Champions League, EPL and FA Cup Selections (Writeups included)

[VoiceofReason101]

3*: Top Play
2*: Medium Play
1*: Small Play

Saturday

1* Everton PK, -0.5 -117
1* Everton -0.5 +121
1* Everton O2, 2.5 -129
1* Everton O2.5 +101
1* West Brom PK, -0.5 -140
1* West Brom ML +103
1* West Brom O2.5 +103
1* West Brom O2, 2.5 -126
1* Reading PK -110
1* Reading U2.5, 3 -120
1* Shalke -1 -120
1* Shalke O2.5, 3 -123
1* Madrid -1, -1.5 -122
1* Madrid O3, 3.5 -114

Hitting West Brom and Everton pretty hard this week, V Anichebe being fit will be a bonus but if its decided he isn't I think we should be fine.

 

[dopenose420]

Good luck tomorrow..we seem to agree on a few.

 

[VoiceofReason101]

Sunday

2* Newcastle PK, -0.5 -112
2* Newcastle U2.5/3 -117
1* Manchester City ML -105
1* Manchester City PK, -0.5 -140
1* Manchester City O2.5 -134
1* Manchester City O2.5, 3 -111


Disappointed on Reading, seems law of averages caught up to them. Madrid when with B team on a sandwich game, bad call, use to wait on lineups, will have to on some games. Simply trying to beat value as I use to wait for lineups and then lose way too much value.

Speaking of which, starting tomorrow so we can keep track, I want to see according to 5dimes what the closing line is.

 

[dopenose420]

You like the under in Toon? I was thinking of over...

Man City is going to truck Chelsea so I like your picks there.

 

[VoiceofReason101]

Good luck tomorrow..we seem to agree on a few.

You like the under in Toon? I was thinking of over...

Man City is going to truck Chelsea so I like your picks there.

yeah what I figure is Toon may not score in this game if I lose my side, though my numbers show Toon 1.4-.SouthHampton 0.7 but due to spot I have to ride the Toon and under potential. Naturally soccer like all gambles is better left to luck.

 

[VoiceofReason101]

1* Tottenham Pk, -0.5 -112
1* Tottenham O2.5 -105

 

[dopenose420]

Good work today, VoR!

 

[VoiceofReason101]

Play Strength	Investment Amount
Leans: 5-2	0%
1*: 9-4-1	. +1.12%
2*: 7-5	+ 2.8975%
3*: 0-2	-2.38%
Overall 16-11-1	ROI: +1.6375

Note: No longer playing leans from here on out, will simply track them until the data supports them to be played. Minimum requirement being a 200 game sample size.


Pending 2 teamer: Man U ML -387 (W)/Open Parlay 1*


Rules: 3*=1% of the bankroll, 2*=.50% of the bankroll, 1*=.25% of the bankroll. You can adjust to your preference, this is only what I advise.

 

[VoiceofReason101]

1* Everton ML -560/Open Parlay
1* Everton ML -560/Open Parlay
1* Everton U3.5 -120
1* Real Madrid +1 -131
1* Real Madrid +0.5, +1 +102
1* Real Madrid O3 -146
1* Real Madrid O3, 3.5 -109

 

[VoiceofReason101]

Deciding to just keep records based on my 1-3* unit scale, a bit more simple to follow.

Madrid sweeps, Everton gives up a naughty goal late.

 

[VoiceofReason101]

Play Strength	Results
3* 0-2	-7.14*
2* 9-5	+5.95*
1*: 10-6	+4.26*
Leans/.10*: 8-7	-0.2267
Overall: 19-13-2	Overall: +3.07

Pending 2 teamer: Man U ML -387 (W)/Open Parlay 1*
Pending 2 teamer: Everton ML -560/Open Parlay 1*
Pending 2 teamer: Everton ML -560/Open Parlay 1*


Rules: 3*=1% of the bankroll, 2*=.50% of the bankroll, 1*=.25% of the bankroll. You can adjust to your preference, this is only what I advise.

 

[VoiceofReason101]

Play Strength	Results
3* 0-2	-7.14*
2* 9-5	+5.95*
1*: 10-6-2	+4.26*
Leans/.10*: 8-7	-0.2267
Overall: 19-13-2	Overall: +3.07

Pending 2 teamer: Man U ML -387 (W)/Open Parlay 1*
Pending 2 teamer: Everton ML -560(W)/Open Parlay 1*
Pending 2 teamer: Everton ML -560(W)/Open Parlay 1*


Rules: 3*=1% of the bankroll, 2*=.50% of the bankroll, 1*=.25% of the bankroll. You can adjust to your preference, this is only what I advise.[/QUOTE]


Will be passing on tomorrows FA CUP match unless a specific formation is used, which I don't anticipate happening but never say never. Already working on the big match in Italy, Napoli vs Juventus.

 

[VoiceofReason101]

1* Sunderland ML +130

grabbing this early.

 

[nicolaivinther]

Nice to see some + units in here.
Soccer is so damn hard, Impressive you can actually make profit.

 

[VoiceofReason101]

1* Napoli PK, +0.5 -126
1* Napoli O2, 2.5 -111

 

[VoiceofReason101]

Nice to see some + units in here.
Soccer is so damn hard, Impressive you can actually make profit.

Thanks Nico, seems your doing well with yourself in the NBA. Just hoping Napoli can score at least once tonight.

 

[VoiceofReason101]

Napoli surely deserved that goal, they are playing their hearts out. , both teams showing great form.

 

[VoiceofReason101]

Play Strength	Results
3* 0-2	-7.14*
2* 9-5	+5.95*
1*: 11-7-2	+4.205*
Leans/.10*: 8-7	-0.2267
Overall: 20-14-2	Overall: +3.015

 

[VoiceofReason101]

A bit busy as of late to do write ups, will get back to them once I've finalized a few projects.

Saturday's card will be up later tonight, also may have something for Sunday.

 

[VoiceofReason101]

Saturday



1* Sunderland ML +130
.50* Sunderland PK, -0.5 -101
.40* Sunderland PK -149
.10* Sunderland Draw +233
1* Sunderland O2, 2.5 -120
1* Sunderland O2.5 +111
.50* NewCastle +0.5 -122
.40* NewCastle PK, +0.5 +115
.10* NewCastle Draw +256
1* Newcastle Over 2.5 -128
.90* Stoke PK, -0.5 -120
.10* Stoke Draw +230
.50* Stoke Over 2 -145
.50* Stoke Over 2, 2.5 -104

leans

.05* QPR +0.5 +106
.05* QPR +0.5, +1 -121
.05* QPR Under 2.5/3 -124
.05* QPR Under 3 -101
.10* Chelsea -1, -105 -105 (may upgrade)
.10* Chelsea Over 3 -110 (may upgrade)
.10* Everton ML -249/Open Parlay
.10* Everton Under 3 -110
.05* Norwich +1.5, 2 -141
.05* Norwich +1.5 -112
.05* Norwich Over 2.5, 3 -138 (may upgrade)
.05* Norwich Over 3 -105 (may upgrade)
.10* AC Milan ML -148
.10* AC Milan Over 2, 2.5 -128

Sunday

Lean

.10* Hoffenheim +1.5, 2 -116
.05* Hoffenheim Over 2.5 -119
.05* Hoffenheim Over 2.5/3 -144

May be back for those upgrades tomorrow so stay tuned, if not I'll be back for a play Sunday night for the City vs Villa clash on Monday.