Cnotes 2015 National Basketbaqll Association Playoff Thread News, Notes, Trends, Etc.

[CNOTES]

NBA

Saturday, April 25


Grizzlies are on fire ATS vs. Trail Blazers

The Memphis Grizzlies head west to Portland for Game 3 of their first-round series on Saturday carrying a 2-0 series lead.

History is showing that the Grizz have simply been too much for the Blazers both on the court and at the betting window. The Grizzlies are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 contests against Portland.

The Trail Blazers are presently listed as 3-point underdogs with a total of 188.5.


Warriors have become a bad bet all of a sudden

It's been six straight games since the Golden State Warriors covered the spread, a trend Dubs bettors will hope reverses itself Saturday in New Orleans.

The Warriors, who hold a 3-0 lead in their first-round series over the Pelicans, have been tabbed as 7-point road favorites for the clash.

The total was sitting at 205 as of this writing.



NBA roundup: Rockets, Wizards grab 3-0 series leads

DALLAS -- James Harden scored a career-playoff-high 42 points and the Houston Rockets withstood Dallas' desperate punch to beat the Mavericks 130-128 and take a 3-0 lead in the Western Conference playoff series Friday night.

Houston trailed by 13 in the first half before storming back behind Harden, an MVP candidate shooting guard who scored 16 points in third quarter and knocked down a jumper with 13 seconds left that helped nail down the win. Center Dwight Howard had a playoff career-best 26 rebounds and scored 13 points.

The Mavericks had their chances in the final minute. Power forward Dirk Nowitzki (34 points) drilled three free throws with 34 seconds remaining to pull Dallas within 127-126. Harden followed with his final basket before Mavs shooting guard Monta Ellis banked in a driving layup to make it a one-point game again.

Rockets guard Corey Brewer (15 points) made one of two free throws, giving Dallas one last shot. Ellis, however, couldn't add to the highest-scoring game of his playoff career as he missed a jumper from the top of the key as time expired. Ellis finished with 34 points.

Wizards 106, Raptors 99

WASHINGTON -- Center Marcin Gortat scored 24 points and guard John Wall had 19 points and 15 assists as Washington opened a 3-0 lead in the best-of-seven playoff series.

Six Wizards scored in double figures, including forward Paul Pierce with 18 points on four 3-pointers. Pierce and Otto Porter fueled a decisive 10-2 run late in the fourth quarter and both forwards sank two 3-point shots inside the final 4:23. Pierce's final bomb with 16.9 seconds left came after the Raptors pulled to 102-99.

Toronto's DeMar DeRozan started 8 of 10 from the field and scored 20 of his 32 points in the first quarter. However, the shooting woes that plagued him and backcourt partner Kyle Lowry in Toronto returned. The Raptors shot 37.4 percent from the field.

Spurs 100, Clippers 73

SAN ANTONIO -- Kawhi Leonard was handed the NBA defensive player of the year award and then showed his versatility at both ends of the court, scoring a career-best 32 points and adding three steals as San Antonio took a 2-1 lead in the first-round playoff series.

Leonard, MVP of the 2014 NBA Finals after the Spurs' fifth title, had 13 points in the third quarter, outscoring the Clippers by two. He converted 13 of 18 shots from field, including three 3-pointers.

The Clippers shot just 34.1 percent from the floor while suffering their worst-ever playoff defeat. Forward Blake Griffin and guard Chris Paul scored 14 and 10 points, respectively.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, April 25

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (62 - 22) at BROOKLYN (38 - 46) - 4/25/2015, 3:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) in road games in all playoff games since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 54-37 ATS (+13.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 49-32 ATS (+13.8 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
ATLANTA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points this season.
BROOKLYN is 56-81 ATS (-33.1 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 7-6 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 9-4 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (53 - 32) at MILWAUKEE (41 - 44) - 4/25/2015, 5:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 45-37 ATS (+4.3 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 136-102 ATS (+23.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 50-72 ATS (-29.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 182-225 ATS (-65.5 Units) after a division game since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 30-46 ATS (-20.6 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 46-65 ATS (-25.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 10-5 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 11-4 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (70 - 15) at NEW ORLEANS (45 - 40) - 4/25/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 48-35 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 25-16 ATS (+7.4 Units) in home games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 41-23 ATS (+15.7 Units) in home games in April games since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 97-69 ATS (+21.1 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) against Pacific division opponents this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 30-21 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 46-35 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 42-29 ATS (+10.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 33-24 ATS (+6.6 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 8-5 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 13-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (57 - 27) at PORTLAND (51 - 33) - 4/25/2015, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 45-29 ATS (+13.1 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MEMPHIS is 87-67 ATS (+13.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 25-41 ATS (-20.1 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 10-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 11-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, April 25


Atlanta Hawks @ Brooklyn Nets

Game 745-746
April 25, 2015 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta Hawks
123.130
Brooklyn Nets
115.885
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta Hawks
by 6 1/2
196
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta Hawks
by 2 1/2
201
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta Hawks
(-2 1/2); Under

Chicago Bulls @ Milwaukee Bucks

Game 747-748
April 25, 2015 @ 5:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Bulls
121.702
Milwaukee Bucks
123.877
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee Bucks
by 2
183
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Bulls
by 5
188 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee Bucks
(+5); Under

Golden State Warriors @ New Orleans Pelicans

Game 749-750
April 25, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State Warr
126.180
New Orleans Pelic
125.285
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State Warr
by 1
211
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State Warr
by 7 1/2
205 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans Pelic
(+7 1/2); Over

Memphis Grizzlies @ Portland Trail Blazers

Game 751-752
April 25, 2015 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis Grizzlies
117.979
Portland Trail Bl
124.900
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland Trail Bl
by 7
193
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland Trail Bl
by 2 1/2
188 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland Trail Bl
(-2 1/2); Over

 

[CNOTES]

Sunday's Early Tips


April 26, 2015


Sunday's Late Tips


The NBA Playoffs continue Sunday afternoon with a nationally televised double-header as Cleveland looks to sweep Boston before the Clippers and Spurs meet in a crucial game in their Western Conference series.


Playoffs Betting Results


Cleveland at Boston (ABC, 1:00 p.m. ET)


The Cavaliers have jumped out to a 3-0 lead in their best-of-seven series against the Celtics and for all intent purposes, this matchup is over. One offshore sportsbook, 5Dimes.eu, is still giving Boston a shot to win the series but it’s a longshot. The Celtics are 30,000/1 underdogs (Bet $100 to win $30,000) to rip off four consecutive victories against the Cavaliers.


Oddsmakers aren’t expecting Boston to get one, installing Cleveland as a seven-point road favorite in Game 4.


VegasInsider.com NBA expert Kevin Rogers believes the Cavs are a decent look in this spot just based on betting tendencies.


He explained, “The Cavaliers have responded well as road favorites since early March, posting a solid 7-4 against the spread record, which includes their Game 3 win and cover at Boston. Meanwhile, the Celtics fell to 3-5 both straight up and against the spread in their last eight games at TD Garden, while owning a 1-6 both SU and ATS mark this season at home off a home loss.”


Cleveland definitely has the edge with the above trends but the key factor in this series is talent. The Cavaliers have won all five meaningful games against the Celtics this season and even though Boston has been somewhat competitive in this series, it’s never been a major threat.


