Yeah I read the details on the other thread. I think you are wise to hedge. I (unlike most others it seems) like the OVER more than others, but I would make sure you get some profit for sure. I would hedge in a way that you are still rooting for the OVER, but I wouldn't make the pay-out extremely lopsided.
Yeah I read the details on the other thread. I think you are wise to hedge. I (unlike most others it seems) like the OVER more than others, but I would make sure you get some profit for sure. I would hedge in a way that you are still rooting for the OVER, but I wouldn't make the pay-out extremely lopsided.
By the way, this is supplemental advice, but if you think the bears can't score, Tenn laying some chalk may not be the worst bet ever. I am mulling it myself (either FH or game).
But yes, hedge a bit for sure. You don't want to be pissed if the game goes over. So hedge enough that if it goes UNDER you feel smart for hedging, but if it goes over, you make more money. That is how I would do it.
EDIT: and yes, good luck to you too! Congrats on the sharp parley! You are going to make some money for sure - I can't say that! Few of us can. Well done!
But yes, hedge a bit for sure. You don't want to be pissed if the game goes over. So hedge enough that if it goes UNDER you feel smart for hedging, but if it goes over, you make more money. That is how I would do it.
EDIT: and yes, good luck to you too! Congrats on the sharp parley! You are going to make some money for sure - I can't say that! Few of us can. Well done!
Card:
Early games:
ATL -3 (1st half) - 1 unit
SD - 2 - 2 units
Ten Team Total OVER 23.5 (-115) - 1 unit
Ten (1st half) -3 (-115) - 1 unit
Late games
Car + 3.5 - 2 units
SNF
KC + 3.5 - 1 unit
MNF
PHI (1st Half) - 2.5 - 1 unit
As I said above, if I wasn't a Pat's fan I would bet the Jets + whatever. But betting against the Pat's takes the fun out of my Sunday, and I do this for fun, so I am likely (likely!) to refrain.
Early games:
ATL -3 (1st half) - 1 unit
SD - 2 - 2 units
Ten Team Total OVER 23.5 (-115) - 1 unit
Ten (1st half) -3 (-115) - 1 unit
Late games
Car + 3.5 - 2 units
SNF
KC + 3.5 - 1 unit
MNF
PHI (1st Half) - 2.5 - 1 unit
As I said above, if I wasn't a Pat's fan I would bet the Jets + whatever. But betting against the Pat's takes the fun out of my Sunday, and I do this for fun, so I am likely (likely!) to refrain.
Good start for me today. 2-0 hitting both Tenn and ATL FH -3. Ten has 21 of the 23.5 I need. And SD is up 7, though missed a FG which may have put them up 10 at the half.
So, anyway, 2-0 + 2 units so far today. Will look at 2nd half lines. Loving Tenn vs Chi -- the Titans are a decent team.
So, anyway, 2-0 + 2 units so far today. Will look at 2nd half lines. Loving Tenn vs Chi -- the Titans are a decent team.
I feel Oak is on a short week, overvalued, and the hook is really valuable (3.5 is suck a key number). Carolina is a good road eam, while Oak is actually not all that great at home. Oak has been lucky to win a lot of these games.
Lot of reasons. I don't think Carolina is the better team, but I think this is the better spot. And Oak struggles on D in areas that really lend themselves to Carolina strengths. Outside of Mack they get little pressure, and I think Cam is a good matchup vs them.
I expect them to win, or at least cover in a high scoring game. Oak is a good, but not great team. Carolina is an underachieving team, but can win this game, and certainly shouldn't be getting the hook, IMO.
Thank god for the hook! Carolina covers.
For the day: 5-1 + 6 units
For the week: 7-3 + 4.5 units
Year to date: 60-34 + 15.7
Only mistake today was taking the Jets + 4 2nd half (+100) instead of + 8 for the game (landed on 5). But as a Pat's fan I was happy to be wrong about that one.
Good luck all. I am on KC +3.5 tonight
For the day: 5-1 + 6 units
For the week: 7-3 + 4.5 units
Year to date: 60-34 + 15.7
Only mistake today was taking the Jets + 4 2nd half (+100) instead of + 8 for the game (landed on 5). But as a Pat's fan I was happy to be wrong about that one.
Good luck all. I am on KC +3.5 tonight
