sorry just saw you posted that they're 5-6 ats after a road dog win. well, if you mean that they're 5-6 after a road dog, i said nothing about that. the stat is that CUSA teams winning SU as a dog THEN on the road in a non conference game as a dog are 3-8 ATS since 2001. If you don't jive either get a new computer or understand why you need to post bounceback week threads
w365
"The public is on Louisville with small edge on the over as well. Louisville is 0-7 ATS in last 7 when they have 60%+ of bets on them with at least 50% bets on the over.
The public usually loves the over in UCONN games but there is a patern in their games that shows that UCONN tends to lose against the spread when a relatively big majority of bets is on the over (2-5 ATS in last 7) and to win against the spread when the support for the over is 58% or less (7-0 ATS). Right now there are 51% bets on over and 49% on the under."
Are these Wagerline percentages?
"The public is on Louisville with small edge on the over as well. Louisville is 0-7 ATS in last 7 when they have 60%+ of bets on them with at least 50% bets on the over.
The public usually loves the over in UCONN games but there is a patern in their games that shows that UCONN tends to lose against the spread when a relatively big majority of bets is on the over (2-5 ATS in last 7) and to win against the spread when the support for the over is 58% or less (7-0 ATS). Right now there are 51% bets on over and 49% on the under."
Are these Wagerline percentages?
upgrade:
NORTH TEXAS +17.5 is a lean now.
I just didn't expect Rice to have over 70% of bets on them all week long. Home teams ranked 25-55 places better, laying 10-21 pts are rarely getting that kind of public support. If getting anything over 60% of public support they are 1-10-1 ATS year-to-date. Some notable non covers from that group are: Pittsburgh losing at home as 14 pts fave over BG, Wyoming beating Ohio by 1 as 14 pts favorite, Minnesota barely edging NIU by 4 on the last minute TD as 10 pts favorite, and so on.
The total of 68.5 with majority of UNDER bets also goes in NTX favor. Their only few ATS wins since the start of the last season came with high totals and not many people on the OVER.
NORTH TEXAS +17.5 is a lean now.
I just didn't expect Rice to have over 70% of bets on them all week long. Home teams ranked 25-55 places better, laying 10-21 pts are rarely getting that kind of public support. If getting anything over 60% of public support they are 1-10-1 ATS year-to-date. Some notable non covers from that group are: Pittsburgh losing at home as 14 pts fave over BG, Wyoming beating Ohio by 1 as 14 pts favorite, Minnesota barely edging NIU by 4 on the last minute TD as 10 pts favorite, and so on.
The total of 68.5 with majority of UNDER bets also goes in NTX favor. Their only few ATS wins since the start of the last season came with high totals and not many people on the OVER.