Rogers believes Boston has one legit player and he needs to step up on Sunday. “Boston has struggled from three-point range in this series (19 of 63), as the Celtics need a strong effort from Isaiah Thomas if they have any shot at extending this series, scoring just five points in the Game 3 loss,” said Rogers.


The Cavaliers haven’t been much better, shooting just 36 percent as a team, but their best sharpshooters in Kevin Love (10-of-19) and Kyrie Irving (10-of-20) have both lit up Boston from 3-point land.


In Saturday’s NBA Playoffs, bettors had two teams in Milwaukee and New Orleans looking to avoid sweeps on their homecourts. The Bucks nipped the Bulls but the Pelicans fell short to the Warriors.


The ‘under’ has cashed in two of the first three meetings in this series and Sunday’s total opened 203 ½ and has dropped to 202 ½, which is the lowest number thus far.


If necessary, the two teams will meet in Game 5 at Quicken Loans Arena on Tuesday from Cleveland.


L.A. Clippers at San Antonio (ABC, 3:30 p.m. ET)


It’s often been said that bad losses tend to linger in the postseason and that was the case on Friday. After losing Game 2 at home in overtime 111-107 last Wednesday to the Spurs, the Clippers followed up that setback with a complete dud.


San Antonio dominated Los Angeles 100-73 as a five-point home favorite in Game 3. The 27-point margin was the largest in this year’s postseason and the 73 points posted by the Clippers was also the worst offensive effort and a franchise record low for points scored in a playoff game.


I’m one of the so-called pundits that believed Los Angeles could win this series but Chris Paul, Blake Griffin and the rest of the team are living up to their billing as a “soft” team.


VI’s Kevin Rogers wasn’t surprised by the outcome on Friday in Game 3. He said, “Following Friday’s loss, the Clippers dropped to 3-12 in their last 15 road playoff games, with nine of those losses coming by double-digits. To make matters worse for Los Angeles, the Clippers have covered just five of their previous 21 postseason contests since 2013, while losing six of eight playoff contests since beating the Thunder in the second round opener last season. “


Including the loss in Game 3, San Antonio has won 18 of its last 21 home meetings against the Clippers and it’s listed as a six-point favorite at home in Game 4.


Can the Clippers steal a win and even up the series? Rogers answered, “Since blowing a late lead to Cleveland in an early March setback, the Spurs have won 10 straight games at the AT&T Center, with all 10 victories coming by double-digits. Nobody has come close to beating them at home recently and the effort from the Clippers in Game 3 doesn’t provide much confidence.”


Los Angeles All-Star point guard Chris Paul struggled in Game 3 with seven points after putting up a combined 53 in the first two games. It’s rare to see him play poorly in back-to-back spots and he appears to be ready to go after losing Game 3. "We beat them Game 1, they beat us Game 2," Paul said. "They came out, did what we did in Game 1 against us here. Now we've got to show some resolve."


Most would also expect Paul to exploit the Spurs’ Tony Parker, who is playing injured and its showing. He hasn’t logged over 30 minutes in any game and he’s shooting 25 percent (7-of-28) with just nine assists in the series. If the Clippers can’t beat the Spurs with a banged-up Parker, then you wonder who could they get past in the Western Conference.


The ‘under’ has gone 2-1 in the series and could be 3-0 if Game 2 didn’t go to overtime. Books sent out an opener of 202 for Game 4 and that number has been bet down to 199 ½ at some betting shops.


For those believing the Clippers will knot the series at 2-2 on Sunday, you might want to check out the adjusted series prices at Sportsbook.ag where Los Angeles is a plus-330 (Bet $100 to win $330) underdog to win the best-of-seven series.


Game 5 will take place on Tuesday from the Staples Center in Los Angeles.

 

[CNOTES]

Warriors confident after sweep of Pelicans


NEW ORLEANS (AP) - Golden State coach Steve Kerr dead-panned that he'd be relaxing on the beaches of Cabo San Lucas while waiting to find out who would be the Warriors' second-round playoff opponent.


''I'll be in Cabo all week. I told the guys just to get some work in if they want,'' Kerr said, unable to stop himself from smiling before he got to the end of the sentence.


Among those who won't be laughing is the Warriors' next opponent, which will have to figure out how to stop Stephen Curry and Co. from scoring in bunches, as they did in their convincing four-game sweep of burgeoning young All-Star Anthony Davis and the upstart New Orleans Pelicans.


Now Golden State awaits the winner of the Memphis-Portland matchup. Memphis leads the series 3-0.


On Saturday night, the Warriors came through with their most complete performance of the first-round, building a 13-point lead at halftime, widening it to 24 late in the third quarter and squelching the Pelicans' desperate, last-gasp bid in the fourth quarter, 109-98.


Curry scored against anyone the Pelicans sent out to guard him, including 6-foot-10 Anthony Davis, in the clinching game. He also hit 6 of 8 3s he put up to finish with 39 points.


When he wasn't scoring, he had plenty of help from Klay Thompson and Draymond Green.


Curry averaged 33.8 points during the series, while Thompson averaged 25 points and Green, 15.8.


''You play great defense and all of a sudden it looks like they're throwing up a shot, but it goes in,'' Davis said. ''It's tough. Hats off to them. They made incredible shots through the course of the series. We tried our best to stay attached to them, but they did a great job. Some of it was us and some of it was them hitting tough shots.''


Meanwhile, Andrew Bogut made it hard on any Pelican player trying to score inside, blocking eight shots in the series and altering many more.


''They're built to win a championship. They're probably the most complete team that we faced, them and San Antonio,'' Pelicans coach Monty Williams said. ''I had to watch games that they lost just to see what teams did against them because you just don't see it when they're winning games. You're like, `Where's the weakness?' So to me, they just don't have many weaknesses, if any. Obviously they're well coached and they have great players.''


While the Pelicans narrowly made the playoffs as the Western Conference's eighth seed, they appeared to improve through the season, winning eight of their last 11 high-pressure games to pass Oklahoma City for the conference's final playoff spot.


Jrue Holiday, who had missed three months with a lower right leg injury, got healthy enough to play about 15 or so minutes per game just before the playoffs began, adding a boost to a team that already was already getting double-digit scoring from Davis, Tyreke Evans, Eric Gordon and Ryan Anderson.


Meanwhile, 7-footer Omer Asik was averaging nearly 10 rebounds as he helped Davis protect the paint.


Yet the Warriors were in control for most of the series. The exception was Game 3, when they trailed by 20 entering the fourth quarter - on the road - yet still found a way to tie it at the end of regulation and win in overtime.


If there was a character-defining moment for the Warriors in their first-round series, that was it, and they celebrated as if it was a clinching triumph. For practical purposes, it may well have been as no NBA team has ever overcome a 3-0 playoff series hole.


''We still have a long way to go to accomplish what we want to do,'' Thompson said. ''We've had a bull's eye on our back the whole year, but that makes it more fun. If you want to be great, you have to have high expectations. ... We've still got guys who really want to go deep in the postseason, including myself, who haven't had that experience yet.''


The Warriors foresee tougher challenges ahead, but appear confident they'll improve on last season's second-round exit.


''If we just keep our composure to start games, especially on the road, we'll be fine,'' Curry said. ''Our defense is what it is; it's carried us all season, and that will be there for us. But, offensively, if we just stick to who we are, moving the basketball, looking for the best shot every possession, our talent will shine across the board and we'll be in good shape.''

