NHL
Dunkel
NY Rangers at Pittsburgh
The Rangers advanced with a 2-1 win over the Flyers and come into tonight's opener with a 4-0 record in their last 4 games after scoring 2 goals or less in the previous game. New York is the pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Rangers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+130). Here are all of today's playoff picks.
FRIDAY, MAY 2
Game 3-4: NY Rangers at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 12.254; Pittsburgh 11.303
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-150); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+130); Under
Game 5-6: Minnesota at Chicago (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.778; Chicago 13.322
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-200); 5
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-200); Over
NHL
Long Sheet
Friday, May 2
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NY RANGERS (49-34-0-6, 104 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (55-24-0-9, 119 pts.) - 5/2/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 16-24 ATS (-11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PITTSBURGH is 63-83 ATS (-33.7 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less since 1996.
PITTSBURGH is 61-86 ATS (-41.7 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996.
PITTSBURGH is 15-20 ATS (-15.6 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 10-5 (+3.6 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 10-5-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.0 Units)
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MINNESOTA (47-28-0-14, 108 pts.) at CHICAGO (50-21-0-17, 117 pts.) - 5/2/2014, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 6-20 ATS (+31.4 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 28-7 ATS (+16.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 21-4 ATS (+14.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 27-20 ATS (+6.6 Units) second half of the season this season.
MINNESOTA is 25-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
CHICAGO is 22-24 ATS (-22.8 Units) second half of the season this season.
CHICAGO is 52-62 ATS (-33.6 Units) in home games on Friday nights since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 10-7-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.1 Units)
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NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up
Friday, May 2
Rangers won Game 7 at home Wednesday, Penguins haven't played since Monday. Rangers split four games with Pitt this year, after Penguins won eight of previous nine games in series. All four meetings this year went over total. Rangers lost five of last six visits here- they won every other game in Philly series; NY is 27-17 on road, losing last two games at Philly in last round. Pittsburgh is 31-13 at home this year; five of their six games with Columbus ended in a 4-3 final score- six of their last eight games went over total.
Minnesota won Game 7 in OT Denver Wednesday, Chicago last played Sunday, winning last four games with St Louis after losing Games 1-2 in OT. Wild was 3-2 vs Chicago this season, splitting pair here- they've lost seven of last nine visits here, losing in five games to Hawks in LY's playoffs. Over is 4-1-1 in last six series games. Minnesota is 21-24 on road, has to be little tired after playing OT game in altitude Wednesday. Chicago is 32-12 at home this year, winning all three home games in St Louis series.
NHL
Friday, May 2
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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
NY RANGERS vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Rangers last 6 games on the road
NY Rangers are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 10-3 SU in their last 13 games when playing NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
9:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. CHICAGO
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Chicago is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Minnesota
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NHL
Friday, May 2
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Three big betting trends for the second round of the NHL playoffs
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With the pool of 16 postseason teams now whittled down to eight, bettors will be looking for any trend they can take advantage of heading into the second round of the Stanley Cup playoffs.
Taking a look at some of the recent second-round results, here are some patterns that have emerged as we prepare to kick off the round of eight:
Under Takes Over
Most fans will acknowledge that goal scoring generally begins to dry up as the Stanley Cup tournament reaches the second round, and totals are often adjusted to reflect the increased reliance on defense and aversion to risk-taking. Yet, aside from a bizarre stretch during the 2011 Stanley Cup playoffs, Under bettors have reaped the benefits in the round of eight. The 2011 second round finished 11-9-1 O/U, thanks in large part to a 9-0-1 outlier from May 3-8. But 2012 saw that number drop to 7-11-3 O/U. The Under trend was even more pronounced last season, as teams went 7-13-4 O/U in Round 2.
Home Ownership
Betting on home favorites in the Stanley Cup playoffs is often a risky proposition. They usually don't pay out well and with the league trending toward greater parity, it's a major gamble. Despite the perceived increase in balance between teams, second-round home faves have steadily become more dominant over the years. Home favorites have improved from a modest 9-8 record in 2011 to an 11-7 mark in 2012 and an eye-popping 17-2 last season. It will be interesting to see if this particular trend continues into 2014, or if last year was an exception.
Penalty Killing the Key
While the number of power plays per game doesn't drop significantly from Rounds 1 to 2, what teams do with their opportunities plays a major role in whether they advance to the conference finals. Over the past three postseasons, no team has reached the third round of the Stanley Cup playoffs with less than an 84.2-percent penalty-killing success rate in Round 2. Furthermore, the combined penalty-kill percentage of all 12 second-round teams to reach the conference finals in the past three years - 88.3 percent - would have ranked first in the NHL during the 2013-14 regular season.
