Brainiac's MMA and boxing PLAYS

[TheBrainiac]

Wed 4/1

5:00PM (EST)

UFC - Fight Night - 18

Cole Miller vs Junie Browning

My pick is Junie Browning to win

Odds : + 135

Where : bookmaker

3 units to win 4.05 units


Don't follow this one cuz this is ridiculous betting on a guy like Junie but I think Cole isn't much better either , same douche with better ground game off his back . Junie now training properly with good camp and I think he can take Cole Miller in this one . Also I don't believe in Xmas presents by bookies and thats what - 105 on Miller looked like for many , sure they aren't going to know more than people betting on this fight do but I think Cole Miller is nothing special so we would have two similar guys where Junie probably gonna have wrestling and striking advantage . If Cole doesn't catch him in a triangle I think Junie can take this one . Junie might be a dbag but Cole Miller didn't impress either , he won against Gurgel with like 12 seconds on the clock in what was a sure loss , got TKOed by Stephens who pretty much has no ground game and Cole couldn't sub him .

 

[kidman232]

this is for tonights event?

 

[TheBrainiac]

Looks like they are gonna start in 10 mins , forgot they start so early today.

Wed 4/1

5:00PM (EST)

UFC - Fight Night - 18

Tim McKenzie vs Aaron Simpson

My pick is Aaron Simpson to win

Odds : -175

Where : bodog

3.5 units to win 2 units

 

[TheBrainiac]

I think Stephens is gonna beat Tibau but didn't have enough time to cap this fight .
Trying to decide what to bet in Condit fight , other ones I am not really interested in . Credeur and Kimmons to win but both close so no bet either . Almeida is unknown to me , he doesn't fight a lot and might gas easily if it goes out of the first round , not betting on - 300 here .

 

[diktsohg]

Simpson wins in the 1st round

 

[TheBrainiac]

Did they start already ? You know what time this fight started ? LOL as I placed my bet at :50 , hopefully it's a cash .

 

[dps831]

the main card starts at 8:00pm eastern, all the undercard fights are over, except tibau vs stephens which im not sure is going to air live or not.

 

[dps831]

tibau stephens is actually going on right now, tibau takes first round 10-9 according to sherdog.com play by play

 

[TheBrainiac]

Tibau won by decision , glad I didn't bet on this one . Stephens always gonna have trouble unless he learns ground game or takedown defense .

 

[TheBrainiac]

Money out of the window on Junie , should know better . Seen this sub miles ahead coming , only Junie didn't .
Biggest gift by bookies in like MMA history .

Anybody got strong lean in main event fight ? Gotta make up for this loss .

 

[dps831]

i got a big lean on Kampmann, check out my thread for the breakdown

 

[TheBrainiac]

Thanks ! Same here , guess it's not a shame losing to Nate the Great , guy is huge compared to Hitman .

Wed 4/1

UFC - Fight Night - 18

Carlos Condit vs Martin Kampmann

My pick is Martin Kampmann to win

Odds : -115 & 120

Where : sportsbook & bodog

4.6 units to win 4 units & 2.4 units to win 2 units


Gonna bet aggressive on this one , even tho it's a late play . Rewatched Condit's last few fights this weekend , especially the one against Miura and he has some weaknesses .

 

[philly74]

o boy griffin is in trouble

 

[philly74]

wow impressive he got out of that

 

[philly74]

this is not looking good

 

[mnmux]

I'm On Kampmann just for and FYI

 

[mnmux]

Griffen has this no sweat

 

[philly74]

2 rounds to one you think?

 

[mnmux]

2 rounds to one you think?

Sweep

 

[dps831]

I think griffin took all 3 personally, although I could see someone giving dos anjos the first for that funky leg lock position