Alien vs Predator

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no Gil, I really don't want it to go over 50. But, so far the crowd reports have been very good I think:

"Caught the 10:15 show. Theatre was full, saving the first three rows. I have to admit I was suprised, somewhat thinking this movie would bomb. And the people were not the "dress up as your favorite character" types. Mostly couples and groups of college aged kids. Line of people outside upon my exit for the next showing, but about half looked like they were heading to PDIA2. 1/4 looked like they could go either way.

Many trailers, HERO, BLDE3, CNSTN, MR3K, FRINL, TAXI, and RESE2. None seemed to get any major reaction. But it was early in the morning ; )

Movie wasn't great, but wasn't nearly as bad as I expected. I think the PG-13 really put the biggest dent in what I was expecting.
"



"12:01am, Mercado 20, Silicon Valley
Sold Out in multiple auditoriums

I tried to get James Cameron to make this as his next movie after True Lies. He was a little scared of the necessary budget, and decided to “go make a simple love story set on a boat.” I would have worked for scale to get Predator vs. Alien made. Of course, without my involvement, it took them another 10 years to get this thing done. To say that it was highly anticipated does not go far enough. The crowd was practically rabid, almost to the point of Star Wars lunacy. There were people sneaking up on other patrons and attacking them with face-hugger stuffed animals, or reptiles or whatever.

There were tons of previews. Mr. 3000 did not much of a response. It sounds like a good idea, but Bernie should be called BigMac, because he does not have the athletic chops necessary to play a major leaguer. Maybe Balco can do some special post-production effects work. The preview that did get the best response was Team America (which totally fell flat when it preceded Collateral). Apparently, there really is a demand for a big-budget terrorist SWAT team action movie starring marrionettes!

The movie was quite good. Paul Anderson’s last movie was Resident Evil, so he has shown that he knows how to deliver the goods. The casting was a bit daring. Rather than casting a well known, internationally acclaimed, buff, muscular, confident but humble action star (like me), they cast a group of almost knowns. You might recognize some of them from movies like Pearl Harbor, Gladiator, and Blade. By doing this, there is no obvious star who audiences know will make it to the final act, and obviously, not many of them will. Casting Lance Henrikson, who played Bishop in Aliens, as Charles Bishop Weyland, head of Weyland Industries, was a nice, but unnecessary touch. However, none of the cast has any star quality. None of the women are remotely gropable, and there’s nary a potential governor in sight.

Part of the fun of watching a movie like this is recognizing all the warning signs that the characters in the movie ignore. Putting your hand down on the ground and discovering a wet puddle of slime is NEVER a good thing. The movie does a good job of setting up the confrontation, and the build up in the first act is very good compared to most movies like this. While the movie might be scarier if you don’t know anything about Aliens or Predators, you definitely would miss out on the inside jokes included here. I am a little confused about the titles here though. The aliens are technically born here, so why would they be called aliens? The predators are more like big game preserve hunters. But I guess the current title is better than Undocumented Citizens vs. Hunters of Artificially Stocked Preserves. I can’t say much more without giving anything away, although I will say that this would make an awesome video game. It was also very refreshing to not be watching yet another CGI vs. CGI fight like in Van Helsing.

Minor quibbles aside, this was a heckuva (have to watch my language, this is PG-13) movie. It is structurally similar to Aliens (my favorite) and unlike the sequels, has a first-rate third act. The audience really got into it. Unlike the Freddy vs. Jason movie, where the audience just watched, people were cheering like at a football game. The A-LI-EN or PRED-A-TOR chants got a little annoying every time there was a death. There was applause and cheers at the end, especially during the money shot (do not leave until the credits actually roll). Maybe they’ll add Terminators to the fray in the definitely-to-be-green-lit sequel as soon as Friday’s grosses come out"



sold out at multiple midnight shows, and almost full at this morning's shows.
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Right now I'd guess a 17 million Friday.
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There's a bunch of midnight crowd reports, which are from 85-95% full, and just the bulk of crowd reports so far would indicate it's gonna be huge.
 

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Excellent job on the theater reports. keep 'em coming.

Go go go go go Alien vs. Predator!!!

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usher report:

"FYI: All 3 opener seeing "better than expected business" at my theater. Full Usher report at 8PM. -- nm"

and they should have ben expecting Freddy vs Jason business, since that's where Variety repoted that the tracking was.
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f-ck... i just dropped $250US at JackpotCity casino. What an idiot. Now I really need this win.
 

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Okay.. the reviews are terrible... I mean terrible... but the forums on movie sites where younger kids review the flicks are getting decent reviews. Hmmm.

Now I"m nervous. I'm holding my breath, hoping it goes over 35 million. I need it to badly. I maxed out.

I hope the theater reports are good.

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I don't trust online casinoes.

At this point I'm not too worried about it going over.
 
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In fact, it's looking like a lock.

"Lexington, KY Usher Report, as of 8PM EST:

AVSP: Has been consistently strong all day. Even though there has only been one sellout as of this post (7:10), not one show has been below 75%, and that was the first of the day at noon. All others have been 80-85%, with the exception of the current show, estimated at 90% capacity. The current show could very well be selling out as I write this.

Outlook/pick: The observed business has exceeded me expectations, which were high to begin with. I’m looking for a $14M Friday as a bare minimum, but I consider a $16-20M Friday and a $40-45M weekend much more likely. I am LONG on this.

PDIA2: Started the day much stronger than Wednesday, but has leveled off since 4PM. No sellouts noted. Capacity was at least 75% before 4PM, and the three shows since have registered at about 50%, 50%, and 40%, respectively.

