Brainiac’s Winter Sports

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Hi!

Just noticed this thread

I'm impressed with you record... you making nice money on this... I might jump on the train... don't know if I should to wait some more or to jump right away...

BOL!
 

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Events this week

<TABLE class="" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=1 width="100%" summary=""><TBODY><TR class=altrow><TD class=textcenter>12/12/2008</TD><TD>Hochfilzen (AUT) / 10 km Sprint - Men</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=textcenter>12/12/2008</TD><TD>Hochfilzen (AUT) / 7,5 km Sprint - Women</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD class=textcenter>13/12/2008</TD><TD>Hochfilzen (AUT) / 12,5 km Pursuit - Men</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=textcenter>13/12/2008</TD><TD>Hochfilzen (AUT) / 10 km Pursuit - Women</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD class=textcenter>14/12/2008</TD><TD>Hochfilzen (AUT) / 4x7,5-km-Relay - Men</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=textcenter>14/12/2008</TD><TD>Hochfilzen (AUT) / 4x6 km Relay - Women</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>


I have account at most bookies that offer biathlon bets but also will try to open new accounts before those events .

Have account : betandwin , unibet , sportingbet , pinnaclesports , gamebookers .

Will try to open this week : bet365 , nordicbet and expekt .
 

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Hi!

Just noticed this thread

I'm impressed with you record... you making nice money on this... I might jump on the train... don't know if I should to wait some more or to jump right away...

BOL!

jump !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Brain is good in this....we have agroup of 3 guys here who follow these events (especially biathlon) all the time on TV..if you see what s going on you have a real advantage in this sport as you can see with Brainiac s record.
 

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jump !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Brain is good in this....we have agroup of 3 guys here who follow these events (especially biathlon) all the time on TV..if you see what s going on you have a real advantage in this sport as you can see with Brainiac s record.

will do! Could someone tell me when winter sports season starts and ends... and which sportsbooks to use? I have pinny, thegreek, bodog, wsex, bwin accounts

Thanks and best of luck!:toast:
 

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Here is the biathlon schedule for this season , 48 races left :

<TABLE class="" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=1 width="100%" summary=""><TBODY><TR class=altrow><TD class=textcenter>12/12/2008</TD><TD>World Cup 2 Hochfilzen (AUT) / 10km - Men</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=textcenter>12/12/2008</TD><TD>World Cup 2 Hochfilzen (AUT) / 7.5km - Women</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD class=textcenter>13/12/2008</TD><TD>World Cup 2 Hochfilzen (AUT) / 12.5 Km pursuit - Men</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=textcenter>13/12/2008</TD><TD>World Cup 2 Hochfilzen (AUT) / 10 Km pursuit - Women</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD class=textcenter>14/12/2008</TD><TD>World Cup 2 Hochfilzen (AUT) / 4x7.5km Ry - Men</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=textcenter>14/12/2008</TD><TD>World Cup 2 Hochfilzen (AUT) / 4x6km Ry - Women</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD class=textcenter>18/12/2008</TD><TD>World Cup 3 Hochfilzen 2 (SLO) / 20km - Men</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=textcenter>18/12/2008</TD><TD>World Cup 3 Hochfilzen 2 (SLO) / 15km - Women</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD class=textcenter>20/12/2008</TD><TD>World Cup 3 Hochfilzen 2 (SLO) / 10km - Men</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=textcenter>20/12/2008</TD><TD>World Cup 3 Hochfilzen 2 (SLO) / 7.5km - Women</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD class=textcenter>21/12/2008</TD><TD>World Cup 3 Hochfilzen 2 (SLO) / 4x7.5km Ry - Men</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=textcenter>21/12/2008</TD><TD>World Cup 3 Hochfilzen 2 (SLO) / 4x6km Ry - Women</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD class=textcenter>07/01/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 4 Oberhof (GER) / 4x6km Ry - Women</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=textcenter>08/01/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 4 Oberhof (GER) / 4x7.5km Ry - Men</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD class=textcenter>09/01/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 4 Oberhof (GER) / 7.5km - Women</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=textcenter>10/01/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 4 Oberhof (GER) / 10km - Men</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD class=textcenter>11/01/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 4 Oberhof (GER) / 12.5 Km mass start - Women</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=textcenter>11/01/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 4 Oberhof (GER) / 15 Km mass start - Men</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD class=textcenter>14/01/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 5 Ruhpolding (GER) / 4x6km Ry - Women</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=textcenter>15/01/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 5 Ruhpolding (GER) / 4x7.5km Ry - Men</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD class=textcenter>16/01/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 5 Ruhpolding (GER) / 7.5km - Women</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=textcenter>17/01/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 5 Ruhpolding (GER) / 10km - Men</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD class=textcenter>18/01/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 5 Ruhpolding (GER) / 12.5 Km pursuit - Women</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=textcenter>18/01/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 5 Ruhpolding (GER) / 12.5 Km pursuit - Men</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD class=textcenter>22/01/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 6 Antholz-Anterselva (ITA) / 7.5km - Women</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=textcenter>23/01/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 6 Antholz-Anterselva (ITA) / 10km - Men</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD class=textcenter>24/01/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 6 Antholz-Anterselva (ITA) / 10 Km pursuit - Women</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=textcenter>24/01/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 6 Antholz-Anterselva (ITA) / 12.5 Km pursuit - Men</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD class=textcenter>25/01/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 6 Antholz-Anterselva (ITA) / 12.5 Km mass start - Women</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=textcenter>25/01/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 6 Antholz-Anterselva (ITA) / 15 Km mass start - Men</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD class=textcenter>11/03/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 7 Vancouver (CAN) / 15km - Women</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=textcenter>11/03/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 7 Vancouver (CAN) / 20km - Men</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD class=textcenter>13/03/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 7 Vancouver (CAN) / 7.5km - Women</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=textcenter>13/03/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 7 Vancouver (CAN) / 10km - Men</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD class=textcenter>14/03/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 7 Vancouver (CAN) / 4x6km Ry - Women</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=textcenter>14/03/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 7 Vancouver (CAN) / 4x7.5km Ry - Men</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD class=textcenter>19/03/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 8 Trondheim (NOR) / 10km - Men</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=textcenter>19/03/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 8 Trondheim (NOR) / 7.5km - Women</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD class=textcenter>21/03/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 8 Trondheim (NOR) / 12.5 Km pursuit - Men</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=textcenter>21/03/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 8 Trondheim (NOR) / 10 Km pursuit - Women</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD class=textcenter>22/03/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 8 Trondheim (NOR) / 15 Km mass start - Men</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=textcenter>22/03/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 8 Trondheim (NOR) / 12.5 Km mass start - Women</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD class=textcenter>26/03/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 9 Khanty-Mansiysk (RUS) / 10km - Men</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=textcenter>27/03/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 9 Khanty-Mansiysk (RUS) / 7.5km - Women</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD class=textcenter>28/03/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 9 Khanty-Mansiysk (RUS) / 12.5 Km pursuit - Men</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=textcenter>28/03/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 9 Khanty-Mansiysk (RUS) / 10 Km pursuit - Women</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD class=textcenter>29/03/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 9 Khanty-Mansiysk (RUS) / 15 Km mass start - Men</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=textcenter>29/03/2009</TD><TD>World Cup 9 Khanty-Mansiysk (RUS) / 12.5 Km mass start - Women</TD><TD> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>