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, April 26

Lebron James is 40-7 in first round games in his career; Cleveland won nine of last 11 games overall, covering three of its last nine; they were 32-88 on ar in first three wins, as Irving was on court for 120 minutes, James 126- they get lot of rest if they win this game and end series. Boston covered nine of its last 12 games overall; they had only 25 fast break points in first three games, were -20 on the boards.

Gortat was huge in Game 3, with 24 points, 13 boards, four blocks, as Wizards took 3-0 series edge; NBA teams with 3-0 series edge are 111-0 in those series. Toronto has only 25 fast break points in two games. Raptors won four of last seven road games. Five of their last eight Toronto games stayed under total. Wizards won five of last six at home. Toronto bench is -85 in last two games.

Houston won seven of last eight games with Dallas; five of last seven series games stayed under total. Rockets won nine of last eleven overall; seven of their last nine games went over. Dallas is 4-4 in its last eight games; 10 of its last 12 went over. Both teams shot 50%+ in Game 3, as defense took night off; Dallas had 72 at the half and still lost- they had 33 fast break points, most by any team in playoffs so far.

Whatever Clippers have left in tank, would expect best effort here after they got bamboozled in Game 3. Defending champ Spurs are 12-2 in last 14 first round series, 3-1 in years after they won a title. Clippers had won seven in row before losing Games 2-3; they got eviscerated Friday, losing by 27 and it wasn't that close. Spurs won 13 of last 15 games; five of their subs played 15+ minutes in Game 3, thats how stress-free the game was.

Home favorites are 10-10 in this round, home dogs are 3-3; home teams are 17-9 SU-- over is 10-16.

2015 playoffs
Brooklyn vs Atlanta
Atl 99-92, -10, U201.5
Atl 96-91, -9.5, U202
Brook 91-83, +3.5, U199

Boston vs Cleveland
Clev 113-100, -11.5, O203
Clev 99-91, -11, U206
Clev 103-95, -4, U204

Milwaukee vs Chicago
Chi 103-91, -8, O186
Chi 91-82, -8, U190.5
Chi 113-106, 2OT, -2.5, O187
Mil 92-90, +4, U190

Washington vs Toronto
Wash 93-86 OT, +4, U194.5
Wash 117-106, +5, O193.5
Wash 106-99, -4.5, O195.5

New Orleans vs Golden State
GSt 106-99, -12, U205
GSt 97-87, -13, U206.5
GSt 123-119 OT, -5, O203
GSt 109-98, -6.5, U208
Warriors win series, 4-0

Dallas vs Houston
Hst 118-108, -5.5, O212.5
Hst 111-99, -6.5, U214
Hst 130-128, +1, O214.5

San Antonio vs LA Clippers
LAC 107-92, -1.5, U207
SA 111-107 OT, +1.5, O207.5
SA 100-73, -5, U203.5

Portland vs Memphis
Mem 100-86, -5.5, U188.5
Mem 97-82, -6, U189
Mem 115-109, +3.5, O189

East vs West
SU: West 242-177 ATS: West 214-202-3
East teams HF vs West: 56-57
East teams HU vs West: 46-52
West teams HF vs East: 81-79-3
West teams HU vs East: 24-21




NBA

Sunday, April 26

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Trend Report
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1:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. BOSTON
Cleveland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Boston
Boston is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Boston is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games at home

3:30 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. SAN ANTONIO
LA Clippers are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of the LA Clippers last 12 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
San Antonio is 17-8 SU in their last 25 games when playing LA Clippers

6:30 PM
TORONTO vs. WASHINGTON
Toronto is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto

9:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. DALLAS
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Dallas's last 11 games at home
Dallas is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Sunday, April 26

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the Day: Sunday's NBA Playoffs matchups
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Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics (+7, 203)
Cavaliers lead series 3-0

The scrappy Boston Celtics are giving it they’re all, but the Cleveland Cavaliers might just be too much for them to handle. The Cavaliers will try to wrap up a four-game sweep in the Eastern Conference series when they visit the Celtics on Sunday.

Cleveland star LeBron James has increased his scoring and rebounding in each of the first three games, up to 31 points and 11 boards in Game 3. “LeBron’s leadership is obviously a huge factor, because he’s the guy that not only guys follow but they feel him, they sense him,” Cavaliers coach David Blatt told reporters, “and his control in these games has been outstanding both in terms of seizing the moment, but also talking guys through situations.” Boston is trying to make history as the first NBA team ever to come back from a 3-0 deficit in a best-of-seven series. “You have a game Sunday,” Celtics coach Brad Stevens told reporters. “You prepare for the game. Play to the best of your ability.”

TRENDS:

*Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
*Celtics are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 home games.
*Under is 5-0 in Cavaliers last 5 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
*Under is 9-2 in Celtics last 11 Conference Quarterfinals games.


Los Angeles Clippers at San Antonio Spurs (-6, 200)
Spurs lead series 2-1

Kawhi Leonard and the sixth-seeded San Antonio Spurs annihilated Los Angeles to take the series lead and attempt to stretch it to a 3-1 advantage when they host the Clippers on Sunday in the Western Conference first-round series. Leonard scored a career-best 32 points in Friday’s Game 3 as the Spurs rolled to a 100-73 dismantling of third-seeded Los Angeles.

Leonard was awarded his NBA Defensive Player of the Year trophy prior to the game and then went on an offensive splurge by making 13-of-18 shots. “He can put on a show like that in a situation like this,” power forward Tim Duncan told reporters. “It’s not only great for us but it’s impressive to watch.” The Clippers will be focused on improvement and evening up a series that started out well when they won Game 1 before the Spurs rebounded. “I just know we got our butts kicked,” Los Angeles coach Doc Rivers told reporters after the worst playoff defeat in franchise history. “They played terrific basketball and we didn’t.”

TRENDS:

*Clippers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
*Spurs are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games.
*Over is 6-1 in Clippers last 7 games after scoring less than 75 points in their previous game.
*Under is 8-2 in Spurs last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.


Toronto Raptors at Washington Wizards (-5.5, 197.5)
Wizards lead series 3-0

Paul Pierce and the fifth-seeded Washington Wizards look to finish off the visiting Toronto Raptors when Game 4 of the Eastern Conference first-round series commences on Sunday. No NBA team has recovered from a 3-0 deficit in a playoff series so fourth-seeded Toronto faces a monumental task.

Pierce tossed verbal intimidation at the Raptors prior to the series and has been tormenting them on the court during it. The veteran forward scored 11 of his 18 points in the fourth quarter of Game 3 as Washington recorded a 106-99 victory. The Toronto players are having a hard time with the notion of now having to win four straight games but coach Dwane Casey insists his squad won’t be rolling over. “We’re still on life support. It’s not over yet,” Casey told reporters. “There’s no ‘give-up’ on this team.”

TRENDS:

*Raptors are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 Conference Quarterfinals games.
*Wizards are 8-1-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
*Over is 4-0 in Raptors last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
*Over is 9-2 in Wizards last 11 home games.


Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks (+2.5, 220)
Rockets lead series 3-0

The Houston Rockets are bullying their way to the Western Conference semifinals, at least according to the Dallas Mavericks. The Rockets have been the more physical team in the first three games will try to wrap up a four-game sweep when they visit the Mavericks for Game 4 on Sunday.

