Saturday road teams off a big scoring effort have been very strong under the right circumstances
Play
allowing less than 38 points in its last game vs. an opponent off scoring less than 28 points (
Play
[FONT=Verdana,Bold][FONT=Verdana,Bold]ON
a Saturday road team with a TOTAL under 47 points off scoring 28+ points and
allowing less than 38 points in its last game vs. an opponent off scoring less than 28 points (
[FONT=Verdana,Italic][FONT=Verdana,Italic]not [/FONT][/FONT]a road
[/FONT]
ATS win as an underdog of more than 5 points) in its last game.
[FONT=TimesNewRoman,Bold][FONT=TimesNewRoman,Bold]SU: [/FONT][/FONT]11-0-0 (16.1)
[FONT=TimesNewRoman,Bold][FONT=TimesNewRoman,Bold]ATS: [/FONT][/FONT]11-0-0 (14.4) avg line: -1.7
[FONT=TimesNewRoman,Bold][FONT=TimesNewRoman,Bold]O/U: [/FONT][/FONT]2-9-0 (-7.6) avg total: 38.8
[FONT=TimesNewRoman,Bold][FONT=TimesNewRoman,Bold]O/U: [/FONT][/FONT]2-9-0 (-7.6) avg total: 38.8
[FONT=TimesNewRoman,Bold][FONT=TimesNewRoman,Bold]Rushes Rush Yds Passes Completions Passing Yds TrnOvrs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final[/FONT][/FONT]
[FONT=TimesNewRoman,Bold][FONT=TimesNewRoman,Bold]Team: [/FONT][/FONT]
[FONT=TimesNewRoman,Bold][FONT=TimesNewRoman,Bold]Team: [/FONT][/FONT]
31.0 125.4 30.8 20.1 237.6 1.3 5.9 5.5 6.0 6.3 23.6
[FONT=TimesNewRoman,Bold][FONT=TimesNewRoman,Bold]Opp: [/FONT][/FONT]
21.4 82.2 33.6 18.5 181.5 2.4 1.5 2.1 1.2 2.7 7.5
[/FONT]
[/FONT]
NBA Dunkel
Denver at Oklahoma City
The Thunder look to take advantage of a Denver team that is 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings between the two clubs. Oklahoma City is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Thunder favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-6 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.
SATURDAY, DECEMBER 25
Game 701-702: Chicago at New York (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 123.522; New York 122.233
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 211
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 1 1/2; 204 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+1 1/2); Over
Game 703-704: Boston at Orlando (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 122.794; Orlando 126.165
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 3 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 2; 192
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-2); Under
Game 705-706: Miami at LA Lakers (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 125.303; LA Lakers 125.144
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 187
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 2 1/2; 192 12
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+2 1/2); Under
Game 707-708: Denver at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 117.408; Oklahoma City 126.143
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 8 1/2; 216
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 6 1/2; 213
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-6 1/2); Over
Game 709-710: Portland at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 115.750; Golden State 115.913
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 219
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Denver at Oklahoma City
The Thunder look to take advantage of a Denver team that is 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings between the two clubs. Oklahoma City is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Thunder favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-6 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.
SATURDAY, DECEMBER 25
Game 701-702: Chicago at New York (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 123.522; New York 122.233
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 211
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 1 1/2; 204 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+1 1/2); Over
Game 703-704: Boston at Orlando (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 122.794; Orlando 126.165
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 3 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 2; 192
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-2); Under
Game 705-706: Miami at LA Lakers (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 125.303; LA Lakers 125.144
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 187
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 2 1/2; 192 12
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+2 1/2); Under
Game 707-708: Denver at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 117.408; Oklahoma City 126.143
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 8 1/2; 216
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 6 1/2; 213
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-6 1/2); Over
Game 709-710: Portland at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 115.750; Golden State 115.913
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 219
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
NCAAB Dunkel
Butler vs. Washington State
The Bulldogs look to build on their 7-0 ATS record in their last 7 neutral site games. Butler is the pick (+1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Butler (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.
