Brotherwo's PGA 2012

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Maestro
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Sep 19, 2007
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Forgot to post for Semis, and now Im running out so I dont have odds yets but Im taking...

McIlroy over Mahan
Wilson over Westwood
 

Maestro
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8-7 +0.667
YTD 52-35-8 +12.039

Date Tournament Round Bet Risk Odds Grade W/L
2/22/2012 WGC - Dove Mountain 1 Ogilvy over Bradely +105 1 105 L (1.000)
2/22/2012 WGC - Dove Mountain 1 Fuyrk over DJ +110 1 110 L (1.000)
2/22/2012 WGC - Dove Mountain 1 Senden over Dyson -125 1 -125 W 0.800
2/22/2012 WGC - Dove Mountain 1 Choi over Stanely +100 1 100 L (1.000)
2/23/2012 WGC - Dove Mountain 2 Senden over Day +110 1 110 W 1.100
2/23/2012 WGC - Dove Mountain 2 Lawrie over Ish -130 1 -130 W 0.769
2/23/2012 WGC - Dove Mountain 2 Manaserro over Laird +105 1 105 L (1.000)
2/23/2012 WGC - Dove Mountain 2 Wilson over Rock -125 1 -125 W 0.800
2/24/2012 WGC - Dove Mountain 3 Kuchar over Kaymer +110 1 110 W 1.100
2/24/2012 WGC - Dove Mountain 3 Westwood over Watney -140 1 -140 W 0.714
2/24/2012 WGC - Dove Mountain 3 Laird over Lawrie -120 1 -120 W 0.833
2/25/2012 WGC - Dove Mountain 4 Kuchar over Mahan -115 1 -115 L (1.000)
2/25/2012 WGC - Dove Mountain 4 Hanson over Wilson -115 1 -115 L (1.000)
2/26/2012 WGC - Dove Mountain 6 McIlroy over Mahan* 1 -170 L (1.000)
2/26/2012 WGC - Dove Mountain 6 Wilson over Westwood 1 155 W 1.550
Total 0.667
 

Maestro
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The Honda Classic
Thursday Mar 1 – Sunday Mar 4, 2012

Furyk over Fowler -105 (favorite)
Crane over Bradley +130
Love over Perry -115
Schwartzel over Oosththiuzen -145
Howell over Wilson -130
Wi over Gay +100
Points over Overton +105
Tringale over Trahan -125
Leonard over KT Kim -120
McNeil over Maggert -130
 

Maestro
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Nice week at the Honda Classic, ended up making ~3 units

Honda Classic 7-3 +2.948units
YTD 59-38-8 +14.987 units

Date Tournament Round Bet Risk Odds Grade W/L
3/1/2012 Honda Classic - PGA National Golf FT Crane over Bradley +130 1 130 L (1.000)
3/1/2012 Honda Classic - PGA National Golf FT Love over Perry -115 1 -115 W 0.870
3/1/2012 Honda Classic - PGA National Golf FT Schwartzel over Oosththiuzen -145 1 -145 W 0.690
3/1/2012 Honda Classic - PGA National Golf FT Howell over Wilson -130 1 -130 W 0.769
3/1/2012 Honda Classic - PGA National Golf FT Wi over Gay +100 1 100 W 1.000
3/1/2012 Honda Classic - PGA National Golf FT Points over Overton +105 1 105 W 1.050
3/1/2012 Honda Classic - PGA National Golf FT Tringale over Trahan -125 1 -125 W 0.800
3/1/2012 Honda Classic - PGA National Golf FT Leonard over KT Kim -120 1 -120 L (1.000)
3/1/2012 Honda Classic - PGA National Golf FT McNeil over Maggert -130 1 -130 W 0.769
3/1/2012 Honda Classic - PGA National Golf FT Furyk over Fowler -105 (favorite) 1 -105 L (1.000)
Total 2.948
 

Maestro
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2 months and 9 tournaments through the season, here are some 2012 stats on where my winners are coming from, the bet type and the odds...

Type of Bet Bet Count Won Lost Push Win% W/L
FT 40 24 15 1 61.54% 7.363
1 19 10 8 1 55.56% 0.520
2 16 10 5 1 66.67% 3.772
3 11 5 2 4 71.43% 2.498
4 17 8 7 2 53.33% 1.134
Prop 3 2 1 0 66.67% -0.299
Future 0 0 0 0 #DIV/0! 0.000
Total 106 59 38 9 60.82% 14.987

Most value found between -120 and -140 and +100 and +120

Type of Odds Bet Count Won Lost Push Win % W/L
-141 6 4 2 0 66.67% 0.081
-121-140 31 20 9 2 68.97% 6.556
-101-120 38 18 16 4 52.94% 0.050
+100-+120 25 15 7 3 68.18% 9.000
+121-+140 3 0 3 0 0.00% -3.000
+141 3 2 1 0 66.67% 2.300
Total 106 59 38 9 60.82% 14.987
 

New member
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Mar 24, 2012
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Nice way to start off the season.. I'll be tailing you for a while.. hope you keep it up this week with the Masters!
 

Maestro
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I took a few weeks off due to work and went to Vegas for NCAA, anyways Im ready to get back into it.

Below are 4 futures I posted on Monday in General forum Masters thread however with the Furyk/Johnson bets value has been lost in the three days, now down to ~11000.

Furyk at +13500 is a steal
Z Johnson +13500
A few extremes but with value
Jimenez +26500
Barnes +37500

One more I added is Immelman +15000. His last 4 years at the Masters he came in 15,14,20, Win. And he had a nice tourney at Arnold Palmer to get in form for the Masters

I will have my matchups later today. I cant wait for tomorrow!
 

