Brainiac’s Winter Sports

Search

They who lose today may win tomorrow
Joined
Feb 7, 2007
Messages
10,637
Tokens
BET # 2

20 Dez 14:15 CET

Individual 7.5 km (Hochfilzen/AUT)


Will Andrea Henkel (GER) finish in the top 7 ? (non-runner - no bet)


My pick is NOT TOP 7

Odds : 1.85

Where : betandwin

2.7 units to win 2.3 units


First wanted to take Neuner not TOP 7 but I think she is in better form than Henkel who has problems shooting , eg 6 errors in the 15 km race .
There are atleast 10 people who should finish in front of her , I don't count on her to go 0+0 and she is also losing a lot of time so far shooting pretty slow .
 

They who lose today may win tomorrow
Joined
Feb 7, 2007
Messages
10,637
Tokens
BET # 3

20 Dez 14:15 CET

Individual 7.5 km (Hochfilzen/AUT)

Svetlana Sleptsova vs Kati Wilhelm


My pick is Svetlana Sleptsova to finish ahead

Odds : -203

Where : pinnaclesports

4.06 units to win 2.5 units


Low odds but Sleptsova will probably need to make 2+ errors more than Kati for this not to cash , seriously Svetlana is in amazing form and this is why she is # 1 in the ranking at the moment . Wilhelm has a cold but tries to run today , honestly I don't think it can go well but anyway it will be up to Sleptsova who wins this h2h because she is much faster than Wilhelm and with 1 error more she still can finish ahead of Kati easily .
 

They who lose today may win tomorrow
Joined
Feb 7, 2007
Messages
10,637
Tokens
Value underdog that can be tried for sure Helena Jonsson + 137 over Martina Beck at pinnaclesports ! Jonsson always good for 0+0 , she had problems with the rifle in 15 km race so her result was pretty bad . Beck is very slow here and overall I think Jonsson should finish ahead of they had same amount of errors . I think it's 50/50 situation and odds look nice especially because I think Beck wont do well today with those conditions , we will find out I guess ...
 

They who lose today may win tomorrow
Joined
Feb 7, 2007
Messages
10,637
Tokens
First two bets in women race cashed easily , Wilhelm decided not to start , bad because this would be really easy money with Sleptsova only making 1 error and winning this race . Jonsson finished with 0 and 40 + seconds ahead of Beck , nice value .

Today : 2-1 + 1.23 units


Not great , but I also took Jonsson over Beck and two more bets with Sleptsova in TOP 7 ( finished 1 ) and Henkel to miss atleast once in standing position shooting ( missed 3 times ) so picked up more than 1.23 units today but wont count it on my record .

This season : 19-7 + 29.1 units

All : 84-37 +195.38 units
 

They who lose today may win tomorrow
Joined
Feb 7, 2007
Messages
10,637
Tokens
This season : 19-7 + 29.1 units

All : 84-37 +195.38 units


Like a lot of bets for men relay tomorrow , hopefully a sweep . There are many cheap odds but I think those are pretty safe bets .

I took time and counted total course time from the sprint today for all starters .


21 December

Biathlon - Men: World Cup 4x75km Relay Hochfilzen

Start time : 01:45 AM

Teams : http://services.biathlonresults.com/results.aspx?RaceId=BT0809SWRLCP03SMRL


Ukraine vs Italy

My pick is Ukraine to finish ahead

Odds : 1.40

Where : bet365

3 units to win 1.2 units


Counted course time from the sprint today 98.24 min for 4 Ukraine starters today , Italy 100.30 min ( Cola didn't start today so I counted his average time ) . 2 minutes better total course time for Ukraine also only made total 5 errros today out of 40 shots , italian 3 starters made 7 errors and I am sure Cola wouldn't finish with 0 either .
Last relay Ukraine was third and Italy 10th and 1.35 min in front of Italy .
Clearly Ukraine is a much better team and all 4 of their guys are very solid both running and especially shooting , don't see anybody running a penalty loop here as you get extra 3 shots in every shooting position while Italy is all weak but maybe De Lozenzi . Low odds but I see Ukraine in front by atleast 1.30 min .



Ukraine vs Belarus

My pick is Ukraine to finish ahead

Odds : 1.40

Where : betandwin

3.57 units to win 1.42 units


So 98.24 min for Ukraine starters today in sprint against 100.11 min of Belarus who only has 2 semi-solid starters but two of their other guys are rather weak . I count on Ukraine to deliver the goods tomorrow so I took them in 2nd H2H .


Norway vs France

My pick is Norway to finish ahead

Odds : 1.40

Where : unibet

4 units to win 1.6 units


This is my favourite bet so far , two previous ones are solid but this should be money in the bank .
Norway today with amazing form , Berger and Os finished 1st and 2nd in sprint with best running times by far .

Total course time today for Os , Berger , Hanevold , Gjederem : 95.56 min ! France four starters: 99.30 min and this is almost 4 minutes behind Norway ! If nobody falls down and collapses for Norway they should finish in front of slow turtles from France easily .


Germany vs France

My pick is Germany to finish ahead

Odds : 1.50

Where : unibet

4 units to win 2 units


97.25 min vs 99.30 min = 4 german starters had 2 min total advantage in sprint over their french opponents . I consider this a very good bet as well , Germany has much faster runners especially with Greis vs Fourcade as last starter I see Germany with a huge advantage here .


This looks like 4-0 , in a very worst case 3-1 even tho I am not sure how one of those can go wrong .
 
Last edited:

They who lose today may win tomorrow
Joined
Feb 7, 2007
Messages
10,637
Tokens
That's it for men race , off to bed and hopefully I can wake up in time to watch this .
 

They who lose today may win tomorrow
Joined
Feb 7, 2007
Messages
10,637
Tokens
Os had huge problems , hopefully others can be solid , rained and now heavy snow so conditions are horrible . I think both Defrasne and Fourcade should be very slow when its snowing like that , I just hope no other guy from Norway has to run a penalty loop .
 

New member
Joined
Oct 13, 2007
Messages
5,319
Tokens
Braniac... I'm not watching this race, but in this kind of race, do you have to run penalty loops or reload a rifle?

wow... france can't miss
 

They who lose today may win tomorrow
Joined
Feb 7, 2007
Messages
10,637
Tokens
Norway bet is done , hopefully other 3 can cash , France cant miss and Norway only took doping yesterday when I bet against Os ...

You can reload x3 in every shooting position so 3 prone and 3 standing for every guy .
 

They who lose today may win tomorrow
Joined
Feb 7, 2007
Messages
10,637
Tokens
Wolf 2 penalty loops , this will be a race to forget , real disgrace and nobody of them gives a fk .
 

They who lose today may win tomorrow
Joined
Feb 7, 2007
Messages
10,637
Tokens
I just hope this french guy falls down in snow now and doesn't stand up .
 

They who lose today may win tomorrow
Joined
Feb 7, 2007
Messages
10,637
Tokens
OMG Berger only 16 seconds behind France now HOLY ....

If Fourcade for France can miss some and Germany with Norway can shoot well anything is possible still ... this french guy lost loads of time .
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,118,012
Messages
13,550,463
Members
100,552
Latest member
taitdtcpro1
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com