one key site I use is
http://espn.go.com/mlb/probables
it will kick in for me in about two weeks
you want good ERA...in all 3
one key site I use is
http://espn.go.com/mlb/probables
it will kick in for me in about two weeks
you want good ERA...in all 3
My Line
Hello Ace, hope all is well I have a few questions 1) on my line do you use the opening number or the closing number, after the the has moved either way 2 points does it make a difference? ........... 2) what was my line for the superbowl Indianapolis vs New Orleans? I have a few more and ask latter on just trying to grasp this system and learn ing how to do it on paper. my last question I need to know, I followed you and Ken in the contest you had and such a sad and tradgedy what transpired if you can pm me and let me know what actually happened and what caused this sudden tragedy? Thanks for your time Ace @)
Hello Ace, hope all is well I have a few questions 1) on my line do you use the opening number or the closing number, after the the has moved either way 2 points does it make a difference? ........... 2) what was my line for the superbowl Indianapolis vs New Orleans? I have a few more and ask latter on just trying to grasp this system and learn ing how to do it on paper. my last question I need to know, I followed you and Ken in the contest you had and such a sad and tradgedy what transpired if you can pm me and let me know what actually happened and what caused this sudden tragedy? Thanks for your time Ace @)
I base it on when I make the bet....if at the time there is a +6 value and I bet it...than if it drops to a +4 value...I would not bet it at that time
2..
Myline number on the super bowl
................YEAR............LAST 8 WEEKS.....6 WKS..........4 WKS
NO..............-6....................-1.5................PK...............PK
IND
THE NUMBER
LINEOFF
NO +84
IND +46.......................................EDGE NO
TIME
NO +24
IND -35.........................................EDGE NO
PEN
NO 894 YARDS
IND 620......................................EDGE IND
T/O
NO 30
IND 28.........................................EDGE IND
IF YOU DO THIS BASE ON THE LAST 4 GAME
LINEOFF
NO+3
IND-16.......................................EDGE NO
TIME
NO -1
IND +6........................................EDGE IND
PEN
NO 120
IND 60 YARDS.............................EDGE IND
T/O
NO 6
IND 7.........................................EDGE NO
each capper can look at those number and see a diff story in those number...but if you add more "tools" in to your plan to cap...the picture will get clear....
books avg on over and under for Ind and NO is........46.......what they have done over the many weeks is........avg 48
Looking at the Super Bowl itself, things have been as even as possible. Both the ‘over’ and the ‘under’ have hit 21 times each (there was no total for Super Bowl I). Before the Steelers defeated the Cardinals, 27-23, last year to go ‘over’ the posted total of 46, the ‘under’ had hit four consecutive Super Bowls. The number itself is interesting as well. Currently the Super Bowl ‘over/under’ is 56.5, having risen from the opening line of 55. It is the highest total in the history of the Super Bowl.
about Ken...not sure...my gut says...he alive...but some where else
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Hello Ace, when documenting for my line after the game do I use the opening number or the closing number for example NFL Week #1: Tennessee at Pittsburgh, number opened Pittsburgh -5 / 36 closed at -6.5 /36 final score== Ten 10 Pitt 13, now for my line do I document Tenn +2 and Pitt -2 (using opening number 5) or Tenn +3.5 and Pitt -3.5 (using closing number 6.5) also Ace you had a calculation for Totals total yards and something subtracted etc . :think2: Thanks for your time J
my record 33-26 +14 units +$2160
dads doing great +26 units 22-10
he ahead of me now...just dont like playing -180!!! and he does that some times
Ace,
Just wanted to take the time to thank you for a profitable and fun football season! I look forward to the fall and would enjoy helping in any way possible this season.
I'm considering getting your baseball package at Doc's. Where can I find your dad's plays?
Thanks
dads doing great +26 units 22-10
he ahead of me now...just dont like playing -180!!! and he does that some times
Ace,
Just wanted to take the time to thank you for a profitable and fun football season! I look forward to the fall and would enjoy helping in any way possible this season.