SATURDAY, DECEMBER 25
Game 711-712: San Diego vs. Utah (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 45.391; Utah 58.189
Dunkel Line: Utah by 13
Vegas Line: Utah by 12
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-12)
Game 713-714: Mississippi State at Hawaii (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 55.315; Hawaii 55.379
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (+2 1/2)
Game 715-716: Florida State vs. Baylor (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 67.031; Baylor 71.267
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 4
Vegas Line: Baylor by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-2 1/2)
Game 717-718: Butler vs. Washington State (9:50 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Butler 69.135; Washington State 69.142
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Washington State by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Butler (+1 1/2)
Butler vs. Washington State
The Bulldogs look to build on their 7-0 ATS record in their last 7 neutral site games. Butler is the pick (+1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Butler (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.
SATURDAY, DECEMBER 25
Game 711-712: San Diego vs. Utah (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 45.391; Utah 58.189
Dunkel Line: Utah by 13
Vegas Line: Utah by 12
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-12)
Game 713-714: Mississippi State at Hawaii (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 55.315; Hawaii 55.379
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (+2 1/2)
Game 715-716: Florida State vs. Baylor (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 67.031; Baylor 71.267
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 4
Vegas Line: Baylor by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-2 1/2)
Game 717-718: Butler vs. Washington State (9:50 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Butler 69.135; Washington State 69.142
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Washington State by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Butler (+1 1/2)
Andy Fanelli 12/25
Orlando Magic minus the points. He expects them to win by double digits.
Lakers minus the points. He expects them to win by 7 points.
Parlay with Arizona Cardinals plus the points and the over in that game.
50 DIME: Orlando Magic minus the points.
20 DIME: Lakers minus the points.
10 DIME: Parlay with Arizona Cardinals plus the points and the over in that game.
Orlando Magic minus the points. He expects them to win by double digits.
Lakers minus the points. He expects them to win by 7 points.
Parlay with Arizona Cardinals plus the points and the over in that game.
50 DIME: Orlando Magic minus the points.
20 DIME: Lakers minus the points.
10 DIME: Parlay with Arizona Cardinals plus the points and the over in that game.
Last edited by a moderator:
jeff benton
merry xmas to everyone. CPAW, again, THANKS FOR ALL YOU DO!.
Jeff Benton Saturday's Action
40 Dime NFL release on the Cowboys-Cardinals game to go OVER the posted total, which cuarently sits at 45 points across the board both here in Vegas and offshore. Although at the time I’m publishing this play the total is holeding firm, I fully expect the number to rise. And because 45 is such a key number in NFL totals – think 24-21, 31-14, 28-17, etc. – it’s crudial that you get your play in at no worse than 45.
Cowboys-Cardinals OVER the total
33-30. 30-27. 38-35. 30-27. 35-19. 33-20. 45-7. 35-17. 41-35. 24-21. 34-27.
Nope, those aren’t this week’s winning Super Lotto numbers. Those are the final scores of the Dallas Cowboys’ last 11 games since they returned from their bye. You know how many of those 11 games flew over the posted total?
Every single one of them!
Now, I know what you’re thinking: “But Dallas is playing the offensively inept Cardinals tonight! The Cowboys are going to have to score 40 points by themselves to get this game over the number!” True enough, Arizona has scored 18 points or less in five of its last six games (producing a total of just 55 points in those five particular contests). However, the last five times Arizona faced leaky defenses – Denver, Seattle, Minnesota, Tampa Bay and New Orleans – it put up 43, 18, 24, 35 and 30 points, with all five games flying OVER the total. And four of those five games were at home.
Well, Dallas’ D certainly qualifies as leaky. The Cowboys have surrendered 30 points or more eight times in their last 11 games, including the last four in a row against New Orleans (30), Indianapolis (35), Philadelphia (30) and Washington (30). Sure, three of those teams are quarterbacked by Pro Bowlers Drew Brees, Peyton Manning and Michael Vick. But the other squad was piloted by Rex Grossman (who threw FOUR touchdown passes in last week’s 33-30 loss at Dallas).
