Browns +5.5

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Good job Lou
 

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You know when you're on the right side? When the turnovers don't go the way you had capped them and Cleveland wins outright.
 
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"No smart bettor who knows the starting QB was injured and didnt start in the prior game with no reports saying he will start next week is a fool."

I handicapped the game as if Watson wasn't going to start, which it looks like he isn't. I know exactly what I'm doing.
He had so much to say before the game...
 

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Purdy good call in here
 

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Great job by the few of you in here who saw Cleveland rising up.
It was a classic overreaction to the news of DeShaun Watson not starting for the Browns.
 

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Nostradamus Lou! What else in in the future?
I can say with a great amount of certainty that you don't have the balls to respond to all the nonsense you posted in this thread, which was ALL WRONG. How's that for a prediction?
 

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Nothing but discussion about the pick until G-man comes in and shits all over this thread. Several times I might add. And he was totally wrong.
 

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I can say with a great amount of certainty that you don't have the balls to respond to all the nonsense you posted in this thread, which was ALL WRONG. How's that for a prediction?
Once again I have predicted the future.
 

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You bumped your thread only to continue bragging about one game that didnt play out at all how you predicted. LOLOL

Cleveland wins the turnover battle and covers.
Wrong. They didnt win the T-O battle and that was your ONLY reason for making the bet . Thats not capping boy. Its called Guessing.
All I needed was plus 3.5 for it to be a play.
Two days after you posted the play - and THEN found out Watson was OUT is when you had no answer to Serbone because your only betting reason was 'turnovers'...
You were exposed for betting way too early with a "turnovers" reason ? LOL He wasn't listed as out until later in the week and wasnt even on the doubtful list on Tuesday when you posted your play? You didnt do your own diligent research...LOL.

If you only needed 3.5? - then why did you bet it when you could have actually found the injury reports during the week and if the line moved against you - then you could have still jumped on 5 or 4.5? Any smart bettor would definately re-bet that game with the +10 or 9.5 just to increase the win chances. Not You...
YOU also didnt answer the question of How you only need the +3.5" LOL
Try that in the next 10 bets and use the "turnover reason' for the play...DUH! We'll count all your plays as wins, if you just win the TO battle in each one when you predict them in advance of the week on Tuesdays.? Waiting for that, ought to be worth watching...
Just think how much money you can make betting only Who wins the turnovers in every game? LOL
That 4-0 record below my name was four games I played and posted here two months before the season started. You said back then it was too early but what the hell do you know?
Its about as stupid as anyone can be to bet any game before you know who is starting at Key positions?
Thats WHY you are only a trend bettor... Not a capper. You preach here to everyone about doing your OWN research - yet you dont even know who is playing??? LOL.. What a flip-flopping hypocrite you are...
One of the reasons I'm on this game is regression towards the mean in the turnover category. Are you familiar with that at all?
It WAS the ONLY reason Pal....And AGAIN...No one can predict turnovers. Lets see you post them this week for 50 college games and 12 more Pro games..??
Like I said in past posts.. the team could have covid and you bet it months ahead? LOL
G-Man:"No smart bettor who knows the starting QB was injured and didnt start in the prior game with no reports saying he will start next week is a fool."

Big Lou-ser: I handicapped the game as if Watson wasn't going to start, which it looks like he isn't. I know exactly what I'm doing.
You exactly - DIDNT KNOW that! You back-pedaled...Its Obvious to everyone or you would NOT have said that answer to Serbone. Instead - you lied and hated to look stupid when you found out LONG AFTER you posted your play at +5.5? - that Watson was out.. It was announced late on TUESDAY night that he did not practice on Tuesday -( Like I reported here in another thread). THATS WHEN you found out. He was still on the lust to pay then. So you couldn't have capped the game that way, liar. He wasn't listed as out on Monday or Tuesday or even on Thursday. Only way later in the week. ...
Huge overreaction to their win over the Cowboys last week. Dallas was feasting on turnovers through the first five games and it made them look better than they are. Today it's Cleveland who comes out on top in the turnover department.
Again! More flip-flopping lies. You are the GUY who says last weeks games have nothing to do with THIS weeks games...LOL You exposed yourself again in the Trends Thread yesterday? LOL
You invent answers just to accommodate your true lack for capping - other than TRENDS!
You know when you're on the right side? When the turnovers don't go the way you had capped them and Cleveland wins outright.
READ the game report Below, asshole. You won a bet by other factors but NOT by Turnovers... Bud.
No One can cap turnovers and If you think so the lets eee the full late prediction this week win all the games. LOL ! Maybe you can tell us on a live game which play it will be?
It was a classic overreaction to the news of DeShaun Watson not starting for the Browns.
News you didnt even know about before you made that stupid premature Browns+5.5 post.. It was announced late in the week days after you posted.LOL
I can say with a great amount of certainty that you don't have the balls to respond to all the nonsense you posted in this thread, which was ALL WRONG. How's that for a prediction?
Im Not Like You Louie..Ive answered thousands of replies to every member here on all my plays when asked.. Not you... Just like you never directly answered any questions I posted to your threads for years here... And you dont answer anyone else's, unless you can deflect to some other remark thats not relaxant.

