Capping MLB 2007 #101a Ov/Un plus Las Vegas Q&A

[pops69]

Thursday August 8th

no pain, going for stars back in a few

j1: very high temp and low humidity, or high temp and very high humidity. confort zone for pitchers is 50-65 humidity. with all that said it ended up 1-0 in cinn yesterday. so expect the unexpected. in baseball it's all about avg scoring, OL, ML and weather and one key error, base hit or great fielding play that makes the diff one way or the other. (i didnt mention anything about era or whips, wonder why)

pdws and master were uploaded to the ftp last night, hope someone looks at the data for a change, went most of the day with about 3 wrong starting pitchers

later

 

[teazeman]

post the ss and i'll check it out pops, got some time this am.

 

[pops69]

pdws and wa nps in the link below. last one i'll every post if there are obvious pitcher errors or changes and no one calls any attention to them

i dont do this shit for my health

back to work, have about 7 OS nfl done, and 7 more to go than same thing needs to be done for cfb and less than 30 day left

later

 

[pops69]

flat line this morning as little actiong going on

the one that stand out to me is the shitting hitting dodgers

i bet the over 10 in that game early on because of pitcher era and whips as those are the ones that will move up and down as thats the way most bettors pick there games. now i'm already looking at an 11 in most OS so i'll likely come off of that one, hopefully a 11- once the early action is opened up and the over night low limits come off as well

btw

 

[sinatrac]

<TABLE class=rt_railbox_border2 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=TH vAlign=bottom align=middle><TD><TABLE cellSpacing=2 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=component_head align=middle></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR><TR class=bg0_sub vAlign=bottom align=middle><TD><TABLE borderColor=#ffffff cellSpacing=2 cellPadding=2 width="100%" bgColor=#ffffff border=0><TBODY><TR><TH class=bg0_sub width="20%">Matchup</TH><TH class=bg0_sub colSpan=3>Conditions</TH><TH class=bg0_sub colSpan=2>Game Time Temp</TH><TH class=bg0_sub>Heat Index</TH></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>ATL BRAVES
NY METS
Thu 12:10 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>PARTLY SUNNY, 40% CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS LATE.</TD><TD class=td>IN FROM RIGHT CENTER 8-13</TD><TD class=td>82 </TD><TD class=td>62 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>LA DODGERS
CIN REDS
Thu 12:35 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>PARTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS.</TD><TD class=td>RIGHT TO LEFT 8-13</TD><TD class=td>93 </TD><TD class=td>52 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>103</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>WAS NATIONALS
SF GIANTS
Thu 3:35 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY SUNNY.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO LEFT 11-16</TD><TD class=td>68 </TD><TD class=td>60 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>FLA MARLINS
PHI PHILLIES
Thu 7:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY CLOUDY, 60% CHANCE SHOWER, STORMS.</TD><TD class=td>RIGHT TO LEFT 8-13</TD><TD class=td>82 </TD><TD class=td>66 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>SD PADRES
STL CARDINALS
Thu 8:10 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>PARTLY CLOUDY.</TD><TD class=td>LEFT TO RIGHT 8-13</TD><TD class=td>89 </TD><TD class=td>53 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>95 </TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>CHI CUBS
COL ROCKIES
Thu 9:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>PARTLY CLOUDY, 20% CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS EARLY.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO RIGHT CENTER 10-15</TD><TD class=td>82 </TD><TD class=td>29 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>PIT PIRATES
ARZ DBACKS
Thu 9:40 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY FAIR.</TD><TD class=td>LEFT TO RIGHT 8-13</TD><TD class=td>101</TD><TD class=td>17 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>98 </TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>TB DEVILRAYS
DET TIGERS
Thu 1:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY CLOUDY, 60% CHANCE SHOWER, STORMS EARLY.</TD><TD class=td>IN FROM RIGHT CENTER 7-12</TD><TD class=td>79 </TD><TD class=td>71 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>MIN TWINS
KC ROYALS
Thu 2:10 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY SUNNY.</TD><TD class=td>IN FROM RIGHT CENTER 6-11</TD><TD class=td>93 </TD><TD class=td>45 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>99 </TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>SEA MARINERS
BAL ORIOLES
Thu 7:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY CLOUDY, 40% CHANCE SHOWER, STORMS.</TD><TD class=td>RIGHT TO LEFT 7-12</TD><TD class=td>83 </TD><TD class=td>74 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>CLE INDIANS
CHI WHITE SOX
Thu 8:10 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>PARTLY CLOUDY.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO RIGHT 8-13</TD><TD class=td>79 </TD><TD class=td>69 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

