Borat Movie

[Freeze]

OK, you say a smaller release might provide higher ave but if recent movies w/ similar theatres ct like Chicago, Crouching Tiger, Evita, Royal Tenabaums, About Schmidt, Hand Rock Cradle, Brokeback Mountain, The Doors, Dead Poet Society, Boyz in Hood, When Harry Met Sally, Ame Beauty couldn't even do 14K, don't see how Borat can do 15K.

Borat will be a hit given the very positive WOM and critics review, but no way will it get to 12 mil this weekend w/ this few theatres, much less the 16/18/20 mil that have been predicted here.

None of those movies have the immediate appeal of Borat. It is opening with two children's movies so its targeted audience won't be split. It is also the only decent comedy out there right now. Add to that the huge buzz it has been receiving from critics and the hype increasing everyday from ads, word of mouth, and his appearances on talk shows.

The over 11 million is being hit hard at Pinny, at -159 now.

 

[VaultedTreehouse]

On Letterman

http://youtube.com/watch?v=yANIBsKk2aE

 

[HuskerFan1]

note HE DID SAY there is a ceiling as to what this can do bc of its theatre count....

i ended up doing the 1 thing i didnt want to do this week....making another big movie bet again this week...i confessed to my gf already..."my sickness has gotten the best of me again this week"....

i definitely have a shot at a middle at ov11 un13 i hope at worst under16 hits should 13 not and those would cancel....

the bottom line is you either believe the guys info or you dont and like last week i choose to believe... i will ride with him anyday...so im on the train...greed got the best of me last week and it cost me money...as my ov33 at pinny won...

here's to greed...:toast:

needs to do 11.3k pta to break 11m....

 

[VaultedTreehouse]

Husk,

In the words of Drago, "You will lose"

 

[HuskerFan1]

i bet the over....reread my post....

its up to -207 now....man im glad i got it early...

maxed out at greek too at 155...it was 175 last time i checked a couple hours ago...still 175...hell its a better bet there right now than it is at pinny....

 

[VaultedTreehouse]

i bet the over....reread my post....

Husk, I'm having some fun with you. You did, however, start as a serious under person saying that the line was messed up. The movie will do in the high teens.

 

[HuskerFan1]

oh the line pinny posted WAS a bad line...as anyone knows bad lines can lose...there line is comparable to the books making New England -7.5 sunday night vs indy...and people jumping on indy...

is it a bad line ya...can it still lose...ya...

the post i copied and pasted earlier was very well done...but the 9/11 movie really scared me bc it did so much on so few theatres...i believe the buzz on that was MUCH higher than this but...

i still think 16 is a joke of a line...

its all mute at this point if this does under 11m...ill get brutally crushed...just like i woulda if saw landed under 33m last week....


update....

Updated Friday night Borat sellouts woohoo

Loews Georgetown (Washington DC): 7:30, 9:50, 12:00 am
Regal Gallery Place (Washington DC): 7:45, 9:00, 10:10
Loews 34th Street (Manhattan): 10:45 am, 1:00, 8:10
Loews Orpheum (Manhattan): 7:45
Loews Kips Bay (Manhattan): 7:25, 8:00, 9:40, 10:15, 12:00 am
AMC Empire (Manhattan): 8:25, 9:05

 

[VaultedTreehouse]

Also the single most watched trailer in the U.S. on Yahoo Movies.

 

[HuskerFan1]

pinny bumped it to 12...i had my finger on the instacash button but didnt pull the trigger..i really thought about it...but i dont wanna start getting cute...every1 this is bumped is IMO much bigger than a regular movie bc of its limited release...and total gross potential...

i find it funny when i read other boards and guys talk about movies they have no clue about the little in and outs of these...guys saying that bc "the marine" did 7 million this one must do at least 11....

 

[HuskerFan1]

and im reading more and more sellouts for friday night shows...now in LA/chicago/philly to go with DC and NYC...

Updated Friday night Borat sellouts woohoo

Loews Georgetown (Washington DC): 7:30, 9:50, 12:00 am
Regal Gallery Place (Washington DC): 7:45, 9:00, 10:10
Loews 34th Street (Manhattan): 10:45 am, 1:00, 8:10
Loews Orpheum (Manhattan): 7:45
Loews Kips Bay (Manhattan): 7:25, 8:00, 9:40, 10:15, 12:00 am
AMC Empire (Manhattan): 8:25, 9:05
Clearview Chelsea (Manhattan): 7:10, 9:30
AMC River East (Chicago): 9:30
The Bridge Cinema de Lux (Philadelphia): 7:30, 10:00

More random Borat sellouts.