Accounts I use : betandwin , unibet , sportingbet , pinnaclesports , gamebookers , bet365 .

Will try to open this week : nordicbet and expekt .
 

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Getting ready for those races tomorrow early .

dfdgrf1.jpg


Weather looks OK .

12:00


Visibility during the men's training session is good. Most bullets find their targets, probably.


There is a bit of discontent with some of the fans, though: There are no more tickets for the Stadium area on the weekend. According to some very experienced fans, regular visitors to the Hochfilzen World Cup, this is completely unprecedented for the day before the first competition.


"We only got here yesterday in the afternoon, and today, in the morning, there were only course tickets left", says one. Another reminisces: "It is still very familial here. You get really close to the athletes. Not quite as close as in Antholz in 1995 when we almost could have stolen Frank Luck's rifle."


By and large, the fans are very pleased with the local organization: "The sport changes, that's our own fault. They still have tickets for the second World Cup. We'll just stay another week."


9:30


One day before the start of competitions, the press center is still rather sparsely populated. There is room for about 70 media representatives in the converted gym and most of this space will be taken on the competition days - but not today. The official training of the men won't start until an hour from now, the women will get their chance for some practice laps and shots in the early afternoon.

It is still rather foggy outside, which is not going to change much according to the weather reports. There are about 40 centimeters of snow at the moment and there might be some more tomorrow.
 

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Friedrich PINTER (AUT) vs Vincent DEFRASNE (FRA)

My pick is Vincent DEFRASNE (FRA) to finish ahead

Odds : 2.00

Where : unibet

3 units to win 3 units


Ok , here is the first bet on the card . I don't understand how this turtle aka Pinter is favoured over Defrasne based on their pefromance so far this season .

First sprint :

<TABLE class="" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=1 width="100%" summary=""><TBODY><TR><TD class=" textcenter">40</TD><TD>Vincent DEFRASNE (FRA) </TD><TD class=textcenter>2+0</TD><TD class=textcenter>27:24.7</TD><TD class=textcenter>+1:42.4</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE class="" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=1 width="100%" summary=""><TBODY><TR><TD class=" textcenter">52</TD><TD>Friedrich PINTER (AUT) </TD><TD class=textcenter>1+0</TD><TD class=textcenter>27:36.9</TD><TD class=textcenter>+1:54.6
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Defrasne had one error more but still finished 12.2 seconds ahead which means he was around 40 seconds faster in running than Pinter .