Dunkel
NY Rangers at Pittsburgh
The Rangers advanced with a 2-1 win over the Flyers and come into tonight's opener with a 4-0 record in their last 4 games after scoring 2 goals or less in the previous game. New York is the pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Rangers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+130). Here are all of today's playoff picks.
FRIDAY, MAY 2
Game 3-4: NY Rangers at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 12.254; Pittsburgh 11.303
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-150); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+130); Under
Game 5-6: Minnesota at Chicago (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.778; Chicago 13.322
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-200); 5
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-200); Over
NHL
Long Sheet
Friday, May 2
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NY RANGERS (49-34-0-6, 104 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (55-24-0-9, 119 pts.) - 5/2/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 16-24 ATS (-11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PITTSBURGH is 63-83 ATS (-33.7 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less since 1996.
PITTSBURGH is 61-86 ATS (-41.7 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996.
PITTSBURGH is 15-20 ATS (-15.6 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 10-5 (+3.6 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 10-5-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.0 Units)
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MINNESOTA (47-28-0-14, 108 pts.) at CHICAGO (50-21-0-17, 117 pts.) - 5/2/2014, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 6-20 ATS (+31.4 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 28-7 ATS (+16.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 21-4 ATS (+14.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 27-20 ATS (+6.6 Units) second half of the season this season.
MINNESOTA is 25-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
CHICAGO is 22-24 ATS (-22.8 Units) second half of the season this season.
CHICAGO is 52-62 ATS (-33.6 Units) in home games on Friday nights since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 10-7-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.1 Units)
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NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up
Friday, May 2
Rangers won Game 7 at home Wednesday, Penguins haven't played since Monday. Rangers split four games with Pitt this year, after Penguins won eight of previous nine games in series. All four meetings this year went over total. Rangers lost five of last six visits here- they won every other game in Philly series; NY is 27-17 on road, losing last two games at Philly in last round. Pittsburgh is 31-13 at home this year; five of their six games with Columbus ended in a 4-3 final score- six of their last eight games went over total.
Minnesota won Game 7 in OT Denver Wednesday, Chicago last played Sunday, winning last four games with St Louis after losing Games 1-2 in OT. Wild was 3-2 vs Chicago this season, splitting pair here- they've lost seven of last nine visits here, losing in five games to Hawks in LY's playoffs. Over is 4-1-1 in last six series games. Minnesota is 21-24 on road, has to be little tired after playing OT game in altitude Wednesday. Chicago is 32-12 at home this year, winning all three home games in St Louis series.
NHL
Friday, May 2
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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
NY RANGERS vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Rangers last 6 games on the road
NY Rangers are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 10-3 SU in their last 13 games when playing NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
9:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. CHICAGO
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Chicago is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Minnesota
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NHL
Friday, May 2
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Three big betting trends for the second round of the NHL playoffs
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
With the pool of 16 postseason teams now whittled down to eight, bettors will be looking for any trend they can take advantage of heading into the second round of the Stanley Cup playoffs.
Taking a look at some of the recent second-round results, here are some patterns that have emerged as we prepare to kick off the round of eight:
Under Takes Over
Most fans will acknowledge that goal scoring generally begins to dry up as the Stanley Cup tournament reaches the second round, and totals are often adjusted to reflect the increased reliance on defense and aversion to risk-taking. Yet, aside from a bizarre stretch during the 2011 Stanley Cup playoffs, Under bettors have reaped the benefits in the round of eight. The 2011 second round finished 11-9-1 O/U, thanks in large part to a 9-0-1 outlier from May 3-8. But 2012 saw that number drop to 7-11-3 O/U. The Under trend was even more pronounced last season, as teams went 7-13-4 O/U in Round 2.
Home Ownership
Betting on home favorites in the Stanley Cup playoffs is often a risky proposition. They usually don't pay out well and with the league trending toward greater parity, it's a major gamble. Despite the perceived increase in balance between teams, second-round home faves have steadily become more dominant over the years. Home favorites have improved from a modest 9-8 record in 2011 to an 11-7 mark in 2012 and an eye-popping 17-2 last season. It will be interesting to see if this particular trend continues into 2014, or if last year was an exception.
Penalty Killing the Key
While the number of power plays per game doesn't drop significantly from Rounds 1 to 2, what teams do with their opportunities plays a major role in whether they advance to the conference finals. Over the past three postseasons, no team has reached the third round of the Stanley Cup playoffs with less than an 84.2-percent penalty-killing success rate in Round 2. Furthermore, the combined penalty-kill percentage of all 12 second-round teams to reach the conference finals in the past three years - 88.3 percent - would have ranked first in the NHL during the 2013-14 regular season.