line), ” Harris told BlueBombers.com. “They’re the guys that get it going, pass blocking or run blocking — they’re the heartbeat of this offence, and they were creating lanes and distortion in the run game, and ultimately took the defence out of the game.”


Winnipeg offensive coordinator Paul LaPolice understands the challenge Hamilton’s aggressive defence could pose.


“You have to do a good job against Hamilton of not giving them any mistakes,” said LaPolice, who explained his team spent more time preparing for blitz packages this week. “That’s been the focus for us — protect the football — we have to handle everything they throw at us and take care of the ball.”


A new face will feature in the Bombers’ receiving core on Wednesday night, as UTEP alum Kris Adams will slide into the lineup in Weston Dressler’s short-side receiver slot. Adams will be activated from the six-game injury list on Tuesday.


By the Numbers


3 – Number of fumbles forced already this season by Ticats safety Courtney Stephen.


3 – Team-high sacks recorded by Winnipeg defensive lineman Jamaal Westerman.


23 – Consecutive completions by Hamilton QB Jeremiah Masoli in Week 5 — a CFL record.


857 – Receiving yards out of the Winnipeg lineup with the absences of Darvin Adams and Weston Dressler.


The Skinny


Both Hamilton and Winnipeg are looking to build off impressive road wins in Edmonton.


In the Ticats’ case, an otherworldly second-half performance from Jeremiah Masoli pushed them over the hump at Commonwealth Stadium in Week 5. In Winnipeg’s Week 6 win, it was the play on the line which powered the Bombers to a victory largely seen as a surprise by the rest of the league.


The Ticats have the best defensive line in the CFL, bar none. Winnipeg’s offensive line did its job against the Eskimos last week, but trying to deal with a front seven as aggressive and varied as Hamilton’s will be substantially more difficult for the Bombers as they search for their first home victory of 2016.


Kickoff is slated for 8:30 p.m. ET and can be seen live on TSN or followed online via CFL.ca GameTracker.
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,928
Tokens
WEST DIVISION


RK TEAM GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV


1 Calgary 5 3 1 1 7 157 127 2-0-0 1-1-1 3-1-0


2 BC 5 3 2 0 6 143 117 1-1-0 2-1-0 2-1-0


3 Edmonton 5 2 3 0 4 150 164 1-3-0 1-0-0 2-1-0


4 Winnipeg 6 2 4 0 4 128 158 0-3-0 2-1-0 1-3-0


5 Saskatchewan 5 1 4 0 2 113 179 1-2-0 0-2-0 0-2-0



EAST DIVISION



RK TEAM GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV


1 Toronto 6 4 2 0 8 148 140 1-2-0 3-0-0 2-2-0


2 Ottawa 6 3 2 1 7 178 149 0-1-1 3-1-0 2-1-0


3 Hamilton 5 3 2 0 6 137 114 0-2-0 3-0-0 2-0-0


4 Montreal 5 2 3 0 4 100 106 1-2-0 1-1-0 0-3-0




y - Clinched Division
x - Clinched Playoff Berth
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,835
Messages
13,573,882
Members
100,876
Latest member
kiemt5385
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com