CBB - Added Games Fading & Other Stuff

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pops are you playing 1-1.5 line moves? Like Seton Hall was 1 pt down. so take the Hall
 

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pops are you playing 1-1.5 line moves? Like Seton Hall was 1 pt down. so take the Hall

i'm not touching any adv games yet. what to see how things shake out for today's games and than go from there. NIT could be much longer. need to see some desire factors for those with plans to visit the city
 

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Weber St. total has been bet up 7.5 points. It doesn't get any more tempting than that. Haven't decided whether or not to pull the trigger.
 

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Weber St. total has been bet up 7.5 points. It doesn't get any more tempting than that. Haven't decided whether or not to pull the trigger.

7.5 now, plus they tend to put the ball on the floor alot
 

I'm from the government and I'm here to help
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fail
 

I'm from the government and I'm here to help
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he lost with WKY last night and also lost Cleve St. others not out yet
 

Rx. Senior
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Wednesday march 14th

moving day. updating spreadsheets between packing boxes
 

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updated spreadsheet. it's setup for pivot tables, just need to put them together

w/o a detail analysis and very limited data, I would say early line move are mo better than closing line moves off of those, with NIT being mo better to follow
 

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right now i'm setting up 6 pivots tables for both the show and nit although there are 8 in each right now but more can be added w/o any problem. as I want to do some based on the actual line move number

this is what I will have on each

FU and FD off the early LM w/l
FU and FD off the closing LM (vs the early LM) w/l
FU and FD off the early LM R (line move was R or W line move was WRONG)
FU and FD off the closing LM R or W

let me know if you want any other included, very easy to add at this point or infact any time

remember they can only be done off of the existing data in the spreadsheets, and if you want anything else added than you need to do the work and provide those numbers
 

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updated spreadsheet with pivots

let me know wtf you don't understand
 

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Pops can you break down a couple outcomes from some of the games of yesterday as far as what you would of considered a play and a no play? For Instance the IONA/BYU game? The line I saw was BYU -2 OL went to -1.5 with the public on IONA? was BYU a play? Also I think I messed up the Line Movement for the Tennessee Savannah State game. I saw it as Tenn was 14 went to 13 around a half hour before game time with the public on Tennessee? But I see your closing line as Tennessee going to 14.5. So i'm confused. I played Savannah State had the cover and some bastard on Tennessee nails a pointless three at the buzzer for the cover. I swear it was like they were trying to cover that 14.5. Anyway I wish I would of took your advise and laid off the cbi and cit because I misread two of the lines.
 

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For Thursday.....Baylor opened at -8 with 80 percent of bets placed in Baylors favor. The line is now Baylor -7.5? Fade Baylor play South Dakota? or is this Vegas not admitting their line is wrong trying to sucker some SD bets? The early line move is what scares me?
 

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Pops can you break down a couple outcomes from some of the games of yesterday as far as what you would of considered a play and a no play? For Instance the IONA/BYU game? The line I saw was BYU -2 OL went to -1.5 with the public on IONA? was BYU a play? Also I think I messed up the Line Movement for the Tennessee Savannah State game. I saw it as Tenn was 14 went to 13 around a half hour before game time with the public on Tennessee? But I see your closing line as Tennessee going to 14.5. So i'm confused. I played Savannah State had the cover and some bastard on Tennessee nails a pointless three at the buzzer for the cover. I swear it was like they were trying to cover that 14.5. Anyway I wish I would of took your advise and laid off the cbi and cit because I misread two of the lines.

not going to play any of the CBI. too many other fish to fry
 

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For Thursday.....Baylor opened at -8 with 80 percent of bets placed in Baylors favor. The line is now Baylor -7.5? Fade Baylor play South Dakota? or is this Vegas not admitting their line is wrong trying to sucker some SD bets? The early line move is what scares me?

you need to hold on these until it gets closer to kick off as early public numbers are distorted because of so little action, esp on a game like bay and SD
 

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