Anyone watching the GGG/Canelo fight Saturday?

Search

Banned
Joined
Aug 2, 2017
Messages
2,098
Tokens
https://www.onlinebetting.com/football/nfl-bet-types/buy-points/

There's a calc for you with the point values. As you can see, the books are charging more to buy points than they are worth. That's why they sell them.

The article never says buying points is -EV. All it says is that it can be -EV based on the price at your book. There are plenty of situations where buying points is the right move, another example of you throwing out blanket statements without qualifying them. This is a trend with you.
 

Banned
Joined
Aug 2, 2017
Messages
2,098
Tokens
I’ll respond to most of this stupid shit later somewhat of it. I know this territory has trolls just waiting in the dark.


Let me give you an example of why I say fantasy is harder now than ever....you have people playing daily fantasy every fucking day usually just chasing an imagainary dragon who probably don’t lose a lot but also do not win very much. I know all that whack shit works. And those people transition in regular fantasy football leagues like mine where nobody in the league does it besides 2 people and 1 of those 2 has an unstoppable team because he picked in front of me and took Michael Thomas along with many other players because he knows the ins and outs of fantasy sports....daily. And knows who to listen to for advice on who to draft and etc.

there are levels to that. I do my research like everyone. But I don’t everyday look at things from a fantasy perspective and know about the secret podcasts and who knows what fantasy wise. So shut the fuck up. Thank you.

Yawn... arguing with mod gets old the second you realize how unintelligent he is.
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Oct 31, 2004
Messages
44,410
Tokens

Member
Joined
Jul 14, 2007
Messages
31,503
Tokens
The article never says buying points is -EV. All it says is that it can be -EV based on the price at your book. There are plenty of situations where buying points is the right move, another example of you throwing out blanket statements without qualifying them. This is a trend with you.

Yeah and 99.9% of books charge a higher price for buying points nowadays so it is -EV.

If you got a book that still is only charging 10 cents for buying off 3 and 7, then by all means hit that shit but I doubt you do. And I doubt he does either.

He said he buys points EVERY single bet he makes off of key numbers. If you think that's +EV then do you.

I try to respond to you nicely and advance discussion about subject matter and I'm "throwing out blanket statements without qualifying them."

Yes, you are 100% correct if you can still find books that offer buying points at the same prices as when internet gambling first started then this is an incredibly +EV strategy and Mogley blinding doing this is reaping the benefits of such strategy.
 

Member
Joined
Nov 6, 2015
Messages
1,513
Tokens
You're competing with nerds/information savants more in sports betting than fantasy. So not sure why you would say that is something you don't like about fantasy. That's what I think you don't understand. Way, way more in sports betting. Player projection is a more inefficient market where superior objective/subjective analysis goes a lot further. Team projection tends to be more efficient and thus less exploitable. Any sharp would tell you that.

Either way, that's probably a bit over your head and I realize that a little better now. Enjoy the season man. In fact, enjoy the next 10 years where you hit 50.7% on NFL sides whether you throw a dart board or whether you think you know what you are talking about. I'll stick to doing what I do and keep finding edges all over the place.

Knobslobber wishes he could hit 50.7%. hes been documented hitting 35%. He posted so many losers that he quit posting plays all together. Lmaooo 50.7% in his wetdreams
 

Member
Joined
Nov 6, 2015
Messages
1,513
Tokens
where are all these mob fans he keeps talking about?
They must not know about this thread for some reason .

They are imaginary! No one supports the shit he spews nor do they believe for one second that he has a unique perspective on things. At least his posts are more entertaining than dumbass stockroach or greenbacks still posting after losing his ban bet. All the forum scum posting in one thread haha classic
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Oct 31, 2004
Messages
44,410
Tokens
They are imaginary! No one supports the shit he spews nor do they believe for one second that he has a unique perspective on things. At least his posts are more entertaining than dumbass stockroach or greenbacks still posting after losing his ban bet. All the forum scum posting in one thread haha classic


Yes as lol as mobs post can be at times I certainly don’t put him in the category of greenbacks .