I'm considering getting your baseball package at Doc's. Where can I find your dad's plays?
Thanks
I use them as one of my capping tools...he e-mail me every day...
Private Messages: me and I will show you
Ace
My Line Question
Not having access to your 99 system I am trying to incorporate your My Line approach that yo have explained in the past. I have the basics down but have a question if you have a minute.
For weeks 5 -11 when teams may have had an uneven number of games played do you make any adjustments to the penalty numbers, turnovers or time to adjust for this, or do you just use the last 4 games played every time?
If I missed a post explaining this I apologize, I try and read everything you post as I am trying to learn to handicap games and not just follow picks.
Thanks
Big Happy
Not having access to your 99 system I am trying to incorporate your My Line approach that yo have explained in the past. I have the basics down but have a question if you have a minute.
For weeks 5 -11 when teams may have had an uneven number of games played do you make any adjustments to the penalty numbers, turnovers or time to adjust for this, or do you just use the last 4 games played every time?
If I missed a post explaining this I apologize, I try and read everything you post as I am trying to learn to handicap games and not just follow picks.
Thanks
Big Happy
Hi kevnb,
Try and keep it simple. Make 32 sheets(1 for each team) start week 1 or preseason. Makes very little difference.
Make NO adjustments for bye weeks... Just keep running the 4 keys all season.
As far as last 4.... That is just another take off of MY LINE as a whole., In other words L4,5,6 is just another way to look at my line.
Remember that Myline is only 50%. A starting point.
My personal opinion is that if you do this by hand every week... You see so much more than if you just follow the spreadsheet.
GL!
Try and keep it simple. Make 32 sheets(1 for each team) start week 1 or preseason. Makes very little difference.
Make NO adjustments for bye weeks... Just keep running the 4 keys all season.
As far as last 4.... That is just another take off of MY LINE as a whole., In other words L4,5,6 is just another way to look at my line.
Remember that Myline is only 50%. A starting point.
My personal opinion is that if you do this by hand every week... You see so much more than if you just follow the spreadsheet.
GL!
Thanks Queen,
If it is week 7 and Seattle has played 6 games and San Fran has played 7 games do you make any adjustments on Seattle's numbers to make up for the inbalance?
I use my line as my third tool and only refer to it after I have picked which games I am interested in. My Line never puts me on a game but will make me look at a game I have already picked a bit closer if it disagrees with my pick.
Thanks
If it is week 7 and Seattle has played 6 games and San Fran has played 7 games do you make any adjustments on Seattle's numbers to make up for the inbalance?
I use my line as my third tool and only refer to it after I have picked which games I am interested in. My Line never puts me on a game but will make me look at a game I have already picked a bit closer if it disagrees with my pick.
Thanks
If it is week 7 and Seattle has played 6 games and San Fran has played 7 games do you make any adjustments on Seattle's numbers to make up for the inbalance?
I use my line as my third tool and only refer to it after I have picked which games I am interested in. My Line never puts me on a game but will make me look at a game I have already picked a bit closer if it disagrees with my pick.
Thanks[/QUOTE]
Its like what Queen said... trust me 1 week diff in stats does not do much to my line...tested for over 16 years
I use my line as my third tool and only refer to it after I have picked which games I am interested in. My Line never puts me on a game but will make me look at a game I have already picked a bit closer if it disagrees with my pick.
Thanks[/QUOTE]
Its like what Queen said... trust me 1 week diff in stats does not do much to my line...tested for over 16 years
Spreadsheet??????
After reading (and rereading) the My Line post I'm wondering if anyone has a spreadsheet they are using for My Line and if so is it available?
I'm creating my own and would love to look at someone elses. I know it seems early for football season but just trying to get ahend of the game.
Thanks
After reading (and rereading) the My Line post I'm wondering if anyone has a spreadsheet they are using for My Line and if so is it available?
I'm creating my own and would love to look at someone elses. I know it seems early for football season but just trying to get ahend of the game.
Thanks
