first, google Billy Walters. then try to understand that he was the pinnacle of sports bettors, that he hit around 54-55%, and that you are not him.
second, realize that the ONLY guy in the universe that hits 65% at -110 over a lot of plays is this 2nd half guru and the only way you can get those plays is to be on big bookie's soon to be compiled pay for email list.
third, you aren't going to have limits over $500 at Vegas books if you hit 55% for decent amounts. the only way 99% of books will take a winner dropping 5K on games, especially on 2nd halves, is if they can lay off AT LEAST that amount somewhere else, usually double. When I hit something big through locals, I know where they lay it off, so I can manipulate that line for even more. It's common practice.
seems like if this dude was hitting 65% you would have this list pretty handy, would be spending a good deal of time reverse engineering it, and not be telling too many people since the vig on 2h lines goes through the roof at relatively low levels. but I'll dig up the lines from last week, and I'm pretty sure they were posted as -110 when in fact the best available was -125/-130
some of them were the same ones that I was on. they are based on mechanical systems that in the past hit above 55%. then the books caught on and now the -110's are usually -130's. I asked BB if those were actually the lines he was hanging, out of curiousity. No response. So basically, he's trying the ol' pass off a -130 W/A as -110, that's what I'm assuming. If not, then I'd sure like to know how to get in touch...
it's not an opinion. it's something called truth. yeah, I can be obnoxious. do a search on me. here and at the place I can't mention here called offshoregamblersdiges*.com
don't get the impression that I really care. I just had 15 minutes to burn, and I'm nervous about the public being with me on UCONN. best of luck.
yes.
until recently the public didn't even know who 'the public' was betting on.
until just before that the public didn't even know that the sum of the public was generally wrong.
it became a good deal harder to win after 2001, there were lines off by a full TD almost every week before that.
there are very few rogue lines, and a ton of square outs have gone down in smoke. I've been lucky that I haven't lost as much as other people I know when they went south, but I've had to cut a bunch of 'deals' with some of the popular places still open for some bs rule that they will try to enforce after winning. The vast majority of people out there still don't go to the forums and don't understand what a lot of the people here are saying. I think BB probably means well, but there's just not much 60% out there. And 2h lines are a LOT sharper than they used to be.