Mob does not take away from my enjoyment of reading this site . I certainly don’t think he should be banned or anything .
I don’t wish for him to disappear like I do GB.

I actually enjoy reading his post even though some of them if not most of them are whack to me .

Greenbacks is just icky to me .
Just weird and brings absolutely nothing at all to the table.
 
Joined
Feb 6, 2007
Messages
28,144
Tokens
Knobslobber wishes he could hit 50.7%. hes been documented hitting 35%. He posted so many losers that he quit posting plays all together. Lmaooo 50.7% in his wetdreams


You see Patsfans?!?!? This is the exact same thing. But the difference is I don’t care what some doubters say... of course I’m not 35%. But that’s what happens when people don’t like you. There are no facts to that. And I can guarantee you if they looked at my entire body of work I am above average, that is fact.

The difference is I am not going to go crazy for 4 days acting like people don’t hate me and that what people say really has no impact at all on what I do and how I see things. So if you were confident and humble, what I said probably wouldn’t have ever bothered you. But instead you are insecure and unfamiliar with anybody questioning you.

Ive run my mouth for years so you best believe I have haters who are going to exaggerate left and right. Look at my body of work over the years. One of the reasons I am so confident in myself is because I know that what I know, nobody knows. That right there gives me plenty of belief in myself. I didn’t just come up with it by the Grace of God. No. I worked hard to find out what I wanted to find out. The only disrespect you show me is due to the fact that I questioned your integrity, creativity, and own personal knowledge. You said it yourself, you had no issue with me in the past. So it is due to me calling you out. I know you are salty, but as you can see, you making this a big deal is a pussy bitch tactic. Regardless of if you thought I was worth it to argue with, doesn’t matter. What initiated it wasn’t enough to justify how far you took it. Because like I said as you can see, this shit doesn’t affect me because I am comfortable.
 
Joined
Feb 6, 2007
Messages
28,144
Tokens
Yes as lol as mobs post can be at times I certainly don’t put him in the category of greenbacks .

Mob does not take away from my enjoyment of reading this site . I certainly don’t think he should be banned or anything .
I don’t wish for him to disappear like I do GB.

I actually enjoy reading his post even though some of them if not most of them are whack to me .

Greenbacks is just icky to me .
Just weird and brings absolutely nothing at all to the table.



You enjoy reading my posts....even though most of them are whack to you? Lmao.

I can see your nose growing.

That doesnt even make any sense. I enjoy reading somebody’s posts....even though most of them are whack to me.


Hmmm ok. You don’t got to lie bro. Don’t act like I haven’t dropped more knowledge on the Saints for the last decade than any radio station you will ever listen to in your life. There are saints fans who will back that up here.


There may not be another team in the entire NFL I have been more correct about year after fucking year.

So I know you are lying and full of shit Chop. You know it too. You don’t have to admit it, it’s okay. I get it. Just don’t let Patsfans know.
 

Member
Joined
Jul 14, 2007
Messages
31,503
Tokens
I'm usually very nice on here and just wanted to unload on you for being an asshole to me and you were an easy target because of your obvious deficiencies. And I figured you might wanna put some money up and I could drill you.

Why wouldn't I be secure? I have a fucking bag from this shit man. I've gotten 5 figure 1099's from DFS since 2012 and that doesn't even get into sports betting/season long fantasy which I've gotten to crush (got to take a nice chunk off a well known full tilt poker pro that loved sideaction before he went broke)

I just wanted to talk down to you because I'm better than you. You're a fish that has no edge. I'd book that anyday, I've seen your analysis and how you think, you're not someone that could beat a game that is EXTREMELY difficult to beat.

If you need to pretend I'm insecure or I'm enraged or livid and it makes you feel better about your mediocre/financially challenged lot in life, then go for it. But I don't really have any animosity towards you. I thought it would be fun to bet you and take your money, but kinda realized as conversation went on there is no way you could really make that happen.

You think I'm an idiot who has no real analytical abilities, I think the same of you. We've come full circle.