Pursuit results :

<TABLE class="" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=1 width="100%" summary=""><TBODY><TR class=altrow><TD class=" textcenter">25</TD><TD>Vincent DEFRASNE (FRA) </TD><TD class=textcenter>0+1+1+1</TD><TD class=textcenter>36:51.85</TD><TD class=textcenter>+1:56.3</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE class="" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=1 width="100%" summary=""><TBODY><TR><TD class=" textcenter">38</TD><TD>Friedrich PINTER (AUT) </TD><TD class=textcenter>1+0+2+0</TD><TD class=textcenter>37:35.29</TD><TD class=textcenter>+2:39.7</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Again Defrasne was better than Pinter , so he started 12 seconds ahead , both made same amount of errors and Defrasne finished 43.4 seconds ahead of Pinter - 12 seconds = 31.4 seconds Defrasne was better with pure run/shooting time .


Both are pretty solid shooters but I give the edge to Defrasne and running form clearly speaks for the frenchman as well . With same amount of errors Defrasne should finish in front without much trouble if they both show the results they did last week . With one error more I think Defrasne still not out of chances here against a slow guy like Pinter who also will give up some time to Defrasne on shooting alone , not to speak about better running form of Vincent Defrasne so far .
 

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Tons of h2h's at unibet but I see no value in any of those match ups like Sikora vs Greis vs Svendsen vs Bjoerndalen .
Russians had great results here last year getting 4 spots in the top 6 ! but so far in this early season they are in pretty bad shape so I count touch them before I see real form .
More bets later tonight when I get my bet365 account fixed .
 

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it's already even money... 1.85 1.85.... while I was creating my account it droped... hate to lose a value

Thanks and GL!
 

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OK ... it's 4.30 am here and I just woke up , caught a cold few days ago so so went to sleep very early . Back with more picks very soon , hopefully it will be a profitable event .
 

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Official preview


There is a lot to make up for in the Russian men's team. Coach Vladimir Alikin: "Our performance in Östersund was not very good. We'll have to do much better in Hochfilzen. Apart from that, Mihail Prohorov, the new President of the Russian Biathlon Union, is going to come here for a visit. We definitely can't make a fool of ourselves. We'll try to get a minimum of a podium finish, at best a victory."


Eckhoff replaces Berger


In the Norwegian team, Stian Eckhoff has replaced Lars Berger. Berger is competing in the IBU Cup again. Emil Hegle Svendsen, Ole Einar Björndalen, Halvard Hanevold and Alexander Os are already in great shape, as they demonstrated quite impressively in Östersund. Youngster Svendsen currently leads the World Cup Total Score after three competitions.


The gentlemen from the Ukraine also have high hopes after their performance in the Östersund individual, when Sergei Sednev (4th), Andreiy Deryzemlya (6th) and Vyacheslav Derkach (10th) all finished in the top ten.


Head coach Levgenii Kolupaiev was not even surprised by the success of his athletes: "We have a stable squad with Deryzemlya being a very experienced leader. Sednev is still young but his shooting has become more reliable. If he can improve his skiing a little then he will become an excellent biathlete."


French skis not good on Scandinavian snow


The French are also hoping to improve somewhat this week. "In Östersund", says the men's shooting coach Siegfried Mazet, "our skis didn't go so well during the individual - that was because of the Scandinavian snow. We were also lacking a bit of competition toughness, but we were very satisfied with the third place finish by Simon Fourcade.


The ladies from France performed rather poorly last week but are in better shape now - says coach Jean Paul Giacino: "Sandrine Bailly is focussing on the World Championships anyways. She wants to win at least one gold medal there, and she really should. The overall World Cup is not as important for her."


Young hopeful Marie Laure Brunet, the most consistent member of the squad last week, aims at ending up in the top 30 of the overall score, says Giacino, "as well as a top ten finish every once in a while."


In the German squad there was a long-scheduled change. Simone Hauswald (formerly Denkinger) returns to the World Cup team for Anne Preussler. Much like the men from Norway, the German women also had a great start into the season. With Kati Wilhelm and Martina Beck, two Germans are in the two first positions in the World Cup Total Score.


BET # 2

Frode Andresen (NOR) vs Alexander OS (NOR)

My pick is Alexander OS (NOR) to finish ahead

Odds : 1.85 & 1.83

Where : betandwin & bet365

2.7 units to win 2.3 units & 2 units to win 1.66 units


WOW , I just love this bet . How am I getting even odds on Os over a guy like Frode Andresen I am not sure ...