Houston and Dallas were each whistled for 28 personal fouls in Game 3, but Mavericks coach Rick Carlisle felt there could have been more on the visitors. “Look, referees miss calls, but there's just a lot of physical stuff going on out there that just doesn't look kosher to me,” Carlisle told reporters. “They're a more physical team, but this series has got to be played within the rules.” Carlisle called out Rockets center Dwight Howard, who grabbed a postseason career-high 26 rebounds, in particular after the contest. “It's a long series, and my job is to be dominant in the paint and just do my best,” Howard told reporters in response. “I don't think about it when I'm out there. I just go out there and play.”

TRENDS:

*Rockets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference.
*Mavericks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
*Over is 7-1 in Rockets last 8 vs. Western Conference.
*Over is 8-1 in Mavericks last 9 overall.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Sunday, April 26


NBA roundup: Nets beat Hawks; series now at 2-1

NEW YORK -- Center Brook Lopez scored 22 points and the Brooklyn Nets pulled away early in the fourth quarter for a 91-83 victory over the Atlanta Hawks in Game 3 of their first-round series on Saturday afternoon.

Rookie forward Bojan Bogdanovic added 19 points and forward Thaddeus Young, who apologized to teammates for having subpar games in Atlanta, added 18.

Six of Young's points came late in the third quarter, when he started Brooklyn's decisive 18-0 run that ensured Monday would not be an elimination game. Atlanta leads the best-of-seven series 2-1.

Bucks 92, Bulls 90

MILWAUKEE -- Jerryd Bayless hit a wide open layup as time expired, and Milwaukee staved off elimination with a victory over Chicago at the BMO Harris Bradley Center.

Shooting guard O.J. Mayo gave the Bucks a nine-point lead, sinking a long 3-pointer as the shot clock expired with 3:01 left. Jimmy Butler and Pau Gasol rallied the Bulls and the game was tied in the closing seconds when Chicago star Derrick Rose was stripped of the ball.

After a Bucks' timeout, Khris Middleton inbounded to Bayless, whose layup went through the net as time expired.

Warriors 109, Pelicans 98

NEW ORLEANS -- Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson and Draymond Green combined for 86 points to power Golden State to a first-round playoff sweep over New Orleans at the Smoothie King Center.

After hitting the miracle 3-pointer from the left corner to pave the way for a dramatic victory over the Pelicans on Thursday, Curry scored 27 of his game-high 39 points in the first three quarter as the Warriors built an 88-67 lead.

Thompson scored 25 points and Green added 22 points and 10 rebounds for the Warriors, who advanced to play the winner of the Memphis-Portland series in the second round.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, April 26

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (56 - 29) at BOSTON (40 - 45) - 4/26/2015, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 49-35 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
BOSTON is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) second half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 33-22 ATS (+8.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
BOSTON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 7-7 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 7-7 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (57 - 28) at SAN ANTONIO (57 - 28) - 4/26/2015, 3:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 7-7 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 8-6 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (49 - 36) at WASHINGTON (49 - 36) - 4/26/2015, 6:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 37-47 ATS (-14.7 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) second half of the season this season.
TORONTO is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TORONTO is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
WASHINGTON is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in April games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 37-45 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 35-48 ATS (-17.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) on Sunday games this season.
WASHINGTON is 19-28 ATS (-11.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 7-7 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 8-6 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (59 - 26) at DALLAS (50 - 35) - 4/26/2015, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 51-33 ATS (+14.7 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
HOUSTON is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
HOUSTON is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) second half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 115-74 ATS (+33.6 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
HOUSTON is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 32-23 ATS (+6.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
DALLAS is 34-47 ATS (-17.7 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
DALLAS is 15-24 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games this season.
DALLAS is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
DALLAS is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after a division game this season.
DALLAS is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
DALLAS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more this season.
DALLAS is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DALLAS is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
DALLAS is 19-28 ATS (-11.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
DALLAS is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
DALLAS is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
DALLAS is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 9-6 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 9-6 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, April 26


Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics

Game 501-502
April 26, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland Cavalie
125.250
Boston Celtics
124.446
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland Cavalie
by 1
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland Cavalie
by 7 1/2
202 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston Celtics
(+7 1/2); Over

Los Angeles Clippers @ San Antonio Spurs

Game 503-504
April 26, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles Clipp
127.430
San Antonio Spurs
131.721
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio Spurs
by 4 1/2
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio Spurs
by 6 1/2
200
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles Clipp
(+6 1/2); Over

Toronto Raptors @ Washington Wizards

Game 505-506
April 26, 2015 @ 6:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto Raptors
116.268
Washington Wizard
125.149
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington Wizard
by 9
185
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington Wizard
by 5 1/2
198
Dunkel Pick:
Washington Wizard
(-5 1/2); Under

Houston Rockets @ Dallas Mavericks

Game 507-508
April 26, 2015 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston Rockets
125.885
Dallas Mavericks
121.224
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston Rockets
by 4 1/2
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston Rockets
by 2 1/2
220
Dunkel Pick:
Houston Rockets
(-2 1/2); Under

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Sunday, April 26


Wizards' PG John Wall, probable Sunday

Wall is dealing with a shoulder injury but is expected to play in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals against the Raptors.


Celtics' PF Jared Sullinger, probable Sunday

Sullinger is dealing with a tailbone injury but is expected to play Sunday against the Cavaliers.


Cavaliers and Celtics have been playing to the under

The under is 5-1 in the last six meetings between the Cleveland Cavaliers and the Boston Celtics, and is 2-1 in the series.

The total for Sunday's Game 4 is the lowest the series has seen so far at 203.5.

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

-- Wizards 125, Raptors 94-- Gutless tank job by Toronto, which was favored to win series but got swept instead, not even bothering to compete in Game 4.

-- Clippers 114, Spurs 105-- Best series on paper has turned out that way.

-- Cavaliers 101, Celtics 93-- Love got hurt, JR Smith got tossed/suspended.

-- Minnesota 4, St Louis 1-- Wild faces Chicago in next round.

-- Montreal 2, Ottawa 0-- Senators had a terrific year, nonetheless.

-- Orioles 18, Red Sox 7-- Think Ben Cherington called Philly last night?

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend........

13) Kevin Love separated his shoulder Sunday, is expected to miss 2+ weeks, which is pretty much the entire next playoff series. JR Smith will be suspended for Game 1 of next series. Expensive win for Cleveland.

12) Mike Conley has multiple facial fractures, is out for the Grizzlies' game in Portland tonight; he flew back to Memphis over the weekend.

11) If I designed a golf course, there would be a lot of water on it, maybe small streams running parallel to the fairways. Sand traps look nice but are a waste of time. Water is intimidating, makes the course a lot harder.

10) Dodgers' Alex Guerrero has 13 RBI in 23 plate appearances; why doesn't he play more? Its not like they have Mike Schmidt at third base.

9) Dodgers put Yasiel Puig on the DL and replaced him with Andre Ethier, who makes $18M a year. Must be nice to have such well-paid subs.

8) Max Scherzer hurt his thumb batting yesterday, says he now favors using the DH. Adam Wainwright hurt his ankle/achilles batting Saturday, is probably out for the year. I'm against the DH; why can't pitchers be better at hitting?

7) Tampa Bay's Chris Archer allowed one earned run in his last four starts (26.2 IP). Rays get Matt Moore back from injury, they might be better than all of us thought this spring.

6) Bronx 6, Queens 4-- ESPN's Sunday night game was a defensive horror for the first few innings. Mets have to shore up their middle infield defense if they're going to be a serious postseason contender.

