Well, you are a newbie to Thailand. What would you expect your travel
agent to say? I've lived in the country more often than not over the
past 4 years. I've spent many hours on forums full of farang vets who
concur with my comments. But feel free to take your chances of not
having your passport checked, which would put you in a Thai prison.
What are the odds...you used the example of the Cubs winning the
series?...they are 33/1 at bet365.
The travel agent told me that even if my passport was checked, they wouldn't take me to jail, they would just tell me to get my fine handled and get a new visa.
And if all else failed what about just bribing them? They will do anything for some BAHT, as you have yourself stated.