Saturday
Arsenal -1.5 -124 1*
Arsenal O3, 3.5 -114 1* -2.38
Everton -1, -1.5 -135 .25* -.3375
Everton -1.5 -104 .25* -.26
Everton O2.5, 3 -125 .25* +1
Everton O3 -107 .25*
Roma PK, +0.5 +106 .25*
Roma Under 2.5, 3 -105 .25*
Sunday
.50* Wigan PK, -0.5 -115. -.05
.50* Wigan U2.5 -110
.25* Madrid -2 -120
.25* Madrid O3.5, 4 -126 -.315
.25* Chelsea -2, -2.5 -114 +.50
.15* Chelsea Over 3.5 -124
.10* Chelsea Over 3.5/4 +102
.15* Liverpool -1, -1.5 -122 +.50
.10* Liverpool -1 -170
.15* Liverpool O2.5 -135
.10* Liverpool O2,5, 3 -109
Review: 11-10 -1.3092%
3 Tier System Records: 1*: 6-0 2*: 2-2 3* 0-2
1*=.25%
2*=.50%
3*=1%
% reflects wagered amount of the bankroll.
It is. The 1*, 2*, 3* is how I number the strength of my plays to avoid confusion. 3*=1%, 2*=.50% and 1*=.25%. I will always keep the 1*, 2*, 3* as I find it more practical on how to identify the strength of my plays. You see the % will be altered once enough data suggest to do so.
Plays up in a bit, doing a bit of reading.
Reviewing the weekend: In true Arsenal form, they provide another "odd match" which reflected lack of spirit and unity. This includes Wenger's lack of preparation. The rest went as expected, a good spot in Roma got the SU win and the rest were simply dominant. The two yellows early which drew a red for Ramos was the last string to what was a sub par weekend.
Just going to shoot this lone bullet, an a 2 team parlay with the 2nd leg open. This can be found in a few sports gambling outlets, be sure to ask if your unsure of availability.
.25* Man U ML -387/Open Parlay
rest of the plays tomorrow, need to make sure with Furgie.
Just going to shoot this lone bullet, an a 2 team parlay with the 2nd leg open. This can be found in a few sports gambling outlets, be sure to ask if your unsure of availability.
.25* Man U ML -387/Open Parlay
rest of the plays tomorrow, need to make sure with Furgie.
Yea it seems that way. Well due to such confusion I'll simply have to explain it better =D
My system rates games, They can go from 3* which is the strongest to 1* which is the weakest.
Note: The system can literally manage to rate every game has enough data to support the teams involve.
Note: I have the most data with EPL teams at the moment followed by Spanish, German and then Italian teams. You can say in a few years I'll have enough data to provide weekly plays on all 4 leagues. At least that's the target. Starting Thursday I'll be providing more specific records on how the system is doing in each league.
As for the percent part, that simply represents the amount of the bankroll I'm investing. 3* equals 1% of my bankroll at the moment. Again I've stated before, the percentages will change once the data supports it. The percentage is more important than the 3 tier strength indicator because the percent is the TRUE indicator of what really should be going in....investment wise.
So to recap:
3*=1%
2*=.50%
1*=.25%
So if I were to play two games, one at 3 stars (that's two 1% plays) and the other at 2 star plays (two .50% plays), you should be investing 3% on those two games total.
Note: If the play offers + or plus juice/vig then you wager to risk, if it has - or minus juice/vig you wager to WIN.
Any follow up questions needed, please don't be bashful, this is a forum, we are here to share. I'm sure someone will appreciate it.
RVP sits and value is also now gone so I'm sticking to a 1* strength play format here, remember 1* is the equivalent of .25% play of the bankroll. Man U offering plenty of speed in the middle, a game which I can see them make plenty of electrifying runs. Reading will counter with an equally offensive side. Naturally I'll be going the conservative route with the ML Parlay off a big game but I'm not too nervous as this a BRAND NEW SIDE should have plenty of motivation to make a positive impression on Sir Alex. Reading has been gritty as of late so I wouldn't put it past them to score at least once despite regulation struggles in mind.