5) Curt Schilling brought up a great point last night; it takes 32-35 good major league players to make the playoffs. I remember in 2012, the A's got help from guys like Brandon Hicks (two walk-off HRs), George Kottaras, Seth Smith- they were in first place for one day that year. Fortunately, it was the last day.

Teams only have 25 guys on their active roster, but over the six-month season, all teams will have injuries and need replacements. The teams that compete for championships have solid depth, even in AAA.

4) Former Boston College basketball coach Al Skinner has resurfaced as the coach at Kennesaw State; within 2-3 years, he's going to scare the hell out of some big-name team in the first round of the NCAAs. He can recruit.

3) Indiana got very good news when Yogi Ferrell said he is coming back for his senior year; stuff like that gives a program positive momentum.

2) *********** has posted spreads for NFL games for Weeks 1-16; Oakland is not favored to win any of its games.

1) I love pro football, but good lord I'm sick of all this draft buildup; just wake me up when the draft starts Thursday night. There is too much media and they do way too much speculating. Just tell me what really happens.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, April 27

Chicago won eight of last ten games with Milwaukee (covered 8 of last 10)-- six of last eight games stayed under total. Chicago won six of its last seven games. Bucks only turned ball over 37 times in four games (+32)- they forced 28 turnovers in Game 4, but covered only one of last four road games. Six of their last nine games went over total. Bulls' bench was just 5-18 from floor in last game.

Hawks made 22 of 61 from arc, 35-41 on line in pair of home wins, but were 6-30 from arc, 13-17 on line in Game 3 loss. Nets had only 12 fast break points in first three series games, but they won eight of last ten home games. Johnson is just 17-50 in series; he'll have to do better. Hawks lost last three road games- their last road win was here by 3 on April 8. Brooklyn lost seven of last eight games with Atlanta overall.

Memphis PG Conley (facial fractures) is out for this game; Grizzlies were up 19-11-13 at half in three games- they won seven in row, 12 of its last 13 games with Portland, covering 11 of last 12. Portland was 11-27 from arc in Game 3 after being 14-46 in first two games, forcing only 19 turnovers in three games. Memphis sub Calathes played 27:00 without a turnover, playing PG with Conley hurt.

Home favorites are 11-11 in this round, home dogs are 4-4; home teams are 19-11 SU-- over is 13-17.

2015 playoffs
Brooklyn vs Atlanta
Atl 99-92, -10, U201.5
Atl 96-91, -9.5, U202
Brook 91-83, +3.5, U199

Boston vs Cleveland
Clev 113-100, -11.5, O203
Clev 99-91, -11, U206
Clev 103-95, -4, U204
Clev 101-93, -6.5, U201.5
Cavaliers won series, 4-0

Milwaukee vs Chicago
Chi 103-91, -8, O186
Chi 91-82, -8, U190.5
Chi 113-106, 2OT, -2.5, O187
Mil 92-90, +4, U190

Washington vs Toronto
Wash 93-86 OT, +4, U194.5
Wash 117-106, +5, O193.5
Wash 106-99, -4.5, O195.5
Wash 125-94, -6.5, O197.5
Wizards win series, 4-0

New Orleans vs Golden State
GSt 106-99, -12, U205
GSt 97-87, -13, U206.5
GSt 123-119 OT, -5, O203
GSt 109-98, -6.5, U208
Warriors win series, 4-0

Dallas vs Houston
Hst 118-108, -5.5, O212.5
Hst 111-99, -6.5, U214
Hst 130-128, +1, O214.5
Dal 121-109, +3, O218.5

San Antonio vs LA Clippers
LAC 107-92, -1.5, U207
SA 111-107 OT, +1.5, O207.5
SA 100-73, -5, U203.5
LAC 114-105, +6, O202.5

Portland vs Memphis
Mem 100-86, -5.5, U188.5
Mem 97-82, -6, U189
Mem 115-109, +3.5, O189

East vs West
SU: West 242-177 ATS: West 214-202-3
East teams HF vs West: 56-57
East teams HU vs West: 46-52
West teams HF vs East: 81-79-3
West teams HU vs East: 24-21




NBA

Monday, April 27

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. BROOKLYN
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 7 games
Brooklyn is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta

8:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. CHICAGO
Milwaukee is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Chicago
Milwaukee is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. PORTLAND
Memphis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Memphis's last 13 games
Portland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Portland's last 9 games at home

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Monday, April 27

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the Day: Monday's NBA Playoffs matchups
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Atlanta Hawks at Brooklyn Nets (+4, 195.5)
Hawks lead series 2-1

The Brooklyn Nets came out with a purpose in Game 3 and ensured that their first-round Eastern Conference series would make it to at least five games. The eighth-seeded Nets will try to even things up at two games apiece when they host the Atlanta Hawks in Game 4 on Monday.

Brooklyn leaned on Jarrett Jack and Brook Lopez to pull out Game 3 while turning up the pressure on the defensive end. “Just us playing at home,” Nets guard Joe Johnson told reporters. “It gives us extra motivation, that energy boost that we need. Guys really talking, communicating, moving on defense and switching - switching a lot.” The defensive effort keyed on stopping Atlanta sharpshooter Kyle Korver, who went 1-of-8 from the field. Korver missed all five of his 3-point attempts as the Hawks fell to Brooklyn for the first time in seven games this season.

TRENDS:

*Hawks are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
*Under is 4-0 in Nets last 4 overall.
*Under is 4-0 in Hawks last 4 overall.
*Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.


Milwaukee Bucks at Chicago Bulls (-8.5, 187.5)
Bulls lead series 3-1

The Chicago Bulls weren’t able to close the series on the first try and will attempt to do so on the second opportunity when they host the Milwaukee Bucks on Monday. Sixth-seeded Milwaukee salvaged Saturday’s Game 4 on Jerryd Bayless’ last-second basket to halt a nine-game playoff losing streak and keep the Eastern Conference first-round series going.

Bayless eluded the defense of Derrick Rose to haul in Jared Dudley’s stellar inbounds pass and score the winning hoop in a 92-90 victory over the third-seeded Bulls that ranked highly important to Milwaukee. “As a whole, we have a long ways to go,” Bucks coach Jason Kidd told reporters. “But I thought with this being a character game, the group in that locker room showed a lot of character by finding a way to get a win.” Rose has had a strong series but turned the ball over late and then apparently lost his focus with the game on the line. “When you give up a layup for the game-winner, it’s hard,” Rose told reporters. “But I’m happy that I have the teammates I have, the coaching staff I have. I really believe I’m built for this.”

TRENDS:

*Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
*Home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
*Bucks are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
*Over is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 road games.


Memphis Grizzlies at Portland Trail Blazers (-2, 193)
Grizzlies lead series 3-0


TRENDS:

*Grizzlies are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
*Grizzlies are 11-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
*Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
*Over is 7-2 in Grizzlies last 9 road games.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA


Monday, April 27




Mike Conley, Memphis - Out Mon


Conley left Game 3 with a head injury and will not play in Game 4 of the Western Conference Quarterfinals against the Trail Blazers.


----------------------------------------------------


NBA


Monday, April 27




NBA roundup: Cavs, Wizards complete sweeps


BOSTON -- The Cleveland Cavaliers completed their four-game first-round sweep of the Boston Celtics with a 101-93 victory Sunday but also sustained a potentially devastating loss of forward Kevin Love with an injured left shoulder.