Here is the game report:
Dont forget the SF missed two field goals as well - would have beat your line easily if both key players could have played the whole game. Its why I bet Cle in the 4tn quarter... KNOWING who was out!

Report: Jake Moody had a golden opportunity to allow San Francisco (5-1) to escape with a win, but he missed a 41-yard field-goal attempt wide right with six seconds to play.
Jordan Mason had put the 49ers ahead 17-13 when he rushed for an 8-yard touchdown with 10:58 remaining.
Hopkins made a 50-yard field goal just over seven minutes later to pull Cleveland (3-2) within one, and the Browns' defense followed by forcing a three-and-out to set up the game-winning drive.

Mason was in due to an oblique injury that forced star running back Christian McCaffrey out of the game in the third quarter. The 49ers also lost top wide receiver Deebo Samuel, who exited the contest in the first quarter due to a shoulder injury.
Without those weapons, Brock Purdy struggled,
completing just 12 of 27 passes for 125 yards with a touchdown and an interception. He took his first regular-season loss as a starter, falling to 10-1.

Where is Your bet slip from Tuesday??

Here is mine Bud.>LIVE
TypeOddsLine(s)RiskWin
Straight ^ Score: San Francisco 49ers 17, Cleveland Browns 13 > 4th Quarter 54'
159211547
10/15/2023 3:59 PM
+ 115[9260] CLEVELAND BROWNS + 2 ½ + 115 SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS @ CLEVELAND BROWNS NFL , Live Football400460
I wrote this about two hours before the Browns faced the Steelers in week two.

"Don't get hung up on what a team did last week "thinking" they will play the same type of game this week. I see several writeups saying the Browns will easily win this because their run game and defense will essentially play like they did last week when they beat Cincy 24-3.
Complete Hypocrite. Read his next sentence.LOL

There are so many variables angles you have to look at so just don't assume every team will play like they did last week."
BUT YOU PREDICTED THAT CLEVELAND WOULD WIN THE T-O BATTLE BECAUSE DALLAS DID FOR THE FIRST 5 GAMES AS THE REASON THEY WON? LOL
Why didnt you predict those 5 wins by Dallas?


LOL..Read these quotes again^ The Boy is nutty...^

here you go Louie. Now you can keep bumping your ONE win last week again.!
 

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G Man is correct, “regression to the mean” is nonsense in this spot, SF was +7 going in, Cleveland -7, no probability assessment would assume Cleveland would get more TO’s this game than SF (and they did not).

Also it was a bad idea to be on a game with such a complicated QB situation as Cleveland had.

SF was 5-0, that was a big reason to go with Cleveland, and they were on the road after a big statement win.. And Cleveland needed a win desperately, SF did not. A quality home 9.5 pt dog with a top D. I waited for the QB announcement and when Walker was announced and went with Cleveland. No way I’d support the UCL.A rookie.

Helped that McCaffery & Samuel left the game.

Yep faded Philly, too, my local said he knew I’d fade the two 5-0 teams.

Yes I lost some, too. No I do not post here much nor provide my rationale often, I mostly do not have time nor the inclination to do so.
 

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I said what I said. I know what I know. Not trying to get people to agree with me because when that happens I know I'm on the wrong side.

You bumped your thread only to continue bragging about one game that didnt play out at all how you predicted. LOLOL


Wrong. They didnt win the T-O battle and that was your ONLY reason for making the bet . Thats not capping boy. Its called Guessing.

Two days after you posted the play - and THEN found out Watson was OUT is when you had no answer to Serbone because your only betting reason was 'turnovers'...
You were exposed for betting way too early with a "turnovers" reason ? LOL He wasn't listed as out until later in the week and wasnt even on the doubtful list on Tuesday when you posted your play? You didnt do your own diligent research...LOL.