Pacific Grove Stadium (Los Angeles): 9:15
AMC Century City (Los Angeles): 10:05
The Bridge Cinema De Lux (Los Angeles): Midnight



[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif][/FONT]
[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif][/FONT]
[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]For Immediate Release[/FONT]:[/LEFT]

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Fandango Daily Ticket Sales (as of 11/02/06 3:00 pm PST) [/FONT]​

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Fandango Five:
Borat 72%[/FONT]
[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause 9%[/FONT]
[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Flushed Away 6% [/FONT]
[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Saw III 2%[/FONT]
[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The Departed 1% [/FONT]

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]BORAT may receive a warm welcome at the box office this weekend. Fandango surveyed several thousand moviegoers planning to see the new Sacha Baron Cohen comedy and found that: [/FONT]
[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]* 96% of those planning to see BORAT will see the movie during its opening weekend;[/FONT]
[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]* 43% claim that the Kazakhstan government’s complaints about BORAT have only increased their interest in seeing the movie;[/FONT]
[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]* 24% had not heard of Kazakhstan until BORAT came along;[/FONT]
[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]* 59% would be “very interested” in seeing Sacha Baron Cohen’s follow-up movie, BRUNO;[/FONT]
[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]* The majority of respondents rank Sacha Baron Cohen at the top of their list of favorite comedic film actors (outpacing his TALLADEGA NIGHTS rival Will Ferrell; see list below).[/FONT]

 

[RealSlimShady]

Wow....Pinny line up to over 12mil -140 now.

 

[joelatti]

WOW pinny up to 13 mill -146!!....Looks like the OVER is getting hammered

 

[JamesTrout]

Yeah it certainly does. Over at The Greek, 'over 12.5m' is (-200) and 'under 12.5m' is (+160).

I think the best bet for the weekend is betting on 'under 17.8m' for Flushed Away even at heavy juice of (-200)...BOM's Brandon Gray is predicting 19.5m but I think that's too high.

 

[HPark1]

I think the best bet for the weekend is betting on 'under 17.8m' for Flushed Away even at heavy juice of (-200)...BOM's Brandon Gray is predicting 19.5m but I think that's too high.

I don't agree with Flushed, especially at this price. 2-1 for Over 17.5 at Pinny is very nice. It needs to do 4800 per theatre which is very fair. I don't understand whats driving the price to this extreme.

As for Borat I think its going to cruise into the teens.

 

[HuskerFan1]

i just bought my tickets to borat for tonights 1055 in boston...im going with my bro his gf my girl and a bunch of my friends...we cannot wait....

i ended up playing over12m lastnight for 1 bet at pinny...so im heavy heavy on over 11m -150 and -155

1 unit over 12m -140
1 unit under 13m -108
1 unit under 16m -108


the total at pinny just keeps getting bet 13m ov-155...sick...

here's to hopefully a good weekend for once...

 

[VaultedTreehouse]

Husk,

What kind of number do we have to do tonight to have this in the bag?

7 mill. 8?

 

[HPark1]

7 or 8? Get off the crackpipe man!

Anything over 5 is set up nicely.

 

[Bennyshoe]

As the deadling apporaches the line now at Pinny is 13 million -132

 

[HuskerFan1]

5million im hoping for...to try to hit every bet i made....this WILL NOT pull a saw3 i can say that much...2.fucking3 multiplier...im still fucking pissed about that...

5million puts 11m in the W column...i think it can actually do less than 5million and still break 11m...even 4.5 and it holds on saturday would put it over11...the key being it doesnt fall on its face saturday....i think this one will be probably frontloaded but not nearly as bad as saw3....

the problem with this movie is there really isnt anything else like this so guessing its multiplier is a little tough...


i really believe 5 is the perfect # for me....

 

[jestein]

For all of you that bet the over with me. HEre's a little tidbit from my friend who works for the studio releasing the film.

x: matinee madness
x: sell outs all over the eastern seaboard
x: Y thinks it might be the biggest 800 release ever

Thanks for paying my rent pinnacle.