Individual

<TABLE class="" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=1 width="100%" summary=""><TBODY><TR><TD class=" textcenter">2</TD><TD>Alexander OS (NOR) </TD><TD class=textcenter>0+0+0+2</TD><TD class=textcenter>59:43.0</TD><TD class=textcenter>+50.5</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE class="" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=1 width="100%" summary=""><TBODY><TR><TD class=" textcenter">16</TD><TD>Frode Andresen (NOR) </TD><TD class=textcenter>0+0+1+3</TD><TD class=textcenter>1:02:07.2</TD><TD class=textcenter>+3:14.7</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Os missed two last shots here out of 20 otherwise he would be 1st in this race , Andresen once again horrible in standing position shooting , it will always be the same .


Sprint

<TABLE class="" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=1 width="100%" summary=""><TBODY><TR><TD class=" textcenter">16</TD><TD>Alexander OS (NOR) </TD><TD class=textcenter>2+1</TD><TD class=textcenter>26:47.1</TD><TD class=textcenter>+1:04.8</TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD class=" textcenter">17</TD><TD>Frode Andresen (NOR) </TD><TD class=textcenter>0+3</TD><TD class=textcenter>26:55.1</TD><TD class=textcenter>+1:12.8</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Os had problems with his riffle during the first prone position shooting and missed two , Frode AGAIN misses almost everything in standing position shooting . With same amount of errors Os was 8 seconds faster .
Pursuit

<TABLE class="" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=1 width="100%" summary=""><TBODY><TR><TD class=" textcenter">14</TD><TD>Alexander OS (NOR) </TD><TD class=textcenter>0+1+1+2</TD><TD class=textcenter>36:13.50</TD><TD class=textcenter>+1:18.0</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE class="" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=1 width="100%" summary=""><TBODY><TR><TD class=" textcenter">36</TD><TD>Frode Andresen (NOR) </TD><TD class=textcenter>2+2+0+3</TD><TD class=textcenter>37:34.18</TD><TD class=textcenter>+2:38.6</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Typical amount of errors for Frode Andresen just once again .


So even odds on this h2h is gold value on a much more stable shooter and Os is now faster than old dog Frode , this isn't Andresen who was the best runner in whole circuit some years ago . What I am putting my money on here is that Os usually a solid shooter doesn't make 2 errors in prone position shooting , I think tops he should have 2 errors total tomorrow but honestly think 0-1 . Andresen on the other hand maybe with some luck can get a 0 in prone position shooting but standing I see 2 or more errors coming up here . With same amount of errrors Os should finish ahead of Andresen , I think Os is in great shape , well he did cost me in this pursuit when I picked him over Wolf who had great race with just 2 errors but now is the time to make it up . Only if Os makes more errors than Andresen he wont finish in front but IMO this is rather unlikely .


Current odds I see already betandwin only 1.65 , sportingbet 1.75 , bet365 1.72 , unibet 1.65 .

Still I think 1.75 and 1.72 are solid odds , I would make it 1.60 vs 2.20 ( should be more than 2.20 but this is how bookies usually juice those bets , hehe ) . 3-0 for Os this season in the h2h , make it 4-0 tomorrow .
 

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thanks a lot for write ups and previews...i am already at work and cant really cap the races...unfortunately i have only pinny available and none of your matchups is available there, but i wish you good luck and looking forward to your picks for the girls..hopefully i can follow there with pinny matchups

BOL
 

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At pinnacle I would take Halvard Hanevold over Michael Roesch and maybe Alexander Os over Maxim Tchoudov .
 

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I believe OS is in great form , this is why I took him over Andresen , hopefully he comes out with 0+0 today or atleast not more than 1 error , good luck .
 

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Adding last one for men race , starts in 15 minutes . Placed 3 bets so I can make small profit if I go 2-1 .

BET # 3

Alexander Wolf (GER) vs Michael ROESCH (GER)

My pick is Alexander Wolf (GER) to finish ahead

Odds : 1.90

Where : sportingbet

4 units to win 3.6
 

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didn't saw that last one... it started already?

Well... good luck on your plays!

where can I check standings?
 

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This live update is amazing http://services.biathlonresults.com/datacenterSL_en.aspx

Defrasne just lost to Pinter by making 3 errors out of 5 shots in standing position shooting ( had 0 in first one ) , other two bets look solid so far . Defrasne just not in for this race today at all , looks in horrible shape and just stopped shooting after making 3 errors and starred into the air , too bad but hope 2-1 it will be .
 

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1-1 so far with +0.6 units but Andresen still didn't start , Os finished with only 1 error and has rock solid running time , Frode Andresen only likely to top this with zero errors . Dumb Defrasne finished 5.2 seconds behind , both had 3 errors but Defrasne really blew it missing 3 out of 5 shots in last standing position shooting , wouldn't he stop shooting with one to go he probably would finish 2-3 seconds in front , oh well .
 

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