ESPN reported Love sustained a dislocated shoulder in the first physical event of a physical day that also saw Cleveland guard J.R. Smith ejected for smacking and injuring Boston forward Jae Crowder in the third quarter -- after Crowder had been flattened by center Kendrick Perkins in the first half. Love reportedly will be out at least two weeks.


Love was injured with 5:22 left in the first quarter of the game that ended Boston's season and sent the second-seeded Cavs into the Eastern Conference semifinals against the winner of the Chicago Bulls-Milwaukee Bucks series.


Forward LeBron James scored 27 points, grabbed 10 rebounds and dished out eight assists as the Cavs built a 21-point halftime lead and held off a Boston charge that brought the Celtics as close as eight early in the fourth quarter. Cleveland guard Kyrie Irving added 24 points and 11 rebounds. Guard Isaiah Thomas led Boston with 21 points and nine assists.


Wizards 125, Raptors 94


WASHINGTON -- Guard Bradley Beal scored 23 points, and center Marcin Gortat added 21 points and 11 rebounds as Washington destroyed Toronto to finish off a 4-0 sweep of the teams' first-round Eastern Conference playoff series.


Guard John Wall contributed 14 points and 10 assists for the Wizards, who led by at least 14 points after every quarter and by as many as 37 in the second half thanks to a 3-point shooting barrage. Seven players for scored in double figures as Washington posted its highest point total for a regulation game this season.


Toronto got 21 points from guard Kyle Lowry.


Washington never previously swept a best-of-five or best-of-seven series in franchise history. The fifth-seeded Wizards will face the winner of the Atlanta Hawks-Brooklyn Nets series.


Clippers 114, Spurs 105


SAN ANTONIO -- Guard Chris Paul scored 34 points, and forward Blake Griffin added 20 along with 19 rebounds as Los Angeles defeated San Antonio to even their teams' Western Conference first-round series at 2-2.


Griffin and Paul picked up seven assists each. Guard J.J. Redick supplemented the two Clippers stars with 17 points. The Clippers received scoring help from a pair of reserve guards. Austin Rivers scored 16 -- converting seven of eight from the field -- and Jamal Crawford had 15. Rivers and Crawford scored five apiece early in the fourth quarter, when the Clippers forged ahead by 13 points.


Forward Kawhi Leonard led San Antonio with 26 points. Forward Tim Duncan produced 22 points and 14 rebounds, and guard Tony Parker scored 18, but Duncan and Parker missed four free throws apiece.


Mavericks 121, Rockets 109


DALLAS -- The starting backcourt of Monta Ellis and J.J. Barea combined for 48 points, and Dallas staved off elimination by blasting Houston. The Rockets still lead the series 3-1, and they are in position to close out the best-of-seven Tuesday back in Houston.


Ellis backed up a 34-point performance Friday with 31 points on 13-of-21 shooting two nights later. Barea, starting for the first time in the series, provided the kind of effort that Dallas hoped to get from banished point guard Rajon Rondo. Barea scored 17 points -- 12 in the first half -- and dished out 13 assists.


Houston guard James Harden scored a team-high 24 points, but he didn't have near the impact he made while going off for 42 points in Game 3.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, April 27


Atlanta Hawks @ Brooklyn Nets

Game 509-510
April 27, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta Hawks
123.181
Brooklyn Nets
115.053
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta Hawks
by 8
201
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta Hawks
by 4
195 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta Hawks
(-4); Over

Milwaukee Bucks @ Chicago Bulls

Game 511-512
April 27, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee Bucks
115.446
Chicago Bulls
130.042
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Bulls
by 14 1/2
193
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Bulls
by 8 1/2
187 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Bulls
(-8 1/2); Over

Memphis Grizzlies @ Portland Trail Blazers

Game 513-514
April 27, 2015 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis Grizzlies
123.409
Portland Trail Bl
119.034
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis Grizzlies
by 4 1/2
188
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland Trail Bl
by 3
193
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis Grizzlies
(+3); Under




NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, April 27

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (62 - 23) at BROOKLYN (39 - 46) - 4/27/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 12-30 ATS (-21.0 Units) in road games in all playoff games since 1996.
ATLANTA is 49-33 ATS (+12.7 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 7-7 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 9-5 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (42 - 44) at CHICAGO (53 - 33) - 4/27/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 14-23 ATS (-11.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 47-65 ATS (-24.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
CHICAGO is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 46-37 ATS (+5.3 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games this season.
CHICAGO is 56-77 ATS (-28.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 18-27 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 10-6 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 11-5 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
10 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (58 - 27) at PORTLAND (51 - 34) - 4/27/2015, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 112-79 ATS (+25.1 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MEMPHIS is 48-32 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 88-67 ATS (+14.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 11-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 12-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Short Sheet

Monday, April 27


Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - ATL leads 2-1

Atlanta Hawks at Brooklyn Nets, 7:05 ET
Atlanta: 18-5 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent
Brooklyn: 9-11 ATS in home games after playing a home game


Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 5 - CHI leads 3-1

Milwaukee Bucks at Chicago Bulls, 8:05 ET
Milwaukee: 22-40 ATS off a close home win by 3 points or less
Chicago: 12-4 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite


Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - MEM leads 3-0

Memphis Grizzlies at Portland Trailblazers, 10:35 ET
Memphis: 17-4 ATS after scoring 105 points or more
Portland: 11-24 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses

 

[CNOTES]

Monday's NBA Essentials


April 27, 2015


Hawks at Nets – 8:05 p.m. ET
There’s certainly some pressure on the Eastern Conference’s top seed here, since the Wizards are already resting and waiting on the Hawks to reach the conference semis. After barely surviving Game 2 at home, Atlanta was barely ever in Game 3, falling behind 31-16 after a quarter, failing to find their shooting touch in Brooklyn. The Hawks shot 32-for-90 from the field (35.6 pct) and 6-for-30 (20 pct.) from 3-point range. Top 3-point shooter Kyle Korver saw his streak of consecutive playoff games with three 3-pointers end at seven, finishing 0-for-5 from beyond the arc. Backcourt mate Jeff Teague went 0-for-3 from 3-points range and 4-for-13 overall, while key backup Dennis Schroder shot 1-for-9.


It was a forgettable performance for everyone but starting forwards DeMarre Carroll and Paul Millsap, who combined for just 40 points on 16-for-30 shooting, adding 23 rebounds and six steals. Both have been the most consistent players in this series, but All-Star center Al Horford has struggled mightily, shooting just 36 percent in averaging just 10.3 points with his 10.3 rebounds. He had been shooting nearly 62 percent and averaging 17.5 points in April prior to this series beginning.


The Hawks opened -1500 to avoid the 1-8 upset in this series according to Sportsbook.ag. and are still at -1800 up 2-1 despite Saturday’s loss. Atlanta had won all five meetings against the Nets this season prior to Game 3.


VegasInsider expert Chris David: "Based on what we’ve seen from the Hawks this season, I expect them to rebound in Game 4 at Brooklyn on Tuesday. Atlanta has gone 15-7 off a loss this season and two of those setbacks came in the latter part of the season when the club already clinched the top seed in the East. Bettors should also make a note that the Nets are 0-4 in their last four games off a win and coincidentally two of those losses came to the Hawks in Atlanta on Apr. 4 (131-99) and Apr. 8 (114-11) at home. The ‘over’ easily cashed in both those games as Brooklyn couldn’t slow down Atlanta offensively in either matchup. Knowing that the Wizards have already advanced, I’d like to believe that the Hawks will have a greater sense of urgency for the Nets in the fourth installment."