As for Arizona’s defense, it definitely has played better lately, giving up 19, 13 and 19 points the last three weeks. But that was against the Rams, Broncos and Panthers. Prior to that, Arizona surrendered 38 points to the Bucs, 27 to the Vikings, 36 to the Seahawks and 31 to the Chiefs. Now the Cardinals’ D faces a Cowboys O that since Wade Phillips was fired has generated 33, 35, 27, 38, 27 and 33 points!
Not only has Dallas topped the total in 11 straight games, but it is also on “over” tears of 4-0 on the road, 6-0 as a favorite, 4-0 against teams with a losing record and 16-5 when laying 3½ to 10 points. Meanwhile, Arizona has topped the total in 48 of its last 70 games as an underdog, 10 of 14 as a home pup, five of six when catching between 3½ and 10 points at home, six of eight overall at home, and eight of 11 after a SU loss.
Bottom line: I know because the Cowboys have hurdled the total in 11 straight games that we’re dealing with an inflated number here. That said, Dallas last nine contests have eclipsed 50 combined points, including four straight with 57, 73, 57 and 63 points. So even with Arizona slumping offensively, this still smells like a 31-24 type of game.
merry xmas to everyone. CPAW, again, THANKS FOR ALL YOU DO!.
Jeff Benton Saturday's Action
40 Dime NFL release on the Cowboys-Cardinals game to go OVER the posted total, which cuarently sits at 45 points across the board both here in Vegas and offshore. Although at the time I’m publishing this play the total is holeding firm, I fully expect the number to rise. And because 45 is such a key number in NFL totals – think 24-21, 31-14, 28-17, etc. – it’s crudial that you get your play in at no worse than 45.
Cowboys-Cardinals OVER the total
33-30. 30-27. 38-35. 30-27. 35-19. 33-20. 45-7. 35-17. 41-35. 24-21. 34-27.
Nope, those aren’t this week’s winning Super Lotto numbers. Those are the final scores of the Dallas Cowboys’ last 11 games since they returned from their bye. You know how many of those 11 games flew over the posted total?
Every single one of them!
Now, I know what you’re thinking: “But Dallas is playing the offensively inept Cardinals tonight! The Cowboys are going to have to score 40 points by themselves to get this game over the number!” True enough, Arizona has scored 18 points or less in five of its last six games (producing a total of just 55 points in those five particular contests). However, the last five times Arizona faced leaky defenses – Denver, Seattle, Minnesota, Tampa Bay and New Orleans – it put up 43, 18, 24, 35 and 30 points, with all five games flying OVER the total. And four of those five games were at home.
Well, Dallas’ D certainly qualifies as leaky. The Cowboys have surrendered 30 points or more eight times in their last 11 games, including the last four in a row against New Orleans (30), Indianapolis (35), Philadelphia (30) and Washington (30). Sure, three of those teams are quarterbacked by Pro Bowlers Drew Brees, Peyton Manning and Michael Vick. But the other squad was piloted by Rex Grossman (who threw FOUR touchdown passes in last week’s 33-30 loss at Dallas).
As for Arizona’s defense, it definitely has played better lately, giving up 19, 13 and 19 points the last three weeks. But that was against the Rams, Broncos and Panthers. Prior to that, Arizona surrendered 38 points to the Bucs, 27 to the Vikings, 36 to the Seahawks and 31 to the Chiefs. Now the Cardinals’ D faces a Cowboys O that since Wade Phillips was fired has generated 33, 35, 27, 38, 27 and 33 points!
Not only has Dallas topped the total in 11 straight games, but it is also on “over” tears of 4-0 on the road, 6-0 as a favorite, 4-0 against teams with a losing record and 16-5 when laying 3½ to 10 points. Meanwhile, Arizona has topped the total in 48 of its last 70 games as an underdog, 10 of 14 as a home pup, five of six when catching between 3½ and 10 points at home, six of eight overall at home, and eight of 11 after a SU loss.
Bottom line: I know because the Cowboys have hurdled the total in 11 straight games that we’re dealing with an inflated number here. That said, Dallas last nine contests have eclipsed 50 combined points, including four straight with 57, 73, 57 and 63 points. So even with Arizona slumping offensively, this still smells like a 31-24 type of game.