<TABLE cellSpacing=2 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=bottom align=middle><TD class=a1 align=left>Updated: Thu, Aug 9, 2007 at 10:10 AM EDT</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[ILMW]

Pops

Pops do you use the same OS that u have for baseball as for football?

 

[teazeman]

pitchers r correct.

 

[pops69]

Pops do you use the same OS that u have for baseball as for football?

yes

 

[joelatti]

Hey POPS....looks like our friend AA is followiing your lead...i see that he has a bunch of Under plays for week one NFL........That's not what I wanted to see

 

[pops69]

pitchers r correct.

tks teaz, i dont mind posting up data and spreadsheets as long as i know that they are being used

gl

 

[pops69]

Hey POPS....looks like our friend AA is followiing your lead...i see that he has a bunch of Under plays for week one NFL........That's not what I wanted to see

joe that's one that so fuck obvious but key is always when the lines open for business and hit them for the max, he just followed what i told him a year or so ago.

like today i have

lions un 36-
dal un 37

i think all those game are at least a point or two under those numbers

you think all of a sudden that the nfl coaches are going to start playing all there key players and trying to run up the scores. idts

gl

 

[Dawoofdaddy]

Pops, if you want some scalps, they should show up in college football this morning at phoe and pin.

if they didnt adjust already, duke/uconn and wisc/wash st should be scalps.

Florida Atl up to 3 from 1 yesterday.

Troy down to 24 from 26 yesterday and 28.5 opener.

 

[spesh]

joe that's one that so fuck obvious but key is always when the lines open for business and hit them for the max, he just followed what i told him a year or so ago.

like today i have

lions un 36-
dal un 37

i think all those game are at least a point or two under those numbers

you think all of a sudden that the nfl coaches are going to start playing all there key players and trying to run up the scores. idts

gl

got same lines and the diff is 2.5 - 3 points.... You taking all the scalps this am...cas was sleeping till i woke em up a little bit ago

 

[pops69]

got same lines and the diff is 2.5 - 3 points.... You taking all the scalps this am...cas was sleeping till i woke em up a little bit ago

no i'm not going to scalp any of my nfl ps #1 bets for the game. might consider a 2nd half if the numbers are right, but those last 8 min of the 4th qtr are like watching paint dry or counting sand

 

[bet2win.us]

Pops what is your take on the Mets game I see the data says one thing but common sense seems to be telling me something else which means the data is probably right as I have been known to use common sense like a spice.

 

[bet2win.us]

FYI

Bonds is not playing
Lo Duca is not playing
Beltran is not playing
dmitri young is not playing
brian mcann is not playing

 

[pops69]

Pops what is your take on the Mets game I see the data says one thing but common sense seems to be telling me something else which means the data is probably right as I have been known to use common sense like a spice.

opened 8 still 8, should have gone over the number yesterday with all of the other factors etc, avg runs show almost 2 more that ol but weather is in the pitcher power range. this one is a pass for me

 

[pops69]

fyi, got my 10 and 11, plus a few small scalps, so as soon i'm heading to the casino for bf. back in about 1+

glta

 

[bet2win.us]

fwiw

on the following early

mets un
det ov

GLTA

 

[pops69]

BATR

furnace is full

sure would be sweet if the cinn game could end on 10 or 11

btw