Cnotes 2015 National Basketbaqll Association Playoff Thread News, Notes, Trends, Etc.

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Tuesday, April 28

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Game of the Day: Tuesday's NBA Playoffs matchups
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Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets (-7, 222)

Rockets lead series 3-1

Raymond Felton got the first chance to start in place of Rondo at the point in Game 3 but Carlisle decided to go with more energy in Game 4 and pushed Barea into the first unit. The veteran responded with 17 points and 13 assists in 36 minutes. “I'm trying to push it every time," Barea told reporters. “I'm trying to be aggressive and my teammates, people around me are ballin'. I'm just trying to attack and do my job. If I do my job and I create problems for their defense, then I think everybody else plays a lot looser and more open.”

Houston missed 17 straight shots in a 10-minute span that bridged the half and never recovered in Game 4. “We got slow offensively, the ball stuck,” Rockets coach Kevin McHale told reporters. “We didn’t do very well for that stretch. All that being said, it was our offensive rebounding and our lack of being able to contain the ball that ended up beating us. Our offense sucked for a while. That was a fatal blow, more of our effort overall I think.” MVP candidate James Harden went 1-of-7 from 3-point range in the loss while handing out a series-low five assists.

LINE HISTORY: The Rockets opened as 6-point favorites, while the total opened at 222.

TRENDS:

* Over is 8-1 in Rockets last nine home games.
* Mavericks are 0-4 ATS in the last four meetings in Houston.
* Rockets are 7-1 ATS in their last eight Conference Quarterfinals games.
* Over is 9-1 in Mavericks last 10 vs. Western Conference.


San Antonio Spurs at Los Angeles Clippers (-2, 205)

Series tied 2-2

Coach Gregg Popovich was highly disappointed with his club’s Game 4 performance, particularly when you factor in the important of the game. “In general, we lacked a lot of discipline,” Popovich told reporters. “We didn’t execute sharply enough in what we wanted to do strategy-wise or just in general basketball play. I’m just more disappointed in the lack of focus than anything else, and not being as sharp in a lot of situations.” Small forward Kahwi Leonard continued his strong play with 26 points, seven rebounds and five assists and is averaging 24.8 points in the series.

Though Chris Paul had a huge game and power forward Blake Griffin stood out with 20 points and 19 rebounds, backup guard Austin Rivers might have provided the biggest impact with 16 points on 7-of-8 shooting. Rivers has been much-maligned throughout his three-year NBA career and the criticism has increased since he joined the club coached by father Doc Rivers. “This is something I know I can do,” Rivers told reporters. “It wasn’t a surprise for me. Obviously it is to you guys but I’ve been working so hard and this team has been working so hard.”

LINE HISTORY: The Clippers opened as 2-point home faves while the total opened at 205.

TRENDS:

* Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.
* Spurs are 2-5 ATS in their last seven vs. Western Conference.
* Clippers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games.
* Clippers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games following a S.U. win.
 

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NBA

Tuesday, April 28


NBA roundup: Nets even series with Hawks

NEW YORK -- Rookie guard Bojan Bogdanovic hit the go-ahead 3-pointer with 85 seconds left in overtime, and the Brooklyn Nets evened their Eastern Conference quarterfinal series with a 120-115 victory over the Atlanta Hawks on Monday.

The best-of-seven series is tied at two games apiece heading to Game 5 on Wednesday in Atlanta. The Washington Wizards, who swept their first-round series against the Toronto Raptors, await the Hawks-Nets winner.

Point guard Deron Williams led the Nets with 35 points. He shot 13-for-25 from the floor overall, and he added seven assists and five rebounds. Williams made seven 3 pointers, three of them in the fourth quarter when the Nets rallied from an eight-point deficit.

Forward DeMarre Carroll and guard Jeff Teague led Atlanta with 20 points apiece.

Bucks 94, Bulls 88

CHICAGO -- Guard Michael Carter-Williams compiled 22 points, nine assists and eight rebounds, and Milwaukee held on for a win against Chicago. The Bucks staved off elimination and trimmed their deficit to 3-2 in the best-of-seven, Eastern Conference first-round series.

Forward Pau Gasol scored 25 points and grabbed 10 rebounds to lead the Bulls. Guard Jimmy Butler added 20 points and 10 rebounds for Chicago, which trailed for the entire second half.

The Bulls narrowed the deficit to 86-83 with 4:45 remaining in the fourth quarter after back-to-back jump shots by guard Derrick Rose and Gasol. Milwaukee responded with a jump shot by Carter-Williams and a slam dunk by forward John Henson to re-establish a seven-point lead.

Milwaukee guard Khris Middleton contributed 21 points.

Trail Blazers 99, Grizzlies 92

PORTLAND, Ore. -- Guard Damian Lillard scored 32 points, and Portland rallied from a 10-point, fourth-quarter deficit to defeat Memphis and stay alive.

