Future
Ceedee Lamb to win OPOY (+1000), 1*
I think there is a zero percent chance that McCaffery or Tyreek Hill can win this award based on their situations. Lamb had a quiet week one as Dallas didn’t need to overuse him in a blowout win. If Lamb has a typical Ceedee game this weekend, we won’t see 10/1 again.
Ceedee Lamb to win OPOY (+1000), 1*
I think there is a zero percent chance that McCaffery or Tyreek Hill can win this award based on their situations. Lamb had a quiet week one as Dallas didn’t need to overuse him in a blowout win. If Lamb has a typical Ceedee game this weekend, we won’t see 10/1 again.
September 15th
Six Point Teaser: Bills +8.5/Ravens -2.5 (-115), 1*
Titans +4 (-110), 1*
Patriots +3.5 (-115), 1*
Six Point Teaser: Giants +7.5/Cowboys -0.5 (-115), 1*
Broncos +3 (-115), 2*
Six Point Teaser: Broncos +8.5/Lions -1.5 (-115), 1*
I consolidated my bets into one spot. I think this is a great teaser week obviously. You guys can decide which teams you want to tease, but I like teasing any of the five teams I have there who are playing today. Obviously, the Bills already covered on Thursday. I might add 1-2 more today. GL
Six Point Teaser: Bills +8.5/Ravens -2.5 (-115), 1*
Titans +4 (-110), 1*
Patriots +3.5 (-115), 1*
Six Point Teaser: Giants +7.5/Cowboys -0.5 (-115), 1*
Broncos +3 (-115), 2*
Six Point Teaser: Broncos +8.5/Lions -1.5 (-115), 1*
I consolidated my bets into one spot. I think this is a great teaser week obviously. You guys can decide which teams you want to tease, but I like teasing any of the five teams I have there who are playing today. Obviously, the Bills already covered on Thursday. I might add 1-2 more today. GL
Today: 1-6/YTD: 5-11, -8.5
Horrible week two. This has been a hard first couple weeks. Lot of surprising results today. I know a lot of survivor pools went down the drain. The good news is there is plenty of time to turn a profit this year. Not going to panic after a bad week. Nothing for tomorrow’s game right now. The Eagles often take money the day of a game. Let’s see if that happens tomorrow.
Horrible week two. This has been a hard first couple weeks. Lot of surprising results today. I know a lot of survivor pools went down the drain. The good news is there is plenty of time to turn a profit this year. Not going to panic after a bad week. Nothing for tomorrow’s game right now. The Eagles often take money the day of a game. Let’s see if that happens tomorrow.
He has a better O'Line now, a great RB and looks like a coach that knows Cousins strengths.
Lets hope he keeps winning. They have a good team. Playoff capable.
September 19th
Patriots +6 (-110), 1*
I might add a couple props later once I get home and have a chance to dive into the prop market. There’s no way I would bet the Jets tonight. The Patriots have played better in many respects. They have been the tougher, more physical team. The Jets are more talented obviously and there is a wide ranging set of outcomes that are possible tonight. In that situation, I’m grabbing six points. This has 20-17 written all over it in my opinion. GL
Patriots +6 (-110), 1*
I might add a couple props later once I get home and have a chance to dive into the prop market. There’s no way I would bet the Jets tonight. The Patriots have played better in many respects. They have been the tougher, more physical team. The Jets are more talented obviously and there is a wide ranging set of outcomes that are possible tonight. In that situation, I’m grabbing six points. This has 20-17 written all over it in my opinion. GL
Garrett Wilson over 66.5 receiving yards (-115), 1*
Hunter Henry anytime TD (+400), .5*
Mike Williams anytime TD (+400), .5
I am splitting up a unit between Henry and Williams. Both guys are good red zone targets. Both defenses are going to expect the opposition to run the ball inside the ten yard line. I think it’s reasonable that one or both of these guys will get an end zone target tonight. Anything +400 or better is a worthwhile investment in my opinion. I also think the Jets are going to do their best to get Wilson going. Maybe some early wide receiver screens or quick passes. The Seahawks had success getting the ball to Metcalf and Smith-Njigba against the Pats on Sunday. Granted, the long TD to Metcalf was a blown assignment by the safety. But I expect the Jets to almost force feed Wilson early to establish some camaraderie between him and Rodgers. Good luck!
Hunter Henry anytime TD (+400), .5*
Mike Williams anytime TD (+400), .5
I am splitting up a unit between Henry and Williams. Both guys are good red zone targets. Both defenses are going to expect the opposition to run the ball inside the ten yard line. I think it’s reasonable that one or both of these guys will get an end zone target tonight. Anything +400 or better is a worthwhile investment in my opinion. I also think the Jets are going to do their best to get Wilson going. Maybe some early wide receiver screens or quick passes. The Seahawks had success getting the ball to Metcalf and Smith-Njigba against the Pats on Sunday. Granted, the long TD to Metcalf was a blown assignment by the safety. But I expect the Jets to almost force feed Wilson early to establish some camaraderie between him and Rodgers. Good luck!