Four consecutive Hawks games have gone under the posted total, their second-longest such streak of the season. From Feb. 11-28 they had a run of six straight, winning four of those games outright.


The Nets wasted no time getting comfortable at home, building a 16-5 lead as both Deron Williams and Bojan Bogdanovic hit early 3-pointers. Despite Joe Johnson shooting just 5-for-17 and the Hawks holding substantial advantages in points in the paint (50-30) and on fast breaks (25-2), Brooklyn’s largest deficit was just four points late in the third quarter and it trailed for less than three minutes of the entire game. Brook Lopez led the way with 22 points and 13 rebounds, while Thaddeus Young added 18 and 11 boards. It’s obvious that their efforts around the rim are the key to hanging around in the series. Williams, who has been Brooklyn’s goat in the series, shot just 1-for-8 from the field, while backup Jarrett Jack, who had averaged 18 points in the two losses in Atlanta, took just three shots but did wind up with a team-high eight assists. It’s become obvious he’s become the Nets most reliable guard in this series.


Brooklyn opened at +800 to win the series according to Sportsbook.ag., and can now be had a +1000 if you believe they’ve figured something out. The under is 6-0-1 in the last seven Nets games.


Bucks at Bulls – 8:05 p.m. ET


The Bucks staved off elimination when Jerryd Bayless came through on a tricky game-winning layup after Bulls star Derrick Rose fell asleep in his coverage and allowed a catch right at the rim with just over a second remaining. Milwaukee had blown a 90-84 lead with under two minutes remaining and were staring a second consecutive OT game in the face before a Rose turnover and a smart timeout from head coach Jason Kidd helped set up the late heroics that game them life in the series. Both games in Milwaukee were there to be had for the young Bucks, who hung in games with their boundless energy. They wound up with an 87-68 edge in field goal attempts in Game 3 thanks to 26 Chicago turnovers, a testament to how effective they were in forcing sloppy play. O.J. Mayo led the Bucks with 18 points off the bench and has been a strong presence late in games as one of the few Milwaukee players who isn’t scared of having the ball in his hands late in games. Khris Middleton has been in double-figures in all four games, averaging 17.0 points and 3.8 boards in the series, but he was just 4-for-15 on Saturday, shooting 1-for-6 from 3-point range.


That the Bucks overcame that to steal a game inspires confidence that they might be able to stay alive another night if he finds the range in Chicago. Milwaukee opened at +500 to win the series according to Sportsbook.ag and is now available at +1600 as it chases a 3-1 deficit.


It could have gone much worse for the Bulls less than 100 miles from home from home in Milwaukee, but saw an abundance of their fans find tickets, helping the team manage a split of their first two postseason road games. With Cleveland already through after its sweep of the Celtics, there’s pressure for Chicago to wrap things up so it can begin preparations for an epic East semifinal clash against its Central Division rivals. Rose has been excellent thus far, averaging 21.5 points and 7.5 assists while playing an average of 38 minutes. His 48-minute stint in last Thursday’s double-OT win was his longest in years, further alleviating concerns that he won’t get to 100 percent this postseason. He looks like his old self and has improved his shooting, sitting at 12-for-26 from 3-point range in the series.


As effective as he’s been, former Marquette standout Jimmy Butler has been the best player in the series. Butler averaged 28 points through the first two games in Chicago, shooting 18-for-33 (55 percent). He played 53 minutes Game 3, scoring 24 points, and followed that up by shooting 12-for-17 in Saturday’s loss, winding up with 33 points, including a 5-for-7 clip from 3-point range. Nikola Mirotic returned from a one-game absence due to a strained quad, but shot just 2-for-7 from the field, lowering his field-goal percentage to 33 percent in the series. Pau Gasol is averaging 13.5 points and 13.3 rebounds, posting double-doubles in all four games.


The Bulls opened -750 to claim this series according to Sportsbook.ag. and are now -4000 as they seek the series clincher. The Game 4 loss snapped Chicago’s seven-game winning streak, which had included a 6-1 mark ATS. The zig-zag theory has worked very nicely in the series on totals, since the over and under have alternated coming in through each of the first four games.


Grizzlies at Trail Blazers – 10:35 p.m. ET
Mike Conley flew back to Memphis following a nasty facial laceration suffered in Game 3, so the Grizzlies will be short-handed here. The blow is softened some by Beno Udrih returning after missing Game 3 with an ankle sprain, so don’t be surprised to see him in the starting lineup. Due to the absences of Conley and Udrih, backup guard Nick Calathes was counted on for 27 key minutes, finishing with 13 points and three assists in serving a critical role as a glue guy.


The offense ended up running mostly through Marc Gasol, who dominated by getting to the free-throw line 14 times, scoring 25 points despite 6-for-17 shooting. Courtney Lee added 20 points on 5-for-8 shooting and made all nine of his free-throws, continuing to shine as the top x-factor in the series with his strong offense and impressive perimeter defense. Zach Randolph only grabbed four rebounds on Saturday night, so look for him to make a concerted effort to be more active on the boards.


Sportsbook.ag had Memphis at -165 to win this series. The Grizzlies have covered in six consecutive contests and seen unders come in four times in those games.


LaMarcus Aldridge and Damian Lillard continued to disappoint in the 115-109 Game 3 loss, combining for 15-for-35 shooting. It was actually their best performance of the series, which lets you know how effective the Memphis defense has been in shutting down Portland’s All-Star duo. Aldridge has found the going against Gasol and Randolph particularly tough, since his 6-for-18 shooting on Saturday dropped him to 26-for-72 (36 pct) for the series, providing a nagging reminder that he hasn’t been at 100 percent for a long time due to a nagging thumb injury.


Lillard had his best game, finishing with 22 points and nine assists, but VI’s David doesn’t mince words in assessing his performance thus far. “In this year’s playoffs, there have been five teams facing 3-0 deficits at home and only the Bucks and Mavericks were able to force a Game 5. With that being said, I believe Portland will put forth a better effort on Monday but still fall to a short-handed Memphis squad. The key to the Trail Blazers is Lillard, who has been exposed in this series against so-called inferior players. He’s not producing in key spots and Memphis has defeated him with backups. Due to his lack of scoring, I’d lean to the ‘under’ in Game 4 despite the two teams combining for 224 points on Saturday. More than 25 percent of those points (65) came from the free throw line and I don’t expect that to happen again. Memphis still likes to play slow and its defense has given Portland fits in this series.”


The Blazers opened at +140 at Sportsbook.ag. to pull the upset in the series, but those tickets look relatively useless at the moment. The Trail Blazers are 0-7 SU/ATS since April 9.

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

-- White Sox-Oriole game was postponed because of rioting in Baltimore.

-- Dodgers lose pitcher Brandon McCarthy for the year (torn UCL).

-- Last night was Tampa Bay's 20th game, but their first outdoor game; their road games had been at Toronto/Miami, both domed stadiums.

-- There is a baseball player at U of Iowa named Fenway Parks. Seriously.

-- James Winston threw 18 INTs last year, second-most in country. New Mexico State's quarterback was the only QB who threw more.

-- St John's-Arizona State at MGM Grand in Las Vegas December 22; couple of pretty famous coaches, Chris Mullin and Bobby Hurley.

**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but........

13) Looks like college basketball will have a 30-second clock next fall; I just don't think its going to make a huge difference, if thats the only rule change. It creates a few more possessions per game, but not really that many more.