The Trail Blazers outscored the Grizzlies 29-12 over the final 8 1/2 minutes to cut their deficit in the best-of-seven, Western Conference first-round playoff series to 3-1. Memphis will again look to close out Portland in Game 5 on Wednesday night in Tennessee.

Forward LaMarcus Aldridge scored 18 points and grabbed 12 rebounds, guard C.J. McCollum had 18 points, forward Meyers Leonard collected 13 points and 13 rebounds, and forward Nicolas Batum contributed 12 points and 13 rebounds for the Blazers.

Center Marc Gasol had 21 points, seven rebounds and six assists, for the Grizzlies while Courtney Lee scored 19 points.
 

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Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Six of the more interesting first round matches in the golf tournament today:

-- Justin Rose (-$240) vs Marc Leishman-- Rose is off win in New Orleans.

-- Jason Day (-$200) vs Charley Hoffman-- Day is 14-3 in this event.

-- Jordan Spieth (-$325) vs Mikko Ilonen-- Ilonen got in when Lefty withdrew.

-- Rory McIlroy (-$260) vs Jason Dufner-- Tough first round match, no?

-- Bubba Watson (-$210) vs M.A Jimenez-- Interesting pair of characters here.

-- Henrik Stenson (-$240) vs John Senden- Stenson has won this event.

**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Random mid-week stuff.......

13) Another baseball game was cancelled at Camden Yards Tuesday due to the rioting/curfew in Baltimore. Wednesday's game is at 2pm and will be the first big league game ever played with no fans.

Baltimore's weekend series against Tampa Bay has been moved to the Trop; the Orioles will be the "home team" for those games.

12) Rockets 103, Mavericks 94-- Houston advances to second round for first time since 2009. Enjoyed listening to Chris Webber on this game, talking about how improved foul shooting is the product of one thing-- good practice.

11) Spurs 111, Clippers 107-- Speaking of which, DeAndre Jordan was 7-16 on the foul line and this led directly to San Antonio grabbing a 3-2 series lead. Asked a few people who coached last night if they would foul on purpose if they were in Spurs' shoes- when million$ of dollar$ are at $take, the an$wer i$ ye$. You find an opponents' weakness, you exploit it.

10) Match Play tournament starts today; since 1999, the average seed of the winner has been 19.6; Brooks Koepka is #19, Kevin Na #20.

9) Blue Jays 11, Red Sox 8-- Boston allowed 34 runs in its last three games, as the price tag for Hamels/Kazmir, even Bud Norris keeps going up. Boston's five starting pitchers have an ERA of over 6.00, worst in major leagues.

8) Speaking of which, Masahiro Tanaka is on the DL, as trends point to him needing Tommy John surgery. Forearm strains are often a precursor to issues with the UCL, which is what just sidelined Brandon McCarthy for the season.

7) Senator from Vermont named Bernie Sanders is running for President; never heard of the guy, but at first glance, he looks like Verne Lundquist.

6) John Daly turned 49 years old this week, which means that a year from now, the Senior Tour is going to get a big boost, if Daly chooses to play there.

5) Bo Jackson is 51 years old, has an artificial hip; he won a long drive contest at a charity golf tournament this week, hitting a golf ball 331 yards. You never hear about him anymore, which means he has a good life. Good for him.

4) Nationals 13, Braves 12-- Atlanta led 10-2 after the 4th inning; Washington has been playing terrible baseball. Teams combined to allow nine unearned runs in this game. The NL East is wide open for the Mets to win, especially is the Nationals keep playing this sloppily.

3) When the NBA holds its draft in June, shouldn't the D-league draft be immediately after it, starting at midnight and shown on the NBA Network? It would be obvious to everyone then what kids got bad advice and maybe more kids would stay in school instead of coming out when they should not.

2) My point is this-- there are 30 NBA teams, it is a two-round draft, so that is sixty selections. 48 college players, 43 international kids applied for this year's draft- thats not counting the college seniors. It just does not add up-- lot of kids could still be in college, getting better-- college teams practice more.

1) Since Kevin Durant helped get Scott Brooks fired, I hope he at least got Brooks' cellphone bill reduced, the way he does on that TV commercial.
 

