Chonce Week 12/Thanksgiving Picks

PeePee · Nov 27, 2016

chonce said:
I feel Oak is on a short week, overvalued, and the hook is really valuable (3.5 is suck a key number). Carolina is a good road eam, while Oak is actually not all that great at home. Oak has been lucky to win a lot of these games.

Lot of reasons. I don't think Carolina is the better team, but I think this is the better spot. And Oak struggles on D in areas that really lend themselves to Carolina strengths. Outside of Mack they get little pressure, and I think Cam is a good matchup vs them.

I expect them to win, or at least cover in a high scoring game. Oak is a good, but not great team. Carolina is an underachieving team, but can win this game, and certainly shouldn't be getting the hook, IMO.

Spot on...

Jtd64 · Nov 27, 2016

Nice plays bro wish I'd had tailed all your stuff today - I actually took pats -6 2nd half for a bad beat on the reversal of 2pt conversion (right call though) BOL tonight and rest of the season.

chonce · Nov 28, 2016

Sorry to hear that JTD. Pats -6? Fuck, I took Jets + 4. Wish I could've got a 6, I would've covered.

Anyway, just woke up to see Chiefs won (I fell asleep as they were down 3 in OT)!

Some good fortune for a 7-1 day + 7 units. Will tally it all up again after tonight. As I noted, I like Philly. I took the FH, but I don't think betting them for the game is a bad play. Philly, by some metrics, is actually an underrated team. And while GB is now officially exposed as a bad team (so the value isn't tremendous) I still have a hard time seeing them getting their Xs and 0s together to win a road game right now.