It's all good, god bless you bro. The way my mind works once I realize there isn't much money in it for me, I just lose interest.
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Oct 31, 2004
Messages
44,410
Tokens
You enjoy reading my posts....even though most of them are whack to you? Lmao.

I can see your nose growing.

That doesnt even make any sense. I enjoy reading somebody’s posts....even though most of them are whack to me.


Hmmm ok. You don’t got to lie bro. Don’t act like I haven’t dropped more knowledge on the Saints for the last decade than any radio station you will ever listen to in your life. There are saints fans who will back that up here.


There may not be another team in the entire NFL I have been more correct about year after fucking year.

So I know you are lying and full of shit Chop. You know it too. You don’t have to admit it, it’s okay. I get it. Just don’t let Patsfans know.


So you have to agree with someone to enjoy reading them?

There are people in all walks of life that I enjoy hearing from that I disagree with more often then not.

So you one of those people who wont watch the State of the Union address when the person you voted for did not win?

Im a big believer in hearing what everyone has to say even if I think what they say is whack.

Its very dangerous to be closed minded and only open to people who sing your tune.

So yes in all walks of life I am not required to agree with someone to enjoy and even value someones opinion.

And this should be the norm for open minded people.



As a matter of fact I disagree with Patsfans on several things.
And unlike you I put my money where my mouth is.

I actually bet him real money. over 1000$ on an opinion I disagree with him on.
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Oct 31, 2004
Messages
44,410
Tokens
You enjoy reading my posts....even though most of them are whack to you? Lmao.

I can see your nose growing.

That doesnt even make any sense. I enjoy reading somebody’s posts....even though most of them are whack to me.


Hmmm ok. You don’t got to lie bro. Don’t act like I haven’t dropped more knowledge on the Saints for the last decade than any radio station you will ever listen to in your life. There are saints fans who will back that up here.


There may not be another team in the entire NFL I have been more correct about year after fucking year.

So I know you are lying and full of shit Chop. You know it too. You don’t have to admit it, it’s okay. I get it. Just don’t let Patsfans know.

Ok Mr self professed Saints Guru.
Tell me how the Saints season is going to go this year.
 

Member
Joined
Jul 14, 2007
Messages
31,503
Tokens
One other thing, Mobb thinking that I don't get talked down to on here is pretty funny. Not anymore really because the site is dead but I'm pretty much known for steelmanning and making people argue against the strongest version of the opposition opinion. People hate this, it takes them out of their coccoon.

If you don't think I've been called names on here you are out of your mind. Greenbacks has been talking shit about me for years because he thinks I'm a "know it all"

Naturally, when you try to advance discussion and have a robust conversation about subject matter. People turn their brains off and reject them. I said Mogley is -EV for buying points off key numbers every single time he plays an NFL game with key numbers, as you can see, dude was kinda salty about this declaration. People get salty/bitchy with me all the time.

This particular situation I just thought I'd let you know you acted the fool and you definitely wouldn't backup what you said.
 
Joined
Feb 6, 2007
Messages
28,144
Tokens
I'm usually very nice on here and just wanted to unload on you for being an asshole to me and you were an easy target because of your obvious deficiencies. And I figured you might wanna put some money up and I could drill you.

Why wouldn't I be secure? I have a fucking bag from this shit man. I've gotten 5 figure 1099's from DFS since 2012 and that doesn't even get into sports betting/season long fantasy which I've gotten to crush (got to take a nice chunk off a well known full tilt poker pro that loved sideaction before he went broke)

I just wanted to talk down to you because I'm better than you. You're a fish that has no edge. I'd book that anyday, I've seen your analysis and how you think, you're not someone that could beat a game that is EXTREMELY difficult to beat.

If you need to pretend I'm insecure or I'm enraged or livid and it makes you feel better about your mediocre/financially challenged lot in life, then go for it. But I don't really have any animosity towards you. I thought it would be fun to bet you and take your money, but kinda realized as conversation went on there is no way you could really make that happen.