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Dunkel

Wednesday, April 29


Brooklyn Nets @ Atlanta Hawks

Game 523-524
April 29, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn Nets
117.491
Atlanta Hawks
120.744
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta Hawks
by 3 1/2
193
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta Hawks
by 9
200
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn Nets
(+9); Under

Portland Trail Blazers @ Memphis Grizzlies

Game 527-528
April 29, 2015 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland Trail Bl
117.175
Memphis Grizzlies
125.373
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis Grizzlies
by 8
184
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis Grizzlies
by 5 1/2
190
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis Grizzlies
(-5 1/2); Under




NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, April 28

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BROOKLYN (40 - 46) at ATLANTA (62 - 24) - 4/29/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 49-34 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
ATLANTA is 26-17 ATS (+7.3 Units) in home games this season.
ATLANTA is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
BROOKLYN is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 8-7 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 9-6 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (52 - 34) at MEMPHIS (58 - 28) - 4/29/2015, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 26-42 ATS (-20.2 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MEMPHIS is 88-68 ATS (+13.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 11-4 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 12-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, April 29

Home side won all four Brooklyn-Atlanta games in this series, as Nets lost Games 1-2 here by 7-5 points. Hawks made 22 of 61 from arc, 35-41 on line in pair of home wins, but were 19-63 from arc, 23-32 on line in Game 3-4 losses. Brooklyn lost last four road games- their last road win was April 1 at the Knicks. Johnson is just 22-66 in series; Hawks are doing good job on him. Atlanta won seven of last eight at home, with only loss to those same Knicks.

Memphis PG Conley (facial fractures) is out for rest of series; Griz took 43 foul shots in Game 3, only 14 in Game 4- it was first time in series they didn't have double digit lead at half. Grizzlies won 12 of their last 14 games with Portland, covering 11 of last 13. Portland shot 33.7%/39% from floor in losses by 14-15 in Games 1-2 in this arena- they've forced only six turnovers a game in this series. Even with Conley out, Memphis turned ball over eight times in Game 4.

Home favorites are 13-13 in this round, home dogs are 5-4; home teams are 22-13 SU-- over is 15-20.

2015 playoffs
Brooklyn vs Atlanta
Atl 99-92, -10, U201.5
Atl 96-91, -9.5, U202
Brook 91-83, +3.5, U199
Brook 120-115 OT, +5, O198

Boston vs Cleveland
Clev 113-100, -11.5, O203
Clev 99-91, -11, U206
Clev 103-95, -4, U204
Clev 101-93, -6.5, U201.5
Cavaliers won series, 4-0

Milwaukee vs Chicago
Chi 103-91, -8, O186
Chi 91-82, -8, U190.5
Chi 113-106, 2OT, -2.5, O187
Mil 92-90, +4, U190
Mil 94-88, +8, U189

Washington vs Toronto
Wash 93-86 OT, +4, U194.5
Wash 117-106, +5, O193.5
Wash 106-99, -4.5, O195.5
Wash 125-94, -6.5, O197.5
Wizards win series, 4-0

New Orleans vs Golden State
GSt 106-99, -12, U205
GSt 97-87, -13, U206.5
GSt 123-119 OT, -5, O203
GSt 109-98, -6.5, U208
Warriors win series, 4-0

Dallas vs Houston
Hst 118-108, -5.5, O212.5
Hst 111-99, -6.5, U214
Hst 130-128, +1, O214.5
Dal 121-109, +3, O218.5
Hst 103-94, -8, U221.5
Rockets win series, 4-1

San Antonio vs LA Clippers
LAC 107-92, -1.5, U207
SA 111-107 OT, +1.5, O207.5
SA 100-73, -5, U203.5
LAC 114-105, +6, O202.5
SA 111-107, +2.5, O203

Portland vs Memphis
Mem 100-86, -5.5, U188.5
Mem 97-82, -6, U189
Mem 115-109, +3.5, O189
Port 99-92, -4, U193

East vs West
SU: West 242-177 ATS: West 214-202-3
East teams HF vs West: 56-57
East teams HU vs West: 46-52
West teams HF vs East: 81-79-3
West teams HU vs East: 24-2




NBA

Wednesday, April 29

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games on the road
Brooklyn is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Atlanta is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Brooklyn

9:30 PM
PORTLAND vs. MEMPHIS
Portland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Portland's last 9 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Memphis's last 9 games when playing at home against Portland
 

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1st Round Series Odds


April 29, 2015




Home Team listed first - Best of 7 Games (2-2-1-1-1)
(Opening Odds in parentheses)


Eastern Conference - First Round


Atlanta vs. Brooklyn (Series tied 2-2)
Hawks (-1200) -550
Nets (+750) +400


Cleveland vs. Boston (Cavaliers win series 4-0)
Cavaliers (-5000)
Celtics (+1800)


Chicago vs. Milwaukee (Bulls lead 3-2)
Bulls (-750) OFF
Bucks (+500) OFF


Toronto vs. Washington (Wizards win series 4-0)
Raptors (-200)
Wizards (+165)


Western Conference - First Round


Golden State vs. New Orleans (Warriors win series 4-0)
Warriors (-6000)
Pelicans (+2000)


Houston vs. Dallas (Rockets win series 4-0)
Rockets (-380)
Mavericks (+300)


L.A. Clippers vs. San Antonio (Spurs lead 3-2)
Clippers (+165) OFF
Spurs (-190) OFF


Memphis vs. Portland (Grizzlies lead 3-1)
Grizzlies (-215) OFF
Trail Blazers (+180) OFF
 

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