...i thought that it will be a sweep today
Yesterday : 2-1 + 3.68 units
This season : 14-6 + 21.66 units
All : 79-36 +187.94 units
Next events
<TABLE class="" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=1 width="100%" summary=""><TBODY><TR class=altrow><TD class=textcenter>18/12/2008</TD><TD>World Cup 3 Hochfilzen 2 (SLO) / 20km - Men</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=textcenter>18/12/2008</TD><TD>World Cup 3 Hochfilzen 2 (SLO) / 15km - Women</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD class=textcenter>20/12/2008</TD><TD>World Cup 3 Hochfilzen 2 (SLO) / 10km - Men</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=textcenter>20/12/2008</TD><TD>World Cup 3 Hochfilzen 2 (SLO) / 7.5km - Women</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD class=textcenter>21/12/2008</TD><TD>World Cup 3 Hochfilzen 2 (SLO) / 4x7.5km Ry - Men</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=textcenter>21/12/2008</TD><TD>World Cup 3 Hochfilzen 2 (SLO) / 4x6km Ry - Women</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
This season : 14-6 + 21.66 units
All : 79-36 +187.94 units
Next events
<TABLE class="" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=1 width="100%" summary=""><TBODY><TR class=altrow><TD class=textcenter>18/12/2008</TD><TD>World Cup 3 Hochfilzen 2 (SLO) / 20km - Men</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=textcenter>18/12/2008</TD><TD>World Cup 3 Hochfilzen 2 (SLO) / 15km - Women</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD class=textcenter>20/12/2008</TD><TD>World Cup 3 Hochfilzen 2 (SLO) / 10km - Men</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=textcenter>20/12/2008</TD><TD>World Cup 3 Hochfilzen 2 (SLO) / 7.5km - Women</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD class=textcenter>21/12/2008</TD><TD>World Cup 3 Hochfilzen 2 (SLO) / 4x7.5km Ry - Men</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=textcenter>21/12/2008</TD><TD>World Cup 3 Hochfilzen 2 (SLO) / 4x6km Ry - Women</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Some odds are up already , found a bet I really like .
18 Dec 08 10:30 CET
Individual 20 km (Hochfilzen/AUT) - 10:30 AM
Will Michael Roesch (GER) finish in the top 10? (non-runner - no bet)
My pick is NOT TOP 10
Odds : 1.50
Where : betandwin
3.33 units to win 1.67 units
There are atleast 20 people who can finish in front of him , you dont run a penalty loop in this one , 1 extra minute is added to the original time for every miss , 20 shots total . In the first race he was 20th with 4 errors .
People I think will finish in front of him :
1.Svendsen
2.Sikora
3.Greis
4.Hanevold
5.Bjorndalen
6.Tcherezov
7.Kruglov
8.
9.
10.
So we have 3 places left and I see around 15 more people who can shoot well especially here when you need it to avoid 1 minute extra time : Fourcade , Sednev , Pinter , Sumann , Defrasne , Derezemlya , Ferry , Wolf , Os , Derkach , Leguellec , Tchoudov , Windisch , Meso
ch and few more people like Stephan , Maksimov , Makoveev , Bergman or Nilsson .
I just don't see Roesch in the TOP 10 , he will make some errors and he is in my list to avoid betting on in race with 15 km or more because he usually slows down after 5 km . Unless he finishes here with 0-2 errors I don't see him in the TOP 10 .
18 Dec 08 10:30 CET
Individual 20 km (Hochfilzen/AUT) - 10:30 AM
Will Michael Roesch (GER) finish in the top 10? (non-runner - no bet)
My pick is NOT TOP 10
Odds : 1.50
Where : betandwin
3.33 units to win 1.67 units
There are atleast 20 people who can finish in front of him , you dont run a penalty loop in this one , 1 extra minute is added to the original time for every miss , 20 shots total . In the first race he was 20th with 4 errors .
People I think will finish in front of him :
1.Svendsen
2.Sikora
3.Greis
4.Hanevold
5.Bjorndalen
6.Tcherezov
7.Kruglov
8.
9.
10.