Outlook/pick: Despite the late-afternoon slowdown, I can realistically see an 8-9M Friday and about a 22-25M Weekend. I went LONG on Wednesday, and am glad I did.

YUGIO: I can’t believe this, but it’s seeing business! The 2:30 show sold out, while the remaining three shows were near 60%. This surely isn’t going to send shock waves through the BO, but at least some of the fanbase is showing up. One thing’s for sure – it won’t be a TBIRD repeat.

Outlook/pick: This is tough to gauge, but I’m going to go out on a limb and say this very well could have a $3M Friday and close to a $10M weekend, if the surprisingly good WOM holds. I’ve gone LONG to make it a lonh ‘em all weekend.

Good luck everyone!

Obligatory Disclaimer: I consider my theater to see more business than your average theater. The estimates above are purely speculative and based on a subjective comparison of recent similar films that attracted a similar audience. I strongly advise that this information be considered in conjunction with other theater reports and your own general observations. In other words, don’t kill the messenger if these are off!
"
 
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not a lot of crowd reports so far, one guy said all the showings tonight were sold out, another person said "only 1 sold out so far, and the 8:15 showing had 50 tickets left".
 
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"Regal Crossgates Stadium 18 in Albany, NY

Yu-Gi-Oh! (1 medium screen, seats 160)

noon SOLD OUT
2:30 SOLD OUT
5:00 95% sold
7:30 SOLD OUT

I'm speechless, looks like close to 4 million Friday (beating my weekend prediction)

AvP (3 biggest screens, seats 300~400)

shows up to 5:30 averaged 1/3 to 1/2 full
6:40 2/3 sold
7:20 2/3 sold
8:10 95% sold
9:20 SOLD OUT
10:00 SOLD OUT
10:50 SOLD OUT
11:50 2/3 sold
12:30 ?

very good business, I see around a 15 million opening

Princess Diaries 2 (3 medium screens, seats 125~200)

only one sold out show, but I think this will still do very well with the high theater count. Most matinee shows were at least 1/2 full. I see 7~8 million for Friday.
"
 
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hmmm I don't know, not a whole lot of crowd reports so far tonight. There seemed to be more for Yu-Gi-Oh! what the fuck is Yu-Gi-Oh! anyways, I'm glad they didn't have a line for it because I would have pounded the under.
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uh-oh....

"Oh no doubt..AVP will clear 30 million easy. Unless for some reason my area has all the AvP fans in this world.

I am thinking AvP might have a 50+ opening. This was selling better than Bourne, Better than Village.
"

I hope it only makes 49 million.
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don't worry... it won't. NO Way.

The way my day is going... it'll go under 35 million.

I'm done. Finished. Lost a ton of money on some gay boxing match. Wiped me right out. I should have stuck with what I knew.

What a f-ck joke!
 
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that f*cking sucks dude. Sorry to hear it. Try not to let it get to your head, shit happens, you just gotta learn from your mistakes.
 
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yeah, I don't know what the deal is, usually late Friday night a bunch of crowd reports come streaming in. Haven't seen hardly any at all. But it happens sometimes with popular dumb movies that everyone goes to, but they don't know how to read or write so they can't post a crowd report.

woah wtf, here's one, and there weren't any sell-outs! it was on 4 screens though.

"Here is my report from the AMC 30 at the Block.

Yu-Gi-Oh
1:40 (100 seater) - Sold Out.
4:05 (moved to a 300 seater) - 60% full.
6:30 (300 seater) - 89% full.
I'm baffled and how it did this well.

Princess Diaries 2
2:45 (600 seater) - 20% full.
4:05 (200 seater) - 39% full.
5:20 (600 seater) - 23% full.
7:00 (200 seater) - 88% full.
8:15 (300 seater) - 87% full.
9:50 (200 seater) - 92% full.
11:00 (300 seater) - 35% full.
Compared to Wednesday, we pretty much did the same business.

Garden State (It just opened here) (175 seater)
2:40 - 13% full.
5:20 - 17% full.
8:00 - 63% full.
10:40 - 73% full.
Not bad, but especially good for an independent.

Alien Vs Preditor (4 screens).
2:10 (400 seater) - 32% full.
2:40 (300 seater) - 38% full.
3:20 (600 seater) - 14% full.
4:15 (400 seater) - 35% full.
4:50 (400 seater) - 28% full.
5:20 (300 seater) - 58% full.
6:10 (600 seater) - 29% full.
6:50 (400 seater) - 56% full.
7:25 (400 seater) - 78% full.
8:10 (600 seater) - 72% full.
8:45 (600 seater) - 76% full.
9:30 (400 seater) - 83% full.
10:05 (400 seater) - 86% full.
10:45 (600 seater) - 84% full.
11:25 (600 seater) - 85% full.
12:00 (400 seater) - 85% full.
12:30 (400 seater) - 41% full.
No Sold Out Shows, but being on 4 screens, this is still a sizable number.

Sold Out report.

Only Little Black Book in a 90 seater (9:15 show), and Bourne Supremacy in a 90 seater (9:25 show). Open Water dropped moderately, and Collateral not holding it's own that well. Overall, it was as Average as Friday's get.
"
 
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I'm looking in my crystal ball and it says 16.5 million Friday, 41 million weekend.

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it could still go over 50, but the chances of that happening are slim. I'm gonna go ahead and count my money before I lose it tonight on football games.

2-0 this week, 22-22 +13.975 units overall.

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Good job, ORen.

I would be shocked if it goe sover 50...would need to do more business saturday.

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