BoSox04 NFL Season Long Thread

[BoSox04]

Saints -4 (-110), 1*

I am excited for NFL season to start, as I know you all are. I am going to finish up my futures work tonight and tomorrow. I will post some futures tomorrow night when I have time. I bet the Titans +4.5, but that number doesn’t exist right now. I will post a side or moneyline bet on Tennessee at some point this week. If the Texans dip back down to -2.5 at -115 odds or less, they will be a bet as well. There are others, but I just wanted to mention a couple I feel pretty strongly about. Best of luck this season!

 

[BoSox04]

Futures

Jaguars over 8.5 (-120), 1*
Broncos over 5.5 (-140), 1*
Raiders under 6.5 (+110), 1*
Saints under 7.5 (+100), 1*
Eagles over 10.5 (-125), 1*
Bears under 9 (-110), 1*
Cardinals under 7 (-110), 2*
Packers to win division (+230), 1*
Jaguars to win division (+250), 1*
Ladd McConkey offensive rookie of the year (+3500), 1*
Brian Thomas Jr. to win offensive rookie of the year (+5000), 1*

There’s all my futures. Anything I bet tonight will be posted later.

 

[BoSox04]

September 5th

Chiefs -2.5 (-120), 1*
Chiefs/Ravens under 47 (-110), 1*

There are -2.5’s in the market. You can also buy a half point if you are so inclined and get between -120 and -125. I’m just going to take Mahomes at home as less then a field goal favorite and live with the consequences. I feel like I’m on an island with the under. I respect both these defenses and I don’t think either team is going to be firing on all cylinders out of the gate. Some of these guys didn’t play at all during the preseason. There will be a handful of teams who are sluggish or out of sorts in week one, especially in the first half. I saw an interesting stat today, not sure if it means too much. Since November 2022, the Chiefs are 12-0 to the under when they play an opponent who won 9+ games the season before.

For those who haven’t been in one of my forums in the past, my bet sizing is very simple. 1* is a regular one unit bet. 2* is a two unit bet. I won’t have one every week, but they will hopefully be effective when I do make them. 3* is a three unit bet. If I have a three unit bet, there will probably only be one. This is reserved for a game that I absolutely love. I think the spread or total is way off and/or it’s a great spot for the team I am betting on.

I don’t see anything tomorrow side or total that I want to bet quite yet. If that changes, I will post something tomorrow. Thank god for football and good luck tonight.

 

[indiana]

B. Sox......BOL with your plays buddy....
on both with you.....indy

 

[BoSox04]

Today: 1-0-1/YTD: 1-0, +1

Covered by a whisker. Or a toe. The one Baltimore really wants back is the play before when he missed Flowers wide open in the end zone. Have to hit that play, but I’m glad he didn’t. Lean Eagles the more I look into tomorrow’s game. Might add them tomorrow, especially if they start to take money and it looks like the spread could move to -3.

 

[BoSox04]

September 6th

Eagles -2 (-110), 1*

I like both these teams, I just have the Eagles rated a little higher. Similarly to how I had the Chiefs rated a little higher last night. No play on the total for me. Good luck.

 

[indiana]

B. Sox.....BOL tonight buddy......
here's to a winning weekend.....indy

 

[BoSox04]

YTD: 2-0, +2

September 8th

Saints -4 (-110), 1*
Titans +4 (-110), 1*

Adding Tennessee to the card right now. I might bet against all three rookies playing tomorrow. But I really like this one. Tennessee quietly has put together a pretty nice offense. Pollard and Spears in the backfield. Hopkins, Ridley, Boyd and Burks at the receiver position. Since 2002, quarterbacks drafted #1 overall who played week one the year they were drafted are 0-14-1 against the spread. A lot of losses against the spread as dogs. A couple wins without covering the number. While every situation is different, the stat highlights the challenge of stepping right in and playing, even as the top pick in the draft. I will add a couple more tomorrow. GL

 

[BoSox04]

Seahawks -6.5 (-110), 1*

 

[BoSox04]

Browns -2 (-110), 1*

 

[BoSox04]

Lions -5 (-110), 1*

 

[BoSox04]

Yesterday: 2-3/YTD: 4-3, +0.7

September 9th

Jets +4 (-110), 1*

That Titans bet will be one of the worst beats I take this entire season. Chicago’s offense had under 150 total yards. Williams was awful. Titans were up 17-3 in the second half. Bears did not score an offensive TD and won by seven. I am taking the points tonight. I think the 49ers are going to need a week or two in order to get right. Aiyuk and Williams didn’t do much in the preseason or camp. McCaffery is coming off a calf injury. Greenlaw and Mufanga are out on the defensive side. Meanwhile, the Jets should be pretty motivated. We know what happened in primetime during week one to Rodgers last year. Jets get a chance at a redo this year and Rodgers will want to play well in California against his childhood team. GL!

 

[indiana]

B. Sox....BOL tonight buddy....indy

 

[BoSox04]

Breece Hall over 62.5 rushing yards (-115), 1*

I definitely like my Jets bet more with McCaffery being out. Not that running back is the most important position. But he is a stud. I think Hall is going to have an excellent season and really take the pressure off Rodgers. 62.5 seems low. Good luck tonight.

 

[BoSox04]

YTD: 4-5, -1.55

Lousy week one. I will bounce back next week.

 

[BoSox04]

September 15th

Broncos +3 (-115), 2*

This is a two unit bet for me. This is a great spot for Denver. I was not impressed with the Steelers offense at all last week. Russ might be back this week against the team he played on last year. Whether it’s Russ or Fields, I don’t think they will have a strong game. That was a tough spot for Nix in week one. He had to play on the road against a defensive minded head coach. This is a much more conducive environment to finding success. The Steelers are also playing back to back road games, which is always a challenge. I think people are going to bet Denver during the week and this number won’t last. I could be wrong, but I don’t know who wants to get Pittsburgh at -3. If they were road dogs like last week, that would make a lot of sense. I expect Surtain to do a good job against Pickens. I believe Nix will get his first NFL win. GL

 

[indiana]

B. Sox.....appreciate the heads-up buddy....
here's to a solid week 2 of winners.......indy

 

[BoSox04]

Two Team Six Point Teaser

Bills +8.5 & Ravens -2.5 (-115), 1*

GL

 

[BoSox04]

September 15th

Patriots +3.5 (-115), 1*

 

[BoSox04]

Titans +4 (-110), 1*