sportsfan - i'll have everything up by the weekend. Kudos for taking those kids out there. Those are great experiences for young guys, they should have a blast.
kdub - thanks and GL to you
Pipestew - you hit the nail on the head.
shoboy - i always cringe once my posts start getting lengthy. i realize i make a lot of lengthy posts. once these fingers get rolling, i cant stop and feel like i havent gotten my point across. it makes it worthwhile to know the posts are appreciated and people can gain something from them - for better or wose. GL
delta - thanks and GL this weekend
kdub - thanks and GL to you
Pipestew - you hit the nail on the head.
shoboy - i always cringe once my posts start getting lengthy. i realize i make a lot of lengthy posts. once these fingers get rolling, i cant stop and feel like i havent gotten my point across. it makes it worthwhile to know the posts are appreciated and people can gain something from them - for better or wose. GL
delta - thanks and GL this weekend
What???
So picking 100% winners isn't likely????
So true, as I read somewhere...in the end capping sports is really just guessing the winner but those that are successful make much more educated "guesses". The idea is to use all information available to give yourself the best percentage chance of being right.
Other interpretations from this chart:
1. Offensively: Passing offense has more of an outcome on a game than rushing offense - both on the scoreboard and the win column.
2. Defensively: Rushing defense Yards per carry is more important than yards per game.
3. Passing offense, 1st downs/game and converting 3rd downs all have more impact on a game than turnover margin.
4. Yards per catch/yards per pass is the most important statistic of passing defense when determining points allowed and wins.
5. Sacks play a big part of winning football games, but dont have a big impact on the scoreboard. Interpretation: Teams that sack that QB have a good chance of winning, but doesnt necessarily effect the over/under.
box,i fully understand you're not going to admit you were wrong about the game and that is fine...we see what we want to see...but,and this is a big but,dont try and convince me that you believe minnesota was the right side....i've thorougly enjoyed our little conversation and hope you dont get too bent out of shape...just watched n illinois tie it up and i've got em -3
Do not say much here on therx....but this is one HELL of an outstanding post by Box.
The hardest thing to do here is to stick your neck out put an opinion on the therx--since 'cappers probably spend too much responding to inane comments. The easiest thing to do is tear somebody down with little in terms of substance to argue their opinion.
Funny thing is as I do not see jerrytheknife sticking his neck out and adding value in providing picks in any of his recent posts.
Box-
Using your analysis of the chart for the Buffalo and Akron game... Buffalo has the advantages on 11 categories and Akron is favored in 8 of the categories and with one category being tied. Which mean Buffalo has a better chance of winning and cover the spread against Akron. You also had Buffalo ranked higher than Akron.
If I was to use the criterias above, then the lean would be BUFFALO tonight. I think I will place a wager on Buffalo +3.
Thanks
Using your analysis of the chart for the Buffalo and Akron game... Buffalo has the advantages on 11 categories and Akron is favored in 8 of the categories and with one category being tied. Which mean Buffalo has a better chance of winning and cover the spread against Akron. You also had Buffalo ranked higher than Akron.
If I was to use the criterias above, then the lean would be BUFFALO tonight. I think I will place a wager on Buffalo +3.
Thanks
2* Buffalo Bulls +3 -110
3rd straight week wagering on Buffalo as it continues that the books undervalue the Bulls and Drew Willy.
My line Buffalo -3.
Buffalo is the better team, getting points. They have played the tougher schedule to date. They have the better passing attack, they convert more 3rd downs, they make the plays when it counts. They are a great road team, 6-0 ATS last 6 games on the road.
Akron is a solid team, but they are outmatched here. They have not done well at home, and I was on them at home last week where they covered. That was their first home win of the season. But don't overvalue homefield here and don't overvalue motivational angles.
Both teams battling for first place in the MAC. Both teams will give their best efforts. No let downs are flat teams here. It comes down to who the better team is and that is Buffalo.
Drew Willy has come into his own at QB. He continues to make plays and in these types of games that project to be slugfests, take the QB that can make more plays. Drew Willy is that guy.
Take the better team getting points that can move the football consistently and convert with their seasoned QB.
Buffalo 31
Akron 28
3rd straight week wagering on Buffalo as it continues that the books undervalue the Bulls and Drew Willy.
My line Buffalo -3.
Buffalo is the better team, getting points. They have played the tougher schedule to date. They have the better passing attack, they convert more 3rd downs, they make the plays when it counts. They are a great road team, 6-0 ATS last 6 games on the road.
Akron is a solid team, but they are outmatched here. They have not done well at home, and I was on them at home last week where they covered. That was their first home win of the season. But don't overvalue homefield here and don't overvalue motivational angles.
Both teams battling for first place in the MAC. Both teams will give their best efforts. No let downs are flat teams here. It comes down to who the better team is and that is Buffalo.
Drew Willy has come into his own at QB. He continues to make plays and in these types of games that project to be slugfests, take the QB that can make more plays. Drew Willy is that guy.
Take the better team getting points that can move the football consistently and convert with their seasoned QB.
Buffalo 31
Akron 28