If you only needed 3.5? - then why did you bet it when you could have actually found the injury reports during the week and if the line moved against you - then you could have still jumped on 5 or 4.5? Any smart bettor would definately re-bet that game with the +10 or 9.5 just to increase the win chances. Not You...
YOU also didnt answer the question of How you only need the +3.5" LOL
Try that in the next 10 bets and use the "turnover reason' for the play...DUH! We'll count all your plays as wins, if you just win the TO battle in each one when you predict them in advance of the week on Tuesdays.? Waiting for that, ought to be worth watching...
Just think how much money you can make betting only Who wins the turnovers in every game? LOL

Its about as stupid as anyone can be to bet any game before you know who is starting at Key positions?
Thats WHY you are only a trend bettor... Not a capper. You preach here to everyone about doing your OWN research - yet you dont even know who is playing??? LOL.. What a flip-flopping hypocrite you are...

It WAS the ONLY reason Pal....And AGAIN...No one can predict turnovers. Lets see you post them this week for 50 college games and 12 more Pro games..??
Like I said in past posts.. the team could have covid and you bet it months ahead? LOL

You exactly - DIDNT KNOW that! You back-pedaled...Its Obvious to everyone or you would NOT have said that answer to Serbone. Instead - you lied and hated to look stupid when you found out LONG AFTER you posted your play at +5.5? - that Watson was out.. It was announced late on TUESDAY night that he did not practice on Tuesday -( Like I reported here in another thread). THATS WHEN you found out. He was still on the lust to pay then. So you couldn't have capped the game that way, liar. He wasn't listed as out on Monday or Tuesday or even on Thursday. Only way later in the week. ...

Again! More flip-flopping lies. You are the GUY who says last weeks games have nothing to do with THIS weeks games...LOL You exposed yourself again in the Trends Thread yesterday? LOL
You invent answers just to accommodate your true lack for capping - other than TRENDS!

READ the game report Below, asshole. You won a bet by other factors but NOT by Turnovers... Bud.
No One can cap turnovers and If you think so the lets eee the full late prediction this week win all the games. LOL ! Maybe you can tell us on a live game which play it will be?

News you didnt even know about before you made that stupid premature Browns+5.5 post.. It was announced late in the week days after you posted.LOL

Im Not Like You Louie..Ive answered thousands of replies to every member here on all my plays when asked.. Not you... Just like you never directly answered any questions I posted to your threads for years here... And you dont answer anyone else's, unless you can deflect to some other remark thats not relaxant.

Here is the game report:
Dont forget the SF missed two field goals as well - would have beat your line easily if both key players could have played the whole game. Its why I bet Cle in the 4tn quarter... KNOWING who was out!

Report: Jake Moody had a golden opportunity to allow San Francisco (5-1) to escape with a win, but he missed a 41-yard field-goal attempt wide right with six seconds to play.
Jordan Mason had put the 49ers ahead 17-13 when he rushed for an 8-yard touchdown with 10:58 remaining.
Hopkins made a 50-yard field goal just over seven minutes later to pull Cleveland (3-2) within one, and the Browns' defense followed by forcing a three-and-out to set up the game-winning drive.

Mason was in due to an oblique injury that forced star running back Christian McCaffrey out of the game in the third quarter. The 49ers also lost top wide receiver Deebo Samuel, who exited the contest in the first quarter due to a shoulder injury.
Without those weapons, Brock Purdy struggled,
completing just 12 of 27 passes for 125 yards with a touchdown and an interception. He took his first regular-season loss as a starter, falling to 10-1.

Where is Your bet slip from Tuesday??

Here is mine Bud.>LIVE
TypeOddsLine(s)RiskWin
Straight ^ Score: San Francisco 49ers 17, Cleveland Browns 13 > 4th Quarter 54'
159211547
10/15/2023 3:59 PM
+ 115[9260] CLEVELAND BROWNS + 2 ½ + 115 SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS @ CLEVELAND BROWNS NFL , Live Football400460

Complete Hypocrite. Read his next sentence.LOL


BUT YOU PREDICTED THAT CLEVELAND WOULD WIN THE T-O BATTLE BECAUSE DALLAS DID FOR THE FIRST 5 GAMES AS THE REASON THEY WON? LOL
Why didnt you predict those 5 wins by Dallas?


LOL..Read these quotes again^ The Boy is nutty...^

here you go Louie. Now you can keep bumping your ONE win last week again.!
You should try switching to decaf.
 

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And why do you keep betting on Thursday Night Football? Aren't you something like 0-7 on TNF this year?
 

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