So we have 3 places left and I see around 15 more people who can shoot well especially here when you need it to avoid 1 minute extra time : Fourcade , Sednev , Pinter , Sumann , Defrasne , Derezemlya , Ferry , Wolf , Os , Derkach , Leguellec , Tchoudov , Windisch , Meso
ch and few more people like Stephan , Maksimov , Makoveev , Bergman or Nilsson .I just don't see Roesch in the TOP 10 , he will make some errors and he is in my list to avoid betting on in race with 15 km or more because he usually slows down after 5 km . Unless he finishes here with 0-2 errors I don't see him in the TOP 10 .
No problem ... I just don't think it's a smart offer by bwin unless Roesch of course will finish with no error ... highly unlikely ...
I would rather offer Alexander Wolf TOP 10 bet and this IMO would be more of a coin flip than this offer where I dont fancy Roesch to make it into the TOP 10 .
I would rather offer Alexander Wolf TOP 10 bet and this IMO would be more of a coin flip than this offer where I dont fancy Roesch to make it into the TOP 10 .
Here first bet for women race
18 Dez 14:15 CET
Individual 15 km (Hochfilzen/AUT)
Will Helena Jonsson (SWE) finish in the top 5 ? (non-runner - no bet)
My pick is NOT TOP 5
Odds : 1.45
Where : betandwin
3.44 units to win 1.54 units
Don't get me wrong she is a great shooter , won this first event with 20/20 shots no error but today there is a difference situation . Weather is great and it's shown in men race where many people finished with few errors . Jonsson is pretty slow , in the first 15 km race she won she was fresh in the first race of this season and was able to show good running time but I don't see the the same result today as many people should be able to finish with just few errors and some will be able to make up 1 minute error on her due to better running time .
Low odds but honestly I can only see her making the TOP 5 with 0 errors . People I can see ahead of her , all solid shooters especially with such good weather many of them should be able to get good shooting results : Hauswald , Henkel , Beck , Iourieva , Rogstad , Wilhelm , Berger , Semerenko , Khvostenko , Levchenkova , Sleptsova . Those are just 11 people I came up with not to speak about all the underdogs who can also shoot well and come out with 0-1 errors .
Like I've said I only see her in this spot with no errors , lets find out .
18 Dez 14:15 CET
Individual 15 km (Hochfilzen/AUT)
Will Helena Jonsson (SWE) finish in the top 5 ? (non-runner - no bet)
My pick is NOT TOP 5
Odds : 1.45
Where : betandwin
3.44 units to win 1.54 units
Don't get me wrong she is a great shooter , won this first event with 20/20 shots no error but today there is a difference situation . Weather is great and it's shown in men race where many people finished with few errors . Jonsson is pretty slow , in the first 15 km race she won she was fresh in the first race of this season and was able to show good running time but I don't see the the same result today as many people should be able to finish with just few errors and some will be able to make up 1 minute error on her due to better running time .
Low odds but honestly I can only see her making the TOP 5 with 0 errors . People I can see ahead of her , all solid shooters especially with such good weather many of them should be able to get good shooting results : Hauswald , Henkel , Beck , Iourieva , Rogstad , Wilhelm , Berger , Semerenko , Khvostenko , Levchenkova , Sleptsova . Those are just 11 people I came up with not to speak about all the underdogs who can also shoot well and come out with 0-1 errors .
Like I've said I only see her in this spot with no errors , lets find out .
18 Dez 14:15 CET
Individual 15 km (Hochfilzen/AUT)
Olga Zaitseva vs Xianying Liu
My pick is Xianying Liu to finish ahead
Odds : 1.60
Where : sportingbet
5 units to win 3 units
I think Zaitseva is not as good in shooting as Liu who I rate pretty high when it comes to making your shots . Running I also rate Liu better than Zaitseva who didn't have any solid results this season . I am putting my money on Liu here not to make more errors than Zaitseva and with same shooting result Liu should finish ahead . Honestly tho I think Liu will have good results today with this weather .
Individual 15 km (Hochfilzen/AUT)
Olga Zaitseva vs Xianying Liu
My pick is Xianying Liu to finish ahead
Odds : 1.60
Where : sportingbet
5 units to win 3 units
I think Zaitseva is not as good in shooting as Liu who I rate pretty high when it comes to making your shots . Running I also rate Liu better than Zaitseva who didn't have any solid results this season . I am putting my money on Liu here not to make more errors than Zaitseva and with same shooting result Liu should finish ahead . Honestly tho I think Liu will have good results today with this weather .
