ACE, many thanks for your plays and analysis. I just joined the Rx after being a longtime lurker, and I always enjoy reading your takes.
Out of the 3 plays you listed, the one I'm having trouble with is your Akron +7 one. I tend to believe Ball State will cover.
Both teams here can score the ball but Ball State has the more complete offense and has a better defense than the Zips. They’ve scored 12 ppg more than Akron and have given up 15 ppg less than the Zips so far this season. Akron beating Syracuse last week sounds like a big deal; but Syracuse is horrible-one of the worst big-name teams in college football this year. Nate Davis and Co. can hurt you through the air as well as on the ground. He’s completed an amazing 80.8% of his passes. Akron, behind QB Chris Jacquemain, moves the ball well. The Zips’ defense, though, has been unable to stop the run. They’ve given up 311 ypg rushing so far this season. The Cardinals’ Miquale Lewis should have a field day against Akron. When the Zips put “8 men in the box” to stop the run, Ball State’s Davis will have ALL-MAC WR, Dante Love, and a good corps of other receivers to pass to.
In any event, best of luck with your plays! :toast:
Let's make the bookies weep on Saturday!
Out of the 3 plays you listed, the one I'm having trouble with is your Akron +7 one. I tend to believe Ball State will cover.
Both teams here can score the ball but Ball State has the more complete offense and has a better defense than the Zips. They’ve scored 12 ppg more than Akron and have given up 15 ppg less than the Zips so far this season. Akron beating Syracuse last week sounds like a big deal; but Syracuse is horrible-one of the worst big-name teams in college football this year. Nate Davis and Co. can hurt you through the air as well as on the ground. He’s completed an amazing 80.8% of his passes. Akron, behind QB Chris Jacquemain, moves the ball well. The Zips’ defense, though, has been unable to stop the run. They’ve given up 311 ypg rushing so far this season. The Cardinals’ Miquale Lewis should have a field day against Akron. When the Zips put “8 men in the box” to stop the run, Ball State’s Davis will have ALL-MAC WR, Dante Love, and a good corps of other receivers to pass to.
In any event, best of luck with your plays! :toast:
Let's make the bookies weep on Saturday!
Hello Ace-ace.greetings From The Brooklynworm
Hello My Good Buddy. Sorry That I Have'nt Been In Touch Of Late. Just Want To Wish You All The Best. You Are Still A Top Handicapper, And Always Follow Your Threads. 2008 Should Be A Strong Year For Both Of Us. Stay In Touch.
Your Friend
Brooklynworm
Hello My Good Buddy. Sorry That I Have'nt Been In Touch Of Late. Just Want To Wish You All The Best. You Are Still A Top Handicapper, And Always Follow Your Threads. 2008 Should Be A Strong Year For Both Of Us. Stay In Touch.
Your Friend
Brooklynworm
update record
11-6 +$1950.00
This week-end only 3
birthday party for me on sat/day...so will not be around...my girlfriend want to do it on Sunday :shocked:...we all know where I will be that day.
All dogs
$700 -108 #315 Take Vanderbilt (+7) over Mississippi (7 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 20)
Vanderbilt continues to exceed expectations and continues to be undervalued. They already went on the road and whooped up on a Miami, OH team as an underdog and I think this is another game that they could win outright. The Commodores are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 road games and have owned their series with Ole Miss, going 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings and 4-1 ATS in their last five trips to Oxford. The Vanderbilt rushing attack will milk the clock and keep this one close, and I don't think that the Ole Miss offense is good enough to blow this one open.
$400 -105 #330 Navy (+6) over Rutgers (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 20)
Rutgers is clearly one of the more overrated teams in the country and they just continue to struggle to find someone to replace Ray Rice’s production and leadership. The Scarlet Knights have gotten blown out twice at home but are suddenly posted as a road favorite against a veteran Navy squad? North Carolina moved the ball at will against the Knights and I think that a disciplined Middies attack will do the same. Navy is 4-3 SU against BCS teams at home since 1997 and are 43-20-1 ATS against teams with a losing record. Just like with Vandy, I think the option team getting points offers great value this early in the season.
$500 -105 #354 Texas A&M (+3) over Miami (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 20)
This is a revenge situation for the Aggies, who were humiliated during a Thursday game in Florida last year. It’s going to be a different outcome this year in College Station, where A&M is always very tough. The Aggies had an extra week to prepare for this one and catch the Canes in their first game outside of Florida, where they were 1-3 ATS last year. Miami is just 8-19-1 ATS overall and is 3-13 ATS coming out of a bye week. We’ll go with the Big 12 team over the overrated ACC foe in this one.
have fun I know I will :drink::toast:AA
11-6 +$1950.00
This week-end only 3
birthday party for me on sat/day...so will not be around...my girlfriend want to do it on Sunday :shocked:...we all know where I will be that day.