Review: 11-10 -1.3092%
1*: 6-0
2*: 2-2
3*: 0-2
Pending 2 teamer: Man U ML -387 (W)/Open Parlay 1*
Man U wins SU giving us a parlay to complete in the future while the over pushes. Ferguson went bullish with a strong midfield and added Nani to the mix less than half way thru to give his side an overwhelming advantage. Back tomorrow morning for a breakdown of the Champions League match ups.
1*: 6-0
2*: 2-2
3*: 0-2
Pending 2 teamer: Man U ML -387 (W)/Open Parlay 1*
Man U wins SU giving us a parlay to complete in the future while the over pushes. Ferguson went bullish with a strong midfield and added Nani to the mix less than half way thru to give his side an overwhelming advantage. Back tomorrow morning for a breakdown of the Champions League match ups.
First I like to be clear that I'll be passing on all Champions League games this week. I'm doing some modifications on my system for this tournament moving forward.
I'm also going to track only my system plays from now on to avoid any confusion. If I were to make any adjustments on the percentage being wagered I'll be sure to point that out in the future.
Lets talk a little football.
Arsenal vs Bayern: Value lies in Arsenal here but I simply don't trust them against a more seasoned and talented team. The one area of concern for Bayern is their central defenders, Gunners can take advantage there. Bayern should get plenty of chances, they have too many weapons and switch play too often not to. To Arsenal credit the addition of Monreal is a nice one for this style of game. Game should be well played and a tight affair will be unsurprising, in the end I see a 2-2, 2-1 game.
If I had to play it: Arsenal +0.5, +1 .10*/+1 .10*/PK .05*-Over 2.5 .25*
Porto vs Malaga: Porto is the better side here but Malaga won't back down and have the ability to match up. Offensively the game seems pretty open but something tells me its too easy and Malaga would be better to change gears. I see a 2-1, 1-1 type of affair here.
I'm also going to track only my system plays from now on to avoid any confusion. If I were to make any adjustments on the percentage being wagered I'll be sure to point that out in the future.
Lets talk a little football.
Arsenal vs Bayern: Value lies in Arsenal here but I simply don't trust them against a more seasoned and talented team. The one area of concern for Bayern is their central defenders, Gunners can take advantage there. Bayern should get plenty of chances, they have too many weapons and switch play too often not to. To Arsenal credit the addition of Monreal is a nice one for this style of game. Game should be well played and a tight affair will be unsurprising, in the end I see a 2-2, 2-1 game.
If I had to play it: Arsenal +0.5, +1 .10*/+1 .10*/PK .05*-Over 2.5 .25*
Porto vs Malaga: Porto is the better side here but Malaga won't back down and have the ability to match up. Offensively the game seems pretty open but something tells me its too easy and Malaga would be better to change gears. I see a 2-1, 1-1 type of affair here.
Review: 11-10 -1.3092%
1*=.25%: 6-0
2*=.50%: 2-2
3*=1%: 0-2
Pending 2 teamer: Man U ML -387 (W)/Open Parlay 1*
Going to keep it simple here, now you boys know I have a 3 star rating and the specific amount I invest. Lets move on, I prefer to keep things out and the open. Transparency has always been important to me.
As some may know, I have been working and dealing with some other sharp cappers. Soon we'll be creating a pathway to success year in, year out, I'm simply tying the last knots there.
1*=.25%: 6-0
2*=.50%: 2-2
3*=1%: 0-2
Pending 2 teamer: Man U ML -387 (W)/Open Parlay 1*
Going to keep it simple here, now you boys know I have a 3 star rating and the specific amount I invest. Lets move on, I prefer to keep things out and the open. Transparency has always been important to me.
As some may know, I have been working and dealing with some other sharp cappers. Soon we'll be creating a pathway to success year in, year out, I'm simply tying the last knots there.
Today's games went almost as expected, Monreal didn't play due to club ties which in combination with Ramsey kept Arsenal as a persistent threat. Bayern controlled the game as Porto did. Bayern simply had way too many weapons when in control while Porto was a less influential offensive unit. Tomorrow we have another nice pairing. I'll be finding some leans soon enough.