You think I'm an idiot who has no real analytical abilities, I think the same of you. We've come full circle.

It's all good, god bless you bro. The way my mind works once I realize there isn't much money in it for me, I just lose interest.


Yeah you’ve lost interest.....page 11 now.... you’ve lost plenty of interest lmfao. Page 11.....


anywho.....

You aren’t capable of talking down to me pats. Since I have to repeat myself....nothing that you know or think of is over my head.

It doesn’t get into sports betting because you know you need to stick to fantasy. Stick to what you know. Sports betting is what you THINK you know. Fantasyland is your cup of tea though. Still not buying this fight genius crap though. I’ve seen enough to think otherwise.

You’re attempt at insulting me fails over and over when you try to tell me I know nothing. It’s hilarious. Or that I’m some basic gambler lmfaoooooooo. You know NOTHING about me. That can’t even graze me bro because of what I know that I know lmaoooooooooo. There’s no way that type of insult can affect me in any aspect. It just can’t. You would have to erase my memory like in Men in Black for that to have any affect on me.

You see my analysis that I SHARE. Not the analysis that I also go by. Which is two different worlds. And is waaaayyyyyyy over your head.

“ mob, your analysis is probably something worth laughing at.” Righttttttt. Fucking lame.
 
Joined
Feb 6, 2007
Messages
28,144
Tokens
One other thing, Mobb thinking that I don't get talked down to on here is pretty funny. Not anymore really because the site is dead but I'm pretty much known for steelmanning and making people argue against the strongest version of the opposition opinion. People hate this, it takes them out of their coccoon.

If you don't think I've been called names on here you are out of your mind. Greenbacks has been talking shit about me for years because he thinks I'm a "know it all"

Naturally, when you try to advance discussion and have a robust conversation about subject matter. People turn their brains off and reject them. I said Mogley is -EV for buying points off key numbers every single time he plays an NFL game with key numbers, as you can see, dude was kinda salty about this declaration. People get salty/bitchy with me all the time.

This particular situation I just thought I'd let you know you acted the fool and you definitely wouldn't backup what you said.


I dont know who the fuck that is. Maybe YOU need to stop commenting on what other people do and worry about yourself like you said.
 

Member
Joined
Jul 14, 2007
Messages
31,503
Tokens
I dont know who the fuck that is. Maybe YOU need to stop commenting on what other people do and worry about yourself like you said.

I wasn't worried about it. I responded and answered the question. I was saying people go at me all the time when I say something they don't like.

And yeah, you think I'm an idiot that has no good analysis for sports betting. It's all good. No money is changing hands, whether I do or not it's no harm, no foul at this point. I think the same of you. Only difference is I have the conviction that I'd put some good coin on it.

GL

And I never said I was a "fight genius"
 

Member
Joined
Jul 14, 2007
Messages
31,503
Tokens
Mobb: Cavs ain't gonna win the East

PF: Why?

Mobb: Destiny


That analysis?

Or when you told me Jordan Clarkson was gonna be a key figure in the NBA finals and play more minutes than Kevin Love? That analysis?

GL w/ these contrarian takes bro. Maybe figuring out knowing who is the team of destiny is the secret sauce.
 
Joined
Feb 6, 2007
Messages
28,144
Tokens
You think you do know it all. GB thinks it because it’s obvious. When really you are reciting podcasts of fights. That’s proven fact. You admitted to it.

Coming up with fantasy predictions IMO is easy. But competing against these daily fantasy nerds is not easy. There’s no talent involved with it anymore. Everyone is a fucking expert. There’s definitely no edge when the website is conspiring against you. If you won good money then good for you. You must be who I am referring to when I say expert nerds. Feel free to show the 1099’s. 2012 lol.
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Oct 31, 2004
Messages
44,410
Tokens
So are you going to go on record with what the saints are going to do this season or are you just going to wait until February and tell us that the way it happened is the way you thought it was going to go?
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,116,547
Messages
13,534,632
Members
100,375
Latest member
heydencoin21
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com