New member
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Jan 28, 2011
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Really like Furyk as a long shot that just hasn't seem to come up this week.

Wanted to get your thoughts about taking under 275.5 for the winning 72 hole score. With the wet course, especially with lift, clean, place being a possibility, I feel like some of the longer hitters can dip below that with the more receptive greens. Phil in particular was quoted as saying it could be a "birdie fest" and seemed almost distressed at the wet conditions evening the playing field.

Would appreciate your thoughts on that and am looking forward to your matchup plays.

Thanks and Enjoy!
 

Maestro
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The Masters April 5th-8th 2012

(Reminder I risk 1 unit on each matchup)
Full Tournament Plays
Snedeker over Fowler -117
Donald over Watney -132
Stricker over Garcia -145
Kuchar over Kaymer -145
Van Pelt over Kaymer -125
Jimenez over Glover -120
Baddeley over Glover -144
Watson over Day -133

Rd 1
Rose over Fowler -122
3 Ball Glover does not win pairing -277 (Baddeley and KT Kim)

Futures - all 0.1 units
Van Pelt +7000
Furyk at +13500
Z Johnson +13500
Jimenez +26500
Barnes +37500

Well a ton of chalk unfortunately but it is what it is. As you can see I'm fading Glover and Kaymer, Glover's game has not been there while Kaymer just hasnt shown anything in Augusta.
GL tomorrow and have a great Masters week!
 

Maestro
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Really like Furyk as a long shot that just hasn't seem to come up this week.

Wanted to get your thoughts about taking under 275.5 for the winning 72 hole score. With the wet course, especially with lift, clean, place being a possibility, I feel like some of the longer hitters can dip below that with the more receptive greens. Phil in particular was quoted as saying it could be a "birdie fest" and seemed almost distressed at the wet conditions evening the playing field.

Would appreciate your thoughts on that and am looking forward to your matchup plays.

Thanks and Enjoy!

If the storms stay away during the day and the conditions are moist scoring could be low. However if wind/rain is around during the afternoons scoring could move up and the field become very tight. With that said I can see a new Masters champion this year, especially with so many expectations for Tiger and Rory (however I wouldnt bet against those two :)
 

Maestro
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Sep 19, 2007
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Round 2
Haas over Stanely -135
Dufner over Howell -125
Oosthuizen over McDowell -125
Furyk under 71.5

Furyk missed a lot of close putts, I think he can put together a really low round tomorrow
 

Maestro
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Rd 3
Baddeley over Hanson -110
Dufner over Couples -124
O'Hair over Byrd -120

Futures to win Masters 0.1 unit
Dufner +1350
Kuchar +2100
 

Maestro
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Masters Summary +2.485units :toast:

Matchups 11-5-2 +3.185units
Futures 0-5 -.7units

YTD 70-43-11 61.95% +17.472units


Date Tournament Round Bet Risk Odds Grade W/L
3/5/2012 Masters FT Snedeker over Fowler -117 1 -117 W 0.855
3/5/2012 Masters FT Donald over Watney -132 1 -132 L (1.000)
3/5/2012 Masters FT Stricker over Garcia -145 1 -145 L (1.000)
3/5/2012 Masters FT Kuchar over Kaymer -145 1 -145 W 0.690
3/5/2012 Masters FT Van Pelt over Kaymer -125 1 -125 W 0.800
3/5/2012 Masters FT Jimenez over Glover -120 1 -120 W 0.833
3/5/2012 Masters FT Baddeley over Glover -144 1 -144 W 0.694
3/5/2012 Masters FT Watson over Day -133 1 -133 W 0.752
3/5/2012 Masters 1 Rose over Fowler -122 1 -122 W 0.820
3/5/2012 Masters 1 3 Ball Glover does not win pairing -277 1 -277 W 0.361
3/5/2012 Masters Future Van Pelt +7000 0.1 7000 L (0.100)
3/5/2012 Masters Future Furyk at +13500* 0.1 13500 L (0.100)
3/5/2012 Masters Future Z Johnson +13500 0.1 13500 L (0.100)
3/5/2012 Masters Future Jimenez +26500 0.1 26500 L (0.100)
3/5/2012 Masters Future Barnes +37500 0.1 37500 L (0.100)
3/6/2012 Masters 2 Haas over Stanely -135 1 -135 W 0.741
3/6/2012 Masters 2 Dufner over Howell -125 1 -125 Push -
3/6/2012 Masters 2 Oosthuizen over McDowell -125 1 -125 Push -
3/6/2012 Masters 2 Furyk under 71.5 1 -110 L (1.000)
3/7/2012 Masters 3 Baddeley over Hanson -110 1 -110 L (1.000)
3/7/2012 Masters 3 Dufner over Couples -124 1 -124 W 0.806
3/7/2012 Masters 3 O'Hair over Byrd -120 1 -120 W 0.833
3/7/2012 Masters Future Dufner +1350 0.1 1350 L (0.100)
3/7/2012 Masters Future Kuchar +2100 0.1 2100 L (0.100)
3/8/2012 Masters 4 Schwartzel over Kaymer -105 1 -105 L (1.000)
Total 2.485
 

Maestro
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RBC Heritage
April 12 – 15, 2012

Barnes over Gay +160
Wilson over Laird +105
Simpson over Z. Johnson -120
Duke over Mallinger -120
 

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