All dogs
$700 -108 #315 Take Vanderbilt (+7) over Mississippi (7 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 20)
Vanderbilt continues to exceed expectations and continues to be undervalued. They already went on the road and whooped up on a Miami, OH team as an underdog and I think this is another game that they could win outright. The Commodores are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 road games and have owned their series with Ole Miss, going 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings and 4-1 ATS in their last five trips to Oxford. The Vanderbilt rushing attack will milk the clock and keep this one close, and I don't think that the Ole Miss offense is good enough to blow this one open.
$400 -105 #330 Navy (+6) over Rutgers (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 20)
Rutgers is clearly one of the more overrated teams in the country and they just continue to struggle to find someone to replace Ray Rice’s production and leadership. The Scarlet Knights have gotten blown out twice at home but are suddenly posted as a road favorite against a veteran Navy squad? North Carolina moved the ball at will against the Knights and I think that a disciplined Middies attack will do the same. Navy is 4-3 SU against BCS teams at home since 1997 and are 43-20-1 ATS against teams with a losing record. Just like with Vandy, I think the option team getting points offers great value this early in the season.
$500 -105 #354 Texas A&M (+3) over Miami (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 20)
This is a revenge situation for the Aggies, who were humiliated during a Thursday game in Florida last year. It’s going to be a different outcome this year in College Station, where A&M is always very tough. The Aggies had an extra week to prepare for this one and catch the Canes in their first game outside of Florida, where they were 1-3 ATS last year. Miami is just 8-19-1 ATS overall and is 3-13 ATS coming out of a bye week. We’ll go with the Big 12 team over the overrated ACC foe in this one.
have fun I know I will :drink::toast:AA
pass on tonights game...had the right team last night just dont count in this thread posted #1517 http://64.40.117.4/showthread.php?p=5765396#post5765396
they could be in both some days!
gl
AA
[/B]This week-end only 3
birthday party for me on sat/day...so will not be around...my girlfriend want to do it on Sunday :shocked:...we all know where I will be that day.
All dogs
$700 -108 #315 Take Vanderbilt (+7) over Mississippi (7 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 20) WINNER
Vanderbilt continues to exceed expectations and continues to be undervalued. They already went on the road and whooped up on a Miami, OH team as an underdog and I think this is another game that they could win outright. The Commodores are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 road games and have owned their series with Ole Miss, going 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings and 4-1 ATS in their last five trips to Oxford. The Vanderbilt rushing attack will milk the clock and keep this one close, and I don't think that the Ole Miss offense is good enough to blow this one open.
$400 -105 #330 Navy (+6) over Rutgers (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 20) WINNER
Rutgers is clearly one of the more overrated teams in the country and they just continue to struggle to find someone to replace Ray Rice’s production and leadership. The Scarlet Knights have gotten blown out twice at home but are suddenly posted as a road favorite against a veteran Navy squad? North Carolina moved the ball at will against the Knights and I think that a disciplined Middies attack will do the same. Navy is 4-3 SU against BCS teams at home since 1997 and are 43-20-1 ATS against teams with a losing record. Just like with Vandy, I think the option team getting points offers great value this early in the season.
$500 -105 #354 Texas A&M (+3) over Miami (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 20) LOST
This is a revenge situation for the Aggies, who were humiliated during a Thursday game in Florida last year. It’s going to be a different outcome this year in College Station, where A&M is always very tough. The Aggies had an extra week to prepare for this one and catch the Canes in their first game outside of Florida, where they were 1-3 ATS last year. Miami is just 8-19-1 ATS overall and is 3-13 ATS coming out of a bye week. We’ll go with the Big 12 team over the overrated ACC foe in this one.
2-1 FOR THE WEEK +$575.00
UPDATE RECORD
13-7 +$2525.00
ACE-ACE
birthday party for me on sat/day...so will not be around...my girlfriend want to do it on Sunday :shocked:...we all know where I will be that day.
All dogs
$700 -108 #315 Take Vanderbilt (+7) over Mississippi (7 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 20) WINNER
Vanderbilt continues to exceed expectations and continues to be undervalued. They already went on the road and whooped up on a Miami, OH team as an underdog and I think this is another game that they could win outright. The Commodores are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 road games and have owned their series with Ole Miss, going 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings and 4-1 ATS in their last five trips to Oxford. The Vanderbilt rushing attack will milk the clock and keep this one close, and I don't think that the Ole Miss offense is good enough to blow this one open.
$400 -105 #330 Navy (+6) over Rutgers (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 20) WINNER
Rutgers is clearly one of the more overrated teams in the country and they just continue to struggle to find someone to replace Ray Rice’s production and leadership. The Scarlet Knights have gotten blown out twice at home but are suddenly posted as a road favorite against a veteran Navy squad? North Carolina moved the ball at will against the Knights and I think that a disciplined Middies attack will do the same. Navy is 4-3 SU against BCS teams at home since 1997 and are 43-20-1 ATS against teams with a losing record. Just like with Vandy, I think the option team getting points offers great value this early in the season.
$500 -105 #354 Texas A&M (+3) over Miami (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 20) LOST
This is a revenge situation for the Aggies, who were humiliated during a Thursday game in Florida last year. It’s going to be a different outcome this year in College Station, where A&M is always very tough. The Aggies had an extra week to prepare for this one and catch the Canes in their first game outside of Florida, where they were 1-3 ATS last year. Miami is just 8-19-1 ATS overall and is 3-13 ATS coming out of a bye week. We’ll go with the Big 12 team over the overrated ACC foe in this one.
2-1 FOR THE WEEK +$575.00
UPDATE RECORD
13-7 +$2525.00
ACE-ACE
This weeks picks!
$1000.00 #139 Take Virginia Tech (+7) over Nebraska (8 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 27)
This is my Underdog Game of the Month. I don't think that Bo Pelini's group has proven anything with the competition that they've played up to this point. The Hokies have two quality wins - one on the road - against likely bowl teams in Georgia Tech and North Carolina. I think that the Hokies are riding the momentum of their big comeback win over the Tar Heels last weekend and that they will come out sharp in Lincoln. Virginia Tech has the better defense and the better special teams in this game and they are 5-2 ATS against a team with a winning record. Va. Tech is also 18-5 ATS in its last 23 road games and I think this is a situation where they can win this one outright.
$500.00 #109 Take Western Michigan (-4) over Temple (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 27)
Even if Temple hadn't lost its starting quarterback to a shoulder injury last week this would be a tempting spot. So without Adam DiMichele I think that the Broncos are going to roll over the Owls. WMU is 6-0 SU in its six meetings with the Owls and are 2-1 ATS over the last three years. The Broncos outgained the Owls by nearly 300 yards in their meeting last year and I think that after a very emotional four-game set to start the year that Temple is a little gassed.
$400.00 #145 Take Alabama (+6.5) over Georgia (8 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 27)
Here we have a meeting between two of the Top 10 teams in the country and in this situation I think the underdog has an incredible value. A weaker Alabama team than this actually should have beaten the Bulldogs at home last year, but they dropped a heartbreaker in overtime. And while I don't expect the Bulldogs to come out flat with ESPN making this a marquee game, but I do think that they are ripe to fade after a solid win at Arizona State last week. The road team has won three of the last four in this series and five of the last eight meetings have been decided by four points or less.
$300.00#151 Take Maryland (+11.5) over Clemson (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 27)
I still do not believe that the Tigers are as good as advertised and I don't think that they've proven anything this year against the weak competition they've played. Clemson did not cover against N.C. State, and I think the Terps bring more to the table in this game offensively than the Wolfpack. The Terps are 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings and 4-0 ATS in their last four trips to Clemson.
$1000.00 #139 Take Virginia Tech (+7) over Nebraska (8 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 27)
This is my Underdog Game of the Month. I don't think that Bo Pelini's group has proven anything with the competition that they've played up to this point. The Hokies have two quality wins - one on the road - against likely bowl teams in Georgia Tech and North Carolina. I think that the Hokies are riding the momentum of their big comeback win over the Tar Heels last weekend and that they will come out sharp in Lincoln. Virginia Tech has the better defense and the better special teams in this game and they are 5-2 ATS against a team with a winning record. Va. Tech is also 18-5 ATS in its last 23 road games and I think this is a situation where they can win this one outright.
$500.00 #109 Take Western Michigan (-4) over Temple (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 27)
Even if Temple hadn't lost its starting quarterback to a shoulder injury last week this would be a tempting spot. So without Adam DiMichele I think that the Broncos are going to roll over the Owls. WMU is 6-0 SU in its six meetings with the Owls and are 2-1 ATS over the last three years. The Broncos outgained the Owls by nearly 300 yards in their meeting last year and I think that after a very emotional four-game set to start the year that Temple is a little gassed.
$400.00 #145 Take Alabama (+6.5) over Georgia (8 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 27)
Here we have a meeting between two of the Top 10 teams in the country and in this situation I think the underdog has an incredible value. A weaker Alabama team than this actually should have beaten the Bulldogs at home last year, but they dropped a heartbreaker in overtime. And while I don't expect the Bulldogs to come out flat with ESPN making this a marquee game, but I do think that they are ripe to fade after a solid win at Arizona State last week. The road team has won three of the last four in this series and five of the last eight meetings have been decided by four points or less.
$300.00#151 Take Maryland (+11.5) over Clemson (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 27)
I still do not believe that the Tigers are as good as advertised and I don't think that they've proven anything this year against the weak competition they've played. Clemson did not cover against N.C. State, and I think the Terps bring more to the table in this game offensively than the Wolfpack. The Terps are 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings and 4-0 ATS in their last four trips to Clemson.
3-0-1 on the day +$1700.00