YTD: 7-15, -10.85
September 22nd
Six Point Teaser: Vikings +7.5 & Eagles +8.5 (-115), 1*
Colts -1.5 (-110), 1*
Time to start chipping away at this week two hole I put myself in. There are a couple other bets I will probably add later. I would have bet the Titans -2.5 and Panthers +6, but those numbers don’t really exist anymore. GL
September 22nd
Six Point Teaser: Vikings +7.5 & Eagles +8.5 (-115), 1*
Colts -1.5 (-110), 1*
Time to start chipping away at this week two hole I put myself in. There are a couple other bets I will probably add later. I would have bet the Titans -2.5 and Panthers +6, but those numbers don’t really exist anymore. GL
Steelers -2.5 (-115), 1*
I was waiting for the Herbert news so I could bet this under a field goal. He is not 100%. Palmer is out for the Chargers. The Steelers offense stinks, but their defense will cause plenty of issues today. I wouldn’t at all be surprised if Herbert doesn’t finish this game and they turn to Taylor Heinecke. The Chargers have beaten the Raiders and Panthers so far. On the road in Pittsburgh is a step up in competition and I don’t think Harbaugh will be able to coach them to a win in this game.
I was waiting for the Herbert news so I could bet this under a field goal. He is not 100%. Palmer is out for the Chargers. The Steelers offense stinks, but their defense will cause plenty of issues today. I wouldn’t at all be surprised if Herbert doesn’t finish this game and they turn to Taylor Heinecke. The Chargers have beaten the Raiders and Panthers so far. On the road in Pittsburgh is a step up in competition and I don’t think Harbaugh will be able to coach them to a win in this game.
Pitts over 40.5 yards (-110), 1*
Kelce under 49.5 yards (-120), 1*
Kelce under 4.5 receptions (+120), 1*
Bills -5.5 (-110), 1*
Public is all over Kelce. Based on what I have seen, there is some value on these unders. On the flip side, tight ends have been lighting up KC. Likely had 111 yards after Andrews went down. The Bengals tight ends combined for 151 receiving yards, led by Gesicki with 91. Even Kyle Pitts should be able to get 41 yards tonight. 3-1 start today with the Cowboys/Bengals teaser pending. GL
Kelce under 49.5 yards (-120), 1*
Kelce under 4.5 receptions (+120), 1*
Bills -5.5 (-110), 1*
Public is all over Kelce. Based on what I have seen, there is some value on these unders. On the flip side, tight ends have been lighting up KC. Likely had 111 yards after Andrews went down. The Bengals tight ends combined for 151 receiving yards, led by Gesicki with 91. Even Kyle Pitts should be able to get 41 yards tonight. 3-1 start today with the Cowboys/Bengals teaser pending. GL
September 23rd
Brian Thomas Jr. over 44.5 (-110), 1*
Terry McLaurin over 51.5 (-110), 1*
Adding these props to my card. I didn’t get the best Bills number, but it’s not a huge deal. There aren’t many games that end in a five point deficit. Which is why -4.5 through -5.5 is kind of a dead zone. If you bet the Bills at -4 or -5.5, you basically need them to win by 6+ to cash. GL
Brian Thomas Jr. over 44.5 (-110), 1*
Terry McLaurin over 51.5 (-110), 1*
Adding these props to my card. I didn’t get the best Bills number, but it’s not a huge deal. There aren’t many games that end in a five point deficit. Which is why -4.5 through -5.5 is kind of a dead zone. If you bet the Bills at -4 or -5.5, you basically need them to win by 6+ to cash. GL
Today: 3-1/YTD: 16-17, -3.95
The Bengals look like a team who is out of sorts. This contract stuff with Chase and Higgins is hanging over the team. I’m pretty sure I heard that Hendrickson asked for a trade before the season started. They are really banged up at the defensive tackle position. The Steelers obviously have limitations, but the Ravens are a good team and it’s hard to make the playoffs after starting 0-3. Big 9-2 week. Props went very well. Let’s carry that into week four.
The Bengals look like a team who is out of sorts. This contract stuff with Chase and Higgins is hanging over the team. I’m pretty sure I heard that Hendrickson asked for a trade before the season started. They are really banged up at the defensive tackle position. The Steelers obviously have limitations, but the Ravens are a good team and it’s hard to make the playoffs after starting 0-3. Big 9-2 week. Props went very well. Let’s carry that into week four.
Chargers +7.5 (-110), 1*
I think Herbert is going to play. Even if he doesn’t, Heinecke can hang around in this game. The Chiefs haven’t exactly been blowing teams out. But I think Herbert could play and this number will drop below 7 if he does. Then I would have a chance at a middle if I want to go that route.
I think Herbert is going to play. Even if he doesn’t, Heinecke can hang around in this game. The Chiefs haven’t exactly been blowing teams out. But I think Herbert could play and this number will drop below 7 if he does. Then I would have a chance at a middle if I want to go that route.