12) Part of the reason Texas Rangers took a shot with Josh Hamilton going to Arlington is their attendance is down 11,160 fans a game since 2012. If it is true that the Rangers will only pay Hamilton $5M a year, that means the Angels are paying Hamilton $20.4M this year and $54.8M over the next two years to play against them!!! That must go over great in the Anaheim clubhouse.

11) Golfer Mikko Ilonen should buy Phil Mickelson a nice Christmas present this year; Lefty dropped out of the Match Play tournament this week, which means Ilonen gets in-- even if he loses in the first round, Ilonen bags a check for $50,000 or so.

10) According to college football expert Phil Steele, Washington Huskies will play the hardest schedule this fall; U-Dub's opponents had a 101-56 record last fall- they play at Boise State Labor Day weekend.

9) Next time Alex Rodriguez hits a homer, he ties Willie Mays with 660 in his career and banks a checks for $6M, but his employers are trying to cheap out and not play the $6M, since they can't cash in on ARod's milestone (buy your own commemorative bat for $299.95!!!!) due to his steroid history.

8) Riviera Hotel in Las Vegas closes down for good this Monday, the end of an era, but it is sold out this weekend, with the Mayweather-Pacquiao fight a big ticket in town. Lot of the older casinos in Vegas are slowly going away.

7) There is a beer sold at my local grocery store called Arrogant Bastard Ale; I'm not much of a drinker, but thats a tremendous name.

6) The 2011 San Diego Padres had eight relief pitchers for most of the year; five of those eight guys are now relievers for the surprisingly good Astros.

5) Why teams lose: when the Seahawks took Russell Wilson with the 75th pick in the 2012 Draft, Jacksonvile took a freakin' punter five picks earlier. Why does a team draft a punter in the third round?

4) There have been a total of 73 runs scored in Bud Norris' four starts, with Orioles 2-2, outscored 37-36. In Chris Archer's last four starts, there were a total of only fifteen runs scored- Archer allowed one run in his last 26.2 IP.

3) Boston has pitching problems; Buchholz/Porcello have at least finished the sixth inning in six of their eight starts, but the other three starters finished six innings only two times in nine starts- that creates too much of a strain on their bullpen. Boston has to trade for a quality starter and soon.

2) Both the shortstops on my fantasy team got hurt last night; Jose Reyes has been hurt, but finally went on the DL- he has a broken rib but had been trying to play thru it, not batting lefty because it hurt too much.

Jed Lowrie hurt his thumb sliding into home (why can't anyone slide??); he is flying back to Houston today for an MRI, which sounds ominous. Waiver wire in our 16-team keeper league is amazingly weak at shortstop. Oy.

1) Trevor Bauer pitches against the Royals tonight; last night, he had boxing gloves on (real ones) in the dugout during the game, a reference to the issues Kansas City has been having with other teams this month.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, April 28


Dallas Mavericks @ Houston Rockets

Game 517-518
April 28, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas Mavericks
121.564
Houston Rockets
125.745
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston Rockets
by 4
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston Rockets
by 7
222
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas Mavericks
(+7); Under

San Antonio Spurs @ Los Angeles Clippers

Game 521-522
April 28, 2015 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio Spurs
131.287
Los Angeles Clipp
130.077
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio Spurs
by 1
200
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles Clipp
by 2
206
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio Spurs
(+2); Under




NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, April 28

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (51 - 35) at HOUSTON (59 - 27) - 4/28/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 35-47 ATS (-16.7 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
DALLAS is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
DALLAS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after a division game this season.
DALLAS is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
DALLAS is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DALLAS is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
DALLAS is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
DALLAS is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 51-34 ATS (+13.6 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
HOUSTON is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in home games this season.
HOUSTON is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) second half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
HOUSTON is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
DALLAS is 75-52 ATS (+17.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 225-182 ATS (+24.8 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 41-25 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 9-7 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 9-7 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN ANTONIO (57 - 29) at LA CLIPPERS (58 - 28) - 4/28/2015, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 903-789 ATS (+35.1 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 407-342 ATS (+30.8 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 138-97 ATS (+31.3 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) when tied in a playoff series since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 74-54 ATS (+14.6 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 325-271 ATS (+26.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 31-22 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 17-26 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 225-278 ATS (-80.8 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 131-171 ATS (-57.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 8-7 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 8-7 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, April 28

Houston won seven of last nine games with Dallas; three of four series games went over total. Rockets won nine of last 12 games overall; eight of their last ten games went over. Dallas is 5-4 in its last nine games; 11 of its last 13 went over. Mavericks shot 50%+ in Games 3-4; they scored 72-61 points at half and split pair. Mavs shot 44.4%/37.1% in games at Houston- they were 9-21 from line in Game 4, when Rockets were 7-31 from arc, 26-40 on line- they were 29-69 from arc in first three games.

Clippers shot 51.3%, 53.6% from floor in its two series wins- they shot 42.4%, 34.1% in two losses. LA got huge game from coach's son and evened series at the Alamo Sunday; LA is now 8-2 in its last ten games, but 2-3 in last five home games with Spurs. Spurs won 13 of last 16 games; they won three of last five road games. San Antonio was 16-58 from arc in two losses, 18-49 in two wins. Green/Parker were combined 0-9 from arc Sunday.

Home favorites are 12-12 in this round, home dogs are 5-4; home teams are 21-12 SU-- over is 14-19.

2015 playoffs
Brooklyn vs Atlanta
Atl 99-92, -10, U201.5
Atl 96-91, -9.5, U202
Brook 91-83, +3.5, U199

Boston vs Cleveland
Clev 113-100, -11.5, O203
Clev 99-91, -11, U206
Clev 103-95, -4, U204
Clev 101-93, -6.5, U201.5
Cavaliers won series, 4-0

Milwaukee vs Chicago
Chi 103-91, -8, O186
Chi 91-82, -8, U190.5
Chi 113-106, 2OT, -2.5, O187
Mil 92-90, +4, U190

Washington vs Toronto
Wash 93-86 OT, +4, U194.5
Wash 117-106, +5, O193.5
Wash 106-99, -4.5, O195.5
Wash 125-94, -6.5, O197.5
Wizards win series, 4-0

New Orleans vs Golden State
GSt 106-99, -12, U205
GSt 97-87, -13, U206.5
GSt 123-119 OT, -5, O203
GSt 109-98, -6.5, U208
Warriors win series, 4-0

Dallas vs Houston
Hst 118-108, -5.5, O212.5
Hst 111-99, -6.5, U214
Hst 130-128, +1, O214.5
Dal 121-109, +3, O218.5

San Antonio vs LA Clippers
LAC 107-92, -1.5, U207
SA 111-107 OT, +1.5, O207.5
SA 100-73, -5, U203.5
LAC 114-105, +6, O202.5

Portland vs Memphis
Mem 100-86, -5.5, U188.5
Mem 97-82, -6, U189
Mem 115-109, +3.5, O189

East vs West
SU: West 242-177 ATS: West 214-202-3
East teams HF vs West: 56-57
East teams HU vs West: 46-52
West teams HF vs East: 81-79-3
West teams HU vs East: 24-21




NBA

Tuesday, April 28

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8:00 PM
DALLAS vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games on the road
Dallas is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games when playing at home against Dallas
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas

10:30 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. LA CLIPPERS
San Antonio is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
LA Clippers are 16-3 SU in their last 19 games
LA Clippers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home