BCS Breakdown: Eliminating the Contenders

[birminghambook]

Texas
Texas Tech
Penn State
Alabama
Oklahoma -1
Oklahoma State -1
Georgia -1
Florida -1
USC -1

Would be curious if anyone could post the current odds on these teams.

USC +285
5602 Oklahoma +1000
5603 Florida +800
5604 Georgia +900
5605 Missouri
5606 LSU +3000
5607 Penn State +200
5608 Alabama +550
5609 Texas +200
5610 Ohio State
5611 Wisconsin
5612 Texas Tech +1500

 

[GreenDoberman]

Update:

We move from 9 Tier One team to 8 and see Tier 2 trimmed from 7 to 5.

Movers:

Georgia from Tier 1 to Tier 2.

Out of Tier 2:
Florida State
Minnesota
Tulsa

 

[GreenDoberman]

Remaining Tier 1 teams:

Penn State
Alabama
Texas Tech
Oklahoma -1
Oklahoma State -1
Florida -1
USC -1
Texas -1

Remaining Tier 2 teams:

Ball State
Boise State
Utah
Ohio State -2
Georgia -2

 

[GreenDoberman]

Key games:

Baylor at Texas
Oklahoma at Tex. A&M
'Bama at LSU
Penn St. at Iowa
*Okla. St. at Tex. Tech
Fla. at Vandy
Cal at USC

N. Ill. at Ball St.
TCU at Utah
Ohio St. at N'W
Ga. at Kentucky
Utah St. at Boise St.

 

[billhill999]

Rivals.com Staff



Here are Rivals.com's latest bowl projections for the season. We will update these weekly, as situations obviously change.

A few notes:

· A bowl's tie-in with a league doesn't necessarily mean it will get the third-, fourth-, fifth-, etc., place team from the league; rather, it means it gets the third, fourth, fifth, etc., selection from that league.

• Notre Dame is part of the Big East's bowl lineup.

• An asterisk denotes a team that will be in the bowl because a league will not be able to fulfill its obligation. This week, we're saying the Pac-10 and Big 12 fall one short of filling their bowl slots and the SEC comes up two short. In some situations, other conferences have deals to provide teams if the "original" conference can't fill its spots. In those instances, the fill-in conference first fills it own bowl slots. The WAC has a deal with the Poinsettia; Conference USA has a deal with the Hawaii; and the Sun Belt has deals with the Independence, Papajohns.com and the St. Petersburg bowls.


All times Eastern
BCS BOWLS
BCS CHAMPIONSHIP GAME, Miami - Jan. 8, 8 p.m., Fox
Matchup: BCS No. 1 vs. BCS No. 2
This week's projection: Penn State vs. Florida
ROSE BOWL, Pasadena, Calif. - Jan. 1, 4:30 p.m., ABC
Matchup: BCS vs. BCS
This week's projection: USC vs. Oklahoma
ORANGE BOWL, Miami - Jan. 1, 8 p.m., Fox
Matchup: BCS vs. BCS
This week's projection: Florida State vs. West Virginia
SUGAR BOWL, New Orleans - Jan. 2, 8:30 p.m., Fox
Matchup: BCS vs. BCS
This week's projection: Alabama vs. Utah
FIESTA BOWL, Glendale, Ariz. - Jan. 5, 8 p.m., Fox
Matchup: BCS vs. BCS
This week's projection: Texas vs. Ohio State
NON-BCS BOWLS
EAGLEBANK BOWL, Washington - Dec. 20, 11 a.m., ESPN
Matchup: Navy/at-large vs. ACC 9
This week's projection: Navy vs. Virginia
NEW MEXICO BOWL, Albuquerque - Dec. 20, 2:30 p.m., ESPN
Matchup: Western Athletic vs. Mountain West 4
This week's projection: San Jose State vs. Colorado State
ST. PETERSBURG BOWL, St. Petersburg, Fla. - Dec. 20, 4:30 p.m., ESPN2
Matchup: Big East 6 vs. Conference USA 5
This week's projection: Connecticut vs. Marshall
LAS VEGAS BOWL, Las Vegas - Dec. 20, 8 p.m., ESPN
Matchup: Mountain West 1 vs. Pac-10 4/5
This week's projection: BYU vs. Arizona
NEW ORLEANS BOWL, New Orleans - Dec. 21, 8 p.m., ESPN
Matchup: Conference USA 4 vs. Sun Belt 1
This week's projection: Memphis vs. Troy
POINSETTIA BOWL, San Diego - Dec. 23, 8 p.m., ESPN
Matchup: Mountain West 2 vs. Pac-10 7
This week's projection: TCU vs. Fresno State*
HAWAII BOWL, Honolulu - Dec. 24, 8 p.m., ESPN
Matchup: Pac-10 6 vs. Western Athletic
This week's projection: Louisville* vs. Hawaii
MOTOR CITY BOWL, Detroit - Dec. 26, 7:30 p.m., ESPN
Matchup: Big Ten 7 vs. Mid-American 1
This week's projection: Wisconsin vs. Ball State
MEINEKE CAR CARE, Charlotte, N.C. - Dec. 27, 1 p.m., ESPN
Matchup: ACC 6 vs. Big East 3
This week's projection: Miami vs. Pittsburgh
CHAMPS SPORTS BOWL, Orlando, Fla. - Dec. 27, 4:30 p.m., ESPN
Matchup: ACC 4 vs. Big Ten 5
This week's projection: Virginia Tech vs. Northwestern
EMERALD BOWL, San Francisco - Dec. 27, 8 p.m., ESPN
Matchup: ACC 7 vs. Pac-10 4/5
This week's projection: Boston College vs. Oregon
INDEPENDENCE BOWL, Shreveport, La. - Dec. 28, 8 p.m., ESPN
Matchup: Big 12 8 vs. SEC 8
This week's projection: Western Michigan* vs. Louisiana-Lafayette*
PAPAJOHNS.COM BOWL, Birmingham, Ala. - Dec. 29, 3 p.m., ESPN
Matchup: Big East 4 vs. SEC 9
This week's projection: USF vs. Arkansas State*
ALAMO BOWL, San Antonio - Dec. 29, 8 p.m., ESPN
Matchup: Big Ten 4 vs. Big 12 4
This week's projection: Illinois vs. Oklahoma State
HUMANITARIAN BOWL, Boise, Idaho - Dec. 30, 4:30 p.m., ESPN
Matchup: ACC 8 vs. Western Athletic
This week's projection: Wake Forest at Boise State
HOLIDAY BOWL, San Diego - Dec. 30, 8 p.m., ESPN
Matchup: Big 12 3 vs. Pac-10 2
This week's projection: Missouri vs. California
TEXAS BOWL, Houston - Dec. 30, 8 p.m., NFL Network
Matchup: Conference USA 6 vs. Big 12 9
This week's projection: Houston vs. Akron*
ARMED FORCES BOWL, Fort Worth, Texas - Dec. 31, noon, ESPN
Matchup: Conference USA 3 vs. Mountain West 3
This week's projection: Rice vs. Air Force
SUN BOWL, El Paso, Texas - Dec. 31, 2 p.m., CBS
Matchup: Big 12 6/Big East 2 vs. Pac-10 3
This week's projection: Kansas vs. Oregon State
MUSIC CITY BOWL, Nashville, Tenn. - Dec. 31, 3:30 p.m., ESPN
Matchup: ACC 5 vs. SEC 6/7
This week's projection: Maryland vs. Vanderbilt
INSIGHT BOWL, Tempe, Ariz. - Dec. 31, 5:30 p.m., NFL Network
Matchup: Big Ten 6 vs. Big 12 7
This week's projection: Iowa vs. Nebraska
CHICK-FIL-A BOWL, Atlanta - Dec. 31, 7:30 p.m., ESPN
Matchup: ACC 2 vs. SEC 5
This week's projection: North Carolina vs. Kentucky
OUTBACK BOWL, Tampa, Fla. - Jan. 1, 11 a.m., ESPN
Matchup: Big Ten 3 vs. SEC 3
This week's projection: Minnesota vs. South Carolina
CAPITAL ONE BOWL, Orlando, Fla. - Jan. 1, 1 p.m., ABC
Matchup: Big Ten 2 vs. SEC 2
This week's projection: Michigan State vs. Georgia
GATOR BOWL, Jacksonville, Fla. - Jan. 1, 1 p.m., CBS
Matchup: ACC 3 vs. Big East 2/Big 12 5
This week's projection: Georgia Tech vs. Notre Dame
COTTON BOWL, Dallas - Jan. 2, 2 p.m., Fox
Matchup: Big 12 2 vs. SEC 4
This week's projection: Texas Tech vs. LSU
LIBERTY BOWL, Memphis, Tenn. - Jan. 2, 5 p.m., ESPN
Matchup: Conference USA 1 vs. SEC 6/7
This week's projection: Tulsa vs. Ole Miss
INTERNATIONAL BOWL, Toronto - Jan. 3, noon, ESPN2
Matchup: Big East 5 vs. Mid-American 2
This week's projection: Cincinnati vs. Buffalo
GMAC BOWL, Mobile, Ala. - Jan. 6, 8 p.m., ESPN
Matchup: Conference USA 2 vs. Mid-American 3
This week's projection: East Carolina vs. Central Michigan

 

[GreenDoberman]

Update after 11/8/08:

Penn State drops to bottom of Tier 1.
Oklahoma State drops from Tier 1 to Tier 2.

Tier 1:
Alabama
Texas Tech
Oklahoma -1
Florida -1
USC -1
Texas -1
Penn State -1

Tier 2:
Ball State
Boise State
Utah
Ohio State -2
Georgia -2
Oklahoma State -2

 

[GreenDoberman]

Key games upcoming:

South Carolina at Florida
Texas at Kansas
Mississippi State at Alabama
USC at Stanford
Indiana at Penn State

Ball State at Miami-Ohio (Tues.)
Ohio State at Illinois
Georgia at Auburn
Boise State at Idaho
Oklahoma State at Colorado
Utah